Predictors for complete pathological response for stage II and III rectal cancer following neoadjuvant therapy - A systematic review and meta-analysis

Predictors of Pathologic Non-response to Neoadjuvant Approaches in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Approximately 10-20% of rectal cancer patients do not respond to neoadjuvant treatment. While the current literature has focused on pathological complete response, pinpointing those who will fail to benefit entirely from neoadjuvant approaches is crucial.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine the risk factors associated with pathological non-response (pNR) to neoadjuvant treatment.

METHODS

Patients with stage II-III rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent neoadjuvant treatment followed by curative surgical resection between 2018 and 2023 at a high-volume center were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were divided into two cohorts (pNR and pathologic responder [pR]) based on their response to neoadjuvant therapy. The pNR group included patients with a Tumor Regression Score of grade 3 or those upstaged on the final pathological report.

RESULTS

Of the 405 patients included in this study, 53 (13%) were pNR and 352 (87%) were pR. Among patients treated with standard neoadjuvant chemoradiation, 12% were pNR compared with 14% among those treated with total neoadjuvant therapy. Significantly more patients in the pNR cohort had perineural (31% vs. 8%; p < 0.001) and lymphovascular (22% vs. 6%, p = 0.001) invasions when compared with the pR cohort. After adjusting for age, sex, clinical T stages, and clinical nodal status on multivariable analysis, the presence of extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) on pretreatment magnetic resonance imaging (odds ratio 2.08, 95% confidence interval 1.03-4.20, p = 0.04) was identified as a significant predictor of pNR.

CONCLUSION

EMVI was an independent risk factor of pNR in patients with rectal cancer. Identifying pretreatment factors that predict pNR to neoadjuvant therapy is crucial as it allows for better risk stratification and personalized treatment strategies.

Age Matters: Early-Onset Rectal Cancer Exhibits Higher Rates of Pathological Complete Response: A Retrospective Analysis of the Influence of Young Age on Treatment Success in Stage II-III Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The incidence of rectal cancer has decreased overall, but the incidence of early-onset rectal cancer (eoRC) has increased. Early-onset rectal cancer and late-onset rectal cancer (loRC) differ due to phenotypical, genetic characteristics, and higher stage presentations in eoRC. Thus, eoRC patients undergo more aggressive neoadjuvant treatments. This paper was designed to evaluate the impact of age on the pathological complete response rates in sporadic locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHODS

All patients with stage II-III rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and curative rectal resection between January 2018 and December 2023 were included and allocated to eoRC (<50 years) and loRC (≥50 years) groups based on their age at diagnosis.

RESULTS

A total of 381 patients were included (93 eoRC and 288 loRC). Preoperative radiological imaging revealed higher clinical nodal staging in the eoRC group (p = 0.002). A higher proportion of eoRC resulted in a pathological complete response compared with loRC (29% vs. 18.8%, p = 0.035). The rate of pathological complete response in eoRC and loRC did not differ between patients treated by total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) and those treated by standard chemoradiotherapy (29.2% vs. 28.6%, p = 0.95 in eoRC and 21.7% vs. 25.9%, p = 0.097 in loRC). Multivariable analysis resulted in young age of onset (odds ratio 2.68; 95% confidence interval 1.11-6.51; p = 0.029) and KRAS wildtype (odds ratio 3.37; 95% confidence interval 1.25-9.07; p = 0.016) as being independent predictors of pathological complete response.

CONCLUSIONS

Sporadic eoRC and KRAS wildtype tumors are predictive factors for pathological complete response in stage II-III rectal cancer.

What is the predictive value of pretreatment MRI characteristics for achieving a complete response after total neoadjuvant treatment in locally advanced rectal cancer?

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the value of pretreatment magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features in predicting a complete response to total neoadjuvant treatment (TNT) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

METHODS

The data of patients who received TNT were analyzed retrospectively. MRI features, including T stage, morphology, length, and volume; the presence of MR-detected extramural venous invasion (mrEMVI), the number of mrEMVI, and the diameter of the largest invaded vein; main vein mrEMVI; presence of MR-detected tumor deposits (mrTDs), the number of mrTDs, and the size of the largest mrTD; MR-detected lymph node status (mrLN); tumor distance from the anal verge; mesorectal fascia involvement (mrMRF + ); and mean apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values were recorded. Patients were classified as complete (CRs) or noncomplete responders (non-CRs) according to the pathological/clinical outcomes. For patients managed nonoperatively, a sustained clinical complete response for > 2 years was deemed a surrogate endpoint for complete response. The MRI parameters were categorized into three distinct groups: baseline, advanced, and quantitative features, and were analyzed using multivariable stepwise logistic regression. The ability to predict complete response was evaluated by comparing different combinations of MRI parameters, and performance on an "independent" dataset was estimated using bootstrapped leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV).

RESULTS

The data of 84 patients were evaluated (CRs, n = 44; non-CRs, n = 40). The optimal model, which included baseline and quantitative MRI features, achieved an area under the curve of 0.837 for predicting complete response. Selected predictors were T stage and ADC mean value. Advanced MRI features did not improve the performance of the model.

CONCLUSION

A multivariable model combining T stage and the ADC mean value can help identify LARC patients who are likely to a achieve complete response before the initiation of TNT.

Predictors of pathological complete response after total neoadjuvant treatment using short course radiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Total neoadjuvant treatment (TNT) has become a standard treatment approach for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Patients achieving pathological complete response (pCR) following TNT have better outcomes (overall survival, relapse free survival). However, not all patients treated for LARC with neoadjuvant treatment achieve pCR.

