Post-treatment fibrotic modifications overwhelm pretreatment liver fibrosis in predicting HCC in CHC patients with curative antivirals

Unmet needs in the post-direct-acting antivirals era: The risk and molecular mechanisms of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus eradication

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is one of the major etiologies of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with approximately 30% of HCC being due to HCV infection worldwide. HCV eradication by antivirals greatly reduces the risk of HCC; nevertheless, HCC remains to occur in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients who have achieved a sustained virological response (SVR). The proportion of post-SVR HCC among newly diagnosed HCC patients is increasing in the direct-acting antiviral (DAA) era and might be due to preexisting inflammatory and fibrotic liver backgrounds, immune dysregulation between host and virus interactions, as well as host epigenetic scars, genetic predispositions and alternations. By means of applying surrogate markers and adopting risk stratification, HCC surveillance should be consistently performed in high-risk populations. In this review, we discuss the possible molecular mechanism, risk factors, and HCC surveillance strategy for HCC development after HCV eradication in CHC patients.

Metformin and statins reduce hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis C patients with failed antiviral therapy

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients who failed antiviral therapy are at increased risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study assessed the potential role of metformin and statins, medications for diabetes mellitus (DM) and hyperlipidemia (HLP), in reducing HCC risk among these patients.

METHODS

We included CHC patients from the T-COACH study who failed antiviral therapy. We tracked the onset of HCC 1.5 years post-therapy by linking to Taiwan's cancer registry data from 2003 to 2019. We accounted for death and liver transplantation as competing risks and employed Gray's cumulative incidence and Cox subdistribution hazards models to analyze HCC development.

RESULTS

Out of 2,779 patients, 480 (17.3%) developed HCC post-therapy. DM patients not using metformin had a 51% increased risk of HCC compared to non-DM patients, while HLP patients on statins had a 50% reduced risk compared to those without HLP. The 5-year HCC incidence was significantly higher for metformin non-users (16.5%) versus non-DM patients (11.3%; adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratio [aSHR]=1.51; P=0.007) and metformin users (3.1%; aSHR=1.59; P=0.022). Statin use in HLP patients correlated with a lower HCC risk (3.8%) compared to non-HLP patients (12.5%; aSHR=0.50; P<0.001). Notably, the increased HCC risk associated with non-use of metformin was primarily seen in non-cirrhotic patients, whereas statins decreased HCC risk in both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients.

CONCLUSION

Metformin and statins may have a chemopreventive effect against HCC in CHC patients who failed antiviral therapy. These results support the need for personalized preventive strategies in managing HCC risk.

Liver stiffness and spleen stiffness predict distinct liver-related events after hepatitis C eradication with direct-acting antivirals

BACKGROUND

/Purpose: This study aimed to directly compare the utility of liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) at sustained virologic response (SVR) for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and non-HCC events in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) after direct-acting antiviral therapy.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 695 CHC patients who achieved SVR and underwent LS and SS measurements. LS and SS were measured using point shear wave elastography and compared head-to-head.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 29.5 months, 49 (7.1%) patients developed liver-related events (LREs), including 28 HCC and 22 non-HCC events after SVR. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that age, albumin level, and LS (≥ versus <1.46 m/s) at SVR (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 5.390; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.349-12.364; p < 0.001), but not SS at SVR, significantly predicted the overall risk of post-SVR LREs (n = 49). Furthermore, age and LS (≥ versus <1.46 m/s) at SVR (aHR: 6.759; 95% CI: 2.317-19.723; p < 0.001), but not SS at SVR, independently predicted the risk of post-SVR incident HCC. In contrast, SS (≥ versus <2.87 m/s) at SVR (aHR: 11.212; 95% CI: 1.564-20.132; p = 0.021) and albumin level, but not LS at SVR, significantly predicted the risk of post-SVR non-HCC events.

