Primary biliary cirrhosis in Southern Israel: a 20 year follow up study

Risk Stratification in Primary Biliary Cholangitis

Primary Biliary Cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic cholestatic liver disease with a heterogeneous presentation, symptomatology, disease progression, and response to therapy. The current risk stratification assessment, aimed at identifying patients with a higher risk of disease progression, encompasses an in-depth analysis of demographic data, clinical and laboratory findings, antibody profiles, and the evaluation of liver fibrosis using both invasive and noninvasive techniques. Treatment response scores after one year of therapy remain to date a major factor influencing the prognosis of PBC patients. While the initial therapeutic approach with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is universally applied, new second-line treatment options have recently emerged, with many others under investigation. Consequently, the prevailing one-size-fits-all approach is poised to be supplanted by tailored strategies, ensuring high-risk patients receive the most appropriate treatment regimen from diagnosis. This will require the development of a risk prediction model to assess, at the time of diagnosis, the course, outcome, and response to first and additional treatments of PBC patients. This manuscript provides a comprehensive overview of the current and emerging tools used for risk stratification in PBC and speculates on how these developments might shape the disease landscape in the near future.

Gender and Autoimmune Liver Diseases: Relevant Aspects in Clinical Practice

Autoimmune liver diseases (AILDs) include autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cholangitis and primary sclerosing cholangitis. The etiologies of AILD are not well understood but appear to involve a combination of genetic and environmental factors. AILDs commonly affect young individuals and are characterized by a highly variable clinical course. These diseases significantly influence quality of life and can progress toward liver decompensation or the onset of hepatocellular or cholangiocarcinoma; a significant number of patients eventually progress to end-stage liver disease, requiring liver transplantation. In this review, we focus on the sex characteristics and peculiarities of AILD patients and highlight the relevance of a sex-specific analysis in future studies. Understanding the sex differences underlying AILD immune dysregulation may be critical for developing more effective treatments.

The Causal Effects of Primary Biliary Cholangitis on Thyroid Dysfunction: A Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization Study

Background: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is an autoimmune disease and is often accompanied by thyroid dysfunction. Understanding the potential causal relationship between PBC and thyroid dysfunction is helpful to explore the pathogenesis of PBC and to develop strategies for the prevention and treatment of PBC and its complications.

Methods: We used a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) method to estimate the potential causal effect of PBC on the risk of autoimmune thyroid disease (AITD), thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and free thyroxine (FT4), hyperthyroidism, hypothyroidism, and thyroid cancer (TC) in the European population. We collected seven datasets of PBC and related traits to perform a series MR analysis and performed extensive sensitivity analyses to ensure the reliability of our results.

Results: Using a sensitivity analysis, we found that PBC was a risk factor for AITD, TSH, hypothyroidism, and TC with odds ratio (OR) of 1.002 (95% CI: 1.000–1.005, p = 0.042), 1.016 (95% CI: 1.006–1.027, p = 0.002), 1.068 (95% CI: 1.022–1.115, p = 0.003), and 1.106 (95% CI: 1.019–1.120, p = 0.042), respectively. Interestingly, using reverse-direction MR analysis, we also found that AITD had a significant potential causal association with PBC with an OR of 0.021 (p = 5.10E−4) and that the other two had no significant causal relation on PBC.

Conclusion: PBC causes thyroid dysfunction, specifically as AITD, mild hypothyroidism, and TC. The potential causal relationship between PBC and thyroid dysfunction provides a new direction for the etiology of PBC.

Real-World Management of Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis-A Retrospective Study from a Tertiary Medical Center in Israel

