NfL predicts relapse-free progression in a longitudinal multiple sclerosis cohort study

MultiSCRIPT-Cycle 1-a pragmatic trial embedded within the Swiss Multiple Sclerosis Cohort (SMSC) on neurofilament light chain monitoring to inform personalized treatment decisions in multiple sclerosis: a study protocol for a randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Treatment decisions for persons with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) rely on clinical and radiological disease activity, the benefit-harm profile of drug therapy, and preferences of patients and physicians. However, there is limited evidence to support evidence-based personalized decision-making on how to adapt disease-modifying therapy treatments targeting no evidence of disease activity, while achieving better patient-relevant outcomes, fewer adverse events, and improved care. Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) is a sensitive measure of disease activity that captures and prognosticates disease worsening in RRMS. sNfL might therefore be instrumental for a patient-tailored treatment adaptation. We aim to assess whether 6-monthly sNfL monitoring in addition to usual care improves patient-relevant outcomes compared to usual care alone.

METHODS

Pragmatic multicenter, 1:1 randomized, platform trial embedded in the Swiss Multiple Sclerosis Cohort (SMSC). All patients with RRMS in the SMSC for ≥ 1 year are eligible. We plan to include 915 patients with RRMS, randomly allocated to two groups with different care strategies, one of them new (group A) and one of them usual care (group B). In group A, 6-monthly monitoring of sNfL will together with information on relapses, disability, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) inform personalized treatment decisions (e.g., escalation or de-escalation) supported by pre-specified algorithms. In group B, patients will receive usual care with their usual 6- or 12-monthly visits. Two primary outcomes will be used: (1) evidence of disease activity (EDA3: occurrence of relapses, disability worsening, or MRI activity) and (2) quality of life (MQoL-54) using 24-month follow-up. The new treatment strategy with sNfL will be considered superior to usual care if either more patients have no EDA3, or their health-related quality of life increases. Data collection will be embedded within the SMSC using established trial-level quality procedures.

DISCUSSION

MultiSCRIPT aims to be a platform where research and care are optimally combined to generate evidence to inform personalized decision-making in usual care. This approach aims to foster better personalized treatment and care strategies, at low cost and with rapid translation to clinical practice.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06095271. Registered on October 23, 2023.

The neuropathobiology of multiple sclerosis

Chronic low-grade inflammation and neuronal deregulation are two components of a smoldering disease activity that drives the progression of disability in people with multiple sclerosis (MS). Although several therapies exist to dampen the acute inflammation that drives MS relapses, therapeutic options to halt chronic disability progression are a major unmet clinical need. The development of such therapies is hindered by our limited understanding of the neuron-intrinsic determinants of resilience or vulnerability to inflammation. In this Review, we provide a neuron-centric overview of recent advances in deciphering neuronal response patterns that drive the pathology of MS. We describe the inflammatory CNS environment that initiates neurotoxicity by imposing ion imbalance, excitotoxicity and oxidative stress, and by direct neuro-immune interactions, which collectively lead to mitochondrial dysfunction and epigenetic dysregulation. The neuronal demise is further amplified by breakdown of neuronal transport, accumulation of cytosolic proteins and activation of cell death pathways. Continuous neuronal damage perpetuates CNS inflammation by activating surrounding glia cells and by directly exerting toxicity on neighbouring neurons. Further, we explore strategies to overcome neuronal deregulation in MS and compile a selection of neuronal actuators shown to impact neurodegeneration in preclinical studies. We conclude by discussing the therapeutic potential of targeting such neuronal actuators in MS, including some that have already been tested in interventional clinical trials.

Serum NfL and EGFR/NfL ratio mRNAs as biomarkers for phenotype and disease severity of myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein IgG-associated disease

Background and purpose

Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein (MOG) IgG is frequently elevated in pediatric patients with acquired demyelinating syndrome (ADS). However, no specific biomarkers exist for phenotype classification, symptom severity, prognosis, and treatment guidance of MOG-IgG-associated disease (MOGAD). This study evaluated neurofilament light chain (NfL) and endothelial growth factor receptor (EGFR) mRNA expression levels in serum and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) as potential biomarkers for MOGAD in Chinese children.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional and single-center study. We enrolled 22 consecutive pediatric patients hospitalized with MOGAD and 20 control pediatric patients hospitalized for noninflammatory neurological diseases in Hebei Children's Hospital. Serum and CSF were collected from MOGAD patients within 3 days before immunotherapy. The mRNA levels of NfL and EGFR in serum and CSF were measured by real-time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR), and the EGFR/NfL ratio mRNA was calculated. These measurement values were then compared between disease groups and among MOGAD phenotypes. In addition, the correlations between the mRNAs of three markers (NfL, EGFR, EGFR/NfL ratio), extended disability status scale (EDSS) scores, and clinical phenotypes were analyzed.

