Novel stress echocardiographic model incorporating the extent and severity of wall motion abnormality for risk stratification and prognosis

Non-transmural myocardial infarction associated with regional contractile function is an independent predictor of positive outcome: an integrated approach to myocardial viability

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance permits assessment of irreversible myocardial fibrosis and contractile function in patients with previous myocardial infarction. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of myocardial fibrotic tissue with preserved/restored contractile activity.

METHODS

In 730 consecutive myocardial infarction patients (64 ± 11 years), we quantified left ventricular (LV) end-diastolic (EDV) and end-systolic (ESV) volumes, ejection fraction (EF), regional wall motion (WM) (1 normal, 2 hypokinetic, 3 akinetic, 4 dyskinetic), and WM score index (WMSI), and measured the transmural (1-50 and 51-100) and global extent of the infarct scar by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). Contractile fibrotic (CT-F) segments were identified as those showing WM-1 and WM-2 with LGE ≤ or ≥ 50%.

RESULTS

During follow-up (median 2.5, range 1-4.7 years), cardiac events (cardiac death or appropriate implantable defibrillator shocks) occurred in 123 patients (17%). At univariate analysis, age, LVEDV, LVESV, LVEF, WMSI, extent of LGE, segments with transmural extent > 50%, and CT-F segments were associated with cardiac events. At multivariate analysis, age > 65 years, LVEF < 30%, WMSI > 1.7, and dilated LVEDV independently predicted cardiac events, while CT-F tissue was the only independent predictor of better outcome. After adjustment for LVEF < 30% and LVEDV dilatation, the presence of CT-F tissue was associated with good prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to CMR imaging parameters associated with adverse outcome (severe LV dysfunction, poor WM, and dilated EDV), the presence of fibrotic myocardium showing contractile activity in patients with previous myocardial infarction yields a beneficial effect on patient survival.

Prognostic Value of Modified Haller Index in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease Referred for Exercise Stress Echocardiography

Background:

The influence of chest conformation on outcome of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) is actually unknown.

Materials and Methods:

This retrospective study included all consecutive patients who underwent exercise stress echocardiography (ESE) for suspected CAD at our institution between February 2011 and September 2019. Modified Haller index (MHI; chest transverse diameter over the distance between sternum and spine) was assessed in all patients. Obstructive CAD was diagnosed by ≥70% stenosis in any epicardial coronary artery. During the follow-up time, we evaluated the occurrence of any of the following: (1) cardiovascular (CV) hospitalizations and (2) cardiac death or sudden death.

Results:

A total of 1091 consecutive patients (62.4 ± 12.6 years, 57.2% of men) were included in the study. Patients with normal chest shape (MHI ≤2.5) and those with concave-shaped chest wall (MHI >2.5) were separately analyzed. A positive ESE was diagnosed in 171 patients of which 80.7% had an obstructive CAD (true positive), while 19.3 not (false positive [FP]). Majority of FP ESE (70.9%) derived from concave-shaped chest wall group. During follow-up time (2.5 ± 1.9 years), 9 patients died and 281 were hospitalized because of heart failure (163), acute coronary syndromes (39), and arrhythmias (79). At the multivariate Cox regression analysis, age (heart rate [HR]: 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01–1.03), MHI >2.5 (HR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.26–0.56), diabetes mellitus (HR: 4.89, 95% CI: 3.78–6.32), horizontal ST depression ≥1 mm (HR: 2.86, 95% CI: 1.98–4.15), peak exercise average E/e' ratio (HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.06–1.10), and peak exercise wall motion score index (HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.36–2.35) were independently correlated with outcome.

Conclusions:

Patients with concave-shaped chest wall (MHI >2.5) have a significantly lower probability of CV events than those with normal chest shape (MHI ≤2.5) over a medium-term follow-up. A noninvasive chest shape assessment could identify subjects at lower risk of CV events.

