The Relationship Between Preoperative Oxford Hip and Knee Score and Change in Health-Related Quality of Life After Total Hip and Total Knee Arthroplasty: Can It Help Inform Rationing Decisions?

Outcomes of salvage total hip arthroplasty after failed cannulated screw fixation of fractured neck of femur

Introduction

In a UK setting, cannulated hip screws (CHS) are frequently used to fix femoral neck fractures. Although often a relatively quick procedure and one that is delegated to more junior surgeons, failure rates of up to 23 % have been reported. The salvage procedure is total hip arthroplasty (THA). In this paper we report the outcomes of a series of THA for failed cannulated screw fixation.

Methods

Retrospective analysis of one of the largest reported single cohort of 600 CHS procedures spanning 14 years from 2007 to 2020 from a single centre was performed. This identified 55 patients who went on to have total hip arthroplasty, 36 women, 19 men, mean (SD) age: 71.5 (13.6) years. Patient characteristics, reason for fixation failure and complications were recorded. Oxford hip scores were available for 47 patients. Comparison was made with a series of patients who underwent primary THA for fracture.

Results

Failure rate of CHS was 9.2 % in our cohort. Mean (SD) time from fixation to arthroplasty was 15.5 (12.4) months. Two patients (3.6 %) patients had a postop complication, one requiring further surgery. Mean (SD) preoperative Oxford hip score was 11.4 (8.0). This improved to 38.8 (10.4) at 1 year and 32.1 (14.9) at 5 years postoperatively. This compares to a mean (SD) of 39.7 (8.6) at 1 year and 39.4 (8.1) at 5 years in a group of 185 patients undergoing primary THA for hip fracture. Displaced fractures that went on to failure had better postop scores than nondisplaced fractures.

Discussion

The failure rate of CHS is relatively low and the salvage procedure of THA has a minimal complication rate and outcomes as good as primary THA for hip fracture.

Functional Outcomes and Satisfaction Rates in Patients Aged 80 Years or Older are Not Clinically Different From Their Younger (65 to 75 Years) Counterparts Following Total Hip Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

As the population ages, the proportion of elderly patients requiring total hip arthroplasty (THA) increases, but it is not clear whether older age independently influences outcome. The aim was to assess function, quality of life, and satisfaction after THA in patients ≥ 80 years compared with those aged between 65 and 75 years when adjusting for confounding factors.

METHODS

A single-center retrospective cohort study was performed between 2010 and 2019. A total 2,367 THAs were performed on patients ≥ 80 years and 5,113 on patients aged 65 to 75 years. The demographic data and length of stay (LOS) were recorded. Preoperative and 2-year postoperative Oxford Hip Scores (OHS), EuroQol (EQ-5D), and satisfaction scores were collected. Clinically meaningful difference was defined as 5 points in OHS and utility of 0.085 in EQ-5D. Regression analyses were performed to adjust for confounding factors.

RESULTS

Patients in ≥ 80-years group were more likely women (P < .001), have higher American Society of Anesthesiolgists grade (P < .001), worse preoperative OHS (mean difference [MD] 2.3, P < .001), and EQ-5D (MD 0.087, P < .001). Both age groups achieved clinically meaningful and statistically significant (P < .001) improvement in OHS and EQ-5D utility at 2 years. When adjusting for confounding variables, the ≥ 80-year-old group had significantly (P < .001) lower improvement in OHS (MD -1.9 points) and EQ-5D (MD -0.055 utility), but these differences were not clinically meaningful. There was no difference (P = .813) in satisfaction between the groups. When adjusting for confounding variables, ≥ 80-year-old group had increased risk of longer LOS (odds ratio 1.27, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

There were no clinically meaningful differences in hip-specific outcome or health-related quality of life according to age group, and both were equally satisfied with their outcome. The older age group did, however, have longer LOS.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III retrospective cohort study.

