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Goh EL, Khatri A, Costa AB, Ting A, Steiner K, Png ME, Metcalfe D, Cook JA, Costa ML. Prevalence of complications in older adults after hip fracture surgery : a systematic review and meta-analysis. Bone Joint J 2025; 107-B:139-148. [PMID: 39889748 DOI: 10.1302/0301-620x.107b2.bjj-2024-0251.r1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2025]
Abstract
Aims Older adults with hip fractures are at high risk of experiencing complications after surgery, but estimates of the rate of specific complications vary by study design and follow-up period. The aim of this systematic review was to determine the prevalence of complications in older adults after hip fracture surgery. Methods MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and CENTRAL databases were searched from inception until 30 June 2023. Studies were included if they reported prevalence data of complications in an unselected, consecutive population of older adults (aged ≥ 60 years) undergoing hip fracture surgery. Results A total of 95 studies representing 2,521,300 patients were included. For surgery-specific complications, the 30-day prevalence of reoperation was 2.31%, surgical site infection 1.69%, and deep surgical site infection 0.98%; the 365-day prevalence of prosthesis dislocation was 1.11%, fixation failure 1.77%, and periprosthetic or peri-implant fracture 2.23%. For general complications, the 30-day prevalence of acute kidney injury was 1.21%, blood transfusion 25.55%, cerebrovascular accident 0.79%, lower respiratory tract infection 4.08%, myocardial infarction 1.98%, urinary tract infection 7.01%, and venous thromboembolism 2.15%. Conclusion Complications are prevalent in older adults who have had surgery for a hip fracture. Studies reporting complications after hip fracture surgery varied widely in terms of quality, and we advocate for the routine monitoring of complications in registries and clinical trials to improve the quality of evidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- En Lin Goh
- Oxford Trauma and Emergency Care, Kadoorie Centre, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Amulya Khatri
- Department of Trauma and Orthopaedics, Stepping Hill Hospital, Stockport NHS Foundation Trust, Stockport, UK
| | - Alexander B Costa
- Oxford Trauma and Emergency Care, Kadoorie Centre, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew Ting
- Department of Trauma and Orthopaedics, St Helier Hospital, Epsom and St Helier University Hospitals NHS Trust, Carshalton, UK
| | - Kat Steiner
- Bodleian Health Care Libraries, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - May Ee Png
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - David Metcalfe
- Oxford Trauma and Emergency Care, Kadoorie Centre, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jonathan A Cook
- Oxford Clinical Trials Research Unit, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Matthew L Costa
- Oxford Trauma and Emergency Care, Kadoorie Centre, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Guo J, Geng Q, Xu K, Jing W, Li Z, He J, Pan Y, Li Y, Wang T, Long Y, Hou Z, Xu X, Xu P. Development and validation of models for predicting mortality in intertrochanteric fracture surgery patients with perioperative blood transfusion: a prospective multicenter cohort study. Int J Surg 2024; 110:4754-4766. [PMID: 38652158 PMCID: PMC11325989 DOI: 10.1097/js9.0000000000001472] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2023] [Accepted: 03/31/2024] [Indexed: 04/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The association between allogenic blood transfusions and all-cause mortality in surgically treated hip fracture patients with perioperative transfusion (STHFPT) remained unknown. The authors aim to introduce transfusion-related factors, new variables to develop, and validate models to predict mortality in these patients. METHODS A prospective multicenter cohort study was conducted with STHFPT hospitalized during January 2018 and June 2021. The database was divided into training cohort and validation cohort in a ratio of 70-30% using the randomization method. All participants received a minimum of 2-year follow-up and all participants' overall and eight time-specific survival status were recorded. Prediction models were developed using multivariate logistic regression and Cox regression for variable selection. Model performance was measured by determining discrimination, calibration, overall model performance or precision, and utility. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test robustness of the results. RESULTS A total of 7074 consecutive patients were prospectively screened and assessed for eligibility to participate. Finally, 2490 patients met our inclusion and exclusion criteria and 1743 (70%) patients were randomized to the training cohort and 747 (30%) to the validation cohort. The median duration of follow-up was 38.4 months (IQR 28.0-62.0). Our novel models highlight that preoperative transfusion is of significance for short-term mortality while mid-term outcomes are predominantly determined by severe complications, pulmonary complications, and advanced age. Our models showed high discriminative power, good calibration, and precision for mortality prediction in both training and validation cohorts, especially in short-term mortality prediction. CONCLUSIONS The authors introduce transfusion-related factors, new variables to develop, and validate models to predict mortality with STHFPT. The models can be further tested and updated with the ultimate goal of assisting in optimizing individual transfusion strategy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junfei Guo
