Progression of Unresected Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas to Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Multi-omic profiling of intraductal papillary neoplasms of the pancreas reveals distinct expression patterns and potential markers of progression

In order to advance our understanding of precancers in the pancreas, 69 pancreatic intraductal papillary neoplasms (IPNs), including 64 intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and 5 intraductal oncocytic papillary neoplasms (IOPNs), 32 pancreatic cyst fluid samples, 104 invasive pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs), 43 normal adjacent tissues (NATs), and 76 macro-dissected normal pancreatic ducts (NDs) were analyzed by mass spectrometry. A total of 10,246 proteins and 22,284 glycopeptides were identified in all tissue samples, and 756 proteins with more than 1.5-fold increase in abundance in IPMNs relative to NDs were identified, 45% of which were also identified in cyst fluids. The over-expression of selected proteins was validated by immunolabeling. Proteins and glycoproteins overexpressed in IPMNs included those involved in glycan biosynthesis and the immune system. In addition, multiomics clustering identified two subtypes of IPMNs. This study provides a foundation for understanding tumor progression and targets for earlier detection and therapies.

Significance

This multilevel characterization of intraductal papillary neoplasms of the pancreas provides a foundation for understanding the changes in protein and glycoprotein expression during the progression from normal duct to intraductal papillary neoplasm, and to invasive pancreatic carcinoma, providing a foundation for informed approaches to earlier detection and treatment.

Utility of Radiological Follow Up of Main-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms and Mixed-Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) have the potential to evolve into pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC). While main-duct IPMNs (MD-IPMNs), involving the main pancreatic duct (MPD), are less common than side-branch IPMNs (SB-IPMNs) or mixed-type IPMNs (mixed-IPMNs), their malignant transformation potential is far greater. Controversy exists between different guidelines in terms of recommended management strategies. This study was aimed at assessing the utility of the radiological follow up of MD-IPMNs and mixed-type IPMNs, including prevalence of worrisome radiological findings as well as clinical and laboratory parameters, and their correlation with the development of progression or pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

Eighty-four patients with MD-IPMNs or mixed-type IPMNs who underwent at least one magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) were included. Clinical and laboratory data were obtained retrospectively. A cross-sectional analysis was carried out to establish clinical and laboratory parameters associated with development of PDAC. A retrospective cohort analysis was performed on 44 patients who had at least six months of follow up, trying to identify factors correlating with worrisome radiological features.

RESULTS

Nine cases (10.7%) of PDAC were recorded in this cohort. The laboratory and imaging factors associated with cyst size progression greater than 5 mm during follow up were elevated alanine transaminase (ALT) levels, the maximal cyst size, and the MPD diameter. Cross-sectional analysis indicated that PDAC was associated with nausea (p = 0.01), as well as increased levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (p = 0.05), gamma glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) (p = 0.01), and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated levels of liver enzymes were associated with IPMN progression and, subsequently, the development of PDAC. ALT levels, maximal cyst size, and MPD diameter are associated with the progression of cyst size. These data may aid in risk-stratifying patients when determining the follow up approach for IPMNs.

The relationship between observation interval and prognosis in pancreatic cancer concomitant with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia (IPMN) is a risk factor for pancreatic cancer (PC). PC concomitant with IPMN shows rapid progression similar to de novo PC, therefore, the appropriate observation interval (OI) is not yet clear.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

This was a multicenter retrospective observational study, and patients with PC concomitant with IPMN were analyzed. OI was defined as the interval between the date of imaging at PC diagnosis and just before the diagnosis. Clinical factors of PC and prognosis were assessed according to OI.

RESULTS

From January 2010 to December 2018, 73 patients from 11 institutions were enrolled. The images performed just before PC diagnosis were contrast-enhanced CT/magnetic resonance imaging/endoscopic ultrasonography in 44/27/2 patients, respectively. The median cyst size was 14.0 mm, and the median main pancreatic duct diameter was 3.0 mm. The median OI was 6.8 months. In OI 6 months or less (OI ≤ 6 M)/OI more than 6 months (OI > 6 M), the mean tumor size, the frequencies of metastatic PC, resectable PC and early-stage PC were 20.1/21.5 mm (P = 0.91), 12.1 %/32.5 % (P = 0.05), 72.7 %/52.5 % (P = 0.09) and 27.3 %/25.0 % (P = 1.00), respectively. The median overall survival was 35.5 months in OI ≤ 6 M and 16.2 months in OI > 6 M (P = 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In OI 6 months or less, the rate of resectable PC was high, however, the rate of early PC was almost the same as that of OI more than 6 months. Approximately 10 % of cases found in the advanced stage with metastasis even if OI 6 months or less.

Association of high-risk stigmata and worrisome features with advanced neoplasia in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN): A systematic review

BACKGROUND

This systematic review aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the International Consensus Fukuoka Guidelines (ICG2017) in identifying high-risk lesions of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs).

METHODS

The ICG2017 revision committee conducted a comprehensive literature review to establish evidence-based statements on IPMNs. The review focused on articles examining the diagnostic value of imaging features (e.g., cyst or main pancreatic duct diameter), clinical symptoms associated with IPMN, and serum biomarkers. Five clinical questions regarding high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF) in the ICG2017 guidelines were addressed.

RESULTS

A total of 210 articles were reviewed. The findings revealed a significant association between the presence of mural nodules ≥5 mm in diameter or solid components with contrast enhancement and the diagnosis of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma. Contrast-enhanced diagnostic tools, such as CT, MRI, or EUS, demonstrated the highest prediction rate and were recommended. Positive cytology was identified as an HRS, while symptoms like acute pancreatitis and cyst diameter growth ≥2.5 mm per year were considered WFs. The use of nomograms and multiple diagnostic factors was recommended for optimal IPMN management.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review provides evidence supporting the improved diagnostic accuracy of ICG2017 in identifying high-risk lesions of IPMN. The multidisciplinary incorporation of HRS and WF based on imaging findings and clinical symptoms is crucial. These findings should inform the revision of ICG2017, enhancing the evaluation and management of IPMN patients. By implementing these recommendations, clinicians can make more informed decisions, leading to better diagnosis and treatment outcomes for high-risk IPMN cases.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: Uncommon imaging presentation, evolution and comparison of guidelines

Pancreatic cystic lesions are often asymptomatic, incidentally detected and include a range of entities with varying degrees of concern for malignancy. Among these, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are considered premalignant pancreatic lesions, with a broad pathological spectrum ranging from lesions without dysplasia, which can be managed conservatively, to malignant lesions that require surgical resection. The increasing use of CT and MRI has led to increased recognition of this entity incidentally, with branch-duct IPMN representing the most common subtype and the most challenging lesions in terms of patient management. The main imaging modality involved in diagnosis and surveillance of IPMN is MRI. Radiologists play an important role in the management of patients with IPMN, including lesion detection, characterization, follow-up and prognostication, allowing early MRI identification of features that are concerning for malignancy. The main aim of this pictorial review is to illustrate MRI features of IPMN and to discuss risk stratification scores based on different guidelines, with a main focus on branch-duct IPMN. The secondary aims include the presentation of common and uncommon imaging evolution of BD-IPMN as well as the discussion on current controversies on the appropriate management of IPMN.