Coronary artery disease in patients with human immunodeficiency virus infection

The life expectancy of people infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is rising due to better access to combination anti-retroviral therapy (ART). Although ART has reduced acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) related mortality and morbidity, there has been an increase in non-AIDS defining illnesses such as diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia and coronary artery disease (CAD). HIV is a disease marked by inflammation which has been associated with specific biological vascular processes increasing the risk of premature atherosclerosis. The combination of pre-existing risk factors, atherosclerosis, ART, opportunistic infections and coagulopathy contributes to rising CAD incidence. The prevalence of CAD has emerged as a major contributor of morbidity in these patients due to longer life expectancy. However, ART has been associated with lipodystrophy, dyslipidemia, insulin resistance, diabetes mellitus and CAD. These adverse effects, along with drug-drug interactions when ART is combined with cardiovascular drugs, result in significant challenges in the care of this group of patients. Exercise tolerance testing, echocardiography, myocardial perfusion imaging, coronary computed tomography angiography and magnetic resonance imaging help in the diagnosis of CAD and heart failure and help predict cardiovascular outcomes in a manner similar to non-infected individuals. This review will highlight the pathogenesis and factors that link HIV to CAD, presentation and treatment of HIV-patients presenting with CAD and review briefly the cardiac imaging modalities used to identify this entity and help prognosticate future outcomes.

Myocardial Contrast Uptake in Relation to Coronary Artery Disease and Prognosis

During left ventricular opacification (LVO), myocardial contrast uptake (MCU) is frequently observed, but its clinical implication is uncertain. We aimed to investigate the diagnostic performance of MCU and its prognostic value in known or suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Contrast echocardiography was retrospectively analyzed in 457 patients who had previous coronary angiography <12 mo before LVO. MCU was classified into replacement or interstitial patterns. Subendocardial patterns were further inspected. Events were defined as a primary composite of the occurrence of acute coronary syndrome, heart failure hospitalization, sustained ventricular tachycardia and all-cause mortality. MCU had an 87.6% sensitivity, 75.5% specificity, 73.0% positive predictive value and 87.7% negative predictive value in detecting CAD. After a median follow-up of 17.3 mo, 52 events occurred. Replacement, interstitial and subendocardial MCU patterns were associated with events. In conclusion, the presence of MCU was useful in identifying CAD and provided incremental prognostic value for clinical outcomes.

The Clinical Utility and Enduring Versatility of Stress Echocardiography

Stress echocardiography is an established cardiac imaging modality for the detection and quantification of severity of coronary artery disease. In recent years, there has also been an increasing use of stress echocardiography in the assessment of non-ischaemic cardiac disease given its ability to assess functional capacity and haemodynamic changes with exercise which can help guide therapy and inform prognosis. The emerging use of strain, myocardial contrast and three-dimensional (3D) echocardiography further assists in improving diagnostic accuracy particularly in patients with coronary artery disease. This paper summarises the protocols, indications and clinical applications of stress echocardiography in both ischaemic and non-ischaemic cardiac disease.

Prognostic Value of Stress Echocardiography in Patients With Low-Intermediate or High Short-Term (10 Years) Versus Low (<39%) or High (≥39%) Lifetime Predicted Risk of Cardiovascular Disease According to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2013 Cardiovascular Risk Calculator

This study evaluates the prognostic value of stress echocardiography (Secho) in short-term (10 years) and lifetime atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk-defined groups according to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2013 cardiovascular risk calculator. The ideal risk assessment and management of patients with low-to-intermediate or high short-term versus low (<39%) or high (≥39%) lifetime CV risk is unclear. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of Secho in short-term and lifetime CV risk-defined groups. We evaluated 4,566 patients (60 ± 13 years; 46% men) who underwent Secho (41% treadmill and 59% dobutamine) with low-intermediate short-term (<20%) risk divided into low (<39%, n = 368) or high (≥39%, n = 661) lifetime CV risk and third group with high short-term risk (≥20%, n = 3,537). Follow-up (3.2 ± 1.5 years) for nonfatal myocardial infarction (n = 102) and cardiac death (n = 140) were obtained. By univariate analysis, age (p <0.001) and ≥3 new ischemic wall motion abnormalities (WMAs, p <0.001) were significant predictors of cardiac events. Cumulative survival in patients was significantly worse in patients with ≥3 WMA versus <3 WMA in low-intermediate short-term and low (3.3% vs 0.3% per year, p <0.001) or high (2.0% vs 0% per year, p <0.001) lifetime risk and also in those with high short-term CV risk group (3.5% vs 1.0% per year, p <0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis identified ≥3 new ischemic WMAs as the strongest predictor of cardiac events (hazard ratio 3.0, 95% confidence interval 2.3 to 3.9, p <0.001). In conclusion, Secho results (absence or presence of ≥3 new ischemic segments) can further refine risk assessment in patients with low-intermediate or high short-term versus low or high lifetime cardiovascular risk. Event rate with normal Secho is low (≤1% per year) but higher in patients with high short-term CV risk by the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2013 cardiovascular risk calculator.