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Qian Geng
- Department of Nursing, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University
| | - Ke Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Wensen Jing
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Zheng Li
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Jinwen He
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Ying Pan
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Yanan Li
- Department of Anesthesiology, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University
| | - Tao Wang
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang
| | - Yubin Long
- Department of Orthopedics Surgery, Baoding First Central Hospital, Baoding
| | - Zhiyong Hou
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province
- NHC Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopedic Equipment (Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University), Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xin Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
| | - Peng Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi
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Guo J, Xu X, Geng Q, Wang T, Xu K, He J, Long Y, Zhang Q, Jing W, Li Z, Pan Y, Xu P, Hou Z. Efficacy of surgical intervention over conservative management in intertrochanteric fractures among nonagenarians and centenarians: a prospective cohort study. Int J Surg 2024; 110:2708-2720. [PMID: 38376871 DOI: 10.1097/js9.0000000000001143] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2023] [Accepted: 01/25/2024] [Indexed: 02/21/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Optimal treatment strategy for nonagenarians and centenarians with hip fractures (NCHF) remained unknown. The authors aimed to compare the outcomes of surgical and conservative management in NCHF. METHODS A prospective cohort study was conducted based on CPMHF database with NCHF patients hospitalized during 2014-2020. Comorbidities were evaluated by mECM score and restricted cubic spline was utilized to visually assess the dose-effect relationship between the mECM and outcomes. Propensity score matching was performed to balance baseline characteristics between nonsurgical and surgical groups. Multivariate logistic regression, Cox proportional hazard analysis, and survival analysis were employed for unfavorable outcomes (UFO) evaluation. Competing risk of death were analyzed based on Fine and Gray's hazard model and then constructed nomogram models for predicting survival rates. Subgroup analyses were used to determine potential population heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses were performed to test robustness of the results. RESULTS The authors found increasing trends for UFO with the increase in the mECM score, and that high mECM score (HMS, ≥3) was independently associated with a 2.42-fold (95% CI: 2.07-3.54; P =0.024) increased risk of UFO, which remained significant after considering the competing role of death and were more pronounced in nonsurgical treatment, women, no insurance, and patients with spouse (all P for interaction <0.05). Surgical intervention was identified to be significant protective factors for UFO (RR, 0.59; 95% CI: 0.46-0.75; P <0.001) and severe complications (RR, 0.63; 95% CI: 0.41-0.96; P =0.033) after propensity score matching, as well as survival (HR, 0.40, 95% CI: 0.28-0.58; P <0.001), which remained significant after considering the competing role of death and in all sensitivity analyses and were more pronounced in HMS participants ( P for interaction=0.006). Subgroup analyses revealed surgical patients with HMS had a significantly higher UFO rate (excluding death, P <0.001) while nonsurgical patients with HMS had higher mortality rate as compared to the others ( P =0.005). CONCLUSION Surgical treatment for NCHF yields better outcomes compared to conservative treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junfei Guo
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi
| | - Xin Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi
| | | | - Tao Wang
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery
| | - Ke Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi
| | - Jinwen He
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi
| | | | | | - Wensen Jing
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi
| | - Zheng Li
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi
| | - Ying Pan
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi
| | - Peng Xu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi
| | - Zhiyong Hou
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery
- NHC Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopedic Equipment (Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University)
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China
