Prediction of sudden cardiac death in chronic heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction by ADMIRE-HF risk score and early repolarization pattern

Early repolarization pattern on ECG predicts worse outcomes in patients hospitalized due to chronic heart failure decompensation

BACKGROUND

To improve the outcomes of patients with chronic heart failure (CHF), it is important to identify reliable prognostic tools. Early repolarization pattern (ER) on 12‑lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is a predictor of worse outcomes, which has been widely researched in the general population but not in the CHF population.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the incidence and prognostic value of ER and compare its prognostic significance with other non-invasive diagnostic methods for CHF outcomes and hospital readmissions.

METHODS

The study included 301 patients (166 men and 135 women) hospitalized for CHF decompensation. CHF diagnosis was confirmed according to the current guidelines. The patients underwent standard tests and impedance cardiography (ICG) at enrollment and on the day of discharge.

RESULTS

Thirty-one confirmed ER cases (10.3%) were enrolled. During a median follow-up period of 18 months, 128 cardiac-related deaths were observed (42.5%), with 23 (74.2%) and 105 (38.9%) patients in the ER and non-ER groups, respectively (p < 0.001). The ER group had more readmissions than the non-ER group did at 6-months (2 [1, 2] vs. 1 [1, 2]; p=0.04) and 12-months (3 [2-4] vs. 2 [1-3]; p<0.001). ER on ECG (hazard ratio [HR] 2.59; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.64-4.07; p<0.001), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels ≥425.5 pmoL/L (HR 5.1; 95% CI 3.33-7.83; p < 0.001), thoracic fluid content (TFC) ≥36.9 1/kΩ (HR 4.6; 95% CI 2.7-7.85, p < 0.001), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤40% (HR 4.94; 95% CI 2.83-8.65; p < 0.001) were independently and significantly associated with cardiac death.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of ER, LVEF ≤40%, NT-proBNP, or TFC provides an incremental prognostic value for cardiac-related death in patients with CHF.

Electrocardiographic Patterns of Depolarization Abnormalities Help to Identify Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction

The aim of the study was to investigate the relationship between a decrease in the left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) and traditional ECG signs associated with structural changes of the myocardium (pathological Q wave, ventricular arrhythmias) and relatively new and poorly understood (fragmented QRS complex (fQRS), early repolarization pattern (ERP)) and evaluate their significance for identifying patients with mildly reduced EF (mrEF). The study included 148 patients who were treated and examined at the Almazov Medical Research Center. FQRS, ERP, pathological Q wave, and premature ventricular contractions (PVC) were described in the analysis of the ECG, and the results of echocardiography and statistical data were analyzed: Fisher’s test and chi-square, correlation analysis, and ROC analysis. According to the level of EF, patients were divided into three groups: group 1—patients with low EF (lEF) (less than 40%), group 2—patients with mildly reduced EF (mrEF) (40–49%); group 3—patients with preserved EF (pEF) (more than 50%). In the first group (EF), fQRS was registered in 16 (51.6%) patients, in the mrEF in 16 (18.2%). Pathological Q wave was detected in lEF in 20 (65%), in mrEF in 10 (35%), 15 (18%), in pEF in 15 (18%). The fQRS has been found to be more important in identifying patients with mrEF. In lEF in 2 (6.5%) patients, in mrEF in 2 (6.9%), in pEF in 11 (12.5%). There was no relationship between ERP, the amount of PVC, and the presence of ventricular tachycardia with EF. FQRS is significantly more common occurred with a decrease in EF and may be a marker of a mrEF. Thus, fQRS is associated with mrEF and pay close attention in routine clinical practice to identify patients at high risk of developing systolic dysfunction.