Early hospital readmission in decompensated cirrhosis: Incidence, impact on mortality, and predictive factors

Assessment of the 2021 AASLD Practice Guidance for Albumin Infusion in Elective Therapeutic Paracentesis: A Regression Discontinuity Design

INTRODUCTION

The 2021 American Association for the Study of Liver Disease (AASLD) Practice Guidance recommends albumin infusion when removing ≥5 L of ascites to prevent post-paracentesis circulatory dysfunction. However, the optimal criteria and scenarios for initiating albumin infusion subsequent to therapeutic paracentesis (TP) have been subject to limited scientific inquiry.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study at a US academic healthcare center. Participants received elective, outpatient TP between July 2019 and December 2022. Patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, post-TP clinical adjustments, and/or hospitalization were excluded. The institution strictly followed the AASLD Guidance. We used a sharp regression discontinuity (RD) design to estimate the effect of albumin infusion at the AASLD Guidance-recommended cutoff of 5 L on serum creatinine and sodium trajectory after TP.

RESULTS

Over the study period, 1,457 elective TPs were performed on 235 unique patients. Albumin infusion at the threshold of 5 L of ascites removal reduced serum creatinine levels by 0.046 mg/dL/d (95% confidence interval 0.003-0.116, P = 0.037) and increased serum sodium levels by 0.35 mEq/L/d (95% confidence interval 0.15-0.55, P = 0.001) compared with those who did not receive albumin infusion. The RD plots indicated worsened serum creatine/sodium levels after draining 3 L of fluid, approaching levels similar to or worse than with albumin infusion at 5 L or more.

DISCUSSION

Our RD models supported the 2021 AASLD Guidance with robust estimation of causal effect sizes at the cutoff level of 5 L. Nevertheless, the findings also highlight the need to further evaluate the efficacy of albumin infusion in patients who undergo elective TP and have 3-5 L of ascites removed.

Discharge Outcomes of Hospitalized Patients with New Onset Decompensated Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

There are a lack of data describing outcomes and follow-up after hospital discharge for patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis with complication on index admission. This study examines factors that influence outcomes such as readmission, follow-up, and mortality for patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis.

METHODS

We conducted a single-center retrospective chart review study of 230 patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis from January 1st, 2020 through December 31st, 2021. We obtained demographics, clinical diagnoses, admission, and discharge MELD-Na, disposition, mortality, appointment requests rate, appointment show rate, and readmission.

RESULTS

The primary complications on admission were GI bleed (27%), ascites (25.7%), and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) (10.4%). Overall, the median length of stay (LOS) was 6 days, and the readmission rate was 27%. Out of 230 patients, 25 (10.9%) patients died while hospitalized while another 43 (18.6%) died after initial discharge within the two-year study period. Although there was a significant reduction of the MELD-Na from admission to discharge (p < 0.05), admission MELD-Na did not correlate with LOS and discharge MELD-Na did not predict readmission. Patients with HE had the highest median LOS, while patients with ascites had the highest readmission rate. The median time to an appointment was 32 days. When comparing discharge destinations, most patients were discharged to home (63%), to facilities (13.9%), or expired (10.9%). The average appointment show rate was 38.5%, although 70% of patients had appointment requests. Readmission rate and mortality did not differ based on appointment requests. No significant differences in outcomes were observed based on race, sex, or insurance status.

CONCLUSION

New diagnosis of decompensated was found to have high mortality and high readmission rates. Higher MELD-Na score was seen in patients who died within 30 days. Routine appointment requests did not significantly improve readmission, mortality, increase appointment show rate, or decrease time to appointment. A comprehensive and specialized hepatology-specific program may have great benefits after cirrhotic decompensation, especially for those with newly diagnosed cirrhosis.

A randomized controlled trial of a postdischarge nursing intervention for patients with decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Few randomized trials have evaluated the effect of postdischarge interventions for patients with liver cirrhosis. This study assessed the effects of a postdischarge intervention on readmissions and mortality in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized controlled trial at a specialized liver unit. Adult patients admitted with complications of liver cirrhosis were eligible for inclusion. Participants were allocated 1:1 to standard follow-up or a family-focused nurse-led postdischarge intervention between December 1, 2019, and October 31, 2021. The 6-month intervention consisted of a patient pamphlet, 3 home visits, and 3 follow-up telephone calls by a specialized liver nurse. The primary outcome was the number of readmissions due to liver cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Of the 110 included participants, 93% had alcohol as a primary etiology. We found no significant differences in effects in the primary outcomes such as time to first readmission, number of patients readmitted, and duration of readmissions or in the secondary outcomes like health-related quality of life and 6- and 12-month mortality. A post hoc exploratory analysis showed a significant reduction in nonattendance rates in the intervention group (RR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.13-0.54, p=0.0004) and significantly fewer participants continuing to consume alcohol in the intervention group (p=0.003). After 12 months, the total number of readmissions (RR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.59-0.96, p=0.02) and liver-related readmissions (RR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.36-0.82, p=0.003) were reduced in the intervention group.

CONCLUSIONS

A family-focused postdischarge nursing intervention had no significant effects on any of the primary or secondary outcomes. In a post hoc exploratory analysis, we found reduced 6-month nonattendance and alcohol consumption rates, as well as reduced 12-month readmission rates in the intervention group.

Risk factors for hospital readmission among patients with cirrhosis and ascites in China: a retrospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

In this investigation, we aimed to explore risk factors for 90-day hospital readmission among patients with cirrhosis and ascites in an Asian population.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we included consecutive patients diagnosed with cirrhosis and ascites hospitalized in Renji Hospital between 2018 and 2022 to elucidate risk factors for 90-day readmission. We conducted multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify readmission risk factors.

RESULTS

We included 265 patients with cirrhosis and ascites. A 43% readmission rate was observed within 90 days. After adjustment for multiple covariates, we found that readmission within 90 days was independently linked to reduced levels of hemoglobin (odds ratio [OR] 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.94-0.97) and serum albumin (OR 0.88, 95% CI 0.83-0.93), and higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and sodium (MELD-Na) scores (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07) at discharge.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with cirrhosis who have ascites are frequently rehospitalized within 90 days after discharge. Lower hemoglobin or albumin and higher MELD-Na scores at discharge may be the main risk factors for hospital readmission.

