Impact of advanced age on the short- and long-term outcomes in patients undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: a single-center analysis over a 20-year period

Efficacy and Safety of Surgical Resection in Elderly Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background/Aims

: With increased life expectancy, the management of elderly hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients became a crucial issue, yet it is still challenging due to comorbidities and high surgical risks. While surgical resection is considered as primary treatment for eligible HCC patients, systematic evidence on its outcomes in elderly patients remains scarce. In this review, we aimed to analyze the efficacy and safety outcomes of surgical resection in elderly HCC patients.

Methods

: The studies included in this meta-analysis were selected from Ovid-MEDLINE, Ovid-Embase, CENTRAL, KoreaMed, KMbase, and KISS databases following a predefined protocol. Efficacy outcomes included overall survival and disease-free survival, while the safety outcomes included postoperative mortality and complications.

Results

: Patients in the elderly group (≥65 years) who underwent surgery exhibited non-inferior overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92 to 1.74) and disease-free survival (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.99 to 1.08) compared to the non-elderly group. Overall postoperative mortality exhibited no statistical difference (odds ratio [OR], 1.07; 95% CI, 0.87 to 1.31), but 30-day, 90-day, and in-hospital mortality were higher in the elderly group. The incidence of overall complications was higher in the elderly group (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.22 to 1.69). Sensitivity analysis for the super elderly group (≥80 years) showed significantly higher in-hospital mortality compared to the non-super elderly group (OR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.16 to 5.45).

Conclusions

: The efficacy outcome of surgical resection in the elderly HCC patients was not worse than that in the non-elderly HCC patients, while in-hospital mortality and complications rates were higher. Therefore, surgical resection should be purposefully considered in the elderly population, with careful candidate selection.

Safety and oncological benefits of hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma in octogenarians

BACKGROUND

The number of octogenarians requiring surgery for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing. However, the safety of hepatectomy in octogenarians remains controversial. The aim of this retrospective study was to determine the effect of age on the short- and long-term outcomes of hepatectomy for HCC to evaluate the safety of hepatectomy for octogenarians.

METHODS

Data from a total of 845 patients who underwent initial hepatectomy for HCC between April 1990 and March 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were categorized based on the age at the time of surgery (<80 years, n = 790; ≥80 years, n = 55), and the short- and long-term postoperative outcomes of the two groups were compared to evaluate whether hepatectomy is appropriate for octogenarian patients.

RESULTS

The proportion of octogenarian patients undergoing hepatectomy increased from 2.6% in 1990-1995 to 16.8% in 2016-2020 (P < 0.001), and the overall incidences of anatomical and major hepatectomy have increased. There was no significant difference in the morbidity rate between the octogenarians and the group of patients <80 years old (60.0% vs. 54.4%, P = 0.420), and the 90-day mortality rate was 0% in the octogenarian group. Furthermore, the two groups had similar overall survival and recurrence-free survival rates (P = 0.173 and 0.671, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Favorable postoperative outcomes following initial hepatectomy for HCC are achieved in appropriately selected octogenarians.

Clinical features and prognostic factors in patients with microvascular infiltration of hepatocellular carcinoma: Development and validation of a nomogram and risk stratification based on the SEER database

Background

The goal is to establish and validate an innovative prognostic risk stratification and nomogram in patients of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with microvascular invasion (MVI) for predicting the cancer-specific survival (CSS).

Methods

1487 qualified patients were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database and randomly assigned to the training cohort and validation cohort in a ratio of 7:3. Concordance index (C-index), area under curve (AUC) and calibration plots were adopted to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the nomogram. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to quantify the net benefit of the nomogram at different threshold probabilities and compare it to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor staging system. C-index, net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were applied to evaluate the improvement of the new model over the AJCC tumor staging system. The new risk stratifications based on the nomogram and the AJCC tumor staging system were compared.