Intraductal neoplasms of the pancreatobiliary tract: navigating the alphabet

Cancers of the pancreatobiliary tract are diseases with unfavourable prognoses. In the last couple of decades, two types of lesions have been described as precursors that precede pancreatobiliary cancers. These include incidental microscopic (flat) lesions known as pancreatic intra-epithelial neoplasia and biliary intra-epithelial neoplasia, and grossly visible, mass-forming lesions (tumoral intra-epithelial neoplasia) including intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, intraductal oncocytic papillary neoplasms, intraductal tubulopapillary neoplasms, intraductal papillary neoplasms of the bile duct and intracholecystic papillary neoplasms. Early detection and adequate treatment of these precursor lesions, especially the second group, have the potential to prevent pancreatobiliary cancer or at least improve its prognosis. In this review, we discuss their histopathology and recent updates on molecular profiling of these intraductal neoplasms of the pancreatobiliary tract.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas: A Challenging Diagnosis

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas (IPMN) was classified as a distinct entity from mucinous cystic neoplasm by the WHO in 1995. It represents a mucin-producing tumor that originates from the ductal epithelium and can evolve from slight dysplasia to invasive carcinoma. In addition, different aspects of tumor progression may be seen in the same lesion. Three types are recognized, the branch duct variant, the main duct variant, which shows a much higher prevalence for malignancy, and the mixed-type variant, which combines branch and main duct characteristics. Advances in cross-sectional imaging have led to an increased rate of IPMN detection. The main imaging characteristic of IPMN is the dilatation of the pancreatic duct without the presence of an obstructing lesion. The diagnosis of a branch duct IPMN is based on the proof of its communication with the main pancreatic duct on MRI-MRCP examination. Early identification by imaging of the so-called worrisome features or predictors for malignancy is an important and challenging task. In this review, we will present recent imaging advances in the diagnosis and characterization of different types of IPMNs, as well as imaging tools available for early recognition of worrisome features for malignancy. A critical appraisal of current IPMN management guidelines from both a radiologist's and surgeon's perspective will be made. Special mention is made of complications that might arise during the course of IPMNs as well as concomitant pancreatic neoplasms including pancreatic adenocarcinoma and pancreatic endocrine neoplasms. Finally, recent research on prognostic and predictive biomarkers including radiomics will be discussed.

Pre-emptive resection for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia - Long-term outcome is similar between non-invasive and early invasive lesions in a tertiary single center

BACKGROUND

Pre-emptive resection for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) aims to reduce the risk before invasive transformation has taken place. Pancreatic resections are highly associated with major morbidity and mortality. Long-term overall survival (OS) after resection for invasive IPMN (inv-IPMN) in early stages is favorable. Comparison of long-term OS for resected non-invasive IPMN and early staged inv-IPMN is poorly delineated. This study aims to compare outcomes for resected non-invasive IPMN and T1-staged inv-IPMN.

METHODS

All patients ≥18 years of age resected for IPMN up to stage T1 at Karolinska University Hospital between 2008 and 2020 were included. Two-year OS were compared between groups by chi-squared test, and 5-year OS was estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. Covariates associated with death was assessed in multivariable Cox regression model.

RESULTS

We included 284 patients, 264 (93%) non-invasive IPMN and 20 (7%) T1-staged inv-IPMN. Dysplasia of low grade (LGD) and high grade, i.e., tumor in situ (Tis) were present in 190 (67%) and 75 (26%) patients respectively. The 2-year OS for the entire cohort was 96%, and there were no differences between non-invasive and inv-IPMN (96% vs 92%, p = 0.203), nor between IPMN with LGD and Tis-T1b-staged IPMN (96% vs 95%, p = 0.734).

CONCLUSION

Two thirds of the specimen from pre-emptive resections were of LGD and did not involve superior OS than in situ or early cancer. Due to high complication burden, efforts should be made to avoid resection when LGD is probable and rather identify more accurate predictors for surgery.

Arterial Pseudoaneurysm Mimicking a Mural Nodule Within a Pancreatic Cyst

Pancreatic cysts with high-risk characteristics are at increased risk of harboring high-grade dysplasia or pancreatic cancer. Endoscopic ultrasound may clarify the nature of the cystic lesion and its malignant potential. A mural nodule found through endoscopic ultrasound within a cyst may represent malignancy and require fine-needle aspiration. Pancreatic pseudocysts are benign walled-off fluid collections that form in the setting of pancreatitis and may be difficult to differentiate from neoplastic cysts. Pseudoaneurysms form when pancreatitis inflammation damages vessel walls and can cause fatal hemorrhage. We present a pancreatic pseudocyst with pseudoaneurysm mimicking a neoplastic cyst with a mural nodule.

Uncinate Duct Dilatation Predicts Additional Risk for High-Grade Dysplasia or Invasive Carcinoma Among Fukuoka-Positive Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether uncinate duct dilatation (UDD) increases the risk of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma (HGD/IC) in Fukuoka-positive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs).

BACKGROUND

Though classified as a branch duct, the uncinate duct is the primary duct of the pancreatic ventral anlage. We hypothesized that UDD, like main duct dilatation, confers additional risk for HGD/IC.

METHODS

A total of 467 patients met inclusion criteria in a retrospective cohort study of surgically resected IPMNs at the Massachusetts General Hospital. We used multivariable logistic regression to analyze the association between UDD (defined as ≥4 mm) and HGD/IC, controlling for Fukuoka risk criteria. In a secondary analysis, the modeling was repeated in the 194 patients with dorsal branch duct IPMNs (BD-IPMNs) in the pancreatic neck, body, or tail.

RESULTS

Mean age at surgery was 70, and 229 (49%) patients were female. In total, 267 (57%) patients had only worrisome features and 200 (43%) had at least 1 high-risk feature. UDD was present in 164 (35%) patients, of whom 118 (73%) had HGD/IC. On multivariable analysis, UDD increased the odds of HGD/IC by 2.8-fold, even while controlling for Fukuoka risk factors (95% CI: 1.8-4.4, P <0.001). Prevalence of HGD/IC in all patients with UDD was 73%, compared with 74% in patients with high-risk stigmata and 73% in patients with main duct IPMNs. In the secondary analysis, UDD increased the odds of HGD/IC by 3.2-fold in patients with dorsal BD-IPMNs (95% CI: 1.3-7.7, P =0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

UDD confers additional risk for HGD/IC unaccounted for by current Fukuoka criteria. Further research can extend this study to Fukuoka-negative patients, including unresected patients.

Peritoneal Metastases After Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm Resection: How Common are They?

INTRODUCTION

Peritoneal metastases (PMs) following resection of pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are rare. Consequently, prevalence, risk factors, and prognosis are not well known. We reviewed our institution's experience and published literature to further characterize the scope of this phenomenon.

METHODS

All pancreatectomy cases (556 patients) performed at a tertiary care center between 2010 and 2020 were reviewed to identify IPMN diagnoses. Patients with adenocarcinoma not arising from IPMN, or a history of other malignancies were excluded.

RESULTS

Seventy-eight patients underwent pancreatectomy with IPMN on final pathology at our institution; 51 met inclusion criteria. Of these, there were five cases of PMs (4:1 females:males). Four had invasive carcinoma arising from IPMN and one had high-grade dysplasia at the index operation. Female sex and invasive histology were significantly associated with PM (P < 0.05). PM rates by sex were 3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.5-15) in males and 22% (95% CI: 9-45) in females. Rates by histology were 2.9% (95% CI: 0.5-15) for noninvasive IPMN, and 23.5% (95% CI: 9.5-47) for invasive carcinoma arising from IPMN. Median interval from surgery to PMs was 7 mo (range: 3-13).

CONCLUSIONS

PMs following IPMN resection are rare but may be more common in patients with invasive histology. Although rare, PMs can arise in patients with noninvasive IPMNs. Further studies on pathophysiology and risk factors of PM following IPMN resection are needed and may reinforce adherence to guidelines recommending long-term surveillance.

Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: Diagnosis and Management

Pancreatic cancer is one of the most lethal cancers, largely related to the difficulties with early detection, as it typically presents in later stages. Pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCN) are commonly diagnosed as incidental findings on routine imaging. PCN is becoming more frequently detected with the increasing ease and frequency of obtaining cross-sectional images. Certain subtypes of pancreatic cysts have the potential to progress to malignancy, and therefore, clinicians are tasked with creating a patient-centered management plan. The decision of whether to undergo surgical resection or interval surveillance can be challenging given the criteria, including PCN size, pancreatic duct dilation, presence of a mural nodule, and clinical symptoms that play a potential role in risk stratification. Furthermore, the guidelines available from the major gastrointestinal societies all differ in their management recommendations. In this review, we detail an overview of the different types of PCNs and compare major guidelines for both diagnosis and management. We include emerging evidence for next-generation sequencing as well as confocal needle endomicroscopy to aid in the diagnosis and determination of malignancy potential and diagnosis.

