Identifying Ventricular Arrhythmias and Their Predictors by Applying Machine Learning Methods to Electronic Health Records in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy (HCM-VAr-Risk Model)

Applying Artificial Intelligence for Phenotyping of Inherited Arrhythmia Syndromes

Inherited arrhythmia disorders account for a significant proportion of sudden cardiac death, particularly among young individuals. Recent advances in our understanding of these syndromes have improved patient diagnosis and care, yet certain clinical gaps remain, particularly within case ascertainment, access to genetic testing, and risk stratification. Artificial intelligence (AI), specifically machine learning and its subset deep learning, present promising solutions to these challenges. The capacity of AI to process vast amounts of patient data and identify disease patterns differentiates them from traditional methods, which are time- and resource-intensive. To date, AI models have shown immense potential in condition detection (including asymptomatic/concealed disease) and genotype and phenotype identification, exceeding expert cardiologists in these tasks. Additionally, they have exhibited applicability for general population screening, improving case ascertainment in a set of conditions that are often asymptomatic such as left ventricular dysfunction. Third, models have shown the ability to improve testing protocols; through model identification of disease and genotype, specific clinical testing (eg, drug challenges or further diagnostic imaging) can be avoided, reducing health care expenses, speeding diagnosis, and possibly allowing for more incremental or targeted genetic testing approaches. These significant benefits warrant continued investigation of AI, particularly regarding the development and implementation of clinically applicable screening tools. In this review we summarize key developments in AI, including studies in long QT syndrome, Brugada syndrome, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathies, and provide direction for effective future AI implementation in clinical practice.

New Innovations to Address Sudden Cardiac Arrest

Mortality from sudden cardiac arrest remains high despite increased awareness and advancements in emergency resuscitation efforts. Various gaps exist in bystander resuscitation, automated external defibrillators, and access. Significant racial, gender, and geographic disparities have also been found. A myriad of recent innovations in sudden cardiac arrest uses new machine learning algorithms with high levels of performance. These have been applied to a broad range of efforts to identify individuals at high risk, recognize emergencies, and diagnose high-risk cardiac arrhythmias. Such technological advancements must be coupled to novel public health approaches to best implement these innovations in an equitable way. The authors propose a data-driven, technology-enabled system of care within a public health system of care to ultimately improve sudden cardiac arrest outcomes.

Application of artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and treatment of cardiac arrhythmia

The rapid growth in computational power, sensor technology, and wearable devices has provided a solid foundation for all aspects of cardiac arrhythmia care. Artificial intelligence (AI) has been instrumental in bringing about significant changes in the prevention, risk assessment, diagnosis, and treatment of arrhythmia. This review examines the current state of AI in the diagnosis and treatment of atrial fibrillation, supraventricular arrhythmia, ventricular arrhythmia, hereditary channelopathies, and cardiac pacing. Furthermore, ChatGPT, which has gained attention recently, is addressed in this paper along with its potential applications in the field of arrhythmia. Additionally, the accuracy of arrhythmia diagnosis can be improved by identifying electrode misplacement or erroneous swapping of electrode position using AI. Remote monitoring has expanded greatly due to the emergence of contactless monitoring technology as wearable devices continue to develop and flourish. Parallel advances in AI computing power, ChatGPT, availability of large data sets, and more have greatly expanded applications in arrhythmia diagnosis, risk assessment, and treatment. More precise algorithms based on big data, personalized risk assessment, telemedicine and mobile health, smart hardware and wearables, and the exploration of rare or complex types of arrhythmia are the future direction.

Role of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence in Arrhythmias and Electrophysiology

Machine learning (ML), a subset of artificial intelligence (AI) centered on machines learning from extensive datasets, stands at the forefront of a technological revolution shaping various facets of society. Cardiovascular medicine has emerged as a key domain for ML applications, with considerable efforts to integrate these innovations into routine clinical practice. Within cardiac electrophysiology, ML applications, especially in the automated interpretation of electrocardiograms, have garnered substantial attention in existing literature. However, less recognized are the diverse applications of ML in cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias, spanning basic science research on arrhythmia mechanisms, both experimental and computational, as well as contributions to enhanced techniques for mapping cardiac electrical function and translational research related to arrhythmia management. This comprehensive review delves into various ML applications within the scope of this journal, organized into 3 parts. The first section provides a fundamental understanding of general ML principles and methodologies, serving as a foundational resource for readers interested in exploring ML applications in arrhythmia research. The second part offers an in-depth review of studies in arrhythmia and electrophysiology that leverage ML methodologies, showcasing the broad potential of ML approaches. Each subject is thoroughly outlined, accompanied by a review of notable ML research advancements. Finally, the review delves into the primary challenges and future perspectives surrounding ML-driven cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias research.

Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance-Based Tissue Characterization in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a common hereditable cardiomyopathy that affects between 1:200 to 1:500 of the general population. The role of cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging in the management of HCM has expanded over the past 2 decades to become a key informant of risk in this patient population, delivering unique insights into tissue health and its influence on future outcomes. Numerous mature CMR-based techniques are clinically available for the interrogation of tissue health in patients with HCM, inclusive of contrast and noncontrast methods. Late gadolinium enhancement imaging remains a cornerstone technique for the identification and quantification of myocardial fibrosis with large cumulative evidence supporting value for the prediction of arrhythmic outcomes. T1 mapping delivers improved fidelity for fibrosis quantification through direct estimations of extracellular volume fraction but also offers potential for noncontrast surrogate assessments of tissue health. Water-sensitive imaging, inclusive of T2-weighted dark blood imaging and T2 mapping, have also shown preliminary potential for assisting in risk discrimination. Finally, emerging techniques, inclusive of innovative multiparametric methods, are expanding the utility of CMR to assist in the delivery of comprehensive tissue characterization toward the delivery of personalized HCM care. In this narrative review we summarize the contemporary landscape of CMR techniques aimed at characterizing tissue health in patients with HCM. The value of these respective techniques to identify patients at elevated risk of future cardiovascular outcomes are highlighted.