AIM

The aim of our study was to assess the rate and predictors of pCR.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective study at medical oncology unit in a tertiary care teaching hospital. All consecutive LARC patients without any evidence of distant metastasis who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery between June 2020 and January 2023 were included in the research. Pathological response to neoadjuvant treatment was assessed using Mandard grading system and response was categorized as pCR or not‑pCR. Two different standardized protocols for the neoadjuvant treatment were used: the first group was treated with induction chemotherapy followed by short course radiotherapy and the second group was treated with the RAPIDO protocol. Correlation between different studied parameters and pCR was determined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean age of the 91 included patients (46 men and 45 women) was 58.53 ± 10.3 years. Twenty (22%) were found to have a pCR (Mandard TRG1) in the operative specimen. In univariate analysis, patients less than 60 years, continuation of chemotherapy and patients treated with the induction chemotherapy followed by short course radiotherapy showed a better pCR as compared to patients treated with Rapido protocol (p = 0.043, p = 0.0001 and p = 0.021 respectively). Patients with mucinous component had low pCR rates (p = 0.021). On logistic regression analysis, chemotherapy continuation (OR = 10.27, 95% CI = 2,14-49.32), and absence of mucinous component (OR = 12.6, 95% CI = 3.1-40.32) were significant predictors of pCR. The median survival was 37.7 months.

CONCLUSION

Mucinous component and chemotherapy interruption are associated with lower pCR rates. Integrating these factors into personalized treatment algorithms may help optimize therapeutic strategies and improve outcomes for patients with LARC.

Pre-Treatment SEPTIN9 Gene Methylation Ratio Predicts Tumor Response to Total Neoadjuvant Therapy in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Background and objective: Multiple markers have been proposed, but there are no reliable pre-treatment markers that predict tumor response to total neoadjuvant therapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. The objective of this study is to evaluate the usefulness of pre-treatment SEPTIN9 gene methylation ratio as a predictor of tumor response to total neoadjuvant therapy and its correlation with tumor size and tumor stage in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. Methods: Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (T3/4 and/or N+ histologically confirmed rectal cancer) undergoing total neoadjuvant therapy were included. Tumor size and tumor stage were determined by magnetic resonance. SEPTIN9 gene methylation in plasmatic cfDNA was analyzed by droplet digital PCR at the time of diagnosis. After completing total neoadjuvant therapy, tumor response was assessed by magnetic resonance and proctoscopy. The correlation between pre-treatment SEPTIN9 gene methylation ratio, tumor size, tumor stage and tumor response was analyzed. Results: 39 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer were included. Pre-treatment SEPTIN9 gene methylation ratio (p = 0.033) and tumor size (p = 0.026), but not tumor stage, significantly correlated with tumor response to total neoadjuvant therapy. Pre-treatment SEPTIN9 gene methylation ratio also correlated with N stage (p = 0.040) and tumor size (p = 0.001), but not with T stage (p = 0.846). Conclusions: Pre-treatment SEPTIN9 gene methylation ratio correlates with tumor size and N stage and can predict tumor response to total neoadjuvant therapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

Nonoperative management of rectal cancer

The management of locally advanced rectal cancer has changed drastically in the last few decades due to improved surgical techniques, development of multimodal treatment approaches and the introduction of a watch and wait (WW) strategy. For patients with a complete response to neoadjuvant treatment, WW offers an opportunity to avoid the morbidity associated with total mesorectal excision in favor of organ preservation. Despite growing interest in WW, prospective data on the safety and efficacy of nonoperative management are limited. Challenges remain in optimizing multimodal treatment regimens to maximize tumor regression and in improving the accuracy of patient selection for WW. This review summarizes the history of treatment for rectal cancer and the development of a WW strategy. It also provides an overview of clinical considerations for patients interested in nonoperative management, including restaging strategies, WW selection criteria, surveillance protocols and long-term oncologic outcomes.

Baseline MRI predictors of successful organ preservation in the Organ Preservation in Rectal Adenocarcinoma (OPRA) trial

BACKGROUND

Prospective randomized trials have not yet identified baseline features predictive of organ preservation in locally advanced rectal cancers treated with total neoadjuvant therapy and a selective watch-and-wait strategy.

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of the OPRA trial, which randomized patients with stage II-III rectal adenocarcinoma to receive either induction or consolidation total neoadjuvant therapy. Patients were recommended for total mesorectal excision, or watch and wait based on clinical response at 8 ± 4 weeks after completing treatment. Standardized baseline clinical and radiological variables were collected prospectively. Survival outcomes, including total mesorectal excision-free survival, disease-free survival, and overall survival, were assessed by intention-to-treat analysis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate associations between baseline variables and survival outcomes.

RESULTS

Of the 324 patients randomized for the OPRA trial, 38 (11.7%) had cT4 tumours, 230 (71.0%) cN-positive disease, 101 (32.5%) mesorectal fascia involvement, and 64 (19.8%) extramural venous invasion. Several baseline features were independently associated with recommendation for total mesorectal excision on multivariable analysis: nodal disease (HR 1.66, 95% c.i. 1.12 to 2.48), extramural venous invasion (HR 1.57, 1.07 to 2.29), mesorectal fascia involvement (HR 1.45, 1.01 to 2.09), and tumour length (HR 1.11, 1.00 to 1.22). Of these, nodal disease (HR 2.02, 1.15 to 3.53) and mesorectal fascia involvement (HR 2.02, 1.26 to 3.26) also predicted worse disease-free survival. Age (HR 1.03, 1.00 to 1.06) was associated with overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Baseline MRI features, including nodal disease, extramural venous invasion, mesorectal fascia involvement, and tumour length, independently predict the likelihood of organ preservation after completion of total neoadjuvant therapy. Mesorectal fascia involvement and nodal disease are associated with disease-free survival.

Artificial intelligence measured 3D body composition to predict pathological response in rectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is moving towards total neoadjuvant therapy and potential organ preservation. Of particular interest are predictors of pathological complete response (pCR) that can guide personalized treatment. There are currently no clinical biomarkers which can accurately predict neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) response but body composition (BC) measures present as an emerging contender. The primary aim of the study was to determine if artificial intelligence (AI) derived body composition variables can predict pCR in patients with LARC.

