Data-driven clustering approach to identify novel phenotypes using multiple biomarkers in acute ischaemic stroke: A retrospective, multicentre cohort study

Prediction model of malnutrition in hospitalized patients with acute stroke

OBJECTIVE

The prognosis of stroke patients is greatly threatened by malnutrition. However, there is no model to predict the risk of malnutrition in hospitalized stroke patients. This study developed a predictive model for identifying high-risk malnutrition in stroke patients.

METHODS

Stroke patients from two tertiary hospitals were selected as the objects. Binary logistic regression was used to build the model. The model's performance was evaluated using various metrics including the receiver operating characteristic curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, sensitivity, specificity, Youden index, clinical decision curve, and risk stratification.

RESULTS

A total of 319 stroke patients were included in the study. Among them, 27% experienced malnutrition while in the hospital. The prediction model included all independent variables, including dysphagia, pneumonia, enteral nutrition, Barthel Index, upper arm circumference, and calf circumference (all p < 0.05). The AUC area in the modeling group was 0.885, while in the verification group, it was 0.797. The prediction model produces greater net clinical benefit when the risk threshold probability is between 0% and 80%, as revealed by the clinical decision curve. All p values of the Hosmer test were > 0.05. The optimal cutoff value for the model was 0.269, with a sensitivity of 0.849 and a specificity of 0.804. After risk stratification, the MRS scores and malnutrition incidences increased significantly with escalating risk levels (p < 0.05) in both modeling and validation groups.

CONCLUSIONS

This study developed a prediction model for malnutrition in stroke patients. It has been proven that the model has good differentiation and calibration.

Deciphering Popliteal Artery Aneurysm Patient Diversity: Insights From a Cluster Analysis of the POPART Registry

BACKGROUND

Popliteal artery aneurysms (PAAs) are the most common peripheral aneurysm. However, due to its rarity, the cumulative body of evidence regarding patient patterns, treatment strategies, and perioperative outcomes is limited. This analysis aims to investigate distinct phenotypical patient profiles and associated treatment and outcomes in patients with a PAA by performing an unsupervised clustering analysis of the POPART (Practice of Popliteal Artery Aneurysm Repair and Therapy) registry.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A cluster analysis (using k-means clustering) was performed on data obtained from the multicenter POPART registry (42 centers from Germany and Luxembourg). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore validity and stability. Using 2 clusters, patients were primarily separated by the absence or presence of clinical symptoms. Within the cluster of symptomatic patients, the main difference between patients with acute limb ischemia presentation and nonemergency symptomatic patients was PAA diameter. When using 6 clusters, patients were primarily grouped by comorbidities, with patients with acute limb ischemia forming a separate cluster. Despite markedly different risk profiles, perioperative complication rates appeared to be positively associated with the proportion of emergency patients. However, clusters with a higher proportion of patients having any symptoms before treatment experienced a lower rate of perioperative complications.

CONCLUSIONS

The conducted analyses revealed both an insight to the public health reality of PAA care as well as patients with PAA at elevated risk for adverse outcomes. This analysis suggests that the preoperative clinic is a far more crucial adjunct to the patient's preoperative risk assessment than the patient's epidemiological profile by itself.

Clinical phenotypes of patients with acute stroke: a secondary analysis

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is a leading cause of mortality worldwide and a major cause of disability having a high burden on patients, society, and caregiving systems. This study was conducted to investigate the presence of clusters of in-hospital patients with acute stroke based on demographic and clinical data. Cluster analysis reveals patterns in patient characteristics without requiring knowledge of a predefined patient category or assumptions about likely groupings within the data.

METHODS

We performed a secondary analysis of open-access anonymized data from patients with acute stroke admitted to a hospital between December 2019 to June 2021. In total, 216 patients (78; 36.1% men) were included in the analytical dataset with a mean (SD) age of 60.3 (14.4). Many demographic and clinical features were included in the analysis and the Barthel Index on discharge was used for comparing the functional recovery of the identified clusters.

