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Crocker TF, Lam N, Ensor J, Jordão M, Bajpai R, Bond M, Forster A, Riley RD, Andre D, Brundle C, Ellwood A, Green J, Hale M, Morgan J, Patetsini E, Prescott M, Ramiz R, Todd O, Walford R, Gladman J, Clegg A. Community-based complex interventions to sustain independence in older people, stratified by frailty: a systematic review and network meta-analysis. Health Technol Assess 2024; 28:1-194. [PMID: 39252602 PMCID: PMC11403382 DOI: 10.3310/hnrp2514] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/11/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Sustaining independence is important for older people, but there is insufficient guidance about which community health and care services to implement. Objectives To synthesise evidence of the effectiveness of community services to sustain independence for older people grouped according to their intervention components, and to examine if frailty moderates the effect. Review design Systematic review and network meta-analysis. Eligibility criteria Studies: Randomised controlled trials or cluster-randomised controlled trials. Participants: Older people (mean age 65+) living at home. Interventions: community-based complex interventions for sustaining independence. Comparators: usual care, placebo or another complex intervention. Main outcomes Living at home, instrumental activities of daily living, personal activities of daily living, care-home placement and service/economic outcomes at 1 year. Data sources We searched MEDLINE (1946-), Embase (1947-), CINAHL (1972-), PsycINFO (1806-), CENTRAL and trial registries from inception to August 2021, without restrictions, and scanned reference lists. Review methods Interventions were coded, summarised and grouped. Study populations were classified by frailty. A random-effects network meta-analysis was used. We assessed trial-result risk of bias (Cochrane RoB 2), network meta-analysis inconsistency and certainty of evidence (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation for network meta-analysis). Results We included 129 studies (74,946 participants). Nineteen intervention components, including 'multifactorial-action' (multidomain assessment and management/individualised care planning), were identified in 63 combinations. The following results were of low certainty unless otherwise stated. For living at home, compared to no intervention/placebo, evidence favoured: multifactorial-action and review with medication-review (odds ratio 1.22, 95% confidence interval 0.93 to 1.59; moderate certainty) multifactorial-action with medication-review (odds ratio 2.55, 95% confidence interval 0.61 to 10.60) cognitive training, medication-review, nutrition and exercise (odds ratio 1.93, 95% confidence interval 0.79 to 4.77) and activities of daily living training, nutrition and exercise (odds ratio 1.79, 95% confidence interval 0.67 to 4.76). Four intervention combinations may reduce living at home. For instrumental activities of daily living, evidence favoured multifactorial-action and review with medication-review (standardised mean difference 0.11, 95% confidence interval 0.00 to 0.21; moderate certainty). Two interventions may reduce instrumental activities of daily living. For personal activities of daily living, evidence favoured exercise, multifactorial-action and review with medication-review and self-management (standardised mean difference 0.16, 95% confidence interval -0.51 to 0.82). For homecare recipients, evidence favoured the addition of multifactorial-action and review with medication-review (standardised mean difference 0.60, 95% confidence interval 0.32 to 0.88). Care-home placement and service/economic findings were inconclusive. Limitations High risk of bias in most results and imprecise estimates meant that most evidence was low or very low certainty. Few studies contributed to each comparison, impeding evaluation of inconsistency and frailty. Studies were diverse; findings may not apply to all contexts. Conclusions Findings for the many intervention combinations evaluated were largely small and uncertain. However, the combinations most likely to sustain independence include multifactorial-action, medication-review and ongoing review of patients. Some combinations may reduce independence. Future work Further research is required to explore mechanisms of action and interaction with context. Different methods for evidence synthesis may illuminate further. Study registration This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42019162195. Funding This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: NIHR128862) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 48. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thomas Frederick Crocker
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Natalie Lam
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Joie Ensor
- Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, UK
| | - Magda Jordão
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Ram Bajpai
- Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, UK
| | - Matthew Bond
- Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, UK
| | - Anne Forster
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Richard D Riley
- Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, UK
| | - Deirdre Andre
- Research Support Team, Leeds University Library, University of Leeds, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
| | - Caroline Brundle
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Alison Ellwood
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - John Green
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Matthew Hale
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Jessica Morgan
- Geriatric Medicine, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Eleftheria Patetsini
