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Wang N, Rueter P, Ng M, Chandramohan S, Hibbert T, O'Sullivan JF, Kaye D, Lal S. Echocardiographic predictors of cardiovascular outcome in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Eur J Heart Fail 2024; 26:1778-1787. [PMID: 38714362 DOI: 10.1002/ejhf.3271] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2024] [Revised: 02/23/2024] [Accepted: 04/17/2024] [Indexed: 05/09/2024] Open
Abstract
AIMS The optimal echocardiographic predictors of cardiovascular outcome in heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) are unknown. We aimed to identify independent echocardiographic predictors of cardiovascular outcome in patients with HFpEF. METHODS AND RESULTS Systematic literature search of three electronic databases was conducted from date of inception until November 2022. Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for echocardiographic variables from multivariate prediction models for the composite primary endpoint of cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization were pooled using a random effects meta-analysis. Specific subgroup analyses were conducted for studies that enrolled patients with acute versus chronic HF, and for those studies that included E/e', pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP), renal function, natriuretic peptides and diuretic use in multivariate models. Forty-six studies totalling 20 056 patients with HFpEF were included. Three echocardiographic parameters emerged as independent predictors in all subgroup analyses: decreased left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.10-1.39 per 5% decrease), decreased left atrial (LA) reservoir strain (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.13-1.1.50 per 5% decrease) and lower tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) to PASP ratio (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.07-1.25 per 0.1 unit decrease). Other independent echocardiographic predictors of the primary endpoint were a higher E/e', moderate to severe tricuspid regurgitation, LV mass index and LA ejection fraction, although these variables were less robust. CONCLUSIONS Impaired LV global longitudinal strain, lower LA reservoir strain and lower TAPSE/PASP ratio predict cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization in HFpEF and are independent of filling pressures, clinical characteristics and natriuretic peptides. These echocardiographic parameters reflect key functional changes in HFpEF, and should be incorporated in future prospective risk prediction models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nelson Wang
- The George Institute for Global Health UNSW, Sydney, Australia
- Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Phidias Rueter
- Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Melvin Ng
- UNSW Medical School, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Sashiruben Chandramohan
- Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Thomas Hibbert
- UNSW Medical School, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - John F O'Sullivan
- Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - David Kaye
- Department of Cardiology, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Sean Lal
- Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
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2
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Huang X, Li Y, Zheng H, Xu Y. Sudden Cardiac Death Risk Stratification in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction. Cardiol Rev 2024:00045415-990000000-00279. [PMID: 38814094 DOI: 10.1097/crd.0000000000000728] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/31/2024]
Abstract
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) poses a significant clinical challenge, with sudden cardiac death (SCD) emerging as one of the leading causes of mortality. Despite advancements in cardiovascular medicine, predicting and preventing SCD in HFpEF remains complex due to multifactorial pathophysiological mechanisms and patient heterogeneity. Unlike heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, where impaired contractility and ventricular remodeling predominate, HFpEF pathophysiology involves heavy burden of comorbidities such as hypertension, obesity, and diabetes. Diverse mechanisms, including diastolic dysfunction, microvascular abnormalities, and inflammation, also contribute to distinct disease and SCD risk profiles. Various parameters such as clinical factors and electrocardiogram features have been proposed in SCD risk assessment. Advanced imaging modalities and biomarkers offer promise in risk prediction, yet comprehensive risk stratification models specific to HFpEF ar0e lacking. This review offers recent evidence on SCD risk factors and discusses current therapeutic strategies aimed at reducing SCD risk in HFpEF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xu Huang
- From the Department of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
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3
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Zhang X, Yang S, Hao S, Li J, Qiu M, Chen H, Huang Y. Myocardial fibrosis and prognosis in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a pooled analysis of 12 cohort studies. Eur Radiol 2024; 34:1854-1862. [PMID: 37658896 DOI: 10.1007/s00330-023-10218-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2023] [Revised: 07/02/2023] [Accepted: 07/15/2023] [Indexed: 09/05/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a syndrome with significant clinical heterogeneity. Myocardial fibrosis has been considered a common pathological process in the development and progress of HFpEF. This study aimed to consolidate data on the prognostic effect of myocardial fibrosis, evaluated by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging in patients with HFpEF. METHODS Three medical databases were searched for potentially related articles up to February 28, 2023. Cohort studies reporting associations between myocardial fibrosis and risk of all-cause mortality