Vaccine Safety and Immunogenicity in Patients With Multiple Sclerosis Treated With Natalizumab

Importance

Vaccination in patients with highly active multiple sclerosis (MS) requiring prompt treatment initiation may result in impaired vaccine responses and/or treatment delay.

Objective

To assess the immunogenicity and safety of inactivated vaccines administered during natalizumab treatment.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This self-controlled, prospective cohort study followed adult patients with MS from 1 study center in Spain from September 2016 to February 2022. Eligible participants included adults with MS who completed immunization for hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis A virus (HAV), and COVID-19 during natalizumab therapy. Data analysis was conducted from November 2022 to February 2023.

Exposures

Patients were categorized according to their time receiving natalizumab treatment at the time of vaccine administration as short-term (≤1 year) or long-term (>1 year).

Main Outcomes and Measures

Demographic, clinical, and radiological characteristics were collected during the year before vaccination (prevaccination period) and the year after vaccination (postvaccination period). Seroprotection rates and postvaccination immunoglobulin G titers were determined for each vaccine within both periods. Additionally, differences in annualized relapse rate (ARR), new T2 lesions (NT2L), Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, and John Cunningham virus (JCV) serostatus between the 2 periods were assessed.

Results

Sixty patients with MS (mean [SD] age, 43.2 [9.4] years; 44 female [73.3%]; 16 male [26.7%]; mean [SD] disease duration, 17.0 [8.7] years) completed HBV, HAV, and mRNA COVID-19 immunization during natalizumab treatment, with 12 patients in the short-term group and 48 patients in the long-term group. The global seroprotection rate was 93% (95% CI, 86%-98%), with individual vaccine rates of 92% for HAV (95% CI, 73%-99%), 93% for HBV (95% CI, 76%-99%), and 100% for the COVID-19 messenger RNA vaccine (95% CI, 84%-100%). Between the prevaccination and postvaccination periods there was a significant reduction in the mean (SD) ARR (0.28 [0.66] vs 0.01 [0.12]; P = .004) and median (IQR) NT2L (5.00 [2.00-10.00] vs 0.81 [0.00-0.50]; P = .01). No changes in disability accumulation were detected (median [IQR] EDSS score 3.5 [2.0-6.0] vs 3.5 [2.0-6.0]; P = .62). No differences in safety and immunogenicity were observed for all vaccines concerning the duration of natalizumab treatment.

Conclusions and Relevance

The findings of this cohort study suggest that immunization with inactivated vaccines during natalizumab therapy was both safe and immunogenic, regardless of the treatment duration. Natalizumab may be a valuable option for proper immunization, averting treatment delays in patients with highly active MS; however, this strategy needs to be formally evaluated.

Global and Regional Deep Learning Models for Multiple Sclerosis Stratification From MRI

BACKGROUND

The combination of anatomical MRI and deep learning-based methods such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs) is a promising strategy to build predictive models of multiple sclerosis (MS) prognosis. However, studies assessing the effect of different input strategies on model's performance are lacking.

PURPOSE

To compare whole-brain input sampling strategies and regional/specific-tissue strategies, which focus on a priori known relevant areas for disability accrual, to stratify MS patients based on their disability level.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

SUBJECTS

Three hundred nineteen MS patients (382 brain MRI scans) with clinical assessment of disability level performed within the following 6 months (~70% training/~15% validation/~15% inference in-house dataset) and 440 MS patients from multiple centers (independent external validation cohort).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

Single vendor 1.5 T or 3.0 T. Magnetization-Prepared Rapid Gradient-Echo and Fluid-Attenuated Inversion Recovery sequences.

ASSESSMENT

A 7-fold patient cross validation strategy was used to train a 3D-CNN to classify patients into two groups, Expanded Disability Status Scale score (EDSS) ≥ 3.0 or EDSS < 3.0. Two strategies were investigated: 1) a global approach, taking the whole brain volume as input and 2) regional approaches using five different regions-of-interest: white matter, gray matter, subcortical gray matter, ventricles, and brainstem structures. The performance of the models was assessed in the in-house and the independent external cohorts.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Balanced accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC).