Results

Eight prognostic factors were used to construct the nomogram for HCC patients with MVI. The C-index for the training and validation cohorts was 0.785 and 0.776 respectively. The AUC values were higher than 0.7 both in the training cohort and validation cohort. The calibration plots showed good consistency between the actual observation and the nomogram prediction. The IDI values of 1-, 3-, 5-year CSS in the training cohort were 0.17, 0.16, 0.15, and in the validation cohort were 0.17, 0.17, 0.17 (P<0.05). The NRI values of the training cohort were 0.75 at 1-year, 0.68 at 3-year and 0.67 at 5-year. The DCA curves indicated that the new model more accurately predicted 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year CSS in both training and validation cohort, because it added more net benefit than the AJCC staging system. Furthermore, the risk stratification system showed the CSS in different groups had a good regional division.

Conclusions

A comprehensive risk stratification system and nomogram were established to forecast CSS for patients of HCC with MVI.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of 90-day and 30-day mortality after liver resection in the elderly

BACKGROUND

With the aging population worldwide, the number of elderly patients presenting for liver resection because of liver malignancies is increasing. Data on the perioperative mortality in this population are limited and contradictory. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the mortality of elderly patients after hepatectomy.

METHODS

Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020 guidelines, we searched 3 databases to identify studies that investigated 30-day and 90-day mortality after hepatectomy for patients ≥65 years of age. We categorized the patients by age into 4 groups (≥65, ≥70, ≥75, and ≥80 years), which were analyzed separately for mortality. All analyses were conducted with IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows version 28.

RESULTS

Using PubMed, Embase, and Scopus, we identified 441 articles. After study selection and quality assessment, we included 66 studies consisting of 29,998 patients in the final meta-analysis. The pooled estimates for 30-day and 90-day mortality in the ≥65, ≥70, ≥75, and ≥80 age groups years were 1.3% (95% confidence interval 0.59%-2.06%), 2.8% (95% confidence interval 1.80%-3.69%), 3.0% (95% confidence interval 1.68%-4.30%), and 1.7% (95% confidence interval 1.22%-2.20%) and 2.7% (95% confidence interval 1.45%-3.87%), 2.8% (95% confidence interval 1.49%-4.02%), 5.1% (95% confidence interval 2.76%-7.42%), and 2.4% (95% confidence interval 0.60%-4.16%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis summarizes the 30-day and 90-day mortality rates after liver resection in the elderly patients. Liver resection in this population selected for surgery appears to be relatively safe. Advanced age alone may not be a sufficient exclusion criterion for surgery. These age-specific mortality data can be used to educate patients at the time of preoperative counseling.

Preoperative and postoperative nomograms for predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma without macrovascular invasion after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Postoperative early recurrence (ER) is a major obstacle to long-term survival after curative liver resection (LR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to establish preoperative and postoperative nomograms to predict ER in HCC without macrovascular invasion.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative LR for HCC between January 2012 and December 2016 were divided into training and internal prospective validation cohorts. Nomograms were constructed based on independent risk factors derived from the multivariate logistic regression analyses in the training cohort. The predictive performances of the nomograms were validated using the internal prospective validation cohort.

RESULTS

In total, 698 patients fulfilled the eligibility criteria. Among them, 265 of 482 patients (55.0%) in the training cohort and 120 of 216 (55.6%) patients in the validation cohort developed ER. The preoperative risk factors associated with ER were age, alpha-fetoprotein, tumor diameter, and tumor number, and the postoperative risk factors associated with ER were age, tumor diameter, tumor number, microvascular invasion, and differentiation. The pre- and postoperative nomograms based on these factors showed good accuracy, with concordance indices of 0.712 and 0.850 in the training cohort, respectively, and 0.754 and 0.857 in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves showed optimal agreement between the predictions by the nomograms and actual observations. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the pre- and postoperative nomograms were 0.721 and 0.848 in the training cohort, respectively, and 0.754 and 0.844 in the validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomograms constructed in this study showed good performance in predicting ER for HCC without macrovascular invasion before and after surgery. These nomograms would be helpful for doctors when determining treatments and selecting patients for regular surveillance or administration of adjuvant therapies.