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Cong B, Zhang H. The association between three-dimensional measurement of posterior tilt angle in impacted femoral neck fractures and osteonecrosis of the femoral head. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 2023; 24:758. [PMID: 37749561 PMCID: PMC10521439 DOI: 10.1186/s12891-023-06874-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2023] [Accepted: 09/12/2023] [Indexed: 09/27/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hollow screw internal fixation is commonly used in clinical treatment of impacted femoral neck fractures. Previous studies have demonstrated a correlation between the preoperative posterior tilt angle of the femoral head and failure of internal fixation, but there are fewer studies related to the occurrence of postoperative femoral head necrosis and the posterior tilt angle. METHODS To examine the relationship between three-dimensional posterior tilt angle measurements in affected femoral neck fractures and postoperative osteonecrosis of the femoral head and related risk variables. We retrospectively examined 130 Yantaishan Hospital patients with affected femoral neck fractures from 2019 to 2022. Three-dimensional reconstruction technology assessed the posterior tilt angle of the femoral head and separated patients into necrosis and non-necrosis groups based on postoperative femoral head necrosis. Univariate analysis compared clinical data between groups, and multivariate logistic regression analyzed risk variables for femoral head necrosis. Postoperative femoral head necrosis was predicted by posterior tilt angle using Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS Out of 130 patients who were followed up for 16-68 months postoperatively, 20 developed femoral head necrosis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that the posterior tilt angle and reduction quality level C were risk factors for the occurrence of femoral head necrosis. The ROC curve analysis showed that the three-dimensional measurement of the posterior tilt angle had predictive value for postoperative femoral head necrosis, with a cut-off value of 20.6°. CONCLUSIONS These results suggest that, for patients with impacted femoral neck fractures, the posterior tilt angle and reduction quality level C are risk factors for femoral head necrosis following closed reduction and internal fixation surgery. Fracture patients with a posterior tilt angle ≥ 20.6°are more likely to experience postoperative femoral head necrosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bo Cong
- Yantai Key Laboratory for Repair and Reconstruction of Bone & Joint, Yantaishan Hospital Affiliated to Binzhou Medical University, Laishan District, 10087 Keji Avenue, Yantai, 264003, China
| | - Haiguang Zhang
- Yantai Key Laboratory for Repair and Reconstruction of Bone & Joint, Yantaishan Hospital Affiliated to Binzhou Medical University, Laishan District, 10087 Keji Avenue, Yantai, 264003, China.
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Huh JW, Seo HE, Lee DH, Yoo JH. Risk Factors of the 2-Year Mortality after Bipolar Hemiarthroplasty for Displaced Femoral Neck Fracture. Hip Pelvis 2023; 35:164-174. [PMID: 37727299 PMCID: PMC10505842 DOI: 10.5371/hp.2023.35.3.164] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2023] [Revised: 06/26/2023] [Accepted: 06/27/2023] [Indexed: 09/21/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose This study investigates the relationship between preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR), albumin, and 2-year mortality in elderly patients having hemiarthroplasty for displaced femoral neck fracture (FNF). Materials and Methods We retrospectively reviewed 284 elderly patients who underwent hemiarthroplasty for Garden type IV FNF from September 2014 to September 2020. Using the receiver operating characteristic curve, optimal cutoff values for LCR, NLR, and albumin were established, and patients were categorized as low or high. Associations with 2-year mortality were evaluated through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Results Of the 284 patients, 124 patients (45.9%) died within 2 years post-surgery. The optimal cutoff values were: LCR at 7.758 (specificity 58.5%, sensitivity 25.0%), NLR at 3.854 (specificity 39.2%, sensitivity 40.0%), and albumin at 3.750 (specificity 65.9%, sensitivity 21.9%). Patients with low LCR (<7.758), high NLR (≥3.854), and low albumin (<3.750) had a statistically significant reduced survival time compared to their counterparts. Conclusion Lower preoperative LCR and albumin levels, along with higher NLR, effectively predict 2-year mortality and 30-day post-surgery complications in elderly patients with Garden type IV FNF undergoing hemiarthroplasty.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jung Wook Huh
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Busan Medical Center, Busan, Korea
| | - Han Eol Seo
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Busan Medical Center, Busan, Korea
| | - Dong Ha Lee
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Busan Medical Center, Busan, Korea
| | - Jae Heung Yoo
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Busan Medical Center, Busan, Korea