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Matthew Prescott
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Ridha Ramiz
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Oliver Todd
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - Rebecca Walford
- Geriatric Medicine, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
| | - John Gladman
- Centre for Rehabilitation & Ageing Research, Academic Unit of Injury, Inflammation and Recovery Sciences, University of Nottingham and Health Care of Older People, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Andrew Clegg
- Academic Unit for Ageing and Stroke Research (University of Leeds), Bradford Institute for Health Research, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK
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Smits GHJM, van Doorn S, Bots ML, Hollander M. Cardiovascular risk reduction with integrated care: results of 8 years follow up. BMC PRIMARY CARE 2023; 24:66. [PMID: 36890432 PMCID: PMC9996931 DOI: 10.1186/s12875-023-02010-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2022] [Accepted: 02/14/2023] [Indexed: 03/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Care groups organize integrated cardiovascular risk management programs in primary care for high risk patients. Results of long term cardiovascular risk management are scarce. The aim was to describe changes in low density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure and smoking between 2011 and 2018 in patients participating in an integrated program for cardiovascular risk management organized by a care group in the Netherlands. AIM To explore whether long-term participation in an integrated cardiovascular risk management program could lead to the improvement of 3 important risk factors for cardiovascular disease. METHODS A protocol was developed for delegated practice nurse activities. A multidisciplinary data registry was used for uniform registration. The care group organized annual education for general practitioners and practice nurses on cardiovascular topics and regular meetings for practice nurses only to discuss complex patient cases and implementation issues. From 2015 onwards, the care group started with practice visitations to discuss performance and support practices with organizing integrated care. RESULTS In patients eligible for primary prevention as well as for secondary prevention similar trends were observed: lipid modifying and blood pressure lowering medication increased, mean low density lipoprotein cholesterol and mean systolic blood pressure decreased, patients on target for low density lipoprotein cholesterol and systolic blood pressure increased and the proportion of non-smokers with both low density lipoprotein cholesterol and systolic blood pressure on target increased. Improved registration between 2011 and 2013 was partly responsible for the sharp increase of patients on target for low density lipoprotein cholesterol and systolic blood pressure. CONCLUSION In patients participating in an integrated cardiovascular risk management program, we saw annual improvements in 3 important cardiovascular risk factors between 2011 and 2018.
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Affiliation(s)
- Geert H. J. M. Smits
- grid.5477.10000000120346234Julius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
- Primary Care Group PoZoB, Bolwerk 10-14, 5509 MH Veldhoven, The Netherlands
| | - Sander van Doorn
- grid.5477.10000000120346234Julius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Michiel L. Bots
- grid.5477.10000000120346234Julius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Monika Hollander
- grid.5477.10000000120346234Julius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
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Stephen R, Barbera M, Peters R, Ee N, Zheng L, Lehtisalo J, Kulmala J, Håkansson K, Chowdhary N, Dua T, Solomon A, Anstey KJ, Kivipelto M. Development of the First WHO Guidelines for Risk Reduction of Cognitive Decline and Dementia: Lessons Learned and Future Directions. Front Neurol 2021; 12:763573. [PMID: 34764935 PMCID: PMC8577650 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2021.763573] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2021] [Accepted: 09/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
The first WHO guidelines for risk reduction of cognitive decline and dementia marked an important milestone in the field of dementia prevention. In this paper, we discuss the evidence reviewed as part of the guidelines development and present the main themes emerged from its synthesis, to inform future research and policies on dementia risk reduction. The role of intervention effect-size; the mismatch between observational and intervention-based evidence; the heterogeneity of evidence among intervention trials; the importance of intervention duration; the role of timing of exposure to a certain risk factor and interventions; the relationship between intervention intensity and response; the link between individual risk factors and specific dementia pathologies; and the need for tailored interventions emerged as the main themes. The interaction and clustering of individual risk factors, including genetics, was identified as the overarching theme. The evidence collected indicates that multidomain approaches targeting simultaneously multiple risk factors and tailored at both individual and population level, are likely to be most effective and feasible in dementia risk reduction. The current status of multidomain intervention trials aimed to cognitive impairment/dementia prevention was also briefly reviewed. Primary results were presented focusing on methodological differences and the potential of design harmonization for improving evidence quality. Since multidomain