Parameter updating of a patient-specific lung mechanics model for optimising mechanical ventilation

Pulmonary response prediction through personalized basis functions in a virtual patient model

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Recruitment maneuvers with subsequent positive-end-expiratory-pressure (PEEP) have proven effective in recruiting lung volume and preventing alveoli collapse. However, determining a safe, effective, and patient-specific PEEP is not standardized, and this more optimal PEEP level evolves with patient condition, requiring personalised monitoring and care approaches to maintain optimal ventilation settings.

METHODS

This research examines 3 physiologically relevant basis function sets (exponential, parabolic, cumulative) to enable better prediction of elastance evolution for a virtual patient or digital twin model of MV lung mechanics, including novel elements to model and predict distension elastance. Prediction accuracy and robustness are validated against recruitment maneuver data from 18 volume-controlled ventilation (VCV) patients at 7 different baseline PEEP levels (0 to 12 cmH2O) and 14 pressure-controlled ventilation (PCV) patients at 4 different baseline PEEP levels (6 to 12 cmH2O), yielding 623 and 294 prediction cases, respectively. Predictions were made up to 12 cmH2O of added PEEP ahead, covering 6 × 2 cmH2O PEEP steps.

RESULTS

The 3 basis function sets yield median absolute peak inspiratory pressure (PIP) prediction error of 1.63 cmH2O for VCV patients, and median peak inspiratory volume (PIV) prediction error of 0.028 L for PCV patients. The exponential basis function set yields a better trade-off of overall performance across VCV and PCV prediction than parabolic and cumulative basis function sets from other studies. Comparing predicted and clinically measured distension prediction in VCV demonstrated consistent, robust high accuracy with R2 = 0.90-0.95.

CONCLUSIONS

The results demonstrate recruitment mechanics are best captured by an exponential basis function across different mechanical ventilation modes, matching physiological expectations, and accurately capture, for the first time, distension mechanics to within 5-10 % accuracy. Enabling the risk of lung injury to be predicted before changing ventilator settings. The overall outcomes significantly extend and more fully validate this digital twin or virtual mechanical ventilation patient model.

Automated evaluation of typical patient-ventilator asynchronies based on lung hysteretic responses

BACKGROUND

Patient-ventilator asynchrony is common during mechanical ventilation (MV) in intensive care unit (ICU), leading to worse MV care outcome. Identification of asynchrony is critical for optimizing MV settings to reduce or eliminate asynchrony, whilst current clinical visual inspection of all typical types of asynchronous breaths is difficult and inefficient. Patient asynchronies create a unique pattern of distortions in hysteresis respiratory behaviours presented in pressure-volume (PV) loop.

METHODS

Identification method based on hysteretic lung mechanics and hysteresis loop analysis is proposed to delineate the resulted changes of lung mechanics in PV loop during asynchronous breathing, offering detection of both its incidence and 7 major types. Performance is tested against clinical patient data with comparison to visual inspection conducted by clinical doctors.

RESULTS

The identification sensitivity and specificity of 11 patients with 500 breaths for each patient are above 89.5% and 96.8% for all 7 types, respectively. The average sensitivity and specificity across all cases are 94.6% and 99.3%, indicating a very good accuracy. The comparison of statistical analysis between identification and human inspection yields the essential same clinical judgement on patient asynchrony status for each patient, potentially leading to the same clinical decision for setting adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall results validate the accuracy and robustness of the identification method for a bedside monitoring, as well as its ability to provide a quantified metric for clinical decision of ventilator setting. Hence, the method shows its potential to assist a more consistent and objective assessment of asynchrony without undermining the efficacy of the current clinical practice.

Non-invasive over-distension measurements: data driven vs model-based

Clinical measurements offer bedside monitoring aiming to minimise unintended over-distension, but have limitations and cannot be predicted for changes in mechanical ventilation (MV) settings and are only available in certain MV modes. This study introduces a non-invasive, real-time over-distension measurement, which is robust, predictable, and more intuitive than current methods. The proposed over-distension measurement, denoted as OD, is compared with the clinically proven stress index (SI). Correlation is analysed via R² and Spearman r_s. The OD safe range corresponding to the unit-less SI safe range (0.95-1.05) is calibrated by sensitivity and specificity test. Validation is fulfilled with 19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) patients data (196 cases), including assessment across ARDS severity. Overall correlation between OD and SI yielded R² = 0.76 and Spearman r_s = 0.89. Correlation is higher considering only moderate and severe ARDS patients. Calibration of OD to SI yields a safe range defined: 0 ≤ OD ≤ 0.8 cmH₂O. The proposed OD offers an efficient, general, real-time measurement of patient-specific lung mechanics, which is more intuitive and robust than SI. OD eliminates the limitations of SI in MV mode and its less intuitive lung status value. Finally, OD can be accurately predicted for new ventilator settings via its foundation in a validated predictive personalized lung mechanics model. Therefore, OD offers potential clinical value over current clinical methods.

Estimating the incidence of spontaneous breathing effort of mechanically ventilated patients using a non-linear auto regressive (NARX) model

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Mechanical ventilation (MV) provides breathing support for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) patients in the intensive care unit, but is difficult to optimize. Too much, or too little of pressure or volume support can cause further ventilator-induced lung injury, increasing length of MV, cost and mortality. Patient-specific respiratory mechanics can help optimize MV settings. However, model-based estimation of respiratory mechanics is less accurate when patient exhibit un-modeled spontaneous breathing (SB) efforts on top of ventilator support. This study aims to estimate and quantify SB efforts by reconstructing the unaltered passive mechanics airway pressure using NARX model.