New-Onset Diabetes Is a Potential Marker for the Malignant Transformation of Pancreatic Cysts: A Real-World Population Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

New-onset diabetes mellitus has been shown to be associated with pancreatic cancer (PC) in the general population. Our objective was to leverage real-world data to assess the association of new-onset diabetes (NODM) with malignant transformation in a large longitudinal cohort of pancreatic cyst patients.

METHODS

A retrospective longitudinal cohort study was conducted using IBM's MarketScan claims databases from 2009 to 2017. From 200 million database subjects, we selected patients with newly diagnosed cysts without prior pancreatic pathology.

RESULTS

Of the 137,970 patients with a pancreatic cyst, 14,279 had a new diagnosis. Median follow-up was 41.6 months. Patients with NODM progressed to PC at nearly 3 times the rate of patients without a diabetes history (hazard ratio, 2.80; 95% confidence interval, 2.05-3.83) and at a significantly higher rate than patients with preexisting diabetes (hazard ratio, 1.59; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-2.21). The mean interval between NODM and cancer diagnosis was 7.5 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Cyst patients who developed NODM progressed to PC at 3 times the rate of nondiabetics and at a greater rate than preexisting diabetics. The diagnosis of NODM preceded cancer detection by several months. These results support the inclusion of diabetes mellitus screening in cyst surveillance algorithms.

Higher volume growth rate is associated with development of worrisome features in patients with branch duct-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

Branch duct-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) are the most common pancreatic cystic tumours and have a low risk of malignant transformation. Current guidelines only evaluate cyst diameter as an important risk factor but it is not always easy to measure, especially when comparing different methods. On the other side, cyst volume is a new parameter with low inter-observer variability and is highly reproducible over time.

AIM

To assess both diameter and volume growth rate of BD-IPMNs and evaluate their correlation with the development of malignant characteristics.

METHODS

Computed tomography scans and magnetic resonance imaging exams were retrospectively reviewed. The diameter was measured on three planes, while the volume was calculated by segmentation: The volume of the entire cyst was determined by manually drawing a region of interest along the edge of the neoplasm on each consecutive slice covering the whole lesion; therefore, a three-dimensional volume of interest was finally obtained with the calculated value expressed in cm³. Changes in size over time were measured. The development of worrisome features was evaluated.

RESULTS

We evaluated exams of 98 patients across a 40.5-mo median follow-up time. Ten patients developed worrisome features. Cysts at baseline were significantly larger in patients who developed worrisome features (diameters P = 0.0035, P = 0.00652, P = 0.00424; volume P = 0.00222). Volume growth rate was significantly higher in patients who developed worrisome features (1.12 cm³/year vs 0 cm³/year, P = 0.0001); diameter growth rate was higher as well, but the difference did not always reach statistical significance. Volume but not diameter growth rate in the first year of follow-up was higher in patients who developed worrisome features (0.46 cm³/year vs 0 cm³/year, P = 0.00634).

CONCLUSION

The measurement of baseline volume and its variation over time is a reliable tool for the follow-up of BD-IPMNs. Volume measurement could be a better tool than diameter measurement to predict the development of worrisome features.

Benefit of Extended Surveillance of Low-Risk Pancreatic Cysts After 5-Year Stability: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Low-risk branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) lacking worrisome features (WF) and high-risk stigmata (HRS) warrant surveillance. However, their optimal duration, especially among cysts with initial 5 years of size stability, warrants further investigation. We systematically reviewed the surveillance of low-risk BD-IPMNs and investigated the incidence of WF/HRS and advanced neoplasia, high-grade dysplasia, and pancreatic cancer during the initial (<5 years) and extended surveillance period (>5-years).

METHODS

A systematic search (CRD42020117120) identified studies investigating long-term IPMN surveillance outcomes of low-risk IPMN among the Cochrane Library, Embase, Google Scholar, Ovid Medline, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science, from inception until July 9, 2021. The outcomes included the incidence of WF/HRS and advanced neoplasia, disease-specific mortality, and surveillance-related harm (expressed as percentage per patient-years). The meta-analysis relied on time-to-event plots and used a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Forty-one eligible studies underwent systematic review, and 18 studies were meta-analyzed. The pooled incidence of WF/HRS among low-risk BD-IPMNs during initial and extended surveillance was 2.2% (95% CI, 1.0%-3.7%) and 2.9% (95% CI, 1.0%-5.7%) patient-years, respectively, whereas the incidence of advanced neoplasia was 0.6% (95% CI, 0.2%-1.00%) and 1.0% (95% CI, 0.6%-1.5%) patient-years, respectively. The pooled incidence of disease-specific mortality during initial and extended surveillance was 0.3% (95% CI, 0.1%-0.6%) and 0.6% (95% CI, 0.0%-1.6%) patient-years, respectively. Among BD-IPMNs with initial size stability, extended surveillance had a WF/HRS and advanced neoplasia incidence of 1.9% (95% CI, 1.2%-2.8%) and 0.2% (95% CI, 0.1%-0.5%) patient-years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A lower incidence of advanced neoplasia during extended surveillance among low-risk, stable-sized BD-IPMNs was a key finding of this study. However, the survival benefit of surveillance among this population warrants further exploration through high-quality studies before recommending surveillance cessation with certainty.

Should non-invasive diffuse main-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms be treated with total pancreatectomy?

BACKGROUND

Main-duct (MD) intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is associated with malignancy risk. There is a lack of consensus on treatment (partial or total pancreatectomy) when the MD is diffusely involved. We sought to characterize the pancreatic remnant fate after partial pancreatectomy for non-invasive diffuse MD-IPMN.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with partial pancreatectomy for non-invasive MD-IPMN from 2004 to 2016 were analyzed. Diffuse MD-IPMN was defined by preoperative imaging as dilation of the MD in the head of the pancreas more than 5 mm and involving the whole gland.

RESULTS

Of 127 patients with resected non-invasive MD-IPMN, 47 (37%) had diffuse MD involvement. Eleven of 47(23%) patients developed imaging evidence of progression or new cystic disease in the pancreatic remnant. Patients with diffuse MD-IPMN were older (73yrs vs 67yrs, p = 0.009), more likely to receive a pancreaticoduodenectomy (96% vs 56%, p < 0.001) and have high-grade dysplasia (51% vs 31%, p = 0.025) than those with focal MD involvement. Diffuse MD involvement was not associated with shorter PFS following partial pancreatectomy (p = 0.613).

CONCLUSION

Partial pancreatectomy is an appropriate surgical approach for diffuse MD-IPMN, and is not associated with earlier progression after surgery as compared to partial pancreatectomy for focal dilation.

Incidence of pancreatic cancer during long-term follow-up in patients with incidental pancreatic cysts smaller than 2 cm

PURPOSE

To assess the long-term malignancy risk of incidental small pancreatic cysts.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this HIPAA-compliant, IRB-approved, retrospective, multi-institutional study, the long-term incidence of pancreatic cancer was compared between patients with and without small pancreatic cysts. Patients with incidental pancreatic cysts ≥ 0.5 and < 2.0 cm in maximal diameter, detected on MRI performed between 1999 and 2011, represented the "small pancreatic cyst" group. Patients that underwent MRI between 2005 and 2011 and had no reported pancreatic cysts represented the comparison "no cyst" group.

RESULTS

The "small pancreatic cyst" group included 267 patients, ages 63.4 ± 11.8 years, 166/267 (62%) women with a mean follow-up of 8.6 ± 4.3 years, median 9.2 years; the "no cyst" group included 1,459 patients, ages 64.6 ± 12 years, 794/1,459 (54%) women with a mean follow-up of 7.0 ± 4.2 years, median 7.8 (p values 0.12, 0.02, < 0.001, respectively). Two/267 (0.7%) patients developed pancreatic cancer at a separate location from the known cyst in the "small pancreatic cyst" group, with a cancer rate of 0.9 (95% CI 0.1-3.1) cases per 1,000 patient-years. In the "no cyst" cohort, 18/1,459 (1.2%) patients developed pancreatic cancer, with a cancer rate of 1.8 (95% CI 1.2-3.1) cases per 1,000 patient-years (p = 0.6). The all-cause mortality was similar in both groups: 57/267 (21%) vs. 384/1,459 (26%) (p = 0.09).

