Chemical similarity and machine learning-based approaches for the prediction of aquatic toxicity of binary and multicomponent pharmaceutical and pesticide mixtures against Aliivibrio fischeri

Classification and Regression Machine Learning Models for Predicting the Combined Toxicity and Interactions of Antibiotics and Fungicides Mixtures

Antibiotics and triazole fungicides coexist in varying concentrations in natural aquatic environments, resulting in complex mixtures. These mixtures can potentially affect aquatic ecosystems. Accurately distinguishing synergistic and antagonistic mixtures and predicting mixture toxicity are crucial for effective mixture risk assessment. We tested the toxicities of 75 binary mixtures of antibiotics and fungicides against Auxenochlorella pyrenoidosa. Both regression and classification models for these mixtures were developed using machine learning models: random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), and kernel k-nearest neighbors (KKNN). The KKNN model emerged as the best regression model with high values of determination coefficient (R2 = 0.977), explained variance in prediction leave-one-out (Q2LOO = 0.894), and explained variance in external prediction (Q2F1 = 0.929, Q2F2 = 0.929, and Q2F3 = 0.923). The RF model, the leading classifier, exhibited high accuracy (accuracy = 1 for the training set and 0.905 for the test set) in distinguishing the synergistic and antagonistic mixtures. These results provide crucial value for the risk assessment of mixtures.

Combined interaction of fungicides binary mixtures: experimental study and machine learning-driven QSAR modeling

Fungicide mixtures are an effective strategy in delaying the development of fungicide resistance. In this research, a fixed ratio ray design method was used to generate fifty binary mixtures of five fungicides with diverse modes of action. The interaction of these mixtures was then analyzed using CA and IA models. QSAR modeling was conducted to assess their fungicidal activity through multiple linear regression (MLR), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN). Most mixtures exhibited additive interaction, with the CA model proving more accurate than the IA model in predicting fungicidal activity. The MLR model showed a good linear correlation between selected theoretical descriptors by the genetic algorithm and fungicidal activity. However, both ML-based models demonstrated better predictive performance than the MLR model. The ANN model showed slightly better predictability than the SVM model, with R2 and R2cv at 0.91 and 0.81, respectively. For external validation, the R2test value was 0.845. In contrast, the SVM model had values of 0.91, 0.78, and 0.77 for the same metrics. In conclusion, the proposed ML-based model can be a valuable tool for developing potent fungicidal mixtures to delay fungicidal resistance emergence.

Quantitative read-across structure-activity relationship (q-RASAR): A novel approach to estimate the subchronic oral safety (NOAEL) of diverse organic chemicals in rats

We have developed a quantitative safety prediction model for subchronic repeated doses of diverse organic chemicals on rats using the novel quantitative read-across structure-activity relationship (q-RASAR) approach, which uses similarity-based descriptors for predictive model generation. The experimental -Log (NOAEL) values have been used here as a potential indicator of oral subchronic safety on rats as it determines the maximum dose level for which no observed adverse effects of chemicals are found. A total of 186 data points of diverse organic chemicals have been used for the model generation using structural and physicochemical (0D-2D) descriptors. The read-across-derived similarity, error, and concordance measures (RASAR descriptors) have been extracted from the preliminary 0D-2D descriptors. Then, the combined pool of RASAR and the identified 0D-2D descriptors of the training set were employed to develop the final models by using the partial least squares (PLS) algorithm. The developed PLS model was rigorously validated by various internal and external validation metrics as suggested by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). The final q-RASAR model is proven to be statistically sound, robust and externally predictive (R2 = 0.85, Q2LOO = 0.82 and Q2F1 = 0.94), superseding the internal as well as external predictivity of the corresponding quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) model as well as previously reported subchronic repeated dose toxicity model found in the literature. In a nutshell, the q-RASAR is an effective approach that has the potential to be used as a good alternative way to improve external predictivity, interpretability, and transferability for subchronic oral safety prediction as well as ecotoxicity risk identification.