or composite major adverse cardiac outcomes (MACE) were included. Cardiac fibrosis was evaluated by CMR metrics, including late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) or myocardial extracellular volume (ECV). The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the outcomes for higher myocardial fibrosis were calculated. RESULTS Twelve studies with 2787 patients with HFpEF were included for analysis. After a median follow-up duration of 31.2 months, a higher level of cardiac fibrosis was associated with a significant increase in the risk of MACE (HR = 1.34, 95% CI = 1.14-1.57) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.27-2.39), respectively. Furthermore, the increased risk of outcomes was both observed when cardiac fibrosis was defined according to LGE or ECV, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Higher burden of myocardial fibrosis evaluated by CMR can predict a poor prognosis in patients with HFpEF. Evaluation of LGE or ECV based on CMR could be recommended in these patients for risk stratification and guiding further treatment. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT Inclusion of cardiovascular magnetic resonance examination in the diagnostic and risk-evaluation algorithms in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction should be considered in clinical practice and future studies. KEY POINTS • Myocardial fibrosis is a common pathological process in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. • A higher myocardial fibrosis burden on cardiac magnetic resonance predicts a poor prognosis in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. • Evaluation of myocardial fibrosis may be useful in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction for risk stratification and treatment guidance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaojie Zhang
- Department of Cardiology, Shunde Hospital, Southern Medical University (the First People's Hospital of Shunde), Jiazhi Road, Lunjiao Town, Shunde District, Foshan, 528300, China
| | - Shaomin Yang
- Department of Radiology, Lecong Hospital of Shunde, Foshan, China
| | - Shali Hao
- Department of Cardiology, Shunde Hospital, Southern Medical University (the First People's Hospital of Shunde), Jiazhi Road, Lunjiao Town, Shunde District, Foshan, 528300, China
| | - Jiahuan Li
- Department of Cardiology, Shunde Hospital, Southern Medical University (the First People's Hospital of Shunde), Jiazhi Road, Lunjiao Town, Shunde District, Foshan, 528300, China
| | - Min Qiu
- Department of Cardiology, Shunde Hospital, Southern Medical University (the First People's Hospital of Shunde), Jiazhi Road, Lunjiao Town, Shunde District, Foshan, 528300, China
| | - Haixiong Chen
- Department of Radiology, Shunde Hospital, Southern Medical University (the First People's Hospital of Shunde), Jiazhi Road, Lunjiao Town, Shunde District, Foshan, 528300, China.
| | - Yuli Huang
- Department of Cardiology, Shunde Hospital, Southern Medical University (the First People's Hospital of Shunde), Jiazhi Road, Lunjiao Town, Shunde District, Foshan, 528300, China.
- Faculty of Medicine, The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
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4
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Safabakhsh S, Al-Shaheen A, Swiggum E, Mielniczuk L, Tremblay-Gravel M, Laksman Z. Arrhythmic Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: Mechanisms, Genetics, and Future Directions. CJC Open 2022; 4:959-969. [PMID: 36444369 PMCID: PMC9700220 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjco.2022.07.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2022] [Accepted: 07/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is an increasingly recognized disorder. Many clinical trials have failed to demonstrate benefit in patients with HFpEF but have recognized alarming rates of sudden cardiac death (SCD). Genetic testing has become standard in the workup of patients with otherwise unexplained cardiac arrest, but the genetic architecture of HFpEF, and the overlap of a genetic predisposition to HFpEF and arrhythmias, is poorly understood. An understanding of the genetics of HFpEF and related SCD has the potential to redefine and generate novel diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic tools. In this review, we examine recent pathophysiological and clinical advancements in our understanding of HFpEF, which reinforce the heterogeneity of the condition. We also discuss data describing SCD events in patients with HFpEF and review the current literature on genetic underpinnings of HFpEF. Mechanisms of arrhythmogenesis which may lead to SCD in this population are also explored. Lastly, we outline several areas of promise for experimentation and clinical trials that have the potential to further advance our understanding of and contribute to improved clinical care of this patient population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sina Safabakhsh
- Division of Cardiology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | | | - Elizabeth Swiggum
- Division of Cardiology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Lisa Mielniczuk
- University of Ottawa Heart Institute, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - Zachary Laksman
- Division of Cardiology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
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5
