Predicting future risk of exacerbations in Japanese patients with adult asthma: A prospective 1-year follow up study

Predictors of exacerbation in Japanese patients with severe asthma: Analysis of the severe asthma research program (Okayama-SARP) cohort

BACKGROUND

Because exacerbation of severe asthma decreases patients' quality of life, this study aimed to identify predictive factors for asthma exacerbation.

METHODS

Japanese patients with severe asthma requiring treatment according to the Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) guidelines ≥ Step 4 between January 2018 and August 2021 were prospectively enrolled and followed up for one year at facilities participating in the Okayama Respiratory Disease Study Group (Okayama Severe Asthma Research Program).

RESULTS

A total of 85 patients (29 men and 56 women) were included. The median age was 64 (interquartile range [IQR], 51-72) years. Treatment according to GINA Steps 4 and 5 was required in 29 and 56 patients, respectively, and 44 patients (51.8%) were treated with biologics. The median peripheral-blood eosinophil count, fractional exhaled nitric oxide, IgE level, and percent predicted FEV1 (%FEV1) at enrollment were 204 (IQR, 49-436)/μL, 28 (IQR, 15-43) ppb, 172 (IQR, 56-473) IU/mL, and 80.0 (IQR, 61.1-96.1) %, respectively. Exacerbation during the previous year, asthma control test (ACT) score <20, %FEV1 <60%, and serum IL-10 level >6.7 pg/mL were associated with exacerbation during the observation period.

CONCLUSIONS

Exacerbation during the previous year, low ACT score, and low %FEV1 were predictive factors of future exacerbation, even in a cohort with >50% of patients treated with biologics. Furthermore, high serum IL-10 levels might be a new predictive factor.

Impact of Exacerbation History on Dupilumab Efficacy in Children with Uncontrolled Moderate-to-Severe Asthma: LIBERTY ASTHMA VOYAGE Study

Purpose

Dupilumab, a fully human monoclonal antibody, blocks the shared receptor component for interleukins-4/-13, key and central drivers of type 2 inflammation in multiple diseases. This post hoc analysis of the Phase 3 LIBERTY ASTHMA VOYAGE study (NCT02948959) evaluated the efficacy of dupilumab in children aged 6 to 11 years with moderate-to-severe asthma with a type 2 inflammatory phenotype (blood eosinophil count ≥150 cells/µL or fractional exhaled nitric oxide [FeNO] ≥20 ppb) and a history of 1, 2, or ≥3 prior exacerbations. The impact of baseline type 2 biomarker levels on the efficacy of dupilumab in this population was also investigated.

Patients and Methods

Patients were stratified by the number of exacerbations in the prior year (1, 2, or ≥3) and level of FeNO or blood eosinophil count at baseline. Endpoints included rate of severe exacerbations, percentage of non-exacerbators, and change from baseline in both lung function parameters (pre- and post-bronchodilator [BD] percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s (ppFEV1) and ppFEV1/forced vital capacity [FVC] ratio) and Asthma Control Questionnaire 7 Interviewer-Administered (ACQ-7-IA) score.

Results

A total of 350 patients were included in this analysis. Across patients with 1, 2, or ≥3 prior exacerbations and different levels of type 2 biomarkers, dupilumab reduced the risk of severe asthma exacerbations vs placebo by 53.0-96.0% and improved both pre-BD ppFEV1 and pre-BD FEV1/FVC ratio at Week 52. Dupilumab led to significant reductions in ACQ-7-IA scores in all groups of patients by Week 52.

Conclusion

In children with uncontrolled, moderate-to-severe asthma with a type 2 phenotype, dupilumab consistently reduced the risk of asthma exacerbations, improved lung function, and reduced ACQ-7-IA scores, regardless of exacerbation history.

One-day systemic corticosteroid administration for asthma and future "short bursts" risk in real clinical practice

OBJECTIVE

Systemic corticosteroid administration, also called short bursts (SB), is harmful for patients with asthma; however, the actual burden of one-day SB remains unsolved. This study aimed to elucidate the characteristics of patients requiring one-day SB against asthma in clinical practice.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who regularly visited our hospital for asthma treatment between January 2019 and December 2020 were reviewed and followed for one year. SB was defined as ≥3 days of systemic corticosteroid treatment for an exacerbation. One-day SB was defined as one-day of systemic corticosteroid to treat an exacerbation. The one-day SB group included patients who received only one-day SB but no SB during the preceding year. Frequent SB was defined as that occurring ≥2 times/year.