Chronic aquatic toxicity assessment of diverse chemicals on Daphnia magna using QSAR and chemical read-across

We have modeled here chronic Daphnia toxicity taking pNOEC (negative logarithm of no observed effect concentration in mM) and pEC50 (negative logarithm of half-maximal effective concentration in mM) as endpoints using QSAR and chemical read-across approaches. The QSAR models were developed by strictly obeying the OECD guidelines and were found to be reliable, predictive, accurate, and robust. From the selected features in the developed models, we have found that an increase in lipophilicity and saturation, the presence of electrophilic or electronegative or heavy atoms, the presence of sulphur, amine, and their related functionality, an increase in mean atomic polarizability, and higher number of (thio-) carbamates (aromatic) groups are responsible for chronic toxicity. Therefore, this information might be useful for the development of environmentally friendly and safer chemicals and data-gap filling as well as reducing the use of identified toxic chemicals which have chronic toxic effects on aquatic ecosystems. Approved classes of drugs from DrugBank databases and diverse groups of chemicals from the Chemical and Product Categories (CPDat) database were also assessed through the developed models.

Predictive binary mixture toxicity modeling of fluoroquinolones (FQs) and the projection of toxicity of hypothetical binary FQ mixtures: a combination of 2D-QSAR and machine-learning approaches

All sorts of chemicals get degraded under various environmental stresses, and the degradates coexist with the parent compounds as mixtures in the environment. Antibiotics emerge as an additional concern due to the bioactive nature of both the parent compound and degradation products and their combined exposure to the environment. Therefore, environmental risk assessment of antibiotics and their degradation products is very much necessary. In this direction, we made use of in silico new approach methodologies (NAMs) and machine-learning algorithms. In this study, we have developed a robust and predictive mixture-quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) model with promising quality and predictability (internal: MAETrain = 0.085, QLOO2 = 0.849, external: MAETest = 0.090, and QF12 = 0.859) for predicting the toxicity of the mixtures of a class of antibiotics and their degradation products. To obtain the predictive model, toxicity data of 78 binary fluoroquinolone mixtures in E. coli (endpoint: log 1/IC50 in molar) have been utilized. We have used only 0D-2D descriptors to efficiently encode the structural features of mixture components without any additional complexities. The optimization of the class of mixture descriptors has been performed in this study by using three different mixing rules (linear combination of molecular contributions, the squared molecular contributions, and the norm of molecular contributions). Different machine-learning approaches namely, random forest (RF), ada boost, gradient boost (GB), extreme gradient boost (XGB), support vector machine (SVM), linear support vector machine (LSVM), and ridge regression (RR) have been employed here apart from the conventional partial least squares (PLS) regression to optimize the modeling approach. A rigorous validation protocol has been used for assessing the goodness-of-fit, robustness, and external predictability of the models. Finally, the toxicity of possible untested mixtures of different photodegradation products of fluoroquinolones has been predicted using the best model reported in this study.

Quantitative Read-across structure-activity relationship (q-RASAR): A new approach methodology to model aquatic toxicity of organic pesticides against different fish species

We have developed quantitative toxicity prediction models for organic pesticides of agricultural importance considering different fish species using a novel quantitative Read-across structure-activity relationship (q-RASAR) approach. The current study uses experimental (Log 1/LC50) data of organic pesticides to various fish species, including Rainbow trout (RT: Oncorhynchus mykiss: 715 data points), Lepomis (LP: Lepomis macrochirus: 136 data points), and Miscellaneous (Pimephales promelas, Brachydanio rerio: 226 data points). This study has also discussed the validation of the developed models and the analysis of structural features that are important for aquatic toxicity towards fishes. The read-across-derived similarity, error, and concordance measures (RASAR descriptors) have been extracted from the preliminary 0D-2D descriptors; the combined pool of RASAR and selected 0D-2D descriptors have been used to develop the final models by employing partial least squares algorithm. All the q-RASAR models are acceptable in terms of goodness of fit, robustness, and external predictivity, superseding the quality of the respective QSAR models, as seen from the computed validation metrics. The q-RASAR is an effective approach that has the potential to be used as a good alternative way to enhance external predictivity, interpretability, and transferability for aquatic toxicity prediction as well as ecotoxicity potential identification.