Utilization of stress echocardiography in patients with multivessel coronary artery disease

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the role of stress echocardiography in the risk stratification and prognosis of patients with multivessel coronary artery disease (CAD).

BACKGROUND

Stress echocardiography is an established technique for diagnosis, risk stratification, and prognosis of patients with known or suspected CAD.

METHODS

We evaluated 409 patients (65 ± 10 years; 63% men) referred for stress echocardiography (45% treadmill, 55% dobutamine), who underwent stress echocardiography and coronary angiography within 3 months. All patients had multivessel CAD as defined by coronary stenosis (≥50% left main or ≥70% in two or more major epicardial vessels or branches). The left ventricle was divided into 16 segments and was scored on a five-point scale of wall motion. Patients with abnormal results on stress echocardiography were defined as those with stress-induced ischemia (increase in wall motion score of ≥1 grade).

RESULTS

Follow-up (3.1 ± 1.3 years) for nonfatal myocardial infarction (n = 35) and cardiac death (n = 25) was obtained. In patients with multivessel CAD, stress echocardiography effectively risk-stratified normal (no ischemia, n = 83) vs. abnormal (ischemia, n = 326) groups for cardiac events (event rate 1.9 vs. 5.4%/year; P < 0.01). Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression model identified stress-induced ischemia (hazard ratio 5.5, 95% confidence interval 1.9-15.9, P = 0.002) as the most significant predictor of adverse cardiac events. A stepwise Cox proportional-hazards model demonstrated significant incremental prognostic value of stress echocardiography over clinical variables, stress electrocardiography and resting left ventricular function (P < 0.0001), with the highest global chi-square value.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with angiographically significant multivessel CAD, despite normal-stress echocardiography, there was an intermediate cardiac event rate (1.9%/year); abnormal-stress echocardiography identified a high-risk group (5.4%/year); and stress echocardiography provided incremental prognostic value for risk stratification and prediction of cardiac events.

Prognostic value of treadmill stress echocardiography at extremes of exercise performance: submaximal <85% maximum predicted heart rate versus high exercise capacity ≥ 10 metabolic equivalents

BACKGROUND

Submaximal stress testing or achieving <85% maximum predicted heart rate (MPHR) may lead to nondiagnostic results and indeterminate outcomes. High exercise capacity (≥ 10 metabolic equivalents, METS) is a predictor of favorable prognosis. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of submaximal or high exercise capacity stress echocardiography.

METHODS

We evaluated 1781 patients (55 ± 13 years; 59% male) undergoing treadmill stress echocardiography divided into 811 patients with submaximal (<85% MPHR) and 970 patients with high exercise capacity (≥ 10 METS). Resting left ventricular ejection fraction and regional wall motion were assessed. The left ventricle was divided into 16 segments and scored on 5-point scale of wall motion. Abnormal stress echocardiography was defined as stress-induced ischemia (wall-motion score of ≥ 1 grade). Follow-up (3.3 ± 1.5 years) for nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) (n = 40) and cardiac death (n = 52) were obtained.

RESULTS

By univariate analysis, echocardiographic variables of ejection fraction, peak wall-motion score index (WMSI) and number of new ischemic wall-motion abnormalities were significant predictors of cardiac events. Cumulative survival was significantly worse in patients with abnormal (ischemic) versus normal (nonischemic) stress echocardiography in submaximal (4.4%/year vs. 1.3%/year, P < 0.0001) and high exercise capacity (1.5%/year vs. 0.2%/year, P < 0.0001) studies. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis identified number of new ischemic wall-motion abnormalities as the strongest predictor of cardiac events (P < 0.05) in both groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite normal stress echocardiography, the inability to achieve 85% MPHR conferred a higher, intermediate cardiac event rate of 2.9%/year. The ability to achieve 9 minutes (≥ 10 metabolic equivalents, METS) conferred an overall low cardiac event rate of 0.4%/year. However, the absence or presence of ischemia by stress echocardiography was able to further risk stratify patients with either submaximal or high exercise capacity studies.

