Is Tachycardia at Discharge From the Pediatric Emergency Department a Cause for Concern? A Nonconcurrent Cohort Study

Heart rate and respiratory rate in predicting risk of serious bacterial infection in febrile children given antipyretics: prospective observational study

Clinical algorithms used in the assessment of febrile children in the Paediatric Emergency Departments are commonly based on threshold values for vital signs, which in children with fever are often outside the normal range. Our aim was to assess the diagnostic value of heart and respiratory rate for serious bacterial infection (SBI) in children after temperature lowering following administration of antipyretics. A prospective cohort of children presenting with fever between June 2014 and March 2015 at the Paediatric Emergency Department of a large teaching hospital in London, UK, was performed. Seven hundred forty children aged 1 month-16 years presenting with a fever and ≥ 1 warning signs of SBI given antipyretics were included. Tachycardia or tachypnoea were defined by different threshold values: (a) APLS threshold values, (b) age-specific and temperature-adjusted centiles charts and (c) relative difference in z-score. SBI was defined by a composite reference standard (cultures from a sterile site, microbiology and virology results, radiological abnormalities, expert panel). Persistent tachypnoea after body temperature lowering was an important predictor of SBI (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.15, 3.30). This effect was only observed for pneumonia but not other SBIs. Threshold values for tachypnoea > 97th centile at repeat measurement achieved high specificity (0.95 (0.93, 0.96)) and positive likelihood ratios (LR + 3.25 (1.73, 6.11)) and may be useful for ruling in SBI, specifically pneumonia. Persistent tachycardia was not an independent predictor of SBI and had limited value as a diagnostic test.  Conclusion: Among children given antipyretics, tachypnoea at repeat measurement had some value in predicting SBI and was useful to rule in pneumonia. The diagnostic value of tachycardia was poor. Overreliance on heart rate as a diagnostic feature following body temperature lowering may not be justified to facilitate safe discharge. What is Known: • Abnormal vital signs at triage have limited value as a diagnostic test to identify children with SBI, and fever alters the specificity of commonly used threshold values for vital signs. • The observed temperature response after antipyretics is not a clinically useful indicator to differentiate the cause of febrile illness. What is New: • Persistent tachycardia following reduction in body temperature was not associated with an increased risk of SBI and of poor value as a diagnostic test, whilst persistent tachypnoea may indicate the presence of pneumonia.

Paediatric fever management practices and antipyretic use among doctors and nurses in New Zealand emergency departments

OBJECTIVES

To assess (i) paediatric fever management practices among New Zealand ED doctors and nurses, including adherence to best practice guidelines; and (ii) the acceptability of a randomised controlled trial (RCT) of antipyretics for relief of discomfort in young children.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey of doctors and nurses across 11 New Zealand EDs. The primary outcome of adherence to paediatric fever management best practice guidelines was assessed with clinical vignettes and defined as single antipyretic use for the relief of fever-related discomfort.

RESULTS

Out of 602 participants (243 doctors, 353 nurses and six unknown; response rate 47.5%), only 64 (10.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 8.3-13.4%) demonstrated adherence to best practice guidelines. In a febrile settled child with normal fluid intake, the percentage of participants that would use antipyretics doubled with abnormal vital signs (33.7% vs 72.9%, difference -39.2%, 95% CI -44.4% to -34.0%). Most participants would use antipyretics for reduced fluid intake (n = 494, 82.1%, 95% CI 78.8-85.0%) in a febrile settled child. Over half (n = 339, 57.1%, 95% CI 53.0-61.1%) would advise giving antipyretics to prevent febrile convulsions. Most (n = 467, 80.0%, 95% CI 76.5-83.1%) participants agreed that a RCT of antipyretics in febrile children <2 years of age with relief of discomfort as a primary outcome is needed.

CONCLUSIONS

Just over 10% of New Zealand ED doctors and nurses demonstrated adherence to paediatric fever management best practice guidelines. A RCT of antipyretics in febrile children <2 years of age specifically addressing relief of discomfort as a primary outcome is strongly supported.

Factors Associated with Unscheduled Emergency Department Revisits in Children with Acute Lower Respiratory Tract Diseases

Purpose

To identify factors associated with unscheduled emergency department (ED) revisits within 72 hours in children with acute dyspnea from lower respiratory tract diseases.

Patients and Methods

This retrospective cohort study included pediatric patients (age group: one month to 15 years old) who visited the ED with acute lower respiratory tract diseases between January 1st, 2017 and February 28th, 2019. The medical records were reviewed and discharged patients were dichotomized into revisit and non-revisit groups, based on whether the patients needed a revisit or not. Baseline characteristics, vital signs, diagnosis, treatment, pediatrician consultation, ED length of stay, and primary doctor of both groups were compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses by logistic regression were used to determine the significant factors associated with the revisits.

