Outcomes and Mortality of Grade 1 Ascites and Recurrent Ascites in Patients With Cirrhosis

Effective palliation of refractory ascites in cirrhosis is challenging

BACKGROUND

Palliative care is often suboptimal for patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD). Ascites remains the most common complication in ESLD. Though long-term abdominal drains (LTAD) are commonly used in refractory malignant ascites, the standard care for ESLD is hospital drainage (large volume paracentesis (LVP)). There is an ongoing National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) funded trial (REDUCe 2 Study) (ISRCTN269936824) comparing palliative LTAD to LVP in ESLD. This 35-site trial is being conducted in England, Scotland and Wales.

AIM

To understand the views and experience of healthcare professionals (HCP) on the use of palliative LTAD in ESLD.

METHODS

An electronic survey comprised of seven questions with fixed quantitative options and three exploratory questions was used between August-December 2019. The survey was distributed electronically via the British Association for Study of Liver newsletter and to relevant hospital departments in Southeast England and Northeast London. An email reminder was sent at 4 and 8 weeks after the initial invitation to the survey.

RESULTS

There were 211 respondents (hepatologists (36.5%), specialist nurses (24.6%), gastroenterologists (16.6%), trainees (17%) and others (5.2%)). All respondents had access to LVP, 86% to a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt procedure for patients, 67% to LTADs and 10% to other options, such as the automated low-flow ascites (ALFA) pump. The majority of respondents to the survey (68%) reported their experience of using LTAD. Almost all respondents (91%) were willing to consider LTAD in ESLD. However, the main deterrents of this were the perceived risk of infection (90%), followed by LTAD management in community (57%). Some 51% of those with prior experience of using LTAD reported clinical complications for patients (including bleeding, infection and renal impairment), 41% reported technical issues and 35% inadequate community support.

CONCLUSIONS

Almost all HCPs are willing to consider palliative LTAD in refractory ascites due to ESLD, but the main deterrents are the perceived infection risk and lack of published data to guide community management. The REDUCe 2 trial will clarify if these concerns are real and provide conclusive evidence on role, if any, of palliative LTADs in this vulnerable and under researched cohort with ESLD.

Acute and non-acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis (47/130)

In the traditional view, the occurrence of cirrhosis-related complications, such as hepatic encephalopathy, formation of ascites or variceal haemorrhage, marks the transition to the decompensated stage of cirrhosis. Although the dichotomous stratification into a compensated and decompensated state reflects a prognostic water-shed moment and remains to hold its prognostic validity, it represents an oversimplification of clinical realities. A broadening understanding of pathophysiological mechanisms underpinning decompensation have led to the identification of distinct prognostic subgroups, associated with different clinical courses following decompensation. Data provided by the PREDICT study uncovered three distinct sub-phenotypes of acute decompensation (AD). Moreover, acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has been established as a distinct clinical entity for many years, which is associated with a high short-term mortality. Recently, non-acute decompensation (NAD) has been proposed as a distinct pathway of decompensation, complementing current concepts of the spectrum of decompensation. In contrast to AD, NAD is characterized by a slow and progressive development of complications, which are often presented at first decompensation and/or in patients in an earlier stage of chronic liver disease. Successful treatment of AD or NAD may lead to a clinical stabilization or even the concept of recompensation. This review aims to provide an overview on current concepts of decompensation and to delineate recent advances in our clinical and pathophysiological understanding.

The Role of Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt for the Management of Ascites in Patients with Decompensated Cirrhosis

