Noninvasive assessment of coronary artery disease

Decreased renal function is an independent predictor of severity of coronary artery disease: an application of Gensini score

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the leading cause of death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).Although many studies have shown a higher prevalence of CAD among these patients, the association between the spectrum of renal dysfunction and severity of CAD remains unclear. In this study, we investigate the association between renal function and the severity of CAD. We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 1,192 patients who underwent elective coronary angiography (CAG). The severity of CAD was evaluated by Gensini score according to the degree of luminal narrowing and location(s) of obstruction in the involved main coronary artery. In all patients, the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was independently associated with Gensini score (β=-0.27, P < 0.001) in addition to diabetes mellitus (β=0.07, P = 0.02), hypertension (β=0.12, P < 0.001), low density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol (β=0.08, P = 0.003), and hemoglobin (β=-0.07, P = 0.03) after controlling for other confounding factors. The result of this study demonstrates that decreased renal function is associated not only with the prevalence, but also the severity, of CAD.

A perspective on standardizing the predictive power of noninvasive cardiovascular tests by likelihood ratio computation: 2. Clinical applications

Likelihood ratio measures may be used as a standard for expressing the predictive power of noninvasive cardiovascular tests, calculated from sensitivity and specificity measures or as ratios of the predictive value odds to pretest odds for positive and negative test results. The positive likelihood ratio, (+)LR, expresses the power of a positive test result to augment an estimate of disease probability independent of the pretest prevalence of disease in a given population; the negative likelihood ratio, (-)LR, expresses the power of a negative test result to augment an estimate of the probability of no disease independent of the pretest prevalence of no disease in the same population. The likelihood ratio principle is applicable to the evaluation of the predictive power of single or combined test results reported for either dichotomous or continuous end points. This part of the perspective exemplifies application of the likelihood ratio principle in a wide variety of testing conditions for coronary artery disease followed by a discussion of the limitations of likelihood ratio computation in test power evaluation. Likelihood ratios provide a more concise and unambiguous standard for calibrating the predictive power of single and combined noninvasive cardiovascular test results than are provided by measures of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value.

Incremental value of simultaneous assessment of myocardial function and perfusion with technetium-99m sestamibi for prediction of extent of coronary artery disease

OBJECTIVES

This study assessed the incremental value of technetium-99m myocardial single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and simultaneous first-pass radionuclide angiography, when added to treadmill exercise, for prediction of the extent of coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND

Technetium-99m count statistics permit the simultaneous assessment of myocardial perfusion and function. However, whether this characteristic improves prediction of the extent of coronary artery disease remains unknown.

METHODS

We studied 70 consecutive patients who had coronary angiography within 6 months of the scintigraphic study. All patients underwent a symptom-limited treadmill exercise test. Treadmill data were summarized using a previously validated score. Left ventricular ejection fraction and regional wall motion were evaluated from a first-pass radionuclide angiogram acquired at peak treadmill exercise in the anterior view. Perfusion was assessed visually. Extent of angiographic disease was expressed as the presence or absence of multivessel disease (more than two coronary artery territories with > 50% stenosis) and as a score that reflects the location of severe (> 75%) stenosis.

RESULTS

Stepwise addition of scintigraphic data (perfusion first, followed by function) to the treadmill score showed significant incremental value for prediction of the angiographic score at each step; exercise ejection fraction alone was the strongest independent predictor. Discriminant accuracy for detection of multivessel disease was also improved by the addition of perfusion information to the treadmill score and addition of regional wall motion analysis to both of them. In this case, ejection fraction failed to show independent value.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of simultaneously performed sestamibi perfusion SPECT and first-pass radionuclide angiography to the treadmill exercise test significantly improved prediction of the extent of coronary artery disease.

