Improving survival prognostication of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms: Revised staging criteria

Novel staging for gastric neuroendocrine neoplasms by incorporating the WHO grading into the TNM staging system

BACKGROUND

The 8th tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) can be used to estimate the prognosis of gastric neuroendocrine tumor (gNET) and gastric neuroendocrine carcinoma (gNEC) patients but not gastric neuroendocrine neoplasms (gNENs).

METHODS

First, in the SEER (training) dataset, a TNMG system was built by combining the WHO G grade (G1-4; NEC grouped into G4) with the 8th AJCC T (T1-4), N (N0-1), and M (M0-1) stage, which was then validated in a Chinese (validation) cohort.

RESULTS

In all, 2245 gNENs cases from the training dataset and 280 cases from the validation dataset were eligible. The T stage, M stage, and G grade were independent prognostic factors for OS in both datasets (all p < 0.05). The TNMG staging system demonstrated better C-index for predicting OS than the 8th AJCC TNM staging system in both the training (0.87, 95%CI: 0.86-0.88 vs. 0.79, 95%CI: 0.77-0.81) and validation (0.77, 95%CI: 0.73-0.80 vs. 0.75, 95%CI: 0.71-0.79) datasets. The AUC of the 3-year OS for the TNMG staging system was 0.936 and 0.817 in the SEER and validation dataset, respectively; higher than those of the 8th AJCC system (vs. 0.843 and 0.779, respectively). DCA revealed that compared with the 8th AJCC TNM staging system, the TNMG staging system demonstrated superior net prognostic benefit in both the training and validation datasets.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed TNMG staging system could more accurately predict the 3- and 5-year OS rate of gNENs patients than the 8th AJCC TNM staging system.

A Modified T-stage Classification for Gastric Neuroendocrine Tumors

BACKGROUND

The eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging manual's TNM staging classification for gastric neuroendocrine tumors has been shown to have poor prognostic discriminability. The aim of present study was to propose a modified T-stage classification, and externally validate its performance in a separate population data registry.

METHODS

A modified T-stage classification with tumor size and extent of tumor invasion was generated from the National Cancer Database between 2004 and 2014 (n = 1249). External validation was performed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry between 1973 and 2013 (n = 539).

RESULTS

In the National Cancer Database population, using the AJCC T-stage classification, the 5-y survival rates were 85.7%, 80.8%, 64.5%, and 46.1% in T1, T2, T3, and T4 patients respectively (P < 0.001). These rates were more contrasting with the modified T-stage (mT) classification at 87.0%, 78.2%, 59.0%, and 40.3% respectively (P < 0.001). When patients within each of the AJCC T stages were stratified by mT stages, significant survival heterogeneity was observed within each of the AJCC T2 to T4 stages (P < 0.01). Conversely, when mT stages were stratified by AJCC T stage, no survival difference was observed in any of the mT stages (P > 0.05). The same analyses were performed using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, and all the observed results were validated.

CONCLUSION

The current AJCC T stage classification categorizes patients into groups with heterogenous prognosis, thus failing to serve as an effective staging tool. A modified T-stage classification demonstrated significantly improved stratification for patients with gastric neuroendocrine tumors.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting the overall survival of patients with gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms

Gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (GEP-NENs) are increasing in incidence. Clinicians urgently need a method that can effectively predict the prognosis of GEP-NENs.A total of 14770 GEP-NENs patients with pathologically confirmed between 1975 and 2016 were obtained from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database. All the patients were divided into primary (n = 10377) and validation (n = 4393) cohorts based on the principle of random grouping. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictors associated with overall survival, and a nomogram was constructed based on the primary cohort. An independent external validation cohort and comparison with the eighth edition American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system were subsequently used to assess the predictive performance of the nomogram.The multivariate Cox model indicated that age, tumour differentiation, and distant metastases were independent predictors associated with overall survival. With respect to the primary cohort, the nomogram exhibited better discriminatory power than the TNM classification (C-index: 0.821 vs 0.738). Discrimination was also superior to that of TNM classification for the validation cohort (C-index: 0.823 vs 0.738). The calibrated nomogram predicted 3- and 5-years survival rate that closely corresponded to the actual survival rate.This study developed and validated a prognostic nomogram applied to patients with GEP-NENs, which may help clinicians make reasonable prognostic judgments and treatment plans to a certain extent.