The development and progression of ascites represent a crucial event in the natural history of patients with cirrhosis, predisposing them to other complications and carrying a heavy impact on prognosis. The current standard of care for the management of ascites relies on various combinations of diuretics and large-volume paracenteses. Periodic long-term albumin infusions on top of diuretics have been recently shown to greatly facilitate the management of ascites. The insertion of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), an artificial connection between the portal and caval systems, is indicated to treat patients with refractory ascites. TIPS acts to decrease portal hypertension, thus targeting an upstream event in the pathophysiological cascade of cirrhosis decompensation. Available evidence shows a significant benefit on ascites control/resolution, with less clear results on patient survival. Patient selection plays a crucial role in obtaining better clinical responses and avoiding TIPS-related adverse events, the most important of which are hepatic encephalopathy, cardiac overload and failure, and liver failure. At the same time, some recent technical evolutions of available stents appear promising but deserve further investigations. Future challenges and perspectives include (i) identifying the features for selecting the ideal candidate to TIPS; (ii) recognizing the better timing for TIPS placement; and (iii) understanding the most appropriate role of TIPS within the framework of all other available treatments for the management of patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Liver Disease-Related Sarcopenia: A Predictor of Poor Prognosis by Accelerating Hepatic Decompensation in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Background Sarcopenia is considered a prognostic factor for advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) independent of liver function, but the underlying mechanisms are unknown. Here, we investigated whether sarcopenia contributed to hepatic decompensation and worsened prognosis. Methods This was a single-center retrospective study of 708 patients with chronic liver disease who underwent magnetic resonance elastography (MRE). Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was used to diagnose sarcopenia and hepatic decompensation (presence of ascites). Results The incidence of sarcopenia (29% overall) and age were significantly correlated to increased liver stiffness (LS) (p < 0.01 each), but age did not differ for LS ≥ 4 kPa. Rates of thrombocytopenia and varices increased at ≥4 kPa, and ascites (n = 52) accounted for 81% of patients with ≥6 kPa LS. Age, alcoholic liver disease, C-reactive protein, sodium level, and controlling nutritional status score were extracted as factors contributing to sarcopenia (all p < 0.05). In ACLD, sarcopenia was an independent predictor of ascites (p < 0.01), and in a follow-up analysis of 163 patients without ascites at baseline, the incidence of ascites in patients with sarcopenia was significantly higher, even after adjusting for LS and liver severity (p < 0.01). The Cox proportional hazards model indicated albumin-bilirubin score and sarcopenia as independent prognostic factors (p < 0.01 each). Conclusions In ACLD, both portal hypertension and liver disease-related sarcopenia were found to occur at ≥4 kPa. Sarcopenia was accompanied by mildly decreased sodium levels and contributed to the early development of ascites and poor prognosis, independent of liver function.

Mildly Low Serum Sodium Levels in Chronic Liver Disease: At Risk for Sarcopenia and Portal Hypertension

OBJECTIVE

Hyponatremia and sarcopenia in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) are both associated with portal hypertension (PHT) and worse prognosis. This study investigated their interrelationship.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed 751 patients with CLD who underwent magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) at Nippon Kokan Hospital (Kawasaki, Japan). Patients were classified and studied in five groups based on serum sodium (Na) levels: <135, 135-136, 137-138, 139-140, and >140 mEq/L. PHT was assessed by thrombocytopenia, varices, and ascites, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data were used to diagnose sarcopenia.

RESULTS

The proportions of the five groups were 3/4/13/32/48 (%), and the mean liver stiffness (LS) was 6.6/5.7/4.2/3.2/3.2 (kPa), with significant progressive increases at Na < 139 (p< 0.01). The incidence of all PHT events and sarcopenia also increased at <139 (each p < 0.01). By contrast, the LS thresholds for predicting thrombocytopenia, varices, and ascites increased from 3.5 to 4.7 and 5.1, respectively, and were the same at 3.4 for low Na (<139) and sarcopenia (all p < 0.01). Multivariate analysis of factors associated with low Na identified LS and sarcopenia as independent factors (p < 0.05 both). In the Cox proportional hazards model, low Na was a significant prognostic factor in ACLD (hazard ratio (HR) 5.33, p < 0.01); however, the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score (HR 2.49) and sarcopenia (HR 4.03) were extracted in the multivariate analysis (p < 0.05 both).

CONCLUSIONS

Studies using MRE imaging showed that low Na levels in CLD are associated with worse prognosis, not only due to elevated LS (i.e., PHT) but also the strong association with sarcopenia.

Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension

Ascites is the most common complication of cirrhosis, with 5-year mortality reaching 30%. Complications of ascites (ie, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatorenal syndrome, recurrent/refractory ascites, and hepatic hydrothorax) further worsen survival. The development of ascites is driven by portal hypertension, systemic inflammation, and splanchnic arterial vasodilation. Etiologic treatment and nonselective beta-blockers can prevent ascites in compensated cirrhosis. The treatment of ascites is currently based on the management of fluid overload (eg, diuretics, sodium restriction, and/or paracenteses). In selected patients, long-term albumin use, norfloxacin prophylaxis, and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt reduce the risk of further decompensation and improve survival.

Development and validation of the Cirrhotic Ascites Severity model-A patient-reported outcome-based model to predict 1-year mortality