Results

Medical records of 918 eligible pediatric patients (1417 visits) were reviewed. Factors significantly associated with the revisits were history of asthma or current controller use (odds ratio [OR]: 3.08: 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.86-5.1). Not prescribing systemic corticosteroids (P < 0.001), or prescribing them upon discharge without first dose in the ED (P = 0.022) were significantly associated with revisits.

Conclusion

No prescription of systemic corticosteroids or prescription upon discharge, without an immediate dose at the ED, in children with history of asthma or current controller use were associated with revisits.

Pediatric Emergency Department Return Visits Within 72 Hours: Caregivers' Motives and Analysis of Ethnic and Primary Language Disparities

OBJECTIVES

In the United States, approximately 2.2% to 5% of children discharged from the emergency department (ED) return within 72 hours. There is limited literature examining caregivers' reasons for return to the ED, and none among Hispanics and Spanish-speaking caregivers. We sought to examine why caregivers of pediatric patients return to the ED within 72 hours of a prior ED visit, and assess roles of ethnicity and primary language.

METHODS

A previously validated survey was prospectively administered to caregivers returning to the ED within 72 hours of discharge at a freestanding, tertiary care, children's hospital over a 7-month period. Reasons for return to the ED, previous ED discharge processes, and events since discharge were summarized according to Hispanic ethnicity, and English or Spanish language preference, and compared using the Fisher exact test.

RESULTS

Among 499 caregiver surveys analyzed, caregivers returned mostly because of no symptom improvement (57.5%) and worsening condition (35.5%), with no statistically significant differences between Hispanic/non-Hispanic ethnicity, or English/Spanish preference. Most (85.2%) caregivers recalled reasons to return to the ED. Recall of expected duration until symptom improvement was significantly higher among Hispanic (60.4%) versus non-Hispanic (52.1%) (P = 0.003), and for Spanish- (68.9%) versus English-speaking (54.6%) (P = 0.04), caregivers.

CONCLUSIONS

Most caregivers returned to the ED because their child's condition was not better or had worsened. Ethnicity and language were not associated with variations in reasons for return. Non-Hispanic and English-speaking caregivers were less likely to recall being informed of time to improvement and may require additional intervention.

A clinical prediction model to identify children at risk for revisits with serious illness to the emergency department: A prospective multicentre observational study

Background

To develop a clinical prediction model to identify children at risk for revisits with serious illness to the emergency department.

Methods and findings

A secondary analysis of a prospective multicentre observational study in five European EDs (the TRIAGE study), including consecutive children aged <16 years who were discharged following their initial ED visit (‘index’ visit), in 2012–2015. Standardised data on patient characteristics, Manchester Triage System urgency classification, vital signs, clinical interventions and procedures were collected. The outcome measure was serious illness defined as hospital admission or PICU admission or death in ED after an unplanned revisit within 7 days of the index visit. Prediction models were developed using multivariable logistic regression using characteristics of the index visit to predict the likelihood of a revisit with a serious illness. The clinical model included day and time of presentation, season, age, gender, presenting problem, triage urgency, and vital signs. An extended model added laboratory investigations, imaging, and intravenous medications. Cross validation between the five sites was performed, and discrimination and calibration were assessed using random effects models. A digital calculator was constructed for clinical implementation. 7,891 children out of 98,561 children had a revisit to the ED (8.0%), of whom 1,026 children (1.0%) returned to the ED with a serious illness. Rates of revisits with serious illness varied between the hospitals (range 0.7–2.2%). The clinical model had a summary Area under the operating curve (AUC) of 0.70 (95% CI 0.65–0.74) and summary calibration slope of 0.83 (95% CI 0.67–0.99). 4,433 children (5%) had a risk of > = 3%, which was useful for ruling in a revisit with serious illness, with positive likelihood ratio 4.41 (95% CI 3.87–5.01) and specificity 0.96 (95% CI 0.95–0.96). 37,546 (39%) had a risk <0.5%, which was useful for ruling out a revisit with serious illness (negative likelihood ratio 0.30 (95% CI 0.25–0.35), sensitivity 0.88 (95% CI 0.86–0.90)). The extended model had an improved summary AUC of 0.71 (95% CI 0.68–0.75) and summary calibration slope of 0.84 (95% CI 0.71–0.97). As study limitations, variables on ethnicity and social deprivation could not be included, and only return visits to the original hospital and not to those of surrounding hospitals were recorded.

