Repeated Echocardiograms Do Not Provide Incremental Prognostic Value to Single Echocardiographic Assessment in Minimally Symptomatic Patients with Chronic Heart Failure: Results of the Bio-SHiFT Study

Electrocardiogram changes as predictors for new imaging findings in repeat transthoracic echocardiography

Aim: To determine if electrocardiogram (EKG) findings may be a useful tool to predict changes in repeat transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE). Methods: We evaluated patients who underwent TTE during hospitalization and their EKGs, and whether findings differed between studies. Results: Of 229 hospitalized patients who underwent repeat TTE, 183 (80%) were abnormal. Each minor and major EKG abnormality resulted in a 1.8 (1.2 to 2.6; p = 0.002) and 2.1 (1.3 to 3.3; p < 0.001) increased odds of abnormal imaging on TTE, respectively. The negative likelihood ratio for an unchanged EKG to predict an unchanged TTE was 0.68 (95% CI = 0.62 to 0.73). Conclusion: Among hospitalized patients with prior imaging results, an unchanged EKG predicts an unchanged TTE.

Prognostic value of temporal patterns of left atrial reservoir strain in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

We investigated whether repeatedly measured left atrial reservoir strain (LASr) in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients provides incremental prognostic value over a single baseline LASr value, and whether temporal patterns of LASr provide incremental prognostic value over temporal patterns of other echocardiographic markers and NT-proBNP.

METHODS

In this prospective observational study, 153 patients underwent 6-monthly echocardiography, during a median follow-up of 2.5 years. Speckle tracking echocardiography was used to measure LASr. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for LASr from Cox models (baseline) and joint models (repeated measurements). The primary endpoint (PEP) comprised HF hospitalization, left ventricular assist device, heart transplantation, and cardiovascular death.

RESULTS

Mean age was 58 ± 11 years, 76% were men, 82% were in NYHA class I/II, mean LASr was 20.9% ± 11.3%, and mean LVEF was 29% ± 10%. PEP was reached by 50 patients. Baseline and repeated measurements of LASr (HR per SD change (95% CI) 0.20 (0.10-0.41) and (0.13 (0.10-0.29), respectively) were both significantly associated with the PEP, independent of both baseline and repeated measurements of other echo-parameters and NT-proBNP. Although LASr was persistently lower over time in patients with PEP, temporal trajectories did not diverge in patients with versus without the PEP as the PEP approached.

CONCLUSION

LASr was associated with adverse events in HFrEF patients, independent of baseline and repeated other echo-parameters and NT-proBNP. Temporal trajectories of LASr showed decreased but stable values in patients with the PEP, and do not provide incremental prognostic value for clinical practice compared to single measurements of LASr.

Potential role of left atrial strain in estimation of left atrial pressure in patients with chronic heart failure

AIMS

In a large proportion of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients, echocardiographic estimation of left atrial pressure (LAP) is not possible when the ratio of the peak early left ventricular filling velocity over the late filling velocity (E/A ratio) is not available, which may occur due to several potential causes. Left atrial reservoir strain (LASr) is correlated with LV filling pressures and may serve as an alternative parameter in these patients. The aim of this study was to determine whether LASr can be used to estimate LAP in HFrEF patients in whom E/A ratio is not available.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Echocardiograms of chronic HFrEF patients were analysed and LASr was assessed with speckle tracking echocardiography. LAP was estimated using the current ASE/EACVI algorithm. Patients were divided into those in whom LAP could be estimated using this algorithm (LAPe) and into those in whom this was not possible because E/A ratio was not available (LAPne). We assessed the prognostic value of LASr on the primary endpoint (PEP), which comprised the composite of hospitalization for the management of acute or worsened HF, left ventricular assist device implantation, cardiac transplantation, and cardiovascular death, whichever occurred first in time. We studied 153 patients with a mean age of 58 years of whom 76% men and 82% who were in NYHA class I-II. A total of 86 were in the LAPe group and 67 in the LAPne group. LASr was significantly lower in the LAPne group as compared with the LAPe group (15.8% vs. 23.8%, P < 0.001). PEP-free survival at a median follow-up of 2.5 years was 78% in LAPe versus 51% in LAPne patients. An increase in LASr was significantly associated with a reduced risk of the PEP in LAPne patients (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.91 per %, 95% confidence interval 0.84-0.98). An abnormal LASr (<18%) was associated with a five-fold increase in reaching the PEP.

CONCLUSIONS

In HFrEF patients in whom echocardiographic estimation of LAP is not possible due to due to unavailability of E/A ratio, assessing LASr potentially carries added clinical and prognostic value.

Joint modelling of longitudinal processes and time-to-event outcomes in heart failure: systematic review and exemplar examining the relationship between serum digoxin levels and mortality

BACKGROUND

Joint modelling combines two or more statistical models to reduce bias and increase efficiency. As the use of joint modelling increases it is important to understand how and why it is being applied to heart failure research.

METHODS

A systematic review of major medical databases of studies which used joint modelling within heart failure alongside an exemplar; joint modelling repeat measurements of serum digoxin with all-cause mortality using data from the Effect of Digoxin on Mortality and Morbidity in Patients with Heart Failure (DIG) trial.

RESULTS

Overall, 28 studies were included that used joint models, 25 (89%) used data from cohort studies, the remaining 3 (11%) using data from clinical trials. 21 (75%) of the studies used biomarkers and the remaining studies used imaging parameters and functional parameters. The exemplar findings show that a per unit increase of square root serum digoxin is associated with the hazard of all-cause mortality increasing by 1.77 (1.34-2.33) times when adjusting for clinically relevant covariates.

