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Arslan G, Cetin N, Eler B. Factors afffecting the treatment success of patients followed in the intensive care unit with community-acquired pneumonia. EURASIAN JOURNAL OF PULMONOLOGY 2021. [DOI: 10.4103/ejop.ejop_102_20] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
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Biomarkers of Community-Acquired Pneumonia: A Key to Disease Diagnosis and Management. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2019; 2019:1701276. [PMID: 31183362 PMCID: PMC6515150 DOI: 10.1155/2019/1701276] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2019] [Revised: 03/26/2019] [Accepted: 04/11/2019] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
Abstract
Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a dangerous disease caused by a spectrum of bacterial and viral pathogens. The choice of specific therapy and the need for hospitalization or transfer to the intensive care unit are determined by the causative agent and disease severity. The microbiological analysis of sputum largely depends on the quality of the material obtained. The prediction of severity and the duration of therapy are determined individually, and existing prognostic scales are used generally. This review examines the possibilities of using specific serological biomarkers to detect the bacterial or viral aetiology of CAP and to assess disease severity. Particular emphasis is placed on the use of biomarker signatures and the discovery of biomarker candidates for a single multiplex analysis.
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Chen J, Wang J, Jiang H, Li MC, He SY, Li XP, Shen D. Lower long-term mortality in obese patients with community-acquired pneumonia: possible role of CRP. Clinics (Sao Paulo) 2019; 74:e608. [PMID: 31291389 PMCID: PMC6607938 DOI: 10.6061/clinics/2019/e608] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2018] [Accepted: 12/04/2018] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between obesity and mortality in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in China. METHODS In total, 909 patients with CAP were recruited for this study from January 2010 to June 2015. All patients were selected and divided into 4 groups according to their body mass index (BMI) values. All patients' clinical information was recorded. The associations among mortality; BMI; the 30-day, 6-month and 1-year survival rates for different BMI classes; the etiology of pneumonia in each BMI group; and the risk factors for 1-year mortality in CAP patients were analyzed. RESULT With the exception of the level of C-reactive protein (CRP), no other clinical indexes showed significant differences among the different BMI groups. No significant differences were observed among all groups in terms of the 30-d and 6-month mortality rates (p>0.05). There was a significantly lower risk of 1-year mortality in the obese group than in the nonobese group, (p<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that there were seven independent risk factors for 1-year mortality in CAP patients, namely, age, cardiovascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, obesity, APACHE II score, level of CRP and CAP severity. CONCLUSION Compared with nonobese patients with CAP, obese CAP patients may have a lower mortality rate, especially with regard to 1-year mortality, and CRP may be associated with the lower mortality rate in obese individuals than in nonobese individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jin Chen
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Xiehe Hospital of Dongxihu District, Wuhan People's Hospital of Dongxihu District, Wuhan, 430000, China
- *Corresponding author. E-mail:
| | - Jia Wang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Xiehe Hospital of Dongxihu District, Wuhan People's Hospital of Dongxihu District, Wuhan, 430000, China
- *Corresponding author. E-mail:
| | - Hui Jiang
- Department of Respiratory, Wanbei Coal-Electricity Group General Hospital, Suzhou 234011, Anhui Province, China
- *Corresponding author. E-mail:
| | - Mao-Chun Li
- Department of Pharmacy, The Central Hospital of Wuhan affiliated to Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 430024, Wuhan, China
| | - Si-Yuan He
- Department of Nephrology, Tongji Hospital affiliated to Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China
| | - Xiao-Peng Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, Tongji Hospital affiliated to Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China
| | - Dantong Shen
- Department of Neurologic Rehabilitation, Neurologic Specialized Hospital, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, 510010, China
- *Corresponding author. E-mail:
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Bedos JP, Varon E, Porcher R, Asfar P, Le Tulzo Y, Megarbane B, Mathonnet A, Dugard A, Veinstein A, Ouchenir K, Siami S, Reignier J, Galbois A, Cousson J, Preau S, Baldesi O, Rigaud JP, Souweine B, Misset B, Jacobs F, Dewavrin F, Mira JP. Host-pathogen interactions and prognosis of critically ill immunocompetent patients with pneumococcal pneumonia: the nationwide prospective observational STREPTOGENE study. Intensive Care Med 2018; 44:2162-2173. [PMID: 30456466 DOI: 10.1007/s00134-018-5444-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2018] [Accepted: 11/01/2018] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To assess the relative importance of host and bacterial factors associated with hospital mortality in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) for pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia (PCAP). METHODS Immunocompetent Caucasian ICU patients with PCAP documented by cultures and/or pneumococcal urinary antigen (UAg Sp) test were included in this multicenter prospective study between 2008 and 2012. All pneumococcal strains were serotyped. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for hospital mortality. RESULTS Of the 614 patients, 278 (45%) had septic shock, 270 (44%) had bacteremia, 307 (50%) required mechanical ventilation at admission, and 161 (26%) had a diagnosis based only on the UAg Sp test. No strains were penicillin-resistant, but 23% had decreased susceptibility. Of the 36 serotypes identified, 7 accounted for 72% of the isolates, with different distributions according to age. Although antibiotics were consistently appropriate and were started within 6 h after admission in 454 (74%) patients, 116 (18.9%) patients died. Independent predictors of hospital mortality in the adjusted analysis were platelets ≤ 100 × 109/L (OR, 7.7; 95% CI, 2.8-21.1), McCabe score ≥ 2 (4.58; 1.61-13), age > 65 years (2.92; 1.49-5.74), lactates > 4 mmol/L (2.41; 1.27-4.56), male gender and septic shock (2.23; 1.30-3.83 for each), invasive mechanical ventilation (1.78; 1-3.19), and bilateral pneumonia (1.59; 1.02-2.47). Women with platelets ≤ 100 × 109/L had the highest mortality risk (adjusted OR, 7.7; 2.8-21). CONCLUSIONS In critically ill patients with PCAP, age, gender, and organ failures at ICU admission were more strongly associated with hospital mortality than were comorbidities. Neither pneumococcal serotype nor antibiotic regimen was associated with hospital mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jean-Pierre Bedos
- Réanimation Médico-Chirurgicale, Hôpital A. Mignot, CH Versailles, 177 Rue de Versailles, 78157, Le Chesnay, France.
| | - Emmanuelle Varon
- Laboratoire de Microbiologie, Centre National de Référence des Pneumocoques, AP-HP Hôpital Européen Georges-Pompidou, 75908, Paris Cedex 15, France.,Centre National de Référence des Pneumocoques, Centre Hospitalier Interrcommunal de Créteil, 94000, Créteil, France
| | - Raphael Porcher
- Centre de Recherche Épidémiologie et Statistique Sorbonne Paris Cité (CRESS-UMR1153), Inserm/Université Paris Descartes, Centre d'épidémiologie clinique, Centre Equator France, Hôpital Hôtel-Dieu, 75004, Paris, France
| | - Pierre Asfar
- CHU Angers, Réanimation Médicale, 49933, Angers Cedex 9, France
| | | | - Bruno Megarbane
- Hôpital Lariboisière, Réanimation Médicale et Toxicologique, 75010, Paris, France
| | - Armelle Mathonnet
- Hôpital de La Source, Réanimation Polyvalente, 45067, Orléans Cedex 2, France
| | - Anthony Dugard
- CHU Dupuytren, Réanimation Polyvalente, 87042, Limoges, France
| | - Anne Veinstein
- CHU Jean Bernard, Réanimation, 86021, Poitiers Cedex, France
| | - Kader Ouchenir
- Hôpital Louis Pasteur, Réanimation, 28018, Chartres Cedex, France
| | - Shidasp Siami
- CH Sud Essonne, Réanimation Polyvalente, 91152, Etampes Cedex 02, France
| | - Jean Reignier
- CHU Nantes, Réanimation Médicale, 44093, Nantes Cedex 1, France
| | - Arnaud Galbois
- Hôpital St Antoine, Réanimation Médicale, 75012, Paris, France
| | - Joël Cousson
- Hôpital Robert Debré, Réanimation Polyvalente, 51092, Reims Cedex, France
| | - Sébastien Preau
- Hôpital A. Calmette, Réanimation, 59037, Lille Cedex, France
| | - Olivier Baldesi
- CH du Pays d'Aix, Réanimation, 13616, Aix En Provence, France
| | | | - Bertrand Souweine
- CHU Gabriel Montpied, Réanimation Médicale, 63000, Clermont Ferrand, France
| | - Benoit Misset
- Hôpital Saint Joseph, Réanimation, 75014, Paris, France
| | - Frederic Jacobs
- Hôpital Antoine Béclère, Réanimation Médicale, 92140, Clamart, France
| | | | - Jean-Paul Mira
- Hôpital Cochin, Réanimation Médicale, 75679, Paris Cedex 14, France
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Wang Y, Zhang S, Li L, Xie J. The usefulness of serum procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 and Clinical Pulmonary Infection Score for evaluation of severity and prognosis of community-acquired pneumonia in elderly patients. Arch Gerontol Geriatr 2018; 80:53-57. [PMID: 30366226 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2018.10.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2018] [Revised: 10/11/2018] [Accepted: 10/11/2018] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
AIMS To comparatively analyze the usefulness of serum procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 (sTREM-1) and Clinical Pulmonary Infection Score (CPIS) for assessing the severity and prognosis of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in the elderly. METHODS A total of 214 elderly patients with CAP and 106 healthy persons were enrolled in this prospective study. On the admission day, serum inflammatory markers, including CRP, PCT, sTREM-1, and CPIS were analyzed. By severity, the CAP patients were subdivided into non-severe CAP group and severe CAP group. By outcome, the patients were classified into survival group and death group. The efficiency of three inflammatory markers and CPIS on predicting prognosis of pneumonia patients was then analyzed. RESULTS The serum inflammatory markers and CPIS were significantly higher in CAP patients than in healthy controls. These biomarkers and CPIS were significantly higher in patients with severe CAP than in patients with non-severe CAP. Compared with patients who would survive, these markers and CPIS were significantly higher in patients who would die. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the area under the curve and sensitivity were higher for serum sTREM-1 than for other indicators, while the specificity of serum PCT was the highest. CONCLUSIONS Serum CRP, PCT, and sTREM-1 and CPIS determined on the admission day are effective indicators to evaluate the severity and prognosis of CAP in the elderly. The prognostic value of PCT and sTREM-1 is better than that of CRP and CPIS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanhui Wang
- Department of Gerontology, Shanghai No.5 Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200240, China
| | - Shan Zhang
- Department of Gerontology, Shanghai No.5 Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200240, China