Conclusion

We developed a prediction model and a digital calculator which can aid physicians identifying those children at highest and lowest risks for developing a serious illness after initial discharge from the ED, allowing for more targeted safety netting advice and follow-up.

Elevated Heart Rate and Risk of Revisit With Admission in Pediatric Emergency Patients

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to identify emergency department (ED) heart rate (HR) values that identify children at elevated risk of ED revisit with admission.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients 0 to 18 years old discharged from a tertiary-care pediatric ED from January 2013 to December 2014. We created percentile curves for the last recorded HR for age using data from calendar year 2013 and used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to characterize the performance of the percentiles for predicting ED revisit with admission within 72 hours. In a held-out validation data set (calendar year 2014 data), we evaluated test characteristics of last-recorded HR-for-age cut points identified as promising on the ROC curves, as well as those identifying the highest 5% and 1% of last recorded HRs for age.

RESULTS

We evaluated 183,433 eligible ED visits. Last recorded HR for age had poor discrimination for predicting revisit with admission (area under the curve, 0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.58-0.63). No promising cut points were identified on the ROC curves. Cut points identifying the highest 5% and 1% of last recorded HRs for age showed low sensitivity (10.1% and 2.5%) with numbers needed to evaluate of 62 and 50, respectively, to potentially prevent 1 revisit with admission.

CONCLUSIONS

Last recorded ED HR discriminates poorly between children who are and are not at risk of revisit with admission in a pediatric ED. The use of single-parameter HR in isolation as an automated trigger for mandatory reevaluation prior to discharge may not improve revisit outcomes.

Characteristics of Afebrile Infants ≤60 Days of Age With Invasive Bacterial Infections

OBJECTIVES

To describe the characteristics and outcomes of afebrile infants ≤60 days old with invasive bacterial infection (IBI).

METHODS

We conducted a secondary analysis of a cross-sectional study of infants ≤60 days old with IBI presenting to the emergency departments (EDs) of 11 children's hospitals from 2011 to 2016. We classified infants as afebrile if there was absence of a temperature ≥38°C at home, at the referring clinic, or in the ED. Bacteremia and bacterial meningitis were defined as pathogenic bacterial growth from a blood and/or cerebrospinal fluid culture.

RESULTS

Of 440 infants with IBI, 78 (18%) were afebrile. Among afebrile infants, 62 (79%) had bacteremia without meningitis and 16 (20%) had bacterial meningitis (10 with concomitant bacteremia). Five infants (6%) died, all with bacteremia. The most common pathogens were Streptococcus agalactiae (35%), Escherichia coli (16%), and Staphylococcus aureus (16%). Sixty infants (77%) had an abnormal triage vital sign (temperature <36°C, heart rate ≥181 beats per minute, or respiratory rate ≥66 breaths per minute) or a physical examination abnormality (ill appearance, full or depressed fontanelle, increased work of breathing, or signs of focal infection). Forty-three infants (55%) had ≥1 of the following laboratory abnormalities: white blood cell count <5000 or >15 000 cells per μL, absolute band count >1500 cells per μl, or positive urinalysis. Presence of an abnormal vital sign, examination finding, or laboratory test result had a sensitivity of 91% (95% confidence interval 82%-96%) for IBI.

CONCLUSIONS

Most afebrile young infants with an IBI had vital sign, examination, or laboratory abnormalities. Future studies should evaluate the predictive ability of these criteria in afebrile infants undergoing evaluation for IBI.

Abnormal Vital Sign Recognition and Provider Notification in the Pediatric Emergency Department

INTRODUCTION

Vital signs measurements aid in the early identification of patients at risk of clinical deterioration and determining the severity of illness. Health care providers rely on registered nurses to document vital signs and communicate abnormalities. The purpose of this project was to improve the provider notification process regarding abnormal vital signs in a pediatric emergency department.

METHOD

A best practice advisory (BPA) was piloted by the advanced practice providers in the pediatric emergency department. To evaluate the effects of the BPA, a mixed-methods study was employed.

RESULTS

Implementation of the BPA improved the provider notification process and enhanced clinical decision making. The percentage of patients discharged home with abnormal respiratory rates (10.9% vs. 5.9%, p = .31), abnormal temperatures (15.6% vs. 7.5%, p = .14), and abnormal heart rates (25% vs. 11.9%, p = .11) improved.

DISCUSSION

Creation and implementation of the BPA improved the abnormal vital sign communication process to providers at this single institution.