RESULTS

Hierarchical clustering based on the principal components identified two clusters of 109 and 107 patients. The clusters were different in the Barthel Index scores on discharge with the mean (SD) of 39.3 (29.3) versus 62.6 (29.4); t (213.87) = -5.818, P <0.001, Cohen's d (95%CI) = -0.80 (-1.07, -0.52). A logistic model showed that age, systolic blood pressure, pulse rate, D-dimer blood level, low-density lipoprotein, hemoglobin, creatinine concentration, the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale value, and the Barthel Index scores on admission were significant predictors of cluster profiles (all P ≤0.029).

CONCLUSION

There are two clusters in hospitalized patients with acute stroke with significantly different functional recovery. This allows prognostic grouping of hospitalized acute stroke patients for prioritization of care or resource allocation. The clusters can be recognized using easily measured demographic and clinical features.

Genetically predicted high serum sex hormone-binding globulin levels are associated with lower ischemic stroke risk: A sex-stratified Mendelian randomization study

OBJECTIVE

Cross-sectional and cohort studies have found insufficient evidence of a causal relationship between sex hormone-binding globulin and ischemic stroke, only associations. Here, we performed a sex-stratified, bidirectional, two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis to evaluate whether a causal relationship exists between sex hormone-binding globulin and ischemic stroke.

METHODS

Single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with sex hormone-binding globulin and ischemic stroke were screened from genome-wide association studies summary data as instrumental variables to enable a bidirectional, two-sample Mendelian randomization study design. Inverse-variance weighted analysis was used as the main method to evaluate potential causality, and additional methods, including the weighted median and MR-Egger tests, were used to validate the Mendelian randomization results. Cochran's Q statistic, MR-Egger intercept test, and Mendelian Randomization-Pleiotropy Residual Sum and Outlier global test were used as sensitivity analysis techniques to assure the reliability of the results. Multivariable analysis was used to show the robustness of the results with key theorized confounders.

RESULTS

Inverse-variance weighted analysis showed that genetically predicted higher serum sex hormone-binding globulin levels were associated with significantly decreased risk of ischemic stroke in males (odds radio = 0.934, 95 % confidence interval = 0.885-0.985, P = 0.012) and females (odds radio = 0.924, 95 % confidence interval = 0.868-0.983, P = 0.013). In an analysis of ischemic stroke subtypes, genetically predicted higher serum sex hormone-binding globulin levels were also associated with significantly decreased risk of small-vessel occlusion in both males (odds radio = 0.849, 95 % confidence interval = 0.759-0.949, P = 0.004) and females (odds radio = 0.829, 95 % confidence interval = 0.724-0.949, P = 0.006). The association remained in sensitivity analyses and multivariable analyses. The reverse analysis suggested an association between genetically predicted risk of cardioembolism and increased serum sex hormone-binding globulin in females (Beta = 0.029 nmol/L, Standard Error = 0.010, P = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Our findings provide new insight into the etiology of ischemic stroke and suggest that modulating serum sex hormone-binding globulin may be a therapeutic strategy to protect against ischemic stroke.

Using a k-means clustering to identify novel phenotypes of acute ischemic stroke and development of its Clinlabomics models

Objective

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a heterogeneous condition. To stratify the heterogeneity, identify novel phenotypes, and develop Clinlabomics models of phenotypes that can conduct more personalized treatments for AIS.

Methods

In a retrospective analysis, consecutive AIS and non-AIS inpatients were enrolled. An unsupervised k-means clustering algorithm was used to classify AIS patients into distinct novel phenotypes. Besides, the intergroup comparisons across the phenotypes were performed in clinical and laboratory data. Next, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm was used to select essential variables. In addition, Clinlabomics predictive models of phenotypes were established by a support vector machines (SVM) classifier. We used the area under curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity to evaluate the performance of the models.

