Machine Learning-Based COVID-19 Patients Triage Algorithm Using Patient-Generated Health Data from Nationwide Multicenter Database

Dysfunctional Beliefs and Attitudes about Sleep-6 (DBAS-6): Data-driven shortened version from a machine learning approach

BACKGROUND

The Dysfunctional Beliefs and Attitudes about Sleep Scale (DBAS-16) is a widely used self-report instrument for identifying sleep-related cognition. However, its length can be cumbersome in clinical practice. This study aims to develop a data-driven shortened version of the DBAS-16 that efficiently predicts the DBAS-16 total score among the general population.

METHODS

We collected 1000 responses to the DBAS-16 from the general population through three separate surveys, each focusing on different aspects of insomnia severity and related factors. Using Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) on the survey responses, we grouped DBAS-16 items based on response pattern similarities. The most representative item from each group, showing the highest regression performance with eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) in predicting the DBAS-16 total score, was selected to create a shortened version of the DBAS-16.

RESULTS

Through EFA and XGBoost, we categorized the DBAS-16 items into six distinct groups. Selecting one item from each group, based on the highest coefficient of determination R2 values in predicting the DBAS-16 total score. After measuring the R2 values for all possible combinations of six items, items 4, 5, 7, 11, 13, and 15 were chosen, exhibiting the highest R2 value. Based on these six items, we developed the DBAS-6, a data-driven shortened version of the DBAS-16. The DBAS-6 exhibited outstanding predictive ability, achieving the highest R2 value of 0.90 for predicting the DBAS-16 total score, surpassing that of a previously developed shortened version. Notably, the DBAS-6 efficiently encapsulates the core aspects of the DBAS-16 and demonstrates robust predictive power over heterogeneous test data samples with distinct statistical characteristics from the training data.

CONCLUSION

With its concise format and high predictive accuracy, the DBAS-6 offers a practical tool for assessing dysfunctional beliefs about sleep in clinical settings.

Artificial intelligence in clinical medicine: catalyzing a sustainable global healthcare paradigm

As the demand for quality healthcare increases, healthcare systems worldwide are grappling with time constraints and excessive workloads, which can compromise the quality of patient care. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool in clinical medicine, revolutionizing various aspects of patient care and medical research. The integration of AI in clinical medicine has not only improved diagnostic accuracy and treatment outcomes, but also contributed to more efficient healthcare delivery, reduced costs, and facilitated better patient experiences. This review article provides an extensive overview of AI applications in history taking, clinical examination, imaging, therapeutics, prognosis and research. Furthermore, it highlights the critical role AI has played in transforming healthcare in developing nations.

Artificial intelligence-driven prediction of COVID-19-related hospitalization and death: a systematic review

Aim

To perform a systematic review on the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques for predicting COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality using primary and secondary data sources.

Study eligibility criteria

Cohort, clinical trials, meta-analyses, and observational studies investigating COVID-19 hospitalization or mortality using artificial intelligence techniques were eligible. Articles without a full text available in the English language were excluded.

Data sources

Articles recorded in Ovid MEDLINE from 01/01/2019 to 22/08/2022 were screened.

Data extraction

We extracted information on data sources, AI models, and epidemiological aspects of retrieved studies.

Bias assessment

A bias assessment of AI models was done using PROBAST.

Participants

Patients tested positive for COVID-19.

Results

We included 39 studies related to AI-based prediction of hospitalization and death related to COVID-19. The articles were published in the period 2019-2022, and mostly used Random Forest as the model with the best performance. AI models were trained using cohorts of individuals sampled from populations of European and non-European countries, mostly with cohort sample size <5,000. Data collection generally included information on demographics, clinical records, laboratory results, and pharmacological treatments (i.e., high-dimensional datasets). In most studies, the models were internally validated with cross-validation, but the majority of studies lacked external validation and calibration. Covariates were not prioritized using ensemble approaches in most of the studies, however, models still showed moderately good performances with Area under the Receiver operating characteristic Curve (AUC) values >0.7. According to the assessment with PROBAST, all models had a high risk of bias and/or concern regarding applicability.

