A deep survival interpretable radiomics model of hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Development of machine learning-based personalized predictive models for risk evaluation of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis patients with low levels of serum alpha-fetoprotein

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

The increasing incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China is an urgent issue, necessitating early diagnosis and treatment. This study aimed to develop personalized predictive models by combining machine learning (ML) technology with a demographic, medical history, and noninvasive biomarker data. These models can enhance the decision-making capabilities of physicians for HCC in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis patients with low serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 6,980 patients treated between January 2012 and December 2018 were included. Pre-treatment laboratory tests and clinical data were obtained. The significant risk factors for HCC were identified, and the relative risk of each variable affecting its diagnosis was calculated using ML and univariate regression analysis. The data set was then randomly partitioned into validation (20 %) and training sets (80 %) to develop the ML models.

RESULTS

Twelve independent risk factors for HCC were identified using Gaussian naïve Bayes, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operation regression models. Multivariate analysis revealed that male sex, age >60 years, alkaline phosphate >150 U/L, AFP >25 ng/mL, carcinoembryonic antigen >5 ng/mL, and fibrinogen >4 g/L were the risk factors, whereas hypertension, calcium <2.25 mmol/L, potassium ≤3.5 mmol/L, direct bilirubin >6.8 μmol/L, hemoglobin <110 g/L, and glutamic-pyruvic transaminase >40 U/L were the protective factors in HCC patients. Based on these factors, a nomogram was constructed, showing an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.746 (sensitivity = 0.710, specificity=0.646), which was significantly higher than AFP AUC of 0.658 (sensitivity = 0.462, specificity=0.766). Compared with several ML algorithms, the XGBoost model had an AUC of 0.832 (sensitivity = 0.745, specificity=0.766) and an independent validation AUC of 0.829 (sensitivity = 0.766, specificity = 0.737), making it the top-performing model in both sets. The external validation results have proven the accuracy of the XGBoost model.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed XGBoost demonstrated a promising ability for individualized prediction of HCC in HBV-related cirrhosis patients with low-level AFP.

Single-cell and bulk transcriptomic datasets enable the development of prognostic models based on dynamic changes in the tumor immune microenvironment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and portal vein tumor thrombus

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients exhibiting portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) face a high risk of rapid malignant progression and poor outcomes, with this issue being compounded by a lack of effective treatment options. The integration of bulk RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq) and single-cell RNA-seq (scRNA-seq) datasets focused on samples from HCC patients with PVTT has the potential to yield unprecedented insight into the dynamic changes in the tumor microenvironment (TME) and associated immunological characteristics in these patients, providing an invaluable tool for the reliable prediction of disease progression and treatment responses.

Methods

scRNA-seq data from both primary tumor (PT) and PVTT cells were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database, while the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) and Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) databases were used to access bulk RNA-seq datasets. scRNA-seq, clustering, GSVA enrichment, mutational profiling, and predictive immunotherapeutic treatment analyses were conducted using these data with the goal of systematically assessing the heterogeneity of PT and PVTT cells and establishing a model capable of predicting immunotherapeutic and prognostic outcomes in patients with HCC.

Results

These analyses revealed that PVTT cells exhibited patterns of tumor proliferation, stromal activation, and low levels of immune cell infiltration, presenting with immune desert and immune rejection-like phenotypes. PT cells, in contrast, were found to exhibit a pattern of immunoinflammatory activity. Core PVTT-associated genes were clustered into three patterns consistent with the tumor immune rejection and immune desert phenotypes. An established clustering model was capable of predicting tumor inflammatory stage, subtype, TME stromal activity, and patient outcomes. PVTT signature genes were further used to establish a risk model, with the risk scores derived from this model providing a tool to evaluate patient clinicopathological features including clinical stage, tumor differentiation, histological subtype, microsatellite instability status, and tumor mutational burden. These risk scores were also able to serve as an independent predictor of patient survival outcomes, responses to adjuvant chemotherapy, and responses to immunotherapy. In vitro experiments were used to partially validate the biological prediction results.

Conclusion

These results offer new insight into the biological and immunological landscape of PVTT in HCC patients, By utilizing individual patient risk scores, providing an opportunity to guide more effective immunotherapeutic interventional efforts.

