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Is Overall Mortality the Right Composite Endpoint in Clinical Trials of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome? Crit Care Med 2019; 46:892-899. [PMID: 29420341 DOI: 10.1097/ccm.0000000000003022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Overall mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome is a composite endpoint because it includes death from multiple causes. In most acute respiratory distress syndrome trials, it is unknown whether reported deaths are due to acute respiratory distress syndrome or the underlying disease, unrelated to the specific intervention tested. We investigated the causes of death after contracting acute respiratory distress syndrome in a large cohort. DESIGN A secondary analysis from three prospective, multicenter, observational studies. SETTING A network of multidisciplinary ICUs. PATIENTS We studied 778 patients with moderate-to-severe acute respiratory distress syndrome treated with lung-protective ventilation. INTERVENTIONS None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS We examined death in the ICU from individual causes. Overall ICU mortality was 38.8% (95% CI, 35.4-42.3). Causes of acute respiratory distress syndrome modified the risk of death. Twenty-three percent of deaths occurred from refractory hypoxemia due to nonresolving acute respiratory distress syndrome. Most patients died from causes unrelated to acute respiratory distress syndrome: 48.7% of nonsurvivors died from multisystem organ failure, and cancer or brain injury was involved in 37.1% of deaths. When quantifying the true burden of acute respiratory distress syndrome outcome, we identified 506 patients (65.0%) with one or more exclusion criteria for enrollment into current interventional trials. Overall ICU mortality of the "trial cohort" (21.3%) was markedly lower than the parent cohort (relative risk, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.43-0.70; p < 0.000001). CONCLUSIONS Most deaths in acute respiratory distress syndrome patients are not directly related to lung damage but to extrapulmonary multisystem organ failure. It would be challenging to prove that specific lung-directed therapies have an effect on overall survival.
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Villar J, Belda J, Blanco J, Suarez-Sipmann F, Añón JM, Pérez-Méndez L, Ferrando C, Parrilla D, Montiel R, Corpas R, González-Higueras E, Pestaña D, Martínez D, Fernández L, Soro M, García-Bello MA, Fernández RL, Kacmarek RM. Neurally adjusted ventilatory assist in patients with acute respiratory failure: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial. Trials 2016; 17:500. [PMID: 27737690 PMCID: PMC5064782 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-016-1625-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2016] [Accepted: 09/25/2016] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Patient-ventilator asynchrony is a common problem in mechanically ventilated patients with acute respiratory failure. It is assumed that asynchronies worsen lung function and prolong the duration of mechanical ventilation (MV). Neurally Adjusted Ventilatory Assist (NAVA) is a novel approach to MV based on neural respiratory center output that is able to trigger, cycle, and regulate the ventilatory cycle. We hypothesized that the use of NAVA compared to conventional lung-protective MV will result in a reduction of the duration of MV. It is further hypothesized that NAVA compared to conventional lung-protective MV will result in a decrease in the length of ICU and hospital stay, and mortality. Methods/design This is a prospective, multicenter, randomized controlled trial in 306 mechanically ventilated patients with acute respiratory failure from several etiologies. Only patients ventilated for less than 5 days, and who are expected to require prolonged MV for an additional 72 h or more and are able to breathe spontaneously, will be considered for enrollment. Eligible patients will be randomly allocated to two ventilatory arms: (1) conventional lung-protective MV (n = 153) and conventional lung-protective MV with NAVA (n = 153). Primary outcome is the number of ventilator-free days, defined as days alive and free from MV at day 28 after endotracheal intubation. Secondary outcomes are total length of MV, and ICU and hospital mortality. Discussion This is the first randomized clinical trial examining, on a multicenter scale, the beneficial effects of NAVA in reducing the dependency on MV of patients with acute respiratory failure. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov website (NCT01730794). Registered on 15 November 2012. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13063-016-1625-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jesús Villar
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Monforte de Lemos 3-5, Pabellon 11, 28029, Madrid, Spain. .,Multidisciplinary Organ Dysfunction Evaluation Research Network, Research Unit, Hospital Universitario Dr. Negrín, Barranco de la Ballena s/n, 4th Floor-South Wing, 35019, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain. .,Keenan Research Center for Biomedical Science at the Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, 30 Bond St, Toronto, ON, M5B 1W8, Canada.