Modified staging system for gastric neuroendocrine carcinoma based on American Joint Committee on Cancer and European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society systems

BACKGROUND

The prognostic values of the AJCC staging system for gastric cancer (GC-AJCC), the AJCC staging system for gastric neuroendocrine tumours (NET-AJCC) and the European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society (ENETS) system for gastric neuroendocrine carcinoma and mixed adenoneuroendocrine carcinoma (MA)NEC remain controversial.

METHODS

Data on patients with (MA)NEC from 21 centres in China were analysed. Different staging systems were evaluated by performing Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and calculating the concordance index (C-index) and Akaike information criterion (AIC). Based on three existing systems, a modified staging system (mTNM) was developed.

RESULTS

A total of 871 patients were included. In the GC-AJCC system, an overlap was noticed for pT2 and pT3 categories. Patients with stage IIIC disease had a similar prognosis to those with stage IV disease. The pT categories of the NET-AJCC system had a lower C-index and higher AIC than those of the other systems. In the ENETS system, there was a low proportion (0·2 per cent) of patients with stage IIIA and a high proportion (67·6 per cent) of stage IIIB disease. The mTNM system adopted the NET-AJCC pT and GC-AJCC pN and pM definitions, and was developed based on the ENETS stage definitions. The proportion of patients in each stage was better distributed and the mTNM system showed improved prognostic performance in predicting overall and disease-free survival.

CONCLUSION

The mTNM system offers more accurate prognostic value for gastric (MA)NEC than the AJCC or ENETS staging systems.

Prognostic significance for colorectal carcinoid tumors based on the 8th edition TNM staging system

The aim of our study was to explore the value of the 8th edition TNM staging system on evaluating the prognosis of colorectal carcinoid. Colorectal carcinoid patients between 1988 and 2015 were selected in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database for analysis. About 4286 patients with colorectal carcinoid tumors were identified, of which were carcinoid tumor NOS (n = 1726), neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC) (n = 1346) and other carcinoid tumor (OCT) (n = 591). Worsening 10-year CSS rates with increasing N status, M status, and SEER historic stage were demonstrated across all three above groups (all P < .05). In carcinoid tumor NOS, significant differences in CSS were found with increasing combined 8th AJCC stages (P < .001), except for that between stage II and stage III (10-year CSS rate: 82.6% vs 84.3%, P = .68). While combined 8th TNM stage in NEC and OTC exhibited greater separations in CSS despite on-going overlaps between groups. For carcinoid tumor NOS, stage II (HR = 3.37; 95% CI: 0.97-11.76), and stage III (HR = 2.09; 95% CI: 0.51-8.66) conferred no significant difference in CSS compared with stage I, while stage IV had an increasing HR of 5.09 (95% CI: 1.08-24.08). Although combined 8th AJCC stage had a good ability to distinguish 10-year CSS of patients with NEC or OCT, detailed 8th AJCC stage did not seem to be applicable. Detailed 8th AJCC categories of advanced stages in all the three groups conferred increased HRs with overlapping CIs. However, in the early and middle status, HRs did not increase with the increase of stages, or there was no difference in HRs between adjacent stages. Combined 8th TNM stage was not practical for judging the survival outcomes of colorectal carcinoid tumor NOS, especially in patients with stages II and III, but it provided useful prognostic information for NEC and OCT. However, for all carcinoid tumors, the prognostic values of detailed 8th AJCC stage were not enough accurate in the clinic. More optimized staging methods should be developed and validated in the future.

Prognostic value of pretreatment contrast-enhanced computed tomography in esophageal neuroendocrine carcinoma: A multi-center follow-up study

BACKGROUND

The rare incidence of esophageal neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC) and limited treatment experience result in insufficient clinical observations and unsuitable guidelines for its management.

AIM

To investigate the prognostic value of pretreatment contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) characteristics in patients with esophageal NEC.