RESULTS

Data on 229 patients were analyzed. Among them, 2.6% (95% confidence interval 1.2-5.6%) were in the one-day SB group. The one-day SB group was female-dominant, obese, non-eosinophilic, and non-atopic. The median one-day SB was 1.5 times/year and almost half of one-day SB were performed by patients themselves. Independent of the low pulmonary function, high blood eosinophil count, and inhaled corticosteroid dose, one-day SB was associated with future frequent SB (adjusted odds ratio = 18.2, 95% confidence interval 1.1-288, P = 0.040, compared to the no SB group).

CONCLUSIONS

Although one-day SB was not frequently experienced, even one-day SB without conventional SB was associated with future frequent SB. It is important to grasp the actual condition of one-day SB and to reinforce the treatment used.

Impact of exacerbation history on long-term efficacy of dupilumab in patients with asthma

Background

The phase 3 QUEST (NCT02414854) and TRAVERSE (NCT02134028) studies demonstrated the efficacy of dupilumab 200/300 mg versus placebo every 2 weeks for 52 weeks (QUEST) and dupilumab 300 mg up to an additional 96 weeks (TRAVERSE) in patients ≥12 years of age with uncontrolled, moderate-to-severe asthma. Overall, safety was consistent with the known dupilumab safety profile. This post hoc analysis assessed long-term dupilumab efficacy for up to 3 years by exacerbation history.

Patients and methods

Unadjusted annualised severe exacerbation rates (AER) and change from parent study baseline (PSBL) in pre-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and 5-item Asthma Control Questionnaire (ACQ-5) score were assessed in patients with PSBL eosinophils ≥150 cells·µL-1 or fractional exhaled nitric oxide ≥20 ppb and 1 (n=624), 2 (n=344), or ≥3 (n=311) exacerbations in the year before enrolment in QUEST.

Results

In all three groups, dupilumab treatment progressively reduced AER range to 0.17-0.30 during TRAVERSE (Weeks 48-96), increased pre-bronchodilator FEV1 range by 0.28-0.49 L by Week 96 and improved asthma control (reduced ACQ-5 score range by 1.51-2.03 by Week 48). For patients who first received dupilumab upon TRAVERSE enrolment, AER decreased, and lung function and asthma control improved rapidly, as was observed upon initiation of dupilumab in QUEST. Dupilumab was efficacious regardless of exacerbation history.

Conclusion

For patients with uncontrolled, moderate-to-severe asthma with elevation of at least one type 2 biomarker, dupilumab treatment provides sustained, long-term reduction of exacerbation rates and improvements in lung function and asthma control irrespective of exacerbation history.

Executive summary: Japanese guidelines for adult asthma (JGL) 2021

Asthma is characterized by chronic airway inflammation, variable airway narrowing, and sensory nerve irritation, which manifest as wheezing, dyspnea, chest tightness, and cough. Longstanding asthma may result in airway remodeling and become intractable. Despite the increased prevalence of asthma in adults, asthma-associated deaths have decreased in Japan (0.94 per 100,000 people in 2020). The goals of asthma treatment include the control of symptoms and reduction of future risks. A functional partnership between physicians and patients is indispensable for achieving these goals. Long-term management with medications and the elimination of triggers and risk factors are fundamental to asthma treatment. Asthma is managed via four steps of pharmacotherapy ("controllers"), ranging from mild to intensive treatments, depending on disease severity; each step involves daily administration of an inhaled corticosteroid, which varies from low to high dosage. Long-acting β₂ agonists, leukotriene receptor antagonists, sustained-release theophylline, and long-acting muscarinic antagonists are recommended as add-on drugs. Allergen immunotherapy is a new option that is employed as a controller treatment. Further, as of 2021, anti-IgE antibody, anti-IL-5 and anti-IL-5 receptor α-chain antibodies, and anti-IL-4 receptor α-chain antibodies are available for the treatment of severe asthma. Bronchial thermoplasty can be performed for asthma treatment, and its long-term efficacy has been reported. Algorithms for their usage have been revised. Comorbidities, such as allergic rhinitis, chronic rhinosinusitis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and aspirin-exacerbated respiratory disease, should also be considered during the treatment of chronic asthma. Depending on the severity of episodes, inhaled short-acting β₂ agonists, systemic corticosteroids, short-acting muscarinic antagonists, oxygen therapy, and other approaches are used as needed ("relievers") during exacerbation.