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The Effect of Hematocrit on All-Cause Mortality in Geriatric Patients with Hip Fractures: A Prospective Cohort Study. J Clin Med 2023; 12:jcm12052010. [PMID: 36902799 PMCID: PMC10004393 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12052010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2023] [Revised: 02/26/2023] [Accepted: 03/01/2023] [Indexed: 03/06/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The present study aimed to evaluate the association between hematocrit (HCT) levels and all-cause mortality in geriatric hip fractures. METHODS Older adult patients with hip fractures were screened between January 2015 and September 2019. The demographic and clinical characteristics of these patients were collected. Linear and nonlinear multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify the association between HCT levels and mortality. Analyses were performed using EmpowerStats and the R software. RESULTS A total of 2589 patients were included in this study. The mean follow-up period was 38.94 months. Eight hundred and seventy-five (33.8%) patients died due to all-cause mortality. Linear multivariate Cox regression models showed that HCT level was associated with mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.96-0.99, p = 0.0002) after adjusting for confounding factors. However, the linear association was unstable and nonlinearity was identified. A HCT level of 28% was the inflection point for prediction. A HCT level of <28% was associated with mortality (HR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.87-0.95, p < 0.0001), whereas a HCT level > 28% was not a risk factor for mortality (HR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.97-1.01, p = 0.3792). We found that the nonlinear association was very stable in the propensity score-matching sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS The HCT level was nonlinearly associated with mortality in geriatric hip fracture patients and could be considered a predictor of mortality in these patients. REGISTRATION ChiCTR2200057323.
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Yang S, Long Y, Wang T, Guo J, Hou Z. Predictors for surgical site infection after fasciotomy in patients with acute leg compartment syndrome. J Orthop Surg Res 2023; 18:98. [PMID: 36782284 PMCID: PMC9926640 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-023-03589-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2023] [Accepted: 02/07/2023] [Indexed: 02/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Surgical site infection (SSI) is one of the most common complications of orthopedic surgery, which can result in fever, pain, and even life-threatening sepsis. This study aimed to determine the predictors of SSI after fasciotomy in patients with acute leg compartment syndrome (ALCS). METHODS We collected information on 125 ALCS patients who underwent fasciotomy in two hospitals between November 2013 and January 2021. Patients with SSI were considered as the SSI group and those without SSI as the non-SSI group. Univariate analysis, logistic regression analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to evaluate patient demographics, comorbidities, and admission laboratory examinations. RESULTS In our research, the rate of SSI (26 of 125) was 20.8%. Several predictors of SSI were found using univariate analysis, including body mass index (BMI) (p = 0.001), patients with open fractures (p = 0.003), and patients with a history of smoking (p = 0.004). Besides, the levels of neutrophil (p = 0.022), glucose (p = 0.041), globulin (p = 0.010), and total carbon dioxide were higher in the SSI group than in the non-SSI group. According to the results of the logistic regression analysis, patients with open fractures (p = 0.023, OR 3.714), patients with a history of smoking (p = 0.010, OR 4.185), and patients with a higher BMI (p = 0.014, OR 1.209) were related predictors of SSI. Furthermore, ROC curve analysis indicated 24.69 kg/m2 as the cut-off value of BMI to predict SSI. CONCLUSIONS Our results revealed open fractures, BMI, and smoking history as independent risk factors for SSI following fasciotomy in patients with ALCS and determined the cut-off value of BMI, enabling us to individualize the evaluation of the risk for SSI to implement early targeted treatments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuo Yang
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, 050051 Hebei People’s Republic of China
| | - Yubin Long
- grid.452209.80000 0004 1799 0194Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei People’s Republic of China ,Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, 050051 Hebei People’s Republic of China ,The Third Department of Orthopedics, Baoding First Central Hospital, Baoding, Hebei People’s Republic of China
| | - Tao Wang
- grid.452209.80000 0004 1799 0194Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei People’s Republic of China ,Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, 050051 Hebei People’s Republic of China
| | - Junfei Guo
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China. .,Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
| | - Zhiyong Hou
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, People's Republic of China. .,Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China. .,NHC Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopaedic Equipment (The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University), Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China.