Background: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a rare autoimmune liver disease with variation in prevalence, phenotype and prognosis across different geographical regions. Little is known about PBC in Israel. Our aim was to characterize the demography, clinical presentation, treatment patterns and prognosis in a cohort of PBC patients followed in a referral center in central Israel. Methods: Clinical, demographic and laboratory data were collected from the medical records of PBC patients followed at Tel Aviv Medical Center in the years 2003–2020. Results: We have identified 189 patients with a confirmed diagnosis of PBC; 92.6% were female and the mean age at diagnosis was 54.7 years. Thirty-nine percent were diagnosed with another autoimmune disease and 5.9% were diagnosed with a PBC-AIH (autoimmune hepatitis) variant syndrome. Ninety-six percent were treated with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) at a mean dose of 13.3 mg/kg. A total of 28.1% were found with inadequate response to UDCA according to the Toronto criteria, and 53% of the UDCA non-responders were treated with bezafibrate. Younger age at diagnosis, higher baseline levels of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), AIH-PBC variant and positive anti-smooth muscle antibodies (ASMA) were associated with an inadequate UDCA response. In a multivariable analysis, higher ALP at diagnosis (OR = 1.92 CI 1.11–3.20 per 50-unit change, p = 0.018) and ASMA (OR = 27.6 CI 2.58–295, p = 0.006) independently predicted inadequate UDCA response. Higher alanine transaminase (ALT), ALP and GGT, lower albumin, younger age at diagnosis and pruritus conferred an increased risk for disease progression. Conclusions: Disease characteristics, treatment patterns, response to therapy and prognosis of a PBC patient cohort in a tertiary center in central Israel were revealed. The results highlight the importance of risk stratification in PBC, specifically in younger patients, those presenting with a high level of liver enzymes and in ASMA-positive patients with an assumed diagnosis of the AIH-PBC variant.

External Validation of UDCA Response Score in Slovak and Croatian Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Ursodeoxycholic acid response score (URS) is a prognostic model that estimates the baseline probability of treatment response after 12 months of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) therapy in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC).

AIM

To independently evaluate the predictive performance of the URS model.

METHODS

We used a cohort of Slovak and Croatian treatment-naïve PBC patients to quantify the discrimination ability using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and its 95% confidence interval (CI). Furthermore, we evaluated the calibration using calibration belts. The primary outcome was treatment response after 12 months of UDCA therapy defined as values of alkaline phosphatase ≤1.67 × upper limit of normal.

RESULTS

One hundred and ninety-four patients were included. Median pretreatment age was 56 years (interquartile range 49-62). Treatment response was achieved in 79.38% of patients. AUROC of the URS was 0.81 (95% CI 0.73-0.88) and the calibration belt revealed that response rates were correctly estimated by predicted probabilities.

CONCLUSION

Our results confirm that the URS can be used in treatment-naïve PBC patients for estimating the treatment response probability after 12 months of UDCA therapy.

Regional variation and temporal trend of primary biliary cholangitis epidemiology: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

We aimed to estimate the worldwide incidence and prevalence, with focus on the geographical differences and temporal trends.

METHODS

Studies on epidemiology of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were systematically retrieved from inception to October 2, 2020. Random-effect model was applied to estimate the pooled PBC incidence and prevalence rates. Subgroup analysis, meta-regression, and sensitivity analysis were conducted to find out the cause for heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Out of 3974 records identified through database searching, 47 population-based studies were finally included. The pooled global incidence and prevalence of PBC were 1.76 and 14.60 per 100 000 persons, respectively. Both the PBC incidence and prevalence were lower in the Asia-Pacific region (0.84, 9.82 per 100 000 persons) than that in North America (2.75, 21.81 per 100 000 persons) and Europe (1.86, 14.59 per 100 000 persons) (P < 0.05). The incidence and prevalence showed an increasing tendency in all three regions, with the fastest growth of prevalence in North America (P < 0.05). We found a similar incidence and a lower prevalence of PBC in Northern Europe than that in Southern Europe. A higher incidence and prevalence were observed in female individuals and in the elderly (60-79).

CONCLUSION

The PBC incidence and prevalence varied widely across regions, with North America being the highest, followed by Europe, and the lowest in the Asia-Pacific region. Both the incidence and prevalence showed an increasing tendency worldwide, especially in North America.

Prognostic Factors in Primary Biliary Cholangitis: A Retrospective Study of Joint Slovak and Croatian Cohort of 249 Patients

OBJECTIVE

To identify pretreatment laboratory parameters associated with treatment response and to describe the relationship between treatment response and liver decompensation in patients with primary biliary cholangitis treated with ursodeoxycholic acid.