CONCLUSION

Recently, there has been a rise in publications of joint modelling being applied to heart failure. Where appropriate, joint models should be preferred over traditional models allowing for the inclusion of repeated measures while accounting for the biological nature of biomarkers and measurement error.

Prognostic value of temporal patterns of global longitudinal strain in patients with chronic heart failure

Background

We investigated whether repeatedly measured global longitudinal strain (GLS) has incremental prognostic value over repeatedly measured left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and a single "baseline" GLS value, in chronic heart failure (HF) patients.

Methods

In this prospective observational study, echocardiography was performed in 173 clinically stable chronic HF patients every six months during follow up. During a median follow-up of 2.7 years, a median of 3 (25th-75th percentile:2-4) echocardiograms were obtained per patient. The endpoint was a composite of HF hospitalization, left ventricular assist device, heart transplantation, cardiovascular death. We compared hazard ratios (HRs) for the endpoint from Cox models (used to analyze the first available GLS measurements) with HRs from joint models (which links repeated measurements to the time-to-event data).

Results

Mean age was 58 ± 11 years, 76% were men, 81% were in New York Heart Association functional class I/II, and all had LVEF < 50% (mean ± SD: 27 ± 9%). The endpoint was reached by 53 patients. GLS was persistently decreased over time in patients with the endpoint. However, temporal GLS trajectories did not further diverge in patients with versus without the endpoint and remained stable during follow-up. Both single measurements and temporal trajectories of GLS were significantly associated with the endpoint [HR per SD change (95%CI): 2.15(1.34-3.46), 3.54 (2.01-6.20)]. In a multivariable model, repeatedly measured GLS maintained its prognostic value while repeatedly measured LVEF did not [HR per SD change (95%CI): GLS:4.38 (1.49-14.70), LVEF:1.14 (0.41-3.23)]. The association disappeared when correcting for repeatedly measured NT-proBNP.

Conclusion

Temporal evolution of GLS was associated with adverse events, independent of LVEF but not independent of NT-proBNP. Since GLS showed decreased but stable values in patients with adverse prognosis, single measurements of GLS provide sufficient information for determining prognosis in clinical practice compared to repeated measurements, and temporal GLS patterns do not add prognostic information to NT-proBNP.

Improved diastolic dysfunction is associated with higher forward flow and better prognosis in chronic heart failure

The benefit of repeat assessment of left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function in heart failure (HF) remains uncertain. We assessed the prognostic value of repeat echocardiographic assessment of LV filling pressure (LVFP) and its interaction with cardiac index (CI) in ambulatory patients with chronic HF and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We enrolled 357 patients (age 68 ± 11 years; 22% female) with chronic HFrEF. Patients underwent a clinical and echocardiographic examination at baseline. LVFP as assessed by the 2016 Guidelines and Doppler-derived CI were estimated. After the second echocardiographic examination, patients were followed for a median time of 30 months. The study endpoint included all-cause death and hospitalization for worsening HF. Patients who normalized LVFP or showed persistently normal LVFP at the follow-up examination had a significantly lower mortality rate than those with worsening or persistently raised LVFP (p < 0.0001). After stratification by CI, patients with elevated LVFP and CI < 2.0 l/min/m2 had a further worse outcome than those with elevated LVFP and CI ≥ 2.0 l/min/m2 (p < 0.0001). Multivariate survival analysis confirmed an independent prognostic impact of changes in LVFP, incremental to that of established clinical, laboratory and echocardiographic predictors. Repeat assessment of LVFP and CI significantly improved risk stratification of chronic HFrEF outpatients compared to baseline evaluation.

Prognostic relevance of Doppler echocardiographic re-assessment in HFrEF patients

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines do not recommend periodically repeating echocardiograms in the follow-up of stable heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). The objective of the study was to verify the additional prognostic information provided by a comprehensive re-assessment of their cardiac function and hemodynamic profile at Doppler echocardiography in HFrEF patients.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 769 stable HFrEF outpatients who underwent two complete echocardiograms, at baseline and at re-assessment. Main candidate predictors of prognosis were: left ventricular (LV) filling pattern, pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) and right ventricular function (TAPSE). Age, LV ejection fraction, mitral regurgitation severity, NYHA class, brain natriuretic peptide plasma levels at baseline, and their changes at 12 months, were used as covariates. Median follow-up was 30 months. All-cause death was the study end-point.

RESULTS

At baseline, restrictive filling pattern and low TAPSE were significant predictors of poor prognosis. At re-evaluation, persistently restrictive/worsened filling pattern, persistently-low/worsened TAPSE and worsened PASP, were associated with poorer survival. A significant interaction between changes in TAPSE, PASP and LV filling pattern was observed: in the restrictive pattern subgroup, survival was poorer in worsened/persistently low TAPSE (p < 0.01); in non-restrictive pattern subgroup, survival was poorer in worsened/persistently elevated PASP (p = 0.01). The re-assessment model improved the C-index from 0.69 to 0.74 (P < 0.01) compared to baseline model.

CONCLUSIONS

Doppler echocardiographic re-assessment of LV filling pattern, PASP and TAPSE allows a better prognostic stratification of HFrEF outpatients than baseline evaluation and is additional to changes in BNP and NYHA class.