| | - Javier Belda
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia, Avda. Blasco Ibañez 17, 46010, Valencia, Spain
| | - Jesús Blanco
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Monforte de Lemos 3-5, Pabellon 11, 28029, Madrid, Spain.,Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario Río Hortega, Calle Dulzaina, 2, 47012, Valladolid, Spain
| | - Fernando Suarez-Sipmann
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Monforte de Lemos 3-5, Pabellon 11, 28029, Madrid, Spain.,Hedenstierna Laboratory, Department of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University Hospital, Akademiska Sjukhuset, Ing 40, Tr 3, SE-75185, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - José Manuel Añón
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Virgen de La Luz, Hermandad de Donantes de Sangre s/n, 16002, Cuenca, Spain
| | - Lina Pérez-Méndez
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Monforte de Lemos 3-5, Pabellon 11, 28029, Madrid, Spain.,Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Research Unit, Hospital Universitario NS de Candelaria, Carretera General del Rosario 145, 38010, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain
| | - Carlos Ferrando
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia, Avda. Blasco Ibañez 17, 46010, Valencia, Spain
| | - Dácil Parrilla
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario NS de Candelaria, Carretera General del Rosario 145, 38010, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain
| | - Raquel Montiel
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario NS de Candelaria, Carretera General del Rosario 145, 38010, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain
| | - Ruth Corpas
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital General NS del Prado, Carretera de Madrid, Km. 114, 45600, Talavera de la Reina, Toledo, Spain
| | - Elena González-Higueras
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Virgen de La Luz, Hermandad de Donantes de Sangre s/n, 16002, Cuenca, Spain
| | - David Pestaña
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, Carretera de Colmenar Viejo, Km. 9,100, 28034, Madrid, Spain
| | - Domingo Martínez
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario Virgen de la Arrixaca, Carretera Madrid-Cartagena s/n, 30120, El Palmar, Murcia, Spain
| | - Lorena Fernández
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario Río Hortega, Calle Dulzaina, 2, 47012, Valladolid, Spain
| | - Marina Soro
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia, Avda. Blasco Ibañez 17, 46010, Valencia, Spain
| | - Miguel Angel García-Bello
- Division of Biostatistics, Research Unit, Hospital Universitario Dr. Negrín, Barranco de la Ballena s/n, 35019, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
| | - Rosa Lidia Fernández
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Monforte de Lemos 3-5, Pabellon 11, 28029, Madrid, Spain.,Multidisciplinary Organ Dysfunction Evaluation Research Network, Research Unit, Hospital Universitario Dr. Negrín, Barranco de la Ballena s/n, 4th Floor-South Wing, 35019, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
| | - Robert M Kacmarek
- Department of Respiratory Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, 55 Fruit St, Boston, MA, 02114, USA.,Department of Anesthesiology, Harvard University, 55 Fruit Street Gray-Bigelow 444, Boston, MA, 02144, USA
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Villar J, Belda J, Añón JM, Blanco J, Pérez-Méndez L, Ferrando C, Martínez D, Soler JA, Ambrós A, Muñoz T, Rivas R, Corpas R, Díaz-Dominguez FJ, Soro M, García-Bello MA, Fernández RL, Kacmarek RM. Evaluating the efficacy of dexamethasone in the treatment of patients with persistent acute respiratory distress syndrome: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial. Trials 2016; 17:342. [PMID: 27449641 PMCID: PMC4957909 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-016-1456-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2016] [Accepted: 06/15/2016] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Although much has evolved in our understanding of the pathogenesis and factors affecting outcome of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), still there is no specific pharmacologic treatment for ARDS. Several clinical trials have evaluated the utility of corticoids but none of them has demonstrated a definitive benefit due to small sample sizes, selection bias, patient heterogeneity, and time of initiation of treatment or duration of therapy. We postulated that adjunctive treatment of persistent ARDS with intravenous dexamethasone might change the pulmonary and systemic inflammatory response and thereby reduce morbidity, leading to a decrease in duration of mechanical ventilation and a decrease in mortality. Methods/design This is a prospective, multicenter, randomized, controlled trial in 314 patients with persistent moderate/severe ARDS. Persistent ARDS is defined as maintaining a PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 200 mmHg on PEEP ≥ 10 cmH2O and FiO2 ≥ 0.5 after 24 hours of routine intensive care. Eligible patients will be randomly allocated to two arms: (i) conventional treatment without dexamethasone, (ii) conventional treatment plus dexamethasone. Patients in the dexamethasone group will be treated with a daily dose of 20 mg iv from day 1 to day 5, and 10 mg iv from day 6 to day 10. Primary outcome is the number of ventilator-free days, defined as days alive and free from mechanical ventilation at day 28 after intubation. Secondary outcome is all-cause mortality at day 60 after enrollment. Discussion This study will be the largest randomized controlled clinical trial to assess the role of dexamethasone in patients with persistent ARDS. Trial registration Registered on 21 November 2012 as DEXA-ARDS at ClinicalTrials.gov website (NCT01731795). Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13063-016-1456-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jesús Villar
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain. .,Multidisciplinary Organ Dysfunction Evaluation Research Network, Research Unit, Hospital Universitario Dr. Negrín, Barranco de la Ballena s/n, 4th floor - South Wing, 35019, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain. .,Keenan Research Center for Biomedical Science at the Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada.
