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Abstract
Identifying patients with heart failure at high risk for poor outcomes is important for patient care, resource allocation, and process improvement. Although numerous risk models exist to predict mortality, hospitalization, and patient-reported health status, they are infrequently used for several reasons, including modest performance, lack of evidence to support routine clinical use, and barriers to implementation. Artificial intelligence has the potential to enhance the performance of risk prediction models, but has its own limitations and remains unproved.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ramsey M Wehbe
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 676 North St. Clair Street, Suite 600, Chicago, IL 60611, USA. https://twitter.com/ramseywehbemd
| | - Sadiya S Khan
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 676 North St. Clair Street, Suite 600, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 680 N Lake Shore Drive, Suite 1400, Chicago, IL 60611, USA. https://twitter.com/HeartDocSadiya
| | - Sanjiv J Shah
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 676 North St. Clair Street, Suite 600, Chicago, IL 60611, USA. https://twitter.com/HFpEF
| | - Faraz S Ahmad
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 676 North St. Clair Street, Suite 600, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 680 N Lake Shore Drive, Suite 1400, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Center for Health Information Partnerships, Institute for Public Health and Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 625 N Michigan Avenue, 15th Floor, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
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Aalders M, Kok W. Comparison of Hemodynamic Factors Predicting Prognosis in Heart Failure: A Systematic Review. J Clin Med 2019; 8:jcm8101757. [PMID: 31652650 PMCID: PMC6832156 DOI: 10.3390/jcm8101757] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/16/2019] [Revised: 10/12/2019] [Accepted: 10/17/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives: We systematically reviewed the literature to address the question of which of the three hemodynamic factors predicts prognosis best in heart failure patients when directly compared to each other: cardiac output, preload or afterload. Methods: Prognostic studies in heart failure (HF) were searched that included at least two of the three hemodynamic variables: (1) cardiac output or cardiac index (CI), (2) preload represented by pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) and (3) afterload simplified to systolic blood pressure (SBP). Critical appraisal was done according to the QUIPS format for prognostic studies. The main endpoint was all-cause mortality, which could be combined with other endpoints. We report the number of studies in which CI, PCWP and SBP remained significant prognostic predictors in multivariate analysis. We also assessed whether hemodynamic predictors of prognosis varied in four different HF-populations. Results: Included were 18 studies containing a multivariate analysis. PCWP was an independent predictor of prognosis in 10 of 18 studies, SBP in 3 of 14 studies and CI in none of 18 studies. Results were not specific for any of the HF-populations. Conclusions: A higher PCWP and lower SBP are independent predictors of poor prognosis in HF. In spite of the frequently used concept behind HF, this review demonstrates that CI is not an independent predictor of prognosis in HF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Margot Aalders
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Cardiology, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Meibergdreef 9, 1105AZ Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - Wouter Kok
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Cardiology, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Meibergdreef 9, 1105AZ Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
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Kleber FX. Reduced arteriovenous oxygen difference on exercise in heart failure. Int J Cardiol 2017; 248:276-277. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2017.08.042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2017] [Accepted: 08/14/2017] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
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Cooper LB, Mentz RJ, Stevens SR, Felker GM, Lombardi C, Metra M, Stevenson LW, O'Connor CM, Milano CA, Patel CB, Rogers JG. Hemodynamic Predictors of Heart Failure Morbidity and Mortality: Fluid or Flow? J Card Fail 2016; 22:182-9. [PMID: 26703245 PMCID: PMC4779722 DOI: 10.1016/j.cardfail.2015.11.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 76] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/13/2015] [Revised: 09/17/2015] [Accepted: 11/20/2015] [Indexed: 01/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with advanced heart failure may continue for prolonged times with persistent hemodynamic abnormalities; intermediate- and long-term outcomes of these patients are unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS We used ESCAPE (Evaluation Study of Congestive Heart Failure and Pulmonary Artery Catheterization Effectiveness) trial data to examine characteristics and outcomes of patients with invasive hemodynamic monitoring during an acute heart failure hospitalization. Patients were stratified by final measurement of cardiac index (CI; L/min/m2) and pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP; mmHg) before catheter removal. The study groups were CI ≥ 2/PCWP < 20 (n = 74), CI ≥ 2/PCWP ≥ 20 (n = 37), CI < 2/PCWP < 20 (n = 23), and CI < 2/PCWP ≥ 20 (n = 17). Final CI was not associated with the combined risk of death, cardiovascular hospitalization, and transplantation (hazard ratio [HR]1.03, 95% confidence interval 0.96-1.11 per 0.2 L/min/m2 decrease, P = .39), but final PCWP ≥ 20 mmHg was associated with increased risk of these events (HR 2.03, 95% confidence interval 1.31-3.15, P < .01), as was higher final right atrial pressure (HR 1.09, 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.12 per mmHg increase, P < .01). CONCLUSION Final PCWP and final right atrial pressure were stronger predictors of postdischarge outcomes than CI in patients with advanced heart failure. The ability to lower filling pressures appears to be more prognostically important than improving CI in the management of patients with advanced heart failure. ClinicalTrials.govIdentifier: NCT00000619.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lauren B Cooper
- Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA; Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
| | - Robert J Mentz
- Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA; Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Susanna R Stevens
- Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - G Michael Felker
- Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA; Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Carlo Lombardi
- Department of Medical and Surgical Specialties, Radiological Sciences and Public Health, University and Civil Hospital of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Marco Metra
- Department of Medical and Surgical Specialties, Radiological Sciences and Public Health, University and Civil Hospital of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Lynne W Stevenson
- Cardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Christopher M O'Connor
- Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA; Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Carmelo A Milano
- Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA; Department of Surgery, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Chetan B Patel
- Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA; Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Joseph G Rogers
- Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA; Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
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Silvay G, Zafirova Z. Ten Years Experiences With Preoperative Evaluation Clinic for Day Admission Cardiac and Major Vascular Surgical Patients: Model for "Perioperative Anesthesia and Surgical Home". Semin Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2015; 20:120-32. [PMID: 26620138 DOI: 10.1177/1089253215619236] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
Admission on the day of surgery for elective cardiac and noncardiac surgery is the prevalent practice in North America and Canada. This approach realizes medical, psychological and logistical benefits, and its success is predicated on an effective outpatient preoperative evaluation. The establishment of a highly functional preoperative clinic with a comprehensive set up and efficient logistical pathways is invaluable. This notion in recent years has included the entire perioperative period, and the concept of a perioperative anesthesia/surgical home (PASH) is gaining popularity. The anesthesiologists as perioperative physicians can organize and lead the entire process from the preoperative evaluation, through the hosptial discharge. The functions of the PASH include preoperative optimization of medical conditions and psychological preparation of the patients and their support system; the care in the operating room and intensive care unit; pain management; respiratory therapy; cardiac rehabilitation; and specialized nutrition. Along with oversight of the medical issues, the preoperative visit is an opportune time for counseling, clarification of expectations and discussion of research, as well as for utilization of various informatics systems to consolidate the pertinent information and distribute it to relevant health care providers. We review the scientific foundation and practical applications of a preoperative visit and share our experience with the development of the preoperative evaluation clinic, designed specifically for cardiac and major vascular patients scheduled for day admission surgery. The ultimate goal of preoperative evaluation clinic is to ensure a safe, efficient, and cost-effective perioperative care for patients undergoing a complex type of surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- George Silvay
- Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
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Abstract
Despite advances in medical therapy for chronic heart failure (HF), advanced HF carries a dismal prognosis. Options such as transplantation and durable mechanical circulatory support have greatly improved outcomes for these patients, but their introduction has introduced significant complexity to patient management. Although much of this management occurs at specialized heart transplant centers, it is the responsibility of the primary cardiologist of the patient with advanced HF to refer patients at the appropriate time and to help them navigate the difficult decisions related to the pursuit of advanced therapies. We present a unique pathway that incorporates guidelines, recent data, and expert opinion to help general cardiologists determine which patients should be referred for transplantation or durable mechanical circulatory support, and when they should be referred. Decision making on referral to the heart transplant center is also summarized.
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Patel CB, DeVore AD, Felker GM, Wojdyla DM, Hernandez AF, Milano CA, O'Connor CM, Rogers JG. Characteristics and outcomes of patients with heart failure and discordant findings by right-sided heart catheterization and cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Am J Cardiol 2014; 114:1059-64. [PMID: 25212547 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2014.07.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2014] [Revised: 07/02/2014] [Accepted: 07/02/2014] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
There are limited data integrating findings on right-sided cardiac catheterization and cardiopulmonary exercise testing in ambulatory patients with heart failure. In this study, 187 outpatients with HF referred to the Duke Medical Center for consideration of advanced HF therapies were retrospectively evaluated. All patients had undergone right-sided cardiac catheterization and cardiopulmonary exercise testing; the median cardiac index (CI) was 2.0 L/min/m2 (interquartile range 1.7 to 2.3), and the median peak oxygen consumption was 11.3 ml/kg/min (interquartile range 9.2 to 13.8). Despite aggressive medical therapy, medical management had failed in 97 patients (52%) at 18 months, defined as left ventricular assist device implantation, cardiac transplantation, or death. After multivariate adjustment, factors associated with failure of optimal medical management included percentage achieved of predicted peak oxygen consumption, low CI (i.e., <2 L/min/m2), left ventricular size, and exercise time. Patients with discordant findings on right-sided cardiac catheterization and cardiopulmonary exercise testing were common, occurring in 88 patients (47%). The most common profile was preserved CI but reduced functional capacity, and these patients remained at high risk for requiring advanced therapies, whereas patients with reduced CIs but preserved exercise capacity were uncommon. In conclusion, low CI was independently associated with higher rates of death, transplantation, and left ventricular assist device implantation in this study. Also, patients with preserved CIs at rest but poor functional capacity, so-called cardiac insufficiency, were commonly encountered and had poor outcomes with medical management.
