Robust inference for responder analysis: Innovative clinical trial design using a minimum p-value approach

Surgically treated pelvic liposarcoma and leiomyosarcoma: The effect of tumor size on cancer-specific survival

INTRODUCTION

In soft tissue pelvic liposarcoma and leiomyosarcoma, it is unknown whether a specific tumor size cut-off may help to better predict prognosis, defined as cancer-specific survival (CSS). We tested whether different tumor size cut-offs, could improve CSS prediction.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Surgically treated non-metastatic soft tissue pelvic sarcoma patients were identified (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 2004-2019). Kaplan-Meier plots, univariable and multivariable Cox-regression models and receiver operating characteristic-derived area under the curve (AUC) estimates were used.

RESULTS

Overall, 672 (65 %) liposarcoma (median tumor size 11 cm, interquartile range [IQR] 7-16) and 367 (35 %) leiomyosarcoma (median tumor size 8 cm, IQR 5-12) patients were identified. The p-value derived ideal tumor size cut-off was 17.1 cm, in liposarcoma and 7.0 cm, in leiomyosarcoma. In liposarcoma, according to p-value derived cut-off, five-year CSS rates were 92 vs 83 % (≤17.1 vs > 17.1 cm). This cut-off represented an independent predictor of CSS and improved prognostic ability from 83.8 to 86.8 % (Δ = 3 %). Similarly, among previously established cut-offs (5 vs 10 vs 15 cm), also 15 cm represented an independent predictor of CSS and improved prognostic ability from 83.8 to 87.0 % (Δ = 3.2 %). In leiomyosarcoma, according to p-value derived cut-off, five-year CSS rates were 86 vs 55 % (≤7.0 vs > 7.0 cm). This cut-off represented an independent predictor of CSS and improved prognostic ability from 68.6 to 76.5 % (Δ = 7.9 %).

CONCLUSIONS

In liposarcoma, the p-value derived tumor size cut-off was 17.1 cm vs 7.0 cm, in leiomyosarcoma. In both histologic subtypes, these cut-offs exhibited the optimal statistical characteristics (univariable, multivariable and AUC analyses). In liposarcoma, the 15 cm cut-off represented a valuable alternative.

Activation of orphan receptor GPR132 induces cell differentiation in acute myeloid leukemia

Blocked cellular differentiation is a critical pathologic hallmark of acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Here, we showed that genetic activation of the orphan GPCR GPR132 significantly induced cell differentiation of AML both in vitro and in vivo, indicating that GPR132 is a potential trigger of myeloid differentiation. To explore the therapeutic potential of GPR132 signaling, we screened and validated a natural product 8-gingerol (8GL) as a GPR132 agonist. Notably, GPR132 activation by 8GL promoted differentiation and reduced colony formation in human AML cell lines with diverse genetic profiles. Mechanistic studies revealed that 8GL treatment inhibits the activation of the mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR), a regulator of AML cell differentiation blockade, via activating GPR132-G_s-PKA pathway. We further showed that the combination of 8GL and an mTOR inhibitor synergistically elicited AML cell differentiation in vitro. Importantly, 8GL alone or in combination with an mTOR inhibitor remarkably impaired tumor growth and extended mouse survival in an AML xenograft model accompanied by enhanced cell differentiation. Notably, genetic or pharmacological activation of GPR132 triggered the differentiation of human primary AML cells. In summary, this study demonstrated that activation of orphan GPR132 represents a potential strategy for inducing myeloid differentiation in AML patients.

Prognostic Value of Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 and the Surgical Margin in Extrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

Aim

The prognostic value of the perioperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) value and the prognostic relationship between the CA19-9 value and the surgical margin in extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (EHCC) have not been fully discussed.

Methods

A total of 390 patients who underwent curative resection for EHCC between 2002 and 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the perioperative CA19-9 value, patients were divided into three groups: preoperative normal (Normal, n = 178), preoperative high and postoperative normal (Normalization, n = 155), and preoperative high and postoperative high (Nonnormalization, n = 57). Survival was analyzed according to the perioperative CA19-9 value and surgical margin.