Results

Serum and CSF NfL mRNA levels were significantly higher of acute-stage MOGAD patients than those of control patients (p< 0.05 and p< 0.01, respectively), while the mRNA levels of serum EGFR and EGFR/NfL ratio were significantly lower of MOGAD patients than those of controls (p < 0.05, p < 0.0001). Serum NfL mRNA was significantly correlated with mRNA of serum EGFR (r =0.480, p < 0.05). Serum and CSF NfL mRNA levels in MOGAD patients with the ADEM-like phenotype were also significantly higher than those in control patients (p < 0.01, p < 0.01) and optic neuritis (ON) phenotype (p < 0.05, p < 0.05). Both mRNAs of NfL in CSF and EGFR/NfL ratio in serum were correlated with EDSS scores (p < 0.05, r = 0.424; p < 0.05, r= -0.521).

Conclusion

The mRNA levels of elevated NfL in serum and CSF as well as lower EGFR and EGFR/NfL ratio in serum could help distinguish acute-phase MOGAD. Higher mRNA levels of NfL in serum and CSF of MOGAD patients help distinguish ADEM-like phenotype. In addition, serum EGFR/NfL mRNA ratio is indicative of disease severity in pediatric patients with MOGAD. Further investigations are warranted to elucidate the pathological mechanisms underlying these associations.

Guidance for use of neurofilament light chain as a cerebrospinal fluid and blood biomarker in multiple sclerosis management

Neurofilament light chain (NfL) is a long-awaited blood biomarker that can provide clinically useful information about prognosis and therapeutic efficacy in multiple sclerosis (MS). There is now substantial evidence for this biomarker to be used alongside magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical measures of disease progression as a decision-making tool for the management of patients with MS. Serum NfL (sNfL) has certain advantages over traditional measures of MS disease progression such as MRI because it is relatively noninvasive, inexpensive, and can be repeated frequently to monitor activity and treatment efficacy. sNfL levels can be monitored regularly in patients with MS to determine change from baseline and predict subclinical disease activity, relapse risk, and the development of gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions. sNfL does not replace MRI, which provides information related to spatial localisation and lesion stage. Laboratory platforms are starting to be made available for clinical application of sNfL in several countries. Further work is needed to resolve issues around comparisons across testing platforms (absolute values) and normalisation (reference ranges) in order to guide interpretation of the results.

Bile acid metabolites predict multiple sclerosis progression and supplementation is safe in progressive disease

Background

Bile acid metabolism is altered in multiple sclerosis (MS) and tauroursodeoxycholic acid (TUDCA) supplementation ameliorated disease in mouse models of MS.

Methods

Global metabolomics was performed in an observational cohort of people with MS followed by pathway analysis to examine relationships between baseline metabolite levels and subsequent brain and retinal atrophy. A double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, was completed in people with progressive MS (PMS), randomized to receive either TUDCA (2g daily) or placebo for 16 weeks. Participants were followed with serial clinical and laboratory assessments. Primary outcomes were safety and tolerability of TUDCA, and exploratory outcomes included changes in clinical, laboratory and gut microbiome parameters.

Results

In the observational cohort, higher primary bile acid levels at baseline predicted slower whole brain, brain substructure and specific retinal layer atrophy. In the clinical trial, 47 participants were included in our analyses (21 in placebo arm, 26 in TUDCA arm). Adverse events did not significantly differ between arms (p=0.77). The TUDCA arm demonstrated increased serum levels of multiple bile acids. No significant differences were noted in clinical or fluid biomarker outcomes. Central memory CD4+ and Th1/17 cells decreased, while CD4+ naïve cells increased in the TUDCA arm compared to placebo. Changes in the composition and function of gut microbiota were also noted in the TUDCA arm compared to placebo.

Conclusion

Bile acid metabolism in MS is linked with brain and retinal atrophy. TUDCA supplementation in PMS is safe, tolerable and has measurable biological effects that warrant further evaluation in larger trials with a longer treatment duration.

Association of magnetic resonance imaging phenotypes and serum biomarker levels with treatment response and long-term disease outcomes in multiple sclerosis patients

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The aim was to evaluate whether magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) phenotypes defined by inflammation and neurodegeneration markers correlate with serum levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients; and to explore the role of radiological phenotypes and biomarker levels on treatment response and long-term prognostic outcomes.

