Diabetes and impaired glucose metabolism is associated with more cold-related cardiorespiratory symptoms

A systematic review and meta-analysis of cold exposure and cardiovascular disease outcomes

Background

Cold exposure has been considered an essential risk factor for the global disease burden, while its role in cardiovascular diseases is still underappreciated. The increase in frequency and duration of extreme cold weather events like cold spells makes it an urgent task to evaluate the effects of ambient cold on different types of cardiovascular disease and to understand the factors contributing to the population's vulnerability.

Methods

In the present systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane. We included original research that explored the association between cold exposure (low temperature and cold spell) and cardiovascular disease outcomes (mortality and morbidity). We did a random-effects meta-analysis to pool the relative risk (RR) of the association between a 1°C decrease in temperature or cold spells and cardiovascular disease outcomes.

Results

In total, we included 159 studies in the meta-analysis. As a result, every 1°C decrease in temperature increased cardiovascular disease-related mortality by 1.6% (RR 1.016; [95% CI 1.015–1.018]) and morbidity by 1.2% (RR 1.012; [95% CI 1.010–1.014]). The most pronounced effects of low temperatures were observed in the mortality of coronary heart disease (RR 1.015; [95% CI 1.011–1.019]) and the morbidity of aortic aneurysm and dissection (RR 1.026; [95% CI 1.021–1.031]), while the effects were not significant in hypertensive disease outcomes. Notably, we identified climate zone, country income level and age as crucial influential factors in the impact of ambient cold exposure on cardiovascular disease. Moreover, the impact of cold spells on cardiovascular disease outcomes is significant, which increased mortality by 32.4% (RR 1.324; [95% CI 1.2341.421]) and morbidity by 13.8% (RR 1.138; [95% CI 1.015–1.276]).

Conclusion

Cold exposure could be a critical risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, and the cold effect varies between disease types and climate zones.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier: CRD42022347247.

Associations between cold spells and hospital admission and mortality due to diabetes: A nationwide multi-region time-series study in Korea

BACKGROUND

Climate change is predicted to increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of extreme cold events in the mid-latitudes. However, although diabetes is one of the most critical metabolic diseases due to its high and increasing prevalence worldwide, few studies have investigated the short-term association between cold exposure and diabetes-related outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between cold spells and their characteristics (intensity, duration, and seasonal timing) and hospital admission and mortality due to diabetes.

METHODS

This study used claims data from the National Health Insurance Service and cause-specific mortality data from Statistics Korea (2010-2019). Cold spells were defined as ≥2 consecutive days with a daily mean temperature lower than the region-specific 5th percentile during the cold season (November-March). Quasi-Poisson regressions combined with distributed lag models were used to assess the associations between exposures and outcomes in 16 regions across the Republic of Korea. Meta-analyses were conducted to pool the region-specific estimates.

RESULTS

Exposure to cold spells was associated with an increased risk of hospital admission [relative risk (RR) = 1.45, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.26, 1.66] and mortality (RR = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.37, 2.99) due to diabetes. The association between cold spells and hospital admission due to diabetes was stronger for cold spells that were more intense, longer, and occurred later during the cold season. The association between cold spells and diabetes-related mortality was stronger for more intense and longer cold spells.

CONCLUSION

This study emphasizes the importance of developing effective interventions against cold spells, including education on the dangers of cold spells and early alarm systems. Further studies are needed to create real-world interventions and evaluate their effectiveness in improving diabetes-related outcomes.

The underlying mechanisms of cold exposure-induced ischemic stroke

Growing evidence suggests that cold exposure is to some extent a potential risk factor for ischemic stroke. At present, although the mechanism by which cold exposure induces ischemic stroke is not fully understood, some potential mechanisms have been mentioned. First, the seasonal and temperature variability of cerebrovascular risk factors (hypertension, hyperglycemia, hyperlipidemia, atrial fibrillation) may be involved. Moreover, the activation of sympathetic nervous system and renin-angiotensin system and their downstream signaling pathways (pro-inflammatory AngII, activated platelets, and dysfunctional immune cells) are also major contributors. Finally, the influenza epidemics induced by cold weather are also influencing factors that cannot be ignored. This article is the first to systematically and comprehensively describe the underlying mechanism of cold-induced ischemic stroke, aiming to provide more preventive measures and medication guidance for stroke-susceptible individuals in cold season, and also provide support for the formulation of public health policies.

Modelling climate change impacts on attributable-related deaths and demographic changes in the largest metropolitan area in Portugal: A time-series analysis

Previous studies have consistently analyzed the impact that extreme temperatures will have on human health. However, there are very few data on temperature-related mortality burden considering future demographic changes in a context of climate change in Portugal. This study aims to quantify the impact of climate change on heat-, cold-, and net change mortality burdens, taking into account the future demographic changes in Lisbon Metropolitan Area, Portugal. We applied a time-series generalized linear model with a quasi-Poisson model via a distributed lag nonlinear model to project temperature-related mortality burden for two climatological scenarios: a present (or reference, 1986-2005) scenario and a future scenario (2046-2065), in this case the Representative Concentration Pathway RCP8.5, which reflects the worst set of expectations (with the most onerous impacts). The results show that the total attributable fraction due to temperature, extreme and moderate cold, is statistically significant in the historical period and the future projected scenarios, while extreme and moderate heat were only significant in the projected future summer period. Net differences were attributed to moderate cold in the future winter months. Projections show a consistent and significant increase in future heat-related mortality burden. The attributable fraction due to heat in the future period, compared to the historical period, ranges from 0 to 1.5% for moderate heat and from 0 to 0.5% for extreme heat. Adaptation should be implemented at the local level, so as to prevent and diminish the effects on citizens and healthcare services, in a context of climate change.