Ecotoxicological QSAR modeling of the acute toxicity of organic compounds to the freshwater crustacean Thamnocephalus platyurus

Quantitative structure-activity relationship model development for estimating the predicted No-effect concentration of petroleum hydrocarbon and derivatives in the ecological risk assessment

Quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) is a cost-effective solution to directly and accurately estimating the environmental safety thresholds (ESTs) of pollutants in the ecological risk assessment due to the lack of toxicity data. In this study, QSAR models were developed for estimating the Predicted No-Effect Concentrations (PNECs) of petroleum hydrocarbons and their derivatives (PHDs) under dietary exposure, based on the quantified molecular descriptors and the obtained PNECs of 51 PHDs with given acute or chronic toxicity concentrations. Three high-reliable QSAR models were respectively developed for PHDs, aromatic hydrocarbons and their derivatives (AHDs), and alkanes, alkenes and their derivatives (ALKDs), with excellent fitting performance evidenced by high correlation coefficient (0.89-0.95) and low root mean square error (0.13-0.2 mg/kg), and high stability and predictive performance reflected by high internal and external verification coefficient (Q2LOO, 0.66-0.89; Q2F1, 0.62-0.78; Q2F2, 0.60-0.73). The investigated quantitative relationships between molecular structure and PNECs indicated that 18 autocorrelation descriptors, 3 information index descriptors, 4 barysz matrix descriptors, 6 burden modified eigenvalues descriptors, and 1 BCUT descriptor were important molecular descriptors affecting the PNECs of PHDs. The obtained results supported that PNECs of PHDs can be accurately estimated by the influencing molecular descriptors and the quantitative relationship from the developed QSAR models, that provided a new feasible solution for ESTs derivation in the ecological risk assessment.

Predictionof Environmental FateandToxicityofInsecticidesUsing Multi-Target QSAR Approach

Ecotoxicological risk assessments form the foundation of regulatory decisions for industrial chemicals used in various sectors. In this study, a multi-target-QSAR model established by a backpropagation neural network trained with the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm was used to construct a statistically robust and easily interpretable Mt-QSAR model with high external predictability for the simultaneous prediction of the environmental fate in form of octanol-water partition coefficient (LogP), (BCF) and acute oral toxicity in mammals and birds (LD50rat ) and (LD50bird ) for a wide range of chemical structural classes of insecticides. Principal component analysis was performed on descriptors selected by the SW-MLR method, and the selected PCs were used for constructing the SW-MLR-PCA-ANN model. The developed well-trained model (RMSE=0.83, MPE=0.004, CCC=0.82, IIC=0.78, R2 =0.69) was statistically robust as indicated by the external validation parameters (RMSE=0.93, MPE=0.008, CCC=0.77, IIC=0.68, R2 =0.61). The AD of the developed Mt-QSAR model was also defined to identify the most reliable predictions. Finally, the missing values in the dataset for the aforementioned targets were predicted using the constructed Mt-QSAR model. The proposed approach can be used for simultaneous prediction of the environmental fate of new insecticides, especially ones that haven't been tested yet.

Data driven toxicity assessment of organic chemicals against Gammarus species using QSAR approach

Nowadays, organic chemicals play an essential role in almost all walks of life and have become indispensable to modern society. However, the continually synthesized chemicals and the numerous potential adverse endpoints against living organisms increasingly promote the regulators regarding the computational approach as a crucial supplement and an alternative to the traditional animal tests in chemical risk assessment. In this present research, we evaluated the ecotoxicity of chemicals against four typical Gammarus species, which constituted a critical element in detritus cycle and also the recommended species for water monitoring. We first screened the molecular descriptors based on the Genetic Algorithm and then developed the Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship models using the Multiple Linear Regression method. The statistical results from various validation metrics suggested that the obtained models were internally robust and externally predictive. The application domain analysis based on the leverage approach and standardized residual method demonstrated the broad application range of each model. The interpretation of molecular descriptors in each model suggested that the chemicals with higher polarity and hydrophilicity tend to be less toxic, whereas the lipophilic moieties would enhance the chemical toxicity. Meanwhile, the other selected descriptors, such as Chi-cluster, heterocyclic, and distance matrix descriptors, manifested that the chemical toxicity was also affected by molecular branching, connectivity, electrotopological state, and other various properties. In summary, the present work proposed well-performed QSAR models and clarified the possible toxic mechanism of chemicals against Gammarus species. The obtained models could help predict the toxicity data and conduct a preliminary risk assessment, thus guiding the subsequent animal tests and reducing the assessment cost.