RESULTS

With the in-house dataset, the gray matter regional model showed the highest stratification accuracy (81%), followed by the global approach (79%). In the external dataset, without any further retraining, an accuracy of 72% was achieved for the white matter model and 71% for the global approach.

DATA CONCLUSION

The global approach offered the best trade-off between internal performance and external validation to stratify MS patients based on accumulated disability.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Association of Very Early Treatment Initiation With the Risk of Long-term Disability in Patients With a First Demyelinating Event

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Early treatment is associated with better long-term outcomes in patients with a first demyelinating event and early multiple sclerosis (MS). However, magnetic resonance (MR) findings are not usually integrated to construct propensity scores (PSs) when evaluating outcomes. We assessed the association of receiving very early treatment with the risk of long-term disability including an MR score (MRS) in patients with a first demyelinating event.

METHODS

We included 580 patients with a first demyelinating event prospectively collected between 1994 and 2021, who received at least 1 disease-modifying drug (DMD). Patients were classified into tertiles according to the cohort's distribution of the time from the first demyelinating event to the first DMD: first tertile (FT) or very early treatment (6 months; n = 194), second tertile (6.1-16 months, n = 192), and third tertile (TT) (16.1 months, n = 194). A 5-point MRS was built according to the sum of the following indicators: ≥9 brain lesions (1 point); ≥1 infratentorial lesion (1 point); ≥1 spinal cord (SC) lesion (1 point); ≥1 contrast-enhancing (CE) brain lesion (1 point); and ≥1 CE SC lesion (1 point). PS based on covariates and the MRS was computed for each of the outcomes. Inverse PS-weighted Cox and linear regression models assessed the risk of different outcomes between tertile groups. Finally, to confirm the role of MR in treatment decision, we studied the time elapsed from the first demyelinating event to treatment initiation according to the MRS in all patients with radiologic available information, renamed as raw-MRS.

RESULTS

Very early treatment decreased the risk of reaching Expanded Disability Status Scale 3.0 (hazard ratio [HR] 0.55, 95% CI 0.32-0.97), secondary progressive MS (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.19-0.85), and sustained disease progression at 12 months after treatment initiation (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.29-0.84), when compared with patients from the TT group. Patients from the FT group had a lower disability progression rate (β estimate -0.009, 95% CI -0.016 to -0.002) and a lower severe disability measured by the Patient-Determined Disease Step (β estimate -0.52, 95% CI -0.91 to -0.13) than the TT group. Finally, there was a 62.4% reduction in the median time between the first demyelinating event and the first-ever treatment initiation from patients displaying a raw-MRS 1 to patients with a raw-MRS 5.

DISCUSSION

Using PS models with and without MRS, we showed that treatment initiation at very early stages is associated with a reduction in the risk of long-term disability accrual in patients with a first demyelinating event.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that earlier treatment of patients with MS presenting with a first demyelinating event is associated with improved clinical outcomes.

Myelin Oligodendrocyte Glycoprotein Antibodies in Adults with a First Demyelinating Event Suggestive of Multiple Sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibodies (MOG-Ab) distinguish multiple sclerosis (MS) from MOG-associated disease in most cases. However, studies analyzing MOG-Ab at the time of a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS in adults are lacking. We aimed to (1) evaluate the prevalence of MOG-Ab in a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS and (2) compare clinical and paraclinical features between seropositive (MOG-Ab+) and seronegative (MOG-Ab-) patients.

METHODS

Six hundred thirty adult patients with available serum samples obtained within 6 months from the first event were included. MOG-Ab were analyzed using a live cell-based assay. Statistical analyses included parametric and nonparametric tests, logistic regression, and survival models.

