Li-Fraumeni syndrome heterogeneity

Precision therapy for cancer prevention by targeting carcinogenesis

Cancer represents a major global public health burden, with new cases estimated to increase from 14 million in 2012 to 24 million by 2035. Primary prevention is an effective strategy to reduce the costs associated with cancer burden. For example, measures to ban tobacco consumption have dramatically decreased lung cancer incidence and vaccination against human papillomavirus can prevent cervical cancer development. Unfortunately, the etiological factors of many cancer types are not completely clear or are difficult to actively control; therefore, the primary prevention of such cancers is not practical. In this review, we update the progress on precision therapy by targeting the whole carcinogenesis process, especially for three high-risk groups: (1) those with chronic inflammation, (2) those with inherited germline mutations, and (3) those with precancerous lesions like polyps, gastritis, actinic keratosis or dysplasia. We believe that attenuating chronic inflammation, treating precancerous lesions, and removing high-risk tissues harboring germline mutations are precision methods for cancer prevention.

Current insights and future directions of Li-Fraumeni syndrome

Li-Fraumeni syndrome is a rare yet serious hereditary cancer predisposition syndrome, marked by a significant early-life increased risk of developing cancer. Primarily caused by germline mutations in the TP53 tumor suppressor gene, Li-Fraumeni syndrome is associated with a wide range of malignancies. Clinical management of Li-Fraumeni syndrome could be challenging, especially the lifelong surveillance and follow-up of patients which requires a multidisciplinary approach. Emerging insights into the molecular and clinical basis of Li-Fraumeni syndrome, coupled with advances in genomic technologies and targeted therapies, offer promise in optimizing risk assessment, early detection, and treatment strategies tailored to the unique clinical and molecular profiles of affected individuals. This review discusses Li-Fraumeni syndrome in more depth, reviewing molecular, genomic, epidemiological, clinical, and therapeutic aspects of this disease.

Orthopedic manifestations of Li-Fraumeni syndrome: Prevention and treatment of a polymorphic spectrum of malignancies

Li-Fraumeni syndrome (LFS) is a rare hereditary cancer predisposition syndrome characterized by a heightened risk of developing various malignancies at an early age. Emerging evidence suggests a correlation between LFS and orthopedic manifestations, underscoring the importance of orthopedic screening in individuals with this syndrome. Pediatric cancer is rare. It is estimated that more than 10%-15% of tumors are secondary to a pathogenic variant in a cancer predisposition gene. More than 100 cancer predisposition genes and their association with syndromes or isolated tumors have been identified. LFS is one of those who have been most widely described. Patients with this syndrome present a high risk of developing one or more tumors. Its knowledge enables the establishment of a follow-up protocol for the patient and affected family members, facilitating early detection of new tumors and reducing tumor and treatment-related morbidity and mortality. The primary objective of this invited editorial article is to provide a thorough review of the existing knowledge of LFS and its polymorphic spectrum of related malignancies, with a focus on aspects directly linked to orthopedic manifestations. Another objective is to offer an update on the most modern prevention, treatment and follow up guidelines that could be useful for the physicians dealing with this cohort of patients.

Ocular adnexal sebaceous carcinoma in a patient with Li-Fraumeni syndrome

Li-Fraumeni syndrome (LFS) is caused by a pathogenic germline variant at the TP53 locus and is associated with an increased predisposition to a variety of cancers. The neoplasms most frequently associated with LFS are sarcomas, breast cancer, brain tumors, and adrenocortical carcinomas. In this case report, we present a 43-year-old male diagnosed with an ocular adnexal sebaceous carcinoma of the right upper eyelid who was confirmed to have LFS with subsequent genetic testing. The mutational profile of both the patient's genetic screen and tumor sequencing were congruent, demonstrating the same pathogenic loss-of-function TP53 variant. This case report highlights the importance of pursuing genetic testing in patients with a history of multiple tumor types, particularly those with uncommon diagnoses. In this case, confirmation of LFS had important implications for personalized patient care, including identification of contraindicated treatment interventions and the imaging modalities necessary for vigilant follow-up screening.

