EORTC progression score identifies patients at high risk of cancer-specific mortality after radical cystectomy for secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer

Prognostic variations between 'primary' and 'progressive' muscle-invasive bladder cancer following radical cystectomy: a novel propensity score-based multicenter cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To assess prognostic differences between primary and progressive muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) following radical cystectomy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to abstract MIBC data following radical cystectomy from 2000 to 2019. Patients were classified as either 'Primary' MIBC (defined as the presentation of muscle-invasive disease at initial diagnosis) or 'Progressive' MIBC (defined as a non-muscle invasive disease that later progressed to MIBC). Baseline characteristics for the two groups were balanced using a propensity score overlap weight (PSOW) technique. Survival differences between the two groups were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier's plots and log-rank tests. Cox's proportional hazard regression was used to assess risk factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

Six thousand six hundred thirty-two MIBC patients were identified in the SEER database. Among them, 83.3% ( n =5658) were considered primary MIBC patients, and 16.7% ( n =974) were categorized as progressive MIBC patients. Distribution of baseline covariates, including age, sex, race, T stage, N stage, tumour grade, marital status, and chemotherapy, were well-balanced after PSOWs were applied. After stable PSOW adjustments, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the CSS for progressive MIBC [hazard ratio (HR)=1.25, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12-1.38, P <0.001) was poorer than the primary MIBC group. However, the difference in OS (HR=1.08, 95% CI: 0.99-1.18) was not significant ( P =0.073). Multivariate analysis also suggested that patients with progressive MIBC have significantly poorer CSS (HR=1.24, 95% CI: 1.19-1.38, P <0.001) but not OS (HR=1.08, 95% CI: 0.99-1.18, P =0.089).

CONCLUSION

CSS for progressive MIBC patients appears worse than for those with primary MIBC. This highlights the need to direct more resources for this patient population and particularly for high-risk cases of non-MIBC, where timely radical surgery will improve patients prognoses.

Comparison of the survival outcomes between primary and secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer: a propensity score-matched study

BACKGROUND

Studies have classified muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) into primary (initially muscle-invasive, PMIBC) and secondary subtypes (initially non-muscle-invasive but progresses, SMIBC), for which controversial survival outcomes were demonstrated. This study aimed to compare the survival outcomes between PMIBC and SMIBC patients in China.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with PMIBC or SMIBC at West China Hospital from January 2009 to June 2019 were retrospectively included. Kruskal-Wallis and Fisher tests were employed to compare clinicopathological characteristics. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox competing proportional risk model were used to compare survival outcomes. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to reduce the bias and subgroup analysis was used to confirm the outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 405 MIBC patients were enrolled, including 286 PMIBC and 119 SMIBC, with a mean follow-up of 27.54 and 53.30 months, respectively. The SMIBC group had a higher proportion of older patients (17.65% [21/119] vs. 9.09% [26/286]), chronic disease (32.77% [39/119] vs . 22.38% [64/286]), and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (19.33% [23/119] vs . 8.04% [23/286]). Before matching, SMIBC had a lower risk of overall mortality (OM) (hazard ratios [HR] 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.41-0.85, P  = 0.005) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM) (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.44-0.94, P  = 0.022) after the initial diagnosis. However, higher risks of OM (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.02-2.10, P  = 0.038) and CSM (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.09-2.29, P  = 0.016) were observed for SMIBC once it became muscle-invasive. After PSM, the baseline characteristics of 146 patients (73 for each group) were well matched, and SMIBC was confirmed to have an increased CSM risk (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.09-3.06, P  = 0.021) than PMIBC after muscle invasion.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with PMIBC, SMIBC had worse survival outcomes once it became muscle-invasive. Specific attention should be paid to non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer with a high progression risk.

Primary versus secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer: survival after curative treatment

PURPOSE

To assess if cancer-specific survival (CSS) following curative intent treatment (CIT) for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) differs between patients presenting with MIBC (primary) and patients presenting with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer who progress to MIBC (secondary).

