Fractional methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus infection model under Caputo operator

Fractional order model of MRSA bacterial infection with real data fitting: Computational Analysis and Modeling

Bacterial infections in the health-care sector and social environments have been linked to the Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infection, a type of bacteria that has remained an international health risk since the 1960s. From mild colonization to a deadly invasive disease with an elevated mortality rate, the illness can present in many different forms. A fractional-order dynamic model of MRSA infection developed using real data for computational and modeling analysis on the north side of Cyprus is presented in this paper. Initially, we tested that the suggested model had a positively invariant region, bounded solutions, and uniqueness for the biological feasibility of the model. We study the equilibria of the model and assess the expression for the most significant threshold parameter, called the basic reproduction number (ℛ0). The reproductive number's parameters are also subjected to sensitivity analysis through mathematical methods and simulations. Additionally, utilizing the power law kernel and the fixed-point approach, the existence, uniqueness, and generalized Ulam-Hyers-Rassias stability are presented. Chaos Control was used to regulate the linear responses approach to bring the system to stabilize according to its points of equilibrium, taking into account a fractional-order system with a managed design where solutions are bound in the feasible domain. Finally, numerical simulations demonstrating the effects of different parameters on MRSA infection are used to investigate the impact of the fractional operator on the generalized form of the power law kernel through a two-step Newton polynomial method. The impact of fractional orders is emphasized in the study so that the numerical solutions support the importance of these orders on MRSA infection. With the application of fractional order, the significance of cognizant antibiotic usage for MRSA infection is verified.

Impact of information intervention on stochastic hepatitis B model and its variable-order fractional network

This paper aims at analyzing the dynamical behavior of a SIR hepatitis B epidemic stochastic model via a novel approach by incorporating the effect of information interventions and random perturbations. Initially, we demonstrate the positivity and global existence of the solutions. Afterward, we derive the stochastic threshold parameter R s , followed by the fact that this number concludes the transmission of hepatitis B from the population. By increasing the intensity of noise, we get R s less than one, inferring that ultimately hepatitis B will lapse. While decreasing the intensity of noise to a sufficient level, we have R s > 1 . For the case R s > 1 , adequate results for the presence of stationary distribution are achieved, showing the prevalence of hepatitis B. The present study also involves the derivation of the necessary conditions for the persistence of the epidemic. Finally, the main theoretical solutions are plotted through simulations. Discussion on theoretical and numerical results shows that utilizing random perturbations and information interventions have a pronounced impact on the syndrome's dynamics. Furthermore, since most communities interact with each other, and the disease spread rate is affected by this factor, a new variable-order fractional network of the stochastic hepatitis B model is offered. Subsequently, this study will provide a robust theoretical basis for comprehending worldwide SIR stochastic and variable-order fractional network-related case studies.

On study of fractional order epidemic model of COVID-19 under non-singular Mittag-Leffler kernel

This paper investigates the analysis of the fraction mathematical model of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), which is indeed a source of threat all over the globe. This paper deals with the transmission mechanism by some affected parameters in the problem. The said study is carried out by the consideration of a fractional-order epidemic model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 under a non-singular kernel type of derivative. The concerned model examine via non-singular fractional-order derivative known as Atangana-Baleanu derivative in Caputo sense (ABC). The problem analyzes for qualitative analysis and determines at least one solution by applying the approach of fixed point theory. The uniqueness of the solution is derived by the Banach contraction theorem. For iterative solution, the technique of iterative fractional-order Adams-Bashforth scheme is applied. Numerical simulation for the proposed scheme is performed at various fractional-order lying between 0, 1 and for integer-order 1. We also compare the compartmental quantities of the said model at two different effective contact rates of β . All the compartments show convergence and stability with growing time. The simulation of the iterative techniques is also compared with the Laplace Adomian decomposition method (LADM). Good comparative results for the whole density have been achieved by different fractional orders and obtain the stability faster at the low fractional orders while slowly at higher-order.

Fractional-calculus analysis of the transmission dynamics of the dengue infection

In this research paper, a novel approach in dengue modeling with the asymptomatic carrier and reinfection via the fractional derivative is suggested to deeply interrogate the comprehensive transmission phenomena of dengue infection. The proposed system of dengue infection is represented in the Liouville-Caputo fractional framework and investigated for basic properties, that is, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of the solution. We used the next-generation technique in order to determine the basic reproduction number R₀ for the suggested model of dengue infection; moreover, we conduct a sensitivity test of R₀ through a partial rank correlation coefficient technique to know the contribution of input factors on the output of R₀. We have shown that the infection-free equilibrium of dengue dynamics is globally asymptomatically stable for R₀<1 and unstable in other circumstances. The system of dengue infection is then structured in the Atangana-Baleanu framework to represent the dynamics of dengue with the non-singular and non-local kernel. The existence and uniqueness of the solution of the Atangana-Baleanu fractional system are interrogated through fixed-point theory. Finally, we present a novel numerical technique for the solution of our fractional-order system in the Atangana-Baleanu framework. We obtain numerical results for different values of fractional-order ϑ and input factors to highlight the consequences of fractional-order ϑ and input parameters on the system. On the basis of our analysis, we predict the most critical parameters in the system for the elimination of dengue infection.

A new mathematical model of COVID-19 using real data from Pakistan

We propose a new mathematical model to investigate the recent outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The model is studied qualitatively using stability theory of differential equations and the basic reproductive number that represents an epidemic indicator is obtained from the largest eigenvalue of the next-generation matrix. The global asymptotic stability conditions for the disease free equilibrium are obtained. The real COVID-19 incidence data entries from 01 July, 2020 to 14 August, 2020 in the country of Pakistan are used for parameter estimation thereby getting fitted values for the biological parameters. Sensitivity analysis is performed in order to determine the most sensitive parameters in the proposed model. To view more features of the state variables in the proposed model, we perform numerical simulations by using different values of some essential parameters. Moreover, profiles of the reproduction number through contour plots have been biologically explained.

Investigation of fractal-fractional order model of COVID-19 in Pakistan under Atangana-Baleanu Caputo (ABC) derivative

This manuscript addressing the dynamics of fractal-fractional type modified SEIR model under Atangana-Baleanu Caputo (ABC) derivative of fractional order y and fractal dimension p for the available data in Pakistan. The proposed model has been investigated for qualitative analysis by applying the theory of non-linear functional analysis along with fixed point theory. The fractional Adams-bashforth iterative techniques have been applied for the numerical solution of the said model. The Ulam-Hyers (UH) stability techniques have been derived for the stability of the considered model. The simulation of all compartments has been drawn against the available data of covid-19 in Pakistan. The whole study of this manuscript illustrates that control of the effective transmission rate is necessary for stoping the transmission of the outbreak. This means that everyone in the society must change their behavior towards self-protection by keeping most of the precautionary measures sufficient for controlling covid-19.