Deep Learning-Based Prediction of Post-treatment Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Using Pre-treatment CT Images and Clinical Data

The objective of this study was to develop and evaluate a model for predicting post-treatment survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients using their CT images and clinical information, including various treatment information. We collected pre-treatment contrast-enhanced CT images and clinical information including patient-related factors, initial treatment options, and survival status from 692 patients. The patient cohort was divided into a training cohort (n = 507), a testing cohort (n = 146), and an external CT cohort (n = 39), which included patients who underwent CT scans at other institutions. After model training using fivefold cross-validation, model validation was performed on both the testing cohort and the external CT cohort. Our cascaded model employed a 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) to extract features from CT images and derive final survival probabilities. These probabilities were obtained by concatenating previously predicted probabilities for each interval with the patient-related factors and treatment options. We utilized two consecutive fully connected layers for this process, resulting in a number of final outputs corresponding to the number of time intervals, with values representing conditional survival probabilities for each interval. Performance was assessed using the concordance index (C-index), the mean cumulative/dynamic area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (mC/D AUC), and the mean Brier score (mBS), calculated every 3 months. Through an ablation study, we found that using DenseNet-121 as the backbone network and setting the prediction interval to 6 months optimized the model's performance. The integration of multimodal data resulted in superior predictive capabilities compared to models using only CT images or clinical information (C index 0.824 [95% CI 0.822-0.826], mC/D AUC 0.893 [95% CI 0.891-0.895], and mBS 0.121 [95% CI 0.120-0.123] for internal test cohort; C index 0.750 [95% CI 0.747-0.753], mC/D AUC 0.819 [95% CI 0.816-0.823], and mBS 0.159 [95% CI 0.158-0.161] for external CT cohort, respectively). Our CNN-based discrete-time survival prediction model with CT images and clinical information demonstrated promising results in predicting post-treatment survival of patients with HCC.

Deep Learning-Guided Dosimetry for Mitigating Local Failure of Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Receiving Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy

PURPOSE

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) stereotactic body radiation therapy with 50 Gy/5 fractions is sometimes considered controversial, as the nominal biologically effective dose (BED) of 100 Gy is felt by some to be insufficient for long-term local control of some lesions. In this study, we analyzed such patients using explainable deep learning techniques and consequently proposed appropriate treatment planning criteria. These novel criteria could help planners achieve optimized treatment plans for maximal local control.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A total of 535 patients treated with 50 Gy/5 fractions were used to develop a novel deep learning local response model. A multimodality approach, incorporating computed tomography images, 3-dimensional dose distribution, and patient demographics, combined with a discrete-time survival model, was applied to predict time to failure and the probability of local control. Subsequently, an integrated gradient-weighted class activation mapping method was used to identify the most significant dose-volume metrics predictive of local failure and their optimal cut-points.

RESULTS

The model was cross-validated, showing an acceptable performance (c-index: 0.72, 95% CI, 0.68-0.75); the testing c-index was 0.69. The model's spatial attention was concentrated mostly in the tumors' periphery (planning target volume [PTV] - internal gross target volume [IGTV]) region. Statistically significant dose-volume metrics in improved local control were BED Dnear-min ≥ 103.8 Gy in IGTV (hazard ratio [HR], 0.31; 95% CI, 015-0.63), V104 ≥ 98% in IGTV (HR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.15-0.60), gEUD ≥ 103.8 Gy in PTV-IGTV (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.12-0.50), and Dmean ≥ 104.5 Gy in PTV-IGTV (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.12-0.51).

CONCLUSIONS

Deep learning-identified dose-volume metrics have shown significant prognostic power (log-rank, P = .003) and could be used as additional actionable criteria for treatment planning in NSCLC stereotactic body radiation therapy patients receiving 50 Gy in 5 fractions. Although our data do not confirm or refute that a significantly higher BED for the prescription dose is necessary for tumor control in NSCLC, it might be clinically effective to escalate the nominal prescribed dose from BED 100 to 105 Gy.

Deep learning model based on contrast-enhanced MRI for predicting post-surgical survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective

To develop a deep learning model based on contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data to predict post-surgical overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

This bi-center retrospective study included 564 surgically resected patients with HCC and divided them into training (326), testing (143), and external validation (95) cohorts. This study used a three-dimensional convolutional neural network (3D-CNN) ResNet to learn features from the pretreatment MR images (T1WIpre, late arterial phase, and portal venous phase) and got the deep learning score (DL score). Three cox regression models were established separately using the DL score (3D-CNN model), clinical features (clinical model), and a combination of above (combined model). The concordance index (C-index) was used to evaluate model performance.