Determination of the effect of preoperative knee joint function on postoperative quality of life in patients with total knee arthroplasty

Primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is one of the most successful procedures for end-stage knee osteoarthritis. To determine the effect of preoperative knee joint function on postoperative quality of life in patients undergoing primary TKA. This descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted with a total of 208 patients in the orthopedics and traumatology clinic. Data were gathered with a personal information form, the Oxford Knee Score (OKS), and the EQ-5D-5L Quality Of Life Scale in the preoperative period, at postoperative 6th week, and at postoperative 3rd month. The data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA), correlation analysis, and simple linear regression analysis. The mean age of the patients was 65.65 ± 7.01 years. Most patients (86.1%) were women, and 51.4% underwent left TKA. OKS scores indicated poor knee function preoperatively and gradually increased at postoperative 6th week and 3rd month. Preoperative OKS was a significant predictor of postoperative knee joint function and quality of life. This study shows that preoperative knee joint function significantly affects postoperative knee joint function and quality of life. These results demonstrate the importance of the surgery timing and suggest that performing surgery earlier in functional decline may be associated with a better outcome.

Predicting Functional Outcomes of Total Hip Arthroplasty Using Machine Learning: A Systematic Review

The aim of this review was to assess the reliability of machine learning (ML) techniques to predict the functional outcome of total hip arthroplasty. The literature search was performed up to October 2023, using MEDLINE/PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and NIH Clinical Trials. Level I to IV evidence was included. Seven studies were identified that included 44,121 patients. The time to follow-up varied from 3 months to more than 2 years. Each study employed one to six ML techniques. The best-performing models were for health-related quality of life (HRQoL) outcomes, with an area under the curve (AUC) of more than 84%. In contrast, predicting the outcome of hip-specific measures was less reliable, with an AUC of between 71% to 87%. Random forest and neural networks were generally the best-performing models. Three studies compared the reliability of ML with traditional regression analysis: one found in favour of ML, one was not clear and stated regression closely followed the best-performing ML model, and one showed a similar AUC for HRQoL outcomes but did show a greater reliability for ML to predict a clinically significant change in the hip-specific function. ML offers acceptable-to-excellent discrimination of predicting functional outcomes and may have a marginal advantage over traditional regression analysis, especially in relation to hip-specific hip functional outcomes.

Marginalization Influences Access, Outcomes, and Discharge Destination Following Total Joint Arthroplasty in Canada's Universal Healthcare System

BACKGROUND

The influence of socioeconomic status on outcomes following total joint arthroplasty (TJA) in the Canadian single-payer healthcare system is yet to be elucidated. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the impact of socioeconomic status on TJA outcomes.

METHODS

This was a retrospective review of 7,304 consecutive TJA (4,456 knees and 2,848 hips) performed between January 1, 2001 and December 31, 2019. The primary independent variable was the average census marginalization index. The primary dependent variable was functional outcome scores.

RESULTS

The most marginalized patients in both the hip and knee cohorts had significantly worse preoperative and postoperative functional scores. Patients in the most marginalized quintile (V) showed a decreased odds of achieving a minimal important difference in functional scores at 1-year follow-up (odds ratio [OR] 0.44; 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.20, 0.97], P = .043). Patients in the knee cohort in the most marginalized quintiles (IV and V) had increased odds of being discharged to an inpatient facility with an OR of 2.07 (95% CI [1.06, 4.04], P = .033) and OR of 2.57 (95% CI [1.26, 5.22], P = .009), respectively. Patients in the hip cohort in V quintile (most marginalized) had increased odds of being discharged to an inpatient facility with an OR of 2.24 (95% CI [1.02, 4.96], P = .046).

CONCLUSION

Despite being a part of the Canadian universal single-payer healthcare system, the most marginalized patients had worse preoperative and postoperative function, and had increased odds of being discharged to another inpatient facility.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV.

Short- and Long-Term Outcomes in Patients With Lower Extremity Amputations Undergoing Total Hip and Knee Arthroplasty

Background

Joint replacement following amputation is scarcely reported. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate patient-reported outcomes (PROMS) and revision rates among lower extremity amputees undergoing total hip (THA) or knee arthroplasty (TKA).