Somatic mutational profiling and clinical impact of driver genes in Latin-Iberian medulloblastomas: Towards precision medicine

Medulloblastoma (MB) is the most prevalent malignant brain tumor in children, known for its heterogeneity and treatment-associated toxicity, and there is a critical need for new therapeutic targets. We analyzed the somatic mutation profile of 15 driver genes in 69 Latin-Iberian molecularly characterized medulloblastomas using the Illumina TruSight Tumor 15 panel. We classified the variants based on their clinical impact and oncogenicity. Among the patients, 66.7% were MBSHH, 13.0% MBWNT, 7.3% MBGrp3, and 13.0% MBGrp4. Among the 63 variants found, 54% were classified as Tier I/II and 31.7% as oncogenic/likely oncogenic. We observed 33.3% of cases harboring at least one mutation. TP53 (23.2%, 16/69) was the most mutated gene, followed by PIK3CA (5.8%, 4/69), KIT (4.3%, 3/69), PDGFRA (2.9%, 2/69), EGFR (1.4%, 1/69), ERBB2 (1.4%, 1/69), and NRAS (1.4%, 1/69). Approximately 41% of MBSHH tumors exhibited mutations, TP53 (32.6%) being the most frequently mutated gene. Tier I/II and oncogenic/likely oncogenic TP53 variants were associated with relapse, progression, and lower survival rates. Potentially actionable variants in the PIK3CA and KIT genes were identified. Latin-Iberian medulloblastomas, particularly the MBSHH, exhibit higher mutation frequencies than other populations. We corroborate the TP53 mutation status as an important prognostic factor, while PIK3CA and KIT are potential therapeutic targets.

[News in breast oncology genetics for female and male population]

OBJECTIVES

Breast oncology genetics emerged almost 30 years ago with the discovery of the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes. The evolution of analytical practices has progressively allowed access to tests whose results now have a considerable impact on the management of both female and male breast cancers. The Sénologie commission of the Collège national des gynécologues et obstétriciens français (CNGOF) asked five specialists in breast surgery, oncology and oncological genetics to draw up a summary of the oncogenetic testing criteria used and the clinical implications for the female and male population of the test results, with or without an identified causal variant. In the case of proven genetic risk, surveillance, risk-reduction strategies, and the specificities of surgical and medical management (with PARP inhibitors in particular) were updated.

METHODS

This summary was based on national and international guidelines on the monitoring and therapeutic management of genetic risk, and a recent review of the literature covering the last five years.

RESULTS

Despite successive technical developments, the probability of identifying a causal variant in a situation suggestive of a predisposition to breast and ovarian cancer remains around 10% in France. The risk of breast cancer in women with a causal variant of the BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, TP53, CDH1 and PTEN genes is estimated at between 35% and 85% at age 70. The presence of a causal variant in one of these genes is the subject of different recommendations for men and women, concerning both surveillance, the age of onset and imaging modalities of which vary according to the genes involved, and risk-reduction surgery, which is possible for women as soon as their risk level exceeds 30% and remains exceptionally indicated for men. In the case of breast cancer, PARP inhibitors are a promising new class of treatment for BRCA germline mutations.

CONCLUSION

A discipline resolutely focused on understanding molecular mechanisms, screening and preventive medicine/surgery, oncology genetics is currently also involved in new medical/surgical approaches, the long-term benefits/risks of which will need to be monitored.

FEATURES OF BREAST CANCER IN PATIENTS OF YOUNG AGE: SEARCH FOR DIAGNOSIS OPTIMIZATION AND PERSONALIZED TREATMENT

The statistical data of the recent decades demonstrate a rapid growth of breast cancer (BCa) incidence and a tendency toward its increase especially in young women. In the structure of morbidity of women in the age group of 18-29 years, BCa ranks first and in the age range of 15-39 years, BCa is one of the leading causes of mortality. According to the data of the epidemiological and clinical studies, the young age is an independent unfavorable prognostic factor of BCa that is associated with an unfavorable prognosis and low survival rates and is considered an important predictor of the disease aggressiveness, a high risk of metastasis and recurrence. The variability of clinicopathological and molecular-biological features of BCa in patients of different age groups as well as the varying course of the disease and different responses to the therapy are mediated by many factors. The analysis of the literature data on the factors and mechanisms of BCa initiation in patients of different age groups demonstrates that the pathogen- esis of BCa depends not only on the molecular-genetic alterations but also on the metabolic disorders caused by the current social and household rhythm of life and nutrition peculiarities. All these factors affect both the general con- dition of the body and the formation of an aggressive microenvironment of the tumor lesion. The identified features of transcriptome and the differential gene expression give evidence of different regulations of the immune response and the metabolic processes in BCa patients of different age groups. Association between the high expression of the components of the stromal microenvironment and the inflammatory immune infiltrate as well as the increased vascu- larization of the tumor lesion has been found in BCa tissue of young patients. Proving the nature of the formation of the landscape comprising molecular-genetic, cytokine, and immune factors of the tumor microenvironment will undoubtedly contribute to our understanding of the mechanisms of tumor growth allowing for the development of algorithms for delineating the groups at high risk of tumor progression, which requires more careful monitoring and personalized treatment approach. Th s will be helpful in the development of innovative technologies for complex BCa treatment.