CONCLUSION

The long-term risk of pancreatic malignancy in asymptomatic patients with incidental pancreatic cysts less than 2 cm is 0.9 cases per 1,000 patient-years of follow-up, similar to those without pancreatic cysts. These very few pancreatic cancers developed at a separate location from the known cyst.

KEY POINTS

• After a median of 9.2 years of follow-up, the risk of pancreatic malignancy in patients with an asymptomatic small pancreatic cyst was 0.9 cases per 1,000 patient-years of follow-up, similar to those without pancreatic cysts. • Very few pancreatic cancer cases developed in the location separate from the known pancreatic cyst.

Comorbidities Drive the Majority of Overall Mortality in Low-Risk Mucinous Pancreatic Cysts Under Surveillance

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CACI) has been suggested as a tool to determine comorbidity burden and guide management for patients with mucinous pancreatic cysts (Intrapapillary Mucinous Neoplasms and Mucinous Cystic Neoplasms), but has not been studied well among "low-risk" mucinous pancreatic cysts i.e. without worrisome features (WF) and high-risk stigmata (HRS). This study sought to determine the comorbidity burden among surveillance population of low-risk pancreatic cysts and provide their follow-up mortality outcomes.

METHODS

A single center study retrospectively reviewed a prospective pancreatic cyst database and included individuals with low-risk cysts undergoing serial imaging during 2016. Electronic medical records were reviewed to determine their baseline age-adjusted CACI (age-CACI). After 4 years, their progression to WF, disease specific (pancreatic malignancy-related, DSM), extra-pancreatic (EPM), and overall mortalities (OM) were determined using Kaplan-Meir Survival Analysis.

RESULTS

502 individuals underwent prospective surveillance. The study included 440 individuals with low-risk suspected or presumed mucinous cysts and excluded 50 and 12 individuals with WF and HRS respectively. Over a median follow-up of 56 months, 12 WF progressions, 2 DSMs, 42 EPMs, and 44 OMs were observed. Baseline age-CACI had good predictive capacity for 4-year EPM (Area-Under Curve: 0.87; p< .0001). The median age-CACI of 4 enabled cohort stratification into Low (age-CACI <4) and High CACI (age-CACI ≥4) groups. A significantly higher OM (p< .001) was observed among the High CACI group as compared to the Low CACI group.

CONCLUSION

Through real-time application of CACI to patient outcomes, our analysis supports incorporation of this comorbidity assessment tool in making shared surveillance decisions among low-risk pancreatic cyst population.

A Review of Mucinous Cystic and Intraductal Neoplasms of the Pancreatobiliary Tract

CONTEXT.—

Although most pancreatic and bile duct neoplasms are solid, mucinous cystic neoplasms and intraductal neoplasms have been increasingly recognized even when clinically silent, thanks to the increased use of sensitive imaging techniques. Cystic and intraductal neoplasms of the pancreas are often resectable and curable and constitute about 5% of all pancreatic neoplasms. Owing to their preinvasive nature and different biology, recognition of these entities remains a major priority. Mucinous cystic neoplasms are histologically and clinically distinct from other cystic pancreatic neoplasms. Pancreatic intraductal neoplasms encompass 3 major entities: intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, intraductal oncocytic papillary neoplasm, and intraductal tubulopapillary neoplasm. Intraductal papillary neoplasms of bile ducts are also preinvasive mass-forming neoplasms with both similarities and differences with their pancreatic counterparts. All of these pancreatobiliary neoplasms have diverse and distinctive clinicopathologic, genetic, and prognostic variations.

OBJECTIVE.—

To review the clinical, pathologic, and molecular features of mucinous cystic and intraductal neoplasms of the pancreatobiliary tract.

DATA SOURCES.—

Literature review, diagnostic manuals, and guidelines.

CONCLUSIONS.—

This review will briefly describe well-known clinical and pathologic features and will focus on selected recently described aspects of morphology, grading, classification, and genomic alterations of cystic and intraductal neoplasms of the pancreatobiliary tract.

Computed tomography nomogram to predict a high-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

OBJECTIVE

The intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas is regarded as a precursor to pancreatic cancer; this study aimed to develop and validate a model based on CT characteristics for the non-invasive prediction of the high-risk IPMN of the pancreas.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, all patients underwent multidetector CT and surgical resection. A prediction model was developed based on a training set consisting of 136 patients with low-risk IPMN and 85 patients with high-risk IPMN between October 2012 and April 2019, and a multivariable logistic regression model was adopted to establish a nomogram. The nomogram performance was determined by its discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. The model was validated in 80 consecutive patients between May 2019 and April 2020, of which 47 and 33 patients had low-risk and high-risk IPMNs, respectively.

RESULTS

The multivariable logistic regression model of CT characteristics included the enhancing mural nodule size, the main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter, the abrupt change in caliber of the MPD with distal pancreatic atrophy, cyst size, thickened enhancing cyst wall, and the presence of lymphadenopathy. The individualized prediction nomogram using these predictors of the high-risk IPMN achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.92 (95% CI 0.88-0.95) in the training set and 0.87 (95% CI 0.79-0.95) in the validation set. The decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful.

CONCLUSION

The CT nomogram, which is a non-invasive predictive tool, can preoperatively predict the risk of malignant IPMN and help identify patients who require a surgical procedure.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas: A Review of Their Genetic Characteristics and Mouse Models

Simple Summary

Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancers with the lowest survival rate. Little progress has been achieved in prolonging the survival for patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Hence, special attention should be paid to pre-cancerous lesions, for instance, an intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). Here, we reviewed its genetic characteristics and the mouse models involving mutations in specific pathways, and updated our current perception of how this lesion develops into a precursor of invasive cancer.

Abstract

The intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is attracting research attention because of its increasing incidence and proven potential to progress into invasive pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). In this review, we summarized the key signaling pathways or protein complexes (GPCR, TGF, SWI/SNF, WNT, and PI3K) that appear to be involved in IPMN pathogenesis. In addition, we collected information regarding all the genetic mouse models that mimic the human IPMN phenotype with specific immunohistochemistry techniques. The mouse models enable us to gain insight into the complex mechanism of the origin of IPMN, revealing that it can be developed from both acinar cells and duct cells according to different models. Furthermore, recent genomic studies describe the potential mechanism by which heterogeneous IPMN gives rise to malignant carcinoma through sequential, branch-off, or de novo approaches. The most intractable problem is that the risk of malignancy persists to some extent even if the primary IPMN is excised with a perfect margin, calling for the re-evaluation and improvement of diagnostic, pre-emptive, and therapeutic measures.

Diagnostic Yield of Transabdominal Ultrasonography for Evaluation of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions Compared with Endoscopic Ultrasonography

Detection rates of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) have increased, resulting in greater requirements for regular monitoring using imaging modalities. We aimed to evaluate the capability of ultrasonography (US) for morphological characterization of PCLs as a reference standard using endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS). A retrospective analysis was conducted of 102 PCLs from 92 patients who underwent US immediately prior to EUS between January 2014 and May 2017. The intermodality reliability and agreement of the PCL morphologic findings of the two techniques were analyzed and compared using the intraclass correlation coefficient and κ values. The success rates of US for delineating PCLs in the head, body, and tail of the pancreas were 77.8%, 91.8%, and 70.6%, respectively. The intraclass correlation coefficient for US and the corresponding EUS lesion size showed very good reliability (0.978; p < 0.001). The κ value between modalities was 0.882 for pancreatic duct dilation, indicating good agreement. The κ values for solid components and cystic wall and septal thickening were 0.481 and 0.395, respectively, indicating moderate agreement. US may be useful for monitoring PCL growth and changes in pancreatic duct dilation, but it has limited use in the diagnosis and surveillance of mural nodules or cystic wall thickness changes.