Clinical features of asthma with connective tissue diseases

BACKGROUND

The clinical features of asthma with connective tissue diseases (CTDs) are not well-known. This study therefore aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics of asthma with CTDs.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined the records of adults (≥18 years old) with asthma followed up between January 2010 and December 2019. We then compared the clinical features of asthma with and without CTDs.

RESULTS

Among 568 subjects with asthma, 42 subjects (7.4%) had CTDs. The most frequent concomitant CTD was rheumatoid arthritis (n = 23, 54.8%), followed by systemic lupus erythematosus (n = 6, 14.3%). The proportion of women (with vs. without CTDs, 85.7% vs. 56.5%, p < 0.001) and Global Initiative for Asthma step were higher (Step 4 or 5, with vs. without CTDs, 81.0% vs. 62.0%, p = 0.01) in asthma with CTDs, whereas frequency of allergic rhinitis was higher in asthma without CTDs (with vs. without CTDs, 7.1% vs. 26.1%, p = 0.005). Eosinophil ratio (with vs. without CTDs, 2.1% vs. 3.5%, p = 0.009) and total immunoglobulin E level (with vs. without CTDs, 43 IU/mL vs. 237 IU/mL, p = 0.002) were lower in asthma with CTDs. In terms of lung function, percentage predicted forced vital capacity (with vs. without CTDs, 86.7% vs. 99.7%, p = 0.008) and percentage predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s (%FEV1) (with vs. without CTDs, 77.2% vs. 88.4%, p = 0.02) were all lower in asthma with CTDs. With multivariable analysis, CTDs (odds ratio [OR] 2.8, 95%CI 1.3-6.0; p = 0.008), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 3.8, 95%CI 2.1-6.7; p < 0.001) and asthma onset at <20 years old (OR 1.8, 95%CI 1.1-3.2; p = 0.03) were associated with low FEV1 (defined as %FEV1 < 80%) in asthma.

CONCLUSIONS

Asthma with CTDs was related to lower lung function and low-T2 inflammation asthma.

Derivation of asthma severity from electronic prescription records using British thoracic society treatment steps

Background:

Asthma severity is typically assessed through a retrospective assessment of the treatment required to control symptoms and to prevent exacerbations. The joint British Thoracic Society and Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (BTS/SIGN) guidelines encourage a stepwise approach to pharmacotherapy, and as such, current treatment step can be considered as a severity categorisation proxy. Briefly, the steps for adults can be summarised as: no controller therapy (Step 0), low-strength Inhaled Corticosteroids (ICS; Step 1), ICS plus Long-Acting Beta-2 Agonist (LABA; Step 2), medium-dose ICS + LABA (Step 3), and finally either an increase in strength or additional therapies (Step 4). This study aimed to investigate how BTS/SIGN Steps can be estimated from across a large cohort using electronic prescription records, and to describe the incidence of each BTS/SIGN Step in a general population.

Methods:

There were 41,433,707 prescriptions, for 671,304 individuals, in the Asthma Learning Health System Scottish cohort, between 1/2009 and 3/2017. Days on which an individual had a prescription for at least one asthma controller (preventer) medication were labelled prescription events. A rule-based algorithm was developed for extracting the strength and volume of medication instructed to be taken daily from free-text data fields. Asthma treatment regimens were categorised by the combination of medications prescribed in the 120 days preceding any prescription event and categorised into BTS/SIGN treatment steps.

Results:

Almost 4.5 million ALHS prescriptions were for asthma controllers. 26% of prescription events had no inhaled corticosteroid prescriptions in the preceding 120 days (Step 0), 16% were assigned to BTS/SIGN Step 1, 7% to Step 2, 21% to Step 3, and 30% to Step 4. The median days spent on a treatment step before a step-down in treatment was 297 days, whereas a step-up only took a median of 134 days.

Conclusion

We developed a reproducible methodology enabling researchers to estimate BTS/SIGN asthma treatment steps in population health studies, providing valuable insights into population and patient-specific trajectories, towards improving the management of asthma.

