1
|
Fuchs G, Efrat-Treister D, Westphal M. When, where, and with whom during crisis: The effect of risk perceptions and psychological distance on travel intentions. TOURISM MANAGEMENT 2024; 100:104809. [PMID: 37387777 PMCID: PMC10290809 DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2023.104809] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2022] [Revised: 05/04/2023] [Accepted: 06/05/2023] [Indexed: 07/01/2023]
Abstract
We investigate how risk perceptions and psychological distance impacted people's travel intentions during Covid-19. Our findings reveal that traveling to a high-risk destination increased people's risk perceptions of Covid-19, and their risk perceptions at the destination, which, in turn, reduced people's travel intentions. We identify temporal, spatial, and social distance (the "when, where, and with whom" of traveling) as moderators of these effects; while social distance moderates the effect of risk, on risk perceptions, temporal and spatial distance moderate the effect of risk perceptions on travel intentions. We outline theoretical contributions and implications for tourism during crisis.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Galia Fuchs
- Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Tourism and Leisure Management, Guilford Glazer Faculty of Business and Management, Beer-Sheva, Israel
| | - Dorit Efrat-Treister
- Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Management, Guilford Glazer Faculty of Business and Management, Beer-Sheva, Israel
| | - Monika Westphal
- Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Management, Guilford Glazer Faculty of Business and Management, Beer-Sheva, Israel
- University of Cologne, Supply Chain Management Area, Cologne, Germany
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Xiang W, Wang Z, Pan X, Liu X, Yan X, Chen L. The balance between traffic control and economic development in tourist cities under the context of COVID-19: A case study of Xi'an, China. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0295950. [PMID: 38289928 PMCID: PMC10826945 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0295950] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2023] [Accepted: 12/03/2023] [Indexed: 02/01/2024] Open
Abstract
Selecting an appropriate intensity of epidemic prevention and control measures is of vital significance to promoting the two-way dynamic coordination of epidemic prevention and control and economic development. In order to balance epidemic control and economic development and suggest scientific and reasonable traffic control measures, this paper proposes a SEIQR model considering population migration and the propagation characteristics of the exposed and the asymptomatic, based on the data of COVID-19 cases, Baidu Migration, and the tourist economy. Further, the factor traffic control intensity is included in the model. After determining the functional relationship between the control intensity and the number of tourists and the cumulative number of confirmed cases, the NSGA-II algorithm is employed to perform multi-objective optimization with consideration of the requirements for epidemic prevention and control and for economic development to get an appropriate traffic control intensity and suggest scientific traffic control measures. With Xi'an City as an example. The results show that the Pearson correlation coefficient between the predicted data of this improved model and the actual data is 0.996, the R-square in the regression analysis is 0.993, with a significance level of below 0.001, suggesting that the predicted data of the model are more accurate. With the continuous rise of traffic control intensity in different simulation scenarios, the cumulative number of cases decreases by a significant amplitude. While balancing the requirements for epidemic prevention and control and for tourist economy development, the model works out the control intensity to be 0.68, under which some traffic control measures are suggested. The model presented in this paper can be used to analyze the impacts of different traffic control intensities on epidemic transmission. The research results in this paper reveal the traffic control measures balancing the requirements for epidemic prevention and control and for economic development.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wang Xiang
- Hunan Key Laboratory of Smart Roadway and Cooperative Vehicle-Infrastructure Systems, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Zezhi Wang
- Hunan Key Laboratory of Smart Roadway and Cooperative Vehicle-Infrastructure Systems, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Xin Pan
- State Grid Hunan Electric Power Company Limited Economic & Technical Research Institute, Changsha, Hunan, China
- Hunan Key Laboratory of Energy Internet Supply-demand and Operation, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Xiaobing Liu
- School of System Science, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China
| | - Xuedong Yan
- Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive Transport, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China
| | - Li Chen
- School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Delgado A. COVID-19 with stigma: New evidence from mobility data and "Go to Travel" campaign. Heliyon 2023; 9:e15704. [PMID: 37131429 PMCID: PMC10139753 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15704] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2022] [Revised: 03/21/2023] [Accepted: 04/19/2023] [Indexed: 05/04/2023] Open
Abstract
The study modifies the stigma model for mobility behavior during COVID-19 by incorporating the impact of the Go to travel campaign. The basic stigma model suggests that people avoid going out due to a social stigma during a state of emergency. However, the study's extended model, using Go to travel campaign data, shows that the stigma effects are not dependent on policy and remain present but weaken in later stages. The evidence also suggests that the government's Go to travel campaign has a significant effect on increasing mobility behavior, countering the stigma effect caused by the emergency declaration. The analysis uses a panel data model with data on mobility, emergency declaration, Go to travel campaign, COVID-19 infection rates, and a weekend dummy control variable.