Prevalence, Incidence, and Risk of Progression of Asymptomatic Pancreatic Cysts in Large Sample Real-world Data

OBJECTIVES

Using large-sample, real-world administrative claims data, we evaluated the prevalence of putatively asymptomatic pancreatic cysts, the historical growth in their incident diagnosis, and their risk of malignant progression.

METHODS

Data were sourced from IBM MarketScan administrative claims databases of more than 200 million patients. Period prevalence was assessed using 700,000 individuals without conditions that predispose to pancreatic cyst. The standardized cumulative incidence was compared with the cross-sectional abdominal imaging rate from 2010-2017. The risk of progression to pancreatic cancer for 14,279 newly diagnosed patients with a cyst was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Standardized prevalence increased exponentially with age and was 1.84% (95% confidence interval, 1.80%-1.87%) for patients older than 45. Standardized incidence nearly doubled from 2010-2017 (6.3 to 11.4 per 10,000), whereas the imaging rate changed from only 8.0% to 9.4%. The cumulative risk of pancreatic cancer at 7 years was 3.0% (95% confidence interval, 2.4%-3.5%), increasing linearly (R2 = 0.991) with an annual progression risk of 0.47%.

CONCLUSIONS

Using large-sample data, we show a significant burden of asymptomatic pancreatic cysts, with an annual risk of progression to cancer of 0.47% for 7 years. Rapid growth in cyst diagnosis over the last decade far outpaced increases in the imaging rate.

Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Concomitant with Main Duct Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas: A Case Report

BACKGROUND Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas (IPMN) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) often coexist in the same pancreas. Almost all IPMNs involving PDACs concomitant with IPMN have been shown to be branch duct type IPMNs (BD-IPMNs), and their histological subtypes are gastric type. Therefore, PDACs concomitant with main duct type IPMNs (MD-IPMNs) are considered to be rare. We herein report a rare case preoperatively diagnosed as being a PDAC concomitant with MD-IPMN on the basis of imaging findings and histological findings of pancreatic specimens endoscopically obtained from 2 lesions. CASE REPORT A 67-year-old man was referred to our hospital due to an enlarged pancreas. Using imaging studies, a solid mass was found in the pancreatic head and intraductal papillary masses in the dilated main pancreatic duct of the body and tail with a fistula in the duodenum. On the basis of histological results using specimens endoscopically obtained from each of the 2 lesions, total pancreatectomy was planned due to suspected PDAC concomitant with an MD-IPMN. Finally, resected specimens were used to confirm the presence of a rare case of PDAC concomitant with MD-IPMN. CONCLUSIONS We encountered a rare case of a PDAC concomitant with an MD-IPMN which could be preoperatively diagnosed by using imaging studies and histological specimens endoscopically obtained. In addition to invasive cancers derived from IPMNs, PDACs concomitant with IPMNs can rarely develop in the pancreas involving MD-IPMNs.

Incidental Pancreatic Cysts on Cross-Sectional Imaging

Incidental pancreatic cysts are commonly encountered in radiology practice. Although some of these are benign, mucinous varieties have a potential to undergo malignant transformation. Characterization of some incidental pancreatic cysts based on imaging alone is limited, and given that some pancreatic cysts have a malignant potential, various societies have created guidelines for the management and follow-up of incidental pancreatic cysts. This article reviews the imaging findings and work-up of pancreatic cysts and gives an overview of the societal guidelines for the management and follow-up of incidental pancreatic cysts.

Current clinical and research fluid biomarkers to aid risk stratification of pancreatic cystic lesions

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCL) are composed of a heterogeneous group of entities that are increasingly diagnosed, generally as incidental findings in asymptomatic patients. In conjunction with this growing incidence, the potential for malignant transformation of mucin-producing cysts makes PCL a challenging clinical conundrum for the clinician, patient, and healthcare system. Cyst characterization based on morphology is often difficult and inaccurate, therefore several intracystic fluid biomarkers have been evaluated as ancillary testing to enhance the difficult balance between sparing a patient from an unnecessary high-risk pancreatic surgery and missing the opportunity to prevent or diagnose pancreatic adenocarcinoma at an early disease stage. There are two questions that are key to guide the care of patients with PCL: 1) is it a non-mucinous cyst that does not require any follow-up? and 2) if mucinous, does the cyst harbor advanced neoplasia (high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma) that requires surgical resection, or is it a low-risk lesion that will benefit from a surveillance program? The purpose of this review is to give a general and practical overview of the different cyst fluid biomarkers that have been studied to address these specific questions, from classic biochemical markers to include carcinoembryonic antigen to novel genetic and epigenetic markers, such as microRNA or intracystic bacterial DNA.

A Review of the Diagnosis and Management of Premalignant Pancreatic Cystic Lesions

Pancreatic cystic lesions are an increasingly common clinical finding. They represent a heterogeneous group of lesions that include two of the three known precursors of pancreatic cancer, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN). Given that approximately 8% of pancreatic cancers arise from these lesions, careful surveillance and timely surgery offers an opportunity for early curative resection in a disease with a dismal prognosis. This review summarizes the current evidence and guidelines for the diagnosis and management of IPMN/MCN. Current pre-operative diagnostic tests in pancreatic cysts are imperfect and a proportion of patients continue to undergo unnecessary surgical resection annually. Balancing cancer prevention while preventing surgical overtreatment, continues to be challenging when managing pancreatic cysts. Cyst fluid molecular markers, such as KRAS, GNAS, VHL, PIK3CA, SMAD4 and TP53, as well as emerging endoscopic technologies such as needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy and through the needle microbiopsy forceps demonstrate improved diagnostic accuracy. Differences in management and areas of uncertainty between the guidelines are also discussed, including indications for surgery, surveillance protocols and if and when surveillance can be discontinued.

Lead-Time Trajectory of CA19-9 as an Anchor Marker for Pancreatic Cancer Early Detection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is substantial interest in liquid biopsy approaches for cancer early detection among subjects at risk, using multi-marker panels. CA19-9 is an established circulating biomarker for pancreatic cancer; however, its relevance for pancreatic cancer early detection or for monitoring subjects at risk has not been established.

METHODS

CA19-9 levels were assessed in blinded sera from 175 subjects collected up to 5 years before diagnosis of pancreatic cancer and from 875 matched controls from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial. For comparison of performance, CA19-9 was assayed in blinded independent sets of samples collected at diagnosis from 129 subjects with resectable pancreatic cancer and 275 controls (100 healthy subjects; 50 with chronic pancreatitis; and 125 with noncancerous pancreatic cysts). The complementary value of 2 additional protein markers, TIMP1 and LRG1, was determined.

RESULTS

In the PLCO cohort, levels of CA19-9 increased exponentially starting at 2 years before diagnosis with sensitivities reaching 60% at 99% specificity within 0 to 6 months before diagnosis for all cases and 50% at 99% specificity for cases diagnosed with early-stage disease. Performance was comparable for distinguishing newly diagnosed cases with resectable pancreatic cancer from healthy controls (64% sensitivity at 99% specificity). Comparison of resectable pancreatic cancer cases to subjects with chronic pancreatitis yielded 46% sensitivity at 99% specificity and for subjects with noncancerous cysts, 30% sensitivity at 99% specificity. For prediagnostic cases below cutoff value for CA19-9, the combination with LRG1 and TIMP1 yielded an increment of 13.2% in sensitivity at 99% specificity (P = .031) in identifying cases diagnosed within 1 year of blood collection.

CONCLUSION

CA19-9 can serve as an anchor marker for pancreatic cancer early detection applications.

