Cost-utility analysis of the newly recommended adjuvant chemotherapy for resectable gastric cancer patients in the 2011 Chinese National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology: Gastric Cancer

Cost-effectiveness analysis of bevacizumab for cerebral radiation necrosis treatment based on real-world utility value in China

BACKGROUND

Bevacizumab shows superior efficacy in cerebral radiation necrosis (CRN) therapy, but its economic burden remains heavy due to the high drug price. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of bevacizumab for CRN treatment from the Chinese payers' perspective.

METHODS

A decision tree model was developed to compare the costs and health outcomes of bevacizumab and corticosteroids for CRN therapy. Efficacy and safety data were derived from the NCT01621880 trial, which compared the effectiveness and safety of bevacizumab monotherapy with corticosteroids for CRN in nasopharyngeal cancer patients, and demonstrated that bevacizumab invoked a significantly higher response than corticosteroids (65.5% vs. 31.5%, P < 0.001) with no significant differences in adverse events between two groups. The utility value of the "non-recurrence" status was derived from real-world data. Costs and other utility values were collected from an authoritative Chinese network database and published literature. The primary outcomes were total costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The uncertainty of the model was evaluated via one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Bevacizumab treatment added 0.12 (0.48 vs. 0.36) QALYs compared to corticosteroid therapy, along with incremental costs of $ 2010 ($ 4260 vs. $ 2160). The resultant ICER was $ 16,866/QALY, which was lower than the willingness-to-pay threshold of $ 38,223/QALY in China. The price of bevacizumab, body weight, and the utility value of recurrence status were the key influential parameters for ICER. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis revealed that the probability of bevacizumab being cost-effectiveness was 84.9%.

CONCLUSION

Compared with corticosteroids, bevacizumab is an economical option for CRN treatment in China.

The cost-effectiveness of zolbetuximab in CLDN18.2-positive gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma

Aim: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of zolbetuximab plus capecitabine/oxaliplatin (CAPOX) in CLDN18.2-positive, HER2-negative, mG/GEJ adenocarcinoma from the perspective of Chinese payers.Materials & methods: A partitioned survival model was developed to assess the costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) of zolbetuximab plus CAPOX versus placebo plus CAPOX. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of model.Results: Zolbetuximab plus CAPOX gained an additional cost of $91,551 and an extra health benefit of 0.24 QALY over placebo plus CAPOX, producing an ICER of $388,186/QALY, which exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold of $38,223/QALY. Sensitivity analysis shows that the model was generally robust.Conclusion: Zolbetuximab plus CAPOX would not be a cost-effective first-line treatment regimen in CLDN18.2-positive, HER2-negative, mG/GEJ adenocarcinoma in China.

Robustly federated learning model for identifying high-risk patients with postoperative gastric cancer recurrence

The prediction of patient disease risk via computed tomography (CT) images and artificial intelligence techniques shows great potential. However, training a robust artificial intelligence model typically requires large-scale data support. In practice, the collection of medical data faces obstacles related to privacy protection. Therefore, the present study aims to establish a robust federated learning model to overcome the data island problem and identify high-risk patients with postoperative gastric cancer recurrence in a multicentre, cross-institution setting, thereby enabling robust treatment with significant value. In the present study, we collect data from four independent medical institutions for experimentation. The robust federated learning model algorithm yields area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.710, 0.798, 0.809, and 0.869 across four data centres. Additionally, the effectiveness of the algorithm is evaluated, and both adaptive and common features are identified through analysis.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of pembrolizumab vs. chemotherapy as second-line treatment for advanced esophageal carcinoma in the United States

Background

The national Comprehensive Cancer Network has suggested pembrolizumab as a second-line therapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with a programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) combined positive score (CPS) ≥ 10. However, despite the increased survival rate associated with pembrolizumab in these patient population, the high cost of pembrolizumab may influence its antitumor effect. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab compared to chemotherapy as second-line treatments for esophageal carcinoma (EC) based on KEYNOTE-181 trial.

Methods

A Markov model was constructed using TreeAge 2021 based on three different groups: all intent-to-treat patients (ITT population), patients with ESCC (ESCC population), and patients with a PD-L1 CPS ≥10 (CPS ≥10 population). Incremental cost, Incremental effect, Life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were calculated. Analyses were conducted on the setting of a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000 from the US perspective.

Results

The ICERs for pembrolizumab were $157,589.545 per QALY, $60,238.823 per QALY, and $100,114.929 per QALY compared with chemotherapy in the ITT, ESCC, and CPS≥10 populations, respectively. The ICER of the ITT population was higher than $150,000, suggesting that pembrolizumab was not a cost-effective treatment scheme in patients with a PD-L1 CPS ≤ 10 or esophageal adenocarcinoma. The ICER was < $150,000 in the ESCC and CPS≥10 populations, indicating that pembrolizumab was cost-effective in these two subgroups.

Conclusion

The determining of pembrolizumab as a cost-effective second-line therapy for EC in the United States depends on the histologic type and PD-L1 expression.

Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Three-Dimensional Visualized Medical Techniques Hepatectomy for Liver Cancer with and without the Treatment of Sorafenib

Background

The application of medical image three-dimensional (3D) reconstruction technology can provide intuitive 3D image data support for accurate preoperative evaluation, surgical planning, and operation safety. However, there is still a lack of high-quality evidence to support whether 3D reconstruction technology is more advantageous in liver resection. Therefore, this study systematically evaluated the clinical effects of 3D reconstruction and two-dimensional (2D) image-assisted hepatectomy.