Model for classification of heart failure severity in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy using a deep neural network algorithm with a 12-lead electrocardiogram

OBJECTIVES

In hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), specific ECG abnormalities are observed. Therefore, ECG is a valuable screening tool. Although several studies have reported on estimating the risk of developing fatal arrhythmias from ECG findings, the use of ECG to identify the severity of heart failure (HF) by applying deep learning (DL) methods has not been established.

METHODS

We assessed whether data-driven machine-learning methods could effectively identify the severity of HF in patients with HCM. A residual neural network-based model was developed using 12-lead ECG data from 218 patients with HCM and 245 patients with non-HCM, categorised them into two (mild-to-moderate and severe) or three (mild, moderate and severe) severities of HF. These severities were defined according to the New York Heart Association functional class and levels of the N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide. In addition, the patients were divided into groups according to Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ)-12. A transfer learning method was applied to resolve the issue of the low number of target samples. The model was trained in advance using PTB-XL, which is an open ECG dataset.

RESULTS

The model trained with our dataset achieved a weighted average F1 score of 0.745 and precision of 0.750 for the mild-to-moderate class samples. Similar results were obtained for grouping based on KCCQ-12. Through data analyses using the Guided Gradient Weighted-Class Activation Map and Integrated Gradients, QRS waves were intensively highlighted among true-positive mild-to-moderate class cases, while the highlighted part was highly variable among true-positive severe class cases.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a model for classifying HF severity in patients with HCM using a deep neural network algorithm with 12-lead ECG data. Our findings suggest that applications of this DL algorithm for using 12-lead ECG data may be useful to classify the HF status in patients with HCM.

Virtual healthcare solutions in heart failure: a literature review

The widespread adoption of mobile technologies offers an opportunity for a new approach to post-discharge care for patients with heart failure (HF). By enabling non-invasive remote monitoring and two-way, real-time communication between the clinic and home-based patients, as well as a host of other capabilities, mobile technologies have a potential to significantly improve remote patient care. This literature review summarizes clinical evidence related to virtual healthcare (VHC), defined as a care team + connected devices + a digital solution in post-release care of patients with HF. Searches were conducted on Embase (06/12/2020). A total of 171 studies were included for data extraction and evidence synthesis: 96 studies related to VHC efficacy, and 75 studies related to AI in HF. In addition, 15 publications were included from the search on studies scaling up VHC solutions in HF within the real-world setting. The most successful VHC interventions, as measured by the number of reported significant results, were those targeting reduction in rehospitalization rates. In terms of relative success rate, the two most effective interventions targeted patient self-care and all-cause hospital visits in their primary endpoint. Among the three categories of VHC identified in this review (telemonitoring, remote patient management, and patient self-empowerment) the integrated approach in remote patient management solutions performs the best in decreasing HF patients' re-admission rates and overall hospital visits. Given the increased amount of data generated by VHC technologies, artificial intelligence (AI) is being investigated as a tool to aid decision making in the context of primary diagnostics, identifying disease phenotypes, and predicting treatment outcomes. Currently, most AI algorithms are developed using data gathered in clinic and only a few studies deploy AI in the context of VHC. Most successes have been reported in predicting HF outcomes. Since the field of VHC in HF is relatively new and still in flux, this is not a typical systematic review capturing all published studies within this domain. Although the standard methodology for this type of reviews was followed, the nature of this review is qualitative. The main objective was to summarize the most promising results and identify potential research directions.

Systolic blood pressure ≤110 mm Hg is associated with severe coronary microvascular ischemia and higher risk for ventricular arrhythmias in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Background

Coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) and hypertension (HTN) occur frequently in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), but whether blood pressure (BP) influences CMD and outcomes is unknown.

Objective

The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis that HTN is associated with worse CMD and outcomes.

Methods

This retrospective study included 690 HCM patients. All patients underwent cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, echocardiography, and rhythm monitoring; 127 patients also underwent rest/vasodilator stress 13NH3 positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging. Patients were divided into 3 groups based on their rest systolic blood pressure (SBP) (group 1 ≤110 mm Hg; group 2 111-140; group 3 >140 mm Hg) and were followed for development of ventricular tachycardia (VT)/ventricular fibrillation (VF), heart failure (HF), death, and composite outcome.

Results

Group 1 patients had the lowest age and left ventricular (LV) mass but the highest prevalence of nonobstructive hemodynamics and restrictive diastolic filling. LV scar was similar in the 3 groups. Group 1 had the lowest rest and stress myocardial blood flow (MBF) and highest SDS (summed difference score). Rest SBP was positively correlated with stress MBF and negatively correlated with SDS. Group 1 had the highest incidence of VT/VF, whereas the incidences of HF, death, and composite outcome were similar among the 3 groups. In multivariate analysis, rest SBP ≤110 mm Hg was independently associated with VT/VF (hazard ratio 2.6; 95% confidence interval 1.0-6.7; P = .04).

Conclusion

SBP ≤110 mm Hg is associated with greater severity of CMD and coronary microvascular ischemia and higher incidence of ventricular arrhythmias in HCM.

The Heart and Artificial Intelligence-How Can We Improve Medicine Without Causing Harm

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The introduction of Artificial Intelligence into the healthcare system offers enormous opportunities for biomedical research, the improvement of patient care, and cost reduction in high-end medicine. Digital concepts and workflows are already playing an increasingly important role in cardiology. The fusion of computer science and medicine offers great transformative potential and enables enormous acceleration processes in cardiovascular medicine.

RECENT FINDINGS

As medical data becomes smart, it is also becoming more valuable and vulnerable to malicious actors. In addition, the gap between what is technically possible and what is allowed by privacy legislation is growing. Principles of the General Data Protection Regulation that have been in force since May 2018, such as transparency, purpose limitation, and data minimization, seem to hinder the development and use of Artificial Intelligence. Concepts to secure data integrity and incorporate legal and ethical principles can help to avoid the potential risks of digitization and may result in an European leadership in regard to privacy protection and AI. The following review provides an overview of relevant aspects of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, highlights selected applications in cardiology, and discusses central ethical and legal considerations.