Molecular Profile of Variants in CDH1, TP53, PSCA, PRKAA1, and TTN Genes Related to Gastric Cancer Susceptibility in Amazonian Indigenous Populations

Gastric Cancer is a disease associated with environmental and genetic changes, becoming one of the most prevalent cancers around the world and with a high incidence in Brazil. However, despite being a highly studied neoplastic type, few efforts are aimed at populations with a unique background and genetic profile, such as the indigenous peoples of the Brazilian Amazon. Our study characterized the molecular profile of five genes associated with the risk of developing gastric cancer by sequencing the complete exome of 64 indigenous individuals belonging to 12 different indigenous populations in the Amazon. The analysis of the five genes found a total of 207 variants, of which 15 are new in our indigenous population, and among these are two with predicted high impact, present in the TTN and CDH1 genes. In addition, at least 20 variants showed a significant difference in the indigenous population in comparison with other world populations, and three are already associatively related to some type of cancer. Our study reaffirms the unique genetic profile of the indigenous population of the Brazilian Amazon and allows us to contribute to the conception of early diagnosis of complex diseases such as cancer, improving the quality of life of individuals potentially suffering from the disease.

Hereditary Cancer Syndrome in a Family with Double Mutation in BRIP1 and MUTYH Genes

Hereditary cancer syndromes predispose to several types of cancer due to inherited pathogenic variants in susceptibility genes. We describe the case of a 57-year-old woman, diagnosed with breast cancer, and her family. The proband belongs to a family with a suspected tumor syndrome, due to other cancer cases in her family from the paternal and maternal sides. After oncogenetic counseling, she was subjected to mutational analysis with an NGS panel analyzing 27 genes. The genetic analysis showed two monoallelic mutations in low penetrance genes, c.1187G>A (p.G396D) in MUTYH and c.55dup (p.Tyr19Leufs*2) in BRIP1. One of the mutations was inherited from the maternal side and the other from the paternal side, suggesting two different cancer syndrome types in the family. MUTYH mutation was related to the onset of cancers on the paternal side, as confirmed by the occurrence of the same mutation in the proband's cousin. BRIP1 mutation was found in the proband's mother, indicating that it was related to the cancer cases observed on the maternal side, including breast cancer and sarcoma. Advances in NGS technologies have allowed the identification of mutations in families with hereditary cancers in genes other than those related to a specific suspected syndrome. A complete oncogenetic counseling, together with molecular tests that enable a simultaneous analysis of multiple genes, is essential for the identification of a correct tumor syndrome and for clinical decision-making in a patient and his/her family. The detection of mutations in multiple susceptibility genes allows the initiation of early risk-reducing measures for identified mutation carriers among family members and to include them in a proper surveillance program for specific syndromes. Moreover, it may enable an adapted treatment for the affected patient, permitting personalized therapeutic options.

Novel Candidate loci and Pathogenic Germline Variants Involved in Familial Hematological Malignancies Revealed by Whole-Exome Sequencing

The familial occurrence of hematological malignancies has been underappreciated. Recent studies suggest that up to 15% of adults with myeloid neoplasms carry germline pathogenic variants in cancer-predisposing genes. This study aimed to identify the underlying germline predisposition variant in patients with a strong family or personal onco-hematological history using whole exome sequencing on sixteen uncharacterized individuals. It was carried out in two groups of patients, one with samples available from two affected relatives (Cohort A) and one with available samples from the index case (Cohort B). In Cohort A, six families were characterized. Two families shared variants in genes associated with DNA damage response and involved in cancer development (CHEK2 and RAD54L). Pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline variants were also found in novel candidate genes (NFATC2 and TC2N). In two families, any relevant pathogenic or likely pathogenic genomic variants were identified. In Cohort B, four additional index cases were analyzed. Three of them harbor clinically relevant variants in genes with a probable role in the development of inherited forms of hematological malignancies (GATA1, MSH4 and PRF1). Overall, whole exome sequencing is a useful approach to achieve a further characterization of these patients and their mutational spectra. Moreover, further investigations may help improve optimization for disease management of affected patients and their families.