| | - Javier Belda
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia, Valencia, Spain
| | | | - Jesús Blanco
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.,Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario Río Hortega, Valladolid, Spain
| | - Lina Pérez-Méndez
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.,Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Research Unit, Hospital Universitario NS de Candelaria, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain
| | - Carlos Ferrando
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia, Valencia, Spain
| | - Domingo Martínez
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Virgen de la Arrixaca, Murcia, Spain
| | | | - Alfonso Ambrós
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital General de Ciudad Real, Ciudad Real, Spain
| | - Tomás Muñoz
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario de Cruces, Barakaldo, Vizcaya, Spain
| | - Rosana Rivas
- Intensive care Unit, Hospital Galdakao-Usansolo, Usansolo, Vizcaya, Spain
| | - Ruth Corpas
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital N.S. del Prado, Talavera de la Reina, Toledo, Spain
| | | | - Marina Soro
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia, Valencia, Spain
| | | | - Rosa Lidia Fernández
- CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.,Multidisciplinary Organ Dysfunction Evaluation Research Network, Research Unit, Hospital Universitario Dr. Negrín, Barranco de la Ballena s/n, 4th floor - South Wing, 35019, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
| | - Robert M Kacmarek
- Department of Respiratory Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.,Department of Anesthesiology, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
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Open Lung Approach for the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome: A Pilot, Randomized Controlled Trial. Crit Care Med 2016; 44:32-42. [PMID: 26672923 DOI: 10.1097/ccm.0000000000001383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 172] [Impact Index Per Article: 21.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The open lung approach is a mechanical ventilation strategy involving lung recruitment and a decremental positive end-expiratory pressure trial. We compared the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome network protocol using low levels of positive end-expiratory pressure with open lung approach resulting in moderate to high levels of positive end-expiratory pressure for the management of established moderate/severe acute respiratory distress syndrome. DESIGN A prospective, multicenter, pilot, randomized controlled trial. SETTING A network of 20 multidisciplinary ICUs. PATIENTS Patients meeting the American-European Consensus Conference definition for acute respiratory distress syndrome were considered for the study. INTERVENTIONS At 12-36 hours after acute respiratory distress syndrome onset, patients were assessed under standardized ventilator settings (FIO2≥0.5, positive end-expiratory pressure ≥10 cm H2O). If Pao2/FIO2 ratio remained less than or equal to 200 mm Hg, patients were randomized to open lung approach or Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome network protocol. All patients were ventilated with a tidal volume of 4 to 8 ml/kg predicted body weight. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS From 1,874 screened patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome, 200 were randomized: 99 to open lung approach and 101 to Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome network protocol. Main outcome measures were 60-day and ICU mortalities, and ventilator-free days. Mortality at day-60 (29% open lung approach vs. 33% Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Network protocol, p = 0.18, log rank test), ICU mortality (25% open lung approach vs. 30% Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome network protocol, p = 0.53 Fisher's exact test), and ventilator-free days (8 [0-20] open lung approach vs. 7 [0-20] d Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome network protocol, p = 0.53 Wilcoxon rank test) were not significantly different. Airway driving pressure (plateau pressure - positive end-expiratory pressure) and PaO2/FIO2 improved significantly at 24, 48 and 72 hours in patients in open lung approach compared with patients in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome network protocol. Barotrauma rate was similar in both groups. CONCLUSIONS In patients with established acute respiratory distress syndrome, open lung approach improved oxygenation and driving pressure, without detrimental effects on mortality, ventilator-free days, or barotrauma. This pilot study supports the need for a large, multicenter trial using recruitment maneuvers and a decremental positive end-expiratory pressure trial in persistent acute respiratory distress syndrome.
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Multiple system organ response induced by hyperoxia in a clinically relevant animal model of sepsis. Shock 2015; 42:148-53. [PMID: 24978892 DOI: 10.1097/shk.0000000000000189] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
Oxygen therapy is currently used as a supportive treatment in septic patients to improve tissue oxygenation. However, oxygen can exert deleterious effects on the inflammatory response triggered by infection. We postulated that the use of high oxygen concentrations may be partially responsible for the worsening of sepsis-induced multiple system organ dysfunction in an experimental clinically relevant model of sepsis. We used Sprague-Dawley rats. Sepsis was induced by cecal ligation and puncture. Sham-septic controls (n = 16) and septic animals (n = 32) were randomly assigned to four groups and placed in a sealed Plexiglas cage continuously flushed for 24 h with medical air (group 1), 40% oxygen (group 2), 60% oxygen (group 3), or 100% oxygen (group 4). We examined the effects of these oxygen concentrations on the spread of infection in blood, urine, peritoneal fluid, bronchoalveolar lavage, and meninges; serum levels of inflammatory biomarkers and reactive oxygen species production; and hematological parameters in all experimental groups. In cecal ligation and puncture animals, the use of higher oxygen concentrations was associated with a greater number of infected biological samples (P < 0.0001), higher serum levels of interleukin-6 (P < 0.0001), interleukin-10 (P = 0.033), and tumor necrosis factor-α (P = 0.034), a marked decrease in platelet counts (P < 0.001), and a marked elevation of reactive oxygen species serum levels (P = 0.0006) after 24 h of oxygen exposure. Oxygen therapy greatly influences the progression and clinical manifestation of multiple system organ dysfunction in experimental sepsis. If these results are extrapolated to humans, they suggest that oxygen therapy should be carefully managed in septic patients to minimize its deleterious effects.