Results

The optimal cutoff value of CA19-9 was 37 U/mL. Overall survival (OS) was significantly stratified according to the perioperative CA19-9 value. The 5-y OS rates in the Normal, Normalization, and Nonnormalization groups were 53%, 38%, and 23%, respectively (P < .001). Although the locoregional recurrence rate was comparable among the groups, the Normal group exhibited distant recurrence less frequently in comparison to the other groups. In the Normal group, the margin status had a significant impact on the OS (surgical resection with a negative margin [R0], 59% vs a microscopically positive margin [R1], 7% at 5-y, P < .001). In contrast, in the Normalization and Nonnormalization groups, the OS rate of the R0 and R1 resection groups did not differ to a statistically significant extent.

Conclusion

The perioperative CA19-9 value was related to the prognosis of resectable EHCC. A preoperative CA19-9 value of ≥37 U/mL reflected systemic disease. R0 resection did not affect the survival in this patient group.

Efficacy of Lifitegrast Ophthalmic Solution, 5.0%, in Patients With Moderate to Severe Dry Eye Disease: A Post Hoc Analysis of 2 Randomized Clinical Trials

Question

What are post hoc treatment outcomes of lifitegrast by severity of dry eye disease (DED)?

Findings

In this post hoc analysis of 2 randomized clinical trials including 1429 patients, treatment with lifitegrast in the subgroup with an inferior corneal staining score of greater than 1.5 and eye dryness score of at least 60 at baseline (ie, moderate to severe DED) showed lifitegrast-treated participants had higher odds of achieving simultaneous improvement in clinical signs and symptoms than placebo-treated participants.

Meaning

The results of this post hoc analysis suggest that lifitegrast treatment may be associated with a response in the signs and symptoms of moderate to severe DED.

Importance

An investigation of the treatment effect of lifitegrast ophthalmic solution, 5.0%, in different subgroups by severity of dry eye disease (DED) seems warranted.

Objective

To explore the heterogeneity across different subgroups of DED and identify which participants were most likely to achieve clinically meaningful benefit with lifitegrast treatment.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This post hoc responder analysis was performed using the data from the phase 3 OPUS-2 and OPUS-3 studies, which were 12-week, prospective, double-masked, multicenter, placebo-controlled, randomized, parallel-arm clinical trials that previously demonstrated the efficacy of lifitegrast in DED. Pooled data were stratified into 4 subgroups based on severity of inferior corneal staining score (ICSS; ≤1.5 vs >1.5) and eye dryness score (EDS; <60 or ≥60) at baseline. Data were collected from December 7, 2012, to October 5, 2015, and post hoc analysis was performed from April 14, 2020, to July 30, 2021.

Interventions

Lifitegrast or placebo twice daily for 84 days.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Proportion of participants with (1) a clinically meaningful improvement in signs (ICSS or total corneal staining score [TCSS]) and symptoms (EDS or global visual analog scale [VAS]) and (2) a composite response for a given sign and symptom end point pair at day 84 were measured. Clinically meaningful improvement was defined as at least 30% improvement in symptoms (EDS or global VAS) and either at least a 1-point improvement in ICSS or at least a 3-point improvement in TCSS. For the composite responder analysis, the end point pairs were defined as at least a 30% reduction in EDS and at least a 1-point improvement in ICSS; at least a 30% reduction in EDS and at least a 3-point improvement in TCSS; at least a 30% improvement in global VAS and at least a 1-point improvement in ICSS; and at least a 30% improvement in global VAS and at least a 3-point improvement in TCSS.

Results

In total, 1429 participants (716 in the placebo group and 713 in the lifitegrast group) were analyzed (1087 women [76.1%]; mean [SD] age, 58.7 [14.3] years). For the overall pooled population, responder and composite responder rates favored lifitegrast vs placebo (odds ratio range, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.05-1.59] to 2.10 [95% CI, 1.68-2.61]; P ≤ .02). In the composite analysis, the subgroup with ICSS of greater than 1.5 and EDS of at least 60 at baseline (ie, moderate to severe DED) demonstrated a 1.70- to 2.11-fold higher odds of achieving clinically meaningful improvement with lifitegrast across all sign and symptom end point pairs (P ≤ .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

These post hoc findings suggest that lifitegrast ophthalmic solution, 5.0%, treatment may be associated with a response in participants with moderate to severe signs and symptoms of DED.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02284516

Major hepatectomy with combined vascular resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma

Background

Hepatectomy with vascular resection (VR) for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHCC) is a challenging procedure. However, only a few reports on this procedure have been published and its clinical significance has not been fully evaluated.