Results

Of the three derived phenotypes in 909 AIS patients [median age 64 (IQR: 17) years, 69% male], in phenotype 1 (N = 401), patients were relatively young and obese and had significantly elevated levels of lipids. Phenotype 2 (N = 463) was associated with abnormal ion levels. Phenotype 3 (N = 45) was characterized by the highest level of inflammation, accompanied by mild multiple-organ dysfunction. The external validation cohort prospectively collected 507 AIS patients [median age 60 (IQR: 18) years, 70% male]. Phenotype characteristics were similar in the validation cohort. After LASSO analysis, Clinlabomics models of phenotype 1 and 2 were constructed by the SVM algorithm, yielding high AUC (0.977, 95% CI: 0.961-0.993 and 0.984, 95% CI: 0.971-0.997), accuracy (0.936, 95% CI: 0.922-0.956 and 0.952, 95% CI: 0.938-0.972), sensitivity (0.984, 95% CI: 0.968-0.998 and 0.958, 95% CI: 0.939-0.984), and specificity (0.892, 95% CI: 0.874-0.926 and 0.945, 95% CI: 0.923-0.969).

Conclusion

In this study, three novel phenotypes that reflected the abnormal variables of AIS patients were identified, and the Clinlabomics models of phenotypes were established, which are conducive to individualized treatments.

A methodological study of exposome based on an open database: Association analysis between exposure to metal mixtures and hyperuricemia

BACKGROUND

Exposome recognizes that humans are constantly exposed to multiple environmental factors, and elucidating the health effects of complex exposure mixtures places greater demands on analytical methods.

OBJECTS

We aimed to explore the association between mixed exposure to metals and hyperuricemia (HUA), and highlight the potential of explainable machine learning (EML) and causal mediation analysis (CMA) for application in the analysis of exposome data.

METHODS

Pre-pandemic data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2011-2020 and a total of 13780 individuals were included. We first used traditional statistical models (multiple logistic regression (MLR) and restricted cubic spline regression (RCS)) and EML to explore associations between mixed metals exposures and HUA, followed by the CMA using the 4-way decomposition method to analyze the interaction and mediation effects among BMI or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), metals and HUA.

RESULTS

The prevalence of HUA was 18.91% (2606/13780). The MLR showed that mercury (Q4 vs Q1: OR = 1.08, 95% CI:1.02-1.14) and lead (Q4 vs Q1: OR = 1.23, 95% CI:1.13-1.34) were generally positively associated with HUA. Higher concentrations of lead, mercury, selenium and manganese were associated with the increased odds of HUA, and BMI and eGFR were the top two variables attributable to the risk of developing HUA in the EML. Subgroup analyses from the MLR and EML consistently demonstrated the positive relationship between exposure to lead, mercury and selenium in participants with BMI <25 kg/m2 and BMI ≥30 kg/m2. BMI mediated 32.12% of the association between lead exposure and HUA, and the interaction between BMI and lead accounted for 3.88% of the association in the CMA.

CONCLUSIONS

Heavy metals can increase the HUA risk and BMI or eGFR can mediate and interact with metals to cause HUA. Future studies based on exposome can attempt to utilize the EML and CMA.

Associations between homocysteine, vitamin B12, and folate and the risk of all-cause mortality in American adults with stroke

Objective

Associations between plasma homocysteine (Hcy), vitamin B12, and folate and the risk of all-cause mortality are unclear. This study aimed to examine whether plasma Hcy, vitamin B12, and folate levels independently predict the risk of all-cause mortality in American adults with stroke.

Methods

Data from the United States National Health and Examination Survey (NHANES; 1999-2006) were used and linked with the latest (2019) National Death Index (NDI). Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic splines were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of all-cause mortality for Hcy, folate, and B12 levels in adults with stroke. Sample weights were calculated to ensure the generalizability of the results.

Results

A total of 431 participants were included (average age: 64.8 years). During a median follow-up of 10.4 years, 316 deaths occurred. Hcy was positively associated with all-cause mortality in adults with stroke (HR, 1.053; 95% CI: 1.026-1.080). Stroke patients with plasma Hcy levels in the fourth quartile had a 1.631-fold higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.631; 95% CI: 1.160-2.291) than those in the first quartile. The association between plasma Hcy and all-cause mortality was strong significant in older patients (p for interaction = 0.020). Plasma folate and vitamin B12 concentrations were inversely correlated with Hcy concentrations [B-value (95% CI): -0.032 (-0.056- -0.008), -0.004 (-0.007- -0.002), respectively]. No significant associations were observed between folate, vitamin B12 levels, and all-cause mortality in adults with stroke.