Methods

Databases were searched to collect published clinical studies on 3D reconstruction technology and 2D image-assisted liver resection. Data were extracted from the database construction to March 2022 and the risk of bias in the included studies was evaluated. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan5.3 software.

Results

A total of 13 clinical studies were included, including 1616 patients, 795 in the 2D group and 819 in the 3D group. The meta-analysis showed that the incidence of postoperative complications was lower in the 3D group than in the 2D group (OR = 0.64, 95% CI = 0.49–0.83, P=0.001) and also reduced operation time (SMD = −0.51, 95% CI = −0.74∼−0.27, P < 0.0001), decreased intraoperative blood loss (SMD = −63.85, 95% CI = −98.66–29.04, P=0.0003), decreased incidence of postoperative liver failure (OR = 2.42, 95% CI = 0.99–5.95, P=0.05), decreased postoperative recurrence rate (OR = 0.29, 95% CI = 0.16–0.53, P < 0.0001), and increased postoperative survival rate (OR = 2.19, 95% CI = 1.49–3.23, P < 0.0001).

Conclusions

Current data suggest that 3D reconstruction-assisted hepatectomy can reduce intraoperative blood loss, postoperative complications, and recurrence, and improve postoperative survival. Therefore, the 3D reconstruction technique is worthy of application and promotion in assisted liver resection.

Atezolizumab with chemotherapy in first-line treatment for metastatic urothelial cancer: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Purpose: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment for metastatic urothelial cancer (mUC). Materials & methods: A Markov model was established for the analysis. Parametric survival models were used to fit to progression-free survival and overall survival data in the IMvigor130 study. A series of one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the model. Results: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for atezolizumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone were US$475,633.17 and $207,488.17 per quality-adjusted life-year in the USA and China, respectively. Utility for the progression-free survival and progressive disease states, the cost of atezolizumab had the most significant impact on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Conclusion: Atezolizumab plus chemotherapy is not a cost-effective treatment option as a first-line treatment for metastatic urothelial cancer.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab Plus Chemotherapy as First-Line Therapy for Advanced Oesophageal Cancer

Objective: Pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy is recommended as the first-line treatment for advanced oesophageal cancer. The objective of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy as first-line therapy for advanced oesophageal cancer from the healthcare system perspective in China.

Methods: Based on the KEYNOTE-590 trial, a Markov model was constructed to estimate the cost and effectiveness of pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy and placebo plus chemotherapy, respectively. Total costs, life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated. One-way, probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA), and subgroup analyses were adapted to test the model robustness.

Result: Compared with the placebo group, pembrolizumab group obtained an additional 1.05 QALY, but the cost was also increased by $121,478.76. The ICER was $115,391.84 per QALY gained, which was higher than the willingness-to-pay (WTP) of $31,304.31. The results of One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the ICER was sensitive to the hazard ratio of PFS and per cycle cost of pembrolizumab. At a WTP threshold of $31,304.31, the probability of pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy being cost-effective was 0%.

Conclusion: From the perspective of China healthcare system, pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment is not cost-effective for patients with advanced oesophageal cancer compared with placebo plus chemotherapy.

Effects of Laparoscopic versus Open Surgery for Advanced Gastric Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy: A Meta-Analysis

Objective

To evaluate the efficacy of laparoscopy and laparotomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in the treatment of advanced gastric cancer by meta-analysis.

Methods

Cochrane Library, Embase, and PubMed were searched by computer until December 1, 2021. Literature was screened according to inclusion and exclusion criteria, and relevant data were extracted for meta-analysis using RevMan 5.3.

Results

A total of 1027 patients from 11 literature studies were included in this study, including 413 patients in the laparoscopic group and 614 patients in the open group. Meta-analysis showed that the laparoscopic group had less intraoperative bleeding (SMD = -1.11; 95% CI: -1.75-0.47; P=0.0006), early postoperative exhaust (SMD = -0.45; 95% CI: -0.70-0.20; P=0.0004), and shorter postoperative hospital stay (SMD = 0.97; 95% CI: 1.69∼0.26; P=0.008), but had longer the operation time (SMD = 0.65; 95% CI: 0.52∼0.79; P < 0.00001). There was no significant difference in the number of lymph nodes dissected during operation (SMD = -0.45; 95% CI: -0.42-0.19; P=0.45), the incidence of surgical complications 30 days after operation (OR = 0.78; 95% CI: 0.53∼1.13; P=0.19), time of first defecation (MD = 0.00; 95% CI: -0.10∼0.10; P=0.98), and time of first postoperative feeding (MD = -0.05; 95% CI: -0.22∼0.12; P=0.54) between the two groups. For long-term prognosis, there was no significant difference in the 3-year overall survival rate after operation between the two groups (RR = 0.84; 95% CI: 0.63-1.12; P=0.23).

Conclusion

Compared with the open stomach cancer surgery, laparoscopic gastric cancer surgery has less intraoperative blood loss, shorter hospitalization time, and advantages such as early rehabilitation, postoperative complications rate, and long-term survival, which confirmed the validity and security of the laparoscopic surgery.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of donafenib versus lenvatinib for first-line treatment of unresectable or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Donafenib and lenvatinib are approved by China National Medical Products Administration and recommended as first-line treatment of Metastatic Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of donafenib compared with lenvatinib for first-line treatment of advanced HCC in China.

METHODS

A partitioned survival model consisting with three health states was developed to simulate lifetime development of advanced HCC from China healthcare payer's perspective. The lifetime costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life-years (LYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were calculated. The efficacy data were obtained from ZGDH3 and REFLECT trials. The cost and health outcomes were discounted at a rate of 5%. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were carried out to explore the variation of model results.