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort analysis of lower extremity amputees undergoing THA/TKA between August 2002 and August 2022 in a single tertiary center. Demographic and clinical data were collected from prospectively populated surgical databases and patient electronic records. PROMS included Oxford Knee Score, Oxford Hip Score, and 5-level EuroQol 5-dimension questionnaires. Twenty-three TKAs and 21 THAs were performed in 38 patients. The mean age at arthroplasty procedures was 59.8 (24-87) years. The mean clinical follow-up duration for THA and TKA was 9.1 and 4.5 years, respectively. Seven TKAs and 6 THAs were ipsilateral to the amputated side.

Results

The 10-year revision rates were 9.5% (2/21) and 5.9% (1/17) in the TKA and THA cohorts, respectively. TKA revisions occurred due to aseptic loosening. Six (26%) TKA cases experienced stump complications. Overall PROMS completion was 61.9% (13/21) and 64.7% (11/17) in TKA and THA patients, respectively. The average Oxford Hip Score/Oxford Knee Score of THA and TKA cohorts were 40.8 and 34.2, respectively. EuroQol 5-dimension questionnaire visual analog scores were higher in the THA cohort than those in the TKA cohort without statistical significance (59.1 vs 50.5, P = .214). The overall survival rate for the study was 94.7% at 5 years (36/38).

Conclusions

TKA/THA in lower extremity amputees can be successful, with low revision rates and good prosthesis function. Potential pitfalls highlighted include prosthesis malalignment, postprocedural rehabilitation, and stump complications.

Prior Authorization in Total Joint Arthroplasty: A Survey of the American Association of Hip and Knee Surgeons Membership

BACKGROUND

This study surveyed the impact that prior authorization has on the practices of total joint arthroplasty (TJA) members of the American Association of Hip and Knee Surgeons (AAHKS).

METHODS

A 24-question survey was approved by the AAHKS Advocacy Committee and distributed to all 2,802 board-certified members of AAHKS.

RESULTS

There were 353 survey responses (13%). Ninety-five percent of surgeons noted a 5-year increase in prior authorization. A majority (71%) of practices employ at least 1 staff member to exclusively work on prior authorization. Average time spent on prior authorization was 15 h/wk (range, 1 to 125) and average number of claims peer week was 18 (range, 1 to 250). Surgeries (99%) were the most common denial. These were denied because nonoperative treatment had not been tried (71%) or had not been attempted for enough time (67%). Most (57%) prior authorization processes rarely/never changed the treatment provided. Most (56%) indicated that prior authorization rarely/never followed evidence-based guidelines. A majority (93%) expressed high administrative burden as well as negative clinical outcomes (87%) due to prior authorization including delays to access care (96%) at least sometimes.

DISCUSSION

Prior authorization has increased in the past 5 years resulting in high administrative burden. Prior authorizations were most common for TJA surgeries because certain nonoperative treatments were not attempted or not attempted for enough time. Surgeons indicated that prior authorization may be detrimental to high-value care and lead to potentially harmful delays in care without ultimately changing the management of the patient.

Prioritisation of patients awaiting hip and knee arthroplasty: Lower pre-operative EQ-5D is associated with greater improvement in quality of life and joint function

INTRODUCTION

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to unprecedented delays for those awaiting elective hip and knee arthroplasty. Current demand far exceeds available resource, and therefore it is integral that healthcare resource is fairly rationed to those who need it most. We therefore set out to determine if pre-operative health-related quality of life assessment (HRQoL) could be used to triage arthroplasty waiting lists.

METHODS

Data regarding demographics, perioperative variables and patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) (pre-operative and 1-year post-operative EuroQOL five dimension (EQ-5D-3L) and Oxford hip and knee scores (OHS/OKS) were retrospectively extracted from electronic patient health records at a large university teaching hospital. Patients were split into two equal groups based on pre-operative EQ-5D TTO scores and compared (Group1 [worse HRQoL] = -0.239 to 0.487; Group2 [better HRQoL] = 0.516-1 [best]).

