Prediction of prognosis after trimodal therapy in patients with locally advanced squamous cell carcinoma of the oesophagus

Trimodality therapy for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: the role of volume-based PET/CT in patient management and prognostication

PURPOSE

To evaluate the role of positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) in predicting pathologic complete response (pCR) and identify relevant prognostic factors from clinico-imaging-pathologic features of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (eSCC) patients undergoing trimodality therapy.

METHODS

We evaluated 275 patients with eSCCs of T3-T4aN0M0 and T1-T4aN1-N3M0 who received trimodality therapy. We correlated volume-based PET/CT parameters before and after concurrent chemoradiation therapy with pCR after surgery, clinico-imaging-pathologic features, and patient survival.

RESULTS

pCR occurred in 75 (27.3%) of 275 patients, of whom 61 (80.9%) showed 5-year survival. Pre-total lesion glycolysis (pre-TLG, OR = 0.318, 95% CI 0.169 to 0.600), post-metabolic tumor volume (post-MTV, OR = 0.572, 95% CI 0.327 to 0.999), and % decrease of average standardized uptake value (% SUVavg decrease, OR = 2.976, 95% CI = 1.608 to 5.507) were significant predictors for pCR. Among them, best predictor for pCR was pre-TLG with best cutoff value of 205.67 and with AUC value of 0.591. Performance status (HR = 5.171, 95% CI 1.737 to 15.397), pathologic tumor size (HR = 1.645, 95% CI 1.351 to 2.002), pathologic N status (N1, HR = 1.572, 95% CI 1.010 to 2.446; N2, HR = 3.088, 95% CI 1.845 to 5.166), and post-metabolic tumor volume (HR = 1.506, 95% CI 1.033 to 2.195) were significant predictors of overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Pre-TLG, post-MTV, and % SUVavg decrease are predictive of pCR. Additionally, several clinico-imaging-pathologic factors are significant survival predictors in locally advanced eSCC patients undergoing trimodality therapy.

Post-radiation circulating tumor DNA as a prognostic factor in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is a highly malignant and deadly tumor. Radiation therapy is one of the primary treatments for locally advanced ESCC. However, the biomarkers for prognosis of definitive radiation remain undefined. Peripheral blood circulating tumor (ct)DNA provides information of tumor genetic alterations and has been confirmed as a potential non-invasive biomarker for several types of cancer. The present study investigated the clinical implications of ctDNA detection in patients with ESCC and receiving definitive radiation therapy. Patients with locally advanced ESCC were retrospectively recruited. Plasma samples were collected before, during and following radiation therapy. Next-generation sequencing was performed to identify somatic mutations in 180 genes. A total of 69 baseline and post-radiation plasma samples were collected from 25 patients. A total of 59 non-silent single nucleotide variants were present in 33 genes. All pre-radiation and 58.3% (14/24) of post-radiation samples had at least one mutation. Patients with lymph node metastases (LNM) exhibited a higher number of pre-radiation mutations compared with those without LNM. The variables, progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of the patients with one baseline mutation were not significantly different compared with that in patients with more than one baseline mutation. Patients with initial ctDNA-positive post-radiation samples exhibited significantly reduced PFS (P=0.047) and OS (P=0.005) compared with that in patients with ctDNA-negative samples. The post-radiation plasma ctDNA status was an independent prognostic factor from univariate and multivariate analyses. Dynamic monitoring of ctDNA during follow-up was examined. The results indicated that ctDNA was a predictive and prognostic marker in patients with ESCC and receiving definitive radiation therapy, which may guide subsequent treatment.

Predicting the Response of Neoadjuvant Therapy for Patients with Esophageal Carcinoma: an In-depth Literature Review

Currently, the most promising strategy to improve the prognosis of advanced esophageal cancer is neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) followed by surgery. However, patients who achieved pathological complete response can experience more survival benefit. Therefore, it is critical to identify the responders early in the course of treatment. Published data demonstrate that clinic-histopathological factors, molecular biomarkers, and functional imaging are predictive of neoadjuvant therapy. The existing biomarkers, including epidermal growth factor receptors, angiogenetic factors, transcription factors, tumor suppressor genes, cell cycle regulators, nucleotide excision repair pathway, cytokines, and chemotherapy associated genes, need to be validated and novel biomarkers warrant further exploration. Positron emission tomography (PET) is useful for differentiating the responders of neoadjuvant CRT. The most valuable parameters and the time point of performing PET in the course of treatment remains to be elucidated. Furthermore, predictive models incorporating the multiple categories of factors need to be established with a large, prospective, and homogeneous patient cohort in the future. Standardization of staging, biomarker detection method, and image acquisition protocol will be critical for the generalization of this model. Prospective, multi-center controlled trials, which stratified patients according to these predictive factors, will help guide individualized treatment strategies for patients with esophageal cancer.