RESULTS

Compared with lenvatinib, donafenib incurred more costs of $1500.86 and had 0.139 QALYs gained, resulting in an ICER of $10,790.18/QALY. The probability of being cost-effective was 84.9% at a willingness-to-pay threshold of gross domestic product per capita in 2020 in China ($31,499.2/QALY). Sensitive and scenario analysis results were in line with base-case analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Donafenib appears to be a cost-effective strategy compared with lenvatinib for the first-line treatment of patients with unresectable or metastatic HCC in China.

Systematic Evaluation Meta-Analysis of the Efficacy of Recombinant Human Endostatin Combined with Gemcitabine and Cisplatin in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

Objective. To evaluate the efficacy of recombinant human endostatin combined with gemcitabine and cisplatin in the treatment of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods. The databases of Cochrane Library, Embase, ClinicalTrials, PubMed, HowNet, Wanfang, and VIP were searched to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of recombinant human endostatin combined with gemcitabine and cisplatin (experimental group) and gemcitabine combined with cisplatin (control group) for comparative study. The quality of literature was evaluated by bias risk assessment tools and related scales, and then meta-analysis was performed. Results. A total of 27 RCTs (1646 patients) were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that the effective rate ( $P$  < 0.000 01) and benefit rate ( $P$  < 0.000 01) of the experimental group were significantly higher than those of the control group, the incidence of leucopenia ( $P$  = 0.79), thrombocytopenia ( $P$  = 0.39), and gastrointestinal reaction ( $P$  = 0.85) were not statistically significant. Conclusion. The combination of recombinant human endostatin, gemcitabine, and cisplatin can increase the efficacy and safety of NSCLC patients.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of nivolumab plus standard chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone for the first-line treatment of unresectable advanced or metastatic gastric cancer, gastroesophageal junction cancer, and esophageal adenocarcinoma

Background Nivolumab plus standard chemotherapy has significant clinical benefits for unresectable advanced or metastatic gastric cancer, gastroesophageal junction cancer, and esophageal adenocarcinoma (GC/GEJC/EAC). However, nivolumab is expensive, necessitating a cost-effectiveness evaluation. Aim This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab plus standard chemotherapy vs. chemotherapy alone for unresectable advanced or metastatic GC/GEJC/EAC from the Chinese healthcare system perspective. This study was based on randomized clinical trial data from the CheckMate-649 clinical trial (NCT02872116) published in Lancet (June 2021). Method A Markov model was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab plus standard chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone for unresectable advanced or metastatic GC/GEJC/EAC. Drug costs were collected from Tianjin Medical Purchasing Center in 2021, and utility values of health states were obtained from the literature. The reliability of model was assessed with one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Main outcome measure The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Results Over a 10-year horizon, the outputs were 1.19 QALYs at a cost of $78,814.9 and 0.88 QALYs at a cost of $19,522.3 with nivolumab plus chemotherapy and chemotherapy alone, respectively. The ICER for nivolumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone was $191,266/QALY, exceeding the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold ($33,436/QALY). One-way sensitivity analysis revealed nivolumab cost was the most influential parameter. Conclusion Adding nivolumab is not cost-effective for unresectable advanced or metastatic GC/GEJC/EAC in the current Chinese healthcare environment.

The Value of Predicting Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Status in Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagogastric Junction on CT-Based Radiomics Nomogram

Purpose

We developed and validated a CT-based radiomics nomogram to predict HER2 status in patients with adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG).

Method

A total of 101 patients with HER2-positive (n=46) and HER2-negative (n=55) esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (AEG) were retrospectively analyzed. They were then randomly divided into a training cohort (n=70) and a verification cohort (n=31). The radiomics features were obtained from the portal phase of the CT enhanced scan. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression method to select the best radiomics features in the training cohort, combined them linearly, and used the radiomics signature formula to calculate the radiomics score (Rad-score) of each AEG patient. A multivariable logistic regression method was applied to develop a prediction model that incorporated the radiomics signature and independent risk predictors. The prediction performance of the nomogram was evaluated using the training and validation cohorts.

Result

In the training (P<0.001) and verification groups (P<0.001), the radiomics signature combined with seven radiomics features was significantly correlated with HER2 status. The nomogram composed of CT-reported T stage and radiomics signature showed very good predictive performance for HER2 status. The area under the curve (AUC) of the training cohort was 0.946 (95% CI: 0.919–0.973), and that of the validation group was 0.903 (95% CI: 0.847–0.959). The calibration curve of the radiomics nomogram showed a good degree of calibration. Decision-curve analysis revealed that the radiomics nomogram was useful.

Conclusion

The nomogram CT-based radiomics signature combined with CT-reported T stage can better predict the HER2 status of AEG before surgery. It can be used as a non-invasive prediction tool for HER2 status and is expected to guide clinical treatment decisions in clinical practice, and it can assist in the formulation of individualized treatment plans.

Characteristics and implications of insurance-reimbursed inpatient care for gastric and oesophageal cancers in Anhui, China

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to identify characteristics and trends in insurance-reimbursed inpatient care (NRIC) for gastric and oesophageal cancers and inform evaluation of medical systems reform.

METHODS

The study extracted routinely collected records of claims for reimbursement from the New Rural Cooperative Medical System (NRCMS) in Anhui Province, China and performed descriptive and regression discontinuity analysis.