Characteristics, phenotypes, mechanisms and management of severe asthma

ABSTRACT

Severe asthma is "asthma which requires treatment with high dose inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) plus a second controller (and/or systemic corticosteroids) to prevent it from becoming 'uncontrolled' or which remains 'uncontrolled' despite this therapy." The state of control was defined by symptoms, exacerbations and the degree of airflow obstruction. Therefore, for the diagnosis of severe asthma, it is important to have evidence for a diagnosis of asthma with an assessment of its severity, followed by a review of comorbidities, risk factors, triggers and an assessment of whether treatment is commensurate with severity, whether the prescribed treatments have been adhered to and whether inhaled therapy has been properly administered. Phenotyping of severe asthma has been introduced with the definition of a severe eosinophilic asthma phenotype characterized by recurrent exacerbations despite being on high dose ICS and sometimes oral corticosteroids, with a high blood eosinophil count and a raised level of nitric oxide in exhaled breath. This phenotype has been associated with a Type-2 (T2) inflammatory profile with expression of interleukin (IL)-4, IL-5, and IL-13. Molecular phenotyping has also revealed non-T2 inflammatory phenotypes such as Type-1 or Type-17 driven phenotypes. Antibody treatments targeted at the T2 targets such as anti-IL5, anti-IL5Rα, and anti-IL4Rα antibodies are now available for treating severe eosinophilic asthma, in addition to anti-immunoglobulin E antibody for severe allergic asthma. No targeted treatments are currently available for non-T2 inflammatory phenotypes. Long-term azithromycin and bronchial thermoplasty may be considered. The future lies with molecular phenotyping of the airway inflammatory process to refine asthma endotypes for precision medicine.

A systematic literature review of burden of illness in adults with uncontrolled moderate/severe asthma

BACKGROUND

There are limited published data on the burden of moderate/severe uncontrolled asthma.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature review to better understand the impact of moderate-to-severe asthma in the US, the UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Canada, Japan, and Australia in terms of prevalence, clinical measures, health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and economic burden, for patients whose asthma is uncontrolled despite inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting β₂-agonist (ICS/LABA) therapy.

RESULTS

The prevalence of uncontrolled asthma among patients with moderate/severe disease varied but was as high as 100% in some subgroups. Patients with uncontrolled asthma generally had poor lung function (mean/median pre-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV₁]: 1.69-2.45 L; mean/median pre-bronchodilator percent predicted FEV₁: 57.2-79.7). There was also a substantial but variable exacerbation burden associated with uncontrolled asthma, with the annualised rate of exacerbations ranging from 1.30 to 7.30 when considering various patient subgroups. Furthermore, the annualised rate of severe exacerbations ranged from 1.66 to 3.60. The HRQoL burden measured using disease-specific and generic instruments consistently demonstrated substantial impairment of HRQoL for those with uncontrolled asthma; Asthma Quality of Life Questionnaire scores ranged from 3.00 to 5.20, whilst EurQol-5 Dimensions index scores ranged from 0.53 to 0.59. Direct, indirect and total costs together with consumption of other healthcare resources associated with managing uncontrolled asthma were also substantial in the population studied; no caregiver burden was identified.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that significant unmet needs exist for patients with uncontrolled asthma despite the availability of ICS/LABA therapy. Novel treatments are needed to help reduce the burden to patients, healthcare systems and society.

Effect of exacerbation history on clinical response to dupilumab in moderate-severe uncontrolled asthma

Background

The phase 3 LIBERTY ASTHMA QUEST study (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02414854) in patients with uncontrolled, moderate-to-severe asthma has demonstrated the efficacy and safety of dupilumab 200 and 300 mg every 2 weeks versus placebo. This post hoc analysis assessed the effect of dupilumab on efficacy outcomes and asthma control across a range of historical exacerbation rates in patients with type 2-high asthma.

Methods

Annualised severe exacerbation rates over the 52-week treatment period, pre-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁) at weeks 12 and 52, and the five-item Asthma Control Questionnaire (ACQ-5) score at weeks 24 and 52 were assessed in patients with ≥1, ≥2 or ≥3 exacerbations in the previous year. Subgroups were stratified by baseline blood eosinophils ≥150 or ≥300 cells·μL⁻¹ or baseline exhaled nitric oxide fraction ≥25 ppb and baseline inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) dose.

Results

Across all type 2-high subgroups, dupilumab versus placebo significantly reduced severe exacerbations by 54–90%, with greater improvements in patients with more exacerbations prior to study initiation. Similarly, improvements in FEV₁ (least squares (LS) mean difference versus placebo: ≥1 exacerbations, 0.15–0.25 L; ≥2 exacerbations, 0.12–0.32 L; ≥3 exacerbations, 0.09–0.38 L; majority p<0.05) and ACQ-5 score (LS mean difference range: ≥1 exacerbations, −0.30 to −0.57; ≥2 exacerbations, −0.29 to −0.56; ≥3 exacerbations, −0.43 to −0.61; all p<0.05) were observed, irrespective of prior exacerbation history, across all subgroups.