Prognostic value of stress echocardiogram in patients with angiographically significant coronary artery disease

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of stress echocardiography in patients with angiographically significant coronary artery disease (CAD). Two hundred sixty patients (mean age 63 ± 10 years, 58% men) who underwent stress echocardiography (41% treadmill, 59% dobutamine) and coronary angiography within 3 months and without intervening coronary revascularization were evaluated. All patients had significant CAD as defined by coronary stenosis ≥70% in major epicardial vessels or branches (45% had single-vessel disease, and 55% had multivessel disease). The left ventricle was divided into 16 segments and scored on a 5-point scale of wall motion. Patients with abnormal results on stress echocardiography were defined as those with stress-induced ischemia (increase in wall motion score of ≥1 grade). Follow-up (3.1 ± 1.2 years) for nonfatal myocardial infarction (n = 23) and cardiac death (n = 6) was obtained. In patients with angiographically significant CAD, stress echocardiography effectively risk stratified normal (no ischemia, n = 91) in contrast to abnormal (ischemia, n = 169) groups for cardiac events (event rate 1.0%/year vs 4.9%/year, p = 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified multivessel CAD (hazard ratio 2.53, 95% confidence interval 1.16 to 5.51, p = 0.02) and number of segments in which ischemia was present (hazard ratio 4.31, 95% confidence interval 1.29 to 14.38, p = 0.01) as predictors of cardiac events. A Cox proportional-hazards model for cardiac events showed small, significant incremental value of stress echocardiography over coronary angiography (p = 0.02) and the highest global chi-square value for both (p = 0.004). In conclusion, in patients with angiographically significant CAD, (1) normal results on stress echocardiography conferred a benign prognosis (event rate 1.0%/year), and (2) stress echocardiographic results (no ischemia vs ischemia) added incremental prognostic value to coronary angiographic results, and (3) stress echocardiography and coronary angiography together provided additive prognostic value, with the highest global chi-square value.

Risk stratification and prognosis of human immunodeficiency virus-infected patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease referred for stress echocardiography

BACKGROUND

Patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection are at increased risk of accelerated coronary artery disease (CAD) and cardiovascular events. Stress echocardiography (SE) is routinely used for risk stratification and prognosis of patients with known or suspected CAD. The prognostic value of SE in this high-risk group is unknown. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of SE in HIV-infected patients with known or suspected CAD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We evaluated 311 patients (age, 52 ± 9 years; 74% men; left ventricular ejection fraction, 54 ± 12%) with history of HIV, undergoing SE (56% dobutamine). Left ventricular wall motion was evaluated on a 16-segment model, 5-point scale. An abnormal SE was defined by a fixed (infarction), biphasic, or new (ischemia) wall motion abnormality on stress. Follow-up for cardiac death and myocardial infarction was obtained. Seventy-nine (26%) patients had an abnormal SE. After 2.9 ± 1.9 years, 17 confirmed myocardial infarction and 14 cardiac deaths occurred. SE risk-stratified patients into normal versus abnormal subgroups (event rate, 0.6% per year versus 11.8% per year; P < 0.0001). Both abnormal SE (hazard ratio, 28.2; 95% confidence interval, 6.2 to 128.0; P < 0.0001) and the presence of any ischemia on SE (hazard ratio, 3.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 8.6; P = 0.009) were independent predictors of cardiac events. On a forward conditional Cox proportional hazards regression model, SE provided incremental prognostic value over clinical, stress ECG, and resting echocardiographic variables (global χ(2) increased from 17.8 to 24.5 to 65 to 109, P < 0.05 across all groups).

CONCLUSIONS

SE can effectively risk-stratify and prognosticate patients with HIV. The presence of ischemia and scar during SE provides independent and incremental prognostic value over traditional variables. A normal SE response portends a benign prognosis even in this high-risk subset.