Predictive in silico models for aquatic toxicity of cosmetic and personal care additive mixtures

As emerging environmental contaminants, cosmetic and personal care additives (CPCAs) may have less oversight than other consumer products. Their continuous release and pseudopersistence could cause long-term harm to the aquatic environment. Since CPCAs generally exist in the form of mixtures in the environment, prediction and analysis of their mixture toxicity are crucial for ecological risk assessment. In this study, the acute toxicity of five typical CPCA mixtures to Daphnia magna was tested. The combined toxicity of binary mixtures was examined with the traditional concentration addition (CA) and independent action (IA) model. Overall, the synergistic effect of the five CPCAs may be caused mainly by methylparaben. In addition, reliable approaches for quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) model development were explored. Specifically, 18 QSAR models were developed by three dataset partitioning techniques (Kennard-Stone's algorithm division, Euclidean distance based division, and sorted activity based division), two descriptor filtering methods (genetic algorithm and stepwise multiple linear regression) and three regression methods (multiple linear regression, partial least squares and support vector machine). Sixteen equations were applied for the calculation of the mixture descriptors to screen the functional expression of the mixture descriptors with the largest contribution to the mixture toxicity. A new comprehensive parameter that integrates internal and external validation was proposed for QSAR models evaluation. The mixture toxicity is mainly related the 3D distribution of atomic masses and the spatial distribution of the molecule electronic properties. Rigorously validated and externally predictive QSAR models were developed for predicting the toxicity of binary CPCAs mixtures with any ratio, in the applicability domain. The best possible work frame for construction and validation of QSAR models to provide reliable predictions on the mixture toxicity was proposed.

QSAR Models for the Prediction of Dietary Biomagnification Factor in Fish

Xenobiotics released in the environment can be taken up by aquatic and terrestrial organisms and can accumulate at higher concentrations through the trophic chain. Bioaccumulation is therefore one of the PBT properties that authorities require to assess for the evaluation of the risks that chemicals may pose to humans and the environment. The use of an integrated testing strategy (ITS) and the use of multiple sources of information are strongly encouraged by authorities in order to maximize the information available and reduce testing costs. Moreover, considering the increasing demand for development and the application of new approaches and alternatives to animal testing, the development of in silico cost-effective tools such as QSAR models becomes increasingly important. In this study, a large and curated literature database of fish laboratory-based values of dietary biomagnification factor (BMF) was used to create externally validated QSARs. The quality categories (high, medium, low) available in the database were used to extract reliable data to train and validate the models, and to further address the uncertainty in low-quality data. This procedure was useful for highlighting problematic compounds for which additional experimental effort would be required, such as siloxanes, highly brominated and chlorinated compounds. Two models were suggested as final outputs in this study, one based on good-quality data and the other developed on a larger dataset of consistent Log BMF_L values, which included lower-quality data. The models had similar predictive ability; however, the second model had a larger applicability domain. These QSARs were based on simple MLR equations that could easily be applied for the predictions of dietary BMF_L in fish, and support bioaccumulation assessment procedures at the regulatory level. To ease the application and dissemination of these QSARs, they were included with technical documentation (as QMRF Reports) in the QSAR-ME Profiler software for QSAR predictions available online.