Methods

Patients undergoing surgical resection for PHCC from 2002–2017 were studied. The surgical outcomes of VR and non-VR groups were compared.

Results

Some 238 patients were included. VR was performed in 85 patients. The resected vessels were hepatic artery alone (31 patients), portal vein alone (37 patients) or both (17 patients). The morbidity rates were almost the same in the VR (49.4 per cent) and non-VR (43.8 per cent) groups (P = 0.404). The mortality rates of VR (3.5 per cent) and non-VR (3.3 per cent) were also comparable (P > 0.999). The median survival time (MST) was 45 months in the non-VR group and 36 months in VR group (P = 0.124). Among patients in whom tumour involvement was suspected on preoperative imaging and whose carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) value was 37 U/ml or less, MST in the VR group was significantly longer than that in the non-VR group (50 versus 34 months, P = 0.017). In contrast, when the CA19-9 value was greater than 37 U/ml, MST of the VR and non-VR groups was comparable (28 versus 29 months, P = 0.520).

Conclusion

Hepatectomy with VR for PHCC can be performed in a highly specialized hepatobiliary centre with equivalent short- and long-term outcomes to hepatectomy without VR.

Systemic immune-inflammation index as a prognostic marker for distal cholangiocarcinoma

PURPOSE

The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) is a new marker, defined as the platelet count × neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. This study evaluates the SII as a prognostic marker for the overall survival (OS) of patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) for distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC).

METHODS

One hundred and forty patients who underwent PD for DCC between September, 2002 and December, 2015 at our hospital were divided into a low SII (SII < 1450) group and a high SII (SII ≥ 1450) group. We compared the clinicopathological characteristics and OS of the two groups retrospectively and used multivariate analyses to identify the prognostic factors for OS.

RESULTS

The low and high SII groups comprised 119 and 21 patients, respectively. OS was better in the low SII group than in the high SII group, with median survival times of 81 and 26 months, respectively (p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses revealed that portal vein resection (hazard ratio [HR], 9.58; p < 0.001), SII ≥ 1450 (HR, 2.05; p = 0.041), microscopic venous invasion (HR, 2.04; p = 0.005), and pN1 (HR, 1.73; p = 0.034) were independently associated with poor survival.

CONCLUSION

The SII may be useful for predicting the long-term survival of patients with DCC after PD.

TTSurv: Exploring the Multi-Gene Prognosis in Thousands of Tumors

Thoracic malignancies are a common type of cancer and area major global health problem. These complex diseases, including lung cancer, esophageal cancer, and breast cancer, etc. have attracted considerable attention from researchers. Potential gene-cancer associations can be explored by demonstrating the association between clinical data and gene expression data. Emerging evidence suggests that the transcriptome plays a particularly critical role as a diagnostic biomarker in pathology and histology studies. Thus, there is an urgent need to develop a platform that allows users to perform a comprehensive prognostic analysis of thoracic cancers. Here, we developed TTSurv, which aims to correlate coding and noncoding genes with cancers by combining high-throughput data with clinical prognosis. TTSurv focuses on the application of high-throughput data to detect ncRNAs, such as lncRNAs and microRNAs, as novel diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. For a more comprehensive analysis, a large amount of public expression profile data with clinical follow-up information have been integrated into TTSurv. TTSurv also provides flexible methods such as a minimum p-value algorithm and unsupervised clustering methods that can classify thoracic cancer samples into different risk groups. TTSurv will expand our understanding of ncRNAs in thoracic malignancies and provide new insights into their application as potential prognostic/diagnostic biomarkers.

Waddell (Nonorganic) Signs and Their Association With Interventional Treatment Outcomes for Low Back Pain

BACKGROUND

The rising use of injections to treat low back pain (LBP) has led to efforts to improve selection. Nonorganic (Waddell) signs have been shown to portend treatment failure for surgery and other therapies but have not been studied for minimally invasive interventions.

METHODS

We prospectively evaluated the association between Waddell signs and treatment outcome in 3 cohorts: epidural steroid injections (ESI) for leg pain and sacroiliac joint (SIJ) injections and facet interventions for LBP. Categories of Waddell signs included nonanatomic tenderness, pain during sham stimulation, discrepancy in physical examination, overreaction, and regional disturbances divulging from neuroanatomy. The primary outcome was change in patient-reported "average" numerical rating scale for pain intensity (average NRS-PI), modeled as a function of the number of Waddell signs using simple linear regression. Secondary outcomes included a binary indicator of treatment response. We conducted secondary and sensitivity analyses to account for potential confounders.