RESULTS

MOG-Ab were positive in 17 of 630 (2.7%). Fourteen out of 17 (82.4%) MOG-Ab+ patients presented with optic neuritis (ON) compared to 227of 613 (37.0%) MOG-Ab- patients (p = 0.009). Cerebrospinal fluid-restricted oligoclonal bands (CSF-OBs) were found in 2 of 16 (12.5%) MOG-Ab+ versus 371 of 601 (61.7%) MOG-Ab- subjects (p < 0.001). Baseline brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was normal in 9 of 17 (52.9%) MOG-Ab+ versus 153 of 585 (26.2%) MOG-Ab- patients (p = 0.029). Absence of CSF-OBs and ON at onset were independently associated with MOG-Ab positivity (odds ratio [OR] = 9.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.04-53.6, p = 0.009; and OR = 4.17, 95% CI = 1.15-19.8, p = 0.042, respectively). Of MOG-Ab+ patients, 22.9% (95% CI = 0.0-42.7) compared to 67.6% (95% CI = 63.3-71.3) of MOG-Ab- patients fulfilled McDonald 2017 criteria at 5 years (log-rank p = 0.003).

INTERPRETATION

MOG-Ab are infrequent in adults with a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS. However, based on our results, we suggest to determine these antibodies in those patients with ON and absence of CSF-OBs, as long as the brain MRI is not suggestive of MS. ANN NEUROL 2023.

Deciphering multiple sclerosis disability with deep learning attention maps on clinical MRI

The application of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to MRI data has emerged as a promising approach to achieving unprecedented levels of accuracy when predicting the course of neurological conditions, including multiple sclerosis, by means of extracting image features not detectable through conventional methods. Additionally, the study of CNN-derived attention maps, which indicate the most relevant anatomical features for CNN-based decisions, has the potential to uncover key disease mechanisms leading to disability accumulation. From a cohort of patients prospectively followed up after a first demyelinating attack, we selected those with T1-weighted and T2-FLAIR brain MRI sequences available for image analysis and a clinical assessment performed within the following six months (N = 319). Patients were divided into two groups according to expanded disability status scale (EDSS) score: ≥3.0 and < 3.0. A 3D-CNN model predicted the class using whole-brain MRI scans as input. A comparison with a logistic regression (LR) model using volumetric measurements as explanatory variables and a validation of the CNN model on an independent dataset with similar characteristics (N = 440) were also performed. The layer-wise relevance propagation method was used to obtain individual attention maps. The CNN model achieved a mean accuracy of 79% and proved to be superior to the equivalent LR-model (77%). Additionally, the model was successfully validated in the independent external cohort without any re-training (accuracy = 71%). Attention-map analyses revealed the predominant role of frontotemporal cortex and cerebellum for CNN decisions, suggesting that the mechanisms leading to disability accrual exceed the mere presence of brain lesions or atrophy and probably involve how damage is distributed in the central nervous system.

Increased cytomegalovirus immune responses at disease onset are protective in the long-term prognosis of patients with multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

It remains unclear whether viral infections interfere with multiple sclerosis (MS) disease progression. We evaluated the prognostic role of antibody responses toward viruses determined at disease onset on long-term disease outcomes.

METHODS

Humoral immune responses against Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-encoded nuclear antigen EBNA1, viral capsid antigen (VCA) and early antigen, and toward cytomegalovirus (HCMV), human herpesvirus 6 and measles were investigated in a cohort of 143 patients with MS for their association with long-term disability and inflammation disease outcomes.

RESULTS

Median (IQR) follow-up was 20 (17.2-22.8) years. In univariable analysis, increased HCMV levels were associated with a lower risk to Expanded Disability Status Scale 4.0 (HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.91 to 0.99; p=0.03), to develop a secondary progressive MS (HR 0.94; 95% CI 0.90 to 0.99; p=0.02) and to first-line treatment (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.96 to 0.99; p=0.04). High HCMV IgG levels were associated with a longer time to first-line treatment (p=0.01). Increased immune responses against EBV-VCA were associated with higher risk for first-line (HR 1.45; 95% CI 1.12 to 1.88; p=0.005) and second-line treatments (HR 2.03; 95% CI 1.18 to 3.49; p=0.01), and high VCA IgG levels were associated with shorter time to first-line (p=0.004) and second-line (p=0.02) therapies. EBNA1-specific IgG levels correlated with disease severity (0.17; p=0.04) and with an increased relapse rate during follow-up (relapse rate 1.26; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.56; p=0.02) that remained stable in multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate that elevated immune responses against HCMV at disease onset have protective effects on long-term disability and inflammation disease outcomes. Our data also indicate that increased immune responses against EBV in early phases may influence long-term disease prognosis.