Results

We trained a 3D-CNN model to get DL score from samples. The C-index of the 3D-CNN model in predicting 5-year OS for the training, testing, and external validation cohorts were 0.746, 0.714, and 0.698, respectively, and were higher than those of the clinical model, which were 0.675, 0.674, and 0.631, respectively (P = 0.009, P = 0.204, and P = 0.092, respectively). The C-index of the combined model for testing and external validation cohorts was 0.750 and 0.723, respectively, significantly higher than the clinical model (P = 0.017, P = 0.016) and the 3D-CNN model (P = 0.029, P = 0.036).

Conclusions

The combined model integrating the DL score and clinical factors showed a higher predictive value than the clinical and 3D-CNN models and may be more useful in guiding clinical treatment decisions to improve the prognosis of patients with HCC.

Improved outcome models with denoising diffusion

PURPOSE

Radiotherapy outcome modelling often suffers from class imbalance in the modelled endpoints. One of the main options to address this issue is by introducing new synthetically generated datapoints, using generative models, such as Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM). In this study, we implemented DDPM to improve performance of a tumor local control model, trained on imbalanced dataset, and compare this approach with other common techniques.

METHODS

A dataset of 535 NSCLC patients treated with SBRT (50 Gy/5 fractions) was used to train a deep learning outcome model for tumor local control prediction. The dataset included complete treatment planning data (planning CT images, 3D planning dose distribution and patient demographics) with sparsely distributed endpoints (6-7 % experiencing local failure). Consequently, we trained a novel conditional 3D DDPM model to generate synthetic treatment planning data. Synthetically generated treatment planning datapoints were used to supplement the real training dataset and the improvement in the model's performance was studied. Obtained results were also compared to other common techniques for class imbalanced training, such as Oversampling, Undersampling, Augmentation, Class Weights, SMOTE and ADASYN.

RESULTS

Synthetic DDPM-generated data were visually trustworthy, with Fréchet inception distance (FID) below 50. Extending the training dataset with the synthetic data improved the model's performance by more than 10%, while other techniques exhibited only about 4% improvement.

CONCLUSIONS

DDPM introduces a novel approach to class-imbalanced outcome modelling problems. The model generates realistic synthetic radiotherapy planning data, with a strong potential to increase performance and robustness of outcome models.

Comparative analysis of radiomics and deep-learning algorithms for survival prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma

To examine the comparative robustness of computed tomography (CT)-based conventional radiomics and deep-learning convolutional neural networks (CNN) to predict overall survival (OS) in HCC patients. Retrospectively, 114 HCC patients with pretherapeutic CT of the liver were randomized into a development (n = 85) and a validation (n = 29) cohort, including patients of all tumor stages and several applied therapies. In addition to clinical parameters, image annotations of the liver parenchyma and of tumor findings on CT were available. Cox-regression based on radiomics features and CNN models were established and combined with clinical parameters to predict OS. Model performance was assessed using the concordance index (C-index). Log-rank tests were used to test model-based patient stratification into high/low-risk groups. The clinical Cox-regression model achieved the best validation performance for OS (C-index [95% confidence interval (CI)] 0.74 [0.57-0.86]) with a significant difference between the risk groups (p = 0.03). In image analysis, the CNN models (lowest C-index [CI] 0.63 [0.39-0.83]; highest C-index [CI] 0.71 [0.49-0.88]) were superior to the corresponding radiomics models (lowest C-index [CI] 0.51 [0.30-0.73]; highest C-index [CI] 0.66 [0.48-0.79]). A significant risk stratification was not possible (p > 0.05). Under clinical conditions, CNN-algorithms demonstrate superior prognostic potential to predict OS in HCC patients compared to conventional radiomics approaches and could therefore provide important information in the clinical setting, especially when clinical data is limited.

Diagnostic value of a CT-based radiomics nomogram for discrimination of benign and early stage malignant ovarian tumors

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to identify the diagnostic value of models constructed using computed tomography-based radiomics features for discrimination of benign and early stage malignant ovarian tumors.

METHODS

The imaging and clinicopathological data of 197 cases of benign and early stage malignant ovarian tumors (FIGO stage I/II), were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were randomly assigned into training data set and validation data set. Radiomics features were extracted from images of plain computed tomography scan and contrast-enhanced computed tomography scan, were then screened in the training data set, and a radiomics model was constructed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to construct a radiomic nomogram, containing the traditional diagnostic model and the radiomics model. Moreover, the decision curve analysis was used to assess the clinical application value of the radiomics nomogram.