| | - Liang Li
- Department of Gerontology, Shanghai No.5 Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200240, China
| | - Juan Xie
- Department of Gerontology, Shanghai No.5 Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200240, China.
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Hadfield J, Bennett L. Determining best outcomes from community-acquired pneumonia and how to achieve them. Respirology 2017; 23:138-147. [PMID: 29150897 DOI: 10.1111/resp.13218] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/13/2017] [Revised: 10/12/2017] [Accepted: 10/19/2017] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common acute medical illness with a standard, effective treatment that was introduced before the evidenced-based medicine era. Mortality rates have improved in recent decades but improvements have been minimal when compared to other conditions such as acute coronary syndromes. The standardized approach to treatment makes CAP a target for comparative performance and outcome measures. While easy to collect, simplistic outcomes such as mortality, readmission and length of stay are difficult to interpret as they can be affected by subjective choices and health care resources. Proposed clinical- and patient-reported outcomes are discussed below and include measures such as the time to clinical stability (TTCS) and patient satisfaction, which can be compared between health institutions. Strategies to improve these outcomes include use of a risk stratification tool, local antimicrobial guidelines with antibiotic stewardship and care bundles to include early administration of antibiotics and early mobilization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jane Hadfield
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Royal Perth Hospital, Perth, WA, Australia
| | - Lesley Bennett
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Royal Perth Hospital, Perth, WA, Australia
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Morley D, Torres A, Cillóniz C, Martin-Loeches I. Predictors of treatment failure and clinical stability in patients with community acquired pneumonia. ANNALS OF TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE 2017; 5:443. [PMID: 29264360 DOI: 10.21037/atm.2017.06.54] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Community acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the leading infectious cause of mortality worldwide with approximately 10% of patients hospitalized requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The ability to predict clinical stability (CS) and treatment failure (TF) enables the clinician to alter antibiotics appropriately, facilitate a timely ICU admission, or arrange a suitable discharge. The detection of CS and TF can be difficult and changes in clinical signs may be subtle or delayed. Thus clinical scores and biomarkers are routinely used to identify severity and monitor clinical progression. The evidence, however, is vast and the definitive role of these systems is at times difficult to elucidate. The aim of this review is to analyse the current literature and to provide a rational and clinically focused view of the predictive utility of various systems used to identify CS and TF in CAP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deirdre Morley
- Multidisciplinary Intensive Care Research Organization (MICRO), St James's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Antoni Torres
- Department of Pneumology, Hospital Clinic Barcelona, Universidad Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.,Centro de Investigación Biomédica En Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Madrid, Spain
| | - Catia Cillóniz
- Department of Pneumology, Hospital Clinic Barcelona, Universidad Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.,Centro de Investigación Biomédica En Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Madrid, Spain
| | - Ignacio Martin-Loeches
- Multidisciplinary Intensive Care Research Organization (MICRO), St James's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland.,Department of Clinical Medicine, Trinity Centre for Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland
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Khan F, Owens MB, Restrepo M, Povoa P, Martin-Loeches I. Tools for outcome prediction in patients with community acquired pneumonia. Expert Rev Clin Pharmacol 2016; 10:201-211. [PMID: 27911103 DOI: 10.1080/17512433.2017.1268051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is one of the most common causes of mortality world-wide. The mortality rate of patients with CAP is influenced by the severity of the disease, treatment failure and the requirement for hospitalization and/or intensive care unit (ICU) management, all of which may be predicted by biomarkers and clinical scoring systems. Areas covered: We review the recent literature examining the efficacy of established and newly-developed clinical scores, biological and inflammatory markers such as C-Reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT) and Interleukin-6 (IL-6), whether used alone or in conjunction with clinical severity scores to assess the severity of CAP, predict treatment failure, guide acute in-hospital or ICU admission and predict mortality. Expert commentary: The early prediction of treatment failure using clinical scores and biomarkers plays a developing role in improving survival of patients with CAP by identifying high-risk patients requiring hospitalization or ICU admission; and may enable more efficient allocation of resources. However, it is likely that combinations of scoring systems and biomarkers will be of greater use than individual markers. Further larger studies are needed to corroborate the additive value of these markers to clinical prediction scores to provide a safer and more effective assessment tool for clinicians.