Artificial Intelligence in Ventricular Arrhythmias and Sudden Death

Sudden cardiac arrest due to lethal ventricular arrhythmias is a major cause of mortality worldwide and results in more years of potential life lost than any individual cancer. Most of these sudden cardiac arrest events occur unexpectedly in individuals who have not been identified as high-risk due to the inadequacy of current risk stratification tools. Artificial intelligence tools are increasingly being used to solve complex problems and are poised to help with this major unmet need in the field of clinical electrophysiology. By leveraging large and detailed datasets, artificial intelligence-based prediction models have the potential to enhance the risk stratification of lethal ventricular arrhythmias. This review presents a synthesis of the published literature and a discussion of future directions in this field.

Multimodality Imaging in Sarcomeric Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: Get It Right…on Time

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) follows highly variable paradigms and disease-specific patterns of progression towards heart failure, arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Therefore, a generalized standard approach, shared with other cardiomyopathies, can be misleading in this setting. A multimodality imaging approach facilitates differential diagnosis of phenocopies and improves clinical and therapeutic management of the disease. However, only a profound knowledge of the progression patterns, including clinical features and imaging data, enables an appropriate use of all these resources in clinical practice. Combinations of various imaging tools and novel techniques of artificial intelligence have a potentially relevant role in diagnosis, clinical management and definition of prognosis. Nonetheless, several barriers persist such as unclear appropriate timing of imaging or universal standardization of measures and normal reference limits. This review provides an overview of the current knowledge on multimodality imaging and potentialities of novel tools, including artificial intelligence, in the management of patients with sarcomeric HCM, highlighting the importance of specific "red alerts" to understand the phenotype-genotype linkage.

Evaluating Social Determinants of Health Variables in Advanced Analytic and Artificial Intelligence Models for Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Outcomes: A Targeted Review

Introduction/Purpose

Predictive models incorporating relevant clinical and social features can provide meaningful insights into complex interrelated mechanisms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and progression and the influence of environmental exposures on adverse outcomes. The purpose of this targeted review (2018-2019) was to examine the extent to which present-day advanced analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning models include relevant variables to address potential biases that inform care, treatment, resource allocation, and management of patients with CVD.

Methods

PubMed literature was searched using the prespecified inclusion and exclusion criteria to identify and critically evaluate primary studies published in English that reported on predictive models for CVD, associated risks, progression, and outcomes in the general adult population in North America. Studies were then assessed for inclusion of relevant social variables in the model construction. Two independent reviewers screened articles for eligibility. Primary and secondary independent reviewers extracted information from each full-text article for analysis. Disagreements were resolved with a third reviewer and iterative screening rounds to establish consensus. Cohen's kappa was used to determine interrater reliability.

Results

The review yielded 533 unique records where 35 met the inclusion criteria. Studies used advanced statistical and machine learning methods to predict CVD risk (10, 29%), mortality (19, 54%), survival (7, 20%), complication (10, 29%), disease progression (6, 17%), functional outcomes (4, 11%), and disposition (2, 6%). Most studies incorporated age (34, 97%), sex (34, 97%), comorbid conditions (32, 91%), and behavioral risk factor (28, 80%) variables. Race or ethnicity (23, 66%) and social variables, such as education (3, 9%) were less frequently observed.

Conclusions

Predictive models should adjust for race and social predictor variables, where relevant, to improve model accuracy and to inform more equitable interventions and decision making.

Artificial Intelligence Applied to Cardiomyopathies: Is It Time for Clinical Application?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have the potential to remarkably change the practice of cardiology in order to improve and optimize outcomes in heart failure and specifically cardiomyopathies, offering us novel tools to interpret data and make clinical decisions. The aim of this review is to describe the contemporary state of AI and digital health applied to cardiomyopathies as well as to define a potential pivotal role of its application by physicians in clinical practice.

RECENT FINDINGS

Many studies have been undertaken in recent years on cardiomyopathy screening especially using AI-enhanced electrocardiography (ECG). Even with mild left ventricular (LV) dysfunction, AI-ECG screening for amyloidosis, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, or dilated cardiomyopathy is now feasible. Introduction of AI-ECG in routine clinical care has resulted in higher detection of LV systolic dysfunction; however, clinical research on a broader scale with diverse populations is necessary and ongoing. In the area of cardiac-imaging, AI automatically assesses the thickness and characteristics of myocardium to differentiate cardiomyopathies, but research on its prognostic capability has yet to be conducted. AI is also being applied to cardiomyopathy genomics, especially to predict pathogenicity of variants and identify whether these variants are clinically actionable. While the implementation of AI in the diagnosis and treatment of cardiomyopathies is still in its infancy, an ever-growing clinical research strategy will ascertain the clinical utility of these AI tools to help improve diagnosis of and outcomes in cardiomyopathies. We also need to standardize the tools used to monitor the performance of AI-based systems which can then be used to expedite decision-making and rectify any hidden biases. Given its potential important role in clinical practice, healthcare providers need to familiarize themselves with the promise and limitations of this technology.

Advanced imaging for risk stratification for ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a leading cause of mortality, comprising approximately half of all deaths from cardiovascular disease. In the US, the majority of SCD (85%) occurs in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) and a subset in patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM), who tend to be younger and whose risk of mortality is less clearly delineated than in ischemic cardiomyopathies. The conventional means of SCD risk stratification has been the determination of the ejection fraction (EF), typically via echocardiography, which is currently a means of determining candidacy for primary prevention in the form of implantable cardiac defibrillators (ICDs). Advanced cardiac imaging methods such as cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR), single-photon emission computerized tomography (SPECT) and positron emission tomography (PET), and computed tomography (CT) have emerged as promising and non-invasive means of risk stratification for sudden death through their characterization of the underlying myocardial substrate that predisposes to SCD. Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) on CMR detects myocardial scar, which can inform ICD decision-making. Overall scar burden, region-specific scar burden, and scar heterogeneity have all been studied in risk stratification. PET and SPECT are nuclear methods that determine myocardial viability and innervation, as well as inflammation. CT can be used for assessment of myocardial fat and its association with reentrant circuits. Emerging methodologies include the development of "virtual hearts" using complex electrophysiologic modeling derived from CMR to attempt to predict arrhythmic susceptibility. Recent developments have paired novel machine learning (ML) algorithms with established imaging techniques to improve predictive performance. The use of advanced imaging to augment risk stratification for sudden death is increasingly well-established and may soon have an expanded role in clinical decision-making. ML could help shift this paradigm further by advancing variable discovery and data analysis.