Collapse
|
4
|
Adach S, Wojtkowska M, Religa P. Consequences of the accessibility of the mountain national parks in Poland. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023; 30:27483-27500. [PMID: 36385334 PMCID: PMC9668236 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-24197-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2022] [Accepted: 11/09/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
In Poland, mountain national parks are visited by about 8 million tourists annually. As a result, national parks must have a properly developed infrastructure to accommodate such a large number of people. Tourism development in mountain national parks satisfies the needs of tourist participants and should increase the attractiveness of the area, fit into the cultural concepts of a given region, and promote its development. The research aims to determine the consequences of making mountain national parks available in Poland and determine the factors determining the attractiveness of the protected area and the related tourist burden. Nine mountain national parks located in Poland were selected for the research. An interview was conducted with employees of mountain national parks concerning (a) the tourist burden on the national park, (b) the tourist management of the national park and its surroundings, and (c) the impact of tourist traffic on the natural environment. Parameters characterizing the intensity and spatial character of tourist traffic, tourist management, and the influence of tourist traffic on the natural environment of mountain national parks are discussed. The study presents the parameters determining: tourist traffic density, tourist route density, and tourist traffic intensity. A map of the development of the surroundings of national parks was presented, and its influence on tourist traffic was determined. The obtained results were discussed in the context of the consequences of tourist traffic in mountain national parks. The result of the work was the development of a map of the tourist load of mountain national parks in Poland. Tourism is of crucial importance for the proper functioning of national parks. However, if not properly cultivated, it threatens the fauna and flora of such areas. Rational use of natural resources by tourists visiting mountain national parks is crucial to maintain the balance between man and nature. Proper supervision and management in the national park, as well as the collective responsibility of tourists visiting national parks and the community living in their vicinity, is of fundamental importance for the proper functioning of the system in national parks and nearby tourist destinations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sylwia Adach
- Faculty of Building Services, Hydro and Environmental Engineering, Warsaw University of Technology, Nowowiejska 20, 00-653 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Małgorzata Wojtkowska
- Faculty of Building Services, Hydro and Environmental Engineering, Warsaw University of Technology, Nowowiejska 20, 00-653 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Paweł Religa
- Department of Processes and Products Eco-Engineering, Kazimierz Pulaski University of Technology and Humanities in Radom, Chrobrego 27, 26-600 Radom, Poland
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Yu L, Zhao P, Tang J, Pang L. Changes in tourist mobility after COVID-19 outbreaks. ANNALS OF TOURISM RESEARCH 2023; 98:103522. [PMID: 36474961 PMCID: PMC9715491 DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2022.103522] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2022] [Revised: 11/07/2022] [Accepted: 11/13/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
We comparatively examined tourist mobility changes in the entire country and explicitly covered two distinct waves of COVID-19 outbreaks, based on mobile phone data from 277.15 million tourists from 2019 to 2021 in China. The results show that domestic tourism in Beijing was even higher after the pandemic than prior to it. In addition, we found that female and elderly groups had a slower recovery after the first wave, whereas this was the opposite one year later, after the second wave. Additionally, wealthier, larger cities were notably hit the hardest. Overall, our findings provide a better understanding of tourism management in public health crises and policy-making during post-pandemic recovery and for future outbreaks.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ling Yu
- School of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Pengjun Zhao
- School of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, 518055, China
- School of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China
| | - Junqing Tang
- School of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Liang Pang
- School of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Boto-García D. Investigating the two-way relationship between mobility flows and COVID-19 cases. ECONOMIC MODELLING 2023; 118:106083. [PMID: 36281432 PMCID: PMC9581521 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.106083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2022] [Revised: 09/06/2022] [Accepted: 10/16/2022] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
Following a pandemic disease outbreak, people travel to areas with low infection risk, but at the same time the epidemiological situation worsens as mobility flows to those areas increase. These feedback effects from epidemiological conditions to inflows and from inflows to subsequent infections are underexplored to date. This study investigates the two-way relationship between mobility flows and COVID-19 cases in a context of unrestricted mobility without COVID-19 vaccines. To this end, we merge data on COVID-19 cases in Spain during the summer of 2020 at the province level with mobility records based on mobile position tracking. Using a control function approach, we find that a 1% increase in arrivals translates into a 3.5% increase in cases in the following week and 5.6% ten days later. A simulation exercise shows the cases would have dropped by around 64% if the Second State of Alarm had been implemented earlier.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- David Boto-García
- Oviedo Efficiency Group, Department of Economics, University of Oviedo, Avenida Del Cristo S/n, 33006, Oviedo, Asturias, Spain