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Sun X, Ma SF, Wade MS, Acosta-Herrera M, Villar J, Pino-Yanes M, Zhou T, Liu B, Belvitch P, Moitra J, Han YJ, Machado R, Noth I, Natarajan V, Dudek SM, Jacobson JR, Flores C, Garcia JGN. Functional promoter variants in sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor 3 associate with susceptibility to sepsis-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome. Am J Physiol Lung Cell Mol Physiol 2013; 305:L467-77. [PMID: 23911438 DOI: 10.1152/ajplung.00010.2013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
The genetic mechanisms underlying the susceptibility to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are poorly understood. We previously demonstrated that sphingosine 1-phosphate (S1P) and the S1P receptor S1PR3 are intimately involved in lung inflammatory responses and vascular barrier regulation. Furthermore, plasma S1PR3 protein levels were shown to serve as a biomarker of severity in critically ill ARDS patients. This study explores the contribution of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the S1PR3 gene to sepsis-associated ARDS. S1PR3 SNPs were identified by sequencing the entire gene and tagging SNPs selected for case-control association analysis in African- and ED samples from Chicago, with independent replication in a European case-control study of Spanish individuals. Electrophoretic mobility shift assays, luciferase activity assays, and protein immunoassays were utilized to assess the functionality of associated SNPs. A total of 80 variants, including 29 novel SNPs, were identified. Because of limited sample size, conclusive findings could not be drawn in African-descent ARDS subjects; however, significant associations were found for two promoter SNPs (rs7022797 -1899T/G; rs11137480 -1785G/C), across two ED samples supporting the association of alleles -1899G and -1785C with decreased risk for sepsis-associated ARDS. In addition, these alleles significantly reduced transcription factor binding to the S1PR3 promoter; reduced S1PR3 promoter activity, a response particularly striking after TNF-α challenge; and were associated with lower plasma S1PR3 protein levels in ARDS patients. These highly functional studies support S1PR3 as a novel ARDS candidate gene and a potential target for individualized therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoguang Sun
- Institute for Personalize Respiratory Medicine, Univ. of Illinois at Chicago, 3099 COMRB (MC719 909 S. Wolcott Ave., Chicago, IL 60612.
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Yasumoto M, Okamoto K, Sato T, Kurose M, Kukita I, Morioka T. Prognosis of critically ill patients with multiple organ failure. J Anesth 2013; 8:269-73. [PMID: 23568110 DOI: 10.1007/bf02514648] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/1993] [Accepted: 12/15/1993] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to determine the mortality rate in 527 critically ill patients with multiple organ failure (MOF), treated in our ICU between August, 1986 and January, 1992, and to compare it with the results obtained in a group of patients studied who had been treated between October, 1978 and July, 1986. The relationship between the mortality rate and each type of organ failure and the extent of organ system involvement was also investigated. The overall mortality rate was 25%, and the rate increased with the number of failed organs. Sepsis and disseminated intravascular coagulation were closely associated with the development of MOF. The mortality rate of patients with the failure of two organs in the present study was significantly lower than that found in those in the previous study. Although artificial organ mechanical life support technology other than that for patients with renal failure is still unsatisfactory, these results suggest that the prognosis of patients with MOF is improving.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Yasumoto
- Division of Intensive and Critical Care Medicine, Kumamoto University School of Medicine, 1-1-1 Honjo, 860, Kumamoto, Japan
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The ALIEN study: incidence and outcome of acute respiratory distress syndrome in the era of lung protective ventilation. Intensive Care Med 2011; 37:1932-41. [PMID: 21997128 DOI: 10.1007/s00134-011-2380-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 401] [Impact Index Per Article: 30.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2011] [Accepted: 08/31/2011] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE While our understanding of the pathogenesis and management of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) has improved over the past decade, estimates of its incidence have been controversial. The goal of this study was to examine ARDS incidence and outcome under current lung protective ventilatory support practices before and after the diagnosis of ARDS. METHODS This was a 1-year prospective, multicenter, observational study in 13 geographical areas of Spain (serving a population of 3.55 million at least 18 years of age) between November 2008 and October 2009. Subjects comprised all consecutive patients meeting American-European Consensus Criteria for ARDS. Data on ventilatory management, gas exchange, hemodynamics, and organ dysfunction were collected. RESULTS A total of 255 mechanically ventilated patients fulfilled the ARDS definition, representing an incidence of 7.2/100,000 population/year. Pneumonia and sepsis were the most common causes of ARDS. At the time of meeting ARDS criteria, mean PaO(2)/FiO(2) was 114 ± 40 mmHg, mean tidal volume was 7.2 ± 1.1 ml/kg predicted body weight, mean plateau pressure was 26 ± 5 cmH(2)O, and mean positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) was 9.3 ± 2.4 cmH(2)O. Overall ARDS intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital mortality was 42.7% (95%CI 37.7-47.8) and 47.8% (95%CI 42.8-53.0), respectively. CONCLUSIONS This is the first study to prospectively estimate the ARDS incidence during the routine application of lung protective ventilation. Our findings support previous estimates in Europe and are an order of magnitude lower than those reported in the USA and Australia. Despite use of lung protective ventilation, overall ICU and hospital mortality of ARDS patients is still higher than 40%.