Toward ECG-based analysis of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: a novel ECG segmentation method for handling abnormalities

OBJECTIVE

Abnormalities in impulse propagation and cardiac repolarization are frequent in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), leading to abnormalities in 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs). Computational ECG analysis can identify electrophysiological and structural remodeling and predict arrhythmias. This requires accurate ECG segmentation. It is unknown whether current segmentation methods developed using datasets containing annotations for mostly normal heartbeats perform well in HCM. Here, we present a segmentation method to effectively identify ECG waves across 12-lead HCM ECGs.

METHODS

We develop (1) a web-based tool that permits manual annotations of P, P', QRS, R', S', T, T', U, J, epsilon waves, QRS complex slurring, and atrial fibrillation by 3 experts and (2) an easy-to-implement segmentation method that effectively identifies ECG waves in normal and abnormal heartbeats. Our method was tested on 131 12-lead HCM ECGs and 2 public ECG sets to evaluate its performance in non-HCM ECGs.

RESULTS

Over the HCM dataset, our method obtained a sensitivity of 99.2% and 98.1% and a positive predictive value of 92% and 95.3% when detecting QRS complex and T-offset, respectively, significantly outperforming a state-of-the-art segmentation method previously employed for HCM analysis. Over public ECG sets, it significantly outperformed 3 state-of-the-art methods when detecting P-onset and peak, T-offset, and QRS-onset and peak regarding the positive predictive value and segmentation error. It performed at a level similar to other methods in other tasks.

CONCLUSION

Our method accurately identified ECG waves in the HCM dataset, outperforming a state-of-the-art method, and demonstrated similar good performance as other methods in normal/non-HCM ECG sets.

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled ECG: Physiologic and Pathophysiologic Insights and Implications

Advancements in machine learning and computing methods have given new life and great excitement to one of the most essential diagnostic tools to date-the electrocardiogram (ECG). The application of artificial intelligence-enabled ECG (AI-ECG) has resulted in the ability to identify electrocardiographic signatures of conventional and unique variables and pathologies, giving way to tremendous clinical potential. However, what these AI-ECG models are detecting that the human eye is missing remains unclear. In this article, we highlight some of the recent developments in the field and their potential clinical implications, while also attempting to shed light on the physiologic and pathophysiologic features that enable these models to have such high diagnostic yield. © 2022 American Physiological Society. Compr Physiol 12:3417-3424, 2022.

Artificial intelligence and machine learning in precision and genomic medicine

The advancement of precision medicine in medical care has led behind the conventional symptom-driven treatment process by allowing early risk prediction of disease through improved diagnostics and customization of more effective treatments. It is necessary to scrutinize overall patient data alongside broad factors to observe and differentiate between ill and relatively healthy people to take the most appropriate path toward precision medicine, resulting in an improved vision of biological indicators that can signal health changes. Precision and genomic medicine combined with artificial intelligence have the potential to improve patient healthcare. Patients with less common therapeutic responses or unique healthcare demands are using genomic medicine technologies. AI provides insights through advanced computation and inference, enabling the system to reason and learn while enhancing physician decision making. Many cell characteristics, including gene up-regulation, proteins binding to nucleic acids, and splicing, can be measured at high throughput and used as training objectives for predictive models. Researchers can create a new era of effective genomic medicine with the improved availability of a broad range of datasets and modern computer techniques such as machine learning. This review article has elucidated the contributions of ML algorithms in precision and genome medicine.

Artificial intelligence and machine learning in precision and genomic medicine

The advancement of precision medicine in medical care has led behind the conventional symptom-driven treatment process by allowing early risk prediction of disease through improved diagnostics and customization of more effective treatments. It is necessary to scrutinize overall patient data alongside broad factors to observe and differentiate between ill and relatively healthy people to take the most appropriate path toward precision medicine, resulting in an improved vision of biological indicators that can signal health changes. Precision and genomic medicine combined with artificial intelligence have the potential to improve patient healthcare. Patients with less common therapeutic responses or unique healthcare demands are using genomic medicine technologies. AI provides insights through advanced computation and inference, enabling the system to reason and learn while enhancing physician decision making. Many cell characteristics, including gene up-regulation, proteins binding to nucleic acids, and splicing, can be measured at high throughput and used as training objectives for predictive models. Researchers can create a new era of effective genomic medicine with the improved availability of a broad range of datasets and modern computer techniques such as machine learning. This review article has elucidated the contributions of ML algorithms in precision and genome medicine.

Machine learning techniques for arrhythmic risk stratification: a review of the literature

Ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) and sudden cardiac death (SCD) are significant adverse events that affect the morbidity and mortality of both the general population and patients with predisposing cardiovascular risk factors. Currently, conventional disease-specific scores are used for risk stratification purposes. However, these risk scores have several limitations, including variations among validation cohorts, the inclusion of a limited number of predictors while omitting important variables, as well as hidden relationships between predictors. Machine learning (ML) techniques are based on algorithms that describe intervariable relationships. Recent studies have implemented ML techniques to construct models for the prediction of fatal VAs. However, the application of ML study findings is limited by the absence of established frameworks for its implementation, in addition to clinicians’ unfamiliarity with ML techniques. This review, therefore, aims to provide an accessible and easy-to-understand summary of the existing evidence about the use of ML techniques in the prediction of VAs. Our findings suggest that ML algorithms improve arrhythmic prediction performance in different clinical settings. However, it should be emphasized that prospective studies comparing ML algorithms to conventional risk models are needed while a regulatory framework is required prior to their implementation in clinical practice.