Whole exome sequencing identified a novel POT1 variant as a candidate pathogenic allele underlying a Li-Fraumeni-like family

BACKGROUND

Li-Fraumeni syndrome (LFS) and Li-Fraumeni-like (LFL) syndrome are rare hereditary diseases characterized by predisposition to a diverse spectrum of cancer types, primarily sarcoma. The pathogenic variants underlying the majority of LFL cases remain to be explored.

METHODS

We performed whole-exome sequencing (WES) on 13 core members of a large LFL family with highly aggregated incidences of cancers, including cases with sarcoma, non-small cell lung cancer and cardiac angiosarcoma, and conducted a comprehensive literature review of candidate gene associations in LFS/LFL syndromes or sarcoma to identify potential pathogenic germline variants.

RESULTS

No germline variants in the best-known LFL/LFS-associated gene TP53 were detected. Of all the genes associated with LFS/LFL or sarcoma that we have surveyed, we identified a novel p.P35L germline variant in POT1 (protection of telomeres 1). Germline and somatic alterations in POT1 have been implicated in a series of familial cancers, including angiosarcoma, glioma, melanoma and colorectal cancer. This particular variant is located in the telomere-binding OB1 domain, which is important in maintaining the proper telomere length, and showed high conservation across different POT1 orthologues. No record of the variant was found in any of the 1000 genomes, ExAC, gnomAD, dpSNP and COSMIC databases. Prediction algorithms and in silico structural analysis suggested completely disrupted protein structure and function of POT1 in the presence of this mutation.

CONCLUSIONS

Leveraging WES, we identified a novel germline risk allele, p.P35L in POT1, that likely predisposes to LFL syndrome. Our results support the routine testing of POT1 and other LFL/LFS-associated genes in the risk populations to enable early cancer diagnosis, prevention and intervention.

Simultaneous Detection of 2 Types of Malignancies in a Pediatric Patient on FDG PET/CT Led to Diagnosis of Li-Fraumeni Syndrome

ABSTRACT

A 17-month-old girl underwent FDG PET/CT to evaluate a right adrenal lesion, which showed abnormal 18 F-FDG avidity. In addition, an unexpected lesion with mild 18 F-FDG uptake was noted in the right anterior thoracic wall. Pathology demonstrated adrenocortical carcinoma in the right adrenal and rhabdosarcoma in both the left forearm and right anterior thoracic wall. Gene analysis confirmed the diagnosis of Li-Fraumeni syndrome. The present case emphasized FDG PET/CT value of showing simultaneously multiple lesions in Li-Fraumeni syndrome, especially in the early stage without the gene analysis result.

Correlation of molecular alterations with pathological features in hepatocellular carcinoma: Literature review and experience of an Italian center

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents the primary carcinoma of the liver and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related deaths. The World Health Organization estimates an increase in cases in the coming years. The risk factors of HCC are multiple, and the incidence in different countries is closely related to the different risk factors to which the population is exposed. The molecular mechanisms that drive HCC tumorigenesis are extremely complex, but understanding this multistep process is essential for the identification of diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic markers. The development of multigenic next-generation sequencing panels through the parallel analysis of multiple markers can provide a landscape of the genomic status of the tumor. Considering the literature and our preliminary data based on 36 HCCs, the most frequently altered genes in HCCs are TERT, CTNNB1, and TP53. Over the years, many groups have attempted to classify HCCs on a molecular basis, but a univocal classification has never been achieved. Nevertheless, statistically significant correlations have been found in HCCs between the molecular signature and morphologic features, and this leads us to think that it would be desirable to integrate the approach between anatomic pathology and molecular laboratories.