METHODS

Non-linear autoregressive (NARX) model is used to reconstruct missing airway pressure due to the presence of spontaneous breathing effort in mv patients. Then, the incidence of SB patients is estimated. The study uses a total of 10,000 breathing cycles collected from 10 ARDS patients from IIUM Hospital in Kuantan, Malaysia. In this study, there are 2 different ratios of training and validating methods. Firstly, the initial ratio used is 60:40 which indicates 600 breath cycles for training and remaining 400 breath cycles used for testing. Then, the ratio is varied using 70:30 ratio for training and testing data.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The mean residual error between original airway pressure and reconstructed airway pressure is denoted as the magnitude of effort. The median and interquartile range of mean residual error for both ratio are 0.0557 [0.0230 - 0.0874] and 0.0534 [0.0219 - 0.0870] respectively for all patients. The results also show that Patient 2 has the highest percentage of SB incidence and Patient 10 with the lowest percentage of SB incidence which proved that NARX model is able to perform for both higher incidence of SB effort or when there is a lack of SB effort.

CONCLUSION

This model is able to produce the SB incidence rate based on 10% threshold. Hence, the proposed NARX model is potentially useful to estimate and identify patient-specific SB effort, which has the potential to further assist clinical decisions and optimize MV settings.

Modeling Mechanical Ventilation In Silico-Potential and Pitfalls

Computer simulation offers a fresh approach to traditional medical research that is particularly well suited to investigating issues related to mechanical ventilation. Patients receiving mechanical ventilation are routinely monitored in great detail, providing extensive high-quality data-streams for model design and configuration. Models based on such data can incorporate very complex system dynamics that can be validated against patient responses for use as investigational surrogates. Crucially, simulation offers the potential to "look inside" the patient, allowing unimpeded access to all variables of interest. In contrast to trials on both animal models and human patients, in silico models are completely configurable and reproducible; for example, different ventilator settings can be applied to an identical virtual patient, or the same settings applied to different patients, to understand their mode of action and quantitatively compare their effectiveness. Here, we review progress on the mathematical modeling and computer simulation of human anatomy, physiology, and pathophysiology in the context of mechanical ventilation, with an emphasis on the clinical applications of this approach in various disease states. We present new results highlighting the link between model complexity and predictive capability, using data on the responses of individual patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome to changes in multiple ventilator settings. The current limitations and potential of in silico modeling are discussed from a clinical perspective, and future challenges and research directions highlighted.

Over-distension prediction via hysteresis loop analysis and patient-specific basis functions in a virtual patient model

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Recruitment maneuvers (RMs) with subsequent positive-end-expiratory-pressure (PEEP) have proven effective in recruiting lung volume and preventing alveolar collapse. However, a suboptimal PEEP could induce undesired injury in lungs by insufficient or excessive breath support. Thus, a predictive model for patient response under PEEP changes could improve clinical care and lower risks.

METHODS

This research adds novel elements to a virtual patient model to identify and predict patient-specific lung distension to optimise and personalise care. Model validity and accuracy are validated using data from 18 volume-controlled ventilation (VCV) patients at 7 different baseline PEEP levels (0-12cmH₂O), yielding 623 prediction cases. Predictions were made up to ΔPEEP = 12cmH₂O ahead covering 6x2cmH₂O PEEP steps.

RESULTS

Using the proposed lung distension model, 90% of absolute peak inspiratory pressure (PIP) prediction errors compared to clinical measurement are within 3.95cmH₂O, compared with 4.76cmH₂O without this distension term. Comparing model-predicted and clinically measured distension had high correlation increasing to R² = 0.93-0.95 if maximum ΔPEEP ≤ 6cmH₂O. Predicted dynamic functional residual capacity (V_frc) changes as PEEP rises yield 0.013L median prediction error for both prediction groups and overall R² of 0.84.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall results demonstrate nonlinear distension mechanics are accurately captured in virtual lung mechanics patients for mechanical ventilation, for the first time. This result can minimise the risk of lung injury by predicting its potential occurrence of distension before changing ventilator settings. The overall outcomes significantly extend and more fully validate this virtual mechanical ventilation patient model.

Virtual patients for mechanical ventilation in the intensive care unit

BACKGROUND

Mechanical ventilation (MV) is a core intensive care unit (ICU) therapy. Significant inter- and intra- patient variability in lung mechanics and condition makes managing MV difficult. Accurate prediction of patient-specific response to changes in MV settings would enable optimised, personalised, and more productive care, improving outcomes and reducing cost. This study develops a generalised digital clone model, or in-silico virtual patient, to accurately predict lung mechanics in response to changes in MV.

METHODS

An identifiable, nonlinear hysteresis loop model (HLM) captures patient-specific lung dynamics identified from measured ventilator data. Identification and creation of the virtual patient model is fully automated using the hysteresis loop analysis (HLA) method to identify lung elastances from clinical data. Performance is evaluated using clinical data from 18 volume-control (VC) and 14 pressure-control (PC) ventilated patients who underwent step-wise recruitment maneuvers.

RESULTS

Patient-specific virtual patient models accurately predict lung response for changes in PEEP up to 12 cmH₂O for both volume and pressure control cohorts. R² values for predicting peak inspiration pressure (PIP) and additional retained lung volume, V_frc in VC, are R²=0.86 and R²=0.90 for 106 predictions over 18 patients. For 14 PC patients and 84 predictions, predicting peak inspiratory volume (PIV) and V_frc yield R²=0.86 and R²=0.83. Absolute PIP, PIV and V_frc errors are relatively small.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall results validate the accuracy and versatility of the virtual patient model for capturing and predicting nonlinear changes in patient-specific lung mechanics. Accurate response prediction enables mechanically and physiologically relevant virtual patients to guide personalised and optimised MV therapy.