Conclusion

Plasma Hcy levels were positively associated with all-cause mortality in older adults with stroke. Folate and vitamin B12 levels were inversely correlated with Hcy. Plasma Hcy may serve as a useful predictor in mortality risk assessment and targeted intervention in adults with stroke.

"Hi, how can i help you?": embracing artificial intelligence in kidney research

In recent years, biology and precision medicine have benefited from major advancements in generating large-scale molecular and biomedical datasets and in analyzing those data using advanced machine learning algorithms. Machine learning applications in kidney physiology and pathophysiology include segmenting kidney structures from imaging data and predicting conditions like acute kidney injury or chronic kidney disease using electronic health records. Despite the potential of machine learning to revolutionize nephrology by providing innovative diagnostic and therapeutic tools, its adoption in kidney research has been slower than in other organ systems. Several factors contribute to this underutilization. The complexity of the kidney as an organ, with intricate physiology and specialized cell populations, makes it challenging to extrapolate bulk omics data to specific processes. In addition, kidney diseases often present with overlapping manifestations and morphological changes, making diagnosis and treatment complex. Moreover, kidney diseases receive less funding compared with other pathologies, leading to lower awareness and limited public-private partnerships. To promote the use of machine learning in kidney research, this review provides an introduction to machine learning and reviews its notable applications in renal research, such as morphological analysis, omics data examination, and disease diagnosis and prognosis. Challenges and limitations associated with data-driven predictive techniques are also discussed. The goal of this review is to raise awareness and encourage the kidney research community to embrace machine learning as a powerful tool that can drive advancements in understanding kidney diseases and improving patient care.

Phenomics and Robust Multiomics Data for Cardiovascular Disease Subtyping

The complex landscape of cardiovascular diseases encompasses a wide range of related pathologies arising from diverse molecular mechanisms and exhibiting heterogeneous phenotypes. This variety of manifestations poses significant challenges in the development of treatment strategies. The increasing availability of precise phenotypic and multiomics data of cardiovascular disease patient populations has spurred the development of a variety of computational disease subtyping techniques to identify distinct subgroups with unique underlying pathogeneses. In this review, we outline the essential components of computational approaches to select, integrate, and cluster omics and clinical data in the context of cardiovascular disease research. We delve into the challenges faced during different stages of the analysis, including feature selection and extraction, data integration, and clustering algorithms. Next, we highlight representative applications of subtyping pipelines in heart failure and coronary artery disease. Finally, we discuss the current challenges and future directions in the development of robust subtyping approaches that can be implemented in clinical workflows, ultimately contributing to the ongoing evolution of precision medicine in health care.

Stroke mortality prediction using machine learning: systematic review

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Accurate prognostication of stroke may help in appropriate therapy and rehabilitation planning. In the past few years, several machine learning (ML) algorithms were applied for prediction of stroke outcomes. We aimed to examine the performance of machine learning-based models for the prediction of mortality after stroke, as well as to identify the most prominent factors for mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched MEDLINE/PubMed and Web of Science databases for original publications on machine learning applications in stroke mortality prediction, published between January 1, 2011, and October 27, 2022. Risk of bias and applicability were evaluated using the tailored QUADAS-2 tool.

RESULTS

Of the 1015 studies retrieved, 28 studies were included. Twenty-Five studies were retrospective. The ML models demonstrated a favorable range of AUC for mortality prediction (0.67-0.98). In most of the articles, the models were applied for short-term post stroke mortality. The number of explanatory features used in the models to predict mortality ranged from 5 to 200, with substantial overlap in the variables included. Age, high BMI and high NIHSS score were identified as important predictors for mortality. Almost all studies had a high risk of bias in at least one category and concerns regarding applicability.

CONCLUSION

Using machine learning, data available at the time of admission may aid in stroke mortality prediction. Notwithstanding, current research is based on few preliminary works with high risk of bias and high heterogeneity. Thus, future prospective, multicenter studies with standardized reports are crucial to firmly establish the usefulness of the algorithms in stroke prognostication.