RESULTS

Six textural features with the greatest diagnostic efficiency were finally screened. The value of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the radiomics nomogram was superior to the traditional diagnostic model and the radiomics model (P < 0.05) in the training data set. In the validation data set, the radiomics nomogram was superior to the traditional diagnostic model (P < 0.05), but there was no statistically significant difference compared to the radiomics model (P > 0.05). The calibration curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test revealed that the three models all had a great degree of fit (All P > 0.05). The results of decision curve analysis indicated that utilization of the radiomics nomogram to distinguish benign and early stage malignant ovarian tumors had a greater clinical application value when the risk threshold was 0.4-1.0.

CONCLUSIONS

The computed tomography-based radiomics nomogram could be a non-invasive and reliable imaging method to discriminate benign and early stage malignant ovarian tumors.

Efficacy of Radiomics in Predicting Oncologic Outcome of Liver-Directed Combined Radiotherapy in Locally Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

We investigated whether radiomic features extracted from three-phase dynamic contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) can be used to predict clinical outcomes, including objective treatment response (OR) and in-field failure-free survival rate (IFFR), in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received liver-directed combined radiotherapy (LD-CRT).

METHODS

We included 409 patients, and they were randomly divided into training (n = 307) and validation (n = 102) cohorts. For radiomics models, we extracted 116 radiomic features from the region of interest on the CECT images. Significant clinical prognostic factors are identified to predict the OR and IFFR in the clinical models. We developed clinical models, radiomics models, and a combination of both features (CCR model).

RESULTS

Among the radiomic models evaluated for OR, the OR-PVP-Peri-1cm model showed favorable predictive performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.647. The clinical model showed an AUC of 0.729, whereas the CCR model showed better performance (AUC 0.759). For the IFFR, the IFFR-PVP-Peri-1cm model showed an AUC of 0.673, clinical model showed 0.687, and the CCR model showed 0.736. We also developed and validated a prognostic nomogram based on CCR models.

CONCLUSION

In predicting the OR and IFFR in patients with HCC undergoing LD-CRT, CCR models performed better than clinical and radiomics models. Moreover, the constructed nomograms based on these models may provide valuable information on the prognosis of these patients.

Artificial general intelligence for radiation oncology

The emergence of artificial general intelligence (AGI) is transforming radiation oncology. As prominent vanguards of AGI, large language models (LLMs) such as GPT-4 and PaLM 2 can process extensive texts and large vision models (LVMs) such as the Segment Anything Model (SAM) can process extensive imaging data to enhance the efficiency and precision of radiation therapy. This paper explores full-spectrum applications of AGI across radiation oncology including initial consultation, simulation, treatment planning, treatment delivery, treatment verification, and patient follow-up. The fusion of vision data with LLMs also creates powerful multimodal models that elucidate nuanced clinical patterns. Together, AGI promises to catalyze a shift towards data-driven, personalized radiation therapy. However, these models should complement human expertise and care. This paper provides an overview of how AGI can transform radiation oncology to elevate the standard of patient care in radiation oncology, with the key insight being AGI's ability to exploit multimodal clinical data at scale.

An integrated machine learning predictive scheme for longitudinal laboratory data to evaluate the factors determining renal function changes in patients with different chronic kidney disease stages

Background and objectives

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global health concern. This study aims to identify key factors associated with renal function changes using the proposed machine learning and important variable selection (ML&IVS) scheme on longitudinal laboratory data. The goal is to predict changes in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in a cohort of patients with CKD stages 3-5.

Design

A retrospective cohort study.

Setting and participants

A total of 710 outpatients who presented with stable nondialysis-dependent CKD stages 3-5 at the Shin-Kong Wu Ho-Su Memorial Hospital Medical Center from 2016 to 2021.

Methods

This study analyzed trimonthly laboratory data including 47 indicators. The proposed scheme used stochastic gradient boosting, multivariate adaptive regression splines, random forest, eXtreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine algorithms to evaluate the important factors for predicting the results of the fourth eGFR examination, especially in patients with CKD stage 3 and those with CKD stages 4-5, with or without diabetes mellitus (DM).

Main outcome measurement

Subsequent eGFR level after three consecutive laboratory data assessments.

Results

Our ML&IVS scheme demonstrated superior predictive capabilities and identified significant factors contributing to renal function changes in various CKD groups. The latest levels of eGFR, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), proteinuria, sodium, and systolic blood pressure as well as mean levels of eGFR, BUN, proteinuria, and triglyceride were the top 10 significantly important factors for predicting the subsequent eGFR level in patients with CKD stages 3-5. In individuals with DM, the latest levels of BUN and proteinuria, mean levels of phosphate and proteinuria, and variations in diastolic blood pressure levels emerged as important factors for predicting the decline of renal function. In individuals without DM, all phosphate patterns and latest albumin levels were found to be key factors in the advanced CKD group. Moreover, proteinuria was identified as an important factor in the CKD stage 3 group without DM and CKD stages 4-5 group with DM.