Burden of caregiving of alcohol related liver disease patients: a possible role of training and caregiver groups frequency. Proposal of a method, preliminary results

BACKGROUND

The patient with alcohol related liver disease (ALD) is an extremely complex patient who can be affected by various problems: alcohol use disorders (AUDs) (intoxication or withdrawal syndrome), psychopathological manifestations, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), family and social discomfort. Burden of caregiving for this type of patient is particularly severe. For this reason we propose our own working model.

METHODS

Thirty-one informal caregivers (ICs) of patients with ALD (28 females; mean age: 51±11) recruited in the period September-November 2021 followed prospectively were evaluated retrospectively. Those who completed all the steps (initial information/ training meeting), participation in support groups for caregivers and participation in self-help groups for AUD (club of alcoholics in treatment, anonymous family members, other realities) were selected (31/71: 43%). ICs underwent Zarit Burden Interview and a semi-structured interview.

RESULTS

From the semi-structured interview, emotional, organizational, but also constructive reflections emerge. Zarit Score (ZS) was found to be light or nil in the 13% (4/31), moderate in the 22.5% (7/31), severe in the 32% (10/31) and very serious in the 32% (10/31). The parameters that most influenced initial ZS are the presence of HE and primitive psychiatric comorbidity (PC). By dividing the caregivers into two groups (40) odds ratio is 2.4231 (95% CI: 0.4059-14.4637) in the presence of HE and odds ratio is 5.3846 (95% CI: 0.5666 to 51.1738) in the presence of PC. After the frequency to the caregiver groups (CGs) (at least 4) the ZS is significantly decreased (49.9±18 vs. 34±11; t=4.1966; P<0.0001) and this regardless of the presence of HE, PC or active alcohol consumption.

CONCLUSIONS

While waiting to increase the number of cases and to submit it to a more in-depth verification, we suggest to other health organizations to use and verify this organizational/ relational method for primary ICs, in an attempt to optimize the health and social health activity in a complex medical sector (ALD) in constant growth.

Hepatic encephalophathy: management and diagnostic therapeutic assistance path of Ligurian Local Health Company 3 (ASL3)

Hepatic encephalophathy (HE) is a neuropsychiatric syndrome with a prevalence in the cirrhotic population ranging from 20 to 80%. HE is a cause of inappropriate hospitalization, caregiver burdening and increased social costs. There is need to create dedicated care pathways to better manage patients and support family caregivers. The data used for the preparation of this diagnostic therapeutic assistance path (DTAP) are based on a detailed analysis of the scientific literature published before June 30, 2022 (PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Google Scholar). Furthermore, in the process of developing this work, we consulted in particular the guidelines/ position papers of International Society for Hepatic Encephalopathy and Nitrogen Metabolism (ISHEN), Italian Association for the Study of the Liver (AISF), European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL), American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD), Italian Society on Alcohol (Società Italiana di Alcologia [SIA]) and other relevant papers. DTAP was created based on the most recent recommendations of the international scientific literature. The present DTAP highlight the need for a multidisciplinary activity integrated with territorial medicine in close connection with caregivers. This guarantees improved therapeutic adherence, hospital readmission reduction, improved quality of life for patients and caregivers and a significant reduction in costs.

Integration of Cirrhosis Best Practices Into Electronic Medical Record Documentation Associated With Reduction in 30-Day Mortality Following Hospitalization

BACKGROUND

Hospital admissions for patients with cirrhosis continue to increase. In New York City, 25% to 30% of hospitalized cirrhotics are readmitted within 30 days. Rehospitalization is associated with increased mortality, poor quality of life, and financial burden to patients, hospitals, and payers. Preventable readmissions are partially accounted for by a well-documented quality gap between evidence-based guidelines for cirrhosis management and real-world adherence to these recommendations.

METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study that compared outcomes among cirrhotic patients admitted to 4 internal medicine teams over a 6-month period. An electronic medical record (EMR) note template that outlined best-practice measures for cirrhotics was developed. Inpatient providers on 2 teams were instructed to include it in daily progress notes and discharge summaries. The recommended practices included diagnostic paracentesis and diuretics for ascites, rifaximin, and lactulose for hepatic encephalopathy, beta blockers for esophageal varices, and antibiotic prophylaxis for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. The remaining 2 teams continued the standard of care for cirrhotic patients. The primary outcome was 30-day readmissions. Secondary outcomes included in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, length of stay, and adherence to best-practice guidelines.

RESULTS

Over a 6-month period, 108 cirrhotic patients were admitted, 83 in the interventional group and 25 in the control group. MELD-Na scores on admission did not differ between the groups (20.1 vs. 21.1, P =0.56). Thirty-day readmissions were not significantly different between the interventional and control groups (19.3% vs. 24%, P =0.61). However, 30-day mortality was significantly lower in the interventional group (8.4% vs. 28%, P =0.01). There was no difference between the 2 groups in in-hospital mortality (4.8% vs. 0%, P =0.27), 90-day mortality (15.7% vs. 28.0%, P =0.17) or length of stay (10.2 vs. 12.6 d, P =0.34). Adherence to best-practice metrics was similar between the groups, except for rates of diagnostic paracentesis, which were higher in the interventional group (98% vs. 80%, P =0.01).

CONCLUSION

Implementation of an EMR note template with cirrhosis best practices was associated with lower 30-day mortality and higher rates of diagnostic paracentesis among admitted patients with cirrhosis. These findings suggest that the integration of best-practice measures into the EMR may improve outcomes in hospitalized cirrhotic patients. Larger studies are required to validate these findings.

Randomized intervention and outpatient follow-up lowers 30-d readmissions for patients with hepatic encephalopathy, decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

We previously reported national 30-d readmission rates of 27% in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DC).

AIM

To study prospective interventions to reduce early readmissions in DC at our tertiary center.

METHODS

Adults with DC admitted July 2019 to December 2020 were enrolled and randomized into the intervention (INT) or standard of care (SOC) arms. Weekly phone calls for a month were completed. In the INT arm, case managers ensured outpatient follow-up, paracentesis, and medication compliance. Thirty-day readmission rates and reasons were compared.