Prognostic value of exercise radionuclide angiography in a population-based cohort of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease

Five hundred thirty-six residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, who underwent supine rest and exercise radionuclide angiography because of known or suspected coronary artery disease, were followed for a median of 46 months to determine the prognostic value of exercise radionuclide angiography in a community population who generally did not undergo coronary angiography. There were 71 persons who experienced a new cardiac event (the initial events were cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction in 26 and 45 persons, respectively). A proportional-hazards model identified 4 independent predictors of cardiac events: exercise ejection fraction (p < 0.001), exercise heart rate (p < 0.001), and age (p = 0.04). Four-year infarct-free survival was 98% for the 152 patients with a peak exercise heart rate at or above the median (122 beats/min) and an exercise ejection fraction at or above the median (0.58). In the 150 patients with a peak exercise heart rate < 122 beats/min and an exercise ejection fraction < 0.58, 4-year infarct-free survival was 68%. When this population-based cohort was compared with a referral case series previously reported from our institution, these population-based patients were significantly more likely to be men, to have typical angina, to have higher exercise heart rates and exercise ejection fractions, and were less likely to be receiving beta-receptor antagonist therapy. At each level of exercise ejection fraction, the population-based patients had a slightly but insignificantly greater risk than referral patients for subsequent cardiac events. These population-based data provide strong evidence of the prognostic value of exercise radionuclide angiography in community practice.

First-pass radionuclide cineangiography: a reevaluation of its sensitivity and limitations in the detection of significant coronary artery disease

The sensitivity of first-pass cineangiography in the detection of significant coronary artery disease (CAD) was recently assessed in 33 patients. No normal controls were studied. Overall sensitivity was 86% with a predictive value of 83% and a 36% false-positive rate. Attainment of an adequate exercise end point increased sensitivity to 92%; failure to achieve this end point diminished sensitivity to 71%. Correlation between first-pass and contrast angiography ejection fractions was high (r = 0.88, p less than .005) with a moderate correlation in wall motion analysis (r = 0.58, p less than .005). The development or the intensification of a wall motion abnormality (WMA) was the single most sensitive indicator of CAD (84%). Presence of WMA plus failure of the ejection fraction to increase by 6% over baseline increased testing sensitivity to 89%. The mean WMA score for patients with CAD was 2.0 +/- 1.5 compared with 0.6 +/- 1.3 for those with normal study results (p less than .01). The first-pass method identified 4 subjects who subsequently had normal findings from catheterization. Data confirm testing sensitivity of the first-pass technique and underscore the apparent limitations of this modality in differentiation of patients with normal vasculature.

Measurement of myocardium at risk by technetium-99m sestamibi: correlation with coronary angiography

Previous studies have shown that tomographic perfusion imaging with technetium-99m sestamibi (RP-30A) can accurately measure the myocardium at risk during acute myocardial infarction. The ability of coronary angiography to predict the wide variability in myocardium at risk was studied in 21 patients with their first acute myocardial infarction. In blinded fashion, two experienced angiographers provided an overall "best estimate" of the percent of left ventricular myocardium at risk considering multiple angiographic variables--infarct-related artery, location of stenosis (proximal or nonproximal), vessel diameter, length, territory and the number and size of proximal branches and collateral vessels. Many of these individual variables showed a significant association with myocardium at risk. The most important angiographic variable was the mean best estimate of the two angiographers (r = 0.89, p less than 0.0001). However, the SEE was large (8.6% of the left ventricle) and angiography significantly (p less than 0.002) overestimated myocardium at risk. When patients with an anterior or an inferior infarct were considered separately, the angiographic best estimate had a weaker correlation with myocardium at risk measured by technetium-99m sestamibi in patients in both groups (anterior infarction r = 0.65, p = 0.04; inferior infarction r = 0.65, p = 0.04. Seven patients with an inferior infarct and myocardium at risk ranging from 7% to 32% of the left ventricle had identical angiographic best estimates. Although angiographic estimates correlate closely with measurements of myocardium at risk in groups of patients, their ability to predict the myocardium at risk in individual patients is limited.