Association of Early Progression Independent of Relapse Activity With Long-term Disability After a First Demyelinating Event in Multiple Sclerosis

Importance

Progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is the main event responsible for irreversible disability accumulation in relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS).

Objective

To investigate clinical and neuroimaging predictors of PIRA at the time of the first demyelinating attack and factors associated with long-term clinical outcomes of people who present with PIRA.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study, conducted from January 1, 1994, to July 31, 2021, included patients with a first demyelinating attack from multiple sclerosis; patients were recruited from 1 study center in Spain. Patients were excluded if they refused to participate, had alternative diagnoses, did not meet protocol requirements, had inconsistent demographic information, or had less than 3 clinical assessments.

Exposures

Exposures included (1) clinical and neuroimaging features at the first demyelinating attack and (2) presenting PIRA, ie, confirmed disability accumulation (CDA) in a free-relapse period at any time after symptom onset, within (vs after) the first 5 years of the disease (ie, early/late PIRA), and in the presence (vs absence) of new T2 lesions in the previous 2 years (ie, active/nonactive PIRA).

Main Outcomes and Measures

Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) yearly increase rates since the first attack and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for predictors of time to PIRA and time to EDSS 6.0.

Results

Of the 1128 patients (mean [SD] age, 32.1 [8.3] years; 781 female individuals [69.2%]) included in the study, 277 (25%) developed 1 or more PIRA events at a median (IQR) follow-up time of 7.2 (4.6-12.4) years (for first PIRA). Of all patients with PIRA, 86 of 277 (31%) developed early PIRA, and 73 of 144 (51%) developed active PIRA. Patients with PIRA were slightly older, had more brain lesions, and were more likely to have oligoclonal bands than those without PIRA. Older age at the first attack was the only predictor of PIRA (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.23-1.65; P < .001 for each older decade). Patients with PIRA had steeper EDSS yearly increase rates (0.18; 95% CI, 0.16-0.20 vs 0.04; 95% CI, 0.02-0.05; P < .001) and an 8-fold greater risk of reaching EDSS 6.0 (HR, 7.93; 95% CI, 2.25-27.96; P = .001) than those without PIRA. Early PIRA had steeper EDSS yearly increase rates than late PIRA (0.31; 95% CI, 0.26-0.35 vs 0.13; 95% CI, 0.10-0.16; P < .001) and a 26-fold greater risk of reaching EDSS 6.0 from the first attack (HR, 26.21; 95% CI, 2.26-303.95; P = .009).

Conclusions and Relevance

Results of this cohort study suggest that for patients with multiple sclerosis, presenting with PIRA after a first demyelinating event was not uncommon and suggests an unfavorable long-term prognosis, especially if it occurs early in the disease course.

Spinal cord reserve in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

The spinal cord (SC) is a preferential target of multiple sclerosis (MS) damage highly relevant towards disability. Differential impact of such damage could be due to the initial amount of SC tissue, as described for the brain parenchyma (brain reserve concept). We aimed to test the existence of SC reserve by using spinal canal area (SCaA) as a proxy.

METHODS

Brain sagittal three-dimensional T1-weighted scans covering down to C5 level were acquired in 2930 people with MS and 43 healthy controls (HCs) in a cross-sectional, multicentre study. SC area (SCA) and SCaA were obtained with the Spinal Cord Toolbox. Demographical data and patient-derived disability scores were obtained. SC parameters were compared between groups with age-adjusted and sex-adjusted linear regression models. The main outcome of the study, the existence of an association between SCaA and Patient Determined Disease Steps, was tested with scaled linear models.

RESULTS

1747 persons with MS (mean age: 46.35 years; 73.2% female) and 42 HCs (mean age: 45.56 years; 78.6% female) were analysed after exclusion of post-processing errors and application of quality criteria. SCA (60.41 mm² vs 65.02 mm², p<0.001) was lower in people with MS compared with HC; no differences in SCaA were observed (213.24 mm² vs 212.61 mm², p=0.125). Adjusted scaled linear models showed that a larger SCaA was significantly associated with lower scores on Patient Determined Disease Steps (beta coefficient: -0.12, p=0.0124) independently of spinal cord atrophy, brain T2 lesion volume, age and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

A larger SCaA may be protective against disability in MS, possibly supporting the existence of SC reserve.

