Association of the extent of return to fasting state 2-hours after a glucose challenge with incident prediabetes and type 2 diabetes: The CARDIA study

Linking extent of return to fasting state after oral glucose tolerance test to future risk of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes: Insights from the TLGS

AIMS

To assess the risk of difference between 2 h post-load plasma glucose (2 h-PG) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) on incident prediabetes/type 2 diabetes (T2DM) among normoglycemic individuals.

METHODS

Among 4,971 individuals aged ≥20 years, the associations of the difference between 2 h-PG and FPG with outcomes were examined using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis. Participants were categorized into three groups: a low post-load group (2 h-PG ≤ FPG, as the reference group); a high post-load group (2 h-PG > FPG and ≥75th percentile of the difference); and a medium post-load group (2 h-PG > FPG and <75th percentile of the difference), which was further categorized into three groups by equal ranges.

RESULTS

Over a median of 11.5 years of follow-up, 2,331 new cases of prediabetes/type 2 diabetes and 360 cases of type 2 diabetes occurred. Greater risks of incident prediabetes/type 2 diabetes in second (9-16 mg/dL) and third (17-24 mg/dL) medium post-load, as well as high post-load (≥25 mg/dL) categories, were found, with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.26 (1.11-1.44), 1.32 (1.15-1.51), and 1.69 (1.51-1.90), respectively; the issue was more prominent among women (P for interaction = 0.005). The risk of incident type 2 diabetes was also higher for these categories. After further adjustment for the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, result remained essentially unchanged. Even among individuals with low normal FPG (i.e., <90 mg/dL), ≥9 mg/dL difference between 2 h-PG and FPG increased the risk of composite prediabetes/ type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater levels of 2 h-PG as low as 9 mg/dL than FPG among normoglycemic individuals is a harbinger of prediabetes/type 2 diabetes development.

Can the postload-fasting glucose gap be used to determine risk of developing diabetes in chinese adults: A prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the relationship between fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and 2-hour postload plasma glucose (2hPG) measured during an oral glucose tolerance test, and the risk of developing diabetes in Chinese adults.

METHODS

We followed 3,094 participants without diabetes, categorizing them based on their oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) results into low post load (2hPG ≤ FPG) and high post load (2hPG > FPG) at baseline. We monitored the incidence of diabetes, incidence of prediabetes, disease progression from prediabetes to diabetes and disease reversal from prediabetes to normal glucose tolerance (NGT) over an average of 3.2 years of follow-up. After the Schoenfeld residual test, Cox's time-varying covariate (Cox-TVC) models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) to compare the different clinical events between low and high post load groups.

RESULTS

In the cohort study, of the 3,094 participants, 702 (22.7 %) had low post load (2hPG ≤ FPG, mean postload-fasting gap: -0.8 ± 0.7 mmol/L) and 2,392 (77.3 %) had high post load (2hPG > FPG, mean postload-fasting gap: 1.8 ± 1.2 mmol/L). Over 3.2 ± 0.2 years of follow-up, 282 (9.1 %) developed diabetes. In the low post load group, the incidence rates per 1,000 person-years were: diabetes was 7.9, prediabetes was 70.0, disease progression from prediabetes to diabetes was 23.4 and disease reversal to NGT was 327.2. For the high post load group, incidence rates for diabetes was 13.9, prediabetes was 124.3, disease progression was 59.5 and disease reversal was 238.6 per 1,000 person-years. Participants with high post load showed higher incidence rates of diabetes, prediabetes, and progression from prediabetes to diabetes compared to those with low post load. HRs were significantly higher for incident diabetes and prediabetes, and disease progression from prediabetes to diabetes, whereas disease reversal was lower.

CONCLUSION

The risk of developing prediabetes/diabetes after 3.2 years of follow-up was higher in the participants with high post load. It suggested that postload-fasting gap may be a simple tool to predict the risk of developing prediabetes, diabetes or reversal to NGT.

High levels of blood glycemic indicators are associated with chronic kidney disease prevalence in non-diabetic adults: Cross-sectional data from the national health and nutrition examination survey 2005-2016

Objective

Hyperglycemia in individuals with diabetes is associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD); however, little is known about its association with those without diabetes. Our goal was to investigate the association between glycemic indicators and CKD in individuals without diabetes.