RESULTS

Calculated sample size was not achieved due to coronavirus disease 2019; 240 patients were randomized into INT and SOC arms. 30-d readmission rate was 33.75%, 35.83% in the INT vs 31.67% in the SOC arm (P = 0.59). The top reason for 30-d readmission was hepatic encephalopathy (HE, 32.10%). There was a lower rate of 30-d readmissions for HE in the INT (21%) vs SOC arm (45%, P = 0.03). There were fewer 30-d readmissions in patients who attended early outpatient follow-up (n = 17, 23.61% vs n = 55, 76.39%, P = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

Our 30-d readmission rate was higher than the national rate but reduced by interventions in patients with DC with HE and early outpatient follow-up. Development of interventions to reduce early readmission in patients with DC is needed.

A risk score to predict 30-day hospital readmission rate in cirrhotic patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

There is lack of 30-day hospital readmission prediction score in patients with liver cirrhosis and SBP. The aim of this study is to recognize factors capable of predicting 30-day readmission and to develop a readmission risk score in patients with SBP.

METHODS

This study prospectively examined the 30-day hospital readmission for patients previously discharged with a diagnosis of SBP. Based on index hospitalization variables, a multivariable logistic regression model was implemented to recognize predictors of patient hospital readmission within 30 days. Consequently, Mousa readmission risk score was established to predict 30-day hospital readmission.

RESULTS

Of 475 patients hospitalized with SBP, 400 patients were included in this study. The 30-day readmission rate was 26.5%, with 16.03% of patients readmitted with SBP. Age ≥ 60, MELD > 15, serum bilirubin > 1.5 mg/dL, creatinine > 1.2 mg/dL, INR > 1.4, albumin < 2.5 g/dL, platelets count ≤ 74 (10³/dL) were found to be independent predictors of 30-day readmission. Incorporating these predictors, Mousa readmission score was established to predict 30-day patient readmissions. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that at a cutoff value ≥ 4, Mousa score had optimum discriminative power for predicting the readmission in SBP with sensitivity 90.6% and specificity 92.9%. However, at cutoff value ≥ 6 the sensitivity and specificity were 77.4% and 99.7%, respectively, while a cutoff value ≥ 2 had sensitivity of 99.1% and specificity of 31.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

The 30-day readmission rate of SBP was 25.6%. With the suggested simple risk assessment Mousa score, patients at high risk for early readmission can be easily identified so as to possibly prevent poorer outcomes.

Delayed Diagnostic Paracentesis Is Associated with Increased Preventable Healthcare Utilization in Disadvantaged Patient Populations with Advanced Liver Disease and Elevated INR

BACKGROUND

Patients hospitalized with cirrhosis, ascites, and elevated INR often experience delays in timely diagnostic paracentesis.

AIMS

Identify whether delays in diagnostic paracentesis were associated with adverse outcomes in a hospital system serving a large disadvantaged population.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort analysis of patients admitted from January 2017 to October 2019 with cirrhosis, ascites, and INR ≥ 1.5 across a multi-hospital health system in central Texas. We examined demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with diagnostic paracentesis (1) ≤ 24 h; (2) > 24 h; (3) therapeutic only or no paracentesis. We used logistic regression to examine differences in clinical outcomes controlling for confounders.

RESULTS

479 patients met inclusion criteria. 30.0% (N = 143) were Latino, 6.7% (N = 32) African American, and 67.8% (N = 325) under or uninsured. 54.1% of patients received a diagnostic paracentesis ≤ 24 h of admission and 21.1% did not receive a diagnostic paracentesis during the hospitalization. Undergoing diagnostic paracentesis > 24 h of admission was associated with a 2.3 day increase in length of stay (95% CI 0.8-3.8), and OR 1.7 for an Emergency Room visit within 30 days of discharge (95% CI 1.1-2.7) compared to receiving a diagnostic paracentesis ≤ 24 h. Patients receiving diagnostic paracentesis in radiology were more likely to have a delay in procedure OR 5.8 (95% CI 2.8-8.6).

CONCLUSION

Delayed diagnostic paracentesis is associated with increased preventable healthcare utilization compared with timely diagnostic paracentesis. Health systems should support efforts to ensure timely diagnostic paracentesis for patients with advanced liver disease, including performance at the bedside.

Nurse-assisted and multidisciplinary outpatient follow-up among patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis: A systematic review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Liver cirrhosis represents a considerable health burden and causes 1.2 million deaths annually. Patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis have a poor prognosis and severely reduced health-related quality of life. Nurse-led outpatient care has proven safe and feasible for several chronic diseases and engaging nurses in the outpatient care of patients with liver cirrhosis has been recommended. At the decompensated stage, the treatment and nursing care are directed at specific complications, educational support, and guidance concerning preventive measures and signs of decompensation. This review aimed to assess the effects of nurse-assisted follow-up after admission with decompensation in patients with liver cirrhosis from all causes.

METHOD

A systematic search was conducted through February 2022. Studies were eligible for inclusion if i) they assessed adult patients diagnosed with liver cirrhosis that had been admitted with one or more complications to liver cirrhosis and ii) if nurse-assisted follow-up, including nurse-assisted multidisciplinary interventions, was described in the manuscript. Randomized clinical trials were prioritized, but controlled trials and prospective cohort studies with the intervention were also included. Primary outcomes were mortality and readmission, but secondary subjective outcomes were also assessed.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

We included eleven controlled studies and five prospective studies with a historical control group comprising 1224 participants. Overall, the studies were of moderate to low quality, and heterogeneity across studies was substantial. In a descriptive summary, the 16 studies were divided into three main types of interventions: educational interventions, case management, and standardized hospital follow-up. We saw a significant improvement across all types of studies on several parameters, but currently, no data support a specific type of nurse-assisted, post-discharge intervention. Controlled trials with a predefined intervention evaluating clinically- and practice-relevant endpoints in a real-life, patient-oriented setting are highly warranted.