The survival strength of younger patients in BCLC stage 0-B of hepatocellular carcinoma: basing on competing risk model

BACKGROUND

The number of young patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing, but whether patients of different ages have a survival advantage is unclear. This study was conducted to investigate whether age differences in the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) classification system contribute to the long-term survival outcomes of patients with HCC.

METHODS

A total of 1602 patients with HCC admitted to the Beijing Ditan Hospital was included in this study. Patients were divided into younger (≤45 years) and older (> 45 years) groups. Factors determining overall survival and progression-free survival were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses with the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression model. We calculated the cumulative incidence function using the Fine-Gray model. The effect of mortality on age was also estimated using a restricted cubic spline.

RESULTS

After matching, overall survival and progression-free survival were significantly better in younger patients than in older patients with BCLC stage 0-B (p = 0.015 and p = 0.017, respectively). In BCLC stage 0-B, all-cause mortality increased with age and increased rapidly around the age of 40 years (non-linear, p < 0.05). In BCLC stages 0-B, HCC-related and non-HCC-related deaths significantly differed between younger and older individuals (p = 0.0019).

CONCLUSION

In stage BCLC 0-B, age affects the long-term prognosis of patients.

Data driven decision-making for older patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Older age is a risk factor for the development of HCC. However, the treatment options available for older patients with HCC, their safety, efficacy and utility, are poorly understood resulting in challenging decision-making. In this review, we aim to report the best available evidence to facilitate optimal decision making for older patients with HCC. We report that surgical resection for HCC is equally safe (90-day mortality ~3%) and effective (five-year disease free survival ~40%) for older patients as it is for younger patients. Five-year survival after ablation therapy for HCC is in excess of 50% in older patients, whilst morbidity rates are in the region of 3%. Survival rates of 30% after chemoembolisation reflects its role as a non-curative treatment. Transplantation is an option that may be helpful for a minority of patients, but the high risks of in-hospital mortality and lower likelihood of receiving a transplant should be duly considered before committing to this approach. We therefore advocate an individualised assessment for older patients based on these risk profiles and probabilities of optimal outcomes. In patients with a projected life-span ≥ 3 years, and who have sufficient physiological and functional reserve, surgical resection should be the treatment of choice. Patients with a projected life-span < 3 years are better served with loco-regional therapies, and tumour size, at a threshold of 3 cm, should guide the choice between ablation and chemoembolisation therapies.

Novel Prognostic Nomograms for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with Microvascular Invasion: Experience from a Single Center

Background/Aims

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an established risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, prediction models that specifically focus on the individual prognoses of HCC patients with MVI is lacking.

Methods

A total of 385 HCC patients with MVI were randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts in a 2:1 ratio. The outcomes were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Prognostic nomograms were established based on the results of multivariate analyses. The concordance index (C-index), calibration plots and Kaplan-Meier curves were employed to evaluate the accuracy, calibration and discriminatory ability of the models.

Results

The independent risk factors for both DFS and OS included age, tumor size, tumor number, the presence of gross vascular invasion, and the presence of Glisson’s capsule invasion. The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio was another risk factor for OS. On the basis of these predictors, two nomograms for DFS and OS were constructed. The C-index values of the nomograms for DFS and OS were 0.712 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.679 to 0.745; p<0.001) and 0.698 (95% CI, 0.657 to 0.739; p<0.001), respectively, in the training cohort and 0.704 (95% CI, 0.650 to 0.708; p<0.001) and 0.673 (95% CI, 0.607 to 0.739; p<0.001), respectively, in the validation cohort. The calibration curves showed optimal agreement between the predicted and observed survival rates. The Kaplan-Meier curves suggested that these two nomograms had satisfactory discriminatory abilities.