Conclusions

Dupilumab significantly reduced severe exacerbations and improved FEV₁ and asthma control in patients with elevated type 2 biomarkers irrespective of exacerbation history and baseline ICS dose.

Dupilumab reduced severe exacerbations and improved lung function and asthma control in patients with type 2-high asthma, irrespective of exacerbation history and baseline ICS dose. These data will aid clinicians managing patients with severe disease.https://bit.ly/2PjnSm6

Developing a short-term prediction model for asthma exacerbations from Swedish primary care patients' data using machine learning - Based on the ARCTIC study

OBJECTIVE

The ability to predict impending asthma exacerbations may allow better utilization of healthcare resources, prevention of hospitalization and improve patient outcomes. We aimed to develop models using machine learning to predict risk of exacerbations.

METHODS

Data from 29,396 asthma patients was collected from electronic medical records and national registers covering clinical and epidemiological factors (e.g. comorbidities, health care contacts), between 2000 and 2013. Machine-learning classifiers were used to create models to predict exacerbations within the next 15 days. Model selection was done using the mean cross validation score of area under precision-recall curve (AUPRC).

RESULTS

The most important predictors of exacerbation were comorbidity burden and previous exacerbations. Model validation on test data yielded an AUPRC = 0.007 (95% CI: ± 0.0002), indicating that historic clinical information alone may not be sufficient to predict a near future risk of asthma exacerbation.

CONCLUSIONS

Supplementation with additional data on environmental triggers, (e.g. weather, pollen count, air quality) and from wearables, might be necessary to improve performance of the short-term predictive model to develop a more clinically useful tool.

Determination of the cutoff values of Th2 markers for the prediction of future exacerbation in severe asthma: An analysis from the Hokkaido Severe Asthma Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

We recently reported that severe asthma patients with frequent exacerbations showed high blood eosinophil counts (Eo) and fractions of exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) compared with non-exacerbators. However, we did not determine exact cutoff values related to exacerbation. The aim of this study was to determine the cutoff values of Eo and FeNO that could be related to the exacerbation of severe asthma. We also aimed to confirm the clinical utility of Th2 markers related to exacerbation.

METHODS

This study included 105 severe asthma patients who completed a three-year follow-up of a severe asthma cohort study, including smokers. Three Th2 markers were selected, viz., Eo, FeNO, and positive atopic status. Regarding Eo and FeNO, we determined the cutoff values for the definition of "positive" Th2 features using receiver operating characteristic curve analyses, based on the comparisons between frequent exacerbators and other patients.

RESULTS

The cutoff values for positive Th2 features were Eo ≥ 250 cells/μL and FeNO ≥31 ppb. Sixteen patients (15.2%) had no Th2 features, 40 (38.1%) had one, 25 (23.8%) had two, and 24 (22.9%) had three. A high number of positive Th2 features was significantly associated with exacerbation frequencies over three years (p < 0.05). Similarly, compared to patients with one or no Th2 features, those with three Th2 features had a significantly higher probability of having more than one exacerbation (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The cutoff values determined in the current analysis were good predictors of future exacerbations in severe asthma patients.

Fractional exhaled nitric oxide was not associated with the future risk of exacerbations in Chinese asthmatics: a non-interventional 1-year real-world study

Background

Exacerbations are recognized as the most relevant predictor of future risk in asthmatics. We aimed to evaluate the association between asthma exacerbations, fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FENO), spirometry indices, and other potential risk factors in a non-interventional, real-world study performed in Guangzhou, China.

Methods

We performed a prospective 12 months follow-up of Chinese asthmatics. Spirometry and FENO measurements were performed at baseline. Adherence to inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) use was divided into two categories (>80% and <80%). Patients were seen 4 times after the initial baseline visit.

Results

A total of 222 patients with asthma (49.1% males) completed the study, of which 51 (23.0%) experienced exacerbations during the study period. Of the patients, 117 (52.7%) had good compliance. We compared lung function indices between the patients with and without exacerbations. There was no difference of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) predicted, forced vital capacity (FVC) predicted, and FEVI/FVC (all, P>0.05) between the groups. There was also no significant difference in FENO level between the two groups. Compared to those that had exacerbations, patients without exacerbations had better treatment compliance (P<0.001). Logistic regression analysis identified an association between asthma exacerbations, poor control of symptom [odds ratio (OR) =2.295; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.130-4.663; P=0.022], and nonadherence to asthma medications (OR =4.718; 95% CI: 2.149-10.359; P<0.001).