METHODS

Magnetic resonance imaging scans from 80 RRMS patients were classified at baseline of interferon-beta (IFNβ) treatment into radiological phenotypes defined by high and low inflammation and high and low neurodegeneration, based on the number of contrast-enhancing lesions, brain parenchymal fraction and the relative volume of non-enhancing black holes on T1-weighted images. Serum levels of NfL and GFAP were measured at baseline with single molecule array (Simoa) assays. MRI phenotypes and serum biomarker levels were investigated for their association with IFNβ response, and times to second-line therapies, secondary-progressive MS (SPMS) conversion and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 6.0.

RESULTS

Mean (SD) follow-up was 17 (2.9) years. Serum NfL levels and GFAP were higher in the high inflammation (p = 0.04) and high neurodegeneration phenotypes (p = 0.03), respectively. The high inflammation phenotype was associated with poor response to IFNβ treatment (p = 0.04) and with shorter time to second-line therapies (p = 0.04). In contrast, the high neurodegeneration phenotype was associated with shorter time to SPMS (p = 0.006) and a trend towards shorter time to EDSS 6.0 (p = 0.09). High serum NfL levels were associated with poor response to IFNβ treatment (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Magnetic resonance imaging phenotypes defined by inflammation and neurodegeneration correlate with serum biomarker levels, and both have prognostic implications in treatment response and long-term disease outcomes.

Neurofilament Light Chain Elevation and Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis

Importance

Mechanisms contributing to disability accumulation in multiple sclerosis (MS) are poorly understood. Blood neurofilament light chain (NfL) level, a marker of neuroaxonal injury, correlates robustly with disease activity in people with MS (MS); however, data on the association between NfL level and disability accumulation have been conflicting.

Objective

To determine whether and when NfL levels are elevated in the context of confirmed disability worsening (CDW).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This study included 2 observational cohorts: results from the Expression, Proteomics, Imaging, Clinical (EPIC) study at the University of California San Francisco (since 2004) were confirmed in the Swiss Multiple Sclerosis Cohort (SMSC), a multicenter study in 8 centers since 2012. Data were extracted from EPIC in April 2022 (sampling July 1, 2004, to December 20, 2016) and SMSC in December 2022 (sampling June 6, 2012, to September 2, 2021). The study included 2 observational cohorts in tertiary MS centers. All participants of both cohorts with available NfL results were included in the study, and no eligible participants were excluded or declined to participate.

Exposure

Association between NfL z scores and CDW.

Main Outcome Measures

CDW was defined as Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) worsening that was confirmed after 6 or more months and classified into CDW associated with clinical relapses (CDW-R) or independent of clinical relapses (CDW-NR). Visits were classified in relation to the disability worsening events into CDW(-2) for 2 visits preceding event, CDW(-1) for directly preceding event, CDW(event) for first diagnosis of EDSS increase, and the confirmation visit. Mixed linear and Cox regression models were used to evaluate NfL dynamics and to assess the association of NfL with future CDW, respectively.

Results

A total of 3906 EPIC visits (609 participants; median [IQR] age, 42.0 [35.0-50.0] years; 424 female [69.6%]) and 8901 SMSC visits (1290 participants; median [IQR] age, 41.2 [32.5-49.9] years; 850 female [65.9%]) were included. In CDW-R (EPIC, 36 events; SMSC, 93 events), NfL z scores were 0.71 (95% CI, 0.35-1.07; P < .001) units higher at CDW-R(-1) in EPIC and 0.32 (95% CI, 0.14-0.49; P < .001) in SMSC compared with stable MS samples. NfL elevation could be detected preceding CDW-NR (EPIC, 191 events; SMSC, 342 events) at CDW-NR(-2) (EPIC: 0.23; 95% CI, 0.01-0.45; P = .04; SMSC: 0.28; 95% CI, 0.18-0.37; P < .001) and at CDW-NR(-1) (EPIC: 0.27; 95% CI, 0.11-0.44; P < .001; SMSC: 0.09; 95% CI, 0-0.18; P = .06). Those findings were replicated in the subgroup with relapsing-remitting MS. Time-to-event analysis confirmed the association between NfL levels and future CDW-R within approximately 1 year and CDW-NR (in approximately 1-2 years).

Conclusions and Relevance

This cohort study documents the occurrence of NfL elevation in advance of clinical worsening and may hint to a potential window of ongoing dynamic central nervous system pathology that precedes the diagnosis of CDW.