Identification of "surgical" coronary anatomy by exercise radionuclide cineangiography

Radionuclide cineangiography with exercise has been used to identify patients with coronary arteriographic patterns for which bypass grafting has been shown to prolong life. However, patients with severe prior myocardial damage were included in these studies, although the randomized medicine versus surgery trials recognized an effect of resting ejection fraction on operative risk and excluded patients with severely compromised function. Moreover, continuing reports from trials of surgery and from an ancillary evaluation of angioplasty have refined the set of coronary anatomic patterns for which mechanical therapy prolongs life, although stenosis severity criteria varied (50 vs 70 to 75%) between these trials. In this study, we have focused on patients who would have been eligible for the randomized trials of surgical therapy, and included only those with at least moderately preserved ventricular function at rest (ejection fraction greater than or equal to 30%). In such patients, exercise parameters were significantly more accurate than rest variables in identifying all anatomic patterns appropriately treated mechanically; logistic regression selected ejection fraction change with exercise, followed by systolic blood pressure change with exercise, as the 2 most powerful independent covariates among patients with "surgical" coronary anatomy defined by a 70% stenosis criterion; absolute exercise ejection fraction contributed no significant independent information. When defined at a 50% stenosis severity level, blood pressure change and angina class were more powerful than absolute exercise ejection fraction, but a crude, noninvasively determined analog of stroke work, incorporating change in both ejection fraction and blood pressure, was most accurate.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Comparison of exercise performance in left main and three-vessel coronary artery disease

From a consecutive series of patients who underwent rest and exercise radionuclide angiography over several years, we retrospectively identified 34 patients with left main coronary artery disease and 103 patients with three-vessel coronary artery disease who did not have significant left main disease. The results of gated equilibrium radionuclide angiography were compared in these 2 groups. Multiple exercise hemodynamic, exercise electrocardiographic, and exercise radionuclide angiographic parameters were considered in an attempt to separate the 2 groups. The only parameter that was significantly different between the 2 groups was exercise heart rate. However, no value of the exercise heart rate could meaningfully separate the 2 groups. Despite their known difference in prognosis, patients with left main and three-vessel disease had very similar exercise performance and could not be distinguished from one another by exercise electrocardiography or exercise radionuclide angiography. The inability to distinguish these two groups is a clear limitation of noninvasive exercise modalities.

Stable angina pectoris: 2. Cardiac evaluation and diagnostic testing

The examination of a patient with angina pectoris begins with clinical assessment. Certain clinical findings that are present only during angina, such as mitral regurgitation due to ischemia-induced papillary muscle dysfunction, may clarify an otherwise uncertain diagnosis. Electrocardiography is a useful and relatively inexpensive test for detecting evidence of ischemia in patients with suspected angina. The presence of cardiomegaly on the chest roentgenogram has adverse prognostic implications. Exercise stress testing is important in the diagnosis of coronary artery disease and also provides prognostic information. Patients should be classified into high-, intermediate-, or low-risk subsets by noninvasive techniques. Although relatively easy and inexpensive, treadmill exercise stress testing cannot be performed in all patients, and sometimes it will yield equivocal results. In these cases, radionuclide testing (with thallium scintigraphy or radionuclide angiography) can be helpful and also can identify high-risk patients. Some patients will require coronary angiography.

Left main coronary artery disease: radionuclide angiographic function versus anatomic correlates with visual and quantitative angiographic methods

The results of exercise radionuclide angiography in 29 patients with significant left main coronary artery stenosis were examined to correlate functional left ventricular performance with anatomic severity of left main coronary artery stenosis. Change in ejection fraction, regional wall motion, and peak ejection fraction were widely variable; none of these parameters correlated with severity of left main stenosis as assessed by visual or quantitative angiographic methods. Twenty-five patients (86%) had two or more of the following indicators of ischemia with exercise: chest pain, significant ST-segment depression, systolic hypotension, definite decrease in ejection fraction, or definite decline in regional wall motion. However, four patients (14%) had only mild abnormalities in ejection fraction and regional wall motion, although they did have hemodynamic and electrocardiographic evidence of severe ischemia. Exercise radionuclide angiography yields heterogeneous results in patients with significant left main coronary artery stenosis. Anatomically severe left main coronary artery stenosis is not always associated with mechanical evidence of severe ischemia.

