Prognostic factors of critical acute pancreatitis: A prospective cohort study

Is Contemporary Open Pancreatic Necrosectomy Still Useful In The Minimally Invasive Era?

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown that open pancreatic necrosectomy for infected pancreatic necrosis was associated with high morbidity and mortality. However, these results were mostly concluded from historical cohorts with traditional early necrosectomy in the absence of a minimally invasive step-up approach.

OBJECTIVE

To explore the value of contemporary open pancreatic necrosectomy for infected pancreatic necrosis in the minimally invasive era.

METHODS

A post hoc analysis was performed in a prospective maintained database of 320 patients with infected pancreatic necrosis from January 2011 to December 2022 at a large Chinese tertiary hospital.

RESULTS

A total of 320 patients with infected pancreatic necrosis received either a minimally invasive step-up approach (245, 76.6%) or open pancreatic necrosectomy (75, 23.4%), which included upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy (32, 10.0%) and salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy (43, 13.4%). Upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy was associated with similar morbidity and mortality rates but fewer surgical interventions compared with a minimally invasive step-up approach. However, salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy was associated with significantly higher mortality (48.8% vs 18.8%, P = .007), gastrointestinal fistula (44.2% vs 18.8%, P = .021), hemorrhage (48.8% vs 15.6%, P = .003), and intensive care unit stay (25 vs 7 days, P = .040) compared with upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy. Multivariate analysis suggested that multiple organ failure (hazard ratio = 5.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-18.2, P = .013) and synchronous critical acute pancreatitis (hazard ratio = 3.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-8.6, P = .040) were 2 independent risk factors of death for patients who received open pancreatic necrosectomy.

CONCLUSION

Patients undergoing upfront open pancreatic necrosectomy received fewer surgical interventions with comparable efficacy compared to the minimally invasive step-up approach. Salvage open pancreatic necrosectomy was potentially lifesaving, though it carried high morbidity and mortality. Multiple organ failure and synchronous critical acute pancreatitis were 2 independent risk factors of death for patients who received open pancreatic necrosectomy.

Overuse and Misuse of Antibiotics and the Clinical Consequence in Necrotizing Pancreatitis: An Observational Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVE

The use and impact of antibiotics and the impact of causative pathogens on clinical outcomes in a large real-world cohort covering the entire clinical spectrum of necrotizing pancreatitis remain unknown.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

International guidelines recommend broad-spectrum antibiotics in patients with suspected infected necrotizing pancreatitis. This recommendation is not based on high-level evidence and clinical effects are unknown.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study is a post-hoc analysis of a nationwide prospective cohort of 401 patients with necrotizing pancreatitis in 15 Dutch centers (2010-2019). Across the patient population from the time of admission to 6 months postadmission, multivariable regression analyses were used to analyze (1) microbiological cultures and (2) antibiotic use.

RESULTS

Antibiotics were started in 321/401 patients (80%) administered at a median of 5 days (P25-P75: 1-13) after admission. The median duration of antibiotics was 27 days (P25-P75: 15-48). In 221/321 patients (69%) infection was not proven by cultures at the time of initiation of antibiotics. Empirical antibiotics for infected necrosis provided insufficient coverage in 64/128 patients (50%) with a pancreatic culture. Prolonged antibiotic therapy was associated with Enterococcus infection (OR 1.08 [95% CI 1.03-1.16], P =0.01). Enterococcus infection was associated with new/persistent organ failure (OR 3.08 [95% CI 1.35-7.29], P <0.01) and mortality (OR 5.78 [95% CI 1.46-38.73], P =0.03). Yeast was found in 30/147 cultures (20%).

DISCUSSION

In this nationwide study of patients with necrotizing pancreatitis, the vast majority received antibiotics, typically administered early in the disease course and without a proven infection. Empirical antibiotics were inappropriate based on pancreatic cultures in half the patients. Future clinical research and practice must consider antibiotic selective pressure due to prolonged therapy and coverage of Enterococcus and yeast. Improved guidelines on antimicrobial diagnostics and therapy could reduce inappropriate antibiotic use and improve clinical outcomes.