METHODS

LARC patients who underwent NAT followed by surgery from 2012 to 2023 were identified from the Australian Comprehensive Cancer Outcomes and Research Database registry (ACCORD). A validated in-house pre-trained 3D AI model was used to measure body composition via computed tomography images of the entire Lumbar-3 vertebral level to produce a volumetric measurement of visceral fat (VF), subcutaneous fat (SCF) and skeletal muscle (SM). Multivariate analysis between patient body composition and histological outcomes was performed.

RESULTS

Of 214 LARC patients treated with NAT, 22.4% of patients achieved pCR. SM volume (P = 0.015) and age (P = 0.03) were positively associated with pCR in both male and female patients. SCF volume was associated with decreased likelihood of pCR (P = 0.059).

CONCLUSION

This is the first study in the literature utilizing AI-measured 3D Body composition in LARC patients to assess their impact on pathological response. SM volume and age were positive predictors of pCR disease in both male and female patients following NAT for LARC. Future studies investigating the impact of body composition on clinical outcomes and patients on other neoadjuvant regimens such as TNT are potential avenues for further research.

Development and multicenter validation of a multiparametric imaging model to predict treatment response in rectal cancer

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a multiparametric model to predict neoadjuvant treatment response in rectal cancer at baseline using a heterogeneous multicenter MRI dataset.

METHODS

Baseline staging MRIs (T2W (T2-weighted)-MRI, diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) / apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC)) of 509 patients (9 centres) treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) were collected. Response was defined as (1) complete versus incomplete response, or (2) good (Mandard tumor regression grade (TRG) 1-2) versus poor response (TRG3-5). Prediction models were developed using combinations of the following variable groups: (1) Non-imaging: age/sex/tumor-location/tumor-morphology/CRT-surgery interval (2) Basic staging: cT-stage/cN-stage/mesorectal fascia involvement, derived from (2a) original staging reports, or (2b) expert re-evaluation (3) Advanced staging: variables from 2b combined with cTN-substaging/invasion depth/extramural vascular invasion/tumor length (4) Quantitative imaging: tumour volume + first-order histogram features (from T2W-MRI and DWI/ADC) Models were developed with data from 6 centers (n = 412) using logistic regression with the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selector Operator (LASSO) feature selection, internally validated using repeated (n = 100) random hold-out validation, and externally validated using data from 3 centers (n = 97).

RESULTS

After external validation, the best model (including non-imaging and advanced staging variables) achieved an area under the curve of 0.60 (95%CI=0.48-0.72) to predict complete response and 0.65 (95%CI=0.53-0.76) to predict a good response. Quantitative variables did not improve model performance. Basic staging variables consistently achieved lower performance compared to advanced staging variables.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall model performance was moderate. Best results were obtained using advanced staging variables, highlighting the importance of good-quality staging according to current guidelines. Quantitative imaging features had no added value (in this heterogeneous dataset).

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Predicting tumour response at baseline could aid in tailoring neoadjuvant therapies for rectal cancer. This study shows that image-based prediction models are promising, though are negatively affected by variations in staging quality and MRI acquisition, urging the need for harmonization.

KEY POINTS

This multicenter study combining clinical information and features derived from MRI rendered disappointing performance to predict response to neoadjuvant treatment in rectal cancer. Best results were obtained with the combination of clinical baseline information and state-of-the-art image-based staging variables, highlighting the importance of good quality staging according to current guidelines and staging templates. No added value was found for quantitative imaging features in this multicenter retrospective study. This is likely related to acquisition variations, which is a major problem for feature reproducibility and thus model generalizability.

Clinical predictors of rectal cancer response after neo-adjuvant (Chemo)Radiotherapy in Australia and New Zealand: Analysis of the Bi-National Colorectal Cancer Audit (BCCA)

Pathological complete response (pCR) is observed in 11-26% of locally advanced rectal cancers undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). This study aims to determine pCR rates and clinicopathological predictors in the Australian and New Zealand (ANZ) cohort. The Bi-National Colorectal Cancer Audit (BCCA) was interrogated for all rectal cancer patients who underwent nCRT prior to surgical resection between 2007 and 2020. Patients were divided in two groups: pCR (AJCC tumour regression grade 0) and partial/no response (pPR, regression grade 1,2 or 3). In total, 3230 patients were included. Rates of pCR and pPR were 704 (21.8%) and 2526 (78.2%), respectively. Long-course nCRT (p < 0.0001), lower clinical tumour stage (cT; p < 0.0001), and nodal stage (cN; p = 0.003) were associated with pCR on univariate analysis. On multivariable analysis, cN0 stage and long-course nCRT remained independent factors for a pCR. Awareness of these predictors provides valuable information when counseling patients regarding prognosis and treatment options.

Nonoperative Management of dMMR/MSI-H Colorectal Cancer following Neoadjuvant Immunotherapy: A Narrative Review

Immunotherapy with PD-1 blockade has achieved a great success in colorectal cancers (CRCs) with high microsatellite instability (MSI-H) and deficient mismatch repair (dMMR), and has become the first-line therapy in metastatic setting. Studies of neoadjuvant immunotherapy also report exciting results, showing high rates of clinical complete response (cCR) and pathological complete response. The high efficacy and long duration of response of immunotherapy has prompt attempts to adopt watch-and-wait strategy for patients achieving cCR following the treatment. Thankfully, the watch-and-wait approach has been proposed for nearly 20 years for patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy and has gained ground among patients as well as clinicians. In this narrative review, we combed through the available information on immunotherapy for CRC and on the watch-and-wait strategy in chemoradiotherapy, and looked forward to a future where neoadjuvant immunotherapy as a curative therapy would play a big part in the treatment of MSI-H/dMMR CRC.