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Affiliation(s)
- Faheem Khan
- a Intensive Care Medicine , St James's University Hospital , Dublin , Ireland
| | - Mark B Owens
- a Intensive Care Medicine , St James's University Hospital , Dublin , Ireland
| | - Marcos Restrepo
- b Department of Respiratory Medicine , South Texas Veterans Health Care System and the University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio , San Antonio , TX , USA
| | - Pedro Povoa
- c Department of Intensive Care Medicine , Polyvalent Intensive Care Unit, São Francisco Xavier Hospital, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental , Lisbon , Portugal.,d Nova Medical School, CEDOC, New University of Lisbon , Lisbon , Portugal
| | - Ignacio Martin-Loeches
- a Intensive Care Medicine , St James's University Hospital , Dublin , Ireland.,e Department of Clinical Medicine , Trinity College, Welcome Trust-HRB Clinical Research Facility, St James Hospital , Dublin , Ireland
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Tan D, Zhu H, Fu Y, Tong F, Yao D, Walline J, Xu J, Yu X. Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia Caused by Human Adenovirus in Immunocompetent Adults: A Multicenter Case Series. PLoS One 2016; 11:e0151199. [PMID: 26967644 PMCID: PMC4788423 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0151199] [Citation(s) in RCA: 60] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2015] [Accepted: 02/24/2016] [Indexed: 01/20/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) caused by human adenovirus (HAdV), especially HAdV type 55 (HAdV-55) in immunocompetent adults has raised increasing concerns. Clinical knowledge of severe CAP and acute respiratory distress syndrome induced by HAdV-55 is still limited, though the pathogen has been fully characterized by whole-genome sequencing. Methods We conducted a multicentre retrospective review of all consecutive patients with severe CAP caused by HAdV in immunocompetent adults admitted to the Emergency Department Intensive Care Unit of two hospitals in Northern China between February 2012 and April 2014. Clinical, laboratory, radiological characteristics, treatments and outcomes of these patients were collected and analyzed. Results A total of 15 consecutive severe CAP patients with laboratory-confirmed adenovirus infections were included. The median age was 30 years and all cases were identified during the winter and spring seasons. HAdV-55 was the most frequently (11/15) detected HAdV type. Persistent high fever, cough and rapid progression of dyspnea were typically reported in these patients. Significantly increased pneumonia severity index (PSI), respiratory rate, and lower PaO2/FiO2, hypersensitive CRP were reported in non-survivors compared to survivors (P = 0.013, 0.022, 0.019 and 0.026, respectively). The rapid development of bilateral consolidations within 10 days after illness onset were the most common radiographic finding, usually accompanied by adjacent ground glass opacities and pleural effusions. Total mortality was 26.7% in this study. Corticosteroids were prescribed to 14 patients in this report, but the utilization rate between survivors and non-survivors was not significant. Conclusions HAdV and the HAdV-55 sub-type play an important role among viral pneumonia pathogens in hospitalized immunocompetent adults in Northern China. HAdV should be tested in severe CAP patients with negative bacterial cultures and a lack of response to antibiotic treatment, even if radiologic imaging and clinical presentation initially suggest bacterial pneumonia.