RESULTS

From 2013 to 2017, NRIC in terms of person-time per million people (pmp) increased 5.60 and 20.62 times for gastric and oesophageal cancers, respectively. Total expense per episode for gastric and oesophageal cancers increased from 1130.25 and 22 697.99 yuan to 12 514.98 and 24 639.37 yuan, respectively. The ratio of out-of-pocket expenses per inpatient care episode to annual disposable income per capita was 0.43 for gastric cancer and 0.91 for oesophageal cancer and decreased by 0.17 and 0.47, respectively. Regression discontinuity modelling revealed that, when controlled for disposable income, illiteracy rate and months from start time, the treatment variable was significantly associated with person-times of NRIC pmp (β=0.613, p=0.000), length of stay per 105 people (β=-52.990, p=0.000) and total expenses per NRIC episode (β=2.431, p=0.000).

CONCLUSIONS

The study period witnessed substantial achievements in benefits to patients, inpatient care efficiency and equity. These achievements may be attributed mainly to the recent reforms launched in Anhui province, China.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of camrelizumab in the second-line treatment for advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in China

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of camrelizumab versus chemotherapy as second-line treatment for patients with advanced/metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.

METHODS

A trial-based Markov model was constructed using Excel to integrate clinical and economic data in a hypothetical cohort of advanced/metastatic ESCC patients with a 5-year time horizon. Clinical inputs were derived directly from the ESCORT trial (NCT03099382). Weibull distribution was used to fit transition probabilities extracted from the Kaplan-Meier curves. Cost inputs were estimated from the Beijing Medicine Sunshine Purchasing official website, local charges, publications and expert opinions. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the model results.

RESULTS

At 5 years, camrelizumab had higher quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) (0.782 vs. 0.499) and higher cost (US$31,537 vs. US$6,998) than chemotherapy. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was estimated to be US$86,745 per QALY gained. The two primary parameters upon which this result was most sensitive were median overall survival of camrelizumab and camrelizumab cost. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of three times per capita gross domestic product (US$30,094 per QALY gained), the probability of camrelizumab being cost-effective was 33.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

Camrelizumab was not cost-effective as a second-line treatment for advanced/metastatic ESCC patients in China compared with chemotherapy.

Patients with Helicobacter pylori-positive gastric cancer with human cytomegalovirus infection have a low tendency of advanced lymphatic metastasis in a Chinese population

Recognized as a group I carcinogen for gastric cancer (GC) and a factor involved in the development of GC, Helicobacter pylori serves a major part in GC research. However, most studies have focused on H. pylori itself, ignoring the complicated pathogenic microbiological environment of GC and neglecting the synergistic or antagonistic effects of H. pylori with other pathogenic microorganisms. Increasing evidence has revealed that the human cytomegalovirus (HCMV) is present in several types of tumors and serves an important role in the neoplastic process of certain human malignant tumors, including GC. The aim of the present study was to explore the role of HCMV and H. pylori co-infection in GC. HCMV and H. pylori infection was analyzed in paired gastric tumor and peri-tumoral tissues from 134 (98 male and 36 female) patients using PCR. The results revealed that a total of 74 (55.2%) patients had H. pylori infection, 58 patients (43.3%) had HCMV infection, and 34 (25.4%) patients had both HCMV and H. pylori infection. Univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrated that H. pylori infection was independently associated with advanced lymphatic metastasis [P=0.007; odds ratio (OR)=3.51]. Furthermore, compared with HCMV-/H. pylori -, neither HCMV+/H. pylori - nor HCMV+/H. pylori + were associated with metastasis, but HCMV-/H. pylori + co-infection status was an independent risk factor for advanced lymphatic metastasis (P=0.005; OR=6.00). In conclusion, GC co-infected with HCMV and H. pylori exhibited a low tendency of lymph node metastasis. HCMV may interact with H. pylori to inhibit the process of lymphatic metastasis, and the mechanism requires further investigation.

Preoperative T2-weighted MR imaging texture analysis of gastric cancer: prediction of TNM stages

PURPOSE

To explore the capability of algorithms to build multivariate models integrating morphological and texture features derived from preoperative T₂-weighted magnetic resonance (MR) images of gastric cancer (GC) to evaluate tumor- (T), node- (N), and metastasis- (M) stages.

METHODS

A total of 80 patients at our hospital who underwent abdominal MR imaging and were diagnosed with GC from December 2011 to November 2016 were retrospectively included. Texture features were calculated using T₂-weighted images with a manual region of interest. Morphological characteristics were also evaluated. Classifiers and regression analyses were used to build multivariate models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess diagnostic efficacy.

RESULTS

There were 8, 10, and 3 texture parameters that showed significant differences in GCs at different overall (I-II vs. III-IV), T (1-2 vs. 3-4), and N (- vs. +) stages (all p < 0.05), respectively. Mild thickening was more common in stages I-II, T1-2, and N- GCs (all p < 0.05). An irregular outer contour was more commonly observed in stages III-IV (p = 0.001) and T3-4 (p = 0.001) GCs. T3-4 and N+ GCs tended to be thickening type lesions (p = 0.005 and 0.032, respectively). The multivariate models using the naive bayes algorithm showed the highest diagnostic efficacy in predicting T and N stages (area under the ROC curves [AUC] = 0.900 and 0.863, respectively), and the model based on regression analysis had the best predictive performance in overall staging (AUC = 0.839).

CONCLUSION

Multivariate models combining morphological characteristics with texture parameters based on machine learning algorithms were able to improve diagnostic efficacy in predicting the overall, T, and N stages of GCs.