CONCLUSION

Post-SVR LS better predicts HCC risk. Post-SVR SS helps predict non-HCC risk after antiviral therapy for CHC. LS and SS at SVR provide complementary prognostic information regarding risks of HCC and non-HCC events in the post-SVR setting. Further validation is warranted in larger cohorts.

Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Spontaneous Clearance of Hepatitis C Virus and in Noncirrhosis Chronic Hepatitis C Patients With Sustained Virological Response: A Systematic Review

In a hepatitis C virus (HCV)-controlled human infection model (CHIM), healthy volunteers are inoculated with HCV and then treated. Residual hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk after viral clearance is an important consideration when evaluating the CHIM. We estimate HCC risk in spontaneously cleared HCV and in noncirrhosis after sustained virological response (SVR) to HCV treatment in a systematic review and using data from 3 cohorts: German anti-D, Taiwan, and US Veterans Affairs (VA). For noncirrhosis SVR, the overall HCC rate is 0.33 per 100 patient-years in meta-analysis. HCC rates for the German, Taiwan, and US Veterans Affairs cohorts are 0, 0.14, and 0.02 per 100 patient-years, respectively. Past hepatitis B virus exposure was not accounted for in the Taiwan cohort, while VA patients were likely tested based on liver disease/risk factors, which may confound HCC outcomes. The German cohort with no HCC after 44 years is most comparable to the CHIM participants. Although it is difficult to precisely estimate HCC risk from an HCV CHIM, the data suggest the risk to be very low or negligible.

Metformin reduces hepatocellular carcinoma incidence after successful antiviral therapy in patients with diabetes and chronic hepatitis C in Taiwan

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is known to increase the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among individuals with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). We aimed to evaluate whether metformin reduces HCC risk among individuals with DM and CHC after successful antiviral therapy.

METHODS

Individuals with CHC who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) after interferon-based therapy were enrolled in a large-scale, multicenter cohort in Taiwan (T-COACH). Cases of HCC at least 1 year after SVR were identified through linkage to the catastrophic illness and cancer registry databases.

RESULTS

Of 7,249 individuals with CHC enrolled in the study, 781 (10.8%) had diabetes and 647 (82.8%) were metformin users. During a median follow-up of 4.4 years, 227 patients developed new-onset HCC. The 5-year cumulative HCC incidence was 10.9% in non-metformin users and 2.6% in metformin users, compared to 3.0% in individuals without DM (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.83; 95% CI 1.57-5.08 and aHR 1.46; 95% CI 0.98-2.19, respectively). Cirrhosis was the most important factor significantly associated with higher HCC risk in Cox regression analysis, followed by DM non-metformin use, older age, male sex, and obesity; whereas hyperlipidemia with statin use was associated with a lower HCC risk. Using the two most crucial risk factors, cirrhosis and DM non-metformin use, we constructed a simple risk model that could predict HCC risk among individuals with CHC after SVR. Metformin use was shown to reduce the risk of all liver-related complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Metformin use greatly reduced HCC risk after successful antiviral therapy in individuals with diabetes and CHC. A simple risk stratification model comprising cirrhosis and DM non-metformin use could predict long-term outcomes in individuals with CHC after SVR.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

The current study provides evidence that metformin could reduce hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence after successful antiviral therapy among those with diabetes and chronic hepatitis C in a large-scale nationwide cohort study. Although successful antiviral therapy greatly reduces HCC risk in individuals with chronic hepatitis C, those with cirrhosis, diabetes, obesity, and the elderly remain at high risk of HCC development. We demonstrated that a simple risk model composed of two crucial unfavorable factors, cirrhosis and diabetes without metformin use, predicts the risk of HCC and major liver-related complications after successful antiviral therapy in individuals with chronic hepatitis C. Metformin use is highly recommended for individuals with diabetes and chronic hepatitis C after viral eradication to reduce the risk of HCC.

