Gamma knife radiosurgery versus transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombus: a propensity score matching study

Survival analysis of palliative radiotherapy in patients with HER-2+ metastatic breast cancer

Background

Whether radiotherapy can improve the long-term survival of HER-2+ metastatic breast cancer remains unclear. We launched this study to explore the effect of HER-2+ metastatic breast cancer patients through anti-HER-2 targeted therapy + radiotherapy.

Methods

488 HER-2 + metastatic breast cancer patients who received anti-HER2 targeted ± local radiotherapy from March 2006 to September 2021 were retrospectively collected. Patients were divided into a radiotherapy group (n=207) and a non-radiotherapy group (n=281) based on whether they received radiotherapy or not. 1: 1 propensity matching analysis was used to determine two groups of patients with similar baselines.

Results

Before matching, the radiotherapy group (n=207) had a median overall survival (mOS) of 51.7 months (48.8-63.8), which was superior to the non-radiotherapy group's (n=281) mOS of 33.9 months (27.9-39.9) (P < 0.0001). Moreover, the radiotherapy group exhibited better 1-year (94.6% vs 83.9%), 3-year (70.8% vs 45.5%), and 5-year (43.3% vs 25.0%) survival rates compared to the control group. Propensity score matching analysis identified 135 pairs of baseline-matched patients. In the matched groups, the mOS was 57.2 (44.5-69.8) months in the radiotherapy group (n=135) and 34.1 (27.5-40.6) months in the non-radiotherapy group (n=135), showing a statistically significant difference (P < 0.0001). Additionally, the radiotherapy group demonstrated 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of 93.2%, 71.5%, and 46.9%, respectively, while those in the non-radiotherapy group were 89.4%, 45.8%, and 22.2%, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that the presence of brain metastasis, liver metastasis, and radiotherapy were identified as independent predictive factors significantly associated with OS.

Conclusion

In patients with HER-2 positive metastatic breast cancer, radiotherapy was associated with better survival benefits compared to those who did not receive radiotherapy.

Thymidine kinase 1 appears to be a marker for the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma based on a large-scale, multicenter study

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to investigate the role of thymidine kinase 1 (TK1) levels in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis and to develop a nomogram for predicting HCC prognosis.

METHOD

In this study, 1066 HCC patients were enrolled between August 2018 and April 2022. TK1 levels were measured within one week before enrollment, and the relationship with HCC prognosis was evaluated. Next, all patients were randomly assigned to the training set (70%, n = 746) and the validation set (30%, n = 320). We used multivariate Cox analysis to find independent prognostic factors in the training set to construct a nomogram. The predictive power of the nomogram was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The optimal critical value of TK1 was determined as 2.35 U/L using X-tile software.

RESULT

Before and after propensity score matching (PSM), the median overall survival (mOS) of the low-TK1 group (< 2.35 U/L) remained significantly longer than that of the high-TK1 group (≥ 2.35 U/L) (48.1 vs 16.5 months, p < 0.001; 75.7 vs 19.8 months, p = 0.001). Moreover, multivariate Cox analysis showed that the low TK1 level was an independent positive prognostic indicator. Additionally, the area under the ROC curve for predicting the 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year survival rates was 0.770, 0.758, and 0.805, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

TK1 could serve as a prognostic marker for HCC. In addition, the nomogram showed good predictive capability for HCC prognosis.

Effect of external beam radiation therapy versus transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for non-diffuse hepatocellular carcinoma (≥ 5 cm): a multicenter experience over a ten-year period

Background

The optimal local treatment for HCC with tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm is not well established. This research evaluated the effectiveness of external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) versus transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) for HCC with tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm.

Methods

A total of 1210 HCC patients were enrolled in this study, including 302 and 908 patients that received EBRT and TACE, respectively. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to identify patient pairs with similar baseline characteristics. Overall survival (OS) was the primary study endpoint.

Results

We identified 428 patients using 1:1 PSM for survival comparison. Compared with the TACE group, the EBRT group had a significantly longer median OS (mOS) before (14.9 vs. 12.3 months, p = 0.0085) and after (16.8 vs. 11.4 months, p = 0.0026) matching. In the subgroup analysis, compared with the TACE group, the EBRT group had a significantly longer mOS for HCC with tumor diameters of 5-7 cm (34.1 vs. 14.3 months, p = 0.04) and 7-10 cm (34.4 vs. 10 months, p = 0.00065), whereas for HCC with tumor diameters ≥ 10 cm, no significant difference in mOS was observed (11.2 vs. 11.2 months, p = 0.83). In addition, the multivariable Cox analysis showed that Child-A, alkaline phosphatase < 125 U/L, and EBRT were independent prognostic indicators for longer survival.