Conclusions

These novel predictive models have satisfactory accuracy and discriminatory abilities in predicting the prognosis of HCC patients with MVI after hepatectomy.

The impact of age on post-operative liver function following right hepatectomy: a retrospective, single centre experience

BACKGROUND

An increasing number of patients undergoing liver resection are of advancing age. The impact of ageing on liver regeneration and post-operative outcomes following a major resection are uncertain. We aimed to investigate risk factors for patients who developed Post Hepatectomy Liver Failure (PHLF) following right hepatectomy with age as the primary risk-factor.

METHOD

Patients undergoing right hepatectomy between July 2004-July 2018 were included. ROC analysis was performed to identify at which age PHLF development-risk increased. Secondary endpoints were length of stay (LOS), complications, and cost.

RESULTS

332-patients were included. ROC demonstrated a cut-off age of 75-years in which PHLF risk increased. >75 there was an increased risk of PHLF (35% >75yrs vs. 7% <75yrs (p = <0.001), OR = 8.8 (95% CI = 3.6-21)) There was no difference between the age groups for any other PHLF risk factor. Patients >75yrs had longer LOS (11-days vs. 7-days (p = 0.04). Patients who developed PHLF had increased hospital costs: £10,987.50 (£6175-£46,050) vs. £2575 (£900-£46,050 p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients >75yrs have increased risk of developing PHLF after right hepatectomy, contributing to increased mortality and economic burden. Pre-operatively identifying patients at-risk of PHLF is important to consider liver volume optimization strategies and improve outcomes.

The impact of age and ageing on hepatocarcinoma surgery: Short- and long-term outcomes in a multicentre propensity-matched cohort

BACKGROUND

Management of malignancy in elderly patients is challenging. We aimed to assess the impact of age and ageing on overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), tumour-specific survival (TSS) and potential years of life lost (PYLL) after surgery for hepatocarcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Consecutive patients treated for HCC between 2005 and 2015 were evaluated. Patients were divided according to age-decade. Afterwards, elderly patients (≥75 years) were compared with patients < 75 years. A 1:1 propensity matching was used to reduce the risk of bias. Survival was estimated by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Four hundred and thirty-nine patients were stratified: group 1 (age ≤ 55, n = 72), group 2 (age: 56-65, n = 133), group 3 (age: 66-74, n = 141) and group 4 (age ≥ 75, n = 93). Group 1 had the highest median PYLL (27.6, IQR 24.6-32.5) while group 4 the lowest (2.0, IQR 0-9.6; P < 0.001). Comparing elderly vs younger, there were no significant differences in terms of OS (P = 0.054), TSS (P = 0.321) and RFS (P = 0.240). Ageing was the only variable associated with post-operative complications (OR: 2.51; 95% CI: 1.23-5.13; P = 0.025) and liver-related morbidity was an independent predictor of OS. (HR 2.49, 95% CI: 1.34-4.64, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

Ageing per se is not an absolute contraindication for liver resection, given the acceptable oncologic long-term prognosis, but the worse short-term outcomes in the elderly should induce an accurate patient selection.

Liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in oldest old patients

Background

For hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver resection is a classical curative modality, despite its technical complexity. The incidence of HCC in the oldest old people (aged ≥ 85 years) is rising along with the global increase in life expectancy. Currently, no report has addressed liver resection for HCC in this aged population.

Patients and methods

We conducted a retrospective review of 1889 patients receiving curative liver resection for newly diagnosed HCC from 1992 to 2016. At the time of operation, 1858 of them were aged < 85 years (group A), and 31 were aged ≥ 85 years (group B). Another 18 oldest old patients, whose HCC was considered resectable but were not operated on due to the patient’s refusal, served as the control group (group C). The clinicopathological characteristics and early and long-term outcomes were compared between groups A and B. All associated co-morbidities of the patients were well-treated before liver resection. The overall survival (OS) rates were also compared between groups B and C.