Combined Liver Stiffness and Α-fetoprotein Further beyond the Sustained Virologic Response Visit as Predictors of Long-Term Liver-Related Events in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C

AIMS

Long-term risk stratification using combined liver stiffness (LS) and clinically relevant blood tests acquired at the baseline further beyond the sustained virologic response (SVR) visit for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) has not been thoroughly investigated. This study retrospectively investigated the prognostics of liver-related events (LREs) further beyond the SVR visit.

METHODS

Cox regression and random forest models identified the key factors, including longitudinal LS and noninvasive test results, that could predict LREs, including hepatocellular carcinoma, during prespecified follow-ups from 2010 to 2021. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis estimated the significance of between-group risk stratification.

RESULTS

Of the entire eligible cohort (n = 520) of CHC patients with SVR to antiviral therapy, 28 (5.4%) patients developed post-SVR LREs over a median follow-up period of 6.1 years (interquartile range = 3.5-8.7). The multivariate Cox regression analysis identified two significant predictors of LREs after the year 3 post-SVR (Y3PSVR) baseline (LRE, n = 15 of 28, 53.6%, median follow-up = 4.1 [1.6-6.4] years after Y3PSVR): LS at Y3PSVR (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 3.980, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.085-7.597, P < 0.001), and α-fetoprotein (AFP) at Y3PSVR (aHR = 1.017, 95% CI = 1.001-1.034, P=0.034). LS ≥1.45 m/s and AFP ≥3.00 ng/mL for Y3PSVR yielded positive likelihood ratios of 4.24 and 2.62, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that among the stratified subgroups, the subgroup with concurrent LS ≥1.45 m/s and AFP ≥3.00 ng/mL at Y3PSVR exhibited the highest risk of LREs after Y3PSVR (log-rank P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We recommend the combined use of concurrent LS and AFP in future prediction models for LREs in CHC. Patients with concurrently high LS and AFP values further beyond the SVR visit may require a recall policy involving intense surveillance.

Liver fibrosis regression correlates with downregulation in liver angiogenesis in chronic hepatitis C through viral eradication

OBJECTIVES

The impact of viral eradication on hepatic angiogenesis is unknown. This study aimed to analyze the correlations of liver angiogenesis with liver fibrosis progression or regression in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) after viral eradication.

METHODS

From 2003 to 2020, a cohort of 130 eligible participants underwent paired percutaneous liver biopsies (median = 48 months apart; range = 46-62) at the treatment baseline and after sustained virological response to CHC treatment at the tertiary referral center. The collagen proportionate area (CPA) of liver tissue sections was determined using picrosirius red staining through digital image analysis. CD34 and α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA) phenotypically quantitated liver angiogenesis and myofibroblasts, respectively, through immunohistochemistry staining, to correlate the total, portal, and extraportal liver angiogenesis with fibrogenesis.

RESULTS

Paired histology manifested significant regressions in fibrosis stages, and necroinflammatory grades (both P  < 0.001). The median of changes in CPAs (follow-up minus baseline) was -6.12% (interquartile range = -12.35 to -2.05%). The median of CPA changes per year was -1.38%/year (interquartile range = -2.98 to -0.51%/year). The significance of declines in total CD34 [coefficient (95% confidence interval), 5.577 (3.286-7.868); P  < 0.001] outweighed α-SMA declines, when explaining (R2 = 0.522; adjusted R2 = 0.502) the CPA declines through multiple regression analysis adjusting for other histological variables.

CONCLUSION

Through viral eradication in CHC, the downregulated liver angiogenesis significantly explains the CPA regression.

Liver stiffness measurement is a potent predictor of histological fibrosis regression after hepatitis C virus clearance

BACKGROUND

Most of the studies on fibrosis regression prediction were based on noninvasive fibrosis markers and differ greatly. The 'Beijing fibrosis classification' can use histological results to classify fibrosis into progressive or 'nonprogressive' according to fibrotic septal morphology. We use this standard which served as the gold standard in order to find fibrosis regression predictors.