RESULTS

We enrolled 318 patients: 152 in the ESI cohort, 102 in the facet cohort, and 64 in the SIJ cohort, having sufficient data for primary analysis on 308 patients. Among these, 62% (n = 192) had no Waddell signs, 18% (n = 54) had 1 sign, 11% (n = 33) had 2, 5% (n = 16) had 3, 2% (n = 7) had 4, and about 2% (n = 6) had all 5 signs. The mean change in average NRS-PI in each of these 6 groups was -1.6 ± 2.6, -1.1 ± 2.7, -1.5 ± 2.5, -1.6 ± 2.6, -1 ± 1.5, and 0.7 ± 2.1, respectively, and their corresponding treatment failure rates were 54% (102 of 192), 67% (36 of 54), 70% (23 of 33), 75% (12 of 16), 71% (5 of 7), and 83% (5 of 6). In the primary analysis, an increasing number of Waddell signs were not associated with a significant decrease in average NRS-PI (coefficient [Coef] = 0.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.43 to 0.05; P = .12). A higher number of Waddell signs were associated with treatment failure, with a 1.35 increased odds of treatment failure per cumulative number of signs (P = .008).

CONCLUSIONS

Whereas this study found no consistent relationship between Waddell signs and decreased mean pain scores, a significant relationship between the number of Waddell signs and treatment failure was observed.

Use of preoperative controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score as a better prognostic marker for distal cholangiocarcinoma after pancreatoduodenectomy

PURPOSE

The controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score can be easily calculated from the serum albumin concentration, total cholesterol concentration, and total lymphocyte count. The study aim was to assess the preoperative prognostic factors for the overall survival (OS) of distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC) following pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) and to demonstrate the utility of the CONUT score.

METHODS

A total of 149 consecutive patients who underwent PD for DCC between September 2002 and December 2016 were divided into a low-CONUT (LC) group (CONUT scores ≤ 2) and a high-CONUT (HC) group (CONUT scores ≥ 3). The clinicopathological characteristics and OS of the patients were evaluated retrospectively. Prognostic factors of DCC were identified by multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

The LC and HC groups included 113 and 36 patients, respectively. The OS was better in the LC group than in the HC group (median survival time and 5 year survival rate: 82 months and 56.8% vs. 38 months and 27.6%, P = 0.005). Multivariate analyses for the OS in all patients showed that the tumor differentiation, perineural invasion, residual tumor status, portal vein resection, blood transfusion, and preoperative CONUT score ≥ 3 were independently associated with a poor survival.

CONCLUSION

The CONUT score may be a useful preoperative factor for predicting the long-term survival in patients with DCC.

Meaningful change: Defining the interpretability of changes in endpoints derived from interactive and mHealth technologies in healthcare and clinical research

Immersive, interactive and mHealth technologies are increasingly being used in clinical research, healthcare and rehabilitation solutions. Leveraging technology solutions to derive new and novel clinical outcome measures is important to the ongoing assessment of clinical interventions. While demonstrating statistically significant changes is an important element of intervention assessment, understanding whether changes detected reflect changes of a magnitude that are considered meaningful to patients is equally important. We describe methodologies used to determine meaningful change and recommend that these techniques are routinely included in the development and testing of clinical assessment and rehabilitation technology solutions.

Single-agent ibrutinib in RESONATE-2™ and RESONATE™ versus treatments in the real-world PHEDRA databases for patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia

After analyzing treatment patterns in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) (objective 1), we investigated the relative effectiveness of ibrutinib versus other commonly used treatments (objective 2) in patients with treatment-naïve and relapsed/refractory CLL, comparing patient-level data from two randomized registration trials with two real-world databases. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, adjusted for differences in baseline characteristics. Rituximab-containing regimens were often prescribed in clinical practice. The most frequently prescribed regimens were fludarabine + cyclophosphamide + rituximab (FCR, 29.3%), bendamustine + rituximab (BR, 17.7%), and other rituximab-containing regimens (22.0%) in the treatment-naïve setting (n = 604), other non-FCR/BR rituximab-containing regimens (38.7%) and non-rituximab–containing regimens (28.5%) in the relapsed/refractory setting (n = 945). Adjusted HRs (95% CI) for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), respectively, with ibrutinib versus real-world regimens were 0.23 (0.14–0.37; p < 0.0001) and 0.40 (0.22–0.76; p = 0.0048) in the treatment-naïve setting, and 0.21 (0.16–0.27; p < 0.0001) and 0.29 (0.21–0.41; p < 0.0001) in the relapsed/refractory setting. When comparing real-world use of ibrutinib (n = 53) versus other real-world regimens in relapsed/refractory CLL (objective 3), adjusted HRs (95% CI) were 0.37 (0.22–0.63; p = 0.0003) for PFS and 0.53 (0.27–1.03; p < 0.0624) for OS. This adjusted analysis, based on nonrandomized patient data, suggests ibrutinib to be more effective than other commonly used regimens for CLL.

Early onset of action with a 17β-estradiol, softgel, vaginal insert for treating vulvar and vaginal atrophy and moderate to severe dyspareunia

OBJECTIVE

The softgel 17β-estradiol (E2) vaginal inserts (4 and 10 μg; Imvexxy; TherapeuticsMD, Boca Raton, FL) are FDA approved for treating moderate to severe dyspareunia associated with postmenopausal vulvar and vaginal atrophy (VVA). The objective here was to determine responder rates at week 2 and whether week-2 findings predicted week-12 responders in the REJOICE trial.

METHODS

Postmenopausal women received E2 vaginal inserts 4, 10, or 25 μg, or placebo for 12 weeks. Proportion of responders (having ≥2 of the following: vaginal superficial cells >5%, vaginal pH <5.0, or dyspareunia improvement of ≥1 category) were calculated. Odds ratios (ORs) for positive response at week 12 given a positive response at week 2 were determined in the efficacy evaluable (EE) population.

RESULTS

The responder rate (in EE population [n = 695]) was 74% to 82% with E2 inserts versus 24% with placebo at week 2, and 72% to 80% versus 33% at week 12. Positive treatment responses were 9- to 14-fold higher with vaginal E2 than with placebo at week 2, and 5- to 8-fold higher at week 12. Response at week 2 predicted response at week 12 in the total population (OR 13.1; 95% CI, 8.8-19.7) and with active treatment only (OR 7.9; 95% CI, 4.7-13.2).

CONCLUSIONS

A high percentage of postmenopausal women with moderate to severe dyspareunia responded with the E2 softgel vaginal insert at week 2, and a positive response at week 2 predicted a positive response at week 12.

Health-related Quality of Life in the Phase III LUME-Colon 1 Study: Comparison and Interpretation of Results From EORTC QLQ-C30 Analyses

INTRODUCTION

We used European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire (EORTC QLQ-C30) data from the LUME-Colon 1 study to illustrate different methods of statistical analysis for health-related quality of life (HRQoL), and compared the results.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were randomized 1:1 to receive nintedanib 200 mg twice daily plus best supportive care (n = 386) or matched placebo plus best supportive care (n = 382). Five methods (mean treatment difference averaged over time, using a mixed-effects growth curve model; mixed-effects models for repeated measurements (MMRM); time-to-deterioration (TTD); status change; and responder analysis) were used to analyze EORTC QLQ-C30 global health status (GHS)/QoL and scores from functional scales.

RESULTS

Overall, GHS/QoL and physical functioning deteriorated over time. Mean treatment difference slightly favored nintedanib over placebo for physical functioning (adjusted mean, 2.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-4.34) and social functioning (adjusted mean, 2.62; 95% CI, 0.66-4.47). GHS/QoL was numerically better with nintedanib versus placebo (adjusted mean, 1.61; 95% CI, -0.004 to 3.27). MMRM analysis had similar results, with better physical functioning in the nintedanib group at all timepoints. There was no significant delay in GHS/QoL deterioration (10%) and physical functioning (16%) with nintedanib versus placebo (TTD analysis). Status change analysis showed a higher proportion of patients with markedly improved GHS/QoL and physical functioning in the nintedanib versus placebo groups. Responder analysis showed a similar, less pronounced pattern.

CONCLUSION

Analyses of EORTC QLQ-C30 data showed that HRQoL was not impaired by treatment with nintedanib versus placebo. Analysis and interpretation of HRQoL endpoints should consider symptom type and severity and course of disease.