The kappa free light chain index and oligoclonal bands have a similar role in the McDonald criteria

Intrathecal production of kappa free light chains (KFLC) occurs in multiple sclerosis and can be measured using the KFLC index. KFLC index values can be determined more easily than oligoclonal bands (OB) detection and seem more sensitive than the immunoglobulin (Ig)G index to diagnose multiple sclerosis. We assessed the value of OB, KFLC index cut-offs 5.9, 6.6, and 10.61, and IgG index to diagnose multiple sclerosis with prospectively acquired data from a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) inception cohort. We selected patients with sufficient data to determine OB positivity, MRI dissemination in space (DIS) and time (DIT), IgG index, and sufficient quantities of paired CSF and blood samples to determine KFLC indexes (n = 214). We used Kendall´s Tau coefficient to estimate concordance; calculated the number of additional diagnoses when adding each positive index to DIS and positive OB; performed survival analyses for OB and each index with the outcomes second attack and 2017 MRI DIS and DIT; and estimated the diagnostic properties of OB and the different indexes for the abovementioned outcomes at five years. OB were positive in 138 patients (64.5%), KFLC-5.9 in 136 (63.6%), KFLC-6.6 in 135 (63.1%), KFLC-10.61 in 126 (58.9%) and IgG index in 101 (47.2%). The highest concordance was between OB and KFLC-6.6 (τ=0.727) followed by OB and KFLC-5.9 (τ=0.716). Combining DIS plus OB or KFLC-5.9 increased the number of diagnosed patients by 11 (5.1%), with KFLC-6.6 by 10 (4.7%), with KFLC-10.61 by 9 (4.2%), and with IgG index by 3 (1.4%). Patients with positive OB or indexes reached second attack and MRI DIS and DIT faster than patients with negative results (P < 0.0001 except IgG index in second attack: P = 0.016). In multivariable Cox models [aHR (95% CI)], the risk for second attack was very similar between KFLC-5.9 [2.0 (0.9-4.3), P = 0.068] and KFLC-6.6 [2.1 (1.1-4.2), P = 0.035]. The highest risk for MRI DIS and DIT was demonstrated with KFLC-5.9 [4.9 (2.5-9.6), P < 0.0001], followed by KFLC-6.6 [3.4 (1.9-6.3), P < 0.0001]. KFLC-5.9 and KFLC-6.6 had a slightly higher diagnostic accuracy than OB for second attack (70.5, 71.1, and 67.8) and MRI DIS and DIT (85.7, 85.1, and 81.0). KFLC indexes 5.9 and 6.6 performed slightly better than OB to assess multiple sclerosis risk and in terms of diagnostic accuracy. Given the concordance between OB and these indexes, we suggest using DIS plus positive OB or positive KFLC index as a modified criterion to diagnose multiple sclerosis.

Serum neurofilament light chain levels predict long-term disability progression in patients with progressive multiple sclerosis

ObjectiveThere is a lack of sensitive and specific biomarkers for use in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). The study aimed to assess the potential of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels as biomarker of disability progression in patients with progressive MS.

METHODS

We performed a prospective observational cohort study in 51 patients with progressive MS who participated in a 2-year phase II single-centre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of interferon-beta. Mean (SD) follow-up duration was 13.9 (6.2) years. Levels of sNfL were measured using a single molecule array immunoassay at baseline, 1, 2 and 6 years. Univariable and multivariable analyses were carried out to evaluate associations between sNfL levels and disability progression at short term (2 years), medium term (6 years) and long term (at the time of the last follow-up).