METHODS

We defined treatment response as both ALP ≤ 1.67 × ULN and total bilirubin ≤ 2 × ULN. Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to adjust for confounding effects of sociodemographic variables.

RESULTS

Pretreatment total bilirubin ((TB); OR = 0.3388, 95%CI = 0.1671-0.6077), ALT (OR = 0.5306, 95%CI = 0.3830-0.7080), AST (OR = 0.4065, 95%CI = 0.2690-0.5834), ALP (OR = 0.3440, 95%CI = 0.2356-0.4723), total cholesterol ((TC); OR = 0.7730, 95%CI = 0.6242-0.9271), APRI (OR = 0.3375, 95%CI = 0.1833-0.5774), as well as pretreatment albumin (OR = 1.1612, 95%CI = 1.0706-1.2688) and ALT/ALP (OR = 2.4596, 95%CI = 1.2095-5.5472) were associated with treatment response after six months of treatment. Pretreatment TB (OR = 0.2777, 95%CI = 0.1288-0.5228), ALT (OR = 0.5968, 95%CI = 0.4354-0.7963), AST (OR = 0.4161, 95%CI = 0.2736-0.6076), ALP (OR = 0.4676, 95%CI = 0.3487-0.6048), APRI (OR = 0.2838, 95%CI = 0.1433-0.5141), as well as pretreatment albumin (OR = 1.2359, 95%CI = 1.1257-1.3714) and platelet count (OR = 1.0056, 95%CI = 1.0011-1.0103) were associated with treatment response after 12 months of treatment. Treatment response after 6 months of UDCA therapy is significantly associated with treatment response after 12 months of UDCA therapy (OR = 25.2976, 95% CI = 10.5881-68.4917). Treatment responses after 6 and 12 months of UDCA therapy decrease the risk of an episode of liver decompensation in PBC patients (OR = 12.1156, 95%CI = 3.7192-54.4826 and OR = 21.6000, 95%CI = 6.6319-97.3840, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

There are several pretreatment laboratory parameters associated with treatment response in patients with primary biliary cholangitis. Treatment response after six months is significantly associated with treatment response after 12 months of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) therapy. Treatment responses after 6 and 12 months of UDCA decrease the risk of an episode of liver decompensation.

A nomogram based on pretreatment clinical parameters for the prediction of inadequate biochemical response in primary biliary cholangitis

Background

Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) has been widely recommended as the first‐line drug for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) in the current guidelines. However, its therapeutic effects are poor in nearly one‐third of patients. The early identification and intervention of these patients is crucial for delaying disease progression. Therefore, we explored risk factors for inadequate biochemical response and constructed a nomogram to predict the potential risk.

Methods

We enrolled 356 patients and randomly divided them into training (70%) and validation groups (30%). We defined inadequate biochemical response as the study endpoint. Logistic analysis was used to identify the independent predictors of poor biochemical response. Based on these factors, a predictive nomogram was finally constructed. Then, discrimination and calibration were evaluated by internal validation. Additionally, the association between the model predictions and prognosis was further analyzed.

Results

Female sex, and albumin and bilirubin concentrations were identified as risk factors, and a nomogram was built based on these factors. The areas under the ROC curves of the training and validation groups were 0.809 and 0.791, respectively. Moreover, calibration curves showed that predictions of the nomogram had good concordance with the actual outcomes. The correlation analysis demonstrated that PBC patients with a high probability of a suboptimal biochemical response were more likely to have adverse outcomes.

Conclusion

We constructed a nomogram, which can accurately predict the risk of inadequate biochemical response to UDCA, facilitating the early screening of high‐risk patients with PBC who should be prioritized for additional therapy.