Is Nonoperative Management of Rectal Cancer Feasible?

During the past decade, the treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) has become more complex. Total neoadjuvant treatment (TNT) has increased the rates of both clinical and pathologic complete response, resulting in improved long-term oncological outcomes. The feasibility to implement nonoperative management (NOM) depends on solving current challenges such as how to correctly identify the best candidates for a NOM without compromising oncologic safety. NOM should be part of the treatment discussion of LARC, considering increasing rates of clinical complete response, potential quality of life gains, avoidance of surgical morbidity, and patient preferences.

Validated Pretreatment Prediction Models for Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Patients with Rectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal

Pretreatment response prediction is crucial to select those patients with rectal cancer who will benefit from organ preservation strategies following (intensified) neoadjuvant therapy and to avoid unnecessary toxicity in those who will not. The combination of individual predictors in multivariable prediction models might improve predictive accuracy. The aim of this systematic review was to summarize and critically appraise validated pretreatment prediction models (other than radiomics-based models or image-based deep learning models) for response to neoadjuvant therapy in patients with rectal cancer and provide evidence-based recommendations for future research. MEDLINE via Ovid, Embase.com, and Scopus were searched for eligible studies published up to November 2022. A total of 5006 studies were screened and 16 were included for data extraction and risk of bias assessment using Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). All selected models were unique and grouped into five predictor categories: clinical, combined, genetics, metabolites, and pathology. Studies generally included patients with intermediate or advanced tumor stages who were treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Evaluated outcomes were pathological complete response and pathological tumor response. All studies were considered to have a high risk of bias and none of the models were externally validated in an independent study. Discriminative performances, estimated with the area under the curve (AUC), ranged per predictor category from 0.60 to 0.70 (clinical), 0.78 to 0.81 (combined), 0.66 to 0.91 (genetics), 0.54 to 0.80 (metabolites), and 0.71 to 0.91 (pathology). Model calibration outcomes were reported in five studies. Two collagen feature-based models showed the best predictive performance (AUCs 0.83-0.91 and good calibration). In conclusion, some pretreatment models for response prediction in rectal cancer show encouraging predictive potential but, given the high risk of bias in these studies, their value should be evaluated in future, well-designed studies.

Circumferential Resection Margin as Predictor of Nonclinical Complete Response in Nonoperative Management of Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Short-course radiation therapy and consolidation chemotherapy with nonoperative intent has emerged as a novel treatment paradigm for patients with rectal cancer, but there are no data on the predictors of clinical complete response.

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate the predictors of clinical complete response and survival.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

SETTINGS

National Cancer Institute-designated cancer center.

PATIENTS

Patients with stage I to III rectal adenocarcinoma treated between January 2018 and May 2019 (n = 86).

INTERVENTIONS

Short-course radiation therapy followed by consolidation chemotherapy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Logistic regression was performed to assess for predictors of clinical complete response. The end points included local regrowth-free survival, regional control, distant metastasis-free survival, and overall survival.

RESULTS

A positive (+) circumferential resection margin by MRI at diagnosis was a significant predictor of nonclinical complete response (OR: 4.1, p = 0.009) when adjusting for CEA level and primary tumor size. Compared to patients with a negative (-) pathologic circumferential resection margin, patients with a positive (+) pathologic circumferential resection margin had inferior local regrowth-free survival (29% vs 87%, p < 0.001), regional control (57% vs 94%, p < 0.001), distant metastasis-free survival (43% vs 95%, p < 0.001), and overall survival (86% vs 95%, p < 0.001) at 2 years. However, the (+) and (-) circumferential resection margin by MRI subgroups in patients who had a clinical complete response both had similar regional control, distant metastasis-free survival, and overall survival of more than 90% at 2 years.

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective design, modest sample size, short follow-up, and the heterogeneity of treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

Circumferential resection margin involvement by MRI at diagnosis is a strong predictor of nonclinical complete response. However, patients who achieve a clinical complete response after short-course radiation therapy and consolidation chemotherapy with nonoperative intent have excellent clinical outcomes regardless of the initial circumferential resection margin status. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/C190 .

EL MARGEN DE RESECCIN CIRCUNFERENCIAL COMO PREDICTOR NO CLNICO DE RESPUESTA COMPLETA EN EL MANEJO CONSERVADOR DEL CNCER DE RECTO

ANTECEDENTES:La radioterapia de corta duración y la quimioterapia de consolidación en el manejo conservador, han surgido como un nuevo paradigma de tratamiento, para los pacientes con cáncer de recto, lastimosamente no hay datos definitivos sobre los predictores de una respuesta clínica completa.OBJETIVO:Evaluar los predictores de respuesta clínica completa y de la sobrevida.DISEÑO:Estudio retrospectivo de cohortes.AJUSTES:Centro oncológico designado por el NCI.PACIENTES:Adenocarcinomas de recto estadio I-III tratados entre 01/2018 y 05/2019 (n = 86).INTERVENCIONES:Radioterapia de corta duración seguida de quimioterapia de consolidación.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Se realizó una regresión logística para evaluar los predictores de respuesta clínica completa. Los criterios de valoración incluyeron la sobrevida libre de recidiva local, el control regional, la sobrevida libre de metástasis a distancia y la sobrevida general.RESULTADOS:Un margen de resección circunferencial positivo (+) evaluado por imagenes de resonancia magnética nuclear en el momento del diagnóstico fue un predictor no clínico muy significativo de respuesta completa (razón de probabilidades/ OR: 4,1, p = 0,009) al ajustar el nivel de antígeno carcinoembrionario y el tamaño del tumor primario. Comparando con los pacientes que presetaban un margen de resección circunferencial patológico negativo (-), los pacientes con un margen de resección circunferencial patológico positivo (+) tuvieron una sobrevida libre de recidiva local (29% frente a 87%, p < 0,001), un control regional (57% frente a 94%, p < 0,001), una sobrevida libre de metástasis a distancia (43% frente a 95%, p < 0,001) y una sobrevida global (86% frente a 95%, p < 0,001) inferior en 2 años de seguimiento. Sin embargo, los subgrupos de margen de resección circunferencial (+) y (-) evaluados por imágenes de resonancia magnética nuclear en pacientes que tuvieron una respuesta clínica completa tuvieron un control regional similar, una sobrevida libre de metástasis a distancia y una sobrevida general >90% en 2 años de seguimiento.LIMITACIONES:Diseño retrospectivo, tamaño modesto de la muestra, seguimiento corto y heterogeneidad de tratamientos.CONCLUSIONES:La afectación del margen de resección circunferencial evaluado por resonancia magnética nuclear al momento del diagnóstico es un fuerte factor predictivo no clínico de respuesta completa. Sin embargo, los pacientes que logran una respuesta clínica completa después de un curso corto de radioterapia y quimioterapia de consolidación como manejo conservador tienen excelentes resultados clínicos independientemente del estado del margen de resección circunferencial inicial. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/C190 . (Traducción-Dr. Xavier Delgadillo ).