AIM

To study the predictors of fibrosis regression after hepatitis C virus clearance according to histological fibrosis staging by the 'Beijing fibrosis classification'.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study. A total of 68 patients with advanced liver fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis who achieved sustained virological response were enrolled. Patients with the Ishak scores lower than 3 seemed to have fibrosis regression. The others were divided into the fibrosis progressive group and the nonprogressive group according to the 'Beijing fibrosis classification'. Predictors of fibrosis regression were studied by logistic regression using baseline factors and the dynamic change in noninvasive fibrosis factors.

RESULTS

Eighteen patients were assigned to the progressive group, and the others were assigned to the nonprogressive group. The baseline liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) of the progressive and nonprogressive groups were 14.35 (11.3, 27.3) kPa and 11.3 (8.3, 14.2) kPa, respectively, P = 0.02. The baseline LSM was the only predictor of fibrosis progression. With a cutoff of 11.85 kPa, the AUC was 0.71 (0.5, 0.9), and the negative predictive value was 0.92.

CONCLUSIONS

The baseline LSM was found to be the only predictor of fibrosis regression, 11.85 kPa is a possible 'hepatic fibrosis return point'.

Long-term follow-up of HCV patients with sustained virological response after treatment with pegylated interferon plus ribavirin

BACKGROUND

The progress of liver diseases may not stop after viral eradication. This study aimed to provide data on long-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who underwent pegylated interferon plus ribavirin (PR) regimen and achieved a sustained virological response 24 weeks post-treatment (SVR24).

METHODS

Responders to the PR regimen in our hospital from January 2011 to June 2014 were enrolled and prospectively followed up. Baseline characteristics were profiled. The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), progression of liver disease (increase in liver stiffness or occurrence of decompensated complication), and HCV recurrence was all monitored. The accumulative and annualized incidence rates (AIRs) of these adverse events were analyzed, and the risk factors were also examined.

RESULTS

In total, 151 patients reached a median follow-up time of 103 weeks. Among them, two had an incidence of HCC during the surveillance with AIR of 0.68% (95% CI: 0.00-1.63%). Six patients showed progression of liver disease with AIR of 2.05% (95% CI: 0.42%-3.68%). Three patients who had risky behaviors encountered HCV reinfection. The cirrhotic patients faced higher risk of poor prognosis than non-cirrhotic patients, including HCC and progression of liver disease (AIR: 6.17% vs. 1.42%, P = 0.039).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of HCC and progression of liver disease was evident in PR responders during the long-term follow-up period, but the risk level was low. Cirrhotic responders were more vulnerable to develop HCC post SVR24 compared with non-cirrhotic ones. HCV recurrence was rare in responders with SVR24 who had corrected their risky behaviors.

Efficacy and safety of irreversible electroporation for malignant liver tumors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The data regarding overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) following irreversible electroporation (IRE) is scarce. We performed a systematic review of the safety and efficacy of IRE for liver malignancies.

METHODS

Searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and SCOPUS databases were performed through September 1, 2019. Studies reporting the survival data (OS and PFS) and complications (graded according to the Society of interventional Radiology classification) were included. A generalized linear mixed method with a random-effects model was used for assessing pooled incidence rates and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

A total of 25 studies (n = 776, 15 prospective, 10 retrospective) were included. Metastasis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and cholangiocarcinoma were present in 354, 285, and 100 patients, respectively. The pooled OS at 6, 12, 24, and 36 months was 93.28% (95% CI: 63.23-99.12, I²= 67%), 81.29% (95% CI: 69.80-89.22, I² = 73%), 61.47% (95% CI: 52.81-69.46, I² = 0%), and 40.88% (95% CI: 28.43-54.61, I² = 64%), respectively. The pooled PFS at 6, 12, and 24 months was 79.72% (95% CI: 67.88-87.97, I² = 70%), 64.19% (95% CI: 56.68-71.06, I² = 57%), 49.05% (95% CI: 11.47-87.73, I² = 96%), respectively. Overall complication rate was 23.7%. Major complications (grade C-F) occurred in 6.9% patients.