The changing paradigm of stress echocardiography: risk stratification, prognosis, and future directions

The use of stress echocardiography has undergone considerable evolution in the past 3 decades. Although stress echocardiography was first introduced as a noninvasive diagnostic tool for determining the presence or absence of coronary artery disease (CAD), it later served a prognostic role as well. The importance of stress echocardiography in risk stratification and prognosis is substantially undervalued by clinicians. The identification of patients at risk for future cardiac events has become a primary objective in noninvasive evaluation of patients with suspected or known CAD. In particular, the ability of stress echocardiography to identify patients at low (< 1%), intermediate (1%-5%), or high (> 5%) risk for future cardiac events is essential to decision making in patient management. Moreover, previous studies have conclusively demonstrated the incremental prognostic value of stress echocardiography over clinical and treadmill exercise data in predicting future cardiac events. This article presents a primarily single-center experience of retrospective and observational studies that address the current role of stress echocardiography and summarize its use for risk stratification, prognosis, and determining clinical outcomes, as well as cost-effective integration of such information in patient management decision making.

Quantitative three-dimensional wall motion analysis predicts ischemic region size and location

Stress echocardiography is an important screening test for coronary artery disease. Currently, cardiologists rely on visual analysis of left ventricular (LV) wall motion abnormalities, which is subjective and qualitative. We previously used finite-element models of the regionally ischemic left ventricle to develop a wall motion measure, 3DFS, for predicting ischemic region size and location from real-time 3D echocardiography (RT3DE). The purpose of this study was to validate these methods against regional blood flow measurements during regional ischemia and to compare the accuracy of our methods to the current state of the art, visual scoring by trained cardiologists. We acquired RT3DE images during 20 brief (<2 min) coronary occlusions in dogs and determined ischemic region size and location by microsphere-based measurement of regional perfusion. We identified regions of abnormal wall motion using 3DFS and by blinded visual scoring. 3DFS predicted ischemic region size well (correlation r (2) = 0.64 against microspheres, p < 0.0001), reducing error by more than half compared to visual scoring (8 +/- 9% vs. 19 +/- 14%, p < 0.05), while localizing the ischemic region with equal accuracy. We conclude that 3DFS is an objective, quantitative measure of wall motion that localizes acutely ischemic regions as accurately as wall motion scoring while providing superior quantification of ischemic region size.

Prognostic value of exercise echocardiography in diabetic patients

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the leading cause of death in diabetic patients. Although exercise echocardiography (EE) is established as a useful method for diagnosis and stratification of risk for CAD in the general population, there are few studies on its value as a prognostic tool in diabetic patients. The purpose of this investigation was to evaluate the value of EE in predicting cardiac events in diabetics.

METHODS

193 diabetic patients, 97 males, 59.8 +/- 9.3 yrs (mean +/- SD) were submitted to EE between 2001 and 2006 and followed from 7 to 65 months with median of 29 months by phone calls and personal interviews with patients and their primary physician, and reviewing medical records and death certificates. The end points were cardiac events, defined as non-fatal myocardial infarction, late myocardial revascularization and cardiac death. Sudden death without another explanation was considered cardiac death. Survival free of end points was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Twenty-six cardiac events were registered in 24 individuals during the follow-up. The rates of cardiac events were 20.6 and 7% in patients with positive and negative EE, respectively (p < 0.001). Predictors of cardiac events included sedentary lifestyle, with RR of 2.57 95%CI [1.09 to 6.02] (P = 0.03) and positive EE, with RR 3.63, 95%CI [1.44 to 9.16] (P = 0.01). Patients with positive EE presented higher rates of cardiac events at 12 months (6.8% vs. 2.2%), p = 0.004.

CONCLUSION

EE is a useful method to predict cardiac events in diabetic patients with suspected or known CAD.

Prediction of myocardial infarction versus cardiac death by stress echocardiography

BACKGROUND

The echocardiography literature to date has considered cardiac death and myocardial infarction (MI) as a combined end point. The purposes of the present study were to evaluate the differential prognosis of nonfatal MI versus cardiac death in patients undergoing stress echocardiography and to effectively risk stratify patients using the appropriate combination of functional, ischemic, and infarction data.