Neurofilament Light Chain in Adult and Pediatric Multiple Sclerosis: A Promising Biomarker to Better Characterize Disease Activity and Personalize MS Treatment

Many biological markers have been explored in multiple sclerosis (MS) to better quantify disease burden and better evaluate response to treatments, beyond clinical and MRI data. Among these, neurofilament light chain (Nf-L), although non-specific for this disease and found to be increased in other neurological conditions, has been shown to be the most promising biomarker for assessing axonal damage in MS, with a definite role in predicting the development of MS in patients at the first neurological episode suggestive of MS, and also in a preclinical phase. There is strong evidence that Nf-L levels are increased more in relapsing versus stable MS patients, and that they predict future disease evolution (relapses, progression, MRI measures of activity/progression) in MS patients, providing information on response to therapy, helping to anticipate clinical decisions in patients with an apparently stable evolution, and identifying patient non-responders to disease-modifying treatments. Moreover, Nf-L can contribute to the better understanding of the mechanisms of demyelination and axonal damage in adult and pediatric MS. A fundamental requirement for its clinical use is the accurate standardization of normal values, corrected for confounding factors, in particular age, sex, body mass index, and presence of comorbidities. In this review, a guide is provided to update clinicians on the use of Nf-L in clinical activity.

Defining progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) in adult patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis: A systematic review✰

BACKGROUND

Progression Independent of Relapse Activity (PIRA) is heterogeneously described in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) regarding the frequency and nature of PIRA. This systematic review was conducted to characterise and define the elements of PIRA.

METHOD

This systematic review was conducted and reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A systematic search was conducted of the databases Embase, Medline, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Scopus, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov and Google Scholar.

RESULTS

5,812 studies were identified by the initial search. 13 studies satisfied the inclusion criteria and were included in the systematic review. PIRA definitions varied considerably between studies. In the context of these variable definitions, along with other methodological differences relating to disease modifying therapy (DMT) use and follow-up duration, the reported proportion of patients experiencing PIRA varied from 4% to 24%.

CONCLUSIONS

The currently available research supports the presence of PIRA in relapsing MS. Based on review of the existing literature, we propose a definition of PIRA that is clinically relevant and minimises confounding from inclusion of patients who have reached the secondary progressive phase of the disease.

Implications of immunometabolism for smouldering MS pathology and therapy

Clinical symptom worsening in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) is driven by inflammation compartmentalized within the CNS, which results in chronic neuronal damage owing to insufficient repair mechanisms. The term 'smouldering inflammation' summarizes the biological aspects underlying this chronic, non-relapsing and immune-mediated mechanism of disease progression. Smouldering inflammation is likely to be shaped and sustained by local factors in the CNS that account for the persistence of this inflammatory response and explain why current treatments for MS do not sufficiently target this process. Local factors that affect the metabolic properties of glial cells and neurons include cytokines, pH value, lactate levels and nutrient availability. This Review summarizes current knowledge of the local inflammatory microenvironment in smouldering inflammation and how it interacts with the metabolism of tissue-resident immune cells, thereby promoting inflammatory niches within the CNS. The discussion highlights environmental and lifestyle factors that are increasingly recognized as capable of altering immune cell metabolism and potentially responsible for smouldering pathology in the CNS. Currently approved MS therapies that target metabolic pathways are also discussed, along with their potential for preventing the processes that contribute to smouldering inflammation and thereby to progressive neurodegenerative damage in MS.

Deep learning-based PET/MR radiomics for the classification of annualized relapse rate in multiple sclerosis

Background Annualized Relapse Rate (ARR) is one of the most important indicators of disease progression in patients with Multiple Sclerosis (MS). However, imaging markers that can effectively predict ARR are currently unavailable. In this study, we developed a deep learning-based method for the automated extraction of radiomics features from Positron Emission Computed Tomography (PET) and Magnetic Resonance (MR) images to predict ARR in patients with MS. Methods Twenty-five patients with a definite diagnosis of Relapsing-Remitting MS (RRMS) were enrolled in this study. We designed a multi-branch fully convolutional neural network to segment lesions from PET/MR images. After that, radiomics features were extracted from the obtained lesion volume of interest. Three feature selection methods were used to retain features highly correlated with ARR. We combined four classifiers with different feature selection methods to form twelve models for ARR classification. Finally, the model with the best performance was chosen. Results Our network achieved precise automatic lesion segmentation with a Dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC) of 0.81 and a precision of 0.86. Radiomics features from lesions filtered by Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) achieved the best performance in the Support Vector Machines (SVM) classifier. The classification model performance was best when radiomics from both PET and MR were combined to predict ARR, with high accuracy at 0.88 and Area Under the ROC curves (AUC) at 0.96, which outperformed MR or PET-based model and clinical indicators-based model. Conclusion Our automatic segmentation masks can replace manual ones with excellent performance. Furthermore, the deep learning and PET/MR radiomics-based model in our research is an effective tool in assisting ARR classification of MS patients.