Result

Group B had a significantly higher incidence of associated co-morbidities and hepatitis C infection. Postoperative complication rates and 90-day mortality rates after liver resection did not differ between groups A and B (p = 0.834 and p = 1.000, respectively), though group B had a longer postoperative stay (p = 0.001). In groups A and B, the 5-year disease-free survival rates were 29.7% and 22.6% (p = 0.163), respectively, and their overall survival rates were 43.5% and 35.5% (p = 0.086). The overall survival rate of group B was significantly different from group C (35.5% vs. 0%, p = 0.001).

Conclusion

Despite a longer postoperative recovery period, liver resection for HCC in the oldest old patients may be justified if co-morbidities are well controlled.

Hepatic resection for elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review of more than 17,000 patients

BACKGROUND

With the aging population and increasing incidence of hepatic malignancies in elderly patients, establishing the safety and efficacy of hepatic resection for elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial. The present systematic review investigates postoperative morbidity, hospital mortality, median survival time, overall and disease-free survival in elderly patients with undergoing hepatic resection.

METHODS

Some databases were systematically searched for prospective or retrospective studies to reveal the safety and efficacy of hepatic resection for elderly patients with primary HCC.

RESULTS

Fifty studies involving 4,169 elderly patients and 13,158 young patients with HCC were included into analyses. Elderly group patients had similar rate of median postoperative morbidity (28.2% vs. 29.6%) but higher mortality (3.0% vs. 1.2%) with young group patients. Moreover, elderly group patients had slightly lower median survival time (55 vs. 58 months), 5-years overall survival (51% vs. 56%) and 5-years disease-free survival (27% vs. 28%) than young group patients. There was an upward trend in 5-years overall and disease-free survival in either elderly or young group.

CONCLUSION

Though old age may increase the risk of hospital mortality for patients with HCC after hepatic resection, elderly patients can obtain acceptable long-term prognoses from hepatic resection.

Surgical Treatment of Combined Hepatocellular-Cholangiocarcinoma is as Effective in Elderly Patients as it is in Younger Patients: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Aims: To compare the long-term prognosis of younger and elderly patients with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (CHC) who underwent curative resection between 1993 and 2014 at our center.

Methods: Two hundred and thirteen patients who underwent liver resection for CHC were enrolled in our study. The overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of elderly patients (age≥60, n=52) and younger patients (age<60, n=161) were compared by multivariate analysis and propensity score matching (PSM) analysis.

Results: Among the 213 CHC patients, the elderly patients had a higher rate of worse Child-Pugh grade (P=0.027), abnormal serum albumin (P<0.001) and lymphoid metastases (P=0.024). The proportion of HBV-positive CHC patients (74.6%, 159/213) was much higher than that observed in healthy cohorts. Younger patients had a higher rate of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection compared to older patients (83.9% vs 46.2%, P<0.001). OS and DFS of the elderly and younger patients before and after propensity score matching were comparable.

Conclusion: Elderly and younger patients who underwent liver resection for CHC have comparable long-term OS and DFS.

Case Report: Laparoscopic hepatectomy in an elderly patient with major comorbidities

Surgeons have been hesitant to proceed to hepatectomy in elderly patients, due to the higher rate of comorbidities and the reduced reserves. An 81-year-old male with hepatocellular carcinoma in the segment VI of the liver and several major cardiovascular, pulmonary and metabolic comorbid illnesses was referred to our department for treatment. He underwent transarterial chemoembolization of the liver tumor and afterwards he underwent laparoscopic resection of the hepatic segment VI, with an uneventful postoperative course. This case indicates that laparoscopic liver resections could be applied even to elderly patients with major comorbidities after optimization of their medical status.