Predictive Factors for the Prognosis of Alcoholic Liver Cirrhosis

Alcoholic liver cirrhosis (ALC) is a disease with multiple complications and is associated with poor prognosis and significant mortality. Identifying risk factors associated with a poor outcome is important to ensure effective treatment and increase life expectancy. We aimed to evaluate the predictive values of complications regarding mortality in ALC. We retrospectively analyzed 1429 patients with ALC hospitalized between January 2019 and April 2022 at the Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Iasi. The electronic medical records were interrogated to obtain information about demographic data, complications, comorbidities, and prognostic scores: MELD-Na (model for end-stage liver disease-sodium) and CTP (Child−Turcotte−Pugh). Based on uni- and multivariate analysis, independent predictors of mortality were identified. The mean age at diagnosis was 56.15 ± 11.49 years with a ratio of 2:1 in favor of males. There were 296 deaths (20.8%), most of them during the first hospitalization (208/14.6%). It was observed during the univariate analysis that complications of the disease negatively affected the survival rate, significant values being related to infections (sepsis; OR = 21.98; p < 0.001; spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) (OR = 11.94; p < 0.001) and hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) (OR = 9.35; p < 0.001). The independent predictors, confirmed by multivariate analysis, were the association of variceal bleeding, infections, and hepatic encephalopathy or ascites, each combination being responsible for two out of 10 of the deaths during the first admission. The prognosis of the disease was negatively influenced by the worsening of liver dysfunction and the appearance of complications. The main predictors of mortality were infections, hepatic encephalopathy, variceal bleeding, and hepatorenal syndrome. Improving compliance and strict application of specific follow-up and treatment strategies could contribute to a better prognosis of patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis.

A Call for Implementation of an Evidence-Based, Quality Improvement, Decompensated Cirrhosis Discharge Care Bundle in Australia

A growing body of research suggests that evidence-based interventions can tackle high rates of hospital readmissions among patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Care bundles are a prime example of an evidence-based intervention to reduce hospital readmissions through documentation and communication. In this pilot study, a comprehensive baseline audit of electronic medical records of 497 discharges for 175 patients was conducted to assess the current standards of care on discharge from Blacktown Hospital, Australia, and the scope for introducing a care bundle. Our results demonstrated suboptimal discharge communication in a number of areas: Only 54% of decompensated cirrhosis patients had a follow-up appointment pre-scheduled at discharge. Despite alcohol being identified as a key cause of cirrhosis in 60% of patients, a review by alcohol services was conducted on only 24.9% of patients. Moreover, a general lack of focus on patient education and health literacy was identified. In conclusion, our pilot study has highlighted areas for improvement in the standard of care provided to this cohort of patients. Implementation of a standardized care bundle could address the current shortfalls, improve the standard of care and refocus discharge planning to address health literacy and education in patients admitted with a decompensated liver.

Patient-Reported Outcome Measures Modestly Enhance Prediction of Readmission in Patients with Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Patients with cirrhosis have high rates of hospital readmission, but prediction models are suboptimal and have not included important patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). In a large prospective cohort, we examined the impact of PROMs on prediction of 30-day readmissions.

METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study of adults with cirrhosis admitted to a tertiary center between June 2014 and March 2020. We collected clinical information, socioeconomic status, and PROMs addressing functional status and quality of life. We used hierarchical competing risk time-to-event analysis to examine the impact of PROMs on readmission prediction.

RESULTS

A total of 654 patients were discharged alive, and 247 (38%) were readmitted within 30 days. Readmission was independently associated with cerebrovascular disease, ascites, prior hospital admission, admission via the emergency department, lower albumin, higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, discharge with public transportation, and impaired basic activities of daily living and quality-of-life activity domain. Reduced readmission was associated with cancer, admission for infection, children at home, and impaired emotional function. Compared with a model including only clinical variables, addition of functional status and quality-of-life variables improved the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve from 0.72 to 0.73 and 0.75, with net reclassification indices of 0.22 and 0.18, respectively. Socioeconomic variables did not significantly improve prediction compared with clinical variables alone. Compared with a model using electronically available variables only, no models improved prediction when examined with integrated discrimination improvement.

CONCLUSIONS

PROMs may marginally add to the prediction of 30-day readmissions for patients with cirrhosis. Poor social support and disability are associated with readmissions and may be high-yield targets for future interventions.

A Comparison of Different Frailty Scores and Impact of Frailty on Outcome in Patients With Cirrhosis

Background & aims

There is no "gold standard" tool for the assessment of frailty in cirrhosis. This study compares Liver Frailty Index (LFI), Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB), Fried Frailty Criteria (FFC), and Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) for frailty assessment and ascertains its impact on predicting mortality and hospitalizations in a cohort of outpatients with cirrhosis.

Methods

116 patients were enrolled in this prospective observational cohort study. Frailty assessment was done using LFI, SPPB, FFC, and CFS. All patients were followed up for 6 months. The primary outcome was the first of either all-cause unplanned hospitalization or all-cause mortality occurring within 6 months of the study period.

Results

100 (86.2%) males and 16 (13.8%) females with a mean age of 50.2 (48.4-51.9, 95% CI) years were included. The most common cause of cirrhosis was alcoholic liver disease (47.4%) followed by hepatitis C (12.9%) and Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (10.3%). There was no significant difference in prevalence of frailty based on LFI (43.1%), FFC (36.2%), CFS (44%), and SPPB (47.4%) (P > 0.05). Frail patients had worse outcomes compared to the Not frail group. At 6 months, the mortality rate in Frail patients was 42% versus 1.5% for the Not frail; hospitalization in Frail patients occurred in 92% versus 6% in the Not frail. On multivariable analysis, independent predictors of mortality were Frailty [OR 14 (1.4-54.2)], alcohol-related cirrhosis [OR 4.2 (1.1-16.3)], Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) [OR 2.1 (1.4-2.9)] and Chronic liver disease questionnaire (CLDQ) [OR 0.1 (0.1-0.4)] scores.

Conclusions

LFI, SPPB, FFC, and CFS are comparable in frailty assessment in patients with cirrhosis. Importantly, comparability of the commonly used scores for frailty assessment and prediction of hospitalization and mortality allows flexibility for clinical application.

