Big Data and Atrial Fibrillation: Current Understanding and New Opportunities

Bidirectional effects of oral anticoagulants on gut microbiota in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

The imbalance of gut microbiota (GM) is associated with a higher risk of thrombosis in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Oral anticoagulants (OACs) have been found to significantly reduce the risk of thromboembolism and increase the risk of bleeding. However, the OAC-induced alterations in gut microbiota in patients with AF remain elusive.

Methods

In this study, the microbial composition in 42 AF patients who received long-term OAC treatment (AF-OAC group), 47 AF patients who did not (AF group), and 40 volunteers with the risk of AF (control group) were analyzed by 16S rRNA gene sequencing of fecal bacterial DNA. The metagenomic functional prediction of major bacterial taxa was performed using the Phylogenetic Investigation of Communities by Reconstruction of Unobserved States (PICRUSt) software package.

Results

The gut microbiota differed between the AF-OAC and AF groups. The abundance of Bifidobacterium and Lactobacillus decreased in the two disease groups at the genus level, but OACs treatment mitigated the decreasing tendency and increased beneficial bacterial genera, such as Megamonas. In addition, OACs reduced the abundance of pro-inflammatory taxa on the genus Ruminococcus but increased certain potential pathogenic taxa, such as genera Streptococcus, Escherichia-Shigella, and Klebsiella. The Subgroup Linear discriminant analysis effect size (LEfSe) analyses revealed that Bacteroidetes, Brucella, and Ochrobactrum were more abundant in the anticoagulated bleeding AF patients, Akkermansia and Faecalibacterium were more abundant in the non-anticoagulated-bleeding-AF patients. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was lower in the AF-OAC group compared with the AF group (P < 0.05). Ruminococcus was positively correlated with the NLR and negatively correlated with the CHA2DS2-VASc score (P < 0.05), and the OACs-enriched species (Megamonas and Actinobacteria) was positively correlated with the prothrombin time (PT) (P < 0.05). Ruminococcus and Roseburia were negatively associated with bleeding events (P < 0.05).

Conclusions

Our study suggested that OACs might benefit AF patients by reducing the inflammatory response and modulating the composition and abundance of gut microbiota. In particular, OACs increased the abundance of some gut microbiota involved in bleeding and gastrointestinal dysfunction indicating that the exogenous supplementation with Faecalibacterium and Akkermansia might be a prophylactic strategy for AF-OAC patients to lower the risk of bleeding after anticoagulation.

Effect of an artificial intelligence-assisted tool on non-valvular atrial fibrillation anticoagulation management in primary care: protocol for a cluster randomized controlled trial

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common cardiac arrhythmia diseases. Thromboembolic prophylaxis plays an essential role in AF therapy, but at present, general practitioners (GPs) are presumed to lack the knowledge and enthusiasm for AF management. Clinical decision support systems (CDSS), assisted by artificial intelligence, help primary care providers (PCPs) make quick, individualized, and correct clinical decisions. This primary aim of the study is to identify whether the promotion of the CDSS would improve the primary care provided to patients with AF. The secondary objectives are mainly to assess the health-economic and clinical benefits from using the CDSS, and the improvement of GPs’ AF management capability.

Methods

This study will be a prospective cluster randomized controlled trial, conducted among 14 community health centers in Shanghai which were randomized as the intervention group and control group in a ratio of 1:1. The intervention group will use the CDSS in the consultation of patients with AF and the control group will maintain their usual care. The trial will include 498 patients with AF and the follow-up period will be 12 months. The primary outcome is set as the proportion of antithrombotic treatment prescriptions in agreement with recommendations in the latest China’s AF-related guidelines. The secondary outcomes are the frequency of consultation, the compliance rate of international normalized ratio (INR) in patients with warfarin, stroke morbidity, treatment compliance, medication satisfaction, and the cost-benefit analysis. Per-protocol (PP) analysis and the intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis will be conducted.

Discussion

This study aims to identify whether the application of CDSS to manage patients with AF in China’s community health centers would bring benefits for patients, physicians, and health economics.