A novel multivariate scoring system for determining the prognosis of lymph node-negative esophageal squamous cell carcinoma following surgical therapy: an observational study

BACKGROUND

Identifying patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) with negative prognostic factors, which have an extremely low survival rate, has been problematic.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected clinical data for 648 patients with lymph node-negative ESCC who were treated at the Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center from 1990 to 2005. Survival difference was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

We identified advancing age, smoking history, alcohol consumption history, decreased forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), surgical procedure, tumor location, number of resected lymph nodes, poor tumor differentiation, and surgical stage as independent prognostic risk factors. Furthermore, based on the results of multivariate analysis, we constructed a novel scoring system that included the factors of age, smoking history, alcohol consumption history, number of resected lymph nodes, tumor differentiation, and surgical stage. Risk score (RS) was computed with the scoring system, and patients were divided into Class A (RS: 0-5) and Class B (RS: 6-10). P < 0.001 indicated statistical significance. A significant difference (p < 0.001) demonstrated that Class B was strongly related to a low survival rate and poor prognosis.

CONCLUSION

We developed a new simple flexible scoring system of high prognostic significance, which has the potential to guide postoperative therapeutic strategies and follow-up frequency and to provide better prognostic information for patients and their families.

Preoperative chemoradiation therapy in combination with panitumumab for patients with resectable esophageal cancer: the PACT study

PURPOSE

Preoperative chemoradiation therapy (CRT) has become the standard treatment strategy for patients with resectable esophageal cancer. This multicenter phase 2 study investigated the efficacy of the addition of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) inhibitor panitumumab to a preoperative CRT regimen with carboplatin, paclitaxel, and radiation therapy in patients with resectable esophageal cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patients with resectable cT1N1M0 or cT2-3N0 to -2M0 tumors received preoperative CRT consisting of panitumumab (6 mg/kg) on days 1, 15, and 29, weekly administrations of carboplatin (area under the curve [AUC] = 2), and paclitaxel (50 mg/m(2)) for 5 weeks and concurrent radiation therapy (41.4 Gy in 23 fractions, 5 days per week), followed by surgery. Primary endpoint was pathologic complete response (pCR) rate. We aimed at a pCR rate of more than 40%. Furthermore, we explored the predictive value of biomarkers (EGFR, HER 2, and P53) for pCR.

RESULTS

From January 2010 until December 2011, 90 patients were enrolled. Patients were diagnosed predominantly with adenocarcinoma (AC) (80%), T3 disease (89%), and were node positive (81%). Three patients were not resected due to progressive disease. The primary aim was unmet, with a pCR rate of 22%. Patients with AC and squamous cell carcinoma reached a pCR of 14% and 47%, respectively. R0 resection was achieved in 95% of the patients. Main grade 3 toxicities were rash (12%), fatigue (11%), and nonfebrile neutropenia (11%). None of the biomarkers was predictive for response.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of panitumumab to CRT with carboplatin and paclitaxel was safe and well tolerated but could not improve pCR rate to the preset criterion of 40%.

[Combined modality treatment of oesophageal cancer]

Oesophageal carcinoma reflects a tumor entity which can be optimally treated with multimodal therapy. Early lymphatic spread and late symptoms lead to mostly advanced tumors at primary diagnosis, which means that they can not be cured by surgery alone. On the other hand these tumors show high sensitivity towards chemo- and radiotherapy. Chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery (trimodal therapy) is considered an international standard of care for operable patients. Definitive chemoradiotherapy or the flexible concept of chemoradiotherapy with optional salvage surgery can be curative options for patients with increased operative risk.