A novel UBE2T inhibitor suppresses Wnt/β-catenin signaling hyperactivation and gastric cancer progression by blocking RACK1 ubiquitination

Dysregulation of the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway is critically involved in gastric cancer (GC) progression. However, current Wnt pathway inhibitors being studied in preclinical or clinical settings for other cancers such as colorectal and pancreatic cancers are either too cytotoxic or insufficiently efficacious for GC. Thus, we screened new potent targets from β-catenin destruction complex associated with GC progression from clinical samples, and found that scaffolding protein RACK1 deficiency plays a significant role in GC progression, but not APC, AXIN, and GSK3β. Then, we identified its upstream regulator UBE2T which promotes GC progression via hyperactivating the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway through the ubiquitination and degradation of RACK1 at the lysine K172, K225, and K257 residues independent of an E3 ligase. Indeed, UBE2T protein level is negatively associated with prognosis in GC patients, suggesting that UBE2T is a promising target for GC therapy. Furthermore, we identified a novel UBE2T inhibitor, M435-1279, and suggested that M435-1279 acts inhibit the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway hyperactivation through blocking UBE2T-mediated degradation of RACK1, resulting in suppression of GC progression with lower cytotoxicity in the meantime. Overall, we found that increased UBE2T levels promote GC progression via the ubiquitination of RACK1 and identified a novel potent inhibitor providing a balance between growth inhibition and cytotoxicity as well, which offer a new opportunity for the specific GC patients with aberrant Wnt/β-catenin signaling.

Chemotherapy Use and Survival Among Young and Middle-Aged Patients With Gastric Cancer

INTRODUCTION:

Treatments for young patients with gastric cancer (GC) remain poorly defined, and their effects on survival are uncertain. We aimed to investigate the receipt of chemotherapy by age category (18–49, 50–64, and 65–85 years) and explore whether age differences in chemotherapy matched survival gains in patients with GC.

METHODS:

Patients who were histologically diagnosed with GC were included from a Chinese multi-institutional database and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. There were 5,122 and 31,363 patients aged 18–85 years treated between 2000 and 2014, respectively. Overall survival and stage-specific likelihood of receiving chemotherapy were evaluated.

RESULTS:

Of the 5,122 and 31,363 patients in China and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result data sets, 3,489 (68.1%) and 18,115 (57.8%) were men, respectively. Younger (18–49 years) and middle-aged (50–64 years) patients were more likely to receive chemotherapy compared with older patients (65–85 years) (64.9%, 56.7%, and 45.4% in the 3 groups from the China data set). Among patients treated with surgery alone, a significantly better prognosis was found in younger and middle-aged patients than their older counterparts; however, no significant differences were found in overall survival among age subgroups in patients who received both surgery and chemotherapy, especially in the China data set. The survival benefit from chemotherapy was superior among older patients (all P < 0.0001) compared with that among younger and middle-aged patients in stage II and III disease.

DISCUSSION:

Potential overuse of chemotherapy was found in younger and middle-aged patients with GC, but the addition of chemotherapy did not bring about matched survival improvement, especially in the China data set.

Cost-Effectiveness of Tucatinib in Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer From the US and Chinese Perspectives

Background: The clinical evaluation of HER2CLIMB trial showed a 21. 9-month median overall survival with the triplet regimens of tucatinib, capecitabine, and trastuzumab (TXT) for patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) –overexpressing metastatic breast cancer. From the payer's perspective of the United States and China, a cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted to evaluate the costs and benefits of adding tucatinib in this study.

Methods: We constructed a Markov model for the economic evaluation of adding tucatinib to trastuzumab plus capecitabine in patients with HER-2 positive metastatic breast cancer in the United States and China. The model was conducted with a 10-year time horizon, and the health status was divided into three states: progression-free survival, progressing disease, and death. The health utility scores were consistent with published literature with similar patient status. The transition probabilities were derived from the survival data of the HER2CLIMB study. The unit prices of medicines were obtained from the West China Hospital, Red Book, and published literature. Outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, which robustness was evaluated by deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

Results: Compared with the two-drug regimen of trastuzumab plus capecitabine (TX), the addition of tucatinib increased 0.21 QALY, with an increasing cost of $146,995.05 and $19,022.97 in the United States and China, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for the TXT versus TX was $699,976.43 in the U.S. and $90,585.57 in China, both of which are higher than their respective threshold of willingness to play. Deterministic sensitivity analysis shows that the price of tucatinib is the parameter that has the most significant impact on ICERs, but it does not change the results of the model. Probability sensitivity analysis shows that the probability of cost-effective for TXT is 0 in the base case.

Conclusion: In the United States and China, tucatinib combined with trastuzumab and capecitabine is not cost-effective for patients with HER-2 positive metastatic breast cancer.

Health economic analysis of curative-intent gastrectomy for gastric carcinoma and the costs related to post-operative complications

BACKGROUND

The management of post-gastrectomy complications requires considerable resources and is likely associated with a substantial economic burden. The objectives of this study were to perform a cost analysis of admissions following gastrectomy for gastric carcinoma and then to quantify the financial impact of post-operative complications.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted in patients that underwent a gastrectomy from 2008 to 2019. Demographic data, operative information, post-operative complications and facility costs were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 74 patients underwent a curative-intent gastrectomy during the study period. The 36 (48.6%) patients that had no complications had a median total admission cost of AU$29 228. A total of 21 (28.4%) patients had a minor complication and 17 (23.0%) patients had a major complication, with a median total admission cost of AU$36 592 and AU$71 808, respectively. The difference across all three groups was statistically significant. In patients who had major complications compared to those without complications, there was a significant increase in the cost of intensive care services, theatre resources and nursing care. Across the whole cohort, the principal cost centres accounting for the largest proportion of total cost were theatre equipment and resources (33.9%), nursing care on the ward (23.0%) and staffing time of the surgical team (16.7%).