Infected pancreatic necrosis: outcomes and clinical predictors of mortality. A post hoc analysis of the MANCTRA-1 international study

The identification of high-risk patients in the early stages of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is critical, because it could help the clinicians to adopt more effective management strategies. We conducted a post hoc analysis of the MANCTRA-1 international study to assess the association between clinical risk factors and mortality among adult patients with IPN. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify prognostic factors of mortality. We identified 247 consecutive patients with IPN hospitalised between January 2019 and December 2020. History of uncontrolled arterial hypertension (p = 0.032; 95% CI 1.135-15.882; aOR 4.245), qSOFA (p = 0.005; 95% CI 1.359-5.879; aOR 2.828), renal failure (p = 0.022; 95% CI 1.138-5.442; aOR 2.489), and haemodynamic failure (p = 0.018; 95% CI 1.184-5.978; aOR 2.661), were identified as independent predictors of mortality in IPN patients. Cholangitis (p = 0.003; 95% CI 1.598-9.930; aOR 3.983), abdominal compartment syndrome (p = 0.032; 95% CI 1.090-6.967; aOR 2.735), and gastrointestinal/intra-abdominal bleeding (p = 0.009; 95% CI 1.286-5.712; aOR 2.710) were independently associated with the risk of mortality. Upfront open surgical necrosectomy was strongly associated with the risk of mortality (p < 0.001; 95% CI 1.912-7.442; aOR 3.772), whereas endoscopic drainage of pancreatic necrosis (p = 0.018; 95% CI 0.138-0.834; aOR 0.339) and enteral nutrition (p = 0.003; 95% CI 0.143-0.716; aOR 0.320) were found as protective factors. Organ failure, acute cholangitis, and upfront open surgical necrosectomy were the most significant predictors of mortality. Our study confirmed that, even in a subgroup of particularly ill patients such as those with IPN, upfront open surgery should be avoided as much as possible. Study protocol registered in ClinicalTrials.Gov (I.D. Number NCT04747990).

Escherichia coli infection indicates favorable outcomes in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis

Introduction

Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is a severe complication of acute necrotizing pancreatitis with increasing morbidity. Escherichia coli is the most frequently cultured microorganism in IPN. However, the implications of Escherichia coli infection on the outcomes of patients with IPN remain unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the clinical impacts of Escherichia coli infection on IPN.

Methods

A prospective database with consecutive patients with IPN between January 2010 and April 2022 at a tertiary hospital was post-hoc analyzed. The clinical and microbiological characteristics, surgical management, and follow-up data of patients with and without Escherichia coli infection were compared.

Results

A total of 294 IPN patients were enrolled in this cohort. Compared with non-Escherichia coli infection cases (n=80, 27.2%), patients with Escherichia coli infection (n=214, 72.8%) were characterized by more frequent polymicrobial infections (77.5% vs. 65.0%, P=0.04) but a lower occurrence of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) (42.5% vs. 61.7%, P=0.003). In addition, significantly lower mortality (12.5% vs. 30.4%, p=0.002), fewer step-up surgical interventions (73.8% vs. 85.1%, P=0.025), and a lower rate of multiple organ failure (MOF) (25.0% vs. 40.2%, P=0.016) were also observed in patients with Escherichia coli infection. Multivariate analysis of mortality predictors indicated that MOF (odds ratio [OR], 6.197; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.373–16.187; P&lt;0.001) and hemorrhage (OR, 3.485; 95% CI, 1.623–7.487; P=0.001) were independent predictors associated with higher mortality in patients with IPN. Escherichia coli infection was significantly associated with a lower mortality (OR, 0.302; 95% CI, 0.121–0.751; P= 0.01).

Conclusion

Escherichia coli infection indicates a favorable prognosis in patients with IPN, although the mechanism needs further investigation.