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Murphy TW, Cohen SA, Hwang CW, Avery KL, Balakrishnan MP, Balu R, Chowdhury MAB, Crabb DB, Elmelige Y, Maciel CB, Gul SS, Han F, Becker TK. Cardiac arrest: An interdisciplinary scoping review of clinical literature from 2020. J Am Coll Emerg Physicians Open 2022; 3:e12773. [PMID: 35845142 PMCID: PMC9282171 DOI: 10.1002/emp2.12773] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2021] [Revised: 05/15/2022] [Accepted: 06/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives The Interdisciplinary Cardiac Arrest Research Review (ICARE) group was formed in 2018 to conduct an annual search of peer-reviewed literature relevant to cardiac arrest. Now in its third year, the goals of the review are to highlight annual updates in the interdisciplinary world of clinical cardiac arrest research with a focus on clinically relevant and impactful clinical and population-level studies from 2020. Methods A search of PubMed using keywords related to clinical research in cardiac arrest was conducted. Titles and abstracts were screened for relevance and sorted into 7 categories: Epidemiology & Public Health Initiatives; Prehospital Resuscitation, Technology & Care; In-Hospital Resuscitation & Post-Arrest Care; Prognostication & Outcomes; Pediatrics; Interdisciplinary Guidelines & Reviews; and a new section dedicated to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Screened manuscripts underwent standardized scoring of methodological quality and impact on the respective fields by reviewer teams lead by a subject matter expert editor. Articles scoring higher than 99 percentiles by category were selected for full critique. Systematic differences between editors' and reviewers' scores were assessed using Wilcoxon signed-rank test. Results A total of 3594 articles were identified on initial search; of these, 1026 were scored after screening for relevance and deduplication, and 51 underwent full critique. The leading category was Prehospital Resuscitation, Technology & Care representing 35% (18/51) of fully reviewed articles. Four COVID-19 related articles were included for formal review that was attributed to a relative lack of high-quality data concerning cardiac arrest and COVID-19 specifically by the end of the 2020 calendar year. No significant differences between editor and reviewer scoring were found among review articles (P = 0.697). Among original research articles, section editors scored a median 1 point (interquartile range, 0-3; P < 0.01) less than reviewers. Conclusions Several clinically relevant studies have added to the evidence base for the management of cardiac arrest patients including methods for prognostication of neurologic outcome following arrest, airway management strategy, timing of coronary intervention, and methods to improve expeditious performance of key components of resuscitation such as chest compressions in adults and children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Travis W. Murphy
- Division of Critical Care MedicineDepartment of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
- Cardiothoracic Critical CareMiami Transplant InstituteUniversity of MiamiMiamiFloridaUSA
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
| | - Scott A. Cohen
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
| | - Charles W. Hwang
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
| | - K. Leslie Avery
- Division of Pediatric Critical CareDepartment of PediatricsUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
| | | | - Ramani Balu
- Division of Neurocritical CareDepartment of NeurologyUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPennsylvaniaUSA
| | | | - David B. Crabb
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
| | - Yasmeen Elmelige
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
| | - Carolina B. Maciel
- Division of Neurocritical CareDepartment of NeurologyUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPennsylvaniaUSA
- Department of NeurologyYale UniversityNew HavenConnecticutUSA
- Division of Neurocritical CareDepartment of NeurologyUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
| | - Sarah S. Gul
- Department of SurgeryYale UniversityNew HavenConnecticutUSA
| | - Francis Han
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
- Lake Erie College of Osteopathic MedicineBradentonFloridaUSA
| | - Torben K. Becker
- Division of Critical Care MedicineDepartment of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFloridaUSA
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6
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Fukuoka R, Kohsaka S, Shiraishi Y, Sawano M, Abe T, Levy WC, Nagatomo Y, Nishihata Y, Goda A, Kohno T, Kawamura A, Fukuda K, Yoshikawa T. Sudden cardiac death after acute decompensation in heart failure patients: implications of discharge haemoglobin levels. ESC Heart Fail 2021; 8:3917-3928. [PMID: 34323007 PMCID: PMC8497203 DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.13414] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2020] [Revised: 04/27/2021] [Accepted: 04/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Aims Heart failure (HF) patients have a high risk of mortality due to sudden cardiac death (SCD) and non‐SCD, including pump failure death (PFD). Anaemia predicts more severe symptomatic burden and higher morbidity, as noted by markedly increased hospitalizations and readmission rates, and mortality, underscoring its importance in HF management. Herein, we aimed to determine whether haemoglobin (Hb) level at discharge affects the mode of death and influences SCD risk prediction. Methods We evaluated the data of 3020 consecutive acute HF patients from a Japanese prospective multicentre registry. Patients were divided into four groups based on discharge Hb levels. SCD was defined as an unexpected and otherwise unexplained death in a previously stable patient or death due to documented or presumed cardiac arrhythmia without a clear non‐cardiovascular cause. The mode of death (SCD, PFD or other cause) was adjudicated by a central committee. Finally, we investigated whether adding Hb level to the Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM; established risk score utilized to estimate ‘proportion’ of SCD among death events) would affect its performance. Results The mean age of studied patients was 74.3 ± 12.9 years, and 59.8% were male. The mean Hb level was 12.0 ± 2.1 g/dL (61.3% of patients had anaemia defined by World Health Organization criteria). During the 2‐year follow‐up, 474 deaths (15.7%) occurred, including 93 SCDs (3.1%), 171 PFDs (5.7%) and 210 other deaths (7.0%; predominantly non‐cardiac death). Absolute risk of PFD (P < 0.001) or other death (P < 0.001) increased along with the