Conclusion

EBRT is more effective than TACE as the primary local treatment for HCC with tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm, especially for HCC with tumor diameter of 5-10 cm.

Liver metastasis affects progression pattern during immune checkpoint inhibitors monotherapy in gastric cancer

Introduction

The efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is heterogeneous at each metastatic site, and tumor progression pattern is associated with survival; however, it remains unclear in gastric cancer (GC). Therefore, we aimed to clarify the progression pattern in response to ICIs in patients with GC, and we analyzed its mechanism focusing on the intratumoral immune cells.

Methods

Patients who received ICIs were retrospectively classified into non-systemic and systemic progression groups based on their radiological assessments. Moreover, the best percentage change in target lesions from each organ was compared.

Results

Among 148 patients, the non-systemic progression group showed a significant improvement in overall survival (OS) compared with the systemic progression group (median, 5.6 months vs. 3.3 months; HR, 0.53; 95%CI, 0.32-0.89; p = 0.012). Poor performance status (HR, 1.73, 95%CI, 1.00-2.87) and systemic progression (HR, 3.09, 95%CI, 1.95-4.82) were associated with OS. Of all metastatic sites, the liver showed the poorest percentage change, and liver metastasis (OR, 2.99, 95%CI, 1.04-8.58) was associated with systemic progression. Hence, intratumoral CD8+ T-cell density was lower in patients with liver metastasis than in those without liver metastasis after ICIs, although the density of CD4+ T-cells (Th1, Th17, and Treg) and CD163+ cells (TAM) were not significantly different.

Conclusion

The new progression pattern was associated with OS in GC. Liver metastasis may be a predictive factor of systemic progression during ICIs by regulating intratumoral CD8+ T-cells.

External radiotherapy combined with sorafenib has better efficacy in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a very low resectable rate. This meta-analysis aimed to compare efficacy of three combination strategies in treatment of advanced unresectable HCC with a view of guiding future selection of the best combination therapy for sorafenib and local therapy. A search was conducted to identify relevant literature published between April 2013 and May 2022, and then compared efficacy of sorafenib combined with external radiotherapy (SOF + RT), sorafenib with transarterial chemoembolization (SOF + TACE), sorafenib with hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (SOF + HAIC), sorafenib (SOF), external radiotherapy (RT), transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) were studied and analyzed. Finally, the results were statistically analyzed using R 3.5.3 software and Stata/SE 15.0 software. A total of 46 studies, involving 7595 patients, were included in the meta-analysis. Analysis of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of seven related treatment interventions revealed that the combination therapy had significantly higher efficacy than monotherapies. Among the combination therapies, SOF + RT was associated with the best OS and PFS rates, and the least adverse events compared to the other treatment modalities. The efficacy of combination therapy was better than monotherapy. In combination therapy, the overall survival time and progression-free survival time of SOF + RT were longer, and the adverse reactions were less. Therefore, SOF + RT may be the best choice for sorafenib combined with local therapy.

Establishment and Clinical Application of the Nomogram Related to Risk or Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most prevalent primary liver malignancy, accounting for approximately 90% of all primary liver cancers, with high mortality and a poor prognosis. A large number of predictive models have been applied that integrate multiple clinical factors and biomarkers to predict the prognosis of HCC. Nomograms, as easy-to-use prognostic predictive models, are widely used to predict the probability of clinical outcomes. We searched PubMed with the keywords "hepatocellular carcinoma" and "nomogram", and 974 relative literatures were retrieved. According to the construction methodology and the real validity of the nomograms, in this study, 97 nomograms for HCC were selected in 77 publications. These 97 nomograms were established based on more than 100,000 patients, covering seven main prognostic outcomes. The research data of 56 articles are from hospital-based HCC patients, and 13 articles provided external validation results of the nomogram. In addition to AFP, tumor size, tumor number, stage, vascular invasion, age, and other common prognostic risk factors are included in the HCC-related nomogram, more and more biomarkers, including gene mRNA expression, gene polymorphisms, and gene signature, etc. were also included in the nomograms. The establishment, assessment and validation of these nomograms are also discussed in depth. This study would help clinicians construct and select appropriate nomograms to guide precise judgment and appropriate treatments.

PD-1 Inhibitors Combined with Antiangiogenic Therapy with or Without Transarterial Chemoembolization in the Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Propensity Matching Analysis

Background

At present, it is not known whether targeting plus immunotherapy combined with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) can improve the efficacy of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this retrospective experiment was to explore the difference in clinical efficacy between antiangiogenic drugs plus PD-1 inhibitors combined with and without TACE.

