An engineering oriented approach to physiologically based pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic modeling

Quantitative Systems Pharmacology Modeling of Avadomide-Induced Neutropenia Enables Virtual Clinical Dose and Schedule Finding Studies

Avadomide is a cereblon E3 ligase modulator and a potent antitumor and immunomodulatory agent. Avadomide trials are challenged by neutropenia as a major adverse event and a dose-limiting toxicity. Intermittent dosing schedules supported by preclinical data provide a strategy to reduce frequency and severity of neutropenia; however, the identification of optimal dosing schedules remains a clinical challenge. Quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) modeling offers opportunities for virtual screening of efficacy and toxicity levels produced by alternative dose and schedule regimens, thereby supporting decision-making in translational drug development. We formulated a QSP model to capture the mechanism of avadomide-induced neutropenia, which involves cereblon-mediated degradation of transcription factor Ikaros, resulting in a maturation block of the neutrophil lineage. The neutropenia model was integrated with avadomide-specific pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic models to capture dose-dependent effects. Additionally, we generated a disease-specific virtual patient population to represent the variability in patient characteristics and response to treatment observed for a diffuse large B-cell lymphoma trial cohort. Model utility was demonstrated by simulating the avadomide effect in the virtual population for various dosing schedules and determining the incidence of high-grade neutropenia, its duration, and the probability of recovery to low-grade neutropenia.

The effect of cardiac output on the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of propofol during closed-loop induction of anesthesia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Intraoperative hemodynamic stability is essential to safety and post-operative well-being of patients and should be optimized in closed-loop control of anesthesia. Cardiovascular changes inducing variations in pharmacokinetics may require dose modification. Rigorous investigational tools can strengthen current knowledge of the anesthesiologists and support clinical practice. We quantify the cardiovascular response of high-risk patients to closed-loop anesthesia and propose a new application of physiologically-based pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PBPK-PD) simulations to examine the effect of hemodynamic changes on the depth of hypnosis (DoH).

METHODS

We evaluate clinical hemodynamic changes in response to anesthesia induction in high-risk patients from a study on closed-loop anesthesia. We develop and validate a PBPK-PD model to simulate the effect of changes in cardiac output (CO) on plasma levels and DoH. The wavelet-based anesthetic value for central nervous system monitoring index (WAV_CNS) is used as clinical end-point of propofol hypnotic effect.

RESULTS

The median (interquartile range, IQR) changes in CO and arterial pressure (AP), 3 min after induction of anesthesia, are 22.43 (14.82-36.0) % and 26.60 (22.39-35.33) % respectively. The decrease in heart rate (HR) is less marked, i.e. 8.82 (4.94-12.68) %. The cardiovascular response is comparable or less enhanced than in manual propofol induction studies. PBPK simulations show that the marked decrease in CO coincides with high predicted plasma levels and deep levels of hypnosis, i.e. WAV_CNS < 40. PD model identification is improved using the PBPK model rather than a standard three-compartment PK model. PD simulations reveal that a 30% drop in CO can cause a 30% change in WAV_CNS.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant CO drops produce increased predicted plasma concentrations corresponding to deeper anesthesia, which is potentially dangerous for elderly patients. PBPK-PD model simulations allow studying and quantifying these effects to improve clinical practice.