CONCLUSION

The surgical management of gastric cancer carries a substantial cost burden. The presence and severity of post-operative complications is strongly associated with increasing cost. Minimizing complications, in addition to obvious clinical benefits, enables a large reduction in costs of care.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of nivolumab in the second-line treatment for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background: To investigate the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab versus chemotherapy in the second-line treatment for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Materials & methods: A Markov model reflecting the patients in the ATTRACTION-3 trial was established. Weibull survival model was employed to fit the Kaplan-Meier progression-free survival and overall survival probabilities of the nivolumab and chemotherapy strategy, respectively. Meanwhile, one-way and PSA were performed to test the uncertainty in the model. Results: Overall, the incremental effectiveness and cost of nivolumab versus chemotherapy were 0.107 quality-adjusted life-years and $14,627.90, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $136,709.35/quality-adjusted life-year. Conclusion: Nivolumab is not a cost-effective treatment option compared with chemotherapy from the perspective of Chinese society.

Cost-Effectiveness of ramucirumab plus paclitaxel as a second-line therapy for advanced gastric or gastro-oesophageal cancer in China

AIM

That clinical trial (RAINBOW) showed that a 7.4 months overall survival benefit with the combination therapy with ramucirumab (RAM) and paclitaxel (PAC) as second-line therapy for patients with recurrent or metastatic gastric or gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma, compared with placebo (PLA) plus paclitaxel. We performed an analysis to assess the cost-effectiveness of RAM from a Chinese perspective and recognized the range of drug costs.

METHODS

By building a Markov model to estimate quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life-years (LYs) and lifetime costs. Transition probabilities, costs and utilities were estimated for the published literature, Chinese health care system and local price setting. We performed threshold analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to evaluate the uncertainty of the model.

RESULTS

Compared with PLA strategy, RAM strategy provided an incremental survival benefit of 1.22 LYs and 0.64 QALYs. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that when RAM costs less than $151 or $753 per 4 weeks, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) approximated the willingness-to-pay threshold (WTP), suggesting that there was 50% likelihood that the ICER for RAM + PAC would be less than $44528.4 per QALY or $48121 per QALY, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with advanced gastric or gastro-oesophageal junction adenocarcinoma who fail first-line chemotherapy, our results are conducive to the multilateral drug price guidance negotiations of RAM in China.

Detection and Prognosis of Prostate Cancer Using Blood-Based Biomarkers

Prostate cancer (PCa) is second only to lung cancer as a cause of death. Clinical assessment of patients and treatment efficiency therefore depend on the disease being diagnosed as early as possible. However, due to issues regarding the use of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) for screening purposes, PCa management is among the most contentious of healthcare matters. PSA screening is problematic primarily because of diagnosis difficulties and the high rate of false-positive biopsies. Novel PCa biomarkers, such as the Prostate Health Index (PHI) and the 4Kscore, have been proposed in recent times to improve PSA prediction accuracy and have shown higher performance by preventing redundant biopsies. The 4Kscore also shows high precision in determining the risk of developing high-grade PCa, whereas elevated PHI levels suggest that the tumor is aggressive. Some evidence also supports the effectiveness of miRNAs as biomarkers for distinguishing PCa from benign prostatic hyperplasia and for assessing the aggressiveness of the disease. A number of miRNAs that possibly act as tumor inhibitors or oncogenes are impaired in PCa. These new biomarkers are comprehensively reviewed in the present study in terms of their potential use in diagnosing and treating PCa.

Adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Gastric Cancer: Efficacy and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Purpose: The benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) for localized gastric cancer (GC) after D2-gastrectomy has been clearly demonstrated. However, adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) remains controversial. This study aimed to assess the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of treatment for GC after D2-gastrectomy. Materials and methods: Stage IB-IIICGC patients who had received adjuvant CRT or CT, or who had just been observed after D2-gastrectomy were retrospectively selected. Therapeutic strategy after surgery, disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), adverse events and costs were recorded retrospectively. A Markov model was developed to simulate the process of GC after D2-gastrectomy. Health outcomes were measured using quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was regarded as the primary outcome. Results: A total of 254 patients were selected. Three year OS and DFS were 83.02 and 64.15% in the adjuvant CRT group, 74.19 and 63.54% in the adjuvant CT group, and 45.45 and 43.35% in the observation group. Total grade 3 or 4 toxicity was higher in the CRT group than in the CT group (54.72% vs. 37.10%, p < 0.05). The ICER of the CT and CRT groups vs. the observation group were $10,571.55 and $11,467.41/QALY, respectively. The probability of CT, CRT and observation being cost-effective were 28.9, 37.9, and 33.2%, respectively, when a willingness-to-pay threshold (WTP) of $25,648.45/QALY was used. Conclusions: Adjuvant CRT was associated with improved OS and DFS compared with adjuvant CT and postoperative observation. Both adjuvant CRT and CT are likely to be cost effective compared with postoperative observation. However, adjuvant CRT was the optimal choice for a WTP threshold of $25,648.45/QALY.

Model-Based Economic Evaluation of Ceritinib and Platinum-Based Chemotherapy as First-Line Treatments for Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in China

INTRODUCTION

A trial-based assessment was completed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of ceritinib as a first-line treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with rearrangement of anaplastic lymphoma kinase.