RESULTS

A sNfL cut-off value of 10.2 pg/mL at baseline discriminated between long-term progressors and non-progressors with a 75% sensitivity and 67% specificity (adjusted OR 7.8; 95% CI 1.8 to 46.4; p=0.01). Similar performance to discriminate between long-term progressors and non-progressors was observed using age/body mass index-adjusted sNfL Z-scores derived from a normative database of healthy controls. A cut-off increase of 5.1 pg/mL in sNfL levels between baseline and 6 years also discriminated between long-term progressors and non-progressors with a 71% sensitivity and 86% specificity (adjusted OR 49.4; 95% CI 4.4 to 2×103; p=0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

sNfL can be considered a prognostic biomarker of future long-term disability progression in patients with progressive MS. These data expand the little knowledge existing on the role of sNfL as long-term prognostic biomarker in patients with progressive MS.

Is humoral and cellular response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccine modified by DMT in patients with multiple sclerosis and other autoimmune diseases?

BACKGROUND

The effect of disease-modifying therapies on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine response is unclear.

OBJECTIVES

We aim to determine the immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 in multiple sclerosis (MS) and anti-CD20-treated patients with other autoimmune diseases (AID).

METHODS

Humoral and cellular responses we determined before and 30-90 days after vaccination in patients with MS and anti-CD20-treated patients with other AID in two Catalan centers.

RESULTS

457 patients were enrolled. Findings showed that humoral response decreased under anti-CD20s or sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor modulators (S1PRM) and with longer treatment duration and increased after 4.5 months from the last anti-CD20 infusion. Cellular response decreased in S1PRM-treated. Patients on anti-CD20 can present cellular responses even in the absence of antibodies.

CONCLUSION

Anti-CD20s and S1PRM modify the immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.

Humoral and Cellular Responses to SARS-CoV-2 in Convalescent COVID-19 Patients With Multiple Sclerosis

Background and Objectives

Information about humoral and cellular responses to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and antibody persistence in convalescent (COVID-19) patients with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) is scarce. The objectives of this study were to investigate factors influencing humoral and cellular responses to SARS-CoV-2 and its persistence in convalescent COVID-19 PwMS.

Methods

This is a retrospective study of confirmed COVID-19 convalescent PwMS identified between February 2020 and May 2021 by SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing. We examined relationships between demographics, MS characteristics, disease-modifying therapy (DMT), and humoral (immunoglobulin G against spike and nucleocapsid proteins) and cellular (interferon-gamma [IFN-γ]) responses to SARS-CoV-2.

Results

A total of 121 (83.45%) of 145 PwMS were seropositive, and 25/42 (59.5%) presented a cellular response up to 13.1 months after COVID-19. Anti–CD20-treated patients had lower antibody titers than those under other DMTs (p < 0.001), but severe COVID-19 and a longer time from last infusion increased the likelihood of producing a humoral response. IFN-γ levels did not differ among DMT. Five of 7 (71.4%) anti-–CD20-treated seronegative patients had a cellular response. The humoral response persisted for more than 6 months in 41/56(81.13%) PwMS. In multivariate analysis, seropositivity decreased due to anti-CD20 therapy (OR 0.08 [95% CI 0.01–0.55]) and increased in males (OR 3.59 [1.02–12.68]), whereas the cellular response decreased in those with progressive disease (OR 0.04 [0.001–0.88]). No factors were associated with antibody persistence.

Discussion

Humoral and cellular responses to SARS-CoV-2 are present in COVID-19 convalescent PwMS up to 13.10 months after COVID-19. The humoral response decreases under anti-CD20 treatment, although the cellular response can be detected in anti–CD20-treated patients, even in the absence of antibodies.

Oral contraceptives do not modify the risk of a second attack and disability accrual in a prospective cohort of women with a clinically isolated syndrome and early multiple sclerosis

Objective:

To evaluate whether oral contraceptive (OC) use is associated with the risk of a second attack and disability accrual in women with a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) and early multiple sclerosis (MS).

Methods:

Reproductive information from women included in the Barcelona CIS prospective cohort was collected through a self-reported cross-sectional survey. We examined the relationship of OC exposure with the risk of a second attack and confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale of 3.0 using multivariate Cox regression models, adjusted by age, topography of CIS, oligoclonal bands, baseline brain T2 lesions, body size at menarche, smoking, and disease-modifying treatment (DMT). OC and DMT exposures were considered as time-varying variables. Findings were confirmed with sensitivity analyses using propensity score models.