Conclusions

A broad range of AI techniques have been used to predict COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality. The studies reported good prediction performance of AI models, however, high risk of bias and/or concern regarding applicability were detected.

In silico transcriptional analysis of asymptomatic and severe COVID-19 patients reveals the susceptibility of severe patients to other comorbidities and non-viral pathological conditions

COVID-19 is a severe respiratory disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, a novel human coronavirus. Patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 exhibit heterogeneous symptoms that pose pragmatic hurdles for implementing appropriate therapy and management of the COVID-19 patients and their post-COVID complications. Thus, understanding the impact of infection severity at the molecular level in the host is vital to understand the host response and accordingly it's precise management. In the current study, we performed a comparative transcriptomics analysis of publicly available seven asymptomatic and eight severe COVID-19 patients. Exploratory data analysis employing Principal Component Analysis (PCA) showed the distinct clusters of asymptomatic and severe patients. Subsequently, the differential gene expression analysis using DESeq2 identified 1224 significantly upregulated genes (logFC≥ 1.5, p-adjusted value <0.05) and 268 significantly downregulated genes (logFC≤ −1.5, p-adjusted value <0.05) in severe samples in comparison to asymptomatic samples. Eventually, Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) revealed the upregulation of anti-viral and anti-inflammatory pathways, secondary infections, Iron homeostasis, anemia, cardiac-related, etc.; while, downregulation of lipid metabolism, adaptive immune response, translation, recurrent respiratory infections, heme-biosynthetic pathways, etc. Conclusively, these findings provide insight into the enhanced susceptibility of severe COVID-19 patients to other health comorbidities including non-viral pathogenic infections, atherosclerosis, autoinflammatory diseases, anemia, male infertility, etc. owing to the activation of biological processes, pathways and molecular functions associated with them. We anticipate this study will facilitate the researchers in finding efficient therapeutic targets and eventually the clinicians in management of COVID-19 patients and post-COVID-19 effects in them.

Detecting the most critical clinical variables of COVID-19 breakthrough infection in vaccinated persons using machine learning

Background

COVID-19 vaccines offer different levels of immune protection but do not provide 100% protection. Vaccinated persons with pre-existing comorbidities may be at an increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection or reinfection. The aim of this study is to identify the critical variables associated with a higher probability of SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection using machine learning.

Methods

A dataset comprising symptoms and feedback from 257 persons, of whom 203 were vaccinated and 54 unvaccinated, was used for the investigation. Three machine learning algorithms - Deep Multilayer Perceptron (Deep MLP), XGBoost, and Logistic Regression - were trained with the original (imbalanced) dataset and the balanced dataset created by using the Random Oversampling Technique (ROT), and the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE). We compared the performance of the classification algorithms when the features highly correlated with breakthrough infection were used and when all features in the dataset were used.

Result

The results show that when highly correlated features were considered as predictors, with Random Oversampling to address data imbalance, the XGBoost classifier has the best performance (F1 = 0.96; accuracy = 0.96; AUC = 0.98; G-Mean = 0.98; MCC = 0.88). The Deep MLP had the second best performance (F1 = 0.94; accuracy = 0.94; AUC = 0.92; G-Mean = 0.70; MCC = 0.42), while Logistic Regression had less accurate performance (F1 = 0.89; accuracy = 0.88; AUC = 0.89; G-Mean = 0.89; MCC = 0.68). We also used Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) to investigate the interpretability of the models. We found that body temperature, total cholesterol, glucose level, blood pressure, waist circumference, body weight, body mass index (BMI), haemoglobin level, and physical activity per week are the most critical variables indicating a higher risk of breakthrough infection.

Conclusion

These results, evident from our unique data source derived from apparently healthy volunteers with cardiovascular risk factors, follow the expected pattern of positive or negative correlations previously reported in the literature. This information strengthens the body of knowledge currently applied in public health guidelines and may also be used by medical practitioners in the future to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection.