Advances and applications of machine learning and deep learning in environmental ecology and health

Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) possess excellent advantages in data analysis (e.g., feature extraction, clustering, classification, regression, image recognition and prediction) and risk assessment and management in environmental ecology and health (EEH). Considering the rapid growth and increasing complexity of data in EEH, it is of significance to summarize recent advances and applications of ML and DL in EEH. This review summarized the basic processes and fundamental algorithms of the ML and DL modeling, and indicated the urgent needs of ML and DL in EEH. Recent research hotspots such as environmental ecology and restoration, environmental fate of new pollutants, chemical exposures and risks, chemical hazard identification and control were highlighted. Various applications of ML and DL in EEH demonstrate their versatility and technological revolution, and present some challenges. The perspective of ML and DL in EEH were further outlined to promote the innovative analysis and cultivation of the ML-driven research paradigm.

Machine learning - based q-RASAR modeling to predict acute contact toxicity of binary organic pesticide mixtures in honey bees

We have reported here a quantitative read-across structure-activity relationship (q-RASAR) model for the prediction of binary mixture toxicity (acute contact toxicity) in honey bees. Both the quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) and the similarity-based read-across algorithms are used simultaneously for enhancing the predictability of the model. Several similarity and error-based parameters, obtained from the read-across prediction tool, have been put together with the structural and physicochemical descriptors to develop the final q-RASAR model. The calculated statistical and validation metrics indicate the goodness-of-fit, robustness, and good predictability of the partial least squares (PLS) regression model. Machine learning algorithms like ridge regression, linear support vector machine (SVM), and non-linear SVM have been used to further enhance the predictability of the q-RASAR model. The prediction quality of the q-RASAR models outperforms the previously reported quasi-SMILEs-based QSAR model in terms of external correlation coefficient (Q2F1 SVM q-RASAR: 0.935 vs. Q2VLD QSAR: 0.89). In this research, the toxicity values of several new untested binary mixtures have been predicted with the new models, and the reliability of the PLS predictions has been validated by the prediction reliability indicator tool. The q-RASAR approach can be used as reliable, complementary, and integrative to the conventional experimental approaches of pesticide mixture risk assessment.

"Data fusion" quantitative read-across structure-activity-activity relationships (q-RASAARs) for the prediction of toxicities of binary and ternary antibiotic mixtures toward three bacterial species

Antibiotics are often found in the environment as pollutants. They are usually found as mixtures in the environment and may produce toxicity against different ecological species due to joint exposure in the sub-optimal range. Sometimes the degradation products of parent chemicals also interact with it and cause mixture toxicity. In this study, we have developed three different mixture-Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (mixture-QSAR) models for three different bacterial species (Vibrio fischeri, Escherichia coli, and Bacillus subtilis). The toxicity data were collected from a previous experimental report in the literature, which comprised binary and ternary mixtures of sulfonamides (SAs), sulfonamide potentiators (SAPs), and tetracyclines (TCs). We have also explored the interspecies modeling to find inter-correlation among the toxicity of these studied organisms and have developed quantitative structure activity-activity relationship (QSAAR) models by employing the "data fusion" quantitative read-across structure-activity-activity relationship (q-RASAAR) and partial least squares (PLS) regression algorithms. All the models are strictly validated using both internal and external validation tests as suggested in the OECD guidelines. Three different mixing rules have been used in this study for descriptor computations to incorporate the additive and interaction effects among the mixture components. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report of interspecies mixture toxicity models which can predict the cellular toxicity of binary and ternary mixtures against any of the three above-mentioned organisms.