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Flores C, Ma SF, Maresso K, Wade MS, Villar J, Garcia JGN. IL6 gene-wide haplotype is associated with susceptibility to acute lung injury. Transl Res 2008; 152:11-7. [PMID: 18593632 DOI: 10.1016/j.trsl.2008.05.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2008] [Revised: 05/23/2008] [Accepted: 05/24/2008] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
Experimental and clinical studies support the key role of interleukin 6 (IL-6), a potent proinflammatory cytokine, in the development of acute lung injury (ALI). Plasma IL-6 levels are influenced mainly by genetic determinants, and a -174G/C polymorphism of the gene has been recently associated with susceptibility to ALI. Here we aimed to validate the association of the IL6 gene with ALI in a case-control sample from Spain. DNA was isolated from 67 consecutive patients who fulfilled international criteria for severe sepsis and for ALI and 96 population-based controls drawn from the general population. Genotypes of the -174G/C polymorphism along with other 14 tagging variants of the IL6 gene were evaluated. Twenty polymorphisms unlinked to IL6 gene were additionally compared between cases and controls to rule out population stratification. None of the individual single-nucleotide polymorphisms was significantly associated with susceptibility to ALI. However, we found that a common haplotype from -1363 to +4835 from the transcription start site, and spanning the gene, conferred risk for susceptibility to ALI (odds ratio, 2.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.39-5.37; P = 0.003). Adjustment for relevant covariates did not modify this result. These data support the association of the IL6 gene with ALI susceptibility and illustrate the value of haplotype analysis as a robust approach for evaluating IL6 gene effects in association studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carlos Flores
- Pulmonary and Critical Care, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Ill 60637, USA
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Angiotensin-converting enzyme insertion/deletion polymorphism is not associated with susceptibility and outcome in sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome. Intensive Care Med 2007; 34:488-95. [PMID: 18060663 DOI: 10.1007/s00134-007-0937-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2007] [Accepted: 09/17/2007] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The insertion/deletion (I/D) of a 289 base pair Alu repeat sequence polymorphism in the angiotensin-converting enzyme gene (ACE) has been shown to predict susceptibility and outcome in the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). We hypothesized that the I/D polymorphism also confers susceptibility to sepsis and is a predisposing factor for morbidity and mortality of patients with severe sepsis. DESIGN AND SETTING Case-control study including 212 consecutive patients fulfilling criteria for severe sepsis admitted to a Spanish network of postsurgical and critical care units, and 364 population-based controls. Susceptibility to severe sepsis was evaluated as primary outcome; mortality in severe sepsis, susceptibility to sepsis-induced ARDS, and mortality in sepsis-induced ARDS were examined as secondary outcomes. An additive model of inheritance in which patients were classified into three genotype groups (II, ID, and DD) was used for association testing. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS Genotype and allele frequencies of I/D were distributed similarly in all septic, ARDS, and non-ARDS patients and in population-based controls. ACE I/D polymorphism was not associated with severe sepsis susceptibility or mortality. The ACE I/D polymorphism was associated neither with sepsis-induced ARDS susceptibility (p=0.895) or mortality (p=0.950). These results remained nonsignificant when adjusted for other covariates using multiple logistic regression analysis or Kaplan-Meier estimates of 28-day survival. CONCLUSIONS Our data do not support an association of the ACE gene I/D polymorphism with susceptibility or mortality in severe sepsis or with sepsis-induced ARDS in Spanish patients.
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE Several studies have implicated the CXCL2 chemokine as a mediator in the development of sepsis. We hypothesized that a tandem repeat polymorphism (AC)n in the CXCL2 gene, previously associated with susceptibility to severe sepsis, contributes to morbidity and mortality in severe sepsis. DESIGN Prospective, observational, genetic study of septic patients. SETTING A network of Spanish postsurgical and critical care units. PATIENTS A total of 183 critically ill patients fulfilling the International Sepsis Criteria for severe sepsis. INTERVENTIONS None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS Patients were classified into three groups according to the presence of compound 24 +/- 1 (AC) repeat genotypes: homozygote 24 +/- 1 carriers (HC group), heterozygote 24 +/- 1 carriers (HTC), and non 24 +/- 1 carriers (NC group). Mortality, development of acute respiratory distress syndrome, and number of failing organs were determined for each group. Overall mortality was 46.4%. HC patients had a lower mortality (39.9%) than HTC (52.2%) and NC (72.7%) patients (trend test p = .018). This difference remained significant when using a multiple logistic regression analysis (p = .035). The presence of population stratification was ruled out, since 20 independent genomic control markers demonstrated homogeneity among groups. An exploratory analysis of the effect of acute respiratory distress syndrome on mortality showed a relative risk of 2.60 in the HC group (p = .0004), while in the nonhomozygote carriers (NHC) group the relative risk was 3.34 (p = .0001). CONCLUSIONS Our data suggest that a tandem repeat polymorphism (AC)n at position -665 in the CXCL2 gene may be an independent predictor of mortality for severe sepsis. Additional studies are needed to confirm these results.