Phase angle by electrical bioimpedance is a predictive factor of hospitalisation, falls and mortality in patients with cirrhosis

The phase angle is a versatile measurement to assess body composition, frailty and prognosis in patients with chronic diseases. In cirrhosis, patients often present alterations in body composition that are related to adverse outcomes. The phase angle could be useful to evaluate prognosis in these patients, but data are scarce. The aim was to analyse the prognostic value of the phase angle to predict clinically relevant events such as hospitalisation, falls, and mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Outpatients with cirrhosis were consecutively included and the phase angle was determined by electrical bioimpedance. Patients were prospectively followed to determine the incidence of hospitalisations, falls, and mortality. One hundred patients were included. Patients with phase angle ≤ 4.6° (n = 31) showed a higher probability of hospitalisation (35% vs 11%, p = 0.003), falls (41% vs 11%, p = 0.001) and mortality (26% vs 3%, p = 0.001) at 2-year follow-up than patients with PA > 4.6° (n = 69). In the multivariable analysis, the phase angle and MELD-Na were independent predictive factors of hospitalisation and mortality. Phase angle was the only predictive factor for falls. In conclusion, the phase angle showed to be a predictive marker for hospitalisation, falls, and mortality in outpatients with cirrhosis.

Incidence and predictors of 30-day hospital readmissions for liver cirrhosis: insights from the United States National Readmissions Database

Background

Cirrhosis is associated with substantial inpatient morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to determine the trends in 30-day hospital readmission rates among patients with cirrhosis and identify factors associated with these readmissions.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective analysis of data retrieved from the Nationwide Readmissions Database to determine trends in 30-day readmission for patients discharged with a diagnosis of cirrhosis in 2010 through 2014. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of readmission.

Results

Among 303,346 patients identified from the database, the 30-day readmission rate for patients with a discharge diagnosis of cirrhosis was 31.4% (n=95,298). The trends in the readmission rates remained steady during the study period. On multivariate analysis, female sex, age 45 years or older, esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) during admission, and disposition to a short-term care facility or skilled nursing facility protected against readmissions. In contrast, coverage by Medicaid insurance, admission during a weekend, nonalcoholic cause of cirrhosis, and history of hepatic encephalopathy and ascites were associated with readmission.

Conclusions

We found an exceptionally high 30-day readmission rate in patients with cirrhosis, although it remained stable during the study period. This study identified some modifiable factors such as disposition to a short-term care facility or skilled nursing facility and patients’ attendance of alcohol rehabilitation facilities that could decrease the likelihood of readmission and could inform local and national healthcare policymakers.

Nationwide analysis of incidence and predictors of 30-day readmissions in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Cirrhosis is the number one cause of non-cancer deaths among gastrointestinal diseases and is responsible for significant morbidity and healthcare utilisation. The objectives were to measure the 30-day readmissions rate following index hospitalisation, to determine the predictors of readmission, and to estimate the cost of 30-day readmission in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients with decompensated cirrhosis using 2014 Nationwide Readmission Database from January to November. Decompensated cirrhosis was identified based on the presence of at least one of the following: ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, variceal bleeding, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and hepatorenal syndrome. We excluded patients less than 18 years of age, pregnant patients, patients with missing length of stay data, and those who died during the index admission.

RESULTS

Among 57 305 unique patients with decompensated cirrhosis, the 30-day readmission rate was 23.2%. The top three predictors of 30-day readmission were leaving against medical advice (AMA), ascites and acute kidney injury, which increased the risk of readmission by 47%, 22% and 20%, respectively. Index admission for variceal bleeding was associated with a lower 30-day readmission rate by 18%. The estimated total cost associated with 30-day readmission in our study population was US$234.4 million.

CONCLUSION

In a nationwide population study, decompensated cirrhosis is associated with a 30-day readmission rate of 23%. Leaving AMA, ascites and acute kidney injury are positively associated with readmission. Targeted interventions and quality improvement efforts should be directed toward these potential risk factors to reduce readmissions.

Recompensation factors for patients with decompensated cirrhosis: a multicentre retrospective case-control study

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to evaluate recompensation factors among patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

DESIGN

A multicentre retrospective case-control study was conducted. Data were collected from and compared between groups of patients with recompensated and acute decompensated cirrhosis. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used to select indicators associated with recompensation among patients with decompensated cirrhosis with different complications. A decision tree with 10-fold cross-validation was used to develop the model to identify patients with recompensation. We followed the transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) guideline for development and reporting of the new model.

SETTING

The study was conducted in six tertiary public hospitals in Chongqing, China.

PARTICIPANTS

This study included 3953 patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

RESULTS

In the total sample of included patients, there were 553 patients with recompensation and 3400 patients with acute decompensation, including 1158 patients with gastrointestinal bleeding, 1715 patients with a bacterial infection, 104 patients with hepatic encephalopathy and 423 patients with ascites. The most relevant indicator of recompensation selected by the decision tree model was albumin, with a threshold of 40 g/L. Total protein, haemoglobin, basophil percentage, alanine aminotransferase, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and diabetes were also selected to subsequently distinguish patients. The terminal nodes with a probability of recompensation was 0.89. The overall accuracy rate of the model was 0.92 (0.91-0.93), and it exhibited high specificity (86.9%) and sensitivity (92.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

The occurrence of recompensated cirrhosis could be identified by albumin, total protein, haemoglobin, basophil percentage, alanine aminotransferase, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and diabetes. These simple variables may help clinicians develop a treatment plan to encourage patients with decompensated cirrhosis to recompensate.

Risk Stratification Score to Predict Readmission of Patients With Acute Decompensated Cirrhosis Within 90 Days

Background and Aims: Patients with acute decompensated (AD) cirrhosis are frequently readmitted to the hospital. An accurate predictive model for identifying high-risk patients may facilitate the development of effective interventions to reduce readmission rates.

Methods: This cohort study of patients with AD cirrhosis was conducted at six tertiary hospitals in China between September 2012 and December 2016 (with 705 patients in the derivation cohort) and between January 2017 and April 2020 (with 251 patients in the temporal validation cohort). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression was used to identify the prognostic factors and construct a nomogram. The discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical net benefit were evaluated based on the C-index, area under the curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Kaplan–Meier curves were constructed for stratified risk groups, and log-rank tests were used to determine significant differences between the curves.