RESULTS

513 patients were included. Patients in Group1 had significantly greater improvement in post-operative EQ-5D-3L scores compared to Group2 (Median 0.67 vs. 0.19; p < 0.0001), as well as greater improvement in OHS/OKS (Mean 22.4 vs. 16.4; p < 0.0001). Those in Group2 were significantly less likely to achieve the EQ-5D-3L minimum clinically important difference (MCID) attainment (OR 0.13, 95%CI 0.07-0.23; p < 0.0001) with a trend towards lower OHS/OKS MCID attainment (OR 0.66, 95%CI 0.37-1.19; p = 0.168). There was no clinically significant difference in length of stay (Median 3-days both groups), and no statistically significant difference in adverse events (30 days and 1 year readmission/reoperation).

CONCLUSIONS

A pre-operative EQ-5D-3L cut-off of ≤0.487 for hip and knee arthroplasty prioritisation may help to maximise clinical utility and cost-effectiveness in a limited resource setting post COVID-19.

Tourniquet use in patients undergoing tumour resection and endoprosthetic reconstruction of the knee

AIMS

The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and impact of tourniquet use in patients undergoing limb salvage surgery with endoprosthetic reconstruction for a tumour around the knee.

METHODS

We retrieved data from the Prophylactic Antibiotic Regimens in Tumor Surgery (PARITY) trial; specifically, differences in baseline characteristics, surgical details, and postoperative functional outcomes between patients who had undergone surgery under tourniquet and those who had not. A linear regression model was created to evaluate the impact of tourniquet use on postoperative Toronto Extremity Salvage Scores (TESSs) while controlling for confounding variables. A negative-binomial regression model was constructed to explore predictors of postoperative length of stay (LOS).

RESULTS

Of the 604 patients enrolled in the PARITY trial, 421 had tumours around the knee joint, of whom 225 (53%) underwent surgery under tourniquet. The tourniquet group was younger (p = 0.014), more likely to undergo surgery for a tumour of the tibia, and had shorter operating times by a mean of 50 minutes (95% confidence interval 30 to 72; p < 0.001). The adjusted linear regression model found that the use of a tourniquet, a shorter operating time, and a higher baseline TESS independently predicted better function at both three- and six-month follow-up. The negative-binomial regression model showed that tourniquet use, shorter operating time, younger age, and intraoperative tranexamic acid administration independently predicted a shorter LOS in hospital.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study show that in patients undergoing resection of a tumour around the knee and endoprosthetic reconstruction, the use of an intraoperative tourniquet is associated with a shorter operating time, a reduced length of stay in hospital, and a better early functional outcome.Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(10):1168-1173.

The Oxford Knee Score is a reliable predictor of patients in a health state worse than death and awaiting total knee arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

The health-related quality of life of patients awaiting a total knee arthroplasty (TKA) deteriorates with increasing time to surgery and identification of those with the worst quality of life may help to prioritize patients. The aims were to identify and validate independent variable(s) associated with a health state worse than death (WTD) in patients awaiting a TKA and whether these variables influenced patients-reported outcome measures.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of 5857 patients undergoing a primary TKA was identified from an established arthroplasty database. Patient demographics, body mass index (BMI), index of multiple deprivation, Oxford Knee Score (OKS), EuroQoL five dimension (EQ-5D) 3 level, and visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS) were collected preoperatively and one year postoperatively. An EQ-5D utility of less than zero was defined as WTD. A randomly selected subset of patients (n = 3076) was used to validate the variable that was most predictive of a state WTD and to assess the influence on patient-reported outcomes.