severity of anaemia, whereas the incidence of SCD was low but remained consistent across all four groups (P = 0.440). As a proportion of total deaths in each Hb level group, the contributions from non‐SCD increased and from SCD decreased along with anaemia severity (P = 0.007). Adding Hb level to the SPRM improved the overall discrimination (c‐index: 0.62 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56–0.69] to 0.65 [95% CI 0.59–0.71]), regardless of the baseline ejection fraction (EF) (c‐index: 0.64 [95% CI 0.55–0.73] to 0.67 [95% CI 0.58–0.75] for reduced EF and 0.55 [95% CI 0.45–0.66] to 0.61 [95% CI 0.52–0.70] for preserved EF). Conclusions The discharge Hb level provides information about both absolute and proportional risks for each mode of death in acute HF patients, and the addition of Hb level improves the performance of SPRM by identifying more non‐SCD cases. Future ‘proportional’ SCD risk models should incorporate Hb level as a covariate to meet this high performance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ryoma Fukuoka
- Department of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Cardiology, International University of Health and Welfare, School of Medicine, Chiba, Japan
| | - Shun Kohsaka
- Department of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yasuyuki Shiraishi
- Department of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Mitsuaki Sawano
- Department of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takayuki Abe
- School of Data Science, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Wayne C Levy
- Division of Cardiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Yuji Nagatomo
- Department of Cardiology, National Defense Medical College, Tokorozawa, Japan
| | - Yosuke Nishihata
- Department of Cardiology, Cardiovascular Centre, St. Luke's International Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Ayumi Goda
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takashi Kohno
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Kyorin University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Akio Kawamura
- Department of Cardiology, International University of Health and Welfare, School of Medicine, Chiba, Japan
| | - Keiichi Fukuda
- Department of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
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7
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Shchendrygina AA, Zhbanov KA, Privalova EV, Yusupova AO, Danilogorskaya YA, Salakheeva EY, Sokolova IY, Tsatsurova SA, Ageeva AA, Belenkov YN. Heart Failure with Perserved Ejection Fraction Current Diagnostic and Therapeutic Approaches. RATIONAL PHARMACOTHERAPY IN CARDIOLOGY 2021. [DOI: 10.20996/1819-6446-2021-05-01] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a syndrome associated with high morbidity and mortality rates. Little progress has been in the treatment of this condition since its introduction some 30 years ago. It's accepted that HFpEF is heterogeneous in many ways, ethologically and phenotypically. The underlying mechanisms of the syndrome are not clear. Recently, it has been shown that the diagnostic criteria for HFpEF lacks sensitivity and specificity. Novel treatment approaches, which were developed based on current HFpEF pathophysiological concepts, did not show either clinical or prognostic benefit for patients. Therefore, there is an urgent need to revise current diagnostic approaches and to further investigate the underlying mechanisms. Recently, two novel diagnostic score systems were proposed: H2PEF and HFA-PEFF. Recently, a number of phase II and III randomized control trials have been completed. Here, the authors discuss the potential novel diagnostic approaches to HFpEF and treatment perspectives.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - K. A. Zhbanov
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
| | - E. V. Privalova
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
| | - A. O. Yusupova
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
| | | | - E. Yu. Salakheeva
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
| | - I. Ya. Sokolova
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
| | - S. A. Tsatsurova
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
| | - A. A. Ageeva
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
| | - Yu. N. Belenkov
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)
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8
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Sudden Cardiac Death in Patients with Heart Disease and Preserved Systolic Function: Current Options for Risk Stratification. J Clin Med 2021; 10:jcm10091823. [PMID: 33922111 PMCID: PMC8122448 DOI: 10.3390/jcm10091823] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2021] [Revised: 04/17/2021] [Accepted: 04/20/2021] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is the leading cause of cardiovascular mortality in patients with coronary artery disease without severe systolic dysfunction and in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. From a global health perspective, while risk may be lower, the absolute number of SCDs in patients with left ventricle ejection fraction >35% is higher than in those with severely reduced left ventricle ejection fraction (defined as ≤35%). Despite these observations and the high amount of available data, to date there are no clear recommendations to reduce the sudden cardiac death burden in the population with mid-range or preserved left ventricle ejection fraction. Ongoing improvements in risk stratification based on electrophysiological and imaging techniques point towards a more precise identification of patients who would benefit from ICD implantation, which is still an unmet need in this subset of patients. The aim of this review is to provide a state-of-the-art approach in sudden cardiac death risk stratification of patients with mid-range and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction and one of the following etiologies: ischemic cardiomyopathy, heart failure, atrial fibrillation or myocarditis.