Early-onset emphysematous pancreatitis indicates poor outcomes in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis

BACKGROUND

Emphysematous pancreatitis (EP) is a subtype of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) characterized by presence of gas in (peri)pancreatic necrosis. However, the impacts of EP on outcomes of IPN are still controversial.

METHODS

A prospective database of consecutive patients with IPN in a tertiary hospital was post-hoc analyzed. Patients were assigned to EP and non-EP groups to perform a comprehensive comparison.

RESULTS

A total of 178 patients with IPN were enrolled and the overall mortality was 30.9%. EP accounted for 20.8% (n = 37) of cases and was significantly associated with higher incidences of Escherichia coli (45.9 versus 18.4%, P = 0.001) and Klebsiella pneumoniae (56.8 versus 33.3%, P = 0.009) infection. There was scarcely any disparity in clinical characteristics and outcomes between IPN patients with and without EP. However, patients with early-onset EP defined as air bubble signs occurring within 2 weeks from disease onset were significantly older and have higher prevalence of history of diabetes, and they were also associated with significantly higher mortality (57.1 versus 8.7%, P = 0.015) compared with late-onset patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical outcomes of EP might be like those of non-emphysematous infection. However, when EP occurs within 2 weeks from disease onset, it is highly lethal.

Synchronous organ failure and infected pancreatic necrosis define genuine critical acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Critical acute pancreatitis (CAP) was supposed to be strongly associated with the highest risk of adverse outcomes. However, the definition of CAP needs to be further clarified.

METHODS

A prospective database with consecutive patients of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) at a tertiary hospital was post-hoc analyzed. Patients were assigned to IPN alone, Metachronous-CAP (MCAP) and Synchronous-CAP group (SCAP) according to presence or absence of organ failure (OF) and the crosstalk between OF and IPN. Clinical interventions and outcomes were compared among groups.

RESULTS

A total of 248 IPN patients were enrolled and the overall mortality was 25.8%. Compared with MCAP, SCAP was associated with higher mortality (66.2 versus 10.0%) and morbidity (41.2 versus 18.0%), longer duration of OF (median 35.5 versus 12.0 days), ICU length of stay (LOS) (median 28.0 versus 16.0 days) and hospital LOS (median 67.0 versus 60.0 days) (all P < 0.05). The IPN alone and MCAP had comparable mortality (10.8 versus 10.0%), morbidity and hospital LOS, except that MCAP patients were characterized with longer duration of OF and ICU LOS (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

SCAP, characterized with synchronous persistent OF and IPN, was associated with higher mortality and morbidity and should be defined as genuine CAP.

Candidemia indicates poor outcome in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis

BACKGROUND

Intra-abdominal fungal infection (AFI) and candidemia are common in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), but with limited and conflicting reports on their clinical impacts. This study aims to evaluate the clinical impacts of AFI and candidemia in infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN).

METHODS

A single-centre, prospective cohort including 235 consecutive patients with IPN between January 2010 and September 2020 was analysed to study the clinical impacts of AFI and candidemia.

RESULTS

Of the 235 patients with IPN, 69 patients (29.4%) developed AFI and 13 patients (5.5%) developed candidemia. AFI was associated with higher intestinal leakage rate (27.5% vs 12.7%, P = .006), higher pancreatic fistula rate (53.6% vs 34.3%, P = .006) and longer hospital stays (72 vs 58 days, P = .003), but with similar mortality rate compared with patients without AFI (23.2% vs 24.7%, P = .806). However, candidemia was associated with significantly higher mortality rate compared with patients without candidemia (69.2% vs 21.6%, P < .001). Patients with candidemia had higher rate of multiple organ failure and AFI (69.2% vs 36.5%, P = .018; 69.2% vs 27.0%, P = .001, respectively). Multivariable analysis showed that age ≥ 50 years (OR = 2.8; 95% CI, 1.3-5.8; P = .007), severe category (OR = 11.2; 95% CI, 3.5-35.7; P < .001), multidrug-resistant organisms infection (OR = 2.5; 95% CI, 1.0-6.2; P = .039), candidemia (OR = 11.8; 95% CI, 2.5-56.5; P = .002), step-down surgical approach (OR = 3.2; 95% CI, 1.5-7.0; P = .004) were the independent predictors associated with higher mortality in IPN patients.