Application of artificial intelligence to the electrocardiogram

Artificial intelligence (AI) has given the electrocardiogram (ECG) and clinicians reading them super-human diagnostic abilities. Trained without hard-coded rules by finding often subclinical patterns in huge datasets, AI transforms the ECG, a ubiquitous, non-invasive cardiac test that is integrated into practice workflows, into a screening tool and predictor of cardiac and non-cardiac diseases, often in asymptomatic individuals. This review describes the mathematical background behind supervised AI algorithms, and discusses selected AI ECG cardiac screening algorithms including those for the detection of left ventricular dysfunction, episodic atrial fibrillation from a tracing recorded during normal sinus rhythm, and other structural and valvular diseases. The ability to learn from big data sets, without the need to understand the biological mechanism, has created opportunities for detecting non-cardiac diseases as COVID-19 and introduced challenges with regards to data privacy. Like all medical tests, the AI ECG must be carefully vetted and validated in real-world clinical environments. Finally, with mobile form factors that allow acquisition of medical-grade ECGs from smartphones and wearables, the use of AI may enable massive scalability to democratize healthcare.

Application of machine learning to predict the occurrence of arrhythmia after acute myocardial infarction

Background

Early identification of the occurrence of arrhythmia in patients with acute myocardial infarction plays an essential role in clinical decision-making. The present study attempted to use machine learning (ML) methods to build predictive models of arrhythmia after acute myocardial infarction (AMI).

Methods

A total of 2084 patients with acute myocardial infarction were enrolled in this study. (All data is available on Github: https://github.com/wangsuhuai/AMI-database1.git). The primary outcome is whether tachyarrhythmia occurred during admission containing atrial arrhythmia, ventricular arrhythmia, and supraventricular tachycardia. All data is randomly divided into a training set (80%) and an internal testing set (20%). Apply three machine learning algorithms: decision tree, random forest (RF), and artificial neural network (ANN) to learn the training set to build a model, then use the testing set to evaluate the prediction performance, and compare it with the model built by the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk variable set.

Results

Three ML models predict the occurrence of tachyarrhythmias after AMI. After variable selection, the artificial neural network (ANN) model has reached the highest accuracy rate, which is better than the model constructed using the Grace variable set. After applying SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to make the model interpretable, the most important features are abnormal wall motion, lesion location, bundle branch block, age, and heart rate. Among them, RBBB (odds ratio [OR]: 4.21; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.42–7.02), ≥ 2 ventricular walls motion abnormal (OR: 3.26; 95% CI: 2.01–4.36) and right coronary artery occlusion (OR: 3.00; 95% CI: 1.98–4.56) are significant factors related to arrhythmia after AMI.

Conclusions

We used advanced machine learning methods to build prediction models for tachyarrhythmia after AMI for the first time (especially the ANN model that has the best performance). The current study can supplement the current AMI risk score, provide a reliable evaluation method for the clinic, and broaden the new horizons of ML and clinical research.

Trial registration Clinical Trial Registry No.: ChiCTR2100041960.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12911-021-01667-8.

Opening the black box: the promise and limitations of explainable machine learning in cardiology

Many clinicians remain wary of machine learning due to long-standing concerns about "black box" models. "Black box" is shorthand for models that are sufficiently complex that they are not straightforwardly interpretable to humans. Lack of interpretability in predictive models can undermine trust in those models, especially in health care where so many decisions are literally life and death. There has recently been an explosion of research in the field of explainable machine learning aimed at addressing these concerns. The promise of explainable machine learning is considerable, but it is important for cardiologists who may encounter these techniques in clinical decision support tools or novel research papers to have a critical understanding of both their strengths and their limitations. This paper reviews key concepts and techniques in the field of explainable machine learning as they apply to cardiology. Key concepts reviewed include interpretability versus explainability and global versus local explanations. Techniques demonstrated include permutation importance, surrogate decision trees, local interpretable model-agnostic explanations, and partial dependence plots. We discuss several limitations with explainability techniques, focusing on the how the nature of explanations as approximations may omit important information about how black box models work and why they make certain predictions. We conclude by proposing a rule of thumb about when it is appropriate to use black box models with explanations, rather than interpretable models.

Application of a time-series deep learning model to predict cardiac dysrhythmias in electronic health records

BACKGROUND

Cardiac dysrhythmias (CD) affect millions of Americans in the United States (US), and are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. New strategies to combat this growing problem are urgently needed.

OBJECTIVES

Predicting CD using electronic health record (EHR) data would allow for earlier diagnosis and treatment of the condition, thus improving overall cardiovascular outcomes. The Guideline Advantage (TGA) is an American Heart Association ambulatory quality clinical data registry of EHR data representing 70 clinics distributed throughout the US, and has been used to monitor outpatient prevention and disease management outcome measures across populations and for longitudinal research on the impact of preventative care.

METHODS

For this study, we represented all time-series cardiovascular health (CVH) measures and the corresponding data collection time points for each patient by numerical embedding vectors. We then employed a deep learning technique-long-short term memory (LSTM) model-to predict CD from the vector of time-series CVH measures by 5-fold cross validation and compared the performance of this model to the results of deep neural networks, logistic regression, random forest, and Naïve Bayes models.

RESULTS

We demonstrated that the LSTM model outperformed other traditional machine learning models and achieved the best prediction performance as measured by the average area under the receiver operator curve (AUROC): 0.76 for LSTM, 0.71 for deep neural networks, 0.66 for logistic regression, 0.67 for random forest, and 0.59 for Naïve Bayes. The most influential feature from the LSTM model were blood pressure.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings may be used to prevent CD in the outpatient setting by encouraging appropriate surveillance and management of CVH.