Biomarkers in autoimmune diseases of the central nervous system

The autoimmune diseases of the central nervous system (CNS) represent individual heterogeneity with different disease entities. Although clinical and imaging features make it possible to characterize larger patient cohorts, they may not provide sufficient evidence to detect disease activity and response to disease modifying drugs. Biomarkers are becoming a powerful tool due to their objectivity and easy access. Biomarkers may indicate various aspects of biological processes in healthy and/or pathological states, or as a response to drug therapy. According to the clinical features described, biomarkers are usually classified into predictive, diagnostic, monitoring and safety biomarkers. Some nerve injury markers, humoral markers, cytokines and immune cells in serum or cerebrospinal fluid have potential roles in disease severity and prognosis in autoimmune diseases occurring in the CNS, which provides a promising approach for clinicians to early intervention and prevention of future disability. Therefore, this review mainly summarizes the potential biomarkers indicated in autoimmune disorders of the CNS.

Validity of serum neurofilament light chain as a prognostic biomarker of disease activity in multiple sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic demyelinating and neuroinflammatory disease of the human central nervous system with complex pathoetiology, heterogeneous presentations and an unpredictable course of disease progression. There remains an urgent need to identify and validate a biomarker that can reliably predict the initiation and progression of MS as well as identify patient responses to disease-modifying treatments/therapies (DMTs). Studies exploring biomarkers in MS and other neurodegenerative diseases currently focus mainly on cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analyses, which are invasive and impractical to perform on a repeated basis. Recent studies, replacing CSF with peripheral blood samples, have revealed that the elevation of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) in the clinical stages of MS is, potentially, an ideal prognostic biomarker for predicting disease progression and for possibly guiding treatment decisions. However, there are unresolved factors (the definition of abnormal values of sNfL concentration, the standardisation of measurement and the amount of change in sNfL concentration that is significant) that are preventing its use as a biomarker in routine clinical practice for MS. This updated review critiques these recent findings and highlights areas for focussed work to facilitate the use of sNfL as a prognostic biomarker in MS management.

Association of Serum Neurofilament Light Chain Levels at Disease Onset With Disability Worsening in Patients With a First Demyelinating Multiple Sclerosis Event Not Treated With High-Efficacy Drugs

Importance

The value of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels for predicting long-term disability in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) remains controversial.

Objective

To assess whether high sNfL values are associated with disability worsening in patients who underwent their first demyelinating MS event.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This multicenter cohort study included patients who underwent their first demyelinating event suggestive of MS at Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal (development cohort; June 1, 1994, to September 31, 2021, with follow-up until August 31, 2022) and 8 Spanish hospitals (validation cohort; October 1, 1995, to August 4, 2020, with follow-up until August 16, 2022).

Exposures

Clinical evaluations at least every 6 months.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were 6-month confirmed disability worsening (CDW) and an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 3. Levels of sNfL were measured in blood samples obtained within 12 months after disease onset using a single molecule array kit. The cutoffs used were sNfL level of 10 pg/mL and a standardized score (z score) of 1.5. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate outcomes.

Results

Of the 578 patients included in the study, 327 were in the development cohort (median age at sNfL analysis, 34.1 years [IQR, 27.2-42.7 years]; 226 female [69.1%]) and 251 patients were in the validation cohort (median age at sNfL analysis, 33.3 years [IQR, 27.4-41.5 years]; 184 female [73.3%]). The median follow-up was 7.10 years (IQR, 4.18-10.0 years). Levels of sNfL greater than 10 pg/mL were independently associated with higher risk of 6-month CDW and an EDSS of 3 in the development cohort (6-month CDW: hazard ratio [HR], 2.39; 95% CI, 1.39-4.12; P = .002; EDSS of 3: HR, 4.12; 95% CI, 2.18-7.77; P < .001) and the validation cohort (6-month CDW: HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.07-2.42; P = .02; EDSS of 3: HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.23-3.33; P = .005). Highly effective disease-modifying treatments were associated with lower risks of 6-month CDW and an EDSS of 3 in patients with high baseline sNfL values.

Conclusions and Relevance

This cohort study found that high sNfL values obtained within the first year of disease were associated with long-term disability worsening in MS, suggesting that sNfL level measurement may help identify optimal candidates for highly effective disease-modifying treatments.

High serum neurofilament light chain levels correlate with brain atrophy and physical disability in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) is a promising biomarker of neuroaxonal damage in persons with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). In cross-sectional studies, sNfL has been associated with disease activity and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) changes; however, it is still unclear to what extent in particular high sNfL levels impact on subsequent disease evolution.