METHODS

Based on the disease situation of advanced NSCLC, a Markov model was constructed to estimate the costs and benefits of ceritinib and platinum-based chemotherapy. The cost information and health utilities were obtained from published literature. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated. The stability of the model was verified by sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

The base case analysis results indicated that compared with platinum-based chemotherapy, ceritinib therapy would increase benefits in a 5-, 10- and 15-year time horizon, with extra costs of $230,661.61, $149,321.52 and $136,414.43 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, respectively. The most sensitive parameter in the model analysis was the cost of ceritinib. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested that at the current price of ceritinib, the chance of ceritinib being cost-effective was 0 at the willingness-to-pay threshold of $27,142.85 per quality-adjusted life-year (three times the per capita gross domestic product of China).

CONCLUSION

As a first-line treatment for advanced NSCLC with rearrangement of anaplastic lymphoma kinase, ceritinib is unlikely to be cost-effective at the current price from the Chinese healthcare perspective. To meet the treatment demands of patients, it may be a better option to reduce the price or provide appropriate drug assistance policies.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of utidelone plus capecitabine for metastatic breast cancer in China

Objective: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of utidelone plus capecitabine therapy compared to capecitabine alone in patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) resistant to anthracyclines and taxanes treatment in the Chinese context and provide a reference for the marketing of utidelone in China. Methods: A Markov model was developed based on the NCT02253459 clinical trial to simulate the clinical course of patients with metastatic breast cancer who had received taxanes and anthracycline therapy. The quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) were then analyzed to evaluate the benefits. Two-parametric Weibull distribution was conducted to fit PFS and OS curves by using R. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the stability of the model designed. Results: The addition of utidelone increased the cost and QALYs by $13,370.25 and 0.1961, respectively, resulting in an increased ICER of $68,180.78 per QALY. The most sensitive influential parameter on ICER was the price of utidelone. At the threshold of willingness-to-pay (WTP) of $24,380 (3 per capita GDP of China), the cost of utidelone per 30 mg of less than $18.5, $33.7, and greater than $48.8 resulted in a 100%, 50%, and 0% possibility of cost-effectiveness, respectively. The addition of utidelone was not cost-effective when it was $115.4 per 30 mg-the price of its analog paclitaxel. In consideration of varied economics levels across China, cost-effectiveness could be achieved with the price of utidelone ranging from $5.2 to $35.9. Limitations: The survival curves extended beyond the follow-up time horizon, of which data were generated not from the real analyses but from our established two-parameter Weibull survival model. Conclusion: It is recommended that the price of utidelone would be less than $18.5 per 30 mg in order to obtain cost-effectiveness for metastatic breast cancer patients resistant to anthracyclines and taxanes treatment in China.

Targeted literature review of the global burden of gastric cancer

Gastric cancer (GC) and gastroesophageal junction cancers (GEJCs) are the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Although several studies have evaluated the epidemiology and management of GC and GEJC, to our knowledge, no global estimates of the economic burden of GC and GEJC have yet been reported. This targeted literature review was conducted to summarise the epidemiology and management of GC and GEJC and to estimate its global economic and humanistic burden. The incidence of GC and GEJC is highest in Eastern Asia, several South and Central American countries and Central and Eastern Europe and lowest in North America and Africa. Prognosis is generally poor; the global 5-year survival rate is 5%-10% in advanced stages. Patients with GC and GEJC have more severe symptoms compared with patients with other cancers, and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) worsens as the disease progresses. Given the rapid progression of GC and GEJC at advanced stages, chemotherapy, despite its toxicity, improves HRQoL compared with best supportive care. The costs of GC/GEJC are generally higher than for other cancers; in the US, the average annual cost per patient between 1998 and 2003 was 46,501 USD, compared with 29,609 USD and 35,672 USD for colorectal and lung cancer, respectively. Based on the 2012 incidence data and average costs per patient, estimates of the annual financial burden of GC and GEJC revealed great regional differences. Japan and Iran had the highest (8,492 million USD) and lowest (27 million USD) costs for 2017, respectively, while the estimate for the US was 3,171 million USD. The overall annual cost of GC and GEJC estimated for 2017 in a geographic area including Europe (France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK), Asia (Iran, Japan and China), North America (Canada and the US) and Australia was 20.6 billion USD.

Immunoclassification characterized by CD8 and PD-L1 expression is associated with the clinical outcome of gastric cancer patients

Background

Gastric cancer (GC) is a major cause of cancer deaths, especially in Eastern Asia. Current classification systems, including the WHO, Lauren, and TCGA, have clarified the pathological and molecular profiles of GC. However, these classifications lack an association with clinical outcome and guidance for medication selection.

Objective

We aimed to identify a new immunoclassification for GC to better predict patient prognosis and aid in patient selection for immunotherapy.

Results

For all samples, 35 were EBV positive (+) and 112 were EBV negative (-). EBV infection was associated with the number of CD3+ T cells (OR = 2.91 95% CI 1.27-6.68, p = 0.012) and PD-L1 expression in TME (OR = 2.57, 95% CI 1.13–5.82, p = 0.024). EBV+ patients showed a poor overall survival (OS) compared with EBV- patients (HR = 2.37; 95% CI, 1.03–5.41; p = 0.011). Importantly, WIR patients lived significantly shorter than SIR patients with high CD8+ T cells and low PD-L1 expression (HR = 3.37; 95% CI, 1.63–6.97; p = 0.015).

