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Bergström G, Persson M, Adiels M, Björnson E, Bonander C, Ahlström H, Alfredsson J, Angerås O, Berglund G, Blomberg A, Brandberg J, Börjesson M, Cederlund K, de Faire U, Duvernoy O, Ekblom Ö, Engström G, Engvall JE, Fagman E, Eriksson M, Erlinge D, Fagerberg B, Flinck A, Gonçalves I, Hagström E, Hjelmgren O, Lind L, Lindberg E, Lindqvist P, Ljungberg J, Magnusson M, Mannila M, Markstad H, Mohammad MA, Nystrom FH, Ostenfeld E, Persson A, Rosengren A, Sandström A, Själander A, Sköld MC, Sundström J, Swahn E, Söderberg S, Torén K, Östgren CJ, Jernberg T. Prevalence of Subclinical Coronary Artery Atherosclerosis in the General Population. Circulation 2021; 144:916-929. [PMID: 34543072 PMCID: PMC8448414 DOI: 10.1161/circulationaha.121.055340] [Citation(s) in RCA: 152] [Impact Index Per Article: 50.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text. Background: Early detection of coronary atherosclerosis using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), in addition to coronary artery calcification (CAC) scoring, may help inform prevention strategies. We used CCTA to determine the prevalence, severity, and characteristics of coronary atherosclerosis and its association with CAC scores in a general population. Methods: We recruited 30 154 randomly invited individuals age 50 to 64 years to SCAPIS (the Swedish Cardiopulmonary Bioimage Study). The study includes individuals without known coronary heart disease (ie, no previous myocardial infarctions or cardiac procedures) and with high-quality results from CCTA and CAC imaging performed using dedicated dual-source CT scanners. Noncontrast images were scored for CAC. CCTA images were visually read and scored for coronary atherosclerosis per segment (defined as no atherosclerosis, 1% to 49% stenosis, or ≥50% stenosis). External validity of prevalence estimates was evaluated using inverse probability for participation weighting and Swedish register data. Results: In total, 25 182 individuals without known coronary heart disease were included (50.6% women). Any CCTA-detected atherosclerosis was found in 42.1%; any significant stenosis (≥50%) in 5.2%; left main, proximal left anterior descending artery, or 3-vessel disease in 1.9%; and any noncalcified plaques in 8.3% of this population. Onset of atherosclerosis was delayed on average by 10 years in women. Atherosclerosis was more prevalent in older individuals and predominantly found in the proximal left anterior descending artery. Prevalence of CCTA-detected atherosclerosis increased with increasing CAC scores. Among those with a CAC score >400, all had atherosclerosis and 45.7% had significant stenosis. In those with 0 CAC, 5.5% had atherosclerosis and 0.4% had significant stenosis. In participants with 0 CAC and intermediate 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease according to the pooled cohort equation, 9.2% had CCTA-verified atherosclerosis. Prevalence estimates had excellent external validity and changed marginally when adjusted to the age-matched Swedish background population. Conclusions: Using CCTA in a large, random sample of the general population without established disease, we showed that silent coronary atherosclerosis is common in this population. High CAC scores convey a significant probability of substantial stenosis, and 0 CAC does not exclude atherosclerosis, particularly in those at higher baseline risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Göran Bergström
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (G. Bergström, E.B., O.A., B.F., O.H., A.R.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Departments of Clinical Physiology (G. Bergström, O.H.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Margaretha Persson
- Department of Clinical Sciences (M.P., G. Berglund, G.E., M. Magnusson), Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.,Departments of Internal Medicine (M.P.), Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Martin Adiels
- Sahlgrenska Academy, and School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine (M.A., C.B.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Elias Björnson
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (G. Bergström, E.B., O.A., B.F., O.H., A.R.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Carl Bonander
- Sahlgrenska Academy, and School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine (M.A., C.B.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Håkan Ahlström
- Section of Radiology, Department of Surgical Sciences (H.A., O.D.), Uppsala University, Sweden
| | - Joakim Alfredsson
- Departments of Cardiology (J.A., E.S.), Linköping University, Sweden.,Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences (J.A., E.S., J.E.E., F.H.N., C.J.Ö., A.P.), Linköping University, Sweden
| | - Oskar Angerås
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (G. Bergström, E.B., O.A., B.F., O.H., A.R.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Cardiology (O.A.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Göran Berglund
- Department of Clinical Sciences (M.P., G. Berglund, G.E., M. Magnusson), Lund University, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Anders Blomberg
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Medicine and Heart Centre (A.B., J.L., A. Sandström, A. Själander, S.S.), Umeå University, Sweden
| | - John Brandberg
- Department of Radiology, Institute of Clinical Sciences (J.B., E.F., A.F.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Radiology (J.B., E.F., A.F.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Mats Börjesson
- Institute of Medicine (M.B.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Center for Health and Performance (M.B.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Sahlgrenska University Hospital (M.B., B.F., A.R., K.T.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Kerstin Cederlund
- Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology (K.C.), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Ulf de Faire
- Unit of Cardiovascular and Nutritional Epidemiology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (U.d.F.), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Olov Duvernoy
- Section of Radiology, Department of Surgical Sciences (H.A., O.D.), Uppsala University, Sweden
| | - Örjan Ekblom
- Department of Physical Activity and Health, The Swedish School of Sport and Health Sciences (GIH), Stockholm, Sweden (Ö.E.)