ECG gated thallium 201 myocardial images: value in detecting multivessel disease in patients on anti anginal therapy 1-3 months after myocardial infarction

ECG gated 201Tl scintigraphy was compared to non gated images for detecting 2-3 vessel disease 1-3 months after a first uncomplicated myocardial infarction. In all, 111 patients on anti anginal treatment underwent coronary arteriography and stress thallium imaging; 39 showed single vessel disease (SVD), and 72 multivessel disease (MVD). Sensitivity of black and white analog images was 82% for SVD and 8% for MVD. Sensitivity of computerized colored static images was 87% for SVD and 33% for MVD. For gated images, sensitivity was 100% and 92% in patients with SVD and MVD respectively. Specificity for detecting MVD was 95% for black and white images, 77% for computerized colored static images, and 69% for ECG gated images. Thus, ECG gated exercise 201TL scintigraphy is useful for predicting the extent of coronary artery disease 1-3 months after myocardial infarction in patients on anti anginal therapy.

Noninvasive identification of severe coronary artery disease using exercise radionuclide angiography

The ability of exercise radionuclide angiography to predict the risk of having significant left main or three vessel coronary artery disease was examined in 681 patients who underwent both radionuclide and coronary angiography. There were significant differences in multiple variables between patients with or without such disease. Logistic regression analysis identified seven variables as independently predictive of the presence of left main or three vessel disease. Using these variables, low, intermediate and high probability groups could be identified. The four most important variables--the magnitude of exercise ST segment depression, peak exercise ejection fraction, peak exercise rate-pressure product and sex of the patient--can provide practical estimates of the risk of having left main or three vessel disease. Exercise radionuclide angiography can provide a clinically useful noninvasive estimate of the risk of having significant left main or three vessel disease.

Guidelines for the interpretation of the exercise radionuclide ventriculogram for diagnosing coronary artery disease

In 622 patients with known coronary artery anatomy, heart rate (HR).blood pressure (BP) product and left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF) at maximal supine exercise measured by radionuclide ventriculography were used to estimate, by logistic regression analysis, the probabilities of absence of significant coronary artery disease (CAD), presence of significant CAD, presence of multivessel CAD and presence of 3-vessel CAD. Thus, for example, estimated probabilities of each of the aforementioned 4 categories of CAD are 0.39, 0.61, 0.32 and 0.12, respectively, for HR.BP product of 26,000 beats.mm Hg/min and LVEF of 0.6 at maximal exercise and 0.08, 0.92, 0.77 and 0.48, respectively, for HR.BP of 15,000 and LVEF of 0.4. The graphic presentations of these estimated probabilities form useful guidelines for interpreting the results of exercise radionuclide ventriculography. In addition, specific cutoff values at maximal exercise defined 2 groups: (HR.BP product greater than or equal to 21,000 beats.mm Hg/min and LVEF greater than or equal to 0.55) with a high (70%) likelihood of absence of significant CAD or 1-vessel CAD and a low (7%) likelihood of 3-vessel CAD, and (HR.BP product less than 21,000 and LVEF less than 0.55) with a high (72%) likelihood of multivessel CAD and a low (8%) likelihood of absence of CAD.