intervention trials address a condition with slow clinical manifestation—like dementia—in a relatively short time frame, the need for surrogate outcomes was also discussed, with a specific focus on the potential utility of dementia risk scores. Finally, we considered how multidomain intervention could be most effectively implemented in a public health context and the implications world-wide for other non-communicable diseases targeting common risk factors, taking into account the limited evidence in low-middle income countries. In conclusion, the evidence from the first WHO guidelines for risk reduction of cognitive decline and dementia indicated that “one size does not fit all,” and multidomain approaches adaptable to different populations and individuals are likely to be the most effective. Harmonization in trial design, the use of appropriate outcome measures, and sustainability in large at-risk populations in the context of other chronic disorders also emerged as key elements.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ruth Stephen
- Department of Neurology, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland
| | - Mariagnese Barbera
- Department of Neurology, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland.,The Ageing Epidemiology Research Unit, Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Ruth Peters
- School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.,Neuroscience Research Australia, Randwick, NSW, Australia
| | - Nicole Ee
- School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.,Neuroscience Research Australia, Randwick, NSW, Australia
| | - Lidan Zheng
- School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.,Neuroscience Research Australia, Randwick, NSW, Australia
| | - Jenni Lehtisalo
- Department of Neurology, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland.,Population Health Unit, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Jenni Kulmala
- Population Health Unit, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.,Faculty of Social Sciences (Health Sciences) and Gerontology Research Centre (GEREC), Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.,Division of Clinical Geriatrics, Center for Alzheimer Research, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Krister Håkansson
- Division of Clinical Geriatrics, Center for Alzheimer Research, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.,Theme Inflammation and Aging, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Neerja Chowdhary
- Department of Mental Health and Substance Use, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Tarun Dua
- Department of Mental Health and Substance Use, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Alina Solomon
- Department of Neurology, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland.,The Ageing Epidemiology Research Unit, Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.,Division of Clinical Geriatrics, Center for Alzheimer Research, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Kaarin J Anstey
- School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.,Neuroscience Research Australia, Randwick, NSW, Australia
| | - Miia Kivipelto
- The Ageing Epidemiology Research Unit, Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.,Division of Clinical Geriatrics, Center for Alzheimer Research, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.,Theme Inflammation and Aging, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.,Institute of Public Health and Clinical Nutrition, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland
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Integrated cardiovascular risk management programme versus usual care in patients at high cardiovascular risk: an observational study in general practice. BJGP Open 2021; 5:BJGPO.2020.0099. [PMID: 33436457 PMCID: PMC8170599 DOI: 10.3399/bjgpo.2020.0099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2020] [Accepted: 08/20/2020] [Indexed: 10/31/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of death worldwide. Despite the impact of CVDs, risk factors are often insufficiently controlled in patients at high risk. Recently, integrated multidisciplinary cardiovascular risk management (CVRM) programmes have been introduced in primary care. AIM To investigate the effects of a CVRM programme on systolic blood pressure (SBP) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol. DESIGN & SETTING A prospective observational study was undertaken in patients at high cardiovascular (CV) risk who were aged 40-80 years. Integrated CVRM care was compared with usual care in general practice in the Netherlands. METHOD Intervention and usual care patients were matched at baseline on age, sex, and presence of CVD. During 1 year of follow-up, patients received integrated or usual CVRM care in general practice. Primary outcomes were SBP and LDL-cholesterol. Secondary outcomes included calculated 10-year CV risk, body mass index (BMI), lifestyle (smoking, physical activity, and dietary habits), medication use, patient satisfaction, healthcare consumption, morbidity, comorbidity, and mortality. Mixed-model analyses were used to assess the outcomes. RESULTS Totals of 372 and 317 patients were included in the intervention and usual care group, respectively. Mean age at baseline was 65.1 years and 66.2 years, respectively, and 42% were female in both groups. After 1 year, no differences were observed in: SBP (137.2 mmHg versus 139.0 mmHg in the intervention and usual care group, respectively); LDL-cholesterol (2.6 mmol/l in both groups); or in any of the secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION Integrated CVRM care in general practice did not lead to a lower SBP or LDL-cholesterol in patients at high CV risk. Further research is needed to improve CVRM.