CONCLUSION

IRE is associated with favorable OS and PFS. Although the overall complication rate is high, most complications are graded as minor.

KEY POINTS

• The pooled OS and PFS at 6, 12, and 24 months for all the tumor types was 93.28% and 79.72%, 81.29% and 64.19%, and 61.47% and 49.05%, respectively. • HCC was associated with a better OS at 12 and 36 months. • The overall complication rate was 23.7%, with major complications (SIR grade C-F) comprising 6.9%.

The applicability of non-invasive methods for assessing liver fibrosis in hemodialysis patients with chronic hepatitis C

Background

The accurate assessment of liver fibrosis among hemodialysis patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is important for both treatment and for follow up strategies. Applying the non-invasive methods in general population with viral hepatitis have been successful but the applicability of the aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI) or the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) in hemodialysis patients need further evaluation.

Materials and methods

We conducted a prospective, multi-center, uremic cohort to verify the applicability of APRI and FIB-4 in identifying liver fibrosis by reference with the standard transient elastography (TE) measures.

Results

There were 116 CHC cases with valid TE were enrolled in our analysis. 46 cases (39.6%) were classified as F1, 35 cases (30.2%) as F2, 11 cases (9.5%) as F3, and 24 cases (20.7%) as F4, respectively. The traditional APRI and FIB-4 criteria did not correctly identify liver fibrosis. The optimal cut-off value of APRI was 0.28 and of FIB-4 was 1.91 to best excluding liver cirrhosis with AUC of 76% and 77%, respectively. The subgroup analysis showed that female CHC hemodialysis patients had better diagnostic accuracy with 74.1% by APRI. And CHC hemodialysis patients without hypertension had better diagnostic accuracy with 78.6% by FIB-4.

Conclusions

This study confirmed the traditional category level of APRI and FIB-4 were unable to identify liver fibrosis of CHC hemodialysis patients. With the adjusted cut-off value, APRI and FIB-4 still showed suboptimal diagnostic accuracy. Our results suggest the necessary of TE measures for liver fibrosis in the CHC uremic population.

Incidence of HCC in chronic hepatitis C patients with advanced hepatic fibrosis who achieved SVR following DAAs: A prospective study

Liver cirrhosis is an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma. The reported annual incidence of HCC is about 3%-8% in CHC cirrhotic patients. Based on the Cochrane systematic review, there was no clear evidence, on the long-term clinical effects of DAAs in patients achieving SVR, as regard liver cirrhosis-related HCC incidence. The aim of the study was to determine the incidence of HCC in chronic hepatitis C patients genotype IV with liver cirrhosis and advanced liver fibrosis after achieving SVR following DAA treatment in a prospective large cohort of HCV patients with long follow-up. This was a prospective observational cohort study including 2372 CHC patients with advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis receiving DAA therapy in outpatient clinics at the Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital since January 2015. Liver fibrosis was assessed using transient elastography. Abdominal ultrasonography and AFP measurement were done at baseline and follow-up visits every 6 months, in addition to triphasic abdominal MSCT when needed. Patients were followed up after achieving SVR12 for at least 12 months. HCC developed in 109 cases during the follow-up period (mean 23.60 ± 8.25 months). Overall HCC incidence was 2.338/100 PY, 95% CI = 1.942-2.814. In patients with cirrhosis, the incidence of HCC was 2.917/100 PY, 95% CI = 2.407-3.535, while in patients with advanced liver fibrosis the incidence of HCC was 0.664/100 PY, 95% CI = 0.333-1.326. In conclusion, the incidence of HCC was reduced in chronic hepatitis C genotype 4 patients with liver cirrhosis (F4) and advanced hepatic fibrosis (F3) who achieved SVR following DAA therapy.