METHODS

This study uses data from the Cancer Registry of Norway on patients initially diagnosed with bladder cancer in 2008-2012 and treated with radical cystectomy (RC) or radiotherapy (RT). To ensure a clinically relevant population, we selected patients with a pre-treatment histology confirming muscle-invasion. Survival models were applied to evaluate differences in observed and adjusted CSS by type of MIBC and stratified by type of CIT. Adjustment was made for age group, sex, previous cancer, diagnostic hospital's academic status and geographical region, and type of CIT.

RESULTS

We identified 650 eligible patients: 589 (91%) primary MIBC and 61 (9%) secondary MIBC. A total of 556 (86%) patients underwent RC and 94 (14%) RT. The 5-year CSS for primary MIBC was 56% and 59% for secondary MIBC (p = 0.68). The type of MIBC did not impact the risk of bladder cancer death (HR = 0.85, CI = 0.55-1.33, p = 0.48), nor when stratified for CIT (RC: HR = 0.93, CI = 0.57-1.53, p = 0.78); RT: HR = 0.71, CI = 0.24-2.16, p = 0.55).

CONCLUSION

This first nation-wide population-based study comparing CSS between primary and secondary MIBC showed no significant difference in survival regardless of type of CIT. Continued surveillance of patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer is necessary to detect early progression to MIBC. Future studies should include molecular and genetic characteristics in addition to detailed clinicopathologic information.

Differential Prognosis and Response of Denovo vs. Secondary Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Simple Summary

Bladder cancer is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. About 75% of patients initially present with non-muscle-invasive disease, while the rest presents with primary muscle-invasive disease. Up to a third of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancers progresses into secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer. Little is known about clinical outcomes after upfront neoadjuvant cisplatin-based chemotherapy and subsequent radical cystectomy for secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer compared to primary muscle-invasive bladder cancer. Here, we systematically reviewed the current literature evaluate oncological outcomes between primary and secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

Abstract

To evaluate oncological outcomes of primary versus secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer treated with radical cystectomy. Medline, Embase, Scopus and Cochrane Library were searched for eligible studies. Hazard ratios for overall survival (OS), cancer specific survival (CSS) and progression free survival (PFS) were calculated using survival data extracted from Kaplan-Meier curves. A total of 16 studies with 5270 patients were included. Pooled analysis showed similar 5-year and 10-year OS (HR 1, p = 0.96 and HR 1, p = 0.14) and CSS (HR 1.02, p = 0.85 and HR 0.99, p = 0.93) between primMIBC and secMIBC. Subgroup analyses according to starting point of follow-up and second-look transurethral resection revealed similar results. Subgroup analyses of studies in which neoadjuvant chemotherapy was administered demonstrated significantly worse 5-year CSS (HR 1.5, p = 0.04) but not 10-year CSS (HR 1.36, p = 0.13) in patients with secMIBC. Patients with secMIBC had significantly worse PFS at 5-year (HR 1.41, p = 0.002) but not at 10-year follow-up (HR 1.25, p = 0.34). This review found comparable oncologic outcomes between primMIBC and secMIBC patients treated with RC regarding OS and CSS. Subgroup analysis showed worse 5-year CSS but not 10-year CSS for neoadjuvant chemotherapy in the secMIBC group. Prospective clinical trials incorporating molecular markers, that allow precise risk stratification of secMIBC and further research uncovering underlying molecular and clinical drivers of the heterogeneous group of secMIBC is needed.

