Real-World Clinical Outcomes Based on Body Mass Index and Annualized Weight Change in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Body mass index and weight loss as risk factors for poor outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The association between nutritional status and prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) remains unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to explore the effect of body mass index (BMI) and weight loss on the prognosis of IPF patients.

METHODS

We accumulated studies on IPF, BMI, and weight loss from databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of science, Scopus, Ovid and Cochrane Library up to 4 August 2023. Using Cox proportional hazard regression model for subgroup analysis, hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for BMI in relation to mortality, acute exacerbation (AE), and hospitalization in IPF patients were calculated, and HR, odds ratio (OR), and 95% CI for weight loss corresponding to IPF patient mortality were assessed. Sensitivity analysis was peformed by eliminating every study one by one, and publication bias was judged by Egger's test and trim-and-fill method.

RESULTS

A total of 34 eligible studies involving 18,343 IPF patients were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled results by univariate Cox regression analysis showed that baseline BMI was a predictive factor for IPF mortality (HR = 0.93, 95%CI = [0.91, 0.94]). Furthermore, the results by the multivariable regression model indicated that baseline BMI was an independent risk factor for predicting IPF mortality (HR = 0.94, 95%CI = [0.91, 0.98]). Weight loss was identified as a risk factor for IPF mortality (HR = 2.74, 95% CI = [2.12, 3.54]; OR = 4.51, 95% CI = [1.72, 11.82]) and there was no predictive value of BMI for acute exacerbation (HR = 1.00, 95% CI= [0.93, 1.07]) or hospitalization (HR = 0.95, 95% CI = [0.89, 1.02]).

CONCLUSION

Low baseline BMI and weight loss in the course of IPF may indicate a high risk of mortality in patients with IPF, so it is meaningful to monitor and manage the nutritional status of IPF patients, and early intervention should be conducted for low BMI and weight loss.

Higher body mass index was associated with a lower mortality of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a meta-analysis

PURPOSE

In the past few years, there has been a notable rise in the incidence and prevalence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) on a global scale. A considerable body of research has highlighted the 'obesity paradox,' suggesting that a higher body mass index (BMI) can confer a protective effect against numerous chronic diseases. However, the relationship between BMI and the risk of mortality in IPF patients remains underexplored in the existing literature. We aim to shed light on this relationship and potentially offer novel insights into prevention strategies for IPF.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search of the PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases to collect all published studies examining the correlation between Body Mass Index (BMI) and the mortality risk in patients with IPF, up until February 14, 2023. For the synthesis of the findings, we employed random-effects models. The statistical significance of the association between BMI and the mortality risk in IPF patients was evaluated using the hazard ratio (HR), with the 95% Confidence Interval (CI) serving as the metric for effect size.

RESULTS

A total of 14 data sets involving 2080 patients with IPF were included in the meta-analysis. The combined results of the random-effects models were suggestive of a significant association between lower BMI and a higher risk of death (HR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.91-0.97, P < 0.001). For baseline BMI, the risk of death from IPF decreased by 6% for each unit increase. The results of the subgroup analysis suggest that geographic location (Asian subgroup: HR = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.93-0.98, P = 0.001; Western subgroup: HR = 0.91, 95%CI = 0.84-0.98, P = 0.014), study type (RCS subgroup: HR = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.92-0.98, P = 0.004; PCS subgroup: HR = 0.89, 95%CI = 0.84-0.94, P < 0.001), and sample size (< 100 groups: HR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.87-1.01, P = 0.079; >100 groups: HR = 0.94, 95%CI = 0.91-0.97, P < 0.001 ) were not significant influences on heterogeneity. Of the included literature, those with confounding factors corrected and high NOS scores reduced heterogeneity (HR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.90-0.96, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses showed that the combined results were stable and not significantly altered by individual studies (HR = 0.93 to 0.95, 95% CI = 0.90-0.96 to 0.92-0.98). Egger's test suggested no significant publication bias in the included studies (P = 0.159).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher BMI (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2) is negatively correlated to some extent with the risk of death in IPF patients, and BMI may become a clinical indicator for determining the prognosis of IPF patients.

Association between body fat decrease during the first year after diagnosis and the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: CT-based body composition analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic role of changes in body fat in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) remains underexplored. We investigated the association between changes in body fat during the first year post-diagnosis and outcomes in patients with IPF.

METHODS

This single-center, retrospective study included IPF patients with chest CT scan and pulmonary function test (PFT) at diagnosis and a one-year follow-up between January 2010 and December 2020. The fat area (cm2, sum of subcutaneous and visceral fat) and muscle area (cm2) at the T12-L1 level were obtained from chest CT images using a fully automatic deep learning-based software. Changes in the body composition were dichotomized using thresholds dividing the lowest quartile and others, respectively (fat area: -52.3 cm2, muscle area: -7.4 cm2). Multivariable Cox regression analyses adjusted for PFT result and IPF extent on CT images and the log-rank test were performed to assess the association between the fat area change during the first year post-diagnosis and the composite outcome of death or lung transplantation.

RESULTS

In total, 307 IPF patients (69.3 ± 8.1 years; 238 men) were included. During the first year post-diagnosis, fat area, muscle area, and body mass index (BMI) changed by -15.4 cm2, -1 cm2, and - 0.4 kg/m2, respectively. During a median follow-up of 47 months, 146 patients had the composite outcome (47.6%). In Cox regression analyses, a change in the fat area < -52.3 cm2 was associated with composite outcome incidence in models adjusted with baseline clinical variables (hazard ratio [HR], 1.566, P = .022; HR, 1.503, P = .036 in a model including gender, age, and physiology [GAP] index). This prognostic value was consistent when adjusted with one-year changes in clinical variables (HR, 1.495; P = .030). However, the change in BMI during the first year was not a significant prognostic factor (P = .941). Patients with a change in fat area exceeding this threshold experienced the composite outcome more frequently than their counterparts (58.4% vs. 43.9%; P = .007).

CONCLUSION

A ≥ 52.3 cm2 decrease in fat area, automatically measured using deep learning technique, at T12-L1 in one year post-diagnosis was an independent poor prognostic factor in IPF patients.