Ascites formation is a sign of decompensation of cirrhosis and heralds a poor prognosis. The widely used standard binary classification of ascites as diuretic-responsive or refractory does not cover the spectrum of ascites and has limited prognostic information. We developed the Cirrhotic Ascites Severity (CIRAS) model to predict 1-year mortality among 465 patients randomized to placebo in the satavaptan trials investigating treatment of cirrhotic ascites. We used multivariable logistic regression to derive the CIRAS model based on these variables: ascites discomfort score (≤50 or >50), plasma sodium (≥140, 133-139, 125-132, or <125 mmoL/L), and a composite of ascites accumulation and diuretic treatment. We validated the prediction model in 697 trial participants randomized to satavaptan treatment. The 1-year all-cause mortality was 19.6%. The area under the receiver operator curve was higher for the CIRAS model than for the standard ascites classification into refractory and diuretic-responsive in both the development cohort (0.68 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.62-0.75] vs. 0.62 [0.57-0.68]), and the validation cohort (0.68 [0.64-0.72] vs. 0.55 [0.51-0.60]). The CIRAS model had similar discrimination to the Child-Pugh score and nearly as good as the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-Na, and MELD 3.0. Conclusions: The CIRAS model based on simple ascites-relevant data is an easily applicable and patient-centered way to describe the severity and prognosis of all ascites grades. It carries more prognostic information than today's label of "refractory ascites" and forms the basis for earlier and better clinical decisions related to ascites management.

Risk of further decompensation/mortality in patients with cirrhosis and ascites as the first single decompensation event

Background & Aims

Although ascites is the most frequent first decompensating event in cirrhosis, the clinical course after ascites as the single index decompensation is not well defined. The aim of this multicentre study was thus to systematically investigate the incidence and type of further decompensation after ascites as the first decompensating event and to assess risk factors for mortality.

Methods

A total of 622 patients with cirrhosis presenting with grade 2/3 ascites as the single index decompensating event at 2 university hospitals (Padova and Vienna) between 2003 and 2021 were included. Events of further decompensation, liver transplantation, and death were recorded.

Results

The mean age was 57 ± 11 years, and most patients were male (n = 423, 68%) with alcohol-related (n = 366, 59%) and viral (n = 200,32%) liver disease as the main aetiologies. In total, 323 (52%) patients presented with grade 2 and 299 (48%) with grade 3 ascites. The median Child-Pugh score at presentation was 8 (IQR 7-9), and the mean model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) was 15 ± 6. During a median follow-up period of 49 months, 350 (56%) patients experienced further decompensation: refractory ascites (n = 130, 21%), hepatic encephalopathy (n = 112, 18%), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (n = 32, 5%), hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (n = 29, 5%). Variceal bleeding as an isolated further decompensation event was rare (n = 18, 3%), whereas non-bleeding further decompensation (n = 161, 26%) and ≥2 concomitant further decompensation events (n = 171, 27%) were frequent. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt was used in only 81 (13%) patients. In patients presenting with grade 2 ascites, MELD ≥15 indicated a considerable risk for further decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 2.18; p <0.001; 1-year incidences: <10: 10% vs. 10-14: 13% vs. ≥15: 28%) and of mortality (SHR 1.89; p = 0.004; 1-year incidences: <10: 3% vs. 10-14: 6% vs. ≥15: 14%). Importantly, mortality was similarly high throughout MELD strata in grade 3 ascites (p = n.s. for different MELD strata; 1-year incidences: <10: 14% vs. 10-14: 15% vs. ≥15: 20%).

Conclusions

Further decompensation is frequent in patients with ascites as a single index decompensation event and only rarely owing to bleeding. Although patients with grade 2 ascites and MELD <15 seem to have a favourable prognosis, those with grade 3 ascites are at a high risk of mortality across all MELD strata.

Lay summary

Decompensation (the development of symptoms as a result of worsening liver function) marks a turning point in the disease course for patients with cirrhosis. Ascites (i.e. , the accumulation of fluid in the abdomen) is the most common first decompensating event, yet little is known about the clinical course of patients who develop ascites as a single first decompensating event. Herein, we show that the severity of ascites is associated with mortality and that in patients with moderate ascites, the widely used prognostic MELD score can predict patient outcomes.

Risk Prediction Models for Postoperative Decompensation and Infection in Patients With Cirrhosis: A Veterans Affairs Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with cirrhosis have an increased risk of postoperative mortality for a range of surgeries; however, they are also at risk of postoperative complications such as infection and cirrhosis decompensation. To date, there are no prediction scores that specifically risk stratify patients for these morbidities.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study using data of patients with cirrhosis who underwent diverse surgeries in the Veterans Health Administration. Validated algorithms and/or manual adjudication were used to ascertain postoperative decompensation and postoperative infection through 90 days. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate prediction models in derivation and validation sets using variables from the recently-published Veterans Outcomes and Costs Associated with Liver Disease (VOCAL)-Penn cirrhosis surgical risk scores for postoperative mortality. Models were compared with the Mayo risk score, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD)-sodium, and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores.