Differential gene expression profile between progressive and de novo muscle invasive bladder cancer and its prognostic implication

This study aimed to ascertain gene expression profile differences between progressive muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) and de novo MIBC, and to identify prognostic biomarkers to improve patients’ treatment. Retrospective multicenter study in which 212 MIBC patients who underwent radical cystectomy between 2000 and 2019 were included. Gene expression profiles were determined in 26 samples using Illumina microarrays. The expression levels of 94 genes were studied by quantitative PCR in an independent set of 186 MIBC patients. In a median follow-up of 16 months, 46.7% patients developed tumor progression after cystectomy. In our series, progressive MIBC patients show a worse tumor progression (p = 0.024) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) (p = 0.049) than the de novo group. A total of 480 genes were found to be differently expressed between both groups. Differential expression of 24 out of the 94 selected genes was found in an independent cohort. RBPMC2 and DSC3 were found as independent prognostic biomarkers of tumor progression and CALD1 and LCOR were identified as prognostic biomarkers of CSS between both groups. In conclusion, progressive and de novo MIBC patients show different clinical outcome and gene expression profiles. Gene expression patterns may contribute to predict high-risk of progression to distant metastasis or CSS.

Comparison of survival outcomes between primary and secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer: An updated meta-analysis

Objective: Studies have showed that different follow-up starting points might potentially impact the comparison between primary (PMIBC) and secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer (SMIBC), but the only previous meta-analysis did not differentiate the follow-up starting points of included studies. With more trials published, we aim to update the meta-analysis comparing PMIBC and SMIBC. Methods: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library and ClinicalTrial.gov. systematically searched. Literatures comparing the survival outcomes of PMIBC and SMIBC were selected. Outcomes of cancer-specific mortality (CSM), overall mortality (OM) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were pooled and grouped based on the starting point of follow-up (after initial diagnosis or radical cystectomy (RC)). Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) and funnel plot were employed to assess the study quality and publication bias, respectively. Results: A total of 17 high-quality studies were selected, with 5558 patients aged from 59.8 to 72.7 (mean value) involved. The male-to-female ratio was roughly 4:1 (4390/1124). SMIBC had lower risk of CSM after initial diagnosis (HR 0.81, 95%CI 0.67-0.98, P=0.03, I²=70%), but higher risk of CSM after RC (HR 1.45, 95%CI 1.27-1.65, P<0.00001, I²=64%). In terms of OM and recurrence, outcomes were pooled only after RC, which both turned out to be higher for SMIBC (OM: HR 1.50, 95%CI 1.30-1.73, P<0.00001, I²=0%; Recurrence: HR 1.66, 95%CI 1.36-2.02, P<0.00001, I²=48%). No obvious publication bias was observed from funnel plot. Conclusion: The current study suggested SMIBC had higher risk of CSM, OM and recurrence after RC, but lower risk of CSM after initial diagnosis.

Survival after radical cystectomy: Progressive versus De novo muscle invasive bladder cancer

BACKGROUND

Despite treatment with radical cystectomy, patients with muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) have a poor survival. It has been reported that survival is worse in NMIBC patients who progressed to MIBC in comparison to patients with de novo MIBC. The objective of this study was to compare survival of progressive versus de novo MIBC. Secondary objective was to explain this difference in survival by clinicopathological factors.

METHODS

431 patients with MIBC who underwent radical cystectomy between 1998 and 2016 in the Radboudumc, Nijmegen, were retrospectively analyzed. 313 patients were identified with de novo MIBC and 118 with progressive MIBC.

RESULTS

5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) of patients with progressive MIBC was 37% and 20%, respectively. Patients with de novo MIBC had significantly better survival, with a 5- and 10-year OS of 49% and 39%, respectively. Patients with progressive MIBC were more frequently diagnosed with concomitant carcinoma in situ and positive surgical margins in bladder, ureters or urethra. In multivariable analysis that adjusted for these factors, progressive MIBC was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.40 (0.99 - 1.98). Kaplan-Meier survival curves show a detrimental effect of progressive MIBC in patients with pT2 versus pT3-4 tumors and in patients with negative versus positive surgical margins. In multivariable analysis, this effect modification disappeared.

CONCLUSIONS

Progressive MIBC is associated with poorer survival than de novo MIBC. Because most patients with progressive MIBC had a history of high risk NMIBC, considering radical cystectomy is most important in the highest risk NMIBC.