Results: Among 956 patients, readmission rates were 24.58, 42.99, and 51.78%, at 30, 60, and 90 days, respectively. Bacterial infection was the main reason for index hospitalization and readmission. Independent factors in the nomogram included gastrointestinal bleeding [hazard rate (HR): 2.787; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.221–3.499], serum sodium (HR: 0.955; 95% CI: 0.933–0.978), total bilirubin (HR: 1.004; 95% CI: 1.003–1.005), and international normalized ratio (HR: 1.398; 95% CI: 1.126–1.734). For the convenience of clinicians, we provided a web-based calculator tool (https://cqykdx1111.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/). The nomogram exhibited good discrimination ability, both in the derivation and validation cohorts. The predicted and observed readmission probabilities were calibrated with reliable agreement. The nomogram demonstrated superior net benefits over other score models. The high-risk group (nomogram score >56.8) was significantly likely to have higher rates of readmission than the low-risk group (nomogram score ≤ 56.8; p < 0.0001).

Conclusions: The nomogram is useful for assessing the probability of short-term readmission in patients with AD cirrhosis and to guide clinicians to develop individualized treatments based on risk stratification.

The prevalence, characteristics, and risk factors of frequently readmitted patients to an internal medicine service

AIMS

To determine the prevalence, characteristics and risk factors associated with frequent readmissions to an internal medicine service at a tertiary public hospital.

METHOD

A retrospective observational study was conducted at an internal medicine service in a tertiary teaching hospital between 1st January 2010 and the 30th June 2016. Frequent readmission was defined as four or more readmissions within 12 months of discharge from the index admission. Demographic and clinical characteristics, and potential risk factors were evaluated.

RESULTS

50 515 patients were included, 1657 (3.3%) had frequent readmissions and were associated with nearly 2.5 times higher in 12-month mortality rates. They were older, had higher rates of Indigenous Australians (3.2%), more disadvantaged status (Index of Relative Socio-Economic Disadvantage decile of 5.3), and more comorbidities (mean Charlson comorbidity index 1.4) in comparison, to infrequent readmission group. The mean length of hospital stay during the index admission was 6 days for frequent readmission group (21.4% staying more than 7 days) with higher incidence of discharge against medical advice (2.0% higher). Intensive care unit admission rate was 6.6% for frequent readmission group compared to 3.9% for infrequent readmission group. Multivariate analysis showed mental disease and disorders, neoplastic, and alcohol/drug use and alcohol/drug induced organic mental disorders are associated with frequent readmission.

CONCLUSION

The risk factors associated with frequent readmission were older age, indigenous status, being socially disadvantaged, having higher comorbidities, and discharging against medical advice. Conditions that lead to frequent readmissions were mental disorders, alcohol/drug use and alcohol/drug induced organic mental disorders, and neoplastic disorders.

Pre-existing conditions are associated with COVID-19 patients' hospitalization, despite confirmed clearance of SARS-CoV-2 virus

BACKGROUND

Consecutive negative SARS-CoV-2 PCR test results are being considered to estimate viral clearance in COVID-19 patients. However, there are anecdotal reports of hospitalization from protracted COVID-19 complications despite such confirmed viral clearance, presenting a clinical conundrum.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 222 hospitalized COVID-19 patients to compare those that were readmitted post-viral clearance (hospitalized post-clearance cohort, n = 49) with those that were not re-admitted post-viral clearance (non-hospitalized post-clearance cohort, n = 173) between February and October 2020. In order to differentiate these two cohorts, we used neural network models for the 'augmented curation' of comorbidities and complications with positive sentiment in the Electronic Hosptial Records physician notes.

FINDINGS

In the year preceding COVID-19 onset, anemia (n = 13 [26.5%], p-value: 0.007), cardiac arrhythmias (n = 14 [28.6%], p-value: 0.015), and acute kidney injury (n = 7 [14.3%], p-value: 0.030) were significantly enriched in the physician notes of the hospitalized post-clearance cohort.

INTERPRETATION

Overall, this retrospective study highlights specific pre-existing conditions that are associated with higher hospitalization rates in COVID-19 patients despite viral clearance and motivates follow-up prospective research into the associated risk factors.

FUNDING

This work was supported by Nference, inc.

Predicting 30-Day Hospital Readmission Risk in a National Cohort of Patients with Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Early hospital readmission for patients with cirrhosis continues to challenge the healthcare system. Risk stratification may help tailor resources, but existing models were designed using small, single-institution cohorts or had modest performance.

AIMS

We leveraged a large clinical database from the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) to design a readmission risk model for patients hospitalized with cirrhosis. Additionally, we analyzed potentially modifiable or unexplored readmission risk factors.

METHODS

A national VA retrospective cohort of patients with a history of cirrhosis hospitalized for any reason from January 1, 2006, to November 30, 2013, was developed from 123 centers. Using 174 candidate variables within demographics, laboratory results, vital signs, medications, diagnoses and procedures, and healthcare utilization, we built a 47-variable penalized logistic regression model with the outcome of all-cause 30-day readmission. We excluded patients who left against medical advice, transferred to a non-VA facility, or if the hospital length of stay was greater than 30 days. We evaluated calibration and discrimination across variable volume and compared the performance to recalibrated preexisting risk models for readmission.

RESULTS

We analyzed 67,749 patients and 179,298 index hospitalizations. The 30-day readmission rate was 23%. Ascites was the most common cirrhosis-related cause of index hospitalization and readmission. The AUC of the model was 0.670 compared to existing models (0.649, 0.566, 0.577). The Brier score of 0.165 showed good calibration.

CONCLUSION

Our model achieved better discrimination and calibration compared to existing models, even after local recalibration. Assessment of calibration by variable parsimony revealed performance improvements for increasing variable inclusion well beyond those detectable for discrimination.

Attitudes towards digital health tools for outpatient cirrhosis management in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

Background

Technology represents a promising tool to improve healthcare delivery for patients with cirrhosis. We sought to assess utilisation of technology and preferred features of a digital health management tool, in patients with an early readmission for decompensated cirrhosis.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study of patients readmitted within 90 days for decompensated cirrhosis. A semistructured interview obtained quantitative and qualitative data through open-ended questions.