Hyperactivating p53 in Human Papillomavirus-Driven Cancers: A Potential Therapeutic Intervention

Despite a vaccine being available, human papillomavirus virus (HPV)-driven cancers remain the ninth most prevalent cancers globally. Current therapies have significant drawbacks and often still lead to poor prognosis and underwhelming survival rates. With gene therapy becoming more available in the clinic, it poses a new front for therapeutic development. A characteristic of HPV-driven cancers is the ability to encode oncoproteins that aberrate normal p53 function without mutating this tumour-suppressor gene. The HPV E6 oncoprotein degrades p53 to allow the HPV-driven carcinogenic process to proceed. This review aimed to investigate the use of Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats (CRISPR) gene-editing technology and how it may be used to overcome HPV-mediated silencing of p53 by hyper-expressing the p53 promoter. Increasing p53 bioavailability may have promising potential as a therapy and has been a goal in the context of HPV-driven cancers. Clinical trials and proof-of-concept pre-clinical work have shown positive outcomes and tumour death when p53 levels are increased. Despite previous successes of RNA-based medicines, including the knockout of HPV oncogenes, the use of CRISPR activation is yet to be investigated as a promising potential therapy. This short review summarises key developments on attempts that have been made to increase p53 expression in the context of HPV cancer therapy, but leaves open the possibility for other cancers bearing a p53 wild-type gene.

Inhibiting the Priming for Cancer in Li-Fraumeni Syndrome

Simple Summary

Li-Fraumeni Syndrome (LFS) is a rare cancer pre-disposition syndrome associated with a germline mutation in the TP53 tumour suppressor gene. People with LFS have a 90% chance of suffering one or more cancers in their lifetime. No treatments exist to reduce this cancer risk. This paper reviews the evidence for how cancers start in people with LFS and proposes that a series of commonly used non-cancer drugs, including metformin and aspirin, can help reduce that lifetime risk of cancer.

Abstract

The concept of the pre-cancerous niche applies the ‘seed and soil’ theory of metastasis to the initial process of carcinogenesis. TP53 is at the nexus of this process and, in the context of Li-Fraumeni Syndrome (LFS), is a key determinant of the conditions in which cancers are formed and progress. Important factors in the creation of the pre-cancerous niche include disrupted tissue homeostasis, cellular metabolism and chronic inflammation. While druggability of TP53 remains a challenge, there is evidence that drug re-purposing may be able to address aspects of pre-cancerous niche formation and thereby reduce the risk of cancer in individuals with LFS.

Normal and Neoplastic Growth Suppression by the Extended Myc Network

Among the first discovered and most prominent cellular oncogenes is MYC, which encodes a bHLH-ZIP transcription factor (Myc) that both activates and suppresses numerous genes involved in proliferation, energy production, metabolism and translation. Myc belongs to a small group of bHLH-ZIP transcriptional regulators (the Myc Network) that includes its obligate heterodimerization partner Max and six "Mxd proteins" (Mxd1-4, Mnt and Mga), each of which heterodimerizes with Max and largely opposes Myc's functions. More recently, a second group of bHLH-ZIP proteins (the Mlx Network) has emerged that bears many parallels with the Myc Network. It is comprised of the Myc-like factors ChREBP and MondoA, which, in association with the Max-like member Mlx, regulate smaller and more functionally restricted repertoires of target genes, some of which are shared with Myc. Opposing ChREBP and MondoA are heterodimers comprised of Mlx and Mxd1, Mxd4 and Mnt, which also structurally and operationally link the two Networks. We discuss here the functions of these "Extended Myc Network" members, with particular emphasis on their roles in suppressing normal and neoplastic growth. These roles are complex due to the temporal- and tissue-restricted expression of Extended Myc Network proteins in normal cells, their regulation of both common and unique target genes and, in some cases, their functional redundancy.

Germline TP53 c.566C>T mutation incidentally diagnosed during treatment for acute myeloid leukemia: A case report

TP53 mutations in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) are associated with poor outcomes. The number of somatic and/or germline genetic tests for therapy is increasing. Patients with such incidental findings should undergo adequate genetic counseling.

Cancer incidence, patterns, and genotype-phenotype associations in individuals with pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline TP53 variants: an observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Li-Fraumeni syndrome, caused primarily by pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline TP53 variants, is a rare, variably penetrant, cancer predisposition syndrome with very high risks of cancer starting in childhood, including the risk of multiple primary malignancies over an individual's lifespan. We aimed to characterise and quantify cancer incidence, patterns, and genotype-phenotype associations in individuals with pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline TP53 variants.