Molecular analysis of pancreatic cystic neoplasm in routine clinical practice

BACKGROUND

Cystic pancreatic lesions consist of a wide variety of lesions that are becoming increasingly diagnosed with the growing use of imaging techniques. Of these, mucinous cysts are especially relevant due to their risk of malignancy. However, morphological findings are often suboptimal for their differentiation. Endoscopic ultrasound fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) with molecular analysis has been suggested to improve the diagnosis of pancreatic cysts.

AIM

To determine the impact of molecular analysis on the detection of mucinous cysts and malignancy.

METHODS

An 18-month prospective observational study of consecutive patients with pancreatic cystic lesions and an indication for EUS-FNA following European clinical practice guidelines was conducted. These cysts included those > 15 mm with unclear diagnosis, and a change in follow-up or with concerning features in which results might change clinical management. EUS-FNA with cytological, biochemical and glucose and molecular analyses with next-generation sequencing were performed in 36 pancreatic cysts. The cysts were classified as mucinous and non-mucinous by the combination of morphological, cytological and biochemical analyses when surgery was not performed. Malignancy was defined as cytology positive for malignancy, high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma on surgical specimen, clinical or morphological progression, metastasis or death related to neoplastic complications during the 6-mo follow-up period. Next-generation sequencing results were compared for cyst type and malignancy.

RESULTS

Of the 36 lesions included, 28 (82.4%) were classified as mucinous and 6 (17.6%) as non-mucinous. Furthermore, 5 (13.9%) lesions were classified as malignant. The amount of deoxyribonucleic acid obtained was sufficient for molecular analysis in 25 (69.4%) pancreatic cysts. The amount of intracystic deoxyribonucleic acid was not statistically related to the cyst fluid volume obtained from the lesions. Analysis of KRAS and/or GNAS showed 83.33% [95% confidence interval (CI): 63.34-100] sensitivity, 60% (95%CI: 7.06-100) specificity, 88.24% (95%CI: 69.98-100) positive predictive value and 50% (95%CI: 1.66-98.34) negative predictive value (P = 0.086) for the diagnosis of mucinous cystic lesions. Mutations in KRAS and GNAS were found in 2/5 (40%) of the lesions classified as non-mucinous, thus recategorizing those lesions as mucinous neoplasms, which would have led to a modification of the follow-up plan in 8% of the cysts in which molecular analysis was successfully performed. All 4 (100%) malignant cysts in which molecular analysis could be performed had mutations in KRAS and/or GNAS, although they were not related to malignancy (P > 0.05). None of the other mutations analyzed could detect mucinous or malignant cysts with statistical significance (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Molecular analysis can improve the classification of pancreatic cysts as mucinous or non-mucinous. Mutations were not able to detect malignant lesions.

Pancreatic cancer pathology viewed in the light of evolution

One way to understand ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas (pancreatic cancer) is to view it as unimaginably large numbers of evolving living organisms interacting with their environment. This “evolutionary view” creates both expected and surprising perspectives in all stages of neoplastic progression. Advances in the field will require greater attention to this critical evolutionary prospective.

Establishing a living biobank of patient-derived organoids of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

Pancreatic cancer (PaCa) is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths in the United States. There is an unmet need to develop strategies to detect PaCa at an early, operable stage and prevent its progression. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are cystic PaCa precursors that comprise nearly 50% of pancreatic cysts detected incidentally via cross-sectional imaging. Since IPMNs can progress from low- and moderate-grade dysplasia to high-grade dysplasia and invasion, the study of these lesions offers a prime opportunity to develop early detection and prevention strategies. Organoids are an ideal preclinical platform to study IPMNs, and the objective of the current investigation was to establish a living biobank of patient-derived organoids (PDO) from IPMNs. IPMN tumors and adjacent normal pancreatic tissues were successfully harvested from 15 patients with IPMNs undergoing pancreatic surgical resection at Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute (Tampa, FL) between May of 2017 and March of 2019. Organoid cultures were also generated from cryopreserved tissues. Organoid count and size were determined over time by both Image-Pro Premier 3D Version 9.1 digital platform and Matlab application of a Circular Hough Transform algorithm, and histologic and genomic characterization of a subset of the organoids was performed using immunohistochemistry and targeted sequencing, respectively. The success rates for organoid generation from IPMN tumor and adjacent normal pancreatic tissues were 81% and 87%, respectively. IPMN organoids derived from different epithelial subtypes showed different morphologies in vitro, and organoids recapitulated histologic and genomic characteristics of the parental IPMN tumor. In summary, this preclinical model has the potential to provide new opportunities to unveil mechanisms of IPMN progression to invasion and to shed insight into novel biomarkers for early detection and targets for chemoprevention.

Management Algorithms for Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: The Surgeon's Perspective

CONTEXT.—

The detection of pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) has increased owing to the advancement and widespread use of imaging modalities, resulting in differences between past and current management methods for PCNs, including intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Therefore, clinicians should accurately diagnose and determine appropriate treatment strategies. However, previously published treatment guidelines for IPMNs present different indications for treatment.

OBJECTIVE.—

To review the current status of PCNs, including epidemiologic change, malignancy risk, and factors for treatment, and to provide the optimal management algorithms for PCNs, including IPMNs, from the clinician's point of view.

DATA SOURCES.—

Literature review of published studies and the authors' own work.

CONCLUSIONS.—

The treatment of PCNs relies on the type of cyst that is present or suspected. Serous cystic neoplasms are usually benign, and observation is sufficient. However, surgical treatment is required for mucinous cystic neoplasms, and malignancy risk differs according to lesion size. Solid pseudopapillary neoplasms also require surgery. The detection of small IPMNs has been increasing, and most branch duct-type IPMNs are dormant. However, cysts 3 cm or larger or growing branch duct-type IPMNs must be carefully monitored because of the increasing risk of malignancy. Therefore, surveillance strategies should be different according to the size of the lesions. A tailored approach is needed for selecting surgery or surveillance, considering the malignancy potential of the lesion and patient-associated factors such as operative risks and life expectancy. Nomograms are valuable tools for selecting treatment methods as a customized approach for IPMNs.

Main Duct Dilatation Is the Best Predictor of High-grade Dysplasia or Invasion in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study is to determine preoperative factors that are predictive of malignancy in patients undergoing pancreatic resection for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN).

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

IPMN of the pancreas may be precursor lesions to pancreatic cancer (PC) and represent a target for early diagnosis or prevention. While there has been much effort to define preoperative risk factors for malignant pathology, guidelines are ever-changing and controversy remains surrounding which patients would benefit most from resection.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 901 consecutive patients obtained from two tertiary referral centers who underwent pancreatic resection for histologically proven IPMN between 2004 and 2017. Collected data included patient demographic characteristics, preoperative symptoms, radiological findings, and laboratory data.

RESULTS

Main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilatation was the only variable that was significantly associated with increased probability of malignancy (defined high-dysplasia or invasion) on both univariate and multivariate analysis. Even middle-range MPD dilatation from 5 mm to 9.9 mm (n = 286) was associated with increased odds of HG-IPMN (OR = 2.74; 95% CI = 1.80-4.16) and invasion (OR = 4.42; 95% CI = 2.55-7.66). MPD dilatation >10 mm (n = 150) had even greater odds of HG-IPMN (OR = 6.57; 95% CI = 3.94-10.98) and invasion (OR = 15.07; 95% CI = 8.21-27.65). A cutoff of 5 to 7 mm MPD diameter was determined to be the best predictor to discriminate between malignant and benign lesions.

CONCLUSIONS

In agreement with current IPMN management guidelines, we found MPD dilatation, even low levels from 5 mm to 9.9 mm, to be the single best predictor of HG-IPMN or invasion, highlighting the critical role that MPD plays in the selection of surgical candidates.

The genetics of ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas in the year 2020: dramatic progress, but far to go

The publication of the "Pan-Cancer Atlas" by the Pan-Cancer Analysis of Whole Genomes Consortium, a partnership formed by The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC), provides a wonderful opportunity to reflect on where we stand in our understanding of the genetics of pancreatic cancer, as well as on the opportunities to translate this understanding to patient care. From germline variants that predispose to the development of pancreatic cancer, to somatic mutations that are therapeutically targetable, genetics is now providing hope, where there once was no hope, for those diagnosed with pancreatic cancer.