Does Sarcopenia Predict Local Response Rates After Chemoradiotherapy for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer?

BACKGROUND

The predictive value of sarcopenia for tumor response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the association between sarcopenia and pathological tumor regression grade after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study from a prospectively collected database. Univariate logistic regression was performed to assess the association between sarcopenia and tumor response.

SETTINGS

This study was conducted at 2 tertiary care centers.

PATIENTS

Participants were patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer (T3/4, N0/+) between 2007 and 2018.

INTERVENTION

Sarcopenia was diagnosed using sex-specific cutoffs of lean muscle mass. Using the initial staging CT, lean muscle mass was estimated using the cross-sectional area of the psoas muscle at the level of the third lumbar vertebra, normalized for patient height.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary end point was pathological tumor regression grade, defined as good (tumor regression grade 0/1) vs poor (tumor regression grade 2/3).

RESULTS

The study included 167 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer with a median age of 60 (20-91) years, with 132 in the nonsarcopenia group and 35 in the sarcopenia group. Eighty-nine percent of patients had stage 3 cancer. Nine patients (5.4%) had a complete clinical response, 1 patient did not respond to treatment and opted for nonoperative management, and the remaining 157 patients (94.0%) proceeded to surgery. Pathological data revealed no significant difference between good tumor regression grade patients in the sarcopenia group compared with the nonsarcopenia group. Univariate analysis revealed BMI ≥25 kg/m 2 to be a risk factor for good tumor regression grade ( p = 0.002).

LIMITATIONS

This study was limited by its retrospective design and small sample size.

CONCLUSIONS

Sarcopenia is not a predictor of poor neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy response in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. Increasing BMI was associated with good tumor regression grade. Future multicentered studies are warranted to validate this finding. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/C78 .

LA SARCOPENIA PREDICE LAS TASAS DE RESPUESTA LOCAL DESPUS DE LA QUIMIORRADIOTERAPIA PARA EL CNCER DE RECTO LOCALMENTE AVANZADO

ANTECEDENTES:El valor predictivo de la sarcopenia para la respuesta tumoral a la quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante no está claro.OBJETIVO:Este estudio investiga la asociación entre la sarcopenia y el grado de regresión tumoral patológica después de la quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante en pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado.DISEÑO:Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo a partir de una base de datos recolectada prospectivamente. Se realizó una regresión logística univariante para evaluar la asociación entre la sarcopenia y la respuesta tumoral.ENTORNO CLINICO:Este estudio se realizó en dos centros de atención terciaria.PACIENTES:Pacientes sometidos a quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante por cáncer de recto localmente avanzado (T3/4, N0/+) entre 2007-2018.INTERVENCIÓNES:La sarcopenia se diagnosticó utilizando puntos de corte de masa muscular magra específicos por género. Utilizando la tomografía computarizada de estadificación inicial, se estimó la masa muscular magra utilizando el área transversal del músculo psoas a nivel de la tercera vértebra lumbar, normalizada para la altura del paciente.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VALORACIÓN:El criterio principal de valoración fue el grado de regresión tumoral patológica, definido como bueno (grado de regresión tumoral 0/1) frente a malo (grado de regresión tumoral 2/3).RESULTADOS:El estudio incluyó a 167 pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado con una mediana de edad de 60 años (20-91), 132 en el grupo sin sarcopenia y 35 en el grupo con sarcopenia. Ochenta y nueve por ciento estaban en etapa III. Seis pacientes (5,4%) tuvieron respuesta clínica completa sostenida, un paciente no respondió al tratamiento y optó por manejo conservador, los 157 restantes (94,0%) procedieron a cirugía. Los datos patológicos no revelaron diferencias significativas entre los pacientes con buen grado de regresión tumoral en el grupo de sarcopenia en comparación con el grupo sin sarcopenia. El análisis univariado reveló que un IMC ≥25 kg/m2 era un factor de riesgo para un buen grado de regresión tumoral (p = 0,002).LIMITACIONES:Este estudio estuvo limitado por su diseño retrospectivo y tamaño de muestra pequeño.CONCLUSIÓNES:La sarcopenia no es un predictor de mala respuesta a la quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante en pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado. El aumento del IMC se asoció con un buen grado de regresión tumoral. Se justifican futuros estudios multicéntricos para validar este hallazgo. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/C78 . (Traducción-Dr. Ingrid Melo ).

