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Rubini A, Vilaplana-Prieto C, Vázquez-Jarén E, Hernández-González M, Félix-Redondo FJ, Fernández-Bergés D. Analysis and prediction of readmissions for heart failure in the first year after discharge with INCA score. Sci Rep 2023; 13:22477. [PMID: 38110472 PMCID: PMC10728208 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-49390-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2023] [Accepted: 12/07/2023] [Indexed: 12/20/2023] Open
Abstract
To determine the readmissions trends and the comorbidities of patients with heart failure that most influence hospital readmission rates. Heart failure (HF) is one of the most prevalent health problems as it causes loss of quality of life and increased health-care costs. Its prevalence increases with age and is a major cause of re-hospitalisation within 30 days after discharge. INCA study had observational and ambispective design, including 4,959 patients from 2000 to 2019, with main diagnosis of HF in Extremadura (Spain). The variables examined were collected from discharge reports. To develop the readmission index, capable of discriminating the population with higher probability of re-hospitalisation, a Competing-risk model was generated. Readmission rate have increased over the period under investigation. The main predictors of readmission were: age, diabetes mellitus, presence of neoplasia, HF without previous hospitalisation, atrial fibrillation, anaemia, previous myocardial infarction, obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). These variables were assigned values with balanced weights, our INCA index showed that the population with values greater than 2 for men and women were more likely to be re-admitted. Previous HF without hospital admission, CKD, and COPD appear to have the greatest effect on readmission. Our index allowed us to identify patients with different risks of readmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alessia Rubini
- PhD Programme in Economics (DEcIDE), International Doctorate School of the National University of Distance Education (EIDUNED), 28015, Madrid, Spain.
- Research Unit of Don Benito-Villanueva de la Serena Health Area, 06700, Villanueva de la Serena, Spain.
| | | | - Elena Vázquez-Jarén
- Research Unit of Don Benito-Villanueva de la Serena Health Area, 06700, Villanueva de la Serena, Spain
- University Institute for Biosanitary Research of Extremadura (INUBE), 06080, Badajoz, Spain
| | - Miriam Hernández-González
- Research Unit of Don Benito-Villanueva de la Serena Health Area, 06700, Villanueva de la Serena, Spain
| | - Francisco Javier Félix-Redondo
- Research Unit of Don Benito-Villanueva de la Serena Health Area, 06700, Villanueva de la Serena, Spain
- University Institute for Biosanitary Research of Extremadura (INUBE), 06080, Badajoz, Spain
- Villanueva Norte Health Centre, Extremadura Health Service, 06700, Villanueva de la Serena, Spain
| | - Daniel Fernández-Bergés
- Research Unit of Don Benito-Villanueva de la Serena Health Area, 06700, Villanueva de la Serena, Spain
- University Institute for Biosanitary Research of Extremadura (INUBE), 06080, Badajoz, Spain
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Inácio H, De Carvalho A, Gamelas De Carvalho J, Maia A, Durão-Carvalho G, Duarte J, Rodrigues C, Araújo I, Henriques C, Fonseca C. Real-Life Data on Readmissions of Worsening Heart Failure Outpatients in a Heart Failure Clinic. Cureus 2023; 15:e35611. [PMID: 37007323 PMCID: PMC10063241 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.35611] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/27/2023] [Indexed: 03/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction Recurrent hospitalizations for worsening heart failure (WHF) represent a major global public health concern, resulting in significant individual morbimortality and socioeconomic costs. This real-life study aimed to determine the rate and predictors of readmission for WHF in a cohort of outpatients with chronic heart failure (CHF) followed in a heart failure clinic (HFC) at a university hospital. Methods We conducted a longitudinal, observational, and retrospective study of all consecutive CHF patients seen at the HFC of the São Francisco Xavier Hospital, Lisbon, by a multidisciplinary team in 2019. The patients were followed for one year and were on optimized therapy. The inclusion criteria for the study were patients who had been hospitalized and subsequently discharged at least three months prior to their enrollment. Patient demographics, heart failure (HF) characterization, comorbidities, pharmacological treatment, treatments of decompensated HF in the day hospital (DH), hospitalizations for WHF, and death were recorded. We applied logistic regression analysis to assess predictors of hospital readmission for HF. Results A total of 351 patients were included: 90 patients (26%) had WHF requiring treatment with intravenous diuretics in the DH; 45 patients (mean age: 79.1 ± 9.0 years) were readmitted for decompensated HF within one year (12.8%) with no gender difference, while 87.2% of the patients (mean age: 74.9 ± 12.1 years) were never readmitted. Readmitted patients were significantly older than those who were not (p=0.031). Additionally, they had a higher New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional classification (p<.001), were on a higher daily dose of furosemide (p=0.008) at the time of the inclusion visit, were more frequently affected by the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (p=0.004); had been treated more often in the DH for WHF (p<.001) and had a higher mortality rate (p<.001) at one year. Conclusions This study aimed to determine WHF patient readmission rates and predictors. According to our results, a higher NYHA class, the need for treatment in the DH for WHF, a daily dose of furosemide equal to or greater than 80 mg, and COPD were predictors of readmission for WHF. CHF patients continue to experience WHF and recurrent hospitalizations despite therapeutic advances and close follow-up in the HFC with the multidisciplinary team. Besides COPD, the HF readmission risk factors found were mainly related to advanced disease. Furthermore, the structured and multidisciplinary approach of our disease management program likely contributed to our relatively low rate of readmissions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Inácio
- Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa Central - Hospital de Santo António dos Capuchos, Lisbon, PRT
| | | | | | - André Maia
- Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar de Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro - Hospital de Vila Real, Vila Real, PRT
| | - Gonçalo Durão-Carvalho
- Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar do Oeste - Unidade de Caldas da Rainha, Caldas da Rainha, PRT
| | - Joana Duarte
- Intermediate Medical Care Unit, Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental - Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Lisbon, PRT
| | - Catarina Rodrigues
- Heart Failure Clinic, Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental - Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Lisbon, PRT
| | - Inês Araújo
- Heart Failure Clinic, Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental - Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Lisbon, PRT
| | - Célia Henriques
- Heart Failure Clinic, Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental - Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Lisbon, PRT
| | - Candida Fonseca
- Heart Failure Clinic, Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental - Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Lisbon, PRT
- Centro de Estudos de Doenças Crónicas (CEDOC), NOVA Medical School - Faculdade de Ciências Médicas, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisbon, PRT
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