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Cheng X, Liu Y, Wang W, Yan J, Lei X, Wu H, Zhang Y, Zhu Y. Preoperative Risk Factor Analysis and Dynamic Online Nomogram Development for Early Infections Following Primary Hip Arthroplasty in Geriatric Patients with Hip Fracture. Clin Interv Aging 2022; 17:1873-1883. [PMID: 36575659 PMCID: PMC9790145 DOI: 10.2147/cia.s392393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2022] [Accepted: 12/13/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Hip arthroplasty is in increasing demand with the aging of the world population, and early infections, such as pneumonia, surgical site infection (SSI), and urinary tract infection (UTI), are uncommon but fatal complications following hip arthroplasty. This study aimed to identify preoperative risk factors independently associated with early infections following primary arthroplasty in geriatric hip fracture patients, and to develop a prediction nomogram. Methods Univariate and multivariate logistical analyses were performed to identify the independent risk factors for early infections, which were combined and transformed into a nomogram model. The prediction model was evaluated by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Hosmer-Lemeshow test, concordance index (C-index), 1000 bootstrap replications, decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration curve. Results One thousand eighty-four eligible patients got included and 7 preoperative variables were identified to be independently associated with early infections, including heart disease (odds ratio (OR): 2.17; P: 0.026), cerebrovascular disease (OR: 2.25; P: 0.019), liver disease (OR: 8.99; P: <0.001), time to surgery (OR: 1.10; P: 0.012), hematocrit (<lower limit; OR: 3.72; P: 0.015), the platelet-to-mean platelet volume ratio (PMR; >44.52; OR: 2.73; P: 0.047), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (HCRP; >78.64mg/L; OR: 3.71; P: <0.001). For the nomogram model, AUC was 0.807 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.742-0.873), the Hosmer-Lemeshow test demonstrated no overfitting (P = 0.522), and C-index was 0.807 (95% CI: 0.742-0.872) with corrected value of 0.784 after 1000 bootstrapping validations. Moreover, the calibration curve and DCA exhibited the tools' good prediction consistency and clinical practicability. Conclusion Heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, liver disease, time to surgery, hematocrit, PMR, and HCRP were significant preoperative predictors for early infections following primary arthroplasty in elderly hip fracture patients, and the converted nomogram model had strong discriminatory ability and translatability to clinical application.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinqun Cheng
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, the 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China,Hebei Orthopedic Research Institute, Key Laboratory of Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yan Liu
- Cheeloo College of Medicine, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, 250012, People’s Republic of China
| | - Weitong Wang
- Department of Marketing and International Business, Lingnan University, Hong Kong, People’s Republic of China
| | - Jincheng Yan
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, the 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xiang Lei
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, the 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Haifeng Wu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, the 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yingze Zhang
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, the 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China,Hebei Orthopedic Research Institute, Key Laboratory of Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China,Correspondence: Yingze Zhang; Yanbin Zhu, Hebei Bone Research Institute, Key Laboratory of Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China, Email ;
| | - Yanbin Zhu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, the 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China,Hebei Orthopedic Research Institute, Key Laboratory of Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
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Du P, Guo J, Zhu Y, Cui Y, Li J, Feng Z, Hou Z, Zhang Y. Incidence and risk factors associated with postoperative surgical site infection in younger adults with hip fractures: a case-control study. INTERNATIONAL ORTHOPAEDICS 2022; 46:2953-2962. [PMID: 36222882 DOI: 10.1007/s00264-022-05607-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2022] [Accepted: 10/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Hip fracture is associated with high morbidity and mortality. The most common complication after hip fracture is surgical site infection (SSI). The goal was to investigate risks associated with SSI in young adults who underwent surgery for hip fractures. METHODS We conducted a case-control study enrolling 1243 patients from Jan 2015 to Dec 2019. This study investigated the multifaceted factors including demographics, lifestyles, comorbidities, surgical