Conclusions

Poor adherence rather than baseline FENO and FEV1% predicted was associated with the future risk of exacerbations in Chinese asthmatics in real world.

Future Risks in Patients With Severe Asthma

A major burden of severe asthma is the future risk of adverse health outcomes. Patients with severe asthma are prone to serious exacerbation and deterioration of lung function and may experience side effects of medications such as oral corticosteroids (OCSs). However, such future risk is not easily measurable in daily clinical practice. In particular, currently available tools to measure asthma control and asthma-related quality of life incompletely predict the future risk of medication-related morbidity. This is a significant issue in asthma management. This review summarizes the current evidence of future risk in patients with severe asthma. As future risk is poorly perceived by controlled asthmatics, our review focuses on the risk in patients with ‘controlled’ severe asthma. Of note, it is likely that long-term OCS therapy may not prevent future asthma progression, including lung function decline. In addition, the risk of drug side effects increases even during low-dose OCS therapy. Thus, novel treatments are highly desirable for reducing future risks without any loss of asthma control.

Baseline patient factors impact on the clinical efficacy of benralizumab for severe asthma

Benralizumab is an anti-eosinophilic monoclonal antibody that reduces exacerbations and improves lung function for patients with severe, uncontrolled asthma with eosinophilic inflammation. We evaluated the impact of baseline factors on benralizumab efficacy for patients with severe asthma.

This analysis used pooled data from the SIROCCO (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT01928771) and CALIMA (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT01914757) Phase III studies. Patients aged 12–75 years with severe, uncontrolled asthma receiving high-dosage inhaled corticosteroids plus long-acting β₂-agonists received benralizumab 30 mg subcutaneously every 8 weeks (Q8W, first three doses every 4 weeks (Q4W)), Q4W or placebo. Baseline factors that influenced benralizumab efficacy were evaluated, including oral corticosteroid (OCS) use, nasal polyposis, pre-bronchodilator forced vital capacity (FVC), prior year exacerbations and age at diagnosis. Efficacy outcomes included annual exacerbation rate and change in pre-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 s at treatment end relative to placebo.

Benralizumab Q8W treatment effect was enhanced with each baseline factor for all patients and those with ≥300 eosinophils·μL⁻¹ relative to the overall population. OCS use, nasal polyposis and FVC <65% of predicted were associated with greater benralizumab Q8W responsiveness for reduced exacerbation rate for patients with <300 eosinophils·μL⁻¹.

Baseline clinical factors and blood eosinophil counts can help identify patients potentially responsive to benralizumab.

Key baseline factors can aid in identifying patients who may respond to benralizumabhttp://ow.ly/uPVX30ltHTF

Prospective predictors of exacerbation status in severe asthma over a 3-year follow-up

BACKGROUND

A predisposition to exacerbations is being recognized as a distinct phenotype with "previous exacerbations" representing the strongest clinical factor associated with future exacerbation. Thus, to identify additional novel biomarkers associated with asthma exacerbations, "past exacerbation status" must be included as a confounding factor.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to characterize the clinical and biomarker features associated with asthma exacerbations in severe asthma.

METHODS

We evaluated clinical parameters from 105 severe asthmatics yearly for 3 years, as well as their exacerbation status. We classified the subjects into 3 groups: (i) consistent non-exacerbators (CNE, subjects who did not experience any exacerbation over the 3-year period); (ii) consistent frequent exacerbators (CFE, subjects with frequent exacerbation, defined as those who had 2 or more exacerbations within 1 year, throughout the 3-year period); and (iii) intermittent exacerbators (IE). We conducted multivariate analysis for comparisons among the groups for multiple factors, including several Th2-related biomarkers, in addition to the "past exacerbation status."

RESULTS

Thirty-nine subjects were classified as CNE, 15 as CFE, and 51 as IE. Frequent exacerbations in the previous year predicted exacerbations for the following year (P < .001). Among the several Th2-related biomarkers, only FeNO was associated with exacerbation status. When we analysed the data after the second visit, the impact of FeNO on predicting future exacerbation remained significant, even after considering the exacerbation status during the first year (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Measurement of FeNO has a significant potential to predict future asthma exacerbation, which is independent of the "past exacerbation history."