Silent myocardial ischemia: II. Prognosis and implications for the clinical assessment of patients with coronary artery disease

Myocardial ischemia is known to be a strong independent predictor of cardiac events. New data suggest that the presence of silent ischemia, like symptomatic ischemia, is indicative of an increased risk of future cardiac events. Ordinarily, patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease are evaluated first for the presence of myocardial ischemia by performing exercise ECG, used as a test of both diagnosis and prognosis. In those patients who have an "intermediate" probability of cardiac event after exercise ECG, prognostic assessment may be enhanced, by using either radionuclide stress testing, to assess the extent and severity of potentially inducible ischemia, or ambulatory ECG, to assess the frequency and duration of spontaneously occurring ischemia. The indications for testing and type of test to be used are highly dependent on a number of clinical factors, not the least of which are the nature of the population to be evaluated and the exercise ECG response. We have proposed an overall approach for prognostic testing that considers the potential strengths and limitations of each form of testing. This potential approach now requires prospective evaluation.

Exercise response of the systolic pressure to end-systolic volume ratio in patients with coronary artery disease

The exercise response of the ratio of systolic blood pressure to end-systolic volume was studied in 243 patients with chest pain and coronary artery disease who underwent supine rest and exercise equilibrium radionuclide angiography. There was a wide variation in both rest and exercise variables in this group. The exercise response of the systolic pressure/volume ratio also varied greatly, ranging from a decrease of 59% to an increase of 136%. Twenty-one clinical, catheterization and radionuclide angiographic variables were examined to determine their relation to the exercise response of the systolic pressure/volume ratio; nine variables were individually correlated with this ratio. Multiple regression analysis identified the change in end-diastolic volume index with exercise, rest systolic blood pressure, coronary artery Gensini score and peak work load as significant independent predictors of the exercise response of the systolic pressure/volume ratio; the latter correlated significantly with the change in ejection fraction with exercise (r = 0.73, p less than 0.0001). Its sensitivity for the detection of coronary artery disease in the study group (84%) and its "normalcy rate" in a group of 120 patients with a low likelihood of coronary artery disease (81%) were similar to those of the peak exercise ejection fraction (75 and 82%, respectively). These results demonstrate that the exercise response of the systolic pressure/end-systolic volume ratio is a complex response that is influenced by several pathophysiologic variables in the presence of coronary artery disease. It does not offer any advantage over ejection fraction measurements for the detection of exercise-induced ischemia.

The efficacy of cardiovascular nuclear medicine exercise studies

Radionuclide stress tests were initially introduced into medicine as new diagnostic tests for coronary artery disease (CAD). These tests are very effective for this purpose when applied to populations with an intermediate pre-test probability of coronary artery disease. Radionuclide stress tests, however, also are used now in guiding many management decisions in patients with established CAD, based on the ability of these tests to assess the extent and severity of myocardial ischemia, the functional significance of coronary stenoses, and myocardial viability. Specific uses beyond diagnosis include decisions regarding whom to catheterize, send to coronary bypass surgery, or angioplasty; risk stratification following myocardial infarction or before noncardiac surgery; and evaluation of the results of therapy. This article reviews both the diagnostic efficacy of radionuclide stress tests and their efficacy in guiding management decisions in patients with known coronary artery disease.

Prediction of the extent of coronary artery disease with the evaluation of left ventricular wall motion abnormalities during atrial pacing. A cross-sectional echocardiographic study

In patients with coronary artery disease, left ventricular performance during stress is affected by the degree of coronary stenosis. In order to verify whether there exists a relationship between the extent of wall motion abnormalities detectable during atrial pacing and the degree of coronary obstruction, 76 patients, without previous myocardial infarction, were studied. Each patient underwent cross-sectional echocardiography during transesophageal atrial pacing and exercise electrocardiography before coronary angiography. Of the 76 patients, 46 had significant coronary artery disease (stenosis greater than or equal to 75% of at least one major coronary vessel), while 30 had normal coronaries or a stenosis of less than 75%. Eighteen patients had single-, 14 had two- and 14 had three-vessel disease. For each patient a coronary score was obtained: the score used took into consideration the site, number and severity of the stenosis. This score was then correlated with the wall motion score, obtained from the analysis of 9 segments of the left ventricle. A weak correlation was obtained between wall motion score at rest and coronary score (r = -0.42), while the correlation between coronary score and the difference between wall motion score at rest and during transesophageal atrial pacing was slightly better (r = 0.53); this correlation further improved if wall motion score during pacing was considered (r = -0.63). If the patients with discordant diagnostic tests (echocardiography during transesophageal atrial pacing and exercise electrocardiography) were excluded, the correlation coefficient between coronary score and wall motion score during pacing increased even more (r = -0.77).