Using machine learning models to predict the duration of the recovery of COVID-19 patients hospitalized in Fangcang shelter hospital during the Omicron BA. 2.2 pandemic

Background

Factors that may influence the recovery of patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized in the Fangcang shelter were explored, and machine learning models were constructed to predict the duration of recovery during the Omicron BA. 2.2 pandemic.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted at Hongqiao National Exhibition and Convention Center Fangcang shelter (Shanghai, China) from April 9, 2022 to April 25, 2022. The demographics, clinical data, inoculation history, and recovery information of the 13,162 enrolled participants were collected. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify independent factors associated with 7-day recovery and 14-day recovery. Machine learning algorithms (DT, SVM, RF, DT/AdaBoost, AdaBoost, SMOTEENN/DT, SMOTEENN/SVM, SMOTEENN/RF, SMOTEENN+DT/AdaBoost, and SMOTEENN/AdaBoost) were used to build models for predicting 7-day and 14-day recovery.

Results

Of the 13,162 patients in the study, the median duration of recovery was 8 days (interquartile range IQR, 6–10 d), 41.31% recovered within 7 days, and 94.83% recovered within 14 days. Univariate analysis showed that the administrative region, age, cough medicine, comorbidities, diabetes, coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension, number of comorbidities, CT value of the ORF gene, CT value of the N gene, ratio of ORF/IC, and ratio of N/IC were associated with a duration of recovery within 7 days. Age, gender, vaccination dose, cough medicine, comorbidities, diabetes, CAD, hypertension, number of comorbidities, CT value of the ORF gene, CT value of the N gene, ratio of ORF/IC, and ratio of N/IC were related to a duration of recovery within 14 days. In the multivariable analysis, the receipt of two doses of the vaccination vs. unvaccinated (OR = 1.118, 95% CI = 1.003–1.248; p = 0.045), receipt of three doses of the vaccination vs. unvaccinated (OR = 1.114, 95% CI = 1.004–1.236; p = 0.043), diabetes (OR = 0.383, 95% CI = 0.194–0.749; p = 0.005), CAD (OR = 0.107, 95% CI = 0.016–0.421; p = 0.005), hypertension (OR = 0.371, 95% CI = 0.202–0.674; p = 0.001), and ratio of N/IC (OR = 3.686, 95% CI = 2.939–4.629; p < 0.001) were significantly and independently associated with a duration of recovery within 7 days. Gender (OR = 0.736, 95% CI = 0.63–0.861; p < 0.001), age (30–70) (OR = 0.738, 95% CI = 0.594–0.911; p < 0.001), age (>70) (OR = 0.38, 95% CI = 0292–0.494; p < 0.001), receipt of three doses of the vaccination vs. unvaccinated (OR = 1.391, 95% CI = 1.12–1.719; p = 0.0033), cough medicine (OR = 1.509, 95% CI = 1.075–2.19; p = 0.023), and symptoms (OR = 1.619, 95% CI = 1.306–2.028; p < 0.001) were significantly and independently associated with a duration of recovery within 14 days. The SMOTEEN/RF algorithm performed best, with an accuracy of 90.32%, sensitivity of 92.22%, specificity of 88.31%, F1 score of 90.71%, and AUC of 89.75% for the 7-day recovery prediction; and an accuracy of 93.81%, sensitivity of 93.40%, specificity of 93.81%, F1 score of 93.42%, and AUC of 93.53% for the 14-day recovery prediction.

Conclusion

Age and vaccination dose were factors robustly associated with accelerated recovery both on day 7 and day 14 from the onset of disease during the Omicron BA. 2.2 wave. The results suggest that the SMOTEEN/RF-based model could be used to predict the probability of 7-day and 14-day recovery from the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 infection for COVID-19 prevention and control policy in other regions or countries. This may also help to generate external validation for the model.