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Villar J, Pérez-Méndez L, López J, Belda J, Blanco J, Saralegui I, Suárez-Sipmann F, López J, Lubillo S, Kacmarek RM. An early PEEP/FIO2 trial identifies different degrees of lung injury in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2007; 176:795-804. [PMID: 17585106 DOI: 10.1164/rccm.200610-1534oc] [Citation(s) in RCA: 208] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
RATIONALE Current American-European Consensus Conference definitions for acute lung injury (ALI) and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are inadequate for inclusion into clinical trials due to the lack of standardization for measuring the oxygenation defect. OBJECTIVES We questioned whether an early assessment of oxygenation on specific ventilator settings would identify patients with established ARDS (persisting over 24 h). METHODS At the time of meeting ARDS criteria (Day 0) and 24 hours later (Day 1), arterial blood gases were obtained on standard ventilator settings, Vt 7 ml/kg predicted body weight plus the following positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) and Fi(O(2)) settings in sequence: (1) PEEP >or= 5 cm H(2)O and Fi(O(2)) >or= 0.5, (2) PEEP >or= 5 cm H(2)O and Fi(O(2)) 1.0, (3) PEEP >or= 10 cm H(2)O and Fi(O(2))>or=0.5, and (4) PEEP >or= 10 cm H(2)O and Fi(O(2)) 1.0. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS One hundred seventy patients meeting ARDS criteria (Pa(O(2))/Fi(O(2)) 128 +/- 33 mm Hg) were enrolled. Overall hospital mortality was 34.1%. The standard ventilator settings that best identified patients with established ARDS and predicted differences in intensive care unit (ICU) mortality were PEEP >or= 10 cm H(2)O and Fi(O(2)) >or= 0.5 at Day 1 (P = 0.0001). Only 99 (58.2%) patients continued to meet ARDS criteria (Pa(O(2))/Fi(O(2)), 155.8 +/- 29.8 mm Hg; ICU mortality, 45.5%), whereas 55 patients were reclassified as having ALI (Pa(O(2))/Fi(O(2)), 246.5 +/- 25.6 mm Hg; ICU mortality, 20%) and 16 patients as having acute respiratory failure (Pa(O(2))/Fi(O(2)), 370 +/- 54 mm Hg; ICU mortality, 6.3%) (P = 0.0001) on these settings. CONCLUSIONS Patients meeting current American-European Consensus Conference ARDS criteria may have highly variable levels of lung injury and outcomes. A systematic method of assessing severity of lung injury is required for enrollment of patients with ARDS into randomized controlled trials. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT 00435110).
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Affiliation(s)
- Jesús Villar
- Multidisciplinary Organ Dysfunction Evaluation Research Network, Hospital Universitario Dr. Negrin, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Canary Islands, Spain
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Villar J, Kacmarek RM, Pérez-Méndez L, Aguirre-Jaime A. A high positive end-expiratory pressure, low tidal volume ventilatory strategy improves outcome in persistent acute respiratory distress syndrome: a randomized, controlled trial. Crit Care Med 2006; 34:1311-8. [PMID: 16557151 DOI: 10.1097/01.ccm.0000215598.84885.01] [Citation(s) in RCA: 427] [Impact Index Per Article: 23.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE It has been shown in a two-center study that high positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) and low tidal volume (LTV) improved outcome in ARDS. However, that study involved patients with underlying diseases unique to the study area, was conducted at only two centers, and enrolled a small number of patients. We similarly hypothesized that a ventilatory strategy based on PEEP above the lower inflection point of the pressure volume curve of the respiratory system (Pflex) set on day 1 with a low tidal volume would result in improved outcome in patients with severe and persistent acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). DESIGN Randomized, controlled clinical trial. SETTING Network of eight Spanish multidisciplinary intensive care units (ICUs) under the acronym of ARIES (Acute Respiratory Insufficiency: España Study). PATIENTS All consecutive patients admitted into participating Spanish ICUs from March 1999 to March 2001 with a diagnosis of ARDS were considered for the study. If 24 hrs after meeting ARDS criteria, the Pao2/Fio2 remained < or =200 mm Hg on standard ventilator settings, patients were randomized into two groups: control and Pflex/LTV. INTERVENTIONS In the control group, tidal volume was 9-11 mL/kg of predicted body weight (PBW) and PEEP > or =5 cm H2O. In the Pflex/LTV group, tidal volume was 5-8 mL/kg PBW and PEEP was set on day 1 at Pflex + 2 cm H2O. In both groups, Fio2 was set to maintain arterial oxygen saturation >90% and Pao2 70-100 mm Hg, and respiratory rate was adjusted to maintain Paco2 between 35 and 50 mm Hg. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS The study was stopped early based on an efficacy stopping rule as described in the methods. Of 103 patients who were enrolled (50 control and 53 Pflex), eight patients (five in control, three in Pflex) were excluded from the final evaluation because the random group assignment was not performed in one center according to protocol. Main outcome measures were ICU and hospital mortality, ventilator-free days, and nonpulmonary organ dysfunction. ICU mortality (24 of 45 [53.3%] vs. 16 of 50 [32%], p = .040), hospital mortality (25 of 45 [55.5%] vs. 17 of 50 [34%], p = .041), and ventilator-free days at day 28 (6.02 +/- 7.95 in control and 10.90 +/- 9.45 in Pflex/LTV, p = .008) all favored Pflex/LTV. The mean difference in the number of additional organ failures postrandomization was higher in the control group (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS A mechanical ventilation strategy with a PEEP level set on day 1 above Pflex and a low tidal volume compared with a strategy with a higher tidal volume and relatively low PEEP has a beneficial impact on outcome in patients with severe and persistent ARDS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jesús Villar
- Canarian Institute for Biomedical Research, Tomas Morales 6-1, 35003 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Canary Islands, Spain.