variables, and laboratory test results. Patients were divided into the case group (developed SSI) and control group (not developed SSI). Univariate analyses and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the risk factors independently associated with SSI. RESULTS A total of 25 patients including 16 (1.8%) in femoral neck fracture and nine (2.5%) in intertrochanteric fracture developed SSI post-operatively, with an accumulated incidence rate of 2.0%. Among them, four cases (1.6%) were deep SSI and 21 cases (98.4%) were superficial SSI. In most cases, Staphylococcus aureus caused the infections. Diabetes mellitus (OR 4.05, 95%CI: 1.08-15.23, P = 0.038), cerebrovascular disease (OR 3.71, 95%CI: 1.14-12.03, P = 0.029), heart disease (OR 6.23, 95%CI: 1.81-21.48, P = 0.004), and operative time (OR 1.01, 95%CI: 1.01-1.02, P = 0.002) in femoral neck fractures while ALP (> upper limit) (OR 33.39, 95%CI: 2.21-504.89, P = 0.011) and CK (> upper limit) (OR 40.97, 95%CI: 1.70-989.31, P = 0.022) in intertrochanteric fractures were found to be significantly associated with SSI. CONCLUSION Targeted pre-operative management, depending on the patients' fracture type and risk factors, should be developed to reduce post-operative SSI rates of younger adults with hip fracture.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pei Du
- Department of Infection Control and Prevention, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
- Department of Epidemiology and Statistics, Hebei Key Laboratory of Environment and Human Health, School of Public Health, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Junfei Guo
- Department of Orthopaedics Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
- Orthopaedic Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, China
- Key Laboratory of Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Yanbin Zhu
- Department of Orthopaedics Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China
- Orthopaedic Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, China
- Key Laboratory of Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Yi Cui
- Department of Infection Control and Prevention, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Jianmei Li
- Department of Infection Control and Prevention, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Zhongjun Feng
- Department of Infection Control and Prevention, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Zhiyong Hou
- Department of Orthopaedics Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China.
- Orthopaedic Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, China.
- Key Laboratory of Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, China.
- NHC Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopaedic Equipment, Shijiazhuang, China.
| | - Yingze Zhang
- Department of Orthopaedics Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050051, China.
- Orthopaedic Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, China.
- Key Laboratory of Biomechanics of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, China.
- NHC Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopaedic Equipment, Shijiazhuang, China.
- Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing, China.
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Zhu J, Cheng X, Li Y, Bai L, Su Z. Low lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio relates to high 1-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing hemiarthroplasty for displaced femoral neck facture. J Orthop Surg Res 2022; 17:512. [PMID: 36434736 PMCID: PMC9700922 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-022-03406-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2021] [Accepted: 11/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein (CRP) ratio (LCR) is a novel biomarker for predicting poor prognosis in many diseases. This study aims to analyze the association between preoperative LCR and 1-year mortality in elderly patients with displaced FNF undergoing hemiarthroplasty. METHODS Between May 2017 and May 2019, a retrospective study including 364 elderly patients undergoing hemiarthroplasty for displaced FNF was performed. LCR was defined as the ratio of preoperative lymphocyte count to CRP level. The optimal cutoff value of LCR was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve, and all patients were categorized into low-LCR group and high-LCR group accordingly. The relationship between LCR and 1-year mortality was evaluated by using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Furthermore, the complications within 30 days after surgery, length of hospital stay, and perioperative red blood cell transfusion were also analyzed stratified by LCR. RESULTS A total of 47 patients (12.9%) died within 1-year follow-up after surgery. The optimal cutoff value for LCR was 30,560 (specificity 76.6% and sensitivity 63.4%). Low-LCR (≤ 30,560) group had a higher mortality rate than high-LCR group (23.53% vs. 5.21%, P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, low LCR, hypoalbuminemia, and Age-Adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥ 6 were identified as independent predictors for 1-year mortality. Moreover, low level of LCR was associated with high rate of total complications (19.6% vs. 11.4%, P = 0.029), perioperative transfusions (37.9% vs. 27.0%, P = 0.027), and longer hospital stay (7.84 ± 2.40 vs. 7.30 ± 2.32, P = 0.031). CONCLUSIONS The low level of preoperative LCR can effectively predict 1-year mortality and 30-day total complications after surgery in elderly patients with displaced FNF undergoing hemiarthroplasty.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian Zhu