Detecting Early Pancreatic Cancer: Current Problems and Future Prospects

The number of patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) is currently increasing in both Korea and Japan. The 5-year survival rate of patients with PC 13.0%; however, resection with minimal invasion (tumor size: ≤10 mm) increases the 5-year survival rate to 80%. For this reason, early detection is essential, but most patients with early-stage PC are asymptomatic. Early detection of PC has been reported to require screening of high-risk individuals (HRIs), such as those with a family history of PC, inherited cancer syndromes, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, or chronic pancreatitis. Studies on screening of these HRIs have confirmed a significantly better prognosis among patients with PC who were screened than for patients with PC who were not screened. However, to date in Japan, most patients with early-stage PC diagnosed in routine clinics were not diagnosed during annual health checks or by surveillance; rather, PC was detected in these patients by incidental findings during examinations for other diseases. We need to increase the precision of the PC screening and diagnostic processes by introducing new technologies, and we need to pay greater attention to incidental clinical findings.

Validation of the clinical utility of 4 guidelines in the initial triage of mucinous cystic lesions of the pancreas based on cross-sectional imaging: Experience with 188 surgically-treated patients

INTRODUCTION

Over the years, several guidelines have been introduced to guide management of mucinous pancreatic cystic neoplasms (mPCN). In this study, we aimed to evaluate and compare the clinically utility of the Sendai-06, Fukuoka-12, Fukuoka-17 and European-18 guidelines in predicting malignancy of mPCN.

METHODS

One hundred and eighty-eight patients with mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN) or intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) who underwent surgery were retrospectively reviewed and classified under the 4 guidelines. Malignancy was defined as high grade dysplasia and invasive carcinoma.

RESULTS

Raised CA19-9>37U/ml, enhancing mural nodule≥5 mm and main pancreatic duct≥10 mm were significantly associated with malignancy on multivariate analysis. Increasing number of high risk features, absolute indications (European-18), worrisome risk or relative indications (European-18) were significantly associated with an increased likelihood of malignancy. The positive predictive values (PPV) of high risk features for Sendai-06, Fukuoka-12, Fukuoka-17 and absolute indications (European-18) for malignancy were 53%, 76%, 78% and 78% respectively. The negative predictive values (NPV) of the Sendai-06, Fukuoka-12 and Fukuoka-17 were 100%, while that of the European-18 was 92%. Risk of malignancy for patients with ≥4 worrisome features (Fukuoka-17) and ≥3 relative indications (European-18) was 66.7% and 75.0% respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

All 4 guidelines studied were useful in the initial triage of mPCN for the risk stratification of malignancy. The Fukuoka-17 had the highest PPV and NPV.

Possibility of detecting intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms using metabolite biomarkers for pancreatic cancer

Aim: The aim of this study was to identify whether metabolite biomarker candidates for pancreatic cancer (PC) could aid detection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN), recognized as high-risk factors for PC. Materials & methods: The 12 metabolite biomarker candidates, which were found to be useful to detect PC in our previous study, were evaluated for plasma samples from patients with PC (n = 44) or IPMN (n = 24) or healthy volunteers (n = 46). Results: Regarding the performance of individual biomarkers of PC and PC high-risk IPMN, lysine exhibited the best performance (sensitivity: 67.8%; specificity: 86.9%). The multiple logistic regression analysis-based detection model displayed high sensitivity and specificity values of 92.5 and 90.6%, respectively. Conclusion: Metabolite biomarker candidates for PC are useful for detecting high-risk IPMN, which can progress to PC.

Risk Factors for Pancreatic Cancer and the Necessity of Long-Term Surveillance in Patients With Pancreatic Cystic Lesions

OBJECTIVES

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are a risk factor for pancreatic cancer (PC). Which PCLs should be surveilled and necessity of long-term observation are still controversial.

METHODS

From January 2000 to March 2016, we enrolled 1137 patients with PCLs observed for 1 year. We defined PCLs with cyst size of greater than 30 mm, main pancreatic duct (MPD) of greater than 5 mm or mural nodule as high-risk group, and others as low-risk group (LRG). Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model were applied to assess incidence and risk factors of PC.

RESULTS

In 107 high-risk group and 1030 LRG patients, mean observation period was 4.3 years and 5.0 years, respectively, and 5-year PC incidence was 12.0% and 2.8%, respectively. In LRG, MPD of greater than 3 mm, diabetes mellitus, and presumed branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia (BD-IPMN), defined as PCLs fulfilling any of multilocular formation, multiplicity, or MPD communication, were independent risk factors for PC. In 450 LRG observed for 5 years, 10-year PC incidence was higher in PCLs with our identified risk factors. There was no PC occurrence in PCLs not presumed BD-IPMN after 5-year observation.

CONCLUSIONS

Continuous surveillance is needed after 5-year observation, especially in LRG with our identified risk factors. For discontinuing surveillance, PCLs not presumed BD-IPMN at fifth year could be candidates.

Stratifying Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms by Cyst Fluid Analysis: Present and Future

A significant proportion of patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) undergo surgical resection in order to prevent or treat pancreatic cancer at the risk of significant perioperative morbidity. Efforts have been made to stratify the potential risk of malignancy based on the clinical and radiographic features of IPMN to delineate which cysts warrant resection versus observation. An analysis of the cyst fluid obtained by preoperative endoscopic examination appears to be correlative of cyst type and risk, whereas serum markers and radiographic findings have not yet reached a level of sensitivity or specificity that proves they are clinically meaningful. In this review, we investigate the current cyst fluid analysis studies and present those that have shown promise in effectively stratifying high-risk versus low-risk lesions. While new cyst fluid markers continue to be identified, additional efforts in testing panels and marker composites in conjunction with clinical algorithms have also shown promise in distinguishing dysplasia and the risk of malignancy. These should be tested prospectively in order to determine their role in guiding the surveillance of low-risk lesions and to evaluate the new markers detected by proteomics and genetic sequencing.

Diagnosis and Surveillance of Incidental Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: 2017 Consensus Recommendations of the Korean Society of Abdominal Radiology

The occurrence of incidentally detected pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) is continuously increasing. Radiologic examinations including computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging with magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography have been widely used as the main diagnostic and surveillance methods for patients with incidental PCLs. Although most incidentally detected PCLs are considered benign, they have the potential to become malignant. Currently, we have several guidelines for the management of incidental PCLs. However, there is still debate over proper management, in terms of accurate diagnosis, optimal follow-up interval, and imaging tools. Because imaging studies play a crucial role in the management of incidental PCLs, the 2017 consensus recommendations of the Korean Society of Abdominal Radiology for the diagnosis and surveillance of incidental PCLs approved 11 out of 16 recommendations. Although several challenges remain in terms of optimization and standardization, these consensus recommendations might serve as useful tools to provide a more standardized approach and to optimize care of patients with incidental PCLs.

Elevating pancreatic cystic lesion stratification: Current and future pancreatic cancer biomarker(s)

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is an incredibly deadly disease with a 5-year survival rate of 9%. The presence of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) confers an increased likelihood of future pancreatic cancer in patients placing them in a high-risk category. Discerning concurrent malignancy and risk of future PCL progression to cancer must be carefully and accurately determined to improve survival outcomes and avoid unnecessary morbidity of pancreatic resection. Unfortunately, current image-based guidelines are inadequate to distinguish benign from malignant lesions. There continues to be a need for accurate molecular and imaging biomarker(s) capable of identifying malignant PCLs and predicting the malignant potential of PCLs to enable risk stratification and effective intervention management. This review provides an update on the current status of biomarkers from pancreatic cystic fluid, pancreatic juice, and seromic molecular analyses and discusses the potential of radiomics for differentiating PCLs harboring cancer from those that do not.