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Cardiopulmonary responses to exercise and its utility in patients with aortic stenosis. Am J Cardiol 2014; 113:1711-6. [PMID: 24698467 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2014.02.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2013] [Revised: 02/12/2014] [Accepted: 02/12/2014] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Utility of cardiopulmonary exercise test is unknown in patients with aortic stenosis. In this retrospective study, we examined the maximal indexes of cardiopulmonary testing at peak exercise in 155 consecutive patients with aortic valve area of ≤ 1.5 cm(2) who were referred for this test. The patients were passively followed up to assess their effect on the primary end point of all-cause mortality. We found that the absolute peak oxygen consumption (VO2) was significantly reduced in these patients, with age and gender-predicted peak VO2 of 80 ± 23%. Peak VO2 was markedly reduced (<80% of predicted) in 54% of patients. During a follow-up of 5 ± 4 years, a total of 41 patients died, and 72 underwent aortic valve replacement. Survival was significantly better in patients with higher absolute peak VO2 (hazard ratio [HR] 0.87, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80 to 0.93, p <0.001) and higher oxygen pulse (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.9, p <0.001). In 83 patients who did not undergo valve replacement, higher peak VO2 and oxygen pulse were associated with better survival (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.97, p = 0.024 and HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.96, p = 0.02, respectively). In conclusion, the peak VO2 is significantly reduced in patients with aortic stenosis. Higher peak VO2 is independently associated with better survival in these patients irrespective of whether they undergo valve replacement.
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Myers J, Wong M, Adhikarla C, Boga M, Challa S, Abella J, Ashley EA. Cardiopulmonary and Noninvasive Hemodynamic Responses to Exercise Predict Outcomes in Heart Failure. J Card Fail 2013; 19:101-7. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cardfail.2012.11.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2012] [Revised: 11/19/2012] [Accepted: 11/27/2012] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
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Book W, McConnell M, Oster M, Lyle T, Kogon B. Predicting Functional Capacity in Patients with a Systemic Right Ventricle: Subjective Patient Self-assessment Is Better than B-type Natriuretic Peptide Levels and Right Ventricular Systolic Function. CONGENIT HEART DIS 2013; 8:550-5. [DOI: 10.1111/chd.12039] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/13/2012] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Wendy Book
- Department of Cardiology; Emory University School of Medicine; Atlanta Ga USA
| | - Michael McConnell
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery; Emory University School of Medicine; Atlanta Ga USA
| | - Matthew Oster
- Department of Cardiology; Emory University School of Medicine; Atlanta Ga USA
- Sibley Cardiology; Children's Healthcare of Atlanta; Atlanta Ga USA
| | - Teresa Lyle
- Department of Nursing; University of Tennessee; Chattanooga Tenn USA
| | - Brian Kogon
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery; Emory University School of Medicine; Atlanta Ga USA
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Dhoble A, Sarano ME, Kopecky SL, Thomas RJ, Hayes CL, Allison TG. Safety of symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise testing in patients with aortic stenosis. Am J Med 2012; 125:704-8. [PMID: 22560172 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2012.01.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2011] [Revised: 01/24/2012] [Accepted: 01/24/2012] [Indexed: 10/28/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There are no published data on the safety of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in patients with aortic stenosis. METHODS In this retrospective descriptive study, we examined 347 consecutive patients with aortic stenosis who underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing at a tertiary referral center. We recorded major events including death, nonfatal major events (cardiac arrest, symptomatic or sustained ventricular or supraventricular tachycardia, myocardial infarction, and syncope), and minor events such as hypotension, nonsustained supraventricular and ventricular arrhythmias, positive electrocardiographic changes, and angina. RESULTS Of 347 patients, 65 (19%) had mild, 145 (42%) had moderate, and 137 (40%) had severe aortic stenosis by echocardiographic criteria. No major events occurred during the tests. Minor events occurred in a total of 97 patients (28%), including 10 patients who developed supraventricular arrhythmias without hypotension; and one who had asymptomatic nonsustained ventricular tachycardia. CONCLUSION Symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise testing in cardiology-referred patients with aortic stenosis with preserved systolic function appears to be associated with very low risk of major adverse cardiovascular events during testing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abhijeet Dhoble
- Cardiopulmonary Exercise Laboratory, Cardiovascular Health Clinic, Division of Cardiovascular Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
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Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW This paper briefly and subjectively reviews a number of the modest or tentative, but noteworthy, advances in heart transplantation that have been made during the past 18 months or so. RECENT FINDINGS The advances reviewed concern the selection of recipients, the management of the heart transplantation waiting list, the management of donors, post-heart transplant monitoring of immunological status, the early diagnosis of rejection, the role of mammalian target of rapamycine inhibitors and induction agents, and the definition and grading of cardiac allograft vasculopathy. SUMMARY The findings reviewed indicate progress in the clarification of issues that were in most cases already being investigated. Further studies will in general be needed before corresponding measures are adopted in clinical practice.
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