METHODS

This observational cohort study was done in 480 carriers of pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline TP53 variants enrolled in the National Cancer Institute's referral-based longitudinal Li-Fraumeni syndrome study between Aug 1, 2011, and March 24, 2020. Data on personal and family history of cancer were obtained through study questionnaires and validated by medical records. Variants were categorised on the basis of both loss-of-function (LOF) and dominant-negative effect (DNE) properties. Cancer incidence associated with Li-Fraumeni syndrome was compared with that of the general population using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 1975-2017 registry. Cancer incidence was evaluated with family-clustered Cox regression models and competing risk methods. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01443468.

FINDINGS

Individuals with Li-Fraumeni syndrome had a nearly 24 times higher incidence of any cancer than the general population (standardised incidence ratio 23·9; 95% CI 21·9-26·0), with the highest comparative incidence from childhood to 30 years of age. The overall cancer incidence remained 10·3 (95% CI 7·9-13·2) times higher than that of the general population after age 50 years. In women, when considering breast cancer as a competing risk, the probability of a first diagnosis of a non-breast cancer malignancy was substantially lower than that of any first cancer (24·4% [95% CI 19·6-30·5] vs 50·4% [43·5-56·5] by age 33·7 years). Overall, DNE_LOF and notDNE_LOF variants were associated with earlier age at first and second cancer compared with notDNE_notLOF and DNE_notLOF variants. The time interval from first to second cancer was shorter among carriers whose first cancer diagnoses were later in life. Multiple cancers were diagnosed within a short timeframe in some individuals, regardless of the order of cancer occurrence.

INTERPRETATION

This study adds granularity to the understanding of cancer incidence and patterns in individuals with pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline TP53 variants. Integration of age range-specific cancer incidence estimates, cancer-free survival by functional variant group, the potential impact of risk-reducing mastectomy on female cancer incidence, and data on subsequent malignancies will be important for the development of strategies to optimise cancer screening and management for these individuals.

FUNDING

Intramural Research Program, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Institutes of Health.

Germline Predisposition to Pediatric Cancer, from Next Generation Sequencing to Medical Care

Knowledge about genetic predisposition to pediatric cancer is constantly expanding. The categorization and clinical management of the best-known syndromes has been refined over the years. Meanwhile, new genes for pediatric cancer susceptibility are discovered every year. Our current work shares the results of genetically studying the germline of 170 pediatric patients diagnosed with cancer. Patients were prospectively recruited and studied using a custom panel, OncoNano V2. The well-categorized predisposing syndromes incidence was 9.4%. Likely pathogenic variants for predisposition to the patient's tumor were identified in an additional 5.9% of cases. Additionally, a high number of pathogenic variants associated with recessive diseases was detected, which required family genetic counseling as well. The clinical utility of the Jongmans MC tool was evaluated, showing a high sensitivity for detecting the best-known predisposing syndromes. Our study confirms that the Jongmans MC tool is appropriate for a rapid assessment of patients; however, the updated version of Ripperger T criteria would be more accurate. Meaningfully, based on our findings, up to 9.4% of patients would present genetic alterations predisposing to cancer. Notably, up to 20% of all patients carry germline pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants in genes related to cancer and, thereby, they also require expert genetic counseling. The most important consideration is that the detection rate of genetic causality outside Jongmans MC et al. criteria was very low.

Association between Predicted Effects of TP53 Missense Variants on Protein Conformation and Their Phenotypic Presentation as Li-Fraumeni Syndrome or Hereditary Breast Cancer

Rare germline pathogenic TP53 missense variants often predispose to a wide spectrum of tumors characterized by Li-Fraumeni syndrome (LFS) but a subset of variants is also seen in families with exclusively hereditary breast cancer (HBC) outcomes. We have developed a logistic regression model with the aim of predicting LFS and HBC outcomes, based on the predicted effects of individual TP53 variants on aspects of protein conformation. A total of 48 missense variants either unique for LFS (n = 24) or exclusively reported in HBC (n = 24) were included. LFS-variants were over-represented in residues tending to be buried in the core of the tertiary structure of TP53 (p = 0.0014). The favored logistic regression model describes disease outcome in terms of explanatory variables related to the surface or buried status of residues as well as their propensity to contribute to protein compactness or protein-protein interactions. Reduced, internally validated models discriminated well between LFS and HBC (C-statistic = 0.78−0.84; equivalent to the area under the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve), had a low risk for over-fitting and were well calibrated in relation to the known outcome risk. In conclusion, this study presents a phenotypic prediction model of LFS and HBC risk for germline TP53 missense variants, in an attempt to provide a complementary tool for future decision making and clinical handling.