Case Report: Laparoscopic hepatectomy in an elderly patient with major comorbidities

Surgeons have been hesitant to proceed to hepatectomy in elderly patients, due to the higher rate of comorbidities and the reduced reserves. An 81-year-old male with hepatocellular carcinoma in the segment VI of the liver and several major cardiovascular, pulmonary and metabolic comorbid illnesses was referred to our department for treatment. He underwent transarterial chemoembolization of the liver tumor and afterwards he underwent laparoscopic resection of the hepatic segment VI, with an uneventful postoperative course. This case indicates that laparoscopic liver resections could be applied even to elderly patients with major comorbidities after optimization of their medical status.

Radiofrequency ablation versus surgical resection in elderly patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of organ shortage

BACKGROUND/AIMS

To compare the survival benefits of surgical resection (SR) with those of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in elderly patients (≥65 years) with single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ≤5 cm.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, a total of 461 patients who underwent SR and 575 patients who underwent RFA were enrolled from 2004 to 2012. Overall survival (OS) and liver-cancer-specific survival (LCSS) comparisons were conducted between the two groups before and after propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

Elderly patients with early-stage HCC had a lower rate of utilization of liver transplantation, and they were more likely to receive SR or RFA as their first-line treatment compared with younger patients (P < 0.05). In the whole cohort, the SR group had significantly better OS [RFA, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.680 (1.390, 2.031), P < 0.001] and LCSS (RFA, HR = 1.658 (1.327, 2.070), P < 0.001) than the RFA group. After PSM, the improved survival in the SR group was further confirmed (all P < 0.001). In the subgroup analyses, according to patients' age (65-75, >75 years) and tumor size (≤3.0, 3.1-5.0 cm), the SR group still presented better OS and LCSS than the RFA group (all P < 0.05), except for those older than 75 years with tumors ≤3.0 cm (all P > 0.05), both before and after PSM.

CONCLUSION

Treatment strategies for elderly patients (≥65 years) with single HCC ≤5 cm should emphasize SR as the primary therapy, while RFA can be an alternative to SR for those> 75 years with single HCC ≤3 cm.

Nomograms for prediction of long-term survival in elderly patients after partial hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Partial hepatectomy is an important treatment for elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. However, prediction of long-term outcomes of an individual elderly patient after partial hepatectomy still is lacking. This study aimed to develop 2 nomograms to pre- or postoperatively predict overall survival for these patients.

METHODS

Of the 528 elderly patients (aged ≥65 years) who underwent partial hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma at the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital between 2008 and 2011, 425 patients served as a training cohort to develop pre- and postoperative nomograms, and the remaining 103 patients comprised a validation cohort. The Cox proportional hazards model was used for univariate and multivariable analyses of tumor recurrence and overall survival. Discrimination and calibration of the models were measured using the concordance index, calibration plots, and Kaplan-Meier curves.

RESULTS

Based on preoperative data, the independent risk factors of overall survival were age ≥75 years, Charlson score, α-fetoprotein ≥20 μg/L, hepatitis B virus-deoxyribonucleic acid ≥10⁴ IU/mL, and tumor diameter. Based on postoperative data, nonanatomic hepatectomy, absence of tumor encapsulation, and presence of microvascular invasion were additional independent risk factors. These independent predictors were incorporated into the pre- and postoperative nomograms, respectively. The concordance indexes of the 2 nomograms for overall survival prediction were 0.70 (95% confidence interval, 0.67-0.74) and 0.72 (0.69-0.78), respectively. Both nomograms accurately predicted 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival probability, and their predictive performances were optimally validated.

CONCLUSION

The proposed 2 nomograms showed good individualized predictive performance in elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma before and after partial hepatectomy.

Time-dependent impact of age and comorbidities on long-term overall survival after liver resection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Advanced age and comorbidities are known to be associated with increased perioperative risks after liver resection. However, the precise impact of these variables on long-term overall survival (OS) remains unclear. Thus, the aim of this study was to evaluate the confounder-adjusted, time-dependent effect of age and comorbidities on OS following hepatectomy for primary and secondary malignancies.