Novel Methylated DNA Markers Discriminate Advanced Neoplasia in Pancreatic Cysts: Marker Discovery, Tissue Validation, and Cyst Fluid Testing

OBJECTIVES

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) may be precancerous. Those likely to harbor high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or pancreatic cancer (PC) are targets for surgical resection. Current algorithms to predict advanced neoplasia (HGD/PC) in PCLs lack diagnostic accuracy. In pancreatic tissue and cyst fluid (CF) from PCLs, we sought to identify and validate novel methylated DNA markers (MDMs) that discriminate HGD/PC from low-grade dysplasia (LGD) or no dysplasia (ND).

METHODS

From an unbiased whole-methylome discovery approach using predefined selection criteria followed by multistep validation on case (HGD or PC) and control (ND or LGD) tissues, we identified discriminant MDMs. Top candidate MDMs were then assayed by quantitative methylation-specific polymerase chain reaction on archival CF from surgically resected PCLs.

RESULTS

Of 25 discriminant MDMs identified in tissue, 13 were selected for validation in 134 CF samples (21 cases [8 HGD, 13 PC], 113 controls [45 ND, 68 LGD]). A tree-based algorithm using 2 CF-MDMs (TBX15, BMP3) achieved sensitivity and specificity above 90%. Discrimination was significantly better by this CF-MDM panel than by mutant KRAS or carcinoembryonic antigen, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.93 (95% confidence interval: 0.86-0.99), 0.71 (0.57-0.85), and 0.72 (0.60-0.84), respectively. Cutoffs for the MDM panel applied to an independent CF validation set (31 cases, 56 controls) yielded similarly high discrimination, areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.86 (95% confidence interval: 0.77-0.94, P = 0.2).

DISCUSSION

Novel MDMs discovered and validated in tissue accurately identify PCLs harboring HGD/PC. A panel of 2 MDMs assayed in CF yielded results with potential to enhance current risk prediction algorithms. Prospective studies are indicated to optimize and further evaluate CF-MDMs for clinical use.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas and European guidelines: importance of the surgery type in the decision-making process

BACKGROUND

The European Consensus 2018 established a new algorithm with absolute and relative criteria for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas (IPMN) management. The aim of this study was to validate these criteria and analyse the outcomes in function of the surgical procedure and IPMN subtype.

METHODS

Clinical, radiological and surgical data (procedure, morbidity/mortality rates) of patients who underwent surgery for IPMN between 2007 and 2017. The predictive value of the different criteria was analysed.

RESULTS

124 patients (men 67%; mean age 65 years) underwent surgery for IPMN (n = 62 malignant tumours; 50%). Jaundice, cyst ≥4 cm and Wirsung duct size 5-9.9 mm or ≥ 10 mm were significantly associated with malignancy (4.77 < OR < 11.85 p < 0.0001). The positive predictive value of any isolated criterion ranged from 71 to 87%, whereas that of three relative criteria together reached 100%. The mortality and morbidity (grade III-IV complications according to the Dindo-Clavien classification) rates were 3 and 8%, respectively. Morbidity/mortality after duodenopancreatectomy and total pancreatectomy were significantly higher for benign IPMN (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Considering the morbidity associated with extended surgery, particularly for benign IPMN, the results of the present study suggest that high-risk surgery should be considered only in the presence of three relative criteria and including the surgery type in the decision-making algorithm.

Surveillance for pancreatic cancer in high-risk individuals

Background

Surveillance of individuals at high risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and its precursors might lead to better outcomes. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and outcomes of PDAC and high-risk neoplastic precursor lesions among such patients participating in surveillance programmes.

Methods

A multicentre study was conducted through the International CAncer of the Pancreas Screening (CAPS) Consortium Registry to identify high-risk individuals who had undergone pancreatic resection or progressed to advanced PDAC while under surveillance. High-risk neoplastic precursor lesions were defined as: pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN) 3, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia (IPMN) with high-grade dysplasia, and pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours at least 2 cm in diameter.

Results

Of 76 high-risk individuals identified in 11 surveillance programmes, 71 had undergone surgery and five had been diagnosed with inoperable PDAC. Of the 71 patients who underwent resection, 32 (45 per cent) had PDAC or a high-risk precursor (19 PDAC, 4 main-duct IPMN, 4 branch-duct IPMN, 5 PanIN-3); the other 39 patients had lesions thought to be associated with a lower risk of neoplastic progression. Age at least 65 years, female sex, carriage of a gene mutation and location of a lesion in the head/uncinate region were associated with high-risk precursor lesions or PDAC. The survival of high-risk individuals with low-risk neoplastic lesions did not differ from that in those with high-risk precursor lesions. Survival was worse among patients with PDAC. There was no surgery-related mortality.

Conclusion

A high proportion of high-risk individuals who had surgical resection for screening- or surveillance-detected pancreatic lesions had a high-risk neoplastic precursor lesion or PDAC at the time of surgery. Survival was better in high-risk individuals who had either low- or high-risk neoplastic precursor lesions compared with that in patients who developed PDAC.

Testing for Verification Bias in Reported Malignancy Risks for Side-Branch Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: A Simulation Modeling Approach

OBJECTIVE

The objective of our study was to test for the possibility that published malignancy risks for side-branch intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are overestimates, likely due to verification bias.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We tested for possible verification bias using simulation modeling techniques. First, in age-defined hypothetical cohorts of 10 million persons, we projected the frequency of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) arising from side-branch IPMNs over 5 years using published estimates of their prevalence (4.4%) and rate of malignant transformation (1.9%). Second, we projected the total number of PDAC cases in corresponding cohorts over the same time horizon using national cancer registry data. For each cohort, we determined whether the percentage of all PDAC cases that arose from side-branch IPMNs (i.e., side-branch IPMN-associated PDAC cases) was clinically plausible using an upper limit of 10% to define plausibility, as estimated from the literature. Model assumptions and parameter uncertainty were evaluated in sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Across all cohorts, percentages of side-branch IPMN-associated PDACs greatly exceeded 10%. In the base case (mean age = 55.7 years), 80% of PDAC cases arose from side-branch IPMNs (7877/9786). In the oldest cohort evaluated (mean age = 75 years), this estimate was 76% (14,227/18,714). In a secondary analysis, we found that if an upper limit threshold of 10% for side-branch IPMN-associated PDAC was imposed, the model-predicted rate of malignancy for side-branch IPMNs would be less than 0.24% over a 5-year time horizon, substantially lower than most literature-based estimates.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that reported malignancy risks associated with side-branch IPMNs are likely to be overestimates and imply the presence of verification bias.

Current Approaches to Pancreatic Cancer Screening

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a 5-year survival rate of only 8% and is estimated to be the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths by 2021. Prior convention held that screening for PDAC would not be beneficial; however, a deeper understanding of the carcinogenesis pathway supports a potential window of opportunity among the target population. Screening for PDAC is not a standard practice among the general population because of its low incidence. However, screening may be beneficial for individuals with familial history, chronic diseases with genetic predispositions, or inherited cancer syndromes, such as hereditary breast ovarian cancer syndrome, hereditary pancreatitis, Peutz-Jeghers syndrome, familial atypical multiple mole melanoma, Lynch syndrome (hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer), ataxia telangiectasia, and Li-Fraumeni syndrome, all of which have been associated with an increased risk of developing PDAC. The screening strategies among these high-risk individuals are targeted to identify precursor lesions and PDAC at an early resectable stage. This review describes the risk factors for pancreatic cancer, especially the genetic risk factors in high-risk individuals and current screening strategies available for PDAC.

Pancreatic Cysts: Sinister Findings or Incidentalomas?

Pancreatic cysts are common and are incidentally detected in up to 13.5% of individuals. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) and mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN) are precursors to pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Most will never develop into pancreatic cancer. Several types of pancreatic cysts have no malignant potential. Solid tumors can present as a pancreatic cysts. Guidelines recommend surveillance. Management includes differentiating IPMNs and MCNs from other types, identifying those at highest risk of harboring pancreatic cancer or high-grade dysplasia, and referral to a multidisciplinary group for evaluation and consideration of surgical resection.