METHODS

sNfL was quantified by an ultrasensitive single molecule array (Simoa) in 199 pwMS (median age = 34.2 years, 64.3% female) and 49 controls. All pwMS underwent 3-T MRI to assess global and compartmental normalized brain volumes, T2-lesion load, and cortical mean thickness. Follow-up data and serum samples were available in 144 pwMS (median follow-up time = 3.8 years). Linear and binary logistic models were used to estimate the independent contribution of sNfL for changes in MRI and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). Age-corrected sNfL z-scores from a normative database of healthy controls were used for sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

High sNfL levels at baseline were associated with atrophy measures of the whole brain (standardized beta coefficient βj = -0.352, p < 0.001), white matter (βj = -0.229, p = 0.007), thalamus (βj = -0.372, p = 0.004), and putamen (βj = -1.687, p = 0.012). pwMS with high levels of sNfL at baseline and follow-up had a greater risk of EDSS worsening (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Already single time point elevation of sNfL has a distinct effect on brain volume changes over a short-term period, and repeated high levels of sNfL indicate accumulating physical disability. Serial assessment of sNfL may provide added value in the clinical management of pwMS.

Diagnosis and treatment of progressive multiple sclerosis: A position paper

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an unpredictable disease characterised by a highly variable disease onset and clinical course. Three main clinical phenotypes have been described. However, distinguishing between the two progressive forms of MS can be challenging for clinicians. This article examines how the diagnostic definitions of progressive MS impact clinical research, the design of clinical trials and, ultimately, treatment decisions.

METHODS

We carried out an extensive review of the literature highlighting differences in the definition of progressive forms of MS, and the importance of assessing the extent of the ongoing inflammatory component in MS when making treatment decisions.

RESULTS

Inconsistent results in phase III clinical studies of treatments for progressive MS, may be attributable to differences in patient characteristics (e.g., age, clinical and radiological activity at baseline) and endpoint definitions. In both primary and secondary progressive MS, patients who are younger and have more active disease will derive the greatest benefit from the available treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

We recommend making treatment decisions based on the individual patient's pattern of disease progression, as well as functional, clinical and imaging parameters, rather than on their clinical phenotype. Because the definition of progressive MS differs across clinical studies, careful selection of eligibility criteria and study endpoints is needed for future studies in patients with progressive MS.

Serum Neurofilament Identifies Patients With Multiple Sclerosis With Severe Focal Axonal Damage in a 6-Year Longitudinal Cohort

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Immunomodulatory therapies reduce the relapse rate but only marginally control disability progression in patients with MS. Although serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels correlate best with acute signs of inflammation (e.g., relapses and gadolinium-enhancing [Gd+] lesions), their role in predicting progressive biology and irreversible axonal damage is less clear. We aimed to determine the ability of sNfL to dissect distinct measures of disease severity and predict future (no) evidence of disease activity (EDA/no evidence of disease activity [NEDA]).

METHODS

One hundred fifty-three of 221 patients with relapsing-remitting MS initially enrolled in the Neurofilament and longterm outcome in MS cohort at the MS outpatient clinic of the University Medical Center Mainz (Germany) met the inclusion criteria for this prospective observational cohort study with a median follow-up of 6 years (interquartile range 4-7 years). Progressive disease forms were excluded. Inclusion criteria consisted of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) assessment within 3 months and MRI within 12 months around blood sampling at baseline (y0) and follow-up (y6). EDSS progression at y6 had to be confirmed 12 weeks later. sNfL was measured by single-molecule array, and the following additional variables were recorded: therapy, medical history, and detailed MRI parameters (T2 hyperintense lesions, Gd+ lesions, and new persistent T1 hypointense lesions).

RESULTS

Patients experiencing EDSS progression or new persistent T1 lesions at y6 showed increased sNfL levels at y0 compared with stable patients or patients with inflammatory activity only. As a potential readily accessible marker of neurodegeneration, we incorporated the absence of persistent T1 lesions to the NEDA-3 concept (NEDA-3^T1: n = 54, 35.3%; EDA^T1: n = 99, 64.7%) and then evaluated a risk score with factors that distinguish patients with and without NEDA-3^T1 status. Adding sNfL to this risk score significantly improved NEDA-3^T1 prediction (0.697 95% CI 0.616-0.770 vs 0.819 95% CI 0.747-0.878, p < 0.001). Patients with sNfL values ≤8.6 pg/mL showed a 76% risk reduction for EDA^T1 at y6 (hazard ratio 0.244, 95% CI 0.142-0.419, p < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

sNfL levels associate with severe focal axonal damage as reflected by development of persistent T1 lesions. Baseline sNfL values predicted NEDA-3^T1 status at 6-year follow-up.