Influence factors and a predictive scoring model for measuring the biochemical response of primary biliary cholangitis to ursodeoxycholic acid treatment

AIMS

The biochemical response after ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) treatment contributes toward predicting the prognosis for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) patients. This study aimed to establish a score model that can be used for predicting the biochemical response.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 218 patients in the derivation group and 66 patients in the verification group were enrolled. Response endpoints were based on the Barcelona criteria combined with the Paris I criteria. We determined independent factors of the biochemical response by univariate and multivariate analyses. Then, we established a predictive score model on the basis of regression coefficients after adjusted multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration in the derivation and the verification group was 12.9 and 12.2 months, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis after adjusting for sex and age indicated that First-UDCA treatment [odds ratio (OR)=2.543, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.234-5.240, P=0.011], baseline alanine aminotransferase level (OR=1.265, 95% CI: 1.089-1.471, P=0.002), and baseline total bilirubin level (OR=0.571, 95% CI: 0.420-0.776, P<0.001) were independent factors that influenced the biochemical response in PBC patients after 1 year of UDCA treatment. Therefore, the resulting biochemical response prediction score model represented the sum of the points corresponding to these three variables. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the score model in the derivation group and the verification group was 0.763 (95% CI: 0.701-0.817, P<0.001) and 0.798 (95% CI: 0.681-0.887, P<0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed and verified an easy-to-use scoring model for the first time, which showed excellent predictive value for the biochemical response in PBC patients.

Geoepidemiology of Primary Biliary Cholangitis: Lessons from Switzerland

No data on primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) are available in Switzerland. We established a national patient cohort to obtain information on PBC phenotypes and disease course in Switzerland. Local databases in all university hospitals and in two large secondary centers were searched for case finding. In addition, all primary care physicians, gastroenterologists, rheumatologists, and dermatologists were invited to contribute patients from their own medical records. PBC diagnosis was centrally reviewed. Five hundred one PBC patients were identified, 474 were included in data analysis, and 449 of them were enrolled by tertiary centers. The catchment area accounts for approximately one third of the Swiss population or approximately 2.8 million inhabitants. The median age at diagnosis was 53 years, 84% were women, and 86% were anti-mitochondrial antibody positive. The median follow-up was 5.4 years, 12.6% experienced a liver-related endpoint. Splenomegaly was present at diagnosis in one quarter of patients and in half of male patients. Approximately one third were non-responders to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). The median transplant-free survival at 10 years was 85%. The following variables were independently associated with poor outcome: low platelet count at baseline (HR = 0.99, p < 0.0001), elevated alkaline phosphatase at baseline (HR = 1.36, p < 0.0001), elevated bilirubin at baseline (HR = 1.11, p = 0.001), and elevated alanine aminotransaminase (HR = 1.35, p = 0.04) after 12 months of UDCA therapy. The AUROC for the UK-PBC risk score at 5, 10, and 15 years was 0.82. The AUROC for the Globe score at 5, 10, and 15 years was 0.77. Patients included in this study are currently being enrolled in a prospective nationwide registry with biobank, taking advantage of the collaboration network generated by this study. Our study provides the first snapshot of PBC in Switzerland, describing a diagnostic delay with one quarter of patients diagnosed when already in the cirrhotic stage. We were also able to externally validate the UK-PBC risk score and the Globe score. The ongoing nationwide prospective registry will be fundamental to improve disease awareness and interdisciplinary collaborations and will serve as a platform for clinical and translational research.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

clinicaltrials.gov : NCT02846896; SNCTP000001870.

The Genetics and Epigenetics of Primary Biliary Cholangitis

Both genetic background and environmental factors contribute to primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). Recent innovative technologies, such as genome-wide association studies, identified a remarkable number of susceptible nonhuman leukocyte antigen genes contributing to the development of PBC; however, they are primarily indicators of active immunologic responses commonly involved in autoimmune reactions. Thus, recent studies have focused on epigenetic mechanisms that would link genetic predisposition and environmental triggering factors. In PBC, methylation profiling and altered X chromosome architecture have been intensively explored in conjunction with a striking female predominance. Further, microRNAs have been found to be associated with the etiology of PBC.

National incidence of autoimmune liver diseases and its relationship with the human development index

Objective

Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC), primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC), autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) and immunoglobulin G4 related cholangitis represent the major autoimmune liver diseases (AILD). However, the relationship between AILD incidence and socioeconomic development levels is yet to be explored.