- grid.470966.aDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Science, No. 99, Longcheng Street, Taiyuan, 030032 Shanxi Province China
| | - Xiaodong Cheng
- grid.452209.80000 0004 1799 0194Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050051 China
| | - Yonglong Li
- grid.452209.80000 0004 1799 0194Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, 050051 China
| | - Liping Bai
- grid.470966.aDepartment of Anesthesiology, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Science, No. 99, Longcheng Street, Taiyuan, 030032 Shanxi Province China
| | - Zhongyi Su
- grid.470966.aDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Science, No. 99, Longcheng Street, Taiyuan, 030032 Shanxi Province China
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11
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Özden F. Letter to the editor "Effects of a continuous nursing care model on elderly patients with total hip arthroplasty: a randomized controlled trial" by Guo et al. Aging Clin Exp Res 2022; 34:2911-2912. [PMID: 35103952 DOI: 10.1007/s40520-022-02086-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2021] [Accepted: 01/26/2022] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Fatih Özden
- Elderly Care Department, Köyceğiz Vocational School of Health Services, Muğla Sıtkı Koçman University, Muğla, Turkey.
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12
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Zheng X, Xiao C, Xie Z, Liu L, Chen Y. Prediction Models for Prognosis of Femoral Neck–Fracture Patients 6 Months after Total Hip Arthroplasty. Int J Gen Med 2022; 15:4339-4356. [PMID: 35480995 PMCID: PMC9037899 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s347425] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2021] [Accepted: 03/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose To establish prediction models for 6-month prognosis in femoral neck–fracture patients receiving total hip arthroplasty (THA). Patients and Methods In total, 182 computed tomography image pairs from 85 patients were collected and divided into a training set (n=127) and testing set (n=55). Least absolute shrinkage–selection operator regression was used for selecting optimal predictors. A random-forest algorithm was used to establish the prediction models, which were evaluated for accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and area under the curve (AUC). Results The best model in this study was constructed based on demographic data, preoperative laboratory indicators, and three preoperative radiomic features. In the random-forest model, activated partial thromboplastin time, a preoperative radiomic feature (maximum diameter), and fibrinogen were important variables correlating with patient outcomes. The AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy in the training set were 0.986 (95% CI 0.971–1), 0.925 (95% CI 0.862–0.988), 0.983 (95% CI 0.951–1.016), 0.984 (95% CI 0.953–1.014), 0.922 (95% CI 0.856–0.988), and 0.953 (95% CI 0.916–0.990), respectively. The AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy in the testing set were 0.949 (95% CI 0.885–1), 0.767 (95% CI 0.615–0.918), 1 (95% CI 1–1), 1 (95% CI 1–1), 0.781 (95% CI 0.638–0.924), and 0.873 (95% CI 0.785–0.961), respectively. Conclusion The model based on demographic, preoperative clinical, and preoperative radiomic data showed the best predictive ability for 6-month prognosis in the femoral neck–fracture patients receiving THA.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaofeng Zheng
- Department of Orthopedics, Third Hospital of Mianyang Sichuan Mental Health Center, Mianyang, Sichuan, 621000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Cong Xiao
- Department of Orthopedics, Third Hospital of Mianyang Sichuan Mental Health Center, Mianyang, Sichuan, 621000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Zhuocheng Xie
- Department of Orthopedics, Sichuan Science City Hospital, Mianyang, Sichuan, 621000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Lijuan Liu
- Department of Orthopedics, Third Hospital of Mianyang Sichuan Mental Health Center, Mianyang, Sichuan, 621000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yinhua Chen
- Department of Orthopedics, Third Hospital of Mianyang Sichuan Mental Health Center, Mianyang, Sichuan, 621000, People’s Republic of China
- Correspondence: Yinhua Chen, Department of Orthopedics, Third Hospital of Mianyang Sichuan Mental Health Center, 190 East Jiannan Road, Youxian, Mianyang, Sichuan, 621000, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86-139-9014-7729, Email
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