Characteristics of cerebral blood flow in an Eastern sample of multiple sclerosis patients: A potential quantitative imaging marker associated with disease severity

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory disease of the central nervous system that is rare in China. At present, there are no widespread quantitative imaging markers associated with disease severity in MS. Despite several previous studies reporting cerebral blood flow (CBF) changes in MS, no consensus has been reached. In this study, we enrolled 30 Eastern MS patients to investigate CBF changes in different brain regions using the arterial spin labeling technique and their relationship with disease severity. The average CBF in MS patients were higher than those in health controls in various brain regions except cerebellum. The results indicated that MS patients with strongly increased CBF showed worse disease severity, including higher Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores and serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) values than those with mildly increased CBF in the parietal lobes, temporal lobes, basal ganglia, and damaged white matter (DWM). From another perspective, MS patients with worse disease severity (higher EDSS score and sNfL values, longer disease duration) showed increased CBF in parietal lobes, temporal lobes, basal ganglia, normal-appearing white matter (NAWM), and DWM. Correlation analysis showed that there was a strong association among CBF, EDSS score and sNfL. MS patients with strongly increased CBF in various brain regions had more ratio in relapsing phase than patients with mildly increased CBF. And relapsing patients showed significantly higher CBF in some regions (temporal lobes, left basal ganglia, right NAWM) compared to remitting patients. In addition, MS patients with cognitive impairment had higher CBF than those without cognitive impairment in the right parietal lobe and NAWM. However, there were no significant differences in CBF between MS patients with and without other neurologic dysfunctions (e.g., motor impairment, visual disturbance, sensory dysfunction). These findings expand our understanding of CBF in MS and imply that CBF could be a potential quantitative imaging marker associated with disease severity.

Neurofilaments in neurologic disorders and beyond

Many neurologic diseases can initially present as a diagnostic challenge and even when a diagnosis is made, monitoring of disease activity, progression and response to therapy may be limited with existing clinical and paraclinical assessments. As such, the identification of disease specific biomarkers provides a promising avenue by which diseases can be effectively diagnosed, monitored and used as a prognostic indicator for long-term outcomes. Neurofilaments are an integral component of the neuronal cytoskeleton, where assessment of neurofilaments in the blood, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and diseased tissue has been shown to have value in providing diagnostic clarity, monitoring disease activity, tracking progression and treatment efficacy, as well as lending prognostic insight into long-term outcomes. As such, this review attempts to provide a glimpse into the structure and function of neurofilaments, their role in various neurologic and non-neurologic disorders, including uncommon conditions with recent knowledge of neurofilament-related pathology, as well as their applicability in future clinical practice.

T cell-neuron interaction in inflammatory and progressive multiple sclerosis biology

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune condition of the central nervous system (CNS) characterized by acute inflammatory relapses, chronic neuro-axonal degeneration, and subsequent disability progression. T cells - in interaction with B cells and CNS-resident glial cells - are key initiators and drivers of neurodegeneration in MS. However, it is not entirely clear how encephalitogenic T cells orchestrate the local immune response within the brain and how they overtake disease stage-specific roles in MS pathogenesis. This review highlights recent advances in understanding direct and indirect T cell-neuron interactions in inflammatory and progressive MS. Finally, we discuss new diagnostic tools such as neurofilament light chain (NfL), which is on the cusp of becoming a key factor in clinical and therapeutic decision-making.

Serum neurofilament light chain levels predict long-term disability progression in patients with progressive multiple sclerosis

ObjectiveThere is a lack of sensitive and specific biomarkers for use in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). The study aimed to assess the potential of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels as biomarker of disability progression in patients with progressive MS.

METHODS

We performed a prospective observational cohort study in 51 patients with progressive MS who participated in a 2-year phase II single-centre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of interferon-beta. Mean (SD) follow-up duration was 13.9 (6.2) years. Levels of sNfL were measured using a single molecule array immunoassay at baseline, 1, 2 and 6 years. Univariable and multivariable analyses were carried out to evaluate associations between sNfL levels and disability progression at short term (2 years), medium term (6 years) and long term (at the time of the last follow-up).

RESULTS

A sNfL cut-off value of 10.2 pg/mL at baseline discriminated between long-term progressors and non-progressors with a 75% sensitivity and 67% specificity (adjusted OR 7.8; 95% CI 1.8 to 46.4; p=0.01). Similar performance to discriminate between long-term progressors and non-progressors was observed using age/body mass index-adjusted sNfL Z-scores derived from a normative database of healthy controls. A cut-off increase of 5.1 pg/mL in sNfL levels between baseline and 6 years also discriminated between long-term progressors and non-progressors with a 71% sensitivity and 86% specificity (adjusted OR 49.4; 95% CI 4.4 to 2×103; p=0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

sNfL can be considered a prognostic biomarker of future long-term disability progression in patients with progressive MS. These data expand the little knowledge existing on the role of sNfL as long-term prognostic biomarker in patients with progressive MS.