RESULTS

There were 771 (13.2%) patients with a health state WTD. Increasing social deprivation (P = 0.050), worse preoperative OKS (P < 0.001), or EQ-VAS (P < 0.001) were independently associated with a health state WTD. The OKS was the most reliable predictor (area under curve 88.9%, 95% CI 87.8 to 90.1, P < 0.001) of a health state WTD. A threshold value of 16 or less, 80% sensitive and specific, was validated and confirmed to have a negative predictive value of 97.5%. Patients with an OKS of 16 or less had a significantly greater improvement in their OKS (difference 6.9, P < 0.001) and EQ-5D score (difference 0.257, P < 0.001). When adjusting for confounding factors, a health status WTD was not associated with worse postoperative OKS (difference -0.6, 95% CI -1.4 to 0.3, P = 0.177), EQ-5D (difference -0.016, 95% CI -0.036 to 0.003, P = 0.097) or patient satisfaction (difference -1.8, 95% CI -4.3 to 0.7, P = 0.162).

CONCLUSION

A threshold score 16 or less in OKS was a reliable predictor of a health status WTD and was associated with a greater improvement in knee-specific and health-related quality of life following TKA.

Preoperative Factors and Patient-Reported Outcomes After Total Hip Arthroplasty: Multivariable Prediction Modeling

BACKGROUND

Although total hip arthroplasty (THA) has been established as a cost-effective intervention, some patients experience ongoing pain and dissatisfaction. There is interest in predicting postoperative outcomes based on preoperative data, but the relative contribution of different preoperative factors is unclear. The study's aim was to develop multivariable prediction models for the assessment of patient-reported outcomes.

METHOD

Registry data on 1412 patients undergoing THA for osteoarthritis at two hospitals between 2013 and 2018 was used. Potential predictors included age, sex, body mass index, spoken language, education level, previous THA, American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) score, lower back pain, depression/anxiety, other lower limb arthritis, number of other comorbidities, the preoperative expectation of pain and function, EuroQol Visual Analogue Scale (EQ-VAS) and preoperative OHS. Radiographic scores were also used: joint space narrowing (JSN), osteophytes, sclerosis, and an overall grade based on the Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) classification. Outcomes assessed were the patient-rated improvement, satisfaction, and OHS at six months.

RESULTS

JSN or overall KL scores were the most important predictors (P < .001) for all outcomes, with better radiographic scores associated with worse outcomes. Other predictors associated with poorer outcomes were lower back pain and lower expectation (predicting poor improvement), lower education and higher ASA (predicting lower satisfaction) and younger age, female sex, non-English speakers, lower preoperative EQ-VAS, lower education, back pain, and anxiety/depression (predicting lower OHS).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative radiological scores are an important predictor of patient-reported outcomes at six months postoperatively. Understanding the relative strengths and significance of different factors in predicting outcomes will help the clinician and patient decision-making for THA.

The feasibility of achieving Elective Care Framework targets for total hip arthroplasty and total knee arthroplasty in Northern Ireland

Aims

Waiting times for arthroplasty surgery in Northern Ireland are among the longest in the NHS, which have been further lengthened by the onset of the COVID-19 global pandemic in March 2020. The Department of Health in Northern Ireland has announced a new Elective Care Framework (ECF), with the framework proposing that by March 2026 no patient will wait more than 52 weeks for inpatient/day case treatment. We aimed to assess the feasibility of achieving this with reference to total hip arthroplasty (THA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

Methods

Mathematical modelling was undertaken to calculate when the ECF targets will be achieved for THA and TKA, as well as the time when waiting lists for THA and TKA will be cleared. The number of patients currently on the waiting list and percentage operating capacity relative to pre-COVID-19 capacity was used to determine future projections.

Results

As of May 2021, there were 3,757 patients awaiting primary THA and 4,469 patients awaiting primary TKA in Northern Ireland. Prior to April 2020, there were a mean 2,346 (2,085 to 2,610) patients per annum boarded for primary THA, a mean 2,514 (2,494 to 2,514) patients per annum boarded for primary TKA, and there were a mean 1,554 primary THAs and 1,518 primary TKAs performed per annum. The ECF targets for THA will only be achieved in 2030 if operating capacity is 200% of pre COVID-19 pandemic capacity and in 2042 if capacity is 170%. For TKA, the targets will be met in 2034 if capacity is 200% of pre-COVID-19 pandemic capacity.