METHODS

The authors evaluated 3,259 patients (mean age, 59 +/- 13 years; 48% men) undergoing stress echocardiography. Follow-up (mean, 2.8 +/- 1.1 years) for confirmed nonfatal MI (n = 91) and cardiac death (n = 105) was obtained.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that the strongest predictor of cardiac death was a low ejection fraction (chi(2) = 37.3, P < .0001), and the strongest predictor of nonfatal MI was the extent of ischemia (chi(2) = 12.3, P < .0001). The relationship between ejection fraction and cardiac death rate was an exponential curve (y = 16.91e(-0.50x); r = -0.99, P < .0001). Among patients with ejection fractions > 30% (the low-risk to intermediate-risk groups), peak wall motion score index (WMSI) was able to further risk stratify patients into a very low risk group (peak WMSI = 1.0; cardiac death rate, 0.26% per year) and a higher risk group (peak WMSI > 1.7; cardiac death rate, 2.56% per year). However, patients with ejection fractions < 30% had high cardiac death risk regardless of peak WMSI category.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients referred for stress echocardiography, the integration of functional information (on the basis of ejection fraction) and ischemic and infarction data (on the basis of WMSI) effectively risk stratifies patients for the outcome-specific end points of cardiac death and nonfatal MI.

Role of right ventricular wall motion abnormalities in risk stratification and prognosis of patients referred for stress echocardiography

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of assessing right ventricular (RV) wall motion abnormalities during stress echocardiography (SE).

BACKGROUND

The results of SE are usually interpreted based on wall motion abnormalities of the left ventricle (LV). There is increasing recognition of the prognostic importance of RV. However, RV is still a "forgotten" chamber during routine SE.

METHODS

We evaluated 2,703 patients referred for SE. The LV was evaluated on a 16-segment model 5-point scale and the RV was evaluated on a 3-segment model 5-point scale for wall motion abnormalities. An abnormal RV or LV was defined as one with new (ischemic) or fixed (infarction) wall motion abnormalities. Follow-up (2.7 +/- 1.0 years) for confirmed myocardial infarction and cardiac death (n = 122) were obtained.

RESULTS

An abnormal RV was seen in 112 patients (4%). In the presence of an abnormal LV, patients with abnormal RV had a worse prognosis than those with normal RV. Abnormal RV was a significant predictor of events (adjusted hazard ratio 2.69, 95% confidence interval 1.22 to 5.92; p = 0.014) independent of LV ischemia and ejection fraction. A forward conditional Cox model showed that peak RV wall motion score index provided incremental prognostic value over rest and conventional SE variables (global chi-square increased from 141.4 to 161.8 to 197.0; p < 0.0001 and p = 0.006, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients referred for SE, RV wall motion analysis provides prognostic value independent of LV ischemia and ejection fraction and provides incremental value over rest and conventional SE variables. Right ventricular wall motion analysis should be routinely performed in patients referred for SE for effective risk stratification.

Role of Left Atrial Size in Risk Stratification and Prognosis of Patients Undergoing Stress Echocardiography

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the role of diastolic dysfunction as measured by left atrial (LA) size in patients undergoing stress echocardiography (SE).

BACKGROUND

Left atrial size is a surrogate marker of diastolic function. However, its prognostic value in patients referred for SE is not well defined.

METHODS

We evaluated 2,705 patients (60 +/- 13 years, 47% men) undergoing SE (56% dobutamine). Patients with significant mitral valve disease (mitral stenosis or > or = moderate mitral regurgitation) were excluded. Enlarged LA was defined as a LA size indexed to body surface area > or =2.4 cm/m2. Follow-up (mean 2.7 +/- 1.0 years) for nonfatal myocardial infarction or cardiac death (n = 122) was obtained.

RESULTS

A dilated LA was able to further risk-stratify both the normal and abnormal SE groups. In the presence of a dilated LA, an abnormal SE portends a worse prognosis compared with patients with normal LA size. Cox proportional modeling showed that a dilated LA added incremental value over traditional risk factors, stress electrocardiographic, rest echocardiographic, and SE variables for the prediction of hard events (global chi-square increased from 90.4 to 113.1 to 176.1 to 184.4 to 190.5; p < 0.05 all groups). Left atrial size was a significant predictor of events independent of left ventricular systolic dysfunction and ischemia (relative risk = 1.84, 95% confidence interval 1.19 to 2.85; p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients referred for stress echocardiography, LA size provides independent and incremental value over standard risk factors including left ventricular systolic dysfunction and ischemia. Left atrial size is a powerful prognosticator and should be routinely used in the prognostic interpretation of stress echocardiography.