Methods

This cross-sectional study included 9610 participants without diabetes who participated in the Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 2005 and 2016. Exposures included postprandial glucose dip (PGD), fasting blood glucose (FBG), oral glucose tolerance test two-hour blood glucose (OGTT-2HBG), and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1C) levels. Moreover, CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate below 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or a urinary albumin-creatinine ratio of ≥ 30 mg/g. Two multivariate models were constructed. Interaction effects were also explored.

Results

The mean age of the participants was 46.0 years, with 50.3 % being females. The prevalence of CKD was 12.6 %. In the final multivariable models, the odds ratios (ORs) for CKD were 1.51 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.22,1.88, p < 0.001) for participants in the highest quartile of PGD,1.46 (95 %CI: 1.13,1.87, p = 0.004) for OGTT-2HBG, and 1.33 (95 %CI: 1.04,1.70, p = 0.020) for HbA1C, when compared with the quartile 1. No significant association was observed between FBG levels and CKD in the final model. Additionally, interactions were observed between PGD and body mass index, as well as between PGD and alcohol consumption in relation to CKD.

Conclusion

The study identified that high levels of PGD, OGTT-2HBG, and HBA1C were significantly associated with a high prevalence of CKD in individuals without diabetes.

The difference between 2-hour post-challenge and fasting plasma glucose associates with the risk of cardiovascular disease in a normoglycemic population: the Tehran lipid and glucose study

BACKGROUND

Elevated fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and 2-hour post-challenge glucose (2hPG) levels are known to be independent risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, there is limited data on the association of the difference between these measures and the risk of CVD. This study aims to investigate this association in normoglycemic Iranian adults, particularly in those with low-normal FPG levels.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 4,594 30-65-year-old participants from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. Using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, smoking, education level and FPG, hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated for the association between 2hPG-FPG, both as continuous and categorical variables, and the CVD risk. Analyses of receiver operating characteristic curves were undertaken to determine the optimal 2hPG-FPG cut-off value.

RESULTS

During a median of 17.9 years of follow-up, 459 CVD events occurred. A one-unit increase in 2hPG-FPG was significantly associated with an elevated risk of cardiovascular disease in both normoglycemic (HR 1.10, 95% CI (1.01-1.19)) and low-normal FPG individuals (HR 1.16, 95% CI (1.04-1.30)); this association resisted adjustment for Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) among normoglycemic individuals. However, those with 2hPG levels greater than FPG levels had a non-significant increased risk of incident CVD compared to those with 2hPG levels of less than or equal to FPG, with corresponding HR values of 1.18 (95% CI: 0.95-1.46) in normoglycemic and 1.32 (95% CI: 0.98-1.79) in low-normal FPG, respectively. For incident CVD, the optimal cut-off value for the 2hPG-FPG was found to be 1.06 mmol/L, which was applicable for both normoglycemic and low FPG populations; using this criterion, the corresponding risks for incident CVD were 1.36 (95% CI: 1.12-1.64) and 1.57 (95% CI: 1.22-2.03), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The difference between 2hPG and FPG levels within the normoglycemic range is related to an increased risk of CVD, an issue that was independent of HOMA-IR. A cut-off point for 2hPG-FPG > 1.06 mmol/L may stratify persons at higher risk. These findings were particularly notable in those with low-normal FPG.

Lipid Peroxidation via Regulating the Metabolism of Docosahexaenoic Acid and Arachidonic Acid in Autistic Behavioral Symptoms

The association between the lipid peroxidation product malondialdehyde (MDA)-modified low-density lipoprotein (MDA-LDL) and the pathophysiology of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is unclear. This association was studied in 17 children with ASD and seven age-matched controls regarding autistic behaviors. Behavioral symptoms were assessed using the Aberrant Behavior Checklist (ABC). To compensate for the small sample size, adaptive Lasso was used to increase the likelihood of accurate prediction, and a coefficient of variation was calculated for suitable variable selection. Plasma MDA-LDL levels were significantly increased, and plasma SOD levels were significantly decreased in addition to significantly increased plasma docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) levels and significantly decreased plasma arachidonic acid (ARA) levels in the 17 subjects with ASD as compared with those of the seven healthy controls. The total ABC scores were significantly higher in the ASD group than in the control group. The results of multiple linear regression and adaptive Lasso analyses revealed an association between increased plasma DHA levels and decreased plasma ARA levels, which were significantly associated with total ABC score and increased plasma MDA-LDL levels. Therefore, an imbalance between plasma DHA and ARA levels induces ferroptosis via lipid peroxidation. Decreased levels of α-linolenic acid and γ-linolenic acid may be connected to the total ABC scores with regard to lipid peroxidation.