Metabolically Active Zones Involving Fatty Acid Elongation Delineated by DESI-MSI Correlate with Pathological and Prognostic Features of Colorectal Cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second leading cause of cancer deaths. Despite recent advances, five-year survival rates remain largely unchanged. Desorption electrospray ionization mass spectrometry imaging (DESI) is an emerging nondestructive metabolomics-based method that retains the spatial orientation of small-molecule profiles on tissue sections, which may be validated by ‘gold standard’ histopathology. In this study, CRC samples were analyzed by DESI from 10 patients undergoing surgery at Kingston Health Sciences Center. The spatial correlation of the mass spectral profiles was compared with histopathological annotations and prognostic biomarkers. Fresh frozen sections of representative colorectal cross sections and simulated endoscopic biopsy samples containing tumour and non-neoplastic mucosa for each patient were generated and analyzed by DESI in a blinded fashion. Sections were then hematoxylin and eosin (H and E) stained, annotated by two independent pathologists, and analyzed. Using PCA/LDA-based models, DESI profiles of the cross sections and biopsies achieved 97% and 75% accuracies in identifying the presence of adenocarcinoma, using leave-one-patient-out cross validation. Among the m/z ratios exhibiting the greatest differential abundance in adenocarcinoma were a series of eight long-chain or very-long-chain fatty acids, consistent with molecular and targeted metabolomics indicators of de novo lipogenesis in CRC tissue. Sample stratification based on the presence of lympovascular invasion (LVI), a poor CRC prognostic indicator, revealed the abundance of oxidized phospholipids, suggestive of pro-apoptotic mechanisms, was increased in LVI-negative compared to LVI-positive patients. This study provides evidence of the potential clinical utility of spatially-resolved DESI profiles to enhance the information available to clinicians for CRC diagnosis and prognosis.

Expression Levels of GHRH-Receptor, pAkt and Hsp90 Predict 10-Year Overall Survival in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Background: Rectal cancer constitutes nearly one-third of all colorectal cancer diagnoses, and certain clinical and molecular markers have been studied as potential prognosticators of patient survival. The main objective of our study was to investigate the relationship between the expression intensities of certain proteins, including growth-hormone-releasing hormone receptor (GHRH-R), Hsp90, Hsp16.2, p-Akt and SOUL, in specimens of locally advanced rectal cancer patients, as well as the time to metastasis and 10-year overall survival (OS) rates. We also investigated whether these outcome measures were associated with the presence of other clinical parameters. Methods: In total, 109 patients were investigated retrospectively. Samples of pretreatment tumors were stained for the proteins GHRH-R, Hsp90, Hsp16.2, p-Akt and SOUL using immunhistochemistry methods. Kaplan–Meier curves were used to show the relationships between the intensity of expression of biomarkers, clinical parameters, the time to metastasis and the 10-year OS rate. Results: High levels of p-Akt, GHRH-R and Hsp90 were associated with a significantly decreased 10-year OS rate (p = 0.001, p = 0.000, p = 0.004, respectively) and high expression levels of p-Akt and GHRH-R were correlated with a significantly shorter time to metastasis. Tumors localized in the lower third of the rectum were linked to both a significantly longer time to metastasis and an improved 10-year OS rate. Conclusions: Hsp 90, pAkt and GHRH-R as well as the lower-third localization of the tumor were predictive of the 10-year OS rate in locally advanced rectal cancer patients. The GHRH-R and Hsp90 expression levels were independent prognosticators of OS. Our results imply that GHRH-R could play a particularly important role both as a molecular biomarker and as a target for the anticancer treatment of advanced rectal cancer.

Total Neoadjuvant Therapy Is a Predictor for Complete Pathological Response in Patients Undergoing Surgery for Rectal Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) is a new therapeutic strategy in patients with rectal cancer. We examined the role of TNT, in addition to other pre-operative factors, as a predictor for pathologic complete response (pCR).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of all rectal cancer patients who underwent surgery between 2016 and 2021 was conducted. Patients were classified into two groups-pCR group and residual tumor group. Patient data were reviewed and entered into univariate and multivariate analyses to determine predictors of pCR.

RESULTS

A total of 172 patients were treated with neoadjuvant therapy and underwent surgery during the study period. Sixty patients (34.9%) were treated with TNT while 112 (65.1%) were treated with traditional neoadjuvant chemoradiation. The overall pCR rate was 25.6% (44 patients), with 31.6% (19 patients) in patients who received TNT compared to 22.3% (25 patients) in patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT). Univariate analysis of clinical and radiological factors correlated with pCR demonstrated no significant differences between the two groups in cT stage (p = 0.46), cN stage (p = 0.52), positive circumferential resection margin (CRM) (p = 0.72), tumor location (p = 0.35), symptomatic presentation (p = 0.09), and anal sphincter involvement (p = 0.68). Multivariate logistic analysis demonstrated that only pre-operative TNT (OR:2.35; 95% CI 1.06-5.25; p = 0.03) was predictive of pCR, while extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) was a predictor for lower rates of pCR (OR: 0.28; 95% CI 0.09-0.9; p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

Rectal cancer patients undergoing TNT prior to surgery have a higher chance of developing a complete pathologic response. Evaluation of this therapy should be continued and extended to larger numbers of patients to see if the differences we observed are real.

[Organ preservation for rectal cancer: What are the arguments in favor of radiotherapy?]

Standard care for rectal cancers relies on both tumor (location relative to the sphincter, T and N stage, sphincter involvement) and patients characteristics. Radical surgery (total mesorectal excision) following short-course radiotherapy (RT) or standard chemo-radiotherapy, associated with induction or consolidation chemotherapy (total neoadjuvant treatment), remains the cornerstone of locally advanced rectal cancer (T3cd, T4 and/or N+) treatment. Nevertheless, for early stages, this radical resection could be avoided in favor of conservative approaches combining RT (external, contact, brachytherapy) with or without chemotherapy (concurrent, induction or consolidative), or even be limited, for good responders, to a local excision with view of organ-preservation strategies. This conservative approach could also be offered selectively to patients with complete clinical response after the induction sequence, irrespective of initial tumor characteristics. The Watch and Wait strategy relies on clinical, endoscopic and radiological evaluations, as well as sustained surveillance. Ongoing studies aim to improve response rates, either with chemotherapy intensification, or RT boost dose escalation with brachytherapy or contact-therapy.