Toxicity Rank Order (TRO) As a New Approach for Toxicity Prediction by QSAR Models

Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) models are commonly used for risk assessment of emerging contaminants. The objective of this study was to use a toxicity rank order (TRO) as an integrating parameter to improve the toxicity prediction by QSAR models. TRO for each contaminant was calculated from collected toxicity data including acute toxicity concentration and no observed effect concentration. TRO values associated with toxicity mechanisms were used to classify pollutants into three modes of action consisting of narcosis, transition and reactivity. The selection principle of parameters for QSAR models was established and verified. It showed a reasonable prediction of toxicities caused by organophosphates and benzene derivatives, especially. Compared with traditional procedures, incorporating TRO showed an improved correlation coefficient of QSAR models by approximately 10%. Our study indicated that the proposed procedure can be used for screening modeling parameter data and improve the toxicity prediction by QSAR models, and this could facilitate prediction and evaluation of environmental contaminant toxicity.

Percutaneous absorption and exposure risk assessment of organophosphate esters in children's toys

The percutaneous penetration and exposure risk of organophosphate esters (OPEs) from children's toys remains largely unknown. Percutaneous penetration of OPEs was evaluated by EPISkin™ model. Chlorinated OPEs (Cl-OPEs) and alkyl OPEs, except tris(2-ethylhexyl) phosphate, exhibited a fast absorption rate and good dermal penetration ability with cumulative absorptions of 57.6-127 % of dosed OPEs. Cumulative absorptions of OPEs through skin cells were inversely associated with their molecular weight and log octanol-water partition coefficient. Additionally, a quantitative structure-activity relationship model indicated that topological charge and steric features of OPEs were closely related to the transdermal permeability of these chemicals. With the clarification of the factors affecting the transdermal penetration of OPEs, the level and exposure risk of OPEs in actual toys were studied. The summation of 18 OPE concentrations in 199 toy samples collected from China ranged from 6.82 to 228,254 ng/g, of which Cl-OPEs presented the highest concentration. Concentrations of OPEs in toys exhibited clear type differences. Daily exposure to OPEs via dermal, hand-to-mouth contact, and mouthing was evaluated, and dermal contact was a significant route for children's exposure to OPEs. Hazard quotients for noncarcinogenic risk assessment were below 1, indicating that the health risk of OPEs via toys was relatively low.

A QSTR model for toxicity prediction of pesticides towards Daphnia magna

Because of the large amount of pesticides discharged into rivers, adverse effects could be induced to aquatic organisms. Daphnia magna is often used as an indicator organism to evaluate the toxicity of pesticides. In this study, a quantitative structure-toxicity relationship (QSTR) model was established based on norm descriptors for predicting the acute toxicity of pesticides to Daphnia magna. The model results showed the good predictability (R_training² = 0.8045, R_testing² = 0.8224). The validation results of internal validation, external validation, Y-randomization test and application domain analysis demonstrated the model's stability, reliability and robustness. Therefore, the above results indicate that norm descriptors might be universal for describing the relationship between the toxicity and structures of pesticides compounds. Moreover, some pesticides' toxicities without experimental data were also predicted by this model.

QSAR models for soil ecotoxicity: Development and validation of models to predict reproductive toxicity of organic chemicals in the collembola Folsomia candida

Soil pollution is a critical environmental challenge: the substances released in the soil can adversely affect humans and the ecosystem. Several bioassays were developed to investigate the soil ecotoxicity of chemicals with soil microbes, plants, invertebrates and vertebrates. The 28-day collembolan reproduction test with the springtail Folsomia candida is a recently introduced bioassay described by OECD guideline 232. Although the importance of springtails for maintaining soil quality, toxicity data for Collembola are still limited. We have developed two QSAR models for the prediction of reproductive toxicity induced by organic compounds in Folsomia candida using 28 days NOEC data. We assembled a dataset with the highest number of compounds available so far: 54 compounds were collected from publicly available sources, including plant protection products, reactive intermediates and industrial chemicals, household and cosmetic ingredients, drugs, environmental transformation products and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. The models were developed using partial least squares regression (PLS) and the Monte Carlo technique with respectively the open source tools Small Dataset Modeler and CORAL software. Both QSAR models gave good predictive performance even though based on a small dataset, so they could serve for the ecological risk assessment of chemicals for terrestrial organisms.