Comparison of the prognosis of primary vs. progressive muscle invasive bladder cancer after radical cystectomy: Results from a large multicenter study

PURPOSE

To assess whether progressive and primary muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) have different prognosis after radical cystectomy or not. To date only a few data are available on this topic with conflicting results. Further studies on large cohort are needed to clarify these outcomes that may influence bladder cancer management for these patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A multicentre retrospective study was conducted on patient treated for MIBC at 5 centres between 2005 and 2015 by radical cystectomy. Patients' outcomes were compared between patients with primary MIBC vs. progressive MIBC subsequent to a history of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC).

RESULTS

A total of 1197 patients were included. Median (IQ) age was 65 (58-72) years and median follow-up was 65 months. Baseline characteristics were similar between the groups as well as the Tumour pT stage, N status and positive surgical margins. Patients with progressive MIBC had worse overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.36, [95%CI 1.10-1.76]; P = 0.004), cancer specific survival (CSS) (HR 1.41 [1.13-1.78]; P = 0.002), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR 1.21 [1.01-1.49]; P = 0.05). Pathological stage ≥pT3, positive surgical margins, and positive lymph nodes status (pN+) were also found as predictors of OS, CSS, and RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that patient having a progressive BC have a worse prognosis in terms of OS, PFS, and CSS than patient with primary disease. These 2 groups may require different management and patients with high risk NMIBC should be assessed properly to avoid progression and be offered early cystectomy.

Urinary expression of let-7c cluster as non-invasive tool to assess the risk of disease progression in patients with high grade non-muscle invasive bladder Cancer: a pilot study

BACKGROUND

High grade non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (HG-NMIBC) is a heterogeneous disease with variable risk of progression. Urinary microRNAs are promising biomarkers for BC detection and surveillance. Let-7c-5p miRNA, clustered with miR-99a-5p and -125b-5p, is deregulated in cancer, including BC. The aim of this study is to evaluate urinary let-7c cluster expression in Ta/T1 HG-NMIBC patients and its impact on progression-free survival (PFS).

METHODS

Quantitative Real-Time-Polymerase-Chain-Reaction (qRT-PCR) was used to analyze the let-7c cluster expression in 57 urine and 49 neoplastic paired tissue samples prospectively collected from transurethral resection (TUR) HG-NMIBC patients. Twenty urine and 10 bladder tissue samples were collected and analyzed as normal controls. QRT-PCR was also used to detect intra-/extra-cellular let-7c cluster in BC cells. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were used to identify urinary miRNAs cut-off values predicting T-stage and PFS. Uni/multivariable Cox regression was performed to identify predictors of PFS. A nomogram predicting progression risk and a decision curve analysis (DCA) were performed.

RESULTS

Urinary let-7c was significantly up-regulated in patients compared with controls, while the whole cluster was down-regulated in tumor tissues. Supporting these findings, in vitro comparison of extra-/intra-cellular ratios of cluster levels between BC cells, showed a higher ratio for let-7c in HG-NMIBC versus low-grade cells. Urinary let-7c cluster expression was increased in higher T-stage and was an independent predictor of progression. Lower EORTC-score and downregulation of urinary cluster were predictors of higher PFS on univariable Cox regression, while on multivariable analysis only cluster expression was an independent progression predictor. On DCA, a benefit was evident for patients with a PFS probability > 20%.

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary let-7c cluster evaluation may improve prognosis, identifying patients at risk of progression and addressing early radical treatment.