Results

Of the 50 participants, mean age was 57.6 years and mean (range) model for end stage liver disease was 22.7 (10–46). Thirty-eight (76%) patients own a Smartphone and 62% have regular access to a computer with internet. Thirty-nine (78%) patients would consider using a Smartphone application to manage their cirrhosis. Forty-six (92%) patients report having a principal caregiver, of which 80% own a Smartphone. Patients were interested in a Smartphone application that could communicate with their physician (85%), send medication notifications to the patient (65%) and caregiver (64%), transmit diagnostic results and appointment reminders (82%), educate about liver disease (79%), regularly transmit weight data to the doctor (85% with ascites) and play a game to detect cognitive decline (67% with encephalopathy). Common themes from qualitative data include a desire to learn about liver disease and communicate with providers via digital tools.

Conclusion

Among patients with cirrhosis with an early readmission for decompensation, most have Smartphones and would be willing to use a Smartphone to manage their disease. Future digital health management tools should be tailored to the use patterns and preferences of the patients with cirrhosis and their caregivers.

Predictive models of mortality and hospital readmission of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Complications of cirrhosis are one the major causes of hospital admission associated with high morbimortality rates and social and economic charges. The aims of this study were to evaluate hospital readmission and mortality rates and predictive factors for hospital readmission and mortality.

METHODS

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis admitted to our institution between 2008-2014 were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

Included 427 admissions from 177 patients with cirrhosis with mean age of 59.0 ± 12.3 years. The major cause was alcoholic-related liver disease and the median duration of admission was 9.0 days (IQR 6.0-14.0). During the follow-up period,there were 250 readmissions from 95 patients, with a median of 58 (IQR27-134) days for readmission, representing 58.5% of the total number of admissions.The 180-day mortality rate was 35.0%. In the multivariate analysis, ascites, smoking and MELD Na were associated with 180-day mortality. Creatinine, albumin, esophageal variceal bleeding, previous variceal banding, lactulose, rifaximin and proton pump inhibitors use were independently associated with need of readmission. Based on regression analysis, two models were calculated to predict 180-day mortality (AUROC 0.74 (0.682-0.794)) and need for readmission(AUROC 0.821 (0.781-0.861)), p < 0.001.

CONCLUSION

The readmission rate and mortality of cirrhotic patients are still very high and it is a priority to determine preventable risk factors to improve patient outcome. Two models were created to predict 180-day mortality(AUROC 0.74) and need for readmission(AUROC 0.821), that could guide the management of the patients at the time of admission.

Ability of the Short Physical Performance Battery Frailty Index to Predict Mortality and Hospital Readmission in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Unplanned hospitalisation is a marker of poor prognosis and a major financial burden in patients with cirrhosis. Frailty-screening tools could determine the risk for unplanned hospital admissions and death. The study aims to evaluate the bedside frailty-screening tool (Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB)) in prediction of mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

One hundred forty-five patients with liver cirrhosis were recruited from Cairo University Hospital. Clinical assessment and routine laboratory tests were performed, and the SPPB frailty index, Child score, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were calculated on admission. These metrics were compared to assess mortality outcomes over the course of 90 days.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 60 ± 7 years, and frailty index score (SD) was 6 ± 3. The overall 90-day readmission rate was 43.4%, while the overall 90-day mortality rate was 18.6%. SPPB scores differed significantly between survivors (4.1 ± 1.4) and nonsurvivors (6.47 ± 2.8) (P value ≤ 0.001) as well as between readmitted patients (7.5 ± 2.9) and patients who were not readmitted (4.5 ± 1.9) (P value ≤ 0.001), while the Child and MELD scores showed no associations with patient outcomes. SPPB performed better with a specificity of 72.3% and a sensitivity of 72.2% for predicting mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

SPPB could be a screening tool used to detect frailty and excelled over traditional scores as a predictor of death. A low SPPB frailty score among hospitalised patients with cirrhosis is associated with poor outcomes.

Nationwide estimates and risk factors of hospital readmission in patients with cirrhosis in the United States

BACKGROUND

The burden of cirrhosis on the healthcare system is substantial and growing. Our objectives were to estimate the readmission rates and hospitalization costs as well as to identify risk factors for 90-day readmission in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We conducted a weighted analysis of the 2014 Nationwide Readmission Database to identify adult patients with cirrhosis-related complications in the United States and assessed readmission rates at 30, 60 and 90 days post-index hospitalization. Predictors of 90-day readmissions were identified using weighted regression models adjusting for patient and hospital characteristics; the national estimate of hospitalization costs was also calculated.

RESULTS

Of the 58 954 patients admitted with cirrhosis-related complications in 2014, 14 910 (25%) were readmitted within 90 days because of cirrhosis-related complications. The main causes of readmission were ascites (56%), hepatic encephalopathy (47%) and bleeding oesophageal varices (9%). Independent predictors of 90-day readmissions were male sex (adjusted OR [aOR]: 1.08, 95% CI, 1.04-1.13), age <60 (aOR: 1.27, 95% CI, 1.22-1.32), privately insured (aOR: 0.74, 95% CI, 0.70-0.77), having ≥3 comorbid conditions (aOR: 1.27, 95% CI, 1.14-1.42) and being discharged against medical advice (aOR: 1.41, 95% CI, 1.25-1.59). The weighted cumulative national cost estimate of the index admission was $1.8 billion, compared to $0.5 billion for readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

A quarter of patients admitted with cirrhosis-related complications were readmitted within 90 days, representing a significant economic burden related to readmission of this population. Interventions and resource allocations to reduce readmission rates among cirrhotic patients is critical.

Effects of propofol combined with remifentanil anesthesia on the NO, endothelin and inflammatory cytokines in the plasma of patients with liver cirrhosis during the perioperative period

The effects of propofol combined with remifentanil on the nitric oxide (NO), endothelin (ET-1) and inflammatory cytokines in the plasma of patients with liver cirrhosis were investigated. A retrospective analysis of 68 patients with liver cirrhosis who underwent hepatectomy in the Hunan Provincial People's Hospital from March 2016 to July 2018 was made. According to different anesthesia methods, 30 patients anesthetized with propofol were enrolled into Group A. The other 38 patients anesthetized with propofol combined with remifentanil were enrolled into Group B, and the operation time, amount of bleeding during operation and postoperative awake time of the two groups were recorded. At three separate time-points T₁ (30 min before the anesthesia), T₂ (after the portal triad clamping), T₃ (3 days after the operation), aspartate transaminase (AST) and alanine transaminase (ALT) levels in the plasma were measured by rate method, and the levels of NO, ET-1, interleukin-6 (IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α) in plasma were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The plasma NO levels at the T₂ time-point were significantly lower than those at the T₁ and T₃ time-points (P<0.05); at the T₂ time-point, the concentrations of AST, ALT, ET-1, IL-6 and TNF-α in the plasma in Group A were significantly higher than those of Group B (P<0.05), while the levels of plasma NO in Group A were the opposite (P<0.05). The anesthesia of propofol combined with remifentanil could contribute to the balance of NO/ET-1 and the inhibition of inflammatory factors during the hepatectomy operation in patients with liver cirrhosis, and help to protect the liver function of patients, reducing the incidence of liver ischemia-reperfusion injury in patients.