Conclusion

The proposed scheme highlighted factors associated with renal function changes in different CKD conditions, offering valuable insights to physicians for raising awareness about renal function changes.

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in precision oncology: a review on enhancing discoverability through multiomics integration

Multiomics data including imaging radiomics and various types of molecular biomarkers have been increasingly investigated for better diagnosis and therapy in the era of precision oncology. Artificial intelligence (AI) including machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques combined with the exponential growth of multiomics data may have great potential to revolutionize cancer subtyping, risk stratification, prognostication, prediction and clinical decision-making. In this article, we first present different categories of multiomics data and their roles in diagnosis and therapy. Second, AI-based data fusion methods and modeling methods as well as different validation schemes are illustrated. Third, the applications and examples of multiomics research in oncology are demonstrated. Finally, the challenges regarding the heterogeneity data set, availability of omics data, and validation of the research are discussed. The transition of multiomics research to real clinics still requires consistent efforts in standardizing omics data collection and analysis, building computational infrastructure for data sharing and storing, developing advanced methods to improve data fusion and interpretability, and ultimately, conducting large-scale prospective clinical trials to fill the gap between study findings and clinical benefits.

Deep learning techniques in liver tumour diagnosis using CT and MR imaging - A systematic review

Deep learning has become a thriving force in the computer aided diagnosis of liver cancer, as it solves extremely complicated challenges with high accuracy over time and facilitates medical experts in their diagnostic and treatment procedures. This paper presents a comprehensive systematic review on deep learning techniques applied for various applications pertaining to liver images, challenges faced by the clinicians in liver tumour diagnosis and how deep learning bridges the gap between clinical practice and technological solutions with an in-depth summary of 113 articles. Since, deep learning is an emerging revolutionary technology, recent state-of-the-art research implemented on liver images are reviewed with more focus on classification, segmentation and clinical applications in the management of liver diseases. Additionally, similar review articles in literature are reviewed and compared. The review is concluded by presenting the contemporary trends and unaddressed research issues in the field of liver tumour diagnosis, offering directions for future research in this field.

The Promise and Future of Radiomics for Personalized Radiotherapy Dosing and Adaptation

Quantitative image analysis, also known as radiomics, aims to analyze large-scale quantitative features extracted from acquired medical images using hand-crafted or machine-engineered feature extraction approaches. Radiomics has great potential for a variety of clinical applications in radiation oncology, an image-rich treatment modality that utilizes computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and positron emission tomography (PET) for treatment planning, dose calculation, and image guidance. A promising application of radiomics is in predicting treatment outcomes after radiotherapy such as local control and treatment-related toxicity using features extracted from pretreatment and on-treatment images. Based on these individualized predictions of treatment outcomes, radiotherapy dose can be sculpted to meet the specific needs and preferences of each patient. Radiomics can aid in tumor characterization for personalized targeting, especially for identifying high-risk regions within a tumor that cannot be easily discerned based on size or intensity alone. Radiomics-based treatment response prediction can aid in developing personalized fractionation and dose adjustments. In order to make radiomics models more applicable across different institutions with varying scanners and patient populations, further efforts are needed to harmonize and standardize the acquisition protocols by minimizing uncertainties within the imaging data.

Radiomics in the diagnosis and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignant tumor. At present, early diagnosis of HCC is difficult and therapeutic methods are limited. Radiomics can achieve accurate quantitative evaluation of the lesions without invasion, and has important value in the diagnosis and treatment of HCC. Radiomics features can predict the development of cancer in patients, serve as the basis for risk stratification of HCC patients, and help clinicians distinguish similar diseases, thus improving the diagnostic accuracy. Furthermore, the prediction of the treatment outcomes helps determine the treatment plan. Radiomics is also helpful in predicting the HCC recurrence, disease-free survival and overall survival. This review summarized the role of radiomics in the diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of HCC.