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9
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Shen L, Jhund PS, Anand IS, Carson PE, Desai AS, Granger CB, Køber L, Komajda M, McKelvie RS, Pfeffer MA, Solomon SD, Swedberg K, Zile MR, McMurray JJV. Developing and validating models to predict sudden death and pump failure death in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction. Clin Res Cardiol 2020; 110:1234-1248. [PMID: 33301080 PMCID: PMC8318942 DOI: 10.1007/s00392-020-01786-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2020] [Accepted: 11/24/2020] [Indexed: 01/12/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Sudden death (SD) and pump failure death (PFD) are leading modes of death in heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Risk stratification for mode-specific death may aid in patient enrichment for new device trials in HFpEF. METHODS Models were derived in 4116 patients in the Irbesartan in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction trial (I-Preserve), using competing risks regression analysis. A series of models were built in a stepwise manner, and were validated in the Candesartan in Heart failure: Assessment of Reduction in Mortality and morbidity (CHARM)-Preserved and Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trials. RESULTS The clinical model for SD included older age, men, lower LVEF, higher heart rate, history of diabetes or myocardial infarction, and HF hospitalization within previous 6 months, all of which were associated with a higher SD risk. The clinical model predicting PFD included older age, men, lower LVEF or diastolic blood pressure, higher heart rate, and history of diabetes or atrial fibrillation, all for a higher PFD risk, and dyslipidaemia for a lower risk of PFD. In each model, the observed and predicted incidences were similar in each risk subgroup, suggesting good calibration. Model discrimination was good for SD and excellent for PFD with Harrell's C of 0.71 (95% CI 0.68-0.75) and 0.78 (95% CI 0.75-0.82), respectively. Both models were robust in external validation. Adding ECG and biochemical parameters, model performance improved little in the derivation cohort but decreased in validation. Including NT-proBNP substantially increased discrimination of the SD model, and simplified the PFD model with marginal increase in discrimination. CONCLUSIONS The clinical models can predict risks for SD and PFD separately with good discrimination and calibration in HFpEF and are robust in external validation. Adding NT-proBNP further improved model performance. These models may help to identify high-risk individuals for device intervention in future trials. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION I-Preserve: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00095238; TOPCAT: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00094302; CHARM-Preserved: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00634712.
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Affiliation(s)
- Li Shen
- Department of Medicine, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, 310003, China.,British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, 126 University Place, Glasgow, G12 8TA, UK
| | - Pardeep S Jhund
- British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, 126 University Place, Glasgow, G12 8TA, UK
| | - Inder S Anand
- Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota Medical School and VA Medical Center, Minneapolis, USA
| | - Peter E Carson
- Department of Cardiology, Washington VA Medical Center, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Akshay S Desai
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA
| | | | - Lars Køber
- Rigshospitalet Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Michel Komajda
- Department of Cardiology, Hospital Saint Joseph, Paris, France
| | | | - Marc A Pfeffer
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA
| | - Scott D Solomon
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA
| | - Karl Swedberg
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Michael R Zile
- Medical University of South Carolina and RHJ Department of Veterans Administration Medical Center, Charleston, USA
| | - John J V McMurray
- British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, 126 University Place, Glasgow, G12 8TA, UK.
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