Results:

A total of 495 women were included, 389 (78.6%) referred to ever use OC and 341 (68.9%) started OC before the CIS. Exposure to OC was not associated with a second attack (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.33–1.61) or disability accrual (aHR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.17–3.76). Sensitivity analyses confirmed these results.

Conclusion:

OC use does not modify the risk of second attack or disability accrual in patients with CIS and early MS, once considered as a time-dependent exposure and adjusted by other potential confounders.

Multiple sclerosis is associated with higher comorbidity and health care resource use: A population-based, case-control study in a western Mediterranean region

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Comorbidities are common in multiple sclerosis (MS), and have been associated with worse outcomes and increased health care resource usage. We studied the frequency of comorbidities and adverse health behaviors (AHBs) in MS patients in the Mediterranean region of Catalonia.

METHODS

This population-based, case-control study used primary health care information covering 80% of Catalonia's population. Cases were matched by age/sex with randomly chosen controls (ratio = 1:5). Demographic information, comorbidities, AHBs, annual visits, sick leave days, and medication dispensing were studied. The association of comorbidities with MS and the profile of comorbidities according to sex within MS cases were assessed with multivariate logistic regression models, after adjusting for confounding variables. Health care resource usage was analyzed in MS cases compared to controls, and within MS cases in those with compared to those without comorbidities.

RESULTS

Five thousand five hundred forty-eight MS cases and 27,710 controls (70% female, mean age = 48.3 years) were included. Stroke (odds ratio [OR] = 1.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.17-1.99), epilepsy (OR = 2.46, 95% CI = 1.94-3.10), bipolar disorder (OR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.17-2.36), and depression (OR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.70-1.98) were more frequent in MS. Cases were more prone to smoking but less to alcohol intake. Among cases, psychiatric comorbidities were more frequent in women, whereas cardiovascular diseases and AHBs were more frequent in men. MS patients, particularly with comorbidities, had higher health care resource usage than controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Psychiatric comorbidities, stroke, epilepsy, and AHBs are more common in MS patients than in the general population in the western Mediterranean region of Catalonia. The presence of comorbidities increases the health care resource usage in MS patients.

Menopause does not modify disability trajectories in a longitudinal cohort of women with clinically isolated syndrome and multiple sclerosis followed from disease onset

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

To evaluate the effect of menopause on disability accumulation in women followed from their clinically isolated syndrome (CIS).

METHODS

We examined the longitudinal changes in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores from CIS until the last follow-up in women belonging to the Barcelona CIS prospective cohort, followed through their menopausal transition. The analysis is based on 13,718 EDSS measurements, with an average of 28 EDSS measurements per patient. Differences in EDSS trajectories between menopausal and nonmenopausal women, controlling for age and disease duration, were evaluated. We performed two sensitivity analyses in women with confirmed MS and in those experiencing early menopause.

RESULTS

From 764 eligible women, 496 (65%) responded to the questionnaire, and 74 (14.9%) reached menopause over the follow-up. We did not find a significant inflection point in EDSS trajectories around menopause (slope change -0.009; 95% CI -0.066; 0.046). The annual increase in EDSS over the complete course of the disease was significantly higher in menopausal women (0.049; 95% CI, 0.026-0.074) versus nonmenopausal (0.019; 95% CI, 0.008-0.031; interaction p value 0.025). This difference was lost when controlling for age and disease duration (EDSS annual increase of 0.059; 95% CI, 0.025-0.094 vs. 0.038; 95% CI, 0.021-0.057, respectively; interaction p value 0.321). No inflection point was detected when the analysis was restricted to women with confirmed MS or with earlier menopause.

CONCLUSIONS

Menopause is not associated with an increased risk of disability in a CIS population, considering EDSS trajectories throughout the course of the disease together with age and disease duration.

COVID-19 in multiple sclerosis patients: susceptibility, severity risk factors and serological response

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Information regarding multiple sclerosis (MS) patients with the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is scarce. The study objective was to describe the incidence and characteristics of MS patients with COVID-19, to identify susceptibility and severity risk factors and to assess the proportion of positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) serologies according to disease-modifying treatments.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of an MS cohort analysing data collected between February and May 2020. Cases were identified through an email survey and clinical visits. The relationship of demographic and MS characteristics with COVID-19 and of the disease-modifying treatments with SARS-CoV-2 serostatus were examined.