Oncological Outcome of Primary and Secondary Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Conflicting results of survival outcomes for primary and secondary muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) have been reported in previous studies. Primary MIBC is defined as presentation of muscle-invasive disease at initial diagnosis while secondary MIBC presumes that non-muscle invasive disease later progressed to MIBC. Due to the varying reports, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare survival outcomes between the two groups. Relevant studies were retrieved from Medline, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Scopus using a comprehensive search approach. Cancer-specific survival (CSS) was the outcome measure. A total of 14 studies involving 4,075 cases were included. Patients with secondary MIBC were significantly correlated with worse CSS in model I (pooled HR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.07–1.56, P = 0.008). The results of sensitivity analyses indicated that the omission of any single study each time did not have a significant impact on the combined risk estimates. Egger’s test suggested no publication bias among these studies. The European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk score offers the possibility of stratifying the secondary MIBC patients into different risk groups. In high-risk NMIBC, timely radical cystectomy should be considered. Further study is required to assess the multimodal therapy in both high-risk NMIBC and secondary MIBC patients as well as to evaluate genetic and molecular drivers of tumor induction, promotion, and progression.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of lymphovascular invasion in patients treated with radical cystectomy for bladder cancer

PURPOSE

Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) is an important step in bladder cancer cell dissemination. We aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature to assess the prognostic value of LVI in radical cystectomy (RC) specimens.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the last 10 years was performed using the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane libraries in July 2017. The analyses were performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) statement.

RESULTS

We retrieved 65 studies (including 78,107 patients) evaluating the effect of LVI on oncologic outcomes in patients treated with RC. LVI was reported in 35.4% of patients. LVI was associated with disease recurrence (pooled hazard ratio [HR] = 1.57; 95% CI: 1.45-1.70) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM) (pooled HR = 1.59; 95% CI: 1.48-1.73) in all studies regardless of tumor stage and node status (pT1-4 pN0-2). LVI was associated with recurrence and CSM in patients with node-negative bladder cancer (BC). In patients with node-negative BC, LVI rate increased and was associated with worse oncologic outcome. LVI had a lower but still significant association with disease recurrence and CSM in node-positive BC.

CONCLUSIONS

LVI is a strong prognostic factor of worse prognosis in patients treated with RC for bladder cancer. This association is strongest in node-negative BC, but it is also in node-positive BC. LVI should be part of all pathological reporting and could provide additional information for treatment-decision making regarding adjuvant therapy after RC.

Gender Specific Differences in Disease-Free, Cancer Specific and Overall Survival after Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

PURPOSE

We summarize the evidence on gender specific differences in disease-free, cancer specific and overall survival after radical cystectomy for bladder cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search of MEDLINE®, Embase® and the Cochrane Library in July 2017. Studies evaluating gender specific differences in disease-free, cancer specific or overall survival after radical cystectomy for bladder cancer were included in study. Analyses included random effect meta-analysis, subgroup analyses, meta-influence and cumulative meta-analyses. Funnel plots and the Egger test were used to assess publication bias.

RESULTS

Of the 3,868 studies identified during the literature search 59 published between 1998 and 2017 were included in analysis. Of the studies 30 in a total of 38,321 patients evaluated disease-free survival, 44 in a total of 69,666 evaluated cancer specific survival and 26 in a total of 30,039 evaluated overall survival. Random effect meta-analyses revealed decreased disease-free, cancer specific survival and overall survival in female patients than in their male counterparts. Pooled estimates showed a HR of 1.16 (95% CI 1.06-1.27, p = 0.0018) for disease-free survival, 1.23 (95% CI 1.15-1.31, p <0.001) for cancer specific survival and 1.08 (95% CI 1.03-1.12, p = 0.0004) for overall survival. Subgroup analyses confirmed impaired disease-free, cancer specific and overall survival in female patients in all strata. Publication bias was evident only for studies of cancer specific survival (Egger test p = 0.0029). After adjusting for publication bias by the trim and fill method the corrected pooled estimated HR of cancer specific survival was 1.13 (95% CI 1.05-1.21, p = 0.0012).

CONCLUSIONS

Female patients who underwent radical cystectomy for bladder cancer demonstrated worse disease-free, cancer specific and overall survival than their male counterparts. The multifactorial etiology might include epidemiological differences, gender specific health care discrepancies and hormonal influences.