METHODS

Seventy-seven esophageal NEC patients who received contrast-enhanced CT at two hospitals were enrolled in this study from June 2014 to December 2019. The clinical features and image characteristics were recorded accordingly. Univariate survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, and multivariate analysis was carried out with a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The multivariate analysis performed using the Cox proportional hazards model showed that N stage, adjuvant chemotherapy, and degree of enhancement were independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). Meanwhile, adjuvant chemotherapy was an independent prognostic factor for progression-free survival (PFS). The hazard ratios (HRs) of N stage, adjuvant chemotherapy, and degree of enhancement (mild vs moderate/marked) for OS were 0.426 (P = 0.024), 3.862 (P = 0.006), and 2.169/0.809 (P = 0.037), respectively. The HR of adjuvant chemotherapy for PFS was 6.432 (P < 0.001). Adjuvant chemotherapy was significantly associated with degree of enhancement (P = 0.018).

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant chemotherapy is an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS. Additionally, N stage and degree of enhancement are prognostic factors for OS in patients with esophageal NEC.

Validation and proposed modification of the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for patients with esophageal neuroendocrine neoplasms: Evaluation of a revised lymph node classification

There is currently no universally accepted staging system for esophageal neuroendocrine neoplasms (ENENs). In the present study, patients with ENENs, identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry (SEER) (n=191 patients) and the multicentric series (n=51 patients), were stratified to assess the validity of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging systems, particularly for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and esophageal adenocarcinoma. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess disease-specific survival (DSS), according to the Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) status, and the Cox model was applied to evaluate differences in prognosis after adjustment for potential confounders. For the 8th AJCC staging classifications, only the pathological stage groups (pTNM) conferred increased hazard ratios from stage I to stage IV, with overlaps between adjacent stages. According to the current findings, the regional lymph nodes involvement status other than the current N classification was a significant predictor of DSS. Consequently, a revised N(Nr) classification was proposed and therefore a new TNrM staging system was adopted, for which progressively poorer DSS associated with increasing stage was observed. Moreover, the concordance index with the modified staging system was slightly higher in patients with ENENs from the SEER registry compared with that of the 8th pTNM system. In conclusion, lymph node status, rather than the number of positive lymph nodes, was a marker of poorer DSS and the modified staging system provided an easier and more accurate staging tool. The present results indicate that revisions to the current staging classifications may be improve the assessment of patient prognosis.

Lymphovascular Invasion Is Associated with Lymph Node Involvement in Small Appendiceal Neuroendocrine Tumors

BACKGROUND

Appendiceal neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) are incidentally found in up to 1% of appendectomy specimens. The association of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) with risk of regional lymph node involvement is unclear.

METHODS

From the National Cancer Database, 2004-2015, this study identified patients who had tumors 2 cm or smaller with one or more lymph nodes (LNs) pathologically evaluated. The histology was defined as typical, goblet cell, or composite NETs. Patient demographics, tumor characteristics, and treatment variables were analyzed.

RESULTS

The histologies for the 1767 identified patients were typical (n = 921, 52.1%), goblet cell (n = 556, 31.5%), and composite (n = 290, 16.4%). The tumor grades were low (70.4%), moderate (18.6%), and high (11%). The overall LN positivity was 17%. Of 1052 tumors evaluated, 215 (20.4%) had LVI. Overall survival decreased with node involvement (mean 84 vs. 124 months; p < 0.0001, log-rank). In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, LVI was independently associated with node involvement [odds ratio (OR) 5.0; p < 0.0001] after adjustment for patient age and tumor histologic subtype, size, and grade. In the subset analysis of typical NETs, tumor size of 1-2 cm (ref. < 1 cm; OR 5.5; p < 0.001) and presence of LVI (ref. absence of LVI; OR 4.8; p < 0.0001) were the only factors independently associated with LN involvement.

CONCLUSIONS

Node involvement is associated with worse overall survival in appendiceal NETs. The presence of LVI was strongly associated with lymph node involvement. An appendectomy specimen showing LVI should prompt strong consideration of colectomy with regional lymphadenectomy even for small, typical appendiceal NETs.

Pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours: Grade is superior to T, N, or M status in predicting outcome and selecting patients for chemotherapy:A retrospective cohort study in the SEER database

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (pNETs) are a rare and heterogeneous group of tumours with an increasing incidence. Current staging criteria for pNETs remain limited and controversial. Meanwhile, the impact of chemotherapy on overall survival has not been fully defined.

OBJECTIVES

The current study aimed to explore epidemiologic trends of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (pNETs). To determine feasible improvements to staging criteria and investigate the relationship between chemotherapy and survival.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study design was used to analyse annual cancer incidence rates, patient demographics, tumour site and stage, and treatment of pNETs. Data were obtained from the National Cancer Institute's SEER registry for all patients diagnosed with pNETs between January 1973 and December 2015.

RESULTS

Patients diagnosed after 2010 were more likely to present with age greater than 45 years, T0, T1 status, N0 status, M0 status, and well differentiation. Current AJCC staging criteria was applicable to patients with well differentiation, but not other differentiation. The revised system, defined by Grade, T, N, and M status, could robustly discriminate between survival curves. Chemotherapy was associated with significantly improved survival for patients with poorly differentiated and undifferentiated tumour grading.

CONCLUSIONS

Grade is superior to 'T', 'N', or 'M' status in predicting outcomes and selecting patients for chemotherapy. It is necessary and feasible to combine grade into current staging criteria.

Modified AJCC staging of gastric neuroendocrine carcinoma based on T staging can improve the capacity of prognosis assessment

BACKGROUND OR PURPOSE

This study was designed to determine the value of AJCC staging 7th edition and improved AJCC staging in assessing the prognosis of gastric neuroendocrine carcinoma (GNEC).

METHODS

In total, GNEC 475 patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 129 GNEC patients in our department undergoing resection were included. The former served as the test group, and the latter served as the validation group. Those with stage IIIb disease were allocated into four subgroups, and improved AJCC staging was established. The AIC and C indices were used to evaluate the capacities of different TNM staging.

RESULTS

Significant overlap between stages IIIb and IIIa in both the test and validation groups was found. In the test group, T staging and age at disease diagnosis were independent prognostic factors for patients with stage IIIb. Stage IIIb was divided into T1N1, T2N1, T3N1 and T4N1, and the improved AJCC staging-mTNM staging was created. In mTNM staging, the IIIb survival curve did not cross those of stages IIIa and IIb, which had a smaller AIC (2490 vs. 2507) value and larger C index (0.7624 vs. 0.7450, P = 0.228). Similar results were obtained for the validation group.

CONCLUSION

T stage was an independent factor influencing the prognosis of stage IIIb GNEC patients, and the improved AJCC staging proposed here has good prognostic value.

Nomogram predicting the risk of recurrence after curative-intent resection of primary non-metastatic gastrointestinal neuroendocrine tumors: An analysis of the U.S. Neuroendocrine Tumor Study Group

BACKGROUND

The risk of recurrence after resection of non-metastatic gastro-entero-pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NET) is poorly defined. We developed/validated a nomogram to predict risk of recurrence after curative-intent resection.

METHODS

A training set to develop the nomogram and test set for validation were identified. The predictive ability of the nomogram was assessed using c-indices.

RESULTS

Among 1477 patients, 673 (46%) were included in the training set and 804 (54%) in y the test set. On multivariable analysis, Ki-67, tumor size, nodal status, and invasion of adjacent organs were independent predictors of DFS. The risk of death increased by 8% for each percentage increase in the Ki-67 index (HR 1.08, 95% CI, 1.05-1.10; P < 0.001). GEP-NET invading adjacent organs had a HR of 1.65 (95% CI, 1.03-2.65; P = 0.038), similar to tumors ≥3 cm (HR 1.67, 95% CI, 1.11-2.51; P = 0.014). Patients with 1-3 positive nodes and patients with >3 positive nodes had a HR of 1.81 (95% CI, 1.12-2.87; P = 0.014) and 2.51 (95% CI, 1.50-4.24; P < 0.001), respectively. The nomogram demonstrated good ability to predict risk of recurrence (c-index: training set, 0.739; test set, 0.718).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram was able to predict the risk of recurrence and can be easily applied in the clinical setting.