Trial registration

Registry name: 非瓣膜性房颤社区AI辅助管理工具研发及推广效果研究 (Development and promotion of an AI-assisted tool for NVAF management in primary care); registry number: ChiCTR2100052307; registration date: Nov. 22^nd, 2021; http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=133849.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13063-022-06250-8.

Atrial fibrillation risk prediction from the 12-lead electrocardiogram using digital biomarkers and deep representation learning

Aims

This study aims to assess whether information derived from the raw 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) combined with clinical information is predictive of atrial fibrillation (AF) development.

Methods and results

We use a subset of the Telehealth Network of Minas Gerais (TNMG) database consisting of patients that had repeated 12-lead ECG measurements between 2010 and 2017 that is 1 130 404 recordings from 415 389 unique patients. Median and interquartile of age for the recordings were 58 (46-69) and 38% of the patients were males. Recordings were assigned to train-validation and test sets in an 80:20% split which was stratified by class, age and gender. A random forest classifier was trained to predict, for a given recording, the risk of AF development within 5 years. We use features obtained from different modalities, namely demographics, clinical information, engineered features, and features from deep representation learning. The best model performance on the test set was obtained for the model combining features from all modalities with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) = 0.909 against the best single modality model which had an AUROC = 0.839.

Conclusion

Our study has important clinical implications for AF management. It is the first study integrating feature engineering, deep learning, and Electronic medical record system (EMR) metadata to create a risk prediction tool for the management of patients at risk of AF. The best model that includes features from all modalities demonstrates that human knowledge in electrophysiology combined with deep learning outperforms any single modality approach. The high performance obtained suggest that structural changes in the 12-lead ECG are associated with existing or impending AF.

Computational models of atrial fibrillation: achievements, challenges, and perspectives for improving clinical care

Despite significant advances in its detection, understanding and management, atrial fibrillation (AF) remains a highly prevalent cardiac arrhythmia with a major impact on morbidity and mortality of millions of patients. AF results from complex, dynamic interactions between risk factors and comorbidities that induce diverse atrial remodelling processes. Atrial remodelling increases AF vulnerability and persistence, while promoting disease progression. The variability in presentation and wide range of mechanisms involved in initiation, maintenance and progression of AF, as well as its associated adverse outcomes, make the early identification of causal factors modifiable with therapeutic interventions challenging, likely contributing to suboptimal efficacy of current AF management. Computational modelling facilitates the multilevel integration of multiple datasets and offers new opportunities for mechanistic understanding, risk prediction and personalized therapy. Mathematical simulations of cardiac electrophysiology have been around for 60 years and are being increasingly used to improve our understanding of AF mechanisms and guide AF therapy. This narrative review focuses on the emerging and future applications of computational modelling in AF management. We summarize clinical challenges that may benefit from computational modelling, provide an overview of the different in silico approaches that are available together with their notable achievements, and discuss the major limitations that hinder the routine clinical application of these approaches. Finally, future perspectives are addressed. With the rapid progress in electronic technologies including computing, clinical applications of computational modelling are advancing rapidly. We expect that their application will progressively increase in prominence, especially if their added value can be demonstrated in clinical trials.

Detection of Atrial Fibrillation Using a Machine Learning Approach

The atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most well-known cardiac arrhythmias in clinical practice, with a prevalence of 1–2% in the community, which can increase the risk of stroke and myocardial infarction. The detection of AF electrocardiogram (ECG) can improve the early detection of diagnosis. In this paper, we have further developed a framework for processing the ECG signal in order to determine the AF episodes. We have implemented machine learning and deep learning algorithms to detect AF. Moreover, the experimental results show that better performance can be achieved with long short-term memory (LSTM) as compared to other algorithms. The initial experimental results illustrate that the deep learning algorithms, such as LSTM and convolutional neural network (CNN), achieved better performance (10%) as compared to machine learning classifiers, such as support vectors, logistic regression, etc. This preliminary work can help clinicians in AF detection with high accuracy and less probability of errors, which can ultimately result in reduction in fatality rate.