Methods

Clinical data of 145 patients with HCC who received anti-angiogenesis therapy plus PD-1 inhibitor combined with TACE (TACE-P-T) (n = 62) or anti-angiogenesis therapy combined with PD-1 inhibitor (P-T) (n = 83) in China from October 2018 to December 2022 were collected and reviewed. We used propensity matching (PSM) to create two groups with comparable baseline scores, compared their median survival time (mOS) and median progression-free survival time (mPFS), and performed subgroup analysis.

Results

Before PSM, the mOS and mPFS of patients were 20.3 and 5.0 months in the triple therapy group and 13.6 and 7.4 months in the control group, respectively. After PSM, the mOS and mPFS of patients were 19.7 and 6.6 months in the triple treatment group and 10.5 and 3.7 months in the control group, respectively. Therefore, the TACE-P-T group showed better survival outcomes than P-T. In the subgroup analysis, compared with the control group, the mOS was 10.7 vs 20.3 months in the alpha fetoprotein (AFP) (≥ 400ng/mL/<400ng/mL) group, 29.3 vs 7.4 months in the alkaline phosphatase (ALP) (≥ 125u/L/< 125u/L) group and 10.5 vs 20.0 months in the Portal vein invasion (PVTT) group.

Conclusion

Antiangiogenic therapy combined with PD-1 inhibitors combined with TACE has significant survival benefits for HCC patients.

Development and Validation of Novel Models Including Tumor Micronecrosis for Predicting the Postoperative Survival of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

The heterogeneity of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) leads to the unsatisfying predictive performance of current staging systems. HCC patients with pathological tumor micronecrosis have an immunosuppressive microenvironment. We aimed to develop novel prognostic models by integrating micronecrosis to predict the survival of HCC patients after hepatectomy more precisely.

Methods

We enrolled 765 HCC patients receiving curative hepatic resection. They were randomly divided into a training cohort (n= 536) and a validation cohort (n = 229). We developed two prognostic models for postoperative recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) based on independent factors identified through multivariate Cox regression analyses. The predictive performance was assessed using the Harrell concordance index (C-index) and the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, compared with six conventional staging systems.

Results

The RFS and OS nomograms were developed based on tumor micronecrosis, tumor size, albumin-bilirubin grade, tumor number and prothrombin time. The C-indexes for the RFS nomogram and OS nomogram were respectively 0.66 (95% CI, 0.62-0.69) and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.69-0.79) in the training cohort, which was significantly better than those of the six common staging systems (0.52-0.61 for RFS and 0.53-0.63 for OS). The results were further confirmed in the validation group, with the C-indexes being 0.66 and 0.77 for the RFS and OS nomograms, respectively.

Conclusion

The two nomograms could more accurately predict RFS and OS in HCC patients receiving curative hepatic resection, thereby aiding in formulating personalized postoperative follow-up plans.

Chemotherapy combined with radiotherapy can benefit more unresectable HCC patients with portal and/or hepatic vein invasion: a retrospective analysis of the SEER database

Background

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effects of chemotherapy and radiotherapy on the prognosis of unresectable HCC patients with portal and/or hepatic vein invasion.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of unresectable HCC patients with portal and/or hepatic vein invasion registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, End Results (SEER) database was performed. The propensity score-matching (PSM) method was used to balance differences between groups. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were the interesting endpoints. OS was calculated from the date of diagnosis to the date of death caused by any cause or the last follow-up. CSS was defined as the interval between the date of diagnosis and date of death due only to HCC or last follow-up. OS and CSS were analyzed by using Kaplan-Meier analysis, Cox proportional hazards model, and Fine-Gray competing-risk model.

Results

A total of 2,614 patients were included. 50.2% patients received chemotherapy or radiotherapy and 7.5% patients received both chemotherapy and radiotherapy. Compared to the untreated group, chemotherapy or radiotherapy (COR) (HR = 0.538, 95% CI 0.495-0.585, p < 0.001) and chemotherapy and radiotherapy (CAR) (HR = 0.371, 95% CI 0.316-0.436, p < 0.001) showed better OS. In the COR group, Cox analysis results showed AFP, tumor size, N stage and M stage were independent risk factor of OS. Competing-risk analysis results showed AFP, tumor size and M stage were independent risk factor of CSS. In the CAR group, AFP and M stage were independent risk factors of OS. Competing-risk analysis results showed M stage were independent risk factor of CSS. Kaplan Meier analysis showed chemotherapy combined with radiotherapy significantly improves OS (10.0 vs. 5.0 months, p < 0.001) and CSS (10.0 vs. 6.0 months, p = 0.006) than monotherapy.