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Flores C, Maca-Meyer N, Pérez-Méndez L, Sangüesa R, Espinosa E, Muriel A, Blanco J, Villar J. A CXCL2 tandem repeat promoter polymorphism is associated with susceptibility to severe sepsis in the Spanish population. Genes Immun 2006; 7:141-9. [PMID: 16421598 DOI: 10.1038/sj.gene.6364280] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Sepsis describes a complex clinical syndrome resulting from a systemic inflammatory response to bacteria. Functional studies in animal models of sepsis have catalogued CXCL2 as a candidate gene for the development of the disease. We hypothesized that CXCL2 polymorphisms may confer susceptibility to sepsis and performed an association study using 178 severe sepsis patients and 357 population-based controls. We selected two polymorphisms from the promoter of the gene (-437A/G and -665(AC)n), and analyzed whether haplotypes or single loci were associated with disease susceptibility. An overall test of differentiation showed that haplotype distribution was not different between cases and controls (P=0.407). Likewise, -437A/G was not associated with disease susceptibility (heterozygote odds ratio (OR) 0.68 (0.47-1.03), and homozygote OR 0.86 (0.56-1.32); P=0.706). However, for the -665(AC)n, we found that the 24+/-1 repeat alleles were associated with susceptibility (heterozygote OR 2.82 (1.10-7.24), and homozygote OR 3.65 (1.41-9.43); P=0.0006). This association remained significant when using a multiple logistic regression analysis (OR 2.23; 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) 1.22-4.03; P=0.008) and after a genomic control adjustment (P=0.017). Although replicate studies and functional assays are needed, these results suggest that CXCL2 gene variants may contribute to the development of severe sepsis.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Flores
- Research Institute (Research Center associated to Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain), Hospital Universitario NS de Candelaria, Tenerife, Spain
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Cabré L, Mancebo J, Solsona JF, Saura P, Gich I, Blanch L, Carrasco G, Martín MC. Multicenter study of the multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in intensive care units: the usefulness of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores in decision making. Intensive Care Med 2005; 31:927-33. [PMID: 15856171 DOI: 10.1007/s00134-005-2640-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 103] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/29/2004] [Accepted: 04/06/2005] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study examined the incidence and mortality of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) in intensive care units, evaluated the limitation of life support in these patients, and determined whether daily measurement of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) is useful for decision making. DESIGN AND SETTING Prospective, observational study in 79 intensive care units. PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS Of the 7,615 patients admitted during a 2-month period we found 1,340 patients to have MODS. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS We recorded mortality and length of stay in the intensive care unit and the hospital and the maximum and minimum total SOFA scores during MODS. Limitation of life support in MODS patients was also evaluated. Stepwise logistic regression was used to determine the factors predicting mortality. The in-hospital mortality rate in patients with MODS was 44.6%, and some type of limitation of life support was applied in 70.6% of the patients who died. The predictive model maximizing specificity included the following variables: maximum SOFA score, minimum SOFA score, trend of the SOFA for 5 consecutive days, and age over 60 years. The model diagnostic yield was: specificity 100%, sensitivity 7.2%, positive predictive value 100%, and negative predictive value 57.3%; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.807. CONCLUSIONS This model showed that in our population with MODS those older than 60 years and with SOFA score higher than 9 for at least 5 days were unlikely to survive.
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Affiliation(s)
- L Cabré
- Hospital de Barcelona, SCIAS, Diagonal 660, 08034, Barcelona, Spain.
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Moore FA, Sauaia A, Moore EE, Haenel JB, Burch JM, Lezotte DC. Postinjury multiple organ failure: a bimodal phenomenon. THE JOURNAL OF TRAUMA 1996; 40:501-10; discussion 510-2. [PMID: 8614027 DOI: 10.1097/00005373-199604000-00001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 364] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
To better define the epidemiology of postinjury multiple organ failure (MOF), we prospectively evaluated 457 high-risk trauma patients who survived more than 48 hours. Overall, 70 (15%) developed MOF. In 27 (39%) patients, the occurrence was early, while in 43 (61%) patients the presentation was delayed. At presentation, early MOF had more cardiac dysfunction, while late MOF had greater hepatic failure. Indices of shock were more critical risk factors for early MOF, while advanced age was more important for late MOF. While early and late MOF had a similar high incidence of major infections, these appeared to be more important in precipitating late MOF. Finally, while mortality is similar, early MOF patients appear to succumb faster. In conclusion, postinjury MOF remains a significant challenge and appears to present in at least two patterns (i.e., early versus late). Better understanding of the relative roles of the dysfunctional inflammation and infections in early MOF versus late MOF may facilitate the development of new strategies for the prevention and treatment of morbid syndrome.
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Affiliation(s)
- F A Moore
- Department of Surgery, Denver General Hospital, CO, USA
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Biffl WL, Moore FA, Moore EE, Haenel JB, McIntyre RC, Burch JM. Are corticosteroids salvage therapy for refractory acute respiratory distress syndrome? Am J Surg 1995; 170:591-5; discussion 595-6. [PMID: 7492007 DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9610(99)80022-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Late acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), characterized by progressive pulmonary interstitial fibroproliferation, is associated with mortality > 80%. Although previous large prospective trials failed to show a benefit of steroids in early ARDS, recent small reports describe improved survival in patients with late ARDS. Recognizing the pathogenetic differences between early and late ARDS, we employed steroid therapy in patients with refractory late ARDS. PATIENTS AND METHODS Over a 5-year period, we treated 6 patients who were dying of isolated refractory ARDS with methylprednisolone sodium succinate (1 to 2 mg/kg every 6 hours). Ventilatory parameters and lung injury scores were serially recorded, and steroids were weaned based on clinical response. RESULTS Steroids were instituted after 16 days of advanced mechanical ventilatory support. By day 7 of steroid therapy, there was clinically significant improvement in PaO2/FiO2 ratios (84 to 172) and lung injury scores (3.6 to 2.9); 5 patients (83%) survived. CONCLUSIONS Steroid therapy appears to be effective in patients with refractory late ARDS. Prospective trials are needed to define the indications, timing of intervention, dose and duration, and precautions of steroid therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- W L Biffl
- Department of Surgery, Denver General Hospital, Colorado 80204, USA
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Abstract
Adult respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) remains a highly lethal complication of autodestructive inflammation. This syndrome originally referred to a single organ failure but is now considered a component, usually the first, of the multisystem organ failure syndrome (MOFS). Cytokines, neutrophils, and endothelial adherence molecules initiate the disease process, with cell injury caused by oxidants and proteases released from inflammatory cells. ARDS, if progressive, will result in pulmonary fibrosis. Improved ventilatory support techniques have not been shown to decrease mortality. Pharmacologic manipulation of the inflammatory response is a more promising method of controlling the disease process.