Emerging Biomarkers of Multiple Sclerosis in the Blood and the CSF: A Focus on Neurofilaments and Therapeutic Considerations

INTRODUCTION

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is the most common immune-mediated chronic neurodegenerative disease of the central nervous system (CNS) affecting young people. This is due to the permanent disability, cognitive impairment, and the enormous detrimental impact MS can exert on a patient's health-related quality of life. It is of great importance to recognise it in time and commence adequate treatment at an early stage. The currently used disease-modifying therapies (DMT) aim to reduce disease activity and thus halt disability development, which in current clinical practice are monitored by clinical and imaging parameters but not by biomarkers found in blood and/or the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). Both clinical and radiological measures routinely used to monitor disease activity lack information on the fundamental pathophysiological features and mechanisms of MS. Furthermore, they lag behind the disease process itself. By the time a clinical relapse becomes evident or a new lesion appears on the MRI scan, potentially irreversible damage has already occurred in the CNS. In recent years, several biomarkers that previously have been linked to other neurological and immunological diseases have received increased attention in MS. Additionally, other novel, potential biomarkers with prognostic and diagnostic properties have been detected in the CSF and blood of MS patients.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, we summarise the most up-to-date knowledge and research conducted on the already known and most promising new biomarker candidates found in the CSF and blood of MS patients.

DISCUSSION

the current diagnostic criteria of MS relies on three pillars: MRI imaging, clinical events, and the presence of oligoclonal bands in the CSF (which was reinstated into the diagnostic criteria by the most recent revision). Even though the most recent McDonald criteria made the diagnosis of MS faster than the prior iteration, it is still not an infallible diagnostic toolset, especially at the very early stage of the clinically isolated syndrome. Together with the gold standard MRI and clinical measures, ancillary blood and CSF biomarkers may not just improve diagnostic accuracy and speed but very well may become agents to monitor therapeutic efficacy and make even more personalised treatment in MS a reality in the near future. The major disadvantage of these biomarkers in the past has been the need to obtain CSF to measure them. However, the recent advances in extremely sensitive immunoassays made their measurement possible from peripheral blood even when present only in minuscule concentrations. This should mark the beginning of a new biomarker research and utilisation era in MS.

High or increasing serum NfL is predictive of impending multiple sclerosis relapses

BACKGROUND

One-off serum levels of neurofilament light chain (sNfL) is an established predictor of emerging disease activity in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the importance of longitudinal increases in sNfL is yet to be enumerated, an important consideration as this test is translated for serial monitoring. Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein (sGFAP) is another biomarker of predictive interest. Our objective was to assess the association between longitudinal changes sNfL and prediction of future relapses, as well as a possible role for sGFAP.

METHODS

Participants with active MS were prospectively monitored for one year as part of a clinical trial testing mesenchymal stem cells. Visits every three months or less included clinical assessments, MRI scans and serum draws. sNfL and sGFAP concentrations were quantified with Single Molecule Array immunoassay. We used Kaplan-Meier estimates and Anderson-Gill Cox regression models with and without adjustment for age, sex, disease subtype, disease duration and expanded disability status score (EDSS) to estimate the rate of relapse predicted by baseline and longitudinal changes in biomarker.

RESULTS

58 Canadian and Italian participants with MS were enrolled in this study. Higher baseline sNfL was future relapse (Log-rank p = 0.0068), MRI lesions (p=0.0096), composite-relapse associated worsening (p=0.01) and progression independent of relapse activity (p=0.0096). Conversely, baseline sGFAP was only weakly associated with MRI lesions (0.044). Cross-sectional analyses of baseline sNfL revealed that a two-fold difference in baseline sNfL, e.g. from 10 to 20 pg/mL, was associated with a 2.3-fold increased risk of relapse during follow-up (95% confidence interval 1.65-3.17). Longitudinally, a two-fold increase in sNfL level from the first measurement was associated with an additional 1.46 times increased risk of relapse (1.07-2.00). The impact of longitudinal increases in sNfL on the risk of relapse were most pronounced for patients with lower baseline values of sNfL (<10 pg/mL: HR = 1.54, 1.06-2.24). These associations remained significant after adjustment for potential confounders.

CONCLUSION

We enumerate the risk of relapse associated with dynamic changes in sNfL. Both baseline and longitudinal change in sNfL may help identify patients who would benefit from early treatment optimisation.

TRIAL REGISTRATIONS

Canada:NCT02239393, Italy:NCT01854957&EudraCT, 2011-001295-19 CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides class 1 evidence that high baseline and longitudinal increases in sNfL are predictive of impending relapses in patients with active MS.