Risk Prediction Models and Scores in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) has historically been linked with sudden cardiac death (SCD). Currently, it is well established that only a subset of patients is at the highest risk stratum for such a catastrophic event. Detection of patients belonging to this high-risk category can allow for timely defibrillator implantation, changing the natural history of HCM. Inversely, device implantation in patients deemed at low risk leads to an unnecessary burden of device complications with no apparent protective benefit. Previous studies have identified a series of markers, now considered established risk factors, with genetic testing and newer imaging allowing for the detection of novel, highly promising indices of increased risk for SCD. Despite the identification of a number of risk factors, there is noticeable discrepancy in the utility of such factors for risk stratification between the current American and European guidelines. We sought to systematically review the data available on these two approaches, presenting their rationale and respective predictive capacity, also discussing the potential of novel markers to augment the precision of currently used risk stratification models for SCD in HCM.

Prediction of arrhythmia after intervention in children with atrial septal defect based on random forest

BACKGROUND

Using random forest to predict arrhythmia after intervention in children with atrial septal defect.

METHODS

We constructed a prediction model of complications after interventional closure for children with atrial septal defect. The model was based on random forest, and it solved the need for postoperative arrhythmia risk prediction and assisted clinicians and patients' families to make preoperative decisions.

RESULTS

Available risk prediction models provided patients with specific risk factor assessments, we used Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique algorithm and random forest machine learning to propose a prediction model, and got a prediction accuracy of 94.65 % and an Area Under Curve value of 0.8956.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study was based on the model constructed by random forest, which can effectively predict the complications of arrhythmia after interventional closure in children with atrial septal defect.

Machine learning and network medicine: a novel approach for precision medicine and personalized therapy in cardiomyopathies

The early identification of pathogenic mechanisms is essential to predict the incidence and progression of cardiomyopathies and to plan appropriate preventive interventions. Noninvasive cardiac imaging such as cardiac computed tomography, cardiac magnetic resonance, and nuclear imaging plays an important role in diagnosis and management of cardiomyopathies and provides useful prognostic information. Most molecular factors exert their functions by interacting with other cellular components, thus many diseases reflect perturbations of intracellular networks. Indeed, complex diseases and traits such as cardiomyopathies are caused by perturbations of biological networks. The network medicine approach, by integrating systems biology, aims to identify pathological interacting genes and proteins, revolutionizing the way to know cardiomyopathies and shifting the understanding of their pathogenic phenomena from a reductionist to a holistic approach. In addition, artificial intelligence tools, applied to morphological and functional imaging, could allow imaging scans to be automatically analyzed to extract new parameters and features for cardiomyopathy evaluation. The aim of this review is to discuss the tools of network medicine in cardiomyopathies that could reveal new candidate genes and artificial intelligence imaging-based features with the aim to translate into clinical practice as diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive biomarkers and shed new light on the clinical setting of cardiomyopathies. The integration and elaboration of clinical habits, molecular big data, and imaging into machine learning models could provide better disease phenotyping, outcome prediction, and novel drug targets, thus opening a new scenario for the implementation of precision medicine for cardiomyopathies.

Machine Learning in Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology

Machine learning (ML), a branch of artificial intelligence, where machines learn from big data, is at the crest of a technological wave of change sweeping society. Cardiovascular medicine is at the forefront of many ML applications, and there is a significant effort to bring them into mainstream clinical practice. In the field of cardiac electrophysiology, ML applications have also seen a rapid growth and popularity, particularly the use of ML in the automatic interpretation of ECGs, which has been extensively covered in the literature. Much lesser known are the other aspects of ML application in cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias, such as those in basic science research on arrhythmia mechanisms, both experimental and computational; in the development of better techniques for mapping of cardiac electrical function; and in translational research related to arrhythmia management. In the current review, we examine comprehensively such ML applications as they match the scope of this journal. The current review is organized in 3 parts. The first provides an overview of general ML principles and methodologies that will afford readers of the necessary information on the subject, serving as the foundation for inviting further ML applications in arrhythmia research. The basic information we provide can serve as a guide on how one might design and conduct an ML study. The second part is a review of arrhythmia and electrophysiology studies in which ML has been utilized, highlighting the broad potential of ML approaches. For each subject, we outline comprehensively the general topics, while reviewing some of the research advances utilizing ML under the subject. Finally, we discuss the main challenges and the perspectives for ML-driven cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmia research.

Machine Learning Methods for Identifying Atrial Fibrillation Cases and Their Predictors in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: The HCM-AF-Risk Model

Background

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients have a high incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and increased stroke risk, even with low CHA₂DS₂-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age diabetes, previous stroke/transient ischemic attack) scores. Hence, there is a need to understand the pathophysiology of AF/stroke in HCM. In this retrospective study, we develop and apply a data-driven, machine learning–based method to identify AF cases, and clinical/imaging features associated with AF, using electronic health record data.

Methods

HCM patients with documented paroxysmal/persistent/permanent AF (n = 191) were considered AF cases, and the remaining patients in sinus rhythm (n = 640) were tagged as No-AF. We evaluated 93 clinical variables; the most informative variables useful for distinguishing AF from No-AF cases were selected based on the 2-sample t test and the information gain criterion.

Results

We identified 18 highly informative variables that are positively (n = 11) and negatively (n = 7) correlated with AF in HCM. Next, patient records were represented via these 18 variables. Data imbalance resulting from the relatively low number of AF cases was addressed via a combination of oversampling and undersampling strategies. We trained and tested multiple classifiers under this sampling approach, showing effective classification. Specifically, an ensemble of logistic regression and naïve Bayes classifiers, trained based on the 18 variables and corrected for data imbalance, proved most effective for separating AF from No-AF cases (sensitivity = 0.74, specificity = 0.70, C-index = 0.80).

Conclusions

Our model (HCM-AF-Risk Model) is the first machine learning–based method for identification of AF cases in HCM. This model demonstrates good performance, addresses data imbalance, and suggests that AF is associated with a more severe cardiac HCM phenotype.