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Liang W, Li Z, Bao Y, Xia B. Risk Perception of COVID-19 as a Cause of Minority Ethnic Community Tourism Practitioners' Willingness to Change Livelihood Strategies: A Case Study in Gansu Based on Cognitive-Experiential Self-Theory. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 20:292. [PMID: 36612614 PMCID: PMC9819289 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20010292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2022] [Revised: 12/19/2022] [Accepted: 12/21/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
This study based on the cognitive-experiential self-theory, with risk attitude as the mediator and livelihood capacity as the moderator, explores the mechanism of the effect of risk perception of COVID-19 on minority ethnic community tourism practitioners' willingness to change livelihood strategies. Taking 423 tourism practitioners from five minority ethnic tourism communities as the objects of investigation in Gansu Province, China. This paper empirically tests the theoretical model by using Amos and SPSS. The results indicated the following: Risk perception of COVID-19 has a significant positive impact on the willingness of minority ethnic community tourism practitioners to change their livelihood strategies. Risk attitude partially mediated the relationship between risk perception of COVID-19 and willingness to change livelihood strategies. Livelihood capacity negatively moderated the relationship between risk perception of COVID-19 and willingness of minority ethnic community tourism practitioners to change their livelihood strategies. Livelihood capacity also negatively moderated the mediation effect of the relationship between risk perception of COVID-19 and willingness to change livelihood strategies. Based on the research conclusions, it provides theoretical guidance and practical enlightenment for minority ethnic community tourism practitioners on how to improve the stability and sustainability of their livelihoods through the adjustment and transformation of livelihood strategies in the post-epidemic era.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wangbing Liang
- Tourism College, Gansu Tourism Development Academy, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China
| | - Zhao Li
- Tourism College, Gansu Tourism Development Academy, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China
| | - Yinggang Bao
- Economics College, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730070, China
| | - Bing Xia
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Sakawa H, Watanabel N. Self-restraint, subsidy, and stock market reactions to the coronavirus outbreak: Evidence from the Japanese restaurant industry. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0278876. [PMID: 36516175 PMCID: PMC9749993 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0278876] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2022] [Accepted: 11/24/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
This study examined the stock market response of the Japanese restaurant industry to the announcement of the self-restraint request and subsidy for restaurants by the Japanese government during the coronavirus outbreak. Using the event study approach, it was found that the market reacted negatively to the self-restraint request and positively to the subsidy for restaurants. Following the announcement of the self-restraint request, investors in the restaurant industry responded positively to the government's stringent policy responses. Conversely, following the announcement on the "dining-out" subsidy, investors reacted negatively to the stringent government policies. Our findings provide useful information for policy makers and practitioners to mitigate losses in the hospitality industry during the pandemic.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Hideaki Sakawa
- Graduate School of Economics, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
- * E-mail:
| | - Naoki Watanabel
- Graduate School of Economics, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Okubo T. Traveling and eating out during the COVID-19 pandemic: The Go To campaign policies in Japan. JAPAN AND THE WORLD ECONOMY 2022; 64:101157. [PMID: 36157374 PMCID: PMC9482085 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2022.101157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2022] [Revised: 08/22/2022] [Accepted: 09/13/2022] [Indexed: 05/20/2023]
Abstract
The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic plunged many industries of the economy into contraction, particularly the travel, hotel accommodation, and eating/drinking industries. In Japan, some demand-inducing policies targeting such industries were implemented, known as the Go To Travel and Go To Eat campaigns. Using a unique individual-level survey, we investigate what factors make people respond to these campaign policies. We find that certain socioeconomics factors (e.g., gender, income, ICT skills) as well as noneconomic factors matter. In particular, risk attitudes, and personal traits (e.g., extraversion) crucially affect whether people traveled or dined out in response to these campaigns despite the spread of COVID-19.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Toshihiro Okubo
- Faculty of Economics, Keio University, 2-15-45 Mita Minato, Tokyo 108-8345, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
COVID-19 policies and hoteliers' responses in Japan. ANNALS OF TOURISM RESEARCH EMPIRICAL INSIGHTS 2022; 3:100067. [PMCID: PMC9393174 DOI: 10.1016/j.annale.2022.100067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2021] [Revised: 08/11/2022] [Accepted: 08/13/2022] [Indexed: 07/04/2023]
Abstract
This study aims to identify the hoteliers' crisis management practices during COVID-19 and analyse the relationship between each practice and government policy. Through in-depth interviews with five hotel chains, common crisis management practice patterns, factors that lead to differences in crisis management practices and the influences of policies on these practices were identified. The findings show strong and complicated relationships between policy and hoteliers' crisis management practices. Although many crisis management practices were encouraged by the government, some practices were not influenced by the policy and others were indirectly impeded. Hoteliers are not only passively affected by government policies, but respond actively to them as well as demonstrate their own initiative in response to the crisis.