METHODS

From a prospective database of 1.143 liver resections, 763 patients treated for primary and secondary malignancies were included. For time-varying OS calculations, a Cox-Aalen model was fitted. The confounder-adjusted hazard was compared with mortality tables of the German population.

RESULTS

Overall, age (P = 0.003) and comorbidities (P = 0.001) were associated with shortened OS. However, time-dependent analysis indicated that age and comorbidities had no impact on OS within 39 and 55 months after resection respectively. From this time on, a significant decline in OS was shown. Subgroup analysis indicated an earlier increase of the effect of age in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (17 months) than in those with colorectal metastases (70 months). The confounder-adjusted hazard of 70-year-old patients was increased post-operatively but dropped 66 months after surgery, and the risk of death was comparable to the general population 78 months after resection. At this time, one-third of patients aged 70 years and older were still alive.

CONCLUSIONS

With regard to long-term outcome, liver resection for both primary and secondary malignancies should not be categorically denied due to age and comorbidities. This information should be considered for the patient selection process and informed consent.

Permanent Loss of Preoperative Independence in Elderly Patients Undergoing Hepatectomy: Key Factor in the Informed Consent Process

PURPOSE

Major (>3 segments of the liver) or minor hepatectomy has been demonstrated to provide the most definitive chance for long-term remission and disease-free survival in hepatic malignancies. However, concerns remain in regards to the ability of the elderly (>70 years old) and older (>80 years old) patients to "tolerate" this type of resection. Thus, the aim of this study was to determine the short- and long-term effects of hepatectomies in the elderly patient population.

METHODS

An Institutional Review Board approved a prospectively maintained, single-institution HPB database with 663 consecutive hepatectomies from 2003 to 2013 was reviewed. Patients were separated into elderly (>70 years old) and older. Short-term effects were defined as a 30-day morbidity/mortality, and long-term effects were defined as a 90-day morbidity/mortality and the ability to regain preoperative functional independence. Comorbidities were compared using the Charleston Comorbidity Index (CCI). The log-rank and Wilcoxon tests were used to evaluate postoperative outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 663 patients were reviewed, 480 < 70y/o, 183 were 70 or older, 104 were 75 or older, and 41 were 80 or older. Patients over 70, 75, and 80 years of age showed a higher incidence of preoperative comorbidities than younger patients when compared using CCI (P < 0.05). Non-elderly patients had more liver lesions than elderly patients (median numbers only 3 vs. 1, P = 0.005). Patients over 70, 75, and 80 years old showed a higher 90-day mortality rate patients (11, 13, 17 %, respectively) to patients less than 70, 75 and 80 (3, 5, 5 %, respectively, P < 0.05) (Table). Patients over 70, 75, and 80 years old showed increased morbidity (53, 57, 66 %, respectively) than patients less than 70, 75, and 80 (39, 34, 41 %, respectively, P < 0.05). The severity of complication in elderly patients was similar to younger patients. Patients older than 70, 75, and 80 years showed an increased incidence of discharge to rehabilitation facilities (13, 15, 17 %, respectively) than patients less than 70, 75, and 80 (2, 3, 5 %, respectively, P = <0.001). Logistic regression demonstrated a significant risk of morbidity with an inability to return to preoperative function with a CCI > 5, major hepatectomy, and >75 years of age (HR 3.8, CI 2.1-5.6) CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates an increased rate of a 30- and 90-day postoperative mortality in >75-year old patients. Permanent loss of preoperative function (i.e., ability to live independently or alone) remains a significant risk and a subset of older patients. Communicating this loss of function as well as morbidity/mortality is key to the informed consent process for older patients as well as their families.

The Kings Score refines prognostic prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma: a novel application

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There are a number of prognostic scores in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), none of which is optimal in predicting overall survival (OS) in the individual patient, particularly in intermediate stage disease, where patients are not surgically treatable but may qualify for a wide range of palliative interventions. We evaluated the prognostic role of a biochemical algorithm, the Kings Score (KS), in the palliative setting of care.