Early hospital readmission and survival in patients with cirrhosis: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Readmission in patients with cirrhosis is common. We aimed to determine the association between early hospital readmission and survival in the general population of patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used routinely collected health care data from Ontario. We identified adults with cirrhosis using a validated case definition, and included those with at least one hospital admission between 1992 and 2016 resulting in discharge. Patients were classified into two groups based on timing of readmission after index admission: 1) ≤90 days, or 2) >90 days or no readmission. We described overall survival (OS) 90 days after the index hospitalization by readmission status using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test. The association between readmission and OS was evaluated using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

Our study included 115,081 patients. The median OS was shorter in patients readmitted in ≤90 days (4.1 years, IQR 0.9, 13.1) compared with those readmitted in >90 days or not readmitted during the study period (9.6 years, IQR 3.2, 21.9, p <0.001). Adjusting for potential confounders, those readmitted in ≤90 days had a higher hazard of death than those not readmitted (hazard ratio [HR] 1.56, 95% CI 1.53 to 1.59, p <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Early readmission in patients with cirrhosis is a strong predictor of decreased OS. Our results suggest that patients with cirrhosis who have an early readmission should be further studied to determine whether this risk is modifiable. They can also be used to discuss long-term prognosis with patients and family members.

qSOFA score not predictive of in-hospital mortality in emergency patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Quick sequential organ failure assessement (qSOFA) has been validated for patients with presumed sepsis and the general emergency department (ED) population. However, it has not been validated in specific subgroups of ED patients with a high mortality. We aimed to investigate the prognostic performance of qSOFA with respect to in-hospital mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and length of hospitalisation in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. Furthermore, we compared qSOFA to systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), model of end stage liver disease score (MELD), and Child-Pugh criteria and evaluated whether addition of sodium (Na⁺) levels to qSOFA increases its prognostic performance.

METHODS

This observational study included patients admitted with the diagnosis of decompensated liver cirrhosis. All patients with a complete set of vital parameters were included in this study.

RESULTS

A total of 186 patients were included. A positive qSOFA score was not associated with in-hospital mortality, ICU admission, or length of hospitalisation (all p > 0.15). MELD scores reliably predicted need for ICU admission and in-hospital mortality (both p < 0.01), but not the length of hospitalisation. qSOFA-Na+ only moderately increased the diagnostic performance of qSOFA with regard to need for ICU admission (AUC_ICU[qSOFA] = 0.504 vs. AUC_ICU[qSOFA-Na+] = 0.609, p = 0.03), but not for in-hospital mortality (AUC_death[qSOFA] = 0.513 vs. AUC_death[qSOFA-Na+] = 0.592, p = 0.054).

CONCLUSION

qSOFA does not predict in-hospital mortality, ICU admission or length of hospitalisation in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. Extension of qSOFA with a disease-specific component, the qSOFA-Na+, moderately increased the diagnostic ability of qSOFA.

Hospital Readmissions in Patients with Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Hospital readmission is a significant problem for patients with complex chronic illnesses such as liver cirrhosis.

PURPOSE

We aimed to describe the range of readmission risk in patients with cirrhosis and the impact of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score.

DATA SOURCES

We conducted a systematic review of studies identified in Ovid MEDLINE, PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, the Cochrane Library, Scopus, Google Scholar, and ClinicalTrials.gov from 2000 to May 2017.

STUDY SELECTION

We examined studies that reported early readmissions (up to 90 days) in patients with cirrhosis. Studies were excluded if they did not examine the association between readmission and at least 1 variable or intervention.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two reviewers independently extracted data on study design, setting, population, interventions, comparisons, and detailed information on readmissions.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Of the 1363 records reviewed, 26 studies met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Of these studies, 21 were retrospective, and there was significant variation in the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The pooled estimate of 30-day readmissions was 26%(95% confidence interval [CI], 22%-30%). Few studies examined readmission preventability or the relationship between readmissions and social determinants of health. Reasons for readmission were highly variable. An increased MELD score was associated with readmissions in most studies. Readmission was associated with increased mortality.

CONCLUSION

Hospital readmissions frequently occur in patients with cirrhosis and are associated with liver disease severity. The impact of functional and social factors on readmissions is unclear.

HEPACONTROL. A program that reduces early readmissions, mortality at 60 days, and healthcare costs in decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Decompensated cirrhosis patients have an elevated incidence of early readmission, mortality and economic burden. The aims of HEPACONTROL were to reduce early readmission and to evaluate its impact on mortality and emergency department visits.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Quasi-experimental study with control group which compared two cohorts of patients discharged after being admitted for cirrhosis-related complications. A prospective cohort (n=80), who followed the HEPACONTROL program, which began with a follow-up examination seven days after discharge at the Hepatology Unit Day Hospital and a retrospective cohort of patients (n=112), who had been given a standard follow-up. Outcome variables that were compared between both groups were early readmission rates, the number of emergency department visits post-discharge, financial costs and mortality.

RESULTS

The rate of early readmission was lower in the group with HEPACONTROL (11.3% vs 29.5%; P=.003). Also, the mean number of visits to the emergency department post-discharge (1.10±1.64 vs 1.71±2.36; P=.035), mortality at 60days (3.8% vs 14.3%; P=.016), and the cost of early readmission were all lower compared with the group with standard follow-up (P=.029).

CONCLUSIONS

HEPACONTROL decreases the incidence of early readmission the rate of emergency department visits and mortality at 60days in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, and it is cost-effective.