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Marchal S, Hollander M, Schoenmakers M, Schouwink M, Timmer JR, Bilo HJG, Schwantje O, van ’t Hof AWJ, Hoes AW. Design of the ZWOT-CASE study: an observational study on the effectiveness of an integrated programme for cardiovascular risk management compared to usual care in general practice. BMC FAMILY PRACTICE 2019; 20:149. [PMID: 31675925 PMCID: PMC6825359 DOI: 10.1186/s12875-019-1039-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2018] [Accepted: 10/17/2019] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) contribute considerably to mortality and morbidity. Prevention of CVD by lifestyle change and medication is important and needs full attention. In the Netherlands an integrated programme for cardiovascular risk management (CVRM), based on the Chronic Care Model (CCM), has been introduced in primary care in many regions in recent years, but its effects are unknown. In the ZWOT-CASE study we will assess the effect of integrated care for CVRM in the region of Zwolle on two major cardiovascular risk factors: systolic blood pressure (SBP) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-cholesterol) in patients with or at high risk of CVD. METHODS This study is a pragmatic observational study comparing integrated care for CVRM with usual care among patients aged 40-80 years with CVD (n = 370) or with a high CVD risk (n = 370) within 26 general practices. After 1 yr follow-up, primary outcomes (SBP and LDL-cholesterol level) are measured. Secondary outcomes include lifestyle habits (smoking, dietary habits, alcohol use, physical activity), risk factor awareness, 10-year risk of cardiovascular morbidity or mortality, health care consumption, patient satisfaction and quality of life. CONCLUSION The ZWOT-CASE study will provide insight in the effects of integrated care for CVRM in general practice in patients with CVD or at high CVD risk. TRIAL REGISTRATION The ZWOlle Transmural Integrated Care for CArdiovaScular Risk Management Study; ClinicalTrials.gov ; Identifier: NCT03428061; date of registration: 09-02-2018; This study has been retrospectively registered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Suzanne Marchal
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care/ University Medical Center Utrecht and Utrecht University, Huispost Str. 6.131, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Monika Hollander
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care/ University Medical Center Utrecht and Utrecht University, Huispost Str. 6.131, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | | | - Michiel Schouwink
- Medrie, Dr. Klinkertweg 18, PO Box 40099, 8004 DB Zwolle, The Netherlands
| | - Jorik R. Timmer
- Isala, Dokter van Heesweg 2, PO Box 10400, 8000 GK Zwolle, The Netherlands
| | - Henk J. G. Bilo
- Center for Integrated Care, Dr. Spanjaardweg, 118025 BT Zwolle, The Netherlands
| | - Olof Schwantje
- General Practitioners Region Region of Zwolle, Zwolle, The Netherlands
| | - Arnoud W. J. van ’t Hof
- Isala, Dokter van Heesweg 2, PO Box 10400, 8000 GK Zwolle, The Netherlands
- Department of Cardiology, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
- Zuyderland Medical Center, department of Cardiology, Heerlen, The Netherlands
| | - Arno W. Hoes
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care/ University Medical Center Utrecht and Utrecht University, Huispost Str. 6.131, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands
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Verweij L, Peters RJ, Scholte op Reimer WJ, Boekholdt SM, Luben RM, Wareham NJ, Khaw KT, Latour CH, Jorstad HT. Validation of the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation - Older Persons (SCORE-OP) in the EPIC-Norfolk prospective population study. Int J Cardiol 2019; 293:226-230. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2019.07.020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2019] [Revised: 07/02/2019] [Accepted: 07/08/2019] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
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van Bussel EF, Richard E, Busschers WB, Steyerberg EW, van Gool WA, Moll van Charante EP, Hoevenaar-Blom MP. A cardiovascular risk prediction model for older people: Development and validation in a primary care population. J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich) 2019; 21:1145-1152. [PMID: 31294917 PMCID: PMC6772108 DOI: 10.1111/jch.13617] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/13/2019] [Revised: 04/18/2019] [Accepted: 05/03/2019] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