T-cell exhaustion signatures characterize the immune landscape and predict HCC prognosis via integrating single-cell RNA-seq and bulk RNA-sequencing

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the third most prevalent cause of cancer-related death, is a frequent primary liver cancer with a high rate of morbidity and mortality. T-cell depletion (TEX) is a progressive decline in T-cell function due to continuous stimulation of the TCR in the presence of sustained antigen exposure. Numerous studies have shown that TEX plays an essential role in the antitumor immune process and is significantly associated with patient prognosis. Hence, it is important to gain insight into the potential role of T cell depletion in the tumor microenvironment. The purpose of this study was to develop a trustworthy TEX-based signature using single-cell RNA-seq (scRNA-seq) and high-throughput RNA sequencing, opening up new avenues for evaluating the prognosis and immunotherapeutic response of HCC patients.

Methods

The International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) databases were used to download RNA-seq information for HCC patients. The 10x scRNA-seq. data of HCC were downloaded from GSE166635, and UMAP was used for clustering descending, and subgroup identification. TEX-related genes were identified by gene set variance analysis (GSVA) and weighted gene correlation network analysis (WGCNA). Afterward, we established a prognostic TEX signature using LASSO-Cox analysis. External validation was performed in the ICGC cohort. Immunotherapy response was assessed by the IMvigor210, GSE78220, GSE79671, and GSE91061cohorts. In addition, differences in mutational landscape and chemotherapy sensitivity between different risk groups were investigated. Finally, the differential expression of TEX genes was verified by qRT-PCR.

Result

11 TEX genes were thought to be highly predictive of the prognosis of HCC and substantially related to HCC prognosis. Patients in the low-risk group had a greater overall survival rate than those in the high-risk group, according to multivariate analysis, which also revealed that the model was an independent predictor of HCC. The predictive efficacy of columnar maps created from clinical features and risk scores was strong.

Conclusion

TEX signature and column line plots showed good predictive performance, providing a new perspective for assessing pre-immune efficacy, which will be useful for future precision immuno-oncology studies.

Performance of Radiomics in Microvascular Invasion Risk Stratification and Prognostic Assessment in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Primary liver cancer is the sixth most commonly diagnosed cancer and the third leading cause of cancer death. Advances in phenomenal imaging are paving the way for application in diagnosis and research. The poor prognosis of advanced HCC warrants a personalized approach. The objective was to assess the value of imaging phenomics for risk stratification and prognostication of HCC.

METHODS

We performed a meta-analysis of manuscripts published to January 2023 on MEDLINE addressing the value of imaging phenomics for HCC risk stratification and prognostication. Publication information for each were collected using a standardized data extraction form.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven articles were analyzed. Our study shows the importance of imaging phenomics in HCC MVI prediction. When the training and validation datasets were analyzed separately by the random-effects model, in the training datasets, radiomics had good MVI prediction (AUC of 0.81 (95% CI 0.76-0.86)). Similar results were found in the validation datasets (AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.72-0.85)). Using the fixed effects model, the mean AUC of all datasets was 0.80 (95% CI 0.76-0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

Imaging phenomics is an effective solution to predict microvascular invasion risk, prognosis, and treatment response in patients with HCC.

Radiomics: A radiological evidence-based artificial intelligence technique to facilitate personalized precision medicine in hepatocellular carcinoma

The high postoperative recurrence rates in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain a major hurdle in its management. Appropriate staging and treatment selection may alleviate the extent of fatal recurrence. However, effective methods to preoperatively evaluate pathophysiologic and molecular characteristics of HCC are lacking. Imaging plays a central role in HCC diagnosis and stratification due to the non-invasive diagnostic criteria. Vast and crucial information is hidden within image data. Other than providing a morphological sketch for lesion diagnosis, imaging could provide new insights to describe the pathophysiological and genetic landscape of HCC. Radiomics aims to facilitate diagnosis and prognosis of HCC using artificial intelligence techniques to harness the immense information contained in medical images. Radiomics produces a set of archetypal and robust imaging features that are correlated to key pathological or molecular biomarkers to preoperatively risk-stratify HCC patients. Inferred with outcome data, comprehensive combination of radiomic, clinical and/or multi-omics data could also improve direct prediction of response to treatment and prognosis. The evolution of radiomics is changing our understanding of personalized precision medicine in HCC management. Herein, we review the key techniques and clinical applications in HCC radiomics and discuss current limitations and future opportunities to improve clinical decision making.

Deep learning based radiomics for gastrointestinal cancer diagnosis and treatment: A minireview

Gastrointestinal (GI) cancers are the major cause of cancer-related mortality globally. Medical imaging is an important auxiliary means for the diagnosis, assessment and prognostic prediction of GI cancers. Radiomics is an emerging and effective technology to decipher