Materials and Methods

147 formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded (FFPE) samples of GC were obtained. Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection was measured. Immune markers including CD3, CD8 and PD-L1 were detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC) at tumor infiltration area (TI) and invasive margin area (IM) in tumor microenvironment (TME). PD-L1 expression was assessed by immunoreactive score (IRS) system. For immunoclassification, patients were classified into two subgroups: strong immunoreaction (SIR) and weak immunoreaction (WIR) defined by the number of CD8+ T cells and PD-L1 expression in TI.

Conclusions

In this study, we suggest a new immunoclassification for gastric cancer which is associated with patient outcome and may provide a way to guide immunotherapy in the future.

Adjuvant endocrine monotherapy for postmenopausal early breast cancer patients with hormone-receptor positive: a systemic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In patients with hormone receptor-positive postmenopausal of early stage breast cancer, adjuvant endocrine monotherapies include letrozole, anastrozole, exemestane, toremifene and tamoxifen. But the optimum regimen remains controversial.

METHODS

PubMed, Cochrane Database and ClinicalTrials.gov were systematically reviewed of abstract for randomized-controlled trials (RCTs) to assess the efficacy of tamoxifen, letrozole, exemestane, anastrozle and toremifene for postmenopausal patients with hormone-receptor positive (HR+), who have not received prior therapy for early stage breast cancer. The outcomes were measured by disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). We evaluated relative hazard ratios (HRs) for death of different therapies by combination hazard ratios for death of included trials. The SUCRA values were used to evaluate the rankings of efficacy for these monotherapies.

RESULTS

A total of fourteen studies including 19,517 patients in our research were absorbed and estimated. The superiority of efficacy for DFS were 5-year letrozole and 10-year tamoxifen (SUCRA values 0.743/0.657) in all comparisons. A more efficient SUCRA values for OS were 5-year Exemestane, 5-year letrozole and 10-year tamoxifen (0.756/0.677/0.669).

CONCLUSIONS

Clinically important differences exist between commonly prescribed different adjuvant endocrine monotherapy regimens for both efficacy and acceptability in favor of exemestane and letrozole. 10-year tamoxifen for early breast cancer patients is noninferior to 5-year anastrozle, and might be the best choice where aromatase inhibitors (AIs) are not easy to acquire.

EBV infection and MSI status significantly influence the clinical outcomes of gastric cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and microsatellite instability (MSI) are associated with the carcinogenesis of many kinds of tumors, including gastric cancer (GC). However, the impact of EBV and MSI status on the prognosis of stage II and III GC is still unclear. The aim of this study was to find out the prognostic value of EBV and MSI status in a population of GC patients from Southern China.

METHODS

Patients were genotyped for EBV infection based on the detection of EBV DNA from the formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) specimens. Sequentially, MSI status was measured by direct sequencing. Clinical characteristics and overall survival (OS) were analyzed in 202 GC patients. Additionally, the association of EBV and MSI status with chemotherapy-based toxicity was analyzed in 324 GC patients.

RESULTS

The survival analysis revealed EBV+ patients had a poorer OS than EBV- patients (HR=1.75, 95% CI: 1.08-2.82, FDR p=0.04). This survival advantage for EBV- patients was also found in patients <60y (FDR p=0.04) and patient with stage III disease (FDR p=0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

EBV infection and MSI status are associated with overall survival of gastric cancer patients. However, traditional chemotherapy showed no difference on outcome of patients in EBV and MSI subgroups.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of adjuvant chemotherapies in patients presenting with gastric cancer after D2 gastrectomy

Background

To analyze and compare the economic outcomes of adjuvant chemotherapy with capecitabine plus oxaliplatin (referred to as the XELOX strategy) and of S-1 (the S-1 strategy) for gastric cancer patients after D2 gastrectomy.

Methods

A Markov model was developed to simulate the lifetime disease course associated with stage II or III gastric cancer after D2 gastrectomy. The lifetime quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), associated costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated. The clinical data were derived from the results of pilot studies. Direct costs were estimated from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system, and the utility data were measured from end-point observations of Chinese patients. Sensitivity analyses were used to explore the impact of uncertainty on the model’s outcomes.

Results

The combined adjuvant chemotherapy strategy with XELOX yielded the greatest increase in QALYs over the course of the disease (8.1 QALYs compared with 7.8 QALYs for the S-1 strategy and 6.2 for surgery alone). The incremental cost per QALY gained using the XELOX strategy was significantly lower than that for the S-1 strategy ($3,502 vs. $6,837, respectively). The results were sensitive to the costs of oxaliplatin and the hazard ratio of relapse-free survival.

Conclusion

The observations reported herein suggest that adjuvant therapy with capecitabine plus oxaliplatin is a highly cost-effective strategy and more favorable treatment option than the S-1 strategy in patients with stage II or III gastric cancer who have undergone D2 gastrectomy.

Management of gastric cancer in Asia: resource-stratified guidelines

Gastric cancer is the fourth most common cancer globally, and is the second most common cause of death from cancer worldwide. About three-quarters of newly diagnosed cases in 2008 were from Asian countries. With a high mortality-to-incidence ratio, management of gastric cancer is challenging. We discuss evidence for optimum management of gastric cancer in aspects of screening and early detection, diagnosis, and staging; endoscopic and surgical intervention; and the concepts of perioperative, postoperative, and palliative chemotherapy and use of molecularly targeted therapy. Recommendations are formulated on the basis of the framework provided by the Breast Health Global Initiative, using the categories of basic, limited, enhanced, and maximum level. We aim to provide a stepwise strategy for management of gastric cancer applicable to different levels of health-care resources in Asian countries.