Usefulness of stress echocardiography for risk stratification and prognosis of patients with left ventricular hypertrophy

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the role of stress echocardiography in the risk stratification and prognosis of patients with left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy. One thousand two patients (mean age 62 +/- 13 years, 35% men) with LV hypertrophy (defined by LV mass index >115 g/m(2) for men and >95 g/m(2) for women) were evaluated. LV mass was calculated using the linear dimension method, as recommended by the American Society of Echocardiography. The calculation of relative wall thickness was performed using the formula (2 x posterior wall thickness)/LV internal diameter. Concentric and eccentric LV hypertrophy were defined as relative wall thicknesses > or =0.42 and <0.42 cm, respectively. Follow-up (2.6 +/- 1.1 years) for confirmed myocardial infarction and cardiac death (n = 71) was obtained. Four hundred seventy-three patients (47%) had concentric hypertrophy, and 529 patients (53%) had eccentric hypertrophy. In patients with either concentric or eccentric LV hypertrophy, stress echocardiography was able to effectively risk-stratify normal versus abnormal subgroups (event rate 1.1% vs 4.9% per year, p <0.0001), whereas stress electrocardiography was unable to do so. In the cohort with normal stress echocardiographic results, patients with concentric LV hypertrophy had an event rate 5 times higher than those with eccentric LV hypertrophy (event rate 1.7% vs 0.3% per year, p = 0.007). In conclusion, stress echocardiography effectively risk-stratifies patients with LV hypertrophy compared with stress electrocardiography. Normal stress echocardiographic results in patients with concentric LV hypertrophy indicate a worse prognosis than in patients with eccentric LV hypertrophy, probably reflecting decreased sensitivity in this cohort. However, abnormal stress echocardiographic results portend a worse prognosis in patients with either concentric or eccentric LV hypertrophy.

Risk Stratification Using Stress Echocardiography: Incremental Prognostic Value over Historic, Clinical, and Stress Electrocardiographic Variables Across a Wide Spectrum of Bayesian Pretest Probabilities for Coronary Artery Disease

OBJECTIVES

We sought to evaluate the risk stratification ability and incremental prognostic value of stress echocardiography over historic, clinical, and stress electrocardiographic (ECG) variables, over a wide spectrum of bayesian pretest probabilities of coronary artery disease (CAD).

BACKGROUND

Stress echocardiography is an established technique for the diagnosis of CAD. However, data on incremental prognostic value of stress echocardiography over historic, clinical, and stress ECG variables in patients with known or suggested CAD is limited.

METHODS

We evaluated 3259 patients (60 +/- 13 years, 48% men) undergoing stress echocardiography. Patients were grouped into low (<15%), intermediate (15-85%), and high (>85%) pretest CAD likelihood subgroups using standard software. The historical, clinical, stress ECG, and stress echocardiographic variables were recorded for the entire cohort. Follow-up (2.7 +/- 1.1 years) for confirmed myocardial infarction (n = 66) and cardiac death (n = 105) was obtained.

RESULTS

For the entire cohort, an ischemic stress echocardiography study confers a 5.0 times higher cardiac event rate than the normal stress echocardiography group (4.0% vs 0.8%/y, P < .0001). Furthermore, Cox proportional hazard regression model showed incremental prognostic value of stress echocardiography variables over historic, clinical, and stress ECG variables across all pretest probability subgroups (global chi2 increased from 5.1 to 8.5 to 20.1 in the low pretest group, P = .44 and P = .01; from 20.9 to 28.2 to 116 in the intermediate pretest group, P = .47 and P < .0001; and from 17.5 to 36.6 to 61.4 in the high pretest group, P < .0001 for both groups).

CONCLUSIONS

A normal stress echocardiography portends a benign prognosis (<1% event rate/y) in all pretest probability subgroups and even in patients with high pretest probability and yields incremental prognostic value over historic, clinical, and stress ECG variables across all pretest probability subgroups. The best incremental value is, however, in the intermediate pretest probability subgroup.

The Prognostic Value of Normal Exercise Myocardial Perfusion Imaging and Exercise Echocardiography

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this work was to determine the prognostic value of normal exercise myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) tests and exercise echocardiography tests, and to determine the prognostic value of these imaging modalities in women and men.

