Validation of the Association of RECIST Changes With Survival in Men With Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer Treated on SWOG Study S0421

An objective measure of response on whole-body MRI in metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer treated with androgen deprivation therapy, external beam radiotherapy, and radium-223

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to generate an objective method to describe MRI data to assess response in the vertebrae of patients with metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC), treated with external beam radiation therapy and systemic therapy with Radium-223 and to correlate changes with clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Three sets of whole-body MRI (WBMRI) images were utilized from 25 patients from the neo-adjuvant Androgen Deprivation Therapy pelvic Radiotherapy and RADium-223 (ADRRAD) clinical trial: MRI1 (up to 28 days before Radium-223), MRI2, and MRI3 (2 and 6 months post completion of Radium-223). Radiological response was assessed based on post baseline MRI images. Vertebrae were semi-automatically contoured in the sagittal T1-weighted (T1w) acquisitions, MRI intensity was measured, and spinal cord was used to normalize the measurements. The relationship between MRI intensity vs time to biochemical progression and radiology response was investigated. Survival curves were generated and splitting measures for survival and biochemical progression investigated.

RESULTS

Using a splitting measure of 1.8, MRI1 was found to be a reliable quantitative indicator correlating with overall survival (P = 0.023) and biochemical progression (P = 0.014). MRI (3-1) and MRI (3-2) were found to be significant indicators for patients characterized by progressive/non-progressive disease (P = 0.021, P = 0.004) and biochemical progression within/after 12 months (P = 0.007, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We have identified a potentially useful objective measure of response on WBMRI of vertebrae containing bone metastases in mHSPC which correlates with survival/progression (prognostic) and radiology response (predictive).

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

Measurements of T1w WBMRI normalized intensity may allow identifying potentially useful response biomarkers correlating with survival, radiological response and biochemical progression.

The prognostic value of Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status on overall survival among patients with metastatic prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

There is heterogeneity in the literature regarding the strength of association between Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) and mortality. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting the prognostic value of ECOG PS on overall survival (OS) in metastatic prostate cancer (mPC).

Methods

PubMed was searched from inception to March 21, 2022. A meta-analysis pooling the effect of ECOG PS categories (≥2 vs. <2, 2 vs. <2, and ≥1 vs. <1) on OS was performed separately for studies including patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) and metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) using a random-effects model. Analyses were stratified by prior chemotherapy and study type.

Results

Overall, 75 studies, comprising 32,298 patients, were included. Most studies (72/75) included patients with mCRPC. Higher ECOG PS was associated with a significant increase in mortality risk, with the highest estimate observed among patients with mCRPC with an ECOG PS of ≥2 versus <2 (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.10, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.87-2.37). When stratifying by study type, there was a higher risk estimate of mortality among patients with mCRPC with an ECOG PS of ≥1 versus <1 in real-world data studies (HR: 1.98, 95% CI: 1.72-2.26) compared with clinical trials (HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.13-1.54; p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in the HR of OS stratified by previous chemotherapy.

Conclusion

ECOG PS was a significant predictor of OS regardless of category, previous chemotherapy, and mPC population. Additional studies are needed to better characterize the effect of ECOG PS on OS in mCSPC.

Revealing Prognostic Value of Skeletal-Related Parameters in Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer on Overall Survival: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

The skeleton is a preferred site for prostate cancer metastasis, and once metastases occur, the disease becomes incurable. Increasing evidence indicates the prognostic value of skeletal-related parameters, but remains controversial.

OBJECTIVE

To perform a systematic review of the existing literature on assessing the prognostic value of alkaline phosphatase (ALP), bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BSAP), urinary N-telopeptide (uNTx), bone scan index (BSI), and Brief Pain Inventory Short Form (BPI-SF) score in castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) patients with skeleton metastasis.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Medline, OVID, and Embase between 2010 and 2019 were reviewed. Key terms included randomized trials, prostate cancer, alkaline phosphatase, bone-specific alkaline phosphatase, urinary N-telopeptide, bone scan index, and Brief Pain Inventory Short Form. Data were collected, checked, and analyzed from December 2019 to March 2020. Hazard ratios (HRs) and overall survival (OS) were extracted to estimate the relationship between the above parameters and OS in patients with metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa).