METHODS

We used the algorithm [age x AST x INR]/platelet count to derive the KS. Full clinical data including Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage were studied in a training set of 97 patients from the UK. Independent predictors of survival identified in multivariate analysis were validated in an independent cohort of 766 patients from Japan and Italy.

RESULTS

In both training and validation sets, KS was confirmed as an independent predictor of OS (P < 0.01). Ad-hoc subgroup analysis revealed the KS to be prognostic in the palliative setting, being able to subclassify patients presenting with intermediate and advanced disease according to BCLC criteria (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The KS integrates into the BCLC system to improve prognostic substratification in the palliative setting of care. The KS may help reducing disease heterogeneity and refine treatment allocation in intermediate-advanced HCC.

Thirty-day mortality leads to underestimation of postoperative death after liver resection: A novel method to define the acute postoperative period

BACKGROUND

Postoperative mortality commonly is defined as death occurring within 30 days of surgery or during hospitalization. After resection for liver malignancies, this definition may result in underreporting, because mortality caused by postoperative complications can be delayed as the result of improved critical care. The aim of this study was to estimate statistically the acute postoperative period (APP) after partial hepatectomy and to compare mortality within this phase to standard timestamps.

METHODS

From a prospective database, 784 patients undergoing resection for primary and secondary hepatic malignancies between 2003 and 2013 were reviewed. For estimation of APP, a novel statistical method applying tests for a constant postoperative hazard was implemented. Multivariable mortality analysis was performed.

RESULTS

The APP was determined to last for 80 postoperative days (95% confidence interval 40-100 days). Within this period, 55 patients died (7.0%; 80-day mortality). In comparison, 30-day mortality (N = 32, 4.0%) and in-hospital death (N = 39, 5.0%) were relevantly less. No patient died between postoperative days 80 and 90. The causes of mortality within 30 days and from days 30-80 did not greatly differ, especially regarding posthepatectomy liver failure (44% vs 39%, P = .787). Septic complications, however, tended to cause late deaths more frequently (43% vs 25%, P = .255). Comorbidities (Charlson comorbidity index ≥ 3; P = .046), increased preoperative alanine aminotransferase activity (P = .030), and major liver resection (P = .035) were independent risk factors of 80-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

After liver resection for primary and secondary malignancies, 90-day rather than 30-day or in-hospital mortality should be used to avoid underreporting of deaths.

Establishment and Validation of SSCLIP Scoring System to Estimate Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Who Received Curative Liver Resection

Background and Aims

There is no prognostic model that is reliable and practical for patients who have received curative liver resection (CLR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to establish and validate a Surgery-Specific Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (SSCLIP) scoring system for those patients.

Methods

668 eligible patients who underwent CLR for HCC from five separate tertiary hospitals were selected. The SSCLIP was constructed from a training cohort by adding independent predictors that were identified by Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to the original Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP). The prognostic performance of the SSCLIP at 12 and 36-months was compared with data from existing models. The patient survival distributions at different risk levels of the SSCLIP were also assessed.

Results

Four independent predictors were added to construct the SSCLIP, including age (HR = 1.075, 95%CI: 1.019–1.135, P = 0.009), albumin (HR = 0.804, 95%CI: 0.681–0.950, P = 0.011), prothrombin time activity (HR = 0.856, 95%CI: 0.751–0.975, P = 0.020) and microvascular invasion (HR = 19.852, 95%CI: 2.203–178.917, P = 0.008). In both training and validation cohorts, 12-month and 36-month prognostic performance of the SSCLIP were significantly better than those of the original CLIP, model of end-stage liver disease-based CLIP, Okuda and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (all P < 0.05). The stratification of risk levels of the SSCLIP showed an enhanced ability to differentiate patients with different outcomes.

Conclusions

A novel SSCLIP to predict survival of HCC patients who received CLR based on objective parameters may provide a refined, useful prognosis algorithm.