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Affiliation(s)
- R H Demling
- Department of Surgery, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, USA
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Marshall JC. Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome (MODS). UPDATE IN INTENSIVE CARE AND EMERGENCY MEDICINE 1995. [DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-79224-3_8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/20/2023]
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Villar J, Slutsky AS. Effects of induced hypothermia in patients with septic adult respiratory distress syndrome. Resuscitation 1993; 26:183-92. [PMID: 8290813 DOI: 10.1016/0300-9572(93)90178-s] [Citation(s) in RCA: 93] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To test the hypothesis that treatment with hypothermia affects the course of overwhelming acute respiratory failure associated with sepsis. DESIGN Concurrent-controlled, prospective study. SETTING Adult multidisciplinary ICU in a teaching hospital. PATIENTS Nineteen consecutive patients with septic ARDS mechanically ventilated and a P(A-a)O2 > 500 Torr during 36 h on > or = 10 cm H2O of PEEP. INTERVENTIONS Patients were assigned to receive conventional treatment (n = 10) or conventional treatment plus mild hypothermia (32-35 degrees C) instituted as a last resort (n = 9). RESULTS Hypothermia (33.7 +/- 0.6 degrees C) was associated with a reduction in mortality rate (67% vs. 100%, P < 0.05), P(A-a)O2 (P < 0.001), heart rate (P < 0.001), cardiac index (P < 0.01), and QS/QT (P < 0.01). There were no significant differences in oxygen consumption (VO2) before (243 +/- 74 ml/min) and during treatment with hypothermia (246 +/- 87 ml/min) although O2 extraction increased during hypothermia (26 +/- 6 vs. 30 +/- 6%, P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS This study suggests that hypothermia was effective in improving oxygenation and survival in patients with severe ARDS associated with sepsis, even though VO2 was unchanged.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Villar
- Intensive Care Unit, Hospital del Pino, Las Palmas, Canary Islands, Spain
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Hebert PC, Drummond AJ, Singer J, Bernard GR, Russell JA. A simple multiple system organ failure scoring system predicts mortality of patients who have sepsis syndrome. Chest 1993; 104:230-5. [PMID: 8325076 DOI: 10.1378/chest.104.1.230] [Citation(s) in RCA: 152] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/29/2023] Open
Abstract
A simple multiple system organ failure (MSOF) score may predict mortality of patients who have sepsis syndrome. Using an MSOF scoring system, we prospectively determined the presence or absence of respiratory, cardiovascular, renal, hepatic, gastrointestinal, hematologic, and neurologic organ failure on day 1 of sepsis syndrome in 154 consecutive patients who had sepsis syndrome in the ICU of a tertiary care, teaching hospital. We used 30-day hospital mortality as the primary outcome variable. Overall 30-day mortality was 34 percent. There was a strong linear association between number of organ system failures and 30-day mortality (p < 0.0001). Mortality was 20 percent in patients who had less than 3 organ system failures (n = 111) and 70 percent in patients who had 3 or more organ system failures (n = 43). Survival was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model and was found to be significantly different (p < 0.01) between the two groups defined by the aforementioned dichotomy after adjustment for age and sex using time to death as the primary outcome. The increase in relative risk of death associated with 3 or more organ system failures was 2.77 (95 percent confidence interval, 2.74 to 2.83). Using logistic regression, the adjusted odds ratios (OR) for covariates most predictive of mortality were hematologic (OR = 6.2), neurologic (OR = 4.4), hepatic (OR = 3.4), cardiovascular (OR = 2.6), and age (1.05 per year). The logistic model using the seven organ system failures and age as covariates accurately predicted outcome 75 percent of the time with a sensitivity of 51 percent and specificity of 87 percent. In conclusion, a simple scoring system tabulating the number of organ system failures present on day 1 of sepsis syndrome predicts the mortality of patients who have sepsis syndrome with reasonable accuracy.
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Affiliation(s)
- P C Hebert
- Division of Critical Care Medicine, St. Paul's Hospital, Vancouver, BC, Canada
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Demling R, LaLonde C, Saldinger P, Knox J. Multiple-organ dysfunction in the surgical patient: pathophysiology, prevention, and treatment. Curr Probl Surg 1993; 30:345-414. [PMID: 8477597 DOI: 10.1016/0011-3840(93)90054-k] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- R Demling
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
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