Identifying return visits to the Emergency Department: A multi-centre study

BACKGROUND

Patients who return to the Emergency Department (ED) for the same complaint are known to be at risk of adverse events. Monitoring of return visits is considered a way to measure the quality of care provided in the ED, although the most commonly used benchmark of 48h lacks evidence. This study aimed to describe the incidence, characteristics and outcomes of patients with unplanned return visits. The study also aimed to determine the capture rate of the 48-h benchmark using an all-inclusive method of return visit identification.

METHODS

A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted across three EDs in Sydney, New South Wales from July 1st, 2017 to June 30th, 2018. Visits that occurred within 28 days with the same or similar presenting complaint following discharge from the ED were classified as a return visit. Data were grouped by index and return visit. Descriptive statistics were used to summarise incidence, patient characteristics and outcomes for all presentations. Categorical data were analysed using Chi square tests. Continuous data were analysed using Mann-Whitney when data were not normally distributed and t-tests when normally distributed.

RESULTS

Of all ED presentations (n=164,598), 5860 (3.6%) were identified as a return visit. Return patients were younger than non-return patients, but those that required admission were older (43 vs 33 years, p=<0.01). Abdominal problems were the most common reason for return followed by urological and mental health. The median time to return was 64:51h (IQR 20:35-226:37). Only 43% of return visits occurred within 48h. Return visits to a different ED accounted for 13.2% of return visits.

CONCLUSION

More than half of ED return visits are missed when the existing benchmark of 48h is used. Current policy makers should consider increasing the 48-h benchmark to more accurately reflect the incidence of return visits. Further investigation into the causal factors for return visits is warranted, particularly in patients with abdominal, urological or mental health complaints.

A Discharge Vital Sign Documentation Improvement Initiative in the Pediatric Emergency Department

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Vital signs are important data elements in the pediatric emergency department (PED). The presence of unexplained tachycardia at discharge has been associated with patient return to the PED and subsequent admission. Our aim for this study was to increase the percentage of patients discharged with a complete set of vital signs, when indicated, from 22% to 95% by June 30, 2018.

METHODS

A multidisciplinary team developed key drivers, and data were collected by using a retrospective chart review. Outcome measures were the percentage of patients with discharge vital signs and 72-hour returns to the PED. Balancing measures included PED length of stay (LOS) and hospital admissions. Data were compiled from a chart review 7 times monthly; all charts were of patients presenting to the PED during the days being reviewed. An annotated p-chart was used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

Data were collected for 18 months, including baseline data from July to September 2017, during which time 22% of patients had discharge vital signs. Targeted quality improvement methodology initially improved discharge vital signs to 41%, and then to 85%, which has been sustained for 7 months. There was no change in 72-hour return PED visits or LOS. Although absolute hospitalizations remained stable, the percentage of patients admitted increased.

CONCLUSIONS

Targeted quality improvement methodology is associated with sustained improvement of indicated discharge vital signs for patients discharged from the PED. This improvement was not associated with reduced return PED visits, prolonged LOS, or increased hospitalization.

'So why didn't you think this baby was ill?' Decision-making in acute paediatrics

Determining severity of illness and undertaking an adequate risk assessment is a fundamental part of acute paediatric practice. This review highlights physiology, communication, heuristics and external elements as factors which influence decision-making and discusses how incidence of disease and seniority of clinician impact might influence outcomes.

Which observed behaviours may reassure physicians that a child is not septic? An international Delphi study

OBJECTIVE

In an attempt to improve the diagnosis of sepsis in children, diagnostic aids have concentrated on clinical features that suggest that sepsis is present. Clinicians need to be able to clinically rule out sepsis as well as rule it in. Little is known about which features are consistent with wellness and/or absence of sepsis. Guidelines are therefore likely to improve sensitivity without preserving specificity. We aimed to gather expert opinion on which (if any) features would make clinicians consider a child to be unlikely to have sepsis.

DESIGN

We undertook a modified two-round international Delphi study, where clinicians were asked for features they believed were indicators of wellness in an ill child.

PARTICIPANTS

One hundred and ninety-five clinicians (predominantly physicians) who routinely assessed unwell children and had been doing so for most of their careers.

RESULTS

Over 90% of respondents rated age-appropriate verbalisation, playing, smiling and activity as reassuring that a child was unlikely to have sepsis. Eating, spontaneous interaction and normal movement were also agreed to be reassuring by over 70% of participants. Consolability and showing fear of the clinician were not felt to be adequately reassuring. There was wide range of opinion on how reassuring the use of an electronic device was thought to be.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms that physicians are reassured by specific behaviours in ill children, and provides a framework which may be used to help guide the assessment of the unwell child. Validation of individual features could lead to improved specificity of diagnostic aids for diagnosing sepsis.