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Wang L, Hong PJ, Jiang W, Rehman Y, Hong BY, Couban RJ, Wang C, Hayes CJ, Juurlink DN, Busse JW. Predictors of fatal and nonfatal overdose after prescription of opioids for chronic pain: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. CMAJ 2023; 195:E1399-E1411. [PMID: 37871953 PMCID: PMC10593195 DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.230459] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/18/2023] [Indexed: 10/25/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Higher doses of opioids, mental health comorbidities, co-prescription of sedatives, lower socioeconomic status and a history of opioid overdose have been reported as risk factors for opioid overdose; however, the magnitude of these associations and their credibility are unclear. We sought to identify predictors of fatal and nonfatal overdose from prescription opioids. METHODS We systematically searched MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO and Web of Science up to Oct. 30, 2022, for observational studies that explored predictors of opioid overdose after their prescription for chronic pain. We performed random-effects meta-analyses for all predictors reported by 2 or more studies using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS Twenty-eight studies (23 963 716 patients) reported the association of 103 predictors with fatal or nonfatal opioid overdose. Moderate- to high-certainty evidence supported large relative associations with history of overdose (OR 5.85, 95% CI 3.78-9.04), higher opioid dose (OR 2.57, 95% CI 2.08-3.18 per 90-mg increment), 3 or more prescribers (OR 4.68, 95% CI 3.57-6.12), 4 or more dispensing pharmacies (OR 4.92, 95% CI 4.35-5.57), prescription of fentanyl (OR 2.80, 95% CI 2.30-3.41), current substance use disorder (OR 2.62, 95% CI 2.09-3.27), any mental health diagnosis (OR 2.12, 95% CI 1.73-2.61), depression (OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.57-3.14), bipolar disorder (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.77-2.41) or pancreatitis (OR 2.00, 95% CI 1.52-2.64), with absolute risks among patients with the predictor ranging from 2-6 per 1000 for fatal overdose and 4-12 per 1000 for nonfatal overdose. INTERPRETATION We identified 10 predictors that were strongly associated with opioid overdose. Awareness of these predictors may facilitate shared decision-making regarding prescribing opioids for chronic pain and inform harm-reduction strategies SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/vznxj/).
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Affiliation(s)
- Li Wang
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.
| | - Patrick J Hong
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
| | - Wenjun Jiang
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
| | - Yasir Rehman
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
| | - Brian Y Hong
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
| | - Rachel J Couban
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
| | - Chunming Wang
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
| | - Corey J Hayes
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
| | - David N Juurlink
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
| | - Jason W Busse
- Department of Anesthesia (L. Wang, Busse); The Michael G. DeGroote Institute for Pain Research and Care (L. Wang, Rehman, Couban, Busse); Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence & Impact (L. Wang, Rehman, Busse), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine (P.J. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Faculty of Health Science (Jiang), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Division of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery (B.Y. Hong), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Guangdong Science and Technology Library (C. Wang), Institute of Information, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; Department of Biomedical Informatics (Hayes), College of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Ark.; Center for Mental Healthcare and Outcomes Research (Hayes), Central Arkansas Veterans Healthcare System, North Little Rock, Ark.; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Juurlink); Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Juurlink); Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation (Juurlink), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont
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Oh GY, Brouwer ES, Abner EL, Fardo DW, Freeman PR, Delcher C, Moga DC. Predictors of chronic opioid therapy in Medicaid beneficiaries with HIV who initiated antiretroviral therapy. Sci Rep 2021; 11:15503. [PMID: 34326369 PMCID: PMC8322087 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-94690-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2021] [Accepted: 07/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
The factors associated with chronic opioid therapy (COT) in patients with HIV is understudied. Using Medicaid data (2002–2009), this retrospective cohort study examines COT in beneficiaries with HIV who initiated standard combination anti-retroviral therapy (cART). We used generalized estimating equations on logistic regression models with backward selection to identify significant predictors of COT initiation. COT was initiated among 1014 out of 9615 beneficiaries with HIV (male: 10.4%; female: 10.7%). Those with older age, any malignancy, Hepatitis C infection, back pain, arthritis, neuropathy pain, substance use disorder, polypharmacy, (use of) benzodiazepines, gabapentinoids, antidepressants, and prior opioid therapies were positively associated with COT. In sex-stratified analyses, multiple predictors were shared between male and female beneficiaries; however, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, liver disease, any malignancy, and antipsychotic therapy were unique to female beneficiaries. Comorbidities and polypharmacy were important predictors of COT in Medicaid beneficiaries with HIV who initiated cART.
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Affiliation(s)
- GYeon Oh
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.,Department of Pharmacy Practice and Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.,Institute for Pharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, University of Kentucky College of Pharmacy, Lexington, KY, USA
| | - Emily S Brouwer
- Department of Pharmacy Practice and Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.,Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | - Erin L Abner
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.,Sanders-Brown Center on Aging, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.,Department of Biostatistics, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA
| | - David W Fardo
- Sanders-Brown Center on Aging, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.,Department of Biostatistics, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA
| | - Patricia R Freeman
- Department of Pharmacy Practice and Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.,Institute for Pharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, University of Kentucky College of Pharmacy, Lexington, KY, USA
| | - Chris Delcher
- Department of Pharmacy Practice and Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.,Institute for Pharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, University of Kentucky College of Pharmacy, Lexington, KY, USA
| | - Daniela C Moga
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA. .,Department of Pharmacy Practice and Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA. .,Institute for Pharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, University of Kentucky College of Pharmacy, Lexington, KY, USA. .,Sanders-Brown Center on Aging, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
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