Conclusion

This modelling demonstrates that, in the absence of major funding and reorganization of elective orthopaedic care, the targets set out in the ECF will not be achieved with regard to THA and TKA. Waiting times for THA and TKA surgery in Northern Ireland are likely to remain greater than 52 weeks for most of this decade.

Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2022;3(4):302–306.

Is rationing of total hip arthroplasty justified? Working to optimize patient accessibility to surgery using long-term patient-reported outcome data

Aims

The aim of this study was to assess medium-term improvements following total hip arthroplasty (THA), and to evaluate what effect different preoperative Oxford Hip Score (OHS) thresholds for treatment may have on patients’ access to THA and outcomes.

Methods

Patients undergoing primary THA at our institution with an OHS both preoperatively and at least four years postoperatively were included. Rationing thresholds were explored to identify possible deprivation of OHS improvement.

Results

Overall, 2,341 patients were included. Mean OHS was 19.7 (SD 8.2) preoperatively and 39.7 (SD 9.8) at latest follow-up. An improvement of at least eight-points, the minimally important change (MIC), was seen in 2,072 patients (88.5%). The mean improvement was 20.0 points (SD 10.5). If a rationing threshold of OHS of 20 points had been enforced, 90.8% of those treated would have achieved the MIC, but only 54.3% of our cohort would have had access to surgery; increasing this threshold to 32 would have enabled 89.5% of those treated to achieve the MIC while only depriving 6.5% of our cohort. The ‘rationed’ group of OHS > 20 had significantly better OHS at latest follow-up (42.6 vs 37.3; p < 0.001), while extending the rationing threshold above 32 showed postoperative scores were more significantly affected by the ceiling effect of the OHS.

Conclusion

The OHS was not designed as a tool to ration healthcare, but if it had been used at our institution for this cohort, applying an OHS threshold of 20 to routine THA access would have excluded nearly half of patients from having a THA; a group in which over 85% had a significant improvement in OHS. Where its use for rationing is deemed necessary, use of a higher threshold may be more appropriate to ensure a better balance between patient access to treatment and chances of achieving good to excellent outcomes. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2022;3(3):196–204.

Total Hip and Knee Arthroplasties Are Highly Cost-Effective Procedures: The Importance of Duration of Follow-Up

BACKGROUND

Total hip and knee arthroplasties (THA/TKA) are clinically effective but high cost procedures. The aim of this study is to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of THA and TKA in the New Zealand (NZ) healthcare system.

METHODS

Data were collected from 713 patients undergoing THA and 520 patients undergoing TKA at our local public hospital. SF-6D utility values were obtained from participants preoperatively and 1-year postoperatively, and deaths and any revision surgeries from patient records and the New Zealand Joint Registry at minimum 8-year follow-up. A continuous-time state-transition simulation model was used to estimate costs and health gains to 15 years. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), treatment costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated to determine cost effectiveness. ICERs below NZ gross domestic product (GDP; NZ$60 600) and 0.5 times GDP per capita were considered "cost effective" and "highly cost effective" respectively.

RESULTS

Cumulative health gains were 2.8 QALYs (THA) and 2.3 QALYs (TKA) over 15 years. Cost effectiveness improved from ICERs of NZ$74,400 (THA) and NZ$93,000 (TKA) at 1 year to NZ$6000 (THA) and NZ$7500 (TKA) at 15 years. THA and TKA were cost effective after 2 years and highly cost effective after 3 years. QALY gains and cost effectiveness were greater in patients with worse preoperative functional status and younger age.

CONCLUSION

THA and TKA are highly cost-effective procedures over longer term horizons. Although preoperative status and age were associated with cost effectiveness, both THA and TKA remained cost effective in patients with less severe preoperative scores and older ages.