BACKGROUND

Exercise MPI and exercise echocardiography provide prognostic information that is useful in the risk stratification of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Cochrane, and DARE databases between January 1990 and May 2005, and reviewed bibliographies of articles obtained. We included prospective cohort studies of subjects who underwent exercise MPI or exercise echocardiography for known or suspected CAD, and provided data on primary outcomes of myocardial infarction (MI) and cardiac death with at least 3 months of follow-up. Secondary outcomes (unstable angina, revascularization procedures) were abstracted if provided. Studies performed exclusively in patients with CAD were excluded.

RESULTS

The negative predictive value (NPV) for MI and cardiac death was 98.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 98.5 to 99.0) over 36 months of follow-up for MPI, and 98.4% (95% CI 97.9 to 98.9) over 33 months for echocardiography. The corresponding annualized event rates were 0.45% per year for MPI and 0.54% per year for echocardiography. In subgroup analyses, annualized event rates were <1% for each MPI isotope, and were similar for women and men. For secondary events, MPI and echocardiography had annualized event rates of 1.25% and 0.95%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Both exercise MPI and exercise echocardiography have high NPVs for primary and secondary cardiac events. The prognostic utility of both modalities is similar for both men and women.

Prognostic importance of wall motion abnormalities in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy and an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator

Patients with extensive regional wall motion abnormalities are predisposed to development of ventricular tachyarrhythmia. The prognostic effect of this in patients with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) and coronary artery disease (CAD) is not known. Echocardiographic left ventricular systolic indexes, wall motion score index (WMSI), and extent of regional akinesia in 140 patients (65 +/- 10 years old; 92% men) with an ICD and CAD were studied. Arrhythmic events requiring ICD therapy and causing death (n = 41, 29%) were recorded over a mean follow-up of 1.4 +/- 0.8 years. Left ventricular basal fractional shortening, ejection fraction, global WMSI, and extent of akinesia, especially in the inferoposterior regions of a right coronary artery territory, were univariate predictors (all p values <0.05). Global WMSI (hazard ratio 2.18, 95% confidence interval 1.03 to 4.65, p = 0.04) and fractional shortening (hazard ratio 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.88 to 1.00, p = 0.04) were multivariate predictors. Global WMSI (p = 0.04) and > or =2 right coronary region akinetic segments (p = 0.05) provided incremental risk prediction to left ventricular ejection fraction in a global risk-assessment model (chi-square p = 0.001). Presence of right coronary region akinesia better identified those at increased risk of events (p = 0.02) compared with the presence of left anterior descending region akinesia (p = 0.2), independent of systolic function. In conclusion, global WMSI and left ventricular basal fractional shortening were important additional risk predictors of ICD events in CAD. Global WMSI and right coronary region inferoposterior akinesia provided independent and incremental risk assessment to left ventricular ejection fraction and improved identification of those at increased risk of ICD-related events in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy.

Long-term prognostic value of ejection fraction changes during dobutamine???atropine stress echocardiography

OBJECTIVE

Dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE), using subjective wall motion scoring, provides incremental prognostic information over clinical data. The aim of the study was to test the additional prognostic value of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) changes during DSE at different stages.

METHODS

The study population comprised 106 consecutive patients (mean age 60+/-11 years, 73% men) with suspected or known coronary artery disease referred for DSE. Stress-induced ischemia was defined as new or worsening wall motion abnormalities. LVEF was measured at rest, peak stress and recovery. Follow-up was successful in 104 (98%) patients. Four patients who underwent revascularization within 60 days were excluded from the analysis. End-points during follow-up were cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and late revascularization.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 5.3+/-2.1 years, 26% of patients died: 13% due to cardiac death, 6% patients experienced non-fatal myocardial infarction and 38% underwent late revascularization. Rest-to-peak LVEF increase was lower in patients who experienced cardiac death or non-fatal myocardial infarction (4.9+/-8.6 compared with 9.2+/-7.5, P=0.04) and any cardiac events (6.0+/-8.5 compared with 10.5+/-6.7, P=0.004). An inverse correlation was found between left ventricular ejection increase and the number of ischemic segments (P<0.0001). A multivariable Cox proportional hazard model demonstrated that, in addition to clinical data and new wall motion abnormalities, lower LVEF increase had an incremental prognostic value in predicting hard cardiac events (hazard ratio 1.1, 95% confidence interval 1.0-1.2).

CONCLUSION

Failure of LVEF to significantly increase during DSE, denoting more extensive ischemia, identifies a higher-risk subgroup for late cardiac events.