Conclusion

AFP positive and distant metastasis are the main risk factors affecting OS and CSS of unresectable HCC patients with portal and/or hepatic vein invasion. Chemotherapy combined with radiotherapy significantly improves OS and CSS of unresectable HCC patients with portal and/or hepatic vein invasion.

A propensity score matching study on survival benefits of radiotherapy in patients with inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma

With the advancements in radiotherapy (RT) in recent years, several studies have shown that RT can significantly prolong the survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). As a noninvasive treatment option, the application of RT for the treatment of HCC is garnering increasing attention. In this retrospective study, we included data from 13,878 patients with HCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2000 and 2019 and 325 patients with HCC treated in three tertiary hospitals in China between 2015 and 2021. Patient data were divided into RT and non-RT groups based on whether the patients underwent RT. Propensity score matching analysis was performed to minimize the deviation between the RT and non-RT groups, and the Kaplan-Meier method, Cox proportional hazard model, and nomogram were used to assess the efficacy of undergoing RT. The median overall survival (mOS) of the RT group was significantly longer compared with that of the non-RT group for the SEER data (16 months versus 9 months, p < 0.01). Similarly, the survival benefit was more significant in the RT group than in the non-RT group at our hospitals (34.1 months versus 15.4 months, p < 0.01). Furthermore, multivariate Cox analysis revealed that factors, including tumor (T) stage, patient age, tumor grade, serum AFP level, and chemotherapy, also affected patient survival. Moreover, these factors were also used to construct a nomogram. Subgroup analysis of these factors showed that RT was effective in prolonging patient survival in different populations. RT significantly improves the survival time of patients with inoperable HCC, thereby providing a basis for selecting HCC patients who can benefit from RT.

Does adjuvant hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy improve patient outcomes for hepatocellular carcinoma following liver resection? A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) has been shown to be beneficial to the patient outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs were identified from six databases up to January 26, 2023. Patient outcomes were assessed using overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Data were presented as hazard ratios (HR, 95% confidence intervals, or CIs).

RESULTS

The present systematic review included 2 RCTs and 9 non-RCTs with a total of 1290 cases. Adjuvant HAIC improved OS (HR of 0.69; 95% CI of 0.56-0.84; p < 0.01) and DFS (HR of 0.64; 95% CI of 0.49-0.83; p < 0.01). Subgroup analysis showed that HCC patients with portal vein invasion (PVI) or microvascular invasion (MVI) benefit from adjuvant HAIC in terms of OS ((HR of 0.43; 95% CI of 0.19-0.95; p < 0.01) and (HR of 0.43; 95% CI of 0.19-0.95; p = 0.0373), respectively) and DFS ((HR of 0.38; 95% CI of 0.21-0.69; p < 0.01) and (HR of 0.73; 95% CI of 0.60-0.88; p = 0.0125), respectively). Adjuvant HAIC with the oxaliplatin-based approach significantly improved OS (HR of 0.60; 95% CI of 0.36-0.84; p = 0.02) and (HR of 0.59; 95% CI of 0.43-0.75; p < 0.01), respectively).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis demonstrated that postoperative adjuvant HAIC was beneficial in HCC patients with PVI and MVI. It remains unclear whether HAIC can improve the survival outcome in all HCC patients after hepatic resection.

Evaluation of Lactate Dehydrogenase and Alkaline Phosphatase as Predictive Biomarkers in the Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Development of a New Nomogram

Background

Tumor proliferation is frequently accompanied by aberrant enzyme production. We aim to investigate the potential predictive value of both plasma alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in patients with HCC and to develop a nomogram to assess the prognosis of HCC.

Methods

The trial involved 2327 patients between May 2015 and March 2022. Within 7 days of enrollment, the levels of ALP and LDH were measured, and their association with survival was assessed. And we had developed and validated a new nomogram based on ALD and ALP.

Results

Using X-tile software, the optimal cut-off values were determined to be ALP = 172 U/L and LDH = 241 U/L. The high ALP (≥ 172), LDH (≥ 241), and ALP/LDH (≥ 0.91) groups had lower median overall survival (mOS) than low ALP (< 172), LDH (< 241), and ALP/LDH (< 0.91) groups (all p < 0.001). In addition, elevated ALP and LDH levels are independent negative prognostic indicators. Moreover, we established that the area under the curve (AUC) values of the predicted 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rates of receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) based on the nomogram were 0.79, 0.77, and 0.74, respectively. In addition, the calibration curves and decision curve analyses (DCA) demonstrated that this model possessed strong predictive capability.

Conclusion

ALP, LDH and ALP/LDH can be employed as biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of HCC. Furthermore, the nomograph based on ALH and ALP demonstrates good HCC prediction performance. For HCC patients with high ALH or ALP or ALP/LDH, close surveillance program and adjuvant therapy should be considered.