Explanatory Analysis of a Machine Learning Model to Identify Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Patients from EHR Using Diagnostic Codes

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a genetic heart disease that is the leading cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in young adults. Despite the well-known risk factors and existing clinical practice guidelines, HCM patients are underdiagnosed and sub-optimally managed. Developing machine learning models on electronic health record (EHR) data can help in better diagnosis of HCM and thus improve hundreds of patient lives. Automated phenotyping using HCM billing codes has received limited attention in the literature with a small number of prior publications. In this paper, we propose a novel predictive model that helps physicians in making diagnostic decisions, by means of information learned from historical data of similar patients. We assembled a cohort of 11,562 patients with known or suspected HCM who have visited Mayo Clinic between the years 1995 to 2019. All existing billing codes of these patients were extracted from the EHR data warehouse. Target ground truth labeling for training the machine learning model was provided by confirmed HCM diagnosis using the gold standard imaging tests for HCM diagnosis echocardiography (echo), or cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging. As the result, patients were labeled into three categories of "yes definite HCM", "no HCM phenotype", and "possible HCM" after a manual review of medical records and imaging tests. In this study, a random forest was adopted to investigate the predictive performance of billing codes for the identification of HCM patients due to its practical application and expected accuracy in a wide range of use cases. Our model performed well in finding patients with "yes definite", "possible" and "no" HCM with an accuracy of 71%, weighted recall of 70%, the precision of 75%, and weighted F1 score of 72%. Furthermore, we provided visualizations based on multidimensional scaling and the principal component analysis to provide insights for clinicians' interpretation. This model can be used for the identification of HCM patients using their EHR data, and help clinicians in their diagnosis decision making.

Predicting the development of adverse cardiac events in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy using machine learning

BACKGROUND

Only a subset of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) develop adverse cardiac events - e.g., end-stage heart failure, cardiovascular death. Current risk stratification methods are imperfect, limiting identification of high-risk patients with HCM. Our aim was to improve the prediction of adverse cardiac events in patients with HCM using machine learning methods.

METHODS

We applied modern machine learning methods to a prospective cohort of adults with HCM. The outcome was a composite of death due to heart failure, heart transplant, and sudden death. As the reference model, we constructed logistic regression model using known predictors. We determined 20 predictive characteristics based on random forest classification and a priori knowledge, and developed 4 machine learning models. Results Of 183 patients in the cohort, the mean age was 53 (SD = 17) years and 45% were female. During the median follow-up of 2.2 years (interquartile range, 0.6-3.8), 33 subjects (18%) developed an outcome event, the majority of which (85%) was heart transplant. The predictive accuracy of the reference model was 73% (sensitivity 76%, specificity 72%) while that of the machine learning model was 85% (e.g., sensitivity 88%, specificity 84% with elastic net regression). All 4 machine learning models significantly outperformed the reference model - e.g., area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve 0.79 with the reference model vs. 0.93 with elastic net regression (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with conventional risk stratification, the machine learning models demonstrated a superior ability to predict adverse cardiac events. These modern machine learning methods may enhance identification of high-risk HCM subpopulations.

Multi-parametric system for risk stratification in mitral regurgitation: A multi-task Gaussian prediction approach

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized that a multi-parametric approach incorporating medical comorbidity information, electrocardiographic P-wave indices, echocardiographic assessment, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) calculated from laboratory data can improve risk stratification in mitral regurgitation (MR).

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with mitral regurgitation between 1 March 2005 and 30 October 2018 from a single centre were retrospectively analysed. Outcomes analysed were incident atrial fibrillation (AF), transient ischemic attack (TIA)/stroke and mortality.

RESULTS

This study cohort included 706 patients, of whom 171 had normal inter-atrial conduction, 257 had inter-atrial block (IAB) and 266 had AF at baseline. Logistic regression analysis showed that age, hypertension and mean P-wave duration (PWD) were significant predictors of new-onset AF. Low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), abnormal P-wave terminal force in V1 (PTFV1) predicted TIA/stroke. Age, smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolaemia, ischemic heart disease, secondary mitral regurgitation, urea, creatinine, NLR, PNI, left atrial diameter (LAD), left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, LVEF, pulmonary arterial systolic pressure, IAB, baseline AF and heart failure predicted all-cause mortality. A multi-task Gaussian process learning model demonstrated significant improvement in risk stratification compared to logistic regression and a decision tree method.

CONCLUSIONS

A multi-parametric approach incorporating multi-modality clinical data improves risk stratification in mitral regurgitation. Multi-task machine learning can significantly improve overall risk stratification performance.

Machine Learning in Electrocardiography and Echocardiography: Technological Advances in Clinical Cardiology

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Electrocardiography (ECG) and echocardiography are the most widely used diagnostic tools in clinical cardiology. This review focuses on recent advancements in applying machine learning (ML) in ECG and echocardiography and potential synergistic ML integration of ECG and echocardiography.

RECENT FINDINGS

ML algorithms have been used in ECG for technical quality assurance, arrhythmia identification, and prognostic predictions, and in echocardiography to recognize image views, quantify measurements, and identify pathologic patterns. Synergistic application of ML in ECG and echocardiograph has demonstrated the potential to optimize therapeutic response, improve risk stratification, and generate new disease classification. There is mounting evidence that ML potentially outperforms in disease diagnoses and outcome prediction with ECG and echocardiography when compared with trained healthcare professionals. The applications of ML in ECG and echocardiography are playing increasingly greater roles in medical research and clinical practice, particularly for their contributions to developing novel diagnostic/prognostic prediction models. The automation in data acquisition, processing, and interpretation help streamline the workflows of ECG and echocardiography in contemporary cardiology practice.

Machine learning for predicting cardiac events: what does the future hold?