RESULTS

A total 4712 surgeries were included; patients were predominantly male (97.2 %), white (63.3 %), and with alcohol-related liver disease (35.3 %). Through 90 postoperative days, 8.7 % of patients experienced interval decompensation, and 4.5 % infection. Novel VOCAL-Penn prediction models for decompensation demonstrated good discrimination for interval decompensation (C-statistic 0.762 vs 0.663 Mayo vs 0.603 MELD-sodium vs 0.560 CTP; P < .001); however, discrimination was only fair for postoperative infection (C-statistic 0.666 vs 0.592 Mayo [P = .13] vs 0.502 MELD-sodium [P < .001] vs 0.503 CTP [P < .001]). The model for interval decompensation had excellent calibration in both derivation and validation sets.

CONCLUSION

We report the derivation and internal validation of a novel, parsimonious prediction model for postoperative decompensation in patients with cirrhosis. This score demonstrated superior discrimination and calibration as compared with existing clinical standards, and will be available at www.vocalpennscore.com.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

Towards a new definition of decompensated cirrhosis

There is a universal agreement that the occurrence of clinical complications, such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, gastrointestinal bleeding, and jaundice mark the transition from the compensated to the decompensated stage of cirrhosis. Decompensation is associated with a substantial worsening of patient prognosis and is therefore considered the most important stratification variable for the risk of death. However, this classification is an oversimplification, as it does not discriminate between the prognostic subgroups that characterise the course of decompensation, which depends on the type and number of decompensating events. A deeper insight into the clinical course of decompensated cirrhosis is provided by observational studies characterising acute decompensation (AD), which occurs mostly in patients who have already experienced decompensating events. Decompensation presents as AD in a portion of patients while in many others it presents as a slow development of ascites or mild grade 1 or 2 hepatic encephalopathy, or jaundice, not requiring hospitalisation. Thus, we propose that decompensation of cirrhosis occurs through 2 distinct pathways: a non-acute and an acute (which includes acute-on-chronic liver failure) pathway. Moreover, while non-acute decompensation is the most frequent pathway of the first decompensation, AD mostly represents further decompensation.

Management of Ascites in Patients with Cirrhosis: An Update

Ascites represents a critical event in the natural history of liver cirrhosis. From a prognostic perspective, its occurrence marks the transition from the compensated to the decompensated stage of the disease, leading to an abrupt worsening of patients' life expectancy. Moreover, ascites heralds a turbulent clinical course, characterized by acute events and further complications, frequent hospitalizations, and eventually death. The pathophysiology of ascites classically relies on hemodynamic mechanisms, with effective hypovolemia as the pivotal event. Recent discoveries, however, integrated this hypothesis, proposing systemic inflammation and immune system dysregulation as key mechanisms. The mainstays of ascites treatment are represented by anti-mineralocorticoids and loop diuretics, and large volume paracentesis. When ascites reaches the stage of refractoriness, however, diuretics administration should be cautious due to the high risk of adverse events, and patients should be treated with periodic execution of paracentesis or with the placement of a trans-jugular intra-hepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). TIPS reduces portal hypertension, eases ascites control, and potentially modify the clinical course of the disease. Further studies are required to expand its indications and improve the management of complications. Long-term human albumin administration has been studied in two RCTs, with contradictory results, and remains a debated issue worldwide, despite a potential effectiveness both in ascites control and long-term survival. Other treatments (vaptans, vasoconstrictors, or implantable drainage systems) present some promising aspects but cannot be currently recommended outside clinical protocols or a case-by-case evaluation.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in cirrhosis: An exhaustive critical update

More than five decades after it was originally conceptualized as rescue therapy for patients with intractable variceal bleeding, the transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) procedure continues to remain a focus of intense clinical and biomedical research. By the impressive reduction in portal pressure achieved by this intervention, coupled with its minimally invasive nature, TIPS has gained increasing acceptance in the treatment of complications of portal hypertension. The early years of TIPS were plagued by poor long-term patency of the stents and increased incidence of hepatic encephalopathy. Moreover, the diversion of portal flow after placement of TIPS often resulted in derangement of hepatic functions, which was occasionally severe. While the incidence of shunt dysfunction has markedly reduced with the advent of covered stents, hepatic encephalopathy and instances of early liver failure continue to remain a significant issue after TIPS. It has emerged over the years that careful selection of patients and diligent post-procedural care is of paramount importance to optimize the outcome after TIPS. The past twenty years have seen multiple studies redefining the role of TIPS in the management of variceal bleeding and refractory ascites while exploring its application in other complications of cirrhosis like hepatic hydrothorax, portal hypertensive gastropathy, ectopic varices, hepatorenal and hepatopulmonary syndromes, non-tumoral portal vein thrombosis and chylous ascites. It has also been utilized to good effect before extrahepatic abdominal surgery to reduce perioperative morbidity and mortality. The current article aims to review the updated literature on the status of TIPS in the management of patients with liver cirrhosis.