Minimum 10-Year Clinical Outcome of Lateral Collagen Meniscal Implants for the Replacement of Partial Lateral Meniscal Defects: Further Results From a Prospective Multicenter Study

Background:

The collagen meniscal implant (CMI) is a biologic scaffold aimed at replacing partial meniscal defects. The long-term results of lateral meniscal replacement have never been investigated.

Purpose:

To document the clinical outcomes and failures of lateral CMI implantation for partial lateral meniscal defect at a minimum 10-year follow-up.

Study Design:

Case series; Level of evidence, 4,

Methods:

This study included 24 consecutive patients who underwent lateral CMI implantation for partial lateral meniscal defects between April 2006 and September 2009 and who were part of a previous study with a 2-year follow-up. Outcome measures at the latest follow-up included the Lysholm score, Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score, visual analog scale (VAS) for pain, Tegner activity level, and EuroQol 5-Dimensions score. Data regarding complications and failures were collected, and patients were asked about their satisfaction with the procedure.

Results:

Included in the final analysis were 19 patients (16 male, 3 female) with a mean age at surgery of 37.1 ± 12.6 years and a mean follow-up of 12.4 ± 1.5 years (range, 10-14 years). Five failures (26%) were reported: 1 CMI removal because of implant breakage and 4 joint replacements (2 unicompartmental knee arthroplasties and 2 total knee arthroplasties). The implant survival rate was 96% at 2 years, 85% at 5 years, 85% at 10 years, 77% at 12 years, and 64% at 14 years. Lysholm scores at the final follow-up were rated as “excellent” in 36% (5 of 14 nonfailures), “good” in 43% (6 of 14), and “fair” in 21% (3 of 14). The VAS score was 3.1 ± 3.1, with only 16% (3 of 19 patients) reporting that they were pain-free; the median Tegner score was 3 (interquartile range, 2-5). All clinical scores decreased from the 2-year follow-up; however, with the exception of the Tegner score, they remained significantly higher compared with the preoperative status. Overall, 79% of patients were willing to undergo the same procedure.

Conclusion:

Lateral CMI implantation for partial lateral meniscal defects provided good long-term results, with a 10-year survival rate of 85% and a 14-year survival rate of 64%. At the final follow-up, 58% of the patients had “good” or “excellent” Lysholm scores. However, there was a general decrease in outcome scores between the short- and the long-term follow-up.

Elective orthopaedic cancellations due to the COVID-19 pandemic: where are we now, and where are we heading?

AIMS

The primary aim is to estimate the current and potential number of patients on NHS England orthopaedic elective waiting lists by November 2020. The secondary aims are to model recovery strategies; review the deficit of hip and knee arthroplasty from National Joint Registry (NJR) data; and assess the cost of returning to pre-COVID-19 waiting list numbers.

METHODS

A model of referral, waiting list, and eventual surgery was created and calibrated using historical data from NHS England (April 2017 to March 2020) and was used to investigate the possible consequences of unmet demand resulting from fewer patients entering the treatment pathway and recovery strategies. NJR data were used to estimate the deficit of hip and knee arthroplasty by August 2020 and NHS tariff costs were used to calculate the financial burden.

RESULTS

By November 2020, the elective waiting list in England is predicted to be between 885,286 and 1,028,733. If reduced hospital capacity is factored into the model, returning to full capacity by November, the waiting list could be as large as 1.4 million. With a 30% increase in productivity, it would take 20 months if there was no hidden burden of unreferred patients, and 48 months if there was a hidden burden, to return to pre-COVID-19 waiting list numbers. By August 2020, the estimated deficits of hip and knee arthroplasties from NJR data were 18,298 (44.8%) and 16,567 (38.6%), respectively, compared to the same time period in 2019. The cost to clear this black log would be £198,811,335.

CONCLUSION

There will be up to 1.4 million patients on elective orthopaedic waiting lists in England by November 2020, approximate three-times the pre-COVID-19 average. There are various strategies for recovery to return to pre-COVID-19 waiting list numbers reliant on increasing capacity, but these have substantial cost implications. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2021;2(2):103-110.