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MESH Headings
- Adenovirus Infections, Human/diagnosis
- Adenovirus Infections, Human/drug therapy
- Adenovirus Infections, Human/pathology
- Adenovirus Infections, Human/virology
- Adenoviruses, Human/genetics
- Adenoviruses, Human/isolation & purification
- Adenoviruses, Human/physiology
- Adolescent
- Adult
- Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use
- China
- Community-Acquired Infections/diagnosis
- Community-Acquired Infections/drug therapy
- Community-Acquired Infections/pathology
- Community-Acquired Infections/virology
- DNA, Viral/metabolism
- Female
- Genotype
- Hospitals/statistics & numerical data
- Humans
- Immunocompromised Host
- Intensive Care Units
- Male
- Middle Aged
- Pneumonia, Viral/diagnosis
- Pneumonia, Viral/pathology
- Pneumonia, Viral/virology
- Retrospective Studies
- Severity of Illness Index
- Young Adult
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Affiliation(s)
- Dingyu Tan
- Department of Emergency, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Huadong Zhu
- Department of Emergency, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Yangyang Fu
- Department of Emergency, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Fei Tong
- Department of Emergency, Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei province, China
| | - Dongqi Yao
- Department of Emergency, Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei province, China
| | - Joseph Walline
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Surgery, Saint Louis University Hospital, Saint Louis, Missouri, United States of America
| | - Jun Xu
- Department of Emergency, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical sciences, Beijing, China
- * E-mail: (JX); (XY)
| | - Xuezhong Yu
- Department of Emergency, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical sciences, Beijing, China
- * E-mail: (JX); (XY)
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Que YA, Guessous I, Dupuis-Lozeron E, de Oliveira CRA, Oliveira CF, Graf R, Seematter G, Revelly JP, Pagani JL, Liaudet L, Nobre V, Eggimann P. Prognostication of Mortality in Critically Ill Patients With Severe Infections. Chest 2015; 148:674-682. [PMID: 26065577 DOI: 10.1378/chest.15-0123] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The purpose of this study was to confirm the prognostic value of pancreatic stone protein (PSP) in patients with severe infections requiring ICU management and to develop and validate a model to enhance mortality prediction by combining severity scores with biomarkers. METHODS We enrolled prospectively patients with severe sepsis or septic shock in mixed tertiary ICUs in Switzerland (derivation cohort) and Brazil (validation cohort). Severity scores (APACHE [Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation] II or Simplified Acute Physiology Score [SAPS] II) were combined with biomarkers obtained at the time of diagnosis of sepsis, including C-reactive-protein, procalcitonin (PCT), and PSP. Logistic regression models with the lowest prediction errors were selected to predict in-hospital mortality. RESULTS Mortality rates of patients with septic shock enrolled in the derivation cohort (103 out of 158) and the validation cohort (53 out of 91) were 37% and 57%, respectively. APACHE II and PSP were significantly higher in dying patients. In the derivation cohort, the models combining either APACHE II, PCT, and PSP (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.721; 95% CI, 0.632-0.812) or SAPS II, PCT, and PSP (AUC, 0.710; 95% CI, 0.617-0.802) performed better than each individual biomarker (AUC PCT, 0.534; 95% CI, 0.433-0.636; AUC PSP, 0.665; 95% CI, 0.572-0.758) or severity score (AUC APACHE II, 0.638; 95% CI, 0.543-0.733; AUC SAPS II, 0.598; 95% CI, 0.499-0.698). These models were externally confirmed in the independent validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS We confirmed the prognostic value of PSP in patients with severe sepsis and septic shock requiring ICU management. A model combining severity scores with PCT and PSP improves mortality prediction in these patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yok-Ai Que
- Department of Adult Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Medical Center and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Idris Guessous
- Community Prevention Unit, University Hospital Medical Center and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland; Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Department of Community Medicine, Primary Care and Emergency Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Elise Dupuis-Lozeron
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Department of Community Medicine, Primary Care and Emergency Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland; Research Center for Statistics, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Clara Rodrigues Alves de Oliveira
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, Infectious Diseases Service, University Hospital Medical Center and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Carolina Ferreira Oliveira
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, Infectious Diseases Service, University Hospital Medical Center and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Rolf Graf
- Swiss Hepato-Pancreatico-Biliary Center, Department of Visceral and Transplant Surgery, University Hospital, Zürich, Switzerland
| | - Gérald Seematter
- Service d'Anesthésiologie, Hôpital Riviera, Montreux, Switzerland
| | - Jean-Pierre Revelly
- Department of Adult Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Medical Center and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Jean-Luc Pagani
- Department of Adult Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Medical Center and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Lucas Liaudet
- Department of Adult Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Medical Center and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Vandack Nobre
- Graduate Program in Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Philippe Eggimann
- Department of Adult Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Medical Center and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.
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