Introduction: With the increase in the number of patients with cardiovascular diseases, better risk-prediction models for cardiovascular events are needed. Statistical-based risk-prediction models for cardiovascular events (CVEs) are available, but they lack the ability to predict individual-level risk. Machine learning (ML) methods are especially equipped to handle complex data and provide accurate risk-prediction models at the individual level.Areas covered: In this review, the authors summarize the literature comparing the performance of machine learning methods to that of traditional, statistical-based models in predicting CVEs. They provide a brief summary of ML methods and then discuss risk-prediction models for CVEs such as major adverse cardiovascular events, heart failure and arrhythmias.Expert opinion: Current evidence supports the superiority of ML methods over statistical-based models in predicting CVEs. Statistical models are applicable at the population level and are subject to overfitting, while ML methods can provide an individualized risk level for CVEs. Further prospective research on ML-guided treatments to prevent CVEs is needed.

Sex-specific cardiac phenotype and clinical outcomes in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

It is unknown whether sex-specific differences in mortality observed in HCM are due to older age of women at presentation, or whether women have greater degree of LV myopathy than men.

METHODS

We retrospectively compared clinical/imaging characteristics and outcomes between women and men in our overall cohort composed of 728 HCM patients, and in an age-matched subgroup comprised of 400 age-matched patients. We examined sex-specific differences in LV myopathy, and dissected the influence of age and sex on outcomes. LV myopathy was assessed by measuring LV mass, LVEF, global peak longitudinal systolic strain (LV-GLS), diastolic function (E/A, E/e'), late gadolinium enhancement (LV-LGE) and myocardial blood flow (MBF) at rest/stress. The primary endpoint was a composite outcome, comprising heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AFib), ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation (VT/VF) and death; individual outcomes were defined as the secondary endpoint.

RESULTS

Women in the overall cohort were older by 6 years. Women were more symptomatic and more likely to have obstructive HCM. Women had smaller LV cavity size, stroke volume and LV mass, higher indexed maximum wall thickness (IMWT), more hyperdynamic LVEF and higher/similar LV-GLS. Women had similar LV-LGE and E/A, but higher E/e' and rest/stress MBF. Female sex was independently associated with the composite outcome in the overall cohort, and with HF in the overall cohort and age-matched subgroup after adjusting for obstructive HCM, LA diameter, LV-GLS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that sex-specific differences in LV geometry, hyper-contractility and diastolic function, not greater degree of LV myopathy, contribute to a higher, age-independent risk of diastolic HF in women with HCM.

Differences in microRNA-29 and Pro-fibrotic Gene Expression in Mouse and Human Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

Background: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is characterized by myocyte hypertrophy and fibrosis. Studies in two mouse models (R92W-TnT/R403Q-MyHC) at early HCM stage revealed upregulation of endothelin (ET1) signaling in both mutants, but TGFβ signaling only in TnT mutants. Dysregulation of miR-29 expression has been implicated in cardiac fibrosis. But it is unknown whether expression of miR-29a/b/c and profibrotic genes is commonly regulated in mouse and human HCM.

Methods: In order to understand mechanisms underlying fibrosis in HCM, and examine similarities/differences in expression of miR-29a/b/c and several profibrotic genes in mouse and human HCM, we performed parallel studies in rat cardiac myocyte/fibroblast cultures, examined gene expression in two mouse models of (non-obstructive) HCM (R92W-TnT, R403Q-MyHC)/controls at early (5 weeks) and established (24 weeks) disease stage, and analyzed publicly available mRNA/miRNA expression data from obstructive-HCM patients undergoing septal myectomy/controls (unused donor hearts).

Results: Myocyte cultures: ET1 increased superoxide/H₂O₂, stimulated TGFβ expression/secretion, and suppressed miR-29a expression in myocytes. The effect of ET1 on miR-29 and TGFβ expression/secretion was antagonized by N-acetyl-cysteine, a reactive oxygen species scavenger. Fibroblast cultures: ET1 had no effect on pro-fibrotic gene expression in fibroblasts. TGFβ1/TGFβ2 suppressed miR-29a and increased collagen expression, which was abolished by miR-29a overexpression. Mouse and human HCM: Expression of miR-29a/b/c was lower, and TGFB1/collagen gene expression was higher in TnT mutant-LV at 5 and 24 weeks; no difference was observed in expression of these genes in MyHC mutant-LV and in human myectomy tissue. TGFB2 expression was higher in LV of both mutant mice and human myectomy tissue. ACE2, a negative regulator of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system, was the most upregulated transcript in human myectomy tissue. Pathway analysis predicted upregulation of the anti-hypertrophic/anti-fibrotic liver X receptor/retinoid X receptor (LXR/RXR) pathway only in human myectomy tissue.

Conclusions: Our in vitro studies suggest that activation of ET1 signaling in cardiac myocytes increases reactive oxygen species and stimulates TGFβ secretion, which downregulates miR-29a and increases collagen in fibroblasts, thus contributing to fibrosis. Our gene expression studies in mouse and human HCM reveal allele-specific differences in miR-29 family/profibrotic gene expression in mouse HCM, and activation of anti-hypertrophic/anti-fibrotic genes and pathways in human HCM.

Current applications of big data and machine learning in cardiology

Machine learning (ML) is a software solution with the ability of making predictions without prior explicit programming, aiding in the analysis of large amounts of data. These algorithms can be trained through supervised or unsupervised learning. Cardiology is one of the fields of medicine with the highest interest in its applications. They can facilitate every step of patient care, reducing the margin of error and contributing to precision medicine. In particular, ML has been proposed for cardiac imaging applications such as automated computation of scores, differentiation of prognostic phenotypes, quantification of heart function and segmentation of the heart. These tools have also demonstrated the capability of performing early and accurate detection of anomalies in electrocardiographic exams. ML algorithms can also contribute to cardiovascular risk assessment in different settings and perform predictions of cardiovascular events. Another interesting research avenue in this field is represented by genomic assessment of cardiovascular diseases. Therefore, ML could aid in making earlier diagnosis of disease, develop patient-tailored therapies and identify predictive characteristics in different pathologic conditions, leading to precision cardiology.