CONCLUSION

Although AFI did not increase the mortality of IPN, patients with candidemia carried significantly higher mortality.

Macrophage migration inhibitory factor is an early marker of severe acute pancreatitis based on the revised Atlanta classification

BACKGROUND

Various serum markers for early identification of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) have been studied. Serum macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) was reported to be correlated with severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) based on the 1992 Atlanta classification. However, MIF has never been proven to be predictive of disease severity based on the revised Atlanta classification (RAC). The potential predictive value of MIF needs to be further validated.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with AP within 48 h after symptom onset and 10 healthy control volunteers were enrolled prospectively. Serum MIF levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The predictive value of MIF, clinical scores and other serum markers were determined.

RESULTS

Among 143 patients with AP, there were 52 (36.4%), 65 (45.5%) and 26 (18.1%) with mild, moderate and severe disease based on the RAC respectively. Compared with healthy volunteers, serum levels of MIF were significantly higher in AP patients, especially those with SAP (P < 0.001). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that increased serum MIF (cut-off 2.30 ng/ml, OR = 3.16, P = 0.008), IL-6 (cut-off 46.8 pg/ml, OR = 1.21, P = 0.043), APACHE II score (cut-off 7.5, OR = 2.57, P = 0.011) and BISAP score (cut-off 1.5, OR = 1.01, P = 0.038) were independent risk factors for predicting SAP (P < 0.05). By using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), MIF (AUC 0.950) demonstrated more excellent discriminative power for predicting SAP than APACHE II (AUC 0.899), BISAP (AUC 0.886), and IL-6 (AUC 0.826).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum MIF is a valuable early marker for predicting the severity of AP based on the RAC.

Timing, distribution, and microbiology of infectious complications after necrotizing pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common acute abdominal disease worldwide, and its incidence rate has increased annually. Approximately 20% of AP patients develop into necrotizing pancreatitis (NP), and 40% to 70% of NP patients have infectious complications, which usually indicate a worse prognosis. Infection is an important sign of complications in NP patients.

AIM

To investigate the difference in infection time, infection site, and infectious strain in NP patients with infectious complications.

METHODS

The clinical data of AP patients visiting the Department of General Surgery of Xuanwu Hospital of Capital Medical University from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2018 were collected retrospectively. Enhanced computerized tomography or magnetic resonance imaging findings in patients with NP were included in the study. Statistical analysis of infectious bacteria, infection site, and infection time in NP patients with infectious complications was performed, because knowledge about pathogens and their antibiotic susceptibility patterns is essential for selecting an appropriate antibiotic. In addition, the factors that might influence the prognosis of patients were analyzed.

RESULTS

In this study, 539 strains of pathogenic bacteria were isolated from 162 patients with NP infection, including 212 strains from pancreatic infections and 327 strains from extrapancreatic infections. Gram-negative bacteria were the main infectious species, the most common of which were Escherichia coli and Pseudomonas aeruginosa. The extrapancreatic infection time (9.1 ± 8.8 d) was earlier than the pancreatic infection time (13.9 ± 12.3 d). Among NP patients with early extrapancreatic infection (< 14 d), bacteremia (25.12%) and respiratory tract infection (21.26%) were predominant. Among NP patients with late extrapancreatic infection (> 14 d), bacteremia (15.94%), respiratory tract infection (7.74%), and urinary tract infection (7.71%) were predominant. Drug sensitivity analysis showed that P. aeruginosa was sensitive to enzymatic penicillins, third- and fourth-generation cephalosporins, and carbapenems. Acinetobacter baumannii and Klebsiella pneumoniae were sensitive only to tigecycline; Staphylococcus epidermidis and Enterococcus faecium were highly sensitive to linezolid, tigecycline, and vancomycin.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we identified the timing, the common species, and site of infection in patients with NP.