Nonoperative Management for Rectal Cancer

The treatment algorithm for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) has increased in complexity over the past 10 years. Nonoperative management (NOM) for rectal cancer in patients with clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant therapy has been gaining acceptance as a potential treatment option for selected LARC patients. The current challenge is to accurately select the patients with an apparent cCR, thereby correctly identifying those would-be appropriate candidates for a NOM strategy. NOM should be part of the treatment discussion of LARC, considering increasing rates of cCR, patient preference, potential quality of life gains, and the potential avoidance of surgical morbidity.

Exome and Tissue-Associated Microbiota as Predictive Markers of Response to Neoadjuvant Treatment in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

The clinical and pathological responses to multimodal neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced rectal cancers (LARCs) remain unpredictable, and robust biomarkers are still lacking. Recent studies have shown that tumors present somatic molecular alterations related to better treatment response, and it is also clear that tumor-associated bacteria are modulators of chemotherapy and immunotherapy efficacy, therefore having implications for long-term survivorship and a good potential as the biomarkers of outcome. Here, we performed whole exome sequencing and 16S ribosomal RNA (rRNA) amplicon sequencing from 44 pre-treatment LARC biopsies from Argentinian and Brazilian patients, treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy or total neoadjuvant treatment, searching for predictive biomarkers of response (responders, n = 17; non-responders, n = 27). In general, the somatic landscape of LARC was not capable to predict a response; however, a significant enrichment in mutational signature SBS5 was observed in non-responders (p = 0.0021), as well as the co-occurrence of APC and FAT4 mutations (p < 0.05). Microbiota studies revealed a similar alpha and beta diversity of bacteria between response groups. Yet, the linear discriminant analysis (LDA) of effect size indicated an enrichment of Hungatella, Flavonifractor, and Methanosphaera (LDA score ≥3) in the pre-treatment biopsies of responders, while non-responders had a higher abundance of Enhydrobacter, Paraprevotella (LDA score ≥3) and Finegoldia (LDA score ≥4). Altogether, the evaluation of these biomarkers in pre-treatment biopsies could eventually predict a neoadjuvant treatment response, while in post-treatment samples, it could help in guiding non-operative treatment strategies.

Clinical Complete Response in Patients With Rectal Adenocarcinoma Treated With Short-Course Radiation Therapy and Nonoperative Management

PURPOSE

This study aimed to determine the clinical efficacy and safety of nonoperative management (NOM) for patients with rectal cancer with a clinical complete response (cCR) after short-course radiation therapy and consolidation chemotherapy.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patients with stage I-III rectal adenocarcinoma underwent short-course radiation therapy followed by consolidation chemotherapy between January 2018 and May 2019 (n = 90). Clinical response was assessed by digital rectal examination, pelvic magnetic resonance imaging, and endoscopy. Of the patients with an evaluable initial response, those with a cCR (n = 43) underwent NOM, and those with a non-cCR (n = 43) underwent surgery. The clinical endpoints included local regrowth-free survival, regional control, distant metastasis-free survival, disease-free survival, and overall survival.

RESULTS

Compared with patients with an initial cCR, patients with initial non-cCR had more advanced T and N stage (P = .05), larger primary tumors (P = .002), and more circumferential resection margin involvement on diagnostic magnetic resonance imaging (P < .001). With a median follow-up of 30.1 months, the persistent cCR rate was 79% (30 of 38 patients) in the NOM cohort. The 2-year local regrowth-free survival was 81% (95% confidence interval [CI], 70%-94%) in the initial cCR group, and all patients with local regrowth were successfully salvaged. Compared with those with a non-cCR, patients with a cCR had improved 2-year regional control (98% [95% CI, 93%-100%] vs 85% [95% CI, 74%-97%], P = .02), distant metastasis-free survival (100% [95% CI, 100%-100%] vs 80% [95% CI, 69%-94%], P < .01), disease-free survival (98% [95% CI, 93%-100%] vs 71% [95% CI, 59%-87%], P < .01), and overall survival (100% [95% CI, 100%-100%] vs 88% [95% CI, 79%-98%], P = .02). No late grade 3+ gastrointestinal or genitourinary toxicities were observed in the patients who underwent continued NOM.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-course radiation therapy followed by consolidation chemotherapy may be a feasible organ preservation strategy in rectal cancer. Additional prospective studies are necessary to evaluate the safety and efficacy of this approach.

Predicting pathological response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: a systematic review

Introduction: Pathological complete response (pCR) rates of approximately 20% following neoadjuvant long-course chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer have given rise to non-operative or watch-and-wait (W&W) management. To improve outcomes there has been significant research into predictors of response. The goal is to optimize selection for W&W, avoid chemoradiotherapy in those who won't benefit and improve treatment to maximize the clinical complete response (cCR) rate and the number of patients who can be considered for W&W.Areas covered: A systematic review of articles published 2008-2018 and indexed in PubMed, Embase or Medline was performed to identify predictors of pathological response (including pCR and recognized tumor regression grades) to fluoropyrimidine-based chemoradiotherapy in patients who underwent total mesorectal excision for rectal cancer. Evidence for clinical, biomarker and radiological predictors is discussed as well as potential future directions.Expert opinion: Our current ability to predict the response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer is very limited. cCR of 40% has been achieved with total neoadjuvant therapy. If neoadjuvant treatment for rectal cancer continues to improve it is possible that the treatment for rectal cancer may eventually parallel that of anal squamous cell carcinoma, with surgery reserved for the minority of patients who don't respond to chemoradiotherapy.

