Usefulness of the Addition of Renal Function to the CHA2DS2-VASc Score as a Predictor of Thromboembolism and Mortality in Patients Without Atrial Fibrillation

Association between R2CHA2DS2-VASc score and three-vessel coronary artery disease in a large population at high cardiovascular risk

Coronary artery disease (CAD), particularly three-vessel coronary disease (3VD), is the main cause of death in industrialized countries. Chronic kidney disease is an independent risk factor for CAD. The CHA2DS2-VASc score shows a good ability to predict CV events in high-risk population independently from atrial fibrillation. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the association between the R2CHA2DS2-VASc score and 3VD in a population of patients at high cardiovascular risk. Monocentric prospective study evaluated 1017 patients undergoing coronary angiography. The R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was obtained by adding 2 points to the CHA2DS2-VASc score in case of eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2. Coronary lesions causing ≥ 50% reduction of a major epicardial vessel diameter were considered significant. Patients were grouped based on R2CHA2DS2-VASc tertiles and according to the severity of CAD: 3VD vs No-3VD. The 3VD group showed significantly higher R2CHA2DS2-VASc score than the No-3VD group (4.20 ± 2.18 vs 3.36 ± 2.06, p < 0.001). The risk of 3VD increased by 21% for every 1-point increase in the score (OR 1.21; 95% CI 1.13-1.28, p < 0.001). The prevalence of 3VD was higher among patients belonging to higher tertiles of R2CHA2DS2-VASc (17.2% vs 26.7% vs 33.6% for first, second, and third tertile respectively, p < 0.001) with a risk more than doubled for the third tertile compared to the first one (OR 2.45; 95% CI 1.71-3.49, p < 0.001). The R2CHA2DS2-VASc score is independently associated with 3VD in patients at high cardiovascular risk. The score could be considered a useful tool for clinicians to identify patients who are at high risk of 3VD.

Comparing Atrial-Fibrillation Validated Rapid Scoring Systems in the Long-Term Mortality Prediction in Patients Referred for Elective Coronary Angiography: A Subanalysis of the Białystok Coronary Project

Rapid scoring systems validated in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) may be useful beyond their original purpose. Our aim was to assess the utility of CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS−BLED, and 2MACE scores in predicting long-term mortality in the population of the Białystok Coronary Project, including AF patients. The initial study population consisted of 7409 consecutive patients admitted for elective coronary angiography between 2007 and 2016. The study endpoint was all-cause mortality, which occurred in 1244 (16.8%) patients during the follow-up, ranging from 1283 to 3059 days (median 2029 days). We noticed substantially increased all-cause mortality in patients with higher values of all compared scores. The accuracy of the scores in predicting all-cause mortality was also assessed using the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves. The greatest predictive value for mortality was recorded for the CHA2DS2-VASc score in the overall study population (area under curve [AUC] = 0.665; 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 0.645−0.681). We observed that the 2MACE score (AUC = 0.656; 95%CI 0.619−0.681), but not the HAS−BLED score, had similar predictive value to the CHA2DS2-VASc score for all-cause mortality in the overall study population. In AF patients, all scores did not differ in all-cause mortality prediction. Additionally, we found that study participants with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥3 vs. <3 had a 3-fold increased risk of long-term all-cause mortality (odds ratio 3.05; 95%CI 2.6−3.6). Our study indicates that clinical scores initially validated in AF patients may be useful for predicting mortality in a broader population (e.g., in patients referred for elective coronary angiography). According to our findings, all compared scores have a moderate predictive value. However, in our study, the CHA2DS2-VASc and 2MACE scores outperformed the HAS−BLED score in terms of the long-term all-cause mortality prediction.

Chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation: European Society of Hypertension project - ESH A Fib

Our aim was to analyze characteristics of atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) from the Croatian cohort of the ESH A Fib survey and to determine the association of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with cardiovascular (CV) mortality after 24 months of follow-up.Consecutive sample of 301 patients with AF were enrolled in the period 2014 to 2018. Hypertension was defined as BP > 140/90 mm Hg and/or antihypertensive drugs treatment, CKD was defined as eGFR (CKD Epi) < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 which was confirmed after 3 months.CKD was diagnosed in 45.2% of patients (13.3% in CKD stage > 3b). CKD patients were older than non-CKD and had significantly more frequent coronary heart disease, heart failure and valvular disease. CKD patients had significantly higher CHA2DS2-VASc score and more CKD than non-CKD patients had CHA2DS2-VASc > 2. Crude CV mortality rate per 1000 population at the end of the first year of the follow-up was significantly higher in CKD vs non-CKD group who had shorter mean survival time. CV mortality was independently associated with eGFR, male gender, CHA2DS2VASc and R2CHA2DS2VASc scores.Prevalence of CKD, particularly more advanced stages of CKD, is very high in patients with AF. Observed higher CV mortality and shorter mean survival time in CKD patients could be explained with higher CHA2DS2VASc score which is a consequence of clustering of all score components in CKD patients. However, eGFR was independently associated with CV mortality. In our cohort, R2CHA2DS2VASc score was not associated significantly more with CV mortality than CHA2DS2VASc score.

Prognostic impact of renal dysfunction on embolic stroke of undetermined source-Role beyond CHA2 DS2 -VASc score: Results from Taiwan Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score has immense prognostic value in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). We aimed to determine the usefulness of advanced renal dysfunction and its addition to the CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score in improving predictive accuracy.

METHODS

In total, 3775 ESUS patients were enrolled from a nationwide hospital-based prospective study. Advanced renal dysfunction was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 ml/min per 1.73 m² or patients under dialysis. Clinical outcomes included recurrent stroke and 1-year all-cause mortality. Poor functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale >2 at first-, third-, and sixth-month post-stroke. The renal (R)-CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score was derived by including advanced renal dysfunction in the CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score. Risk stratification improvement after including advanced renal dysfunction was assessed using C statistic, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and category-free net reclassification index (NRI).

RESULTS

After adjusting for confounding factors and CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score, advanced renal dysfunction showed significant associations with all-cause mortality (HR: 2.88, 95% CI: 1.92-4.34) and poor functional outcome at third- (OR: 2.69, 95% CI: 1.47-4.94) and sixth-month post-stroke (OR: 2.67, 95% CI: 1.47-4.83). IDI and NRI showed that incorporating advanced renal dysfunction significantly improved risk discrimination over the original CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score. R-CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score ≥2 increased risk by 1.94-fold (95% CI: 1.15-3.27) for all-cause mortality, and ≥4 increased risk by 1.62-fold (95% CI: 1.05-2.50) of poor functional outcome at third-month post-stroke and by 1.81-fold (95% CI: 1.19-2.75) at sixth-month post-stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Advanced renal dysfunction was significantly associated with clinical and functional outcomes in ESUS patients and may improve prognostic impact of the CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score.