Results

A total of 43 studies were included. There was a positive but not significant correlation between the PBC incidence and HDI on a global level (r=0.348, P=0.082). However, in Europe, a significantly positive correlation existed between the PBC incidence and HDI (r=0.455, P=0.044). No statistical correlation between PSC incidence and HDI was observed (r=0.116, P=0.706). The incidence of AIH revealed a positive correlation with the national HDI both globally (r=0.638, P=0.014) and in Europe (r=0.644, P=0.045). Moreover, the PBC incidence demonstrated a positive correlation with the health index (r=0.422, P=0.036), but a negative correlation with the education index (r= −0.650, P<0.01). Moreover, the income index presented a positive correlation with both the PSC incidence (r=0.599, P=0.031) and the AIH incidence (r=0.649, P=0.012).

Methods

PubMed was searched to identify relevant epidemiological studies on AILD. The human development index (HDI) was applied as an indicator for socioeconomic development. HDI data were obtained and calculated based on the 2014 Human Development Report. Pearson coefficient and linear regression analysis were conducted to estimate the correlation between incidence and HDI.

Conclusions

There is positive association between the national incidence of AILD and the socioeconomic status, as measured by HDI. In less-developed countries, the incidence of AILD, especially PBC and AIH, might be less common.

Incidence of Primary Biliary Cholangitis in a Rural Midwestern Population

BACKGROUND

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a rare disease with incidence that varies with time and geography. Only two studies have assessed PBC incidence in the United States, with the most recent appearing over a decade ago. The objective of the present study was to assess PBC incidence in the United States in a more recent era.

METHODS

The incidence of PBC was assessed in a population-based cohort in rural, Midwestern Wisconsin over two decades spanning from June 1992 through June 2011. Cases were initially identified in the electronic medical record and then manually verified for inclusion according to the American Association for the Study of Liver Disease criteria for PBC. Additional data were abstracted for verified cases.

RESULTS

A total of 79 cases of PBC were identified over the 20-year period for an overall age- and sex-standardized incidence of 4.9 cases per 100,000 person-years. Incidence was higher in females, but changes over time were not significant. After a mean 7.3 years follow-up, all-cause mortality of those with PBC was 29%, and estimated 10-year survival was 76%.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall incidence of PBC in a Midwestern population of the United States has remained relatively stable over the last two decades. Patients have better prognosis, and the survival of PBC cases has improved.

Geoepidemiology and changing mortality in primary biliary cholangitis

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), formerly called primary biliary cirrhosis, is a chronic cholestatic disease characterized by an autoimmune-mediated destruction of small and medium-sized intrahepatic bile ducts. Originally PBC was considered to be rare and almost invariably fatal, mainly because the diagnosis was made in patients presenting with advanced symptomatic disease (jaundice and decompensated cirrhosis). However, the development of a reproducible indirect immunofluorescence assay for antimitochondrial antibody made it possible to diagnose the disease at an earlier stage, and introduction of ursodeoxycholic acid therapy as the first-line therapy for PBC drastically changed PBC-related mortality. At present, patients with an early histological stage have survival rates similar to those of an age- and sex-matched control population. Although 30% of patients treated with ursodeoxycholic acid may exhibit incomplete responses, obeticholic acid and drugs currently in development are expected to be effective for these patients and improve outcomes. Meanwhile, more etiology and immunopathology studies using new technologies and novel animal models are needed to dissect variances of clinical course, treatment response, and outcome in each patient with PBC. Precision medicine that is individualized for each patient on the basis of the cause identified is eagerly awaited.

A meta-analysis of ursodeoxycholic acid therapy versus combination therapy with corticosteroids for PBC-AIH-overlap syndrome: evidence from 97 monotherapy and 117 combinations

In this study, a meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials that compared ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) monotherapy with therapies combining UDCA and corticosteroids was performed. We found that combination therapy with UDCA and corticosteroids was more effective than UDCA monotherapy for primary biliary cirrhosis-autoimmune hepatitis-overlap syndrome.

Combination therapy of ursodeoxycholic acid and budesonide for PBC-AIH overlap syndrome: a meta-analysis

In this study, a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials comparing ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) monotherapy with combination therapies utilizing UDCA and budesonide was performed. We found that combination therapy with UDCA and budesonide was more effective than UDCA monotherapy for primary biliary cirrhosis–autoimmune hepatitis overlap syndrome. Moreover, compared to prednisone, budesonide has fewer side effects.