Cardiovascular risk prediction is mainly based on traditional risk factors that have been validated in middle‐aged populations. However, associations between these risk factors and cardiovascular disease (CVD) attenuate with increasing age. Therefore, for older people the authors developed and internally validated risk prediction models for fatal and non‐fatal CVD, (re)evaluated the predictive value of traditional and new factors, and assessed the impact of competing risks of non‐cardiovascular death. Post hoc analyses of 1811 persons aged 70‐78 year and free from CVD at baseline from the preDIVA study (Prevention of Dementia by Intensive Vascular care, 2006‐2015), a primary care‐based trial that included persons free from dementia and conditions likely to hinder successful long‐term follow‐up, were performed. In 2017‐2018, Cox‐regression analyses were performed for a model including seven traditional risk factors only, and a model to assess incremental predictive ability of the traditional and eleven new factors. Analyses were repeated accounting for competing risk of death, using Fine‐Gray models. During an average of 6.2 years of follow‐up, 277 CVD events occurred. Age, sex, smoking, and type 2 diabetes mellitus were traditional predictors for CVD, whereas total cholesterol, HDL‐cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure (SBP) were not. Of the eleven new factors, polypharmacy and apathy symptoms were predictors. Discrimination was moderate (concordance statistic 0.65). Accounting for competing risks resulted in slightly smaller predicted absolute risks. In conclusion, we found, SBP, HDL, and total cholesterol no longer predict CVD in older adults, whereas polypharmacy and apathy symptoms are two new relevant predictors. Building on the selected risk factors in this study may improve CVD prediction in older adults and facilitate targeting preventive interventions to those at high risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emma F van Bussel
- Department of General Practice, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Edo Richard
- Department of Neurology, Donderds Centre for Brain, Behaviour and Cognition, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.,Department of Neurology, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Wim B Busschers
- Department of General Practice, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Ewout W Steyerberg
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, LUMC, Leiden, The Netherlands.,Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Willem A van Gool
- Department of Neurology, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Eric P Moll van Charante
- Department of General Practice, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Marieke P Hoevenaar-Blom
- Department of Neurology, Donderds Centre for Brain, Behaviour and Cognition, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.,Department of Neurology, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Sisa I. Gender differences in cardiovascular risk assessment in elderly adults in Ecuador: evidence from a national survey. J Investig Med 2018; 67:736-742. [PMID: 30518558 DOI: 10.1136/jim-2018-000789] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/04/2018] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
The present study aimed to predict the risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD) over a 5-year period and how it might vary by sex in an ethnically diverse population of older adults. We used a novel CVD risk model built and validated in older adults named the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation in Older Persons (SCORE OP). A population-based study analyzed a total of 1307 older adults. Analyses were done by various risk categories and sex. Of the study population, 54% were female with a mean age of 75±7.1 years. According to the SCORE OP model, individuals were classified as having low (9.8%), moderate (48.1%), and high or very high risk (42.1%) of CVD-related mortality. Individuals at higher risk of CVD were more likely to be male compared with females, 53.9% vs 31.8%, respectively (p<0.01). Males were more likely to be younger, living in rural areas, had higher levels of schooling, and with the exception of smoking status and serum triglycerides, had lower values of traditional risk factors than females. In addition, males were less likely to require blood pressure-lowering therapy and statin drugs than females. This gender inequality could be driven by sociocultural determinants and a risk factor paradox in which lower levels of the cardiovascular risk factors are associated with an increase rather than a reduction in mortality. These data can be used to tailor primary prevention strategies such as lifestyle counseling and therapeutic measures in order to improve male elderly health, especially in low-resource settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ivan Sisa
- School of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
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