IN CONCLUSION

(1) analysis of wall motion of the left ventricle during atrial pacing is useful for the non-invasive evaluation of the severity of coronary disease; (2) cross-sectional echocardiography during atrial pacing, apart from being a useful diagnostic tool, is also a help in judging the degree of severity of coronary artery disease.

Exercise radionuclide ventriculography in evaluation of coronary artery disease

The ability of radionuclide variables obtained at rest and at peak exercise to discriminate the number of stenosed (greater than or equal to 70% luminal diameter narrowing) major coronary arteries was evaluated in 296 patients undergoing supine exercise radionuclide ventriculography. Stepwise linear discriminant analysis of the data from the first 200 patients identified a significant (p less than 0.001) discriminatory combination. Application of this function to the remaining 96 patients provided correct classification of arteriographically determined zero, one, two, and three stenosed arteries in 59%, 18%, 14%, and 60% of cases, respectively. The discriminant function classified minimal stenoses (zero or one artery) and multivessel stenoses (two or three arteries) correctly by arteriography in two thirds of cases in each group. Arteriographic presence of three stenoses was unlikely in those classified as having no stenosis, and absence of stenosis was rare in those classified as having three stenoses. Exercise radionuclide ventriculography is most helpful in identifying minimal and multivessel coronary disease rather than number of stenosed major coronary arteries.

Left ventricular pressure/volume relationship in coronary artery disease

This study examined the changes during exercise in LV EF and P/V relationship (systolic blood pressure/end-systolic volume index ratio) in 287 patients. Normal range (mean +/- standard deviation) for exercise EF, exercise P/V, and the changes from rest to exercise (delta) in EF and P/V were established in 51 subjects with less than 1% probability of CAD. The results were compared to those obtained in 53 patients with normal coronary angiograms and 183 patients with angiographically proven CAD. Abnormality in either delta EF or percent delta P/V were observed in 76% of the patients with one-vessel disease and in 91% of patients with multivessel disease. Abnormalities in either delta EF or percent delta P/V were more common than delta EF alone in the total CAD group and in subgroups stratified according to the resting EF, extent of CAD, and adequacy of exercise end points. Similar results were obtained when absolute exercise EF or exercise P/V were used. Abnormalities in the percent delta P/V or delta EF were also seen in 26 of the 53 patients with normal coronary angiograms. Thus, abnormalities in the P/V relationship or EF during exercise are more common than abnormalities in the EF alone. Relative and absolute measurements provide similar results.

Prospective evaluation of the severity of coronary artery disease with exercise radionuclide angiography and electrocardiography

To evaluate the utility of exercise radionuclide angiography (RNA) and electrocardiography in assessing the severity of coronary artery disease (CAD), 185 patients undergoing coronary angiography were studied prospectively. To avoid work-up bias and to provide an appropriate control group, all patients were simultaneously scheduled for exercise RNA and electrocardiography and for coronary arteriography. All test results were interpreted blinded to other data. Of multiple exercise variables analyzed by stepwise linear discriminant analysis, the independent predictors of disease severity were exercise ejection fraction, ST segment change, and maximum heart rate. These three variables were used to create a set of four equations that determine probabilities of zero, one-, two-, or three-vessel disease (VD). The noninvasive estimate of number of VD in each patient was compared to the angiographic result. Patients without significant CAD were classified correctly 71% of the time, while those with three-VD were predicted correctly in 80%. Fully 90% of patients with predicted three-VD had two- or 3-VD. Conversely, 84% of patients predicted to have zero VD had zero or one-VD. Thus the combined use of exercise RNA and ECG data permits assessment of the presence and severity of CAD.