| | - Gunnar Engström
- Department of Clinical Sciences (M.P., G. Berglund, G.E., M. Magnusson), Lund University, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Jan E Engvall
- Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences (J.A., E.S., J.E.E., F.H.N., C.J.Ö., A.P.), Linköping University, Sweden.,Clinical Physiology (J.E.E.), Linköping University, Sweden.,CMIV, Centre of Medical Image Science and Visualization (J.E.E., A.P., C.J.Ö.), Linköping University, Sweden
| | - Erika Fagman
- Department of Radiology, Institute of Clinical Sciences (J.B., E.F., A.F.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Radiology (J.B., E.F., A.F.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Mats Eriksson
- Department of Endocrinology, Metabolism & Diabetes and Clinical Research Center, Karolinska University Hospital Huddinge, Stockholm, Sweden (M.E.)
| | - David Erlinge
- Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Cardiology, Lund University and Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden (D.E., M.A.M.)
| | - Björn Fagerberg
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (G. Bergström, E.B., O.A., B.F., O.H., A.R.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Sahlgrenska University Hospital (M.B., B.F., A.R., K.T.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Agneta Flinck
- Department of Radiology, Institute of Clinical Sciences (J.B., E.F., A.F.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Radiology (J.B., E.F., A.F.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Isabel Gonçalves
- Department of Clinical Sciences Malmö (I.G.), Lund University and Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden
| | - Emil Hagström
- Cardiology (E.H.), Uppsala University, Sweden.,Department of Medical Sciences, and Uppsala Clinical Research Center (E.H.), Uppsala University, Sweden
| | - Ola Hjelmgren
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (G. Bergström, E.B., O.A., B.F., O.H., A.R.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Departments of Clinical Physiology (G. Bergström, O.H.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Lars Lind
- Clinical Epidemiology (L.L., J.S.), Uppsala University, Sweden
| | - Eva Lindberg
- Respiratory, Allergy and Sleep Research (E.L.), Uppsala University, Sweden
| | - Per Lindqvist
- Department of Surgical and Perioperative Sciences (P.L.), Umeå University, Sweden
| | - Johan Ljungberg
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Medicine and Heart Centre (A.B., J.L., A. Sandström, A. Själander, S.S.), Umeå University, Sweden
| | - Martin Magnusson
- Department of Clinical Sciences (M.P., G. Berglund, G.E., M. Magnusson), Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.,Cardiology (M. Magnusson), Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden.,Wallenberg Center for Molecular Medicine, Lund University, Sweden (M. Magnusson).,North-West University, Hypertension in Africa Research Team (HART), Potchefstroom, South Africa (M. Magnusson)
| | - Maria Mannila
- Heart and Vascular Theme, Department of Cardiology, and Clinical Genetics, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden (M. Mannila)
| | - Hanna Markstad
- Experimental Cardiovascular Research, Clinical Research Center, Clinical Sciences Malmö (H.M.), Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.,Center for Medical Imaging and Physiology (H.M.), Lund University and Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden
| | - Moman A Mohammad
- Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Cardiology, Lund University and Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden (D.E., M.A.M.)
| | - Fredrik H Nystrom
- Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences (J.A., E.S., J.E.E., F.H.N., C.J.Ö., A.P.), Linköping University, Sweden
| | - Ellen Ostenfeld
- Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Clinical Physiology (E.O.), Lund University and Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden
| | - Anders Persson
- Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences (J.A., E.S., J.E.E., F.H.N., C.J.Ö., A.P.), Linköping University, Sweden.,Radiology (A.P.), Linköping University, Sweden.,CMIV, Centre of Medical Image Science and Visualization (J.E.E., A.P., C.J.Ö.), Linköping University, Sweden
| | - Annika Rosengren
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine (G. Bergström, E.B., O.A., B.F., O.H., A.R.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Sahlgrenska University Hospital (M.B., B.F., A.R., K.T.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Anette Sandström
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Medicine and Heart Centre (A.B., J.L., A. Sandström, A. Själander, S.S.), Umeå University, Sweden
| | - Anders Själander
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Medicine and Heart Centre (A.B., J.L., A. Sandström, A. Själander, S.S.), Umeå University, Sweden
| | - Magnus C Sköld
- Respiratory Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine Solna and Center for Molecular Medicine (M.C.S.), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.,Department of Respiratory Medicine and Allergy, Karolinska University Hospital Solna, Stockholm, Sweden (M.C.S.)
| | - Johan Sundström
- Clinical Epidemiology (L.L., J.S.), Uppsala University, Sweden.,The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia (J.S.)
| | - Eva Swahn
- Departments of Cardiology (J.A., E.S.), Linköping University, Sweden.,Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences (J.A., E.S., J.E.E., F.H.N., C.J.Ö., A.P.), Linköping University, Sweden
| | - Stefan Söderberg
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Medicine and Heart Centre (A.B., J.L., A. Sandström, A. Själander, S.S.), Umeå University, Sweden
| | - Kjell Torén
- Occupational and Environmental Medicine/School of Public Health and Community Medicine (K.T.), University of Gothenburg, Sweden.,Sahlgrenska University Hospital (M.B., B.F., A.R., K.T.), Region Västra Götaland, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Carl Johan Östgren
- Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences (J.A., E.S., J.E.E., F.H.N., C.J.Ö., A.P.), Linköping University, Sweden.,CMIV, Centre of Medical Image Science and Visualization (J.E.E., A.P., C.J.Ö.), Linköping University, Sweden
| | - Tomas Jernberg
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Danderyd University Hospital (T.J.), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
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