RESULTS

Data from 48 suspected cases out of 758 valid respondents and from 45 COVID-19 cases identified through clinical visits were collected. Incidence was 6.3%. Nineteen (20.3%) patients were hospitalized and two (2.2%) died. Multivariable models determined that age (odds ratio [OR] per 10 years 0.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.34-0.85), contact with a confirmed case (OR 197.02, 95% CI 56.36-688.79), residence in Barcelona (OR 2.23, 95% CI 1.03-4.80), MS duration (OR per 5 years 1.41, 95% CI 1.09-1.83) and time on anti-CD20 treatment (OR per 2 years 3.48, 95% CI 1.44-8.45) were independent factors for presenting COVID-19 and age (OR per 10 years 2.71, 95% CI 1.13-6.53) for a severe COVID-19. Out of the 79 (84.9%) with serological test, 45.6% generated antibodies, but only 17.6% of those on anti-CD20 therapies. Lymphopaenia or immunoglobulin levels did not relate to COVID-19.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple sclerosis patients present similar incidence, risk factors and outcomes for COVID-19 as the general population. Patients treated with an anti-CD20 therapy for a longer period of time might be at a higher risk of COVID-19 and less than 20% generate an antibody response. Only age was related to severity.

Multiple sclerosis management during the COVID-19 pandemic

Background:

People with multiple sclerosis (MS) may be at higher risk for complications from the 2019 coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic due to use of immunomodulatory disease modifying therapies (DMTs) and greater need for medical services.

Objectives:

To evaluate risk factors for COVID-19 susceptibility and describe the pandemic’s impact on healthcare delivery.

Methods:

Surveys sent to MS patients at Cleveland Clinic, Johns Hopkins, and Vall d’Hebron-Centre d’Esclerosi Múltiple de Catalunya in April and May 2020 collected information about comorbidities, DMTs, exposures, COVID-19 testing/outcomes, health behaviors, and disruptions to MS care.

Results:

There were 3028/10,816 responders. Suspected or confirmed COVID-19 cases were more likely to have a known COVID-19 contact (odds ratio (OR): 4.38; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04, 18.54). In multivariable-adjusted models, people who were younger, had to work on site, had a lower education level, and resided in socioeconomically disadvantaged areas were less likely to follow social distancing guidelines. 4.4% reported changes to therapy plans, primarily delays in infusions, and 15.5% a disruption to rehabilitative services.

Conclusion:

Younger people with lower socioeconomic status required to work on site may be at higher exposure risk and are potential targets for educational intervention and work restrictions to limit exposure. Providers should be mindful of potential infusion delays and MS care disruption.

The long-term outcomes of CIS patients in the Barcelona inception cohort: Looking back to recognize aggressive MS

Objective:

To explore the long-term outcomes of patients with clinically isolated syndromes from the Barcelona cohort.

Methods:

We selected patients with a follow-up longer than 10 years to (1) estimate the risks of multiple sclerosis (MS) and disability accumulation according to the baseline number of T2 lesions and to compare treated versus untreated patients and early versus delayed treatment, and (2) to study baseline features of patients with aggressive MS (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ⩾6.0 at 10 years).

Results:

In all, 401 patients were included (mean follow-up of 14.4 (standard deviation of 2.9) years). A higher number of T2 lesions was associated with an earlier MS diagnosis and an earlier risk of irreversible disability. Early treatment was associated with a decreased risk of EDSS of 3.0: adjusted hazard ratio = 0.4, 95% confidence interval = (0.2, 0.7). Patients with aggressive MS differed in their baseline brain magnetic resonance images: The median (interquartile range) number of T2 lesions and contrast-enhancing lesions (CEL) was 71 (28–95) versus 7 (1–19) and 3 (1–24) versus 0 (0–1), respectively. The cut-offs that better classified patients with aggressive MS were 20 for T2 lesions and 2 for CEL.

Conclusion:

Although MS natural history is changing, a high lesion load at onset is helpful to identify patients at risk of presenting an aggressive MS.