A logistic regression analysis of multiple noninvasive tests for the prediction of the presence and extent of coronary artery disease in men

The incremental diagnostic yield of clinical data, exercise ECG, stress thallium scintigraphy, and cardiac fluoroscopy to predict coronary and multivessel disease was assessed in 171 symptomatic men by means of multiple logistic regression analyses. When clinical variables alone were analyzed, chest pain type and age were predictive of coronary disease, whereas chest pain type, age, a family history of premature coronary disease before age 55 years, and abnormal ST-T wave changes on the rest ECG were predictive of multivessel disease. The percentage of patients correctly classified by cardiac fluoroscopy (presence or absence of coronary artery calcification), exercise ECG, and thallium scintigraphy was 9%, 25%, and 50%, respectively, greater than for clinical variables, when the presence or absence of coronary disease was the outcome, and 13%, 25%, and 29%, respectively, when multivessel disease was studied; 5% of patients were misclassified. When the 37 clinical and noninvasive test variables were analyzed jointly, the most significant variable predictive of coronary disease was an abnormal thallium scan and for multivessel disease, the amount of exercise performed. The data from this study provide a quantitative model and confirm previous reports that optimal diagnostic efficacy is obtained when noninvasive tests are ordered sequentially. In symptomatic men, cardiac fluoroscopy is a relatively ineffective test when compared to exercise ECG and thallium scintigraphy.

A sequential approach to the diagnosis of coronary artery disease using multivariate analysis

There has been considerable interest in recent years in enhancing the accuracy of noninvasive tests in diagnosing coronary artery disease. The recognition that no currently available test is a perfect predictor has led to the use of probability analysis as a means of assessing the presence or absence of coronary disease. In this article we present a multivariate approach to the diagnosis of coronary disease. One hundred forty-seven patients undergoing coronary angiography, thallium-201 imaging, and exercise ECG were studied. Patients were classified according to age, sex, and typical vs atypical chest pain. Sequential stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed to develop probability statements prior to testing, after exercise ECG, and after exercise ECG and thallium-201. The results indicate that this sequential approach can be used to develop strategies for the diagnosis of coronary disease in the same way as Bayes' theorem, while permitting integration of multiple characteristics into one model.

Effects of residual coronary artery disease on results of coronary artery bypass grafting

To assess the effects of residual coronary artery disease (non-revascularized coronary vessels) after coronary artery bypass grafting on symptoms and exercise left ventricular function, we categorized 77 patients into 3 groups according to the extent of residual coronary artery disease: group I (n = 17) had no residual coronary artery disease (residual score = 0); group II (n = 30) had light residual coronary artery disease (score of 1 to 9, mean 4.7); and group III (n = 30) had moderate residual coronary artery disease (score greater than or equal to 10, mean 23). Sixty patients were asymptomatic after coronary artery bypass grafting (14 in group I, 24 in group II, and 22 in group III), but the remaining patients had occasional angina pectoris. The resting left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly higher in group I than in the remaining 2 groups (56 +/- 18% in group I, 47 +/- 19% in group II, and 43 +/- 16% in group III, P less than 0.05). The exercise left ventricular ejection fraction was also significantly higher in group I (61 +/- 16% in group I, 51 +/- 18% in group II and 45 +/- 18% in group III, P less than 0.01). The ejection fraction response to exercise was abnormal in 5 patients in group I, 15 patients in group II, and 19 patients in group III. Thus, coronary artery bypass grafting results in symptomatic improvement, even in patients with residual coronary artery disease. The presence of residual coronary artery disease, however, may be a determinant of exercise left ventricular function in these patients.