Collapse
|
11
|
Guizzardi A, Ballestra LV, D'Innocenzo E. Hotel dynamic pricing, stochastic demand and covid-19. ANNALS OF TOURISM RESEARCH 2022; 97:103495. [PMID: 36311899 PMCID: PMC9597536 DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2022.103495] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2022] [Revised: 09/26/2022] [Accepted: 10/02/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
We develop an innovative framework to study how hoteliers apply inventory control and price discrimination taking into account seasonality. We end up with a time-varying model that, using publicly available information, connects the early booking and last-minute pricing decisions. In doing so, we account for the expected demand size and price elasticity, the inventory put on sales, and the last-minute demand shocks. An analysis focused on 100 hotels in Milan (Italy) shows that during the Covid-19 last-minute discounts/surcharges remain stable over long periods while the role of advance booking as a lever for revenue management is reduced. Moreover, the pandemic has increased the last-minute adjustment at the short advance booking, especially for midweek days.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Andrea Guizzardi
- Department of Statistical Sciences, Alma Mater, Studiorum University of Bologna, Via delle Belle Arti 41, 40126 Bologna, Italy
| | - Luca Vincenzo Ballestra
- Department of Statistical Sciences, Alma Mater, Studiorum University of Bologna, Via delle Belle Arti 41, 40126 Bologna, Italy
| | - Enzo D'Innocenzo
- Department of Econometrics and Data Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
Dube K. COVID-19 vaccine-induced recovery and the implications of vaccine apartheid on the global tourism industry. PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH (2002) 2022; 126:103140. [PMID: 35313651 PMCID: PMC8928730 DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2022.103140] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2021] [Revised: 01/22/2022] [Accepted: 03/09/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
According to United Nations, World Tourism Organization COVID-19 has had the most devastating impact on the entire global tourism value chain, which resulted in a 74% decline in international passenger arrival, a US$1.3 trillion loss in international tourism receipts, over the US $ 2trillion loss of global domestic product and placing between 100 and 120 million jobs at risk globally. While the initial impact of the pandemic was uniform across the world, the recovery was expected to be varied across the region due to inequitable access to the COVID-19 vaccine. This study seeks to examine the implications of vaccination inequity on tourism recovery in the global tourism market. The study uses secondary, archival data and harnesses the advantages of big data generated from online activities from tourists and tourism companies obtained from authoritative sources. The study found that inequitable access to vaccinations produced a skewed recovery favouring vaccinated regions concentrated in the developed world, leaving poor regions such as Africa behind. The robot system characterising the vaccine-induced recovery had also created a vaccine diplomatic nightmare that scuttled global tourism recovery efforts. To ensure sustainable recovery, there is a need to ensure global vaccination access by rechannelling some of the excess vaccines in developed countries to countries that needs them to ensure the opening up of the entire tourism global market and reduce vulnerabilities that are coming from COVID-19 variants, which poses a threat to the gains made from the current vaccination program. The study concludes that there will not be any meaningful economic recovery without a wholesale approach covering the entire global population.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Kaitano Dube
- Ecotourism Management, Vaal University of Technology, Andries Potgieter BlvD, Vanderbijlpark, 1911, South Africa
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Exploring the Factors of Rural Tourism Recovery in the Post-COVID-19 Era Based on the Grounded Theory: A Case Study of Tianxi Village in Hunan Province, China. SUSTAINABILITY 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/su14095215] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
Effective recovery of rural tourism in the post-COVID-19 era could consolidate achievements in poverty alleviation and promote rural revitalization in China. In order to explore the factors influencing the rural tourism recovery from the COVID-19 crisis, this explorative–qualitative study chose Tianxi village in Hunan province of China as a typical case, as it has been officially selected as one of the key national villages for developing rural tourism. It was found that the process of rural tourism recovery in the post-COVID-19 era consists substantially of the development and evolutionary resilience in rural tourism. In the proposed theoretical model, the governance capability of local governments, robustness of rural social networks, activeness of rural talent, innovativeness of development mechanisms, and persistence of resilience cultivation are all essential factors throughout this process. Evolutionary resilience of rural tourism could enable destinations to manage unpredictable crises and even to seize novel development opportunities.
Collapse
|