Omission of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Rectal Cancer Patients with Pathologic Complete Response: a National Analysis

BACKGROUND

An increasing number of patients achieve a pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation for locally advanced rectal cancer. Consensus guidelines continue to recommend oncologic resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy in these patients. We hypothesize that there is significant variability in compliance with this recommendation.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was queried from 2006 to 2015 for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by oncologic resection with a pCR (ypT0N0). Hierarchical logistic regression models were used to generate risk and reliability-adjusted rates of adjuvant chemotherapy utilization in patients with pCR at each hospital.

RESULTS

In total, 2421 pCR patients were identified. Five-year overall survival was improved in pCR patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy compared with those who did not (92 vs. 85%, p < 0.01). Multivariate analysis indicated that improvement in overall survival remained associated with adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.44-0.82, p < 0.01). The mean adjuvant chemotherapy utilization rate among hospitals was 32%. There was an upward trend in use over the past decade, but two-thirds still do not receive the recommended therapy. High chemotherapy utilizer hospitals were more likely to be academic centers (54.9 vs. 45.9%, p < 0.01) when compared with low chemotherapy utilizers.

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant chemotherapy is associated with improved survival in rectal cancer patients with pCR following neoadjuvant chemoradiation and oncologic resection. However, utilization among centers in the USA was only 32% with significant variability across centers. National efforts are needed to standardize treatment patterns according to national guidelines.

A Comprehensive Evaluation of Associations Between Routinely Collected Staging Information and The Response to (Chemo)Radiotherapy in Rectal Cancer

Simple Summary

Rectal cancer patients are often treated with radiotherapy, either alone or combined with chemotherapy, prior to surgery to enable radical surgery on a non-resectable tumor or to lower the recurrence risk. For some patients, the tumor disappears completely after preoperative treatment, while others experience little or no benefit. Accurate prediction of therapy response before treatment is of great importance for a personalized treatment approach and intentional organ preservation. We performed a comprehensive evaluation of the predictive capacity of all routinely collected staging information at diagnosis in a population-based, completely staged patient material of 383 patients representing a real-life clinical situation. Size or stage of the rectal tumor were independent predictors of excellent response irrespective of preoperative treatment, with small/early-stage tumors being significantly more likely to reach a complete response. Levels of the tumor marker carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) above upper normal limit halved the chance of response.

Abstract

Radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) are frequently used in rectal cancer, sometimes resulting in complete tumor remission (CR). The predictive capacity of all clinical factors, laboratory values and magnetic resonance imaging parameters performed in routine staging was evaluated to understand what determines an excellent response to RT/CRT. A population-based cohort of 383 patients treated with short-course RT (5 × 5 Gy in one week, scRT), CRT, or scRT with chemotherapy (scRT+CT) and having either had a delay to surgery or been entered into a watch-and-wait program were included. Complete staging according to guidelines was performed and associations between investigated variables and CR rates were analyzed in univariate and multivariate analyses. In total, 17% achieved pathological or clinical CR, more often after scRT+CT and CRT than after scRT (27%, 18% and 8%, respectively, p < 0.001). Factors independently associated with CR included clinical tumor stage, small tumor size (<3 cm), tumor level, and low CEA-value (<3.8 μg/L). Size or stage of the rectal tumor were associated with excellent response in all therapy groups, with small or early stage tumors being significantly more likely to reach CR (p = 0.01 (scRT), p = 0.01 (CRT) and p = 0.02 (scRT+CT). Elevated level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) halved the chance of response. Extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) and mucinous character may indicate less response to RT alone.

Organ Preservation in Rectal Cancer

A proportion of patients with rectal cancer who undergo neoadjuvant treatment end up with a complete pathological response. Because these patients have excellent oncological outcomes, many have questioned if surgical treatment in this population constitutes overtreatment. There is growing interest in watch and wait with selective organ preservation for rectal cancer patients. We review the fundamentals and key considerations of this approach including patient selection, available treatment regimens, assessment of response, long-term monitoring of response, and long-term oncological and functional outcomes.

Long non-coding RNA HOTAIR as a competitive endogenous RNA to sponge miR-206 to promote colorectal cancer progression by activating CCL2

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the common malignant tumors, the incidence of which is on rise. LncHOTAIR, considered as an oncogene, contributed to the progression of a lot of cancers. However, the molecular mechanism and biological functions of the HOTAIR/miR-206/CCL2 axis have not been reported before. Here, our research aimed to explore HOTAIR/miR-206/CCL2 axis in CRC to demonstrate its role in predicting the poor prognosis of CRC. LncHOTAIR, miR-206 and CCL2 mRNA were detected in CRC tissues and cells by RT-PCR. The interactions among LncHOTAIR, miR-206 and CCL2 were explored by luciferase reporter assay, qRT-PCR, western blot and RNA interfere. Flow Cytometry Cell Analysis was performed to detect cell cycle and apoptosis as well as colony assay was prepared to test the cell proliferation. Immunohistochemical analysis was used to detect the CCL2 protein in CRC tissues. In our study, silence of LncHOTAIR by RNA interference could suppress the proliferation, migration and invasion of CRC cells. Mechanistically, LncHOTAIR downregulated miR-206 abundance which indicated that LncHOTAIR was considered as a competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) by directly sponging miR-206 in CRC cells. In addition, further exploration suggested that miR-206 could inhibit the function of the downstream CCL2, the expression of which was repressed by LncHOTAIR/miR-206 signaling. Furthermore, we verified that the overexpression of CCL2 attenuated CRC cell proliferation, migration, invasion. Overall, this study firstly elucidated that LncHOTAIR played as oncogene in CRC via directly sponging miR-206 to activate the downstream CCL2, which would be considered as the novel therapeutic target in CRC.