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

A total of 1,055 studies were identified via initial screening, including 1,032 from database research and 23 from other sources. After deduplication, 164 records were further excluded according to titles and abstracts. The remaining 36 potential articles were carefully screened. In the end, 15 eligible studies syntheses, which were published between 2010 and 2019, comprised data for a total of 11,378 patients, whose mean age ranged from 66 to 72 years. The sample size ranged from 82 to 1,901 patients. And the median follow-up time ranged from 24 to 55 months. Based on 15 randomized controlled trials published between 2010 and 2019, higher ALP levels (HR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.38-1.87 P < 0.001), higher BSAP levels (HR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.11-1.54 P = 0.001), higher uNTx levels (HR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.29-1.52 P < 0.001), BSI progression (HR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.08-1.29 P < 0.001), and higher BPI-SF score (HR = 1.47, 95% CI: 1.35-1.61 P < 0.001) had an association with inferior OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher levels of ALP/BSAP and uNTx, a higher BPI-SF score, and progression of BSI predict inferior OS in patients with mCRPC. More randomized control trials are needed to investigate the promising value of these parameters.

Measuring the unmeasurable: automated bone scan index as a quantitative endpoint in prostate cancer clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Up to 90% of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) will have a distribution of disease that includes bone metastases demonstrated on a Technetium-99m (^99mTc-MDP) bone scan. The Prostate Cancer Working Group 2 and 3 Consensus Criteria standardized the criteria for assessing progression based on the development of new lesions. These criteria have been recognized by regulatory authorities for drug approval. The bone scan index (BSI) is a method to quantitatively measure the burden of bony disease, and can assess both disease progression and regression. The automated BSI (aBSI) is a method of computer analysis to assess BSI, and is being qualified as a clinical trials endpoint.

METHODS

Manual searching was used to identify the literature on BSI and aBSI. We summarize the most relevant aspects of the retrospective and prospective studies evaluating aBSI measurements, and provide a critical discussion on the potential advantages and caveats of aBSI.

RESULTS

The development of neural artificial networks (EXINI boneBSI) to automatically determine the BSI reduces the turnaround time for assessing BSI with high reproducibility and accuracy. Several studies showed that the concordance between aBSI and BSI, as well as the interobserver concordance of aBSI, was >0.95. In a phase 3 assessment of aBSI, a doubling value increased the risk of death in 20%, pre-treatment aBSI values independently correlated with overall survival (OS) and time to symptomatic progression. Retrospective studies suggest that a decrease in aBSI after treatment may correlate with higher survival when compared with increasing aBSI.

CONCLUSIONS

aBSI provides a quantitative measurement that is feasible, reproducible, and in analyses to date correlates with OS and symptomatic progression. These findings support the aBSI to risk-stratify men with mCRPC for clinical trial enrollment. Future studies quantifying aBSI change over time as an intermediate endpoint for evaluating new systemic therapies are needed.

Can RECIST response predict success in phase 3 trials in men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer?

BACKGROUND

Intermediate endpoints are needed in early phase studies of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) that can reliably predict success in phase 3 trials. Among men with measurable disease, objective response may provide information as to whether a treatment is likely to be successful.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of systemic agents that have proceeded to phase 3 trials in men with mCRPC and examined the relationship between improvements in measurable disease response in phase 2 trials and successful phase 3 trials leading to regulatory approval. Only trials that included men with radiographically measurable disease were included.

RESULTS

We examined 31 eligible mCRPC phase 3 trials between 1992 and 2017 and 29 of the preceding phase 2 trials for RECIST responses. Measurable tumor responses in phase 2 trials were higher for successful therapies in phase 3 trials in chemotherapy-naive men with mCRPC, but were less correlated with success in trials investigating docetaxel combination regimens or the post chemotherapy mCRPC setting. Many failed agents did not produce higher than expected response rates over control arms; however, several agents such as anti-angiogenic therapies or orteronel produced higher than expected responses without survival benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

Objective responses in men with mCRPC may be associated with prolonged survival, but this association is mechanism dependent and inconsistent across trials or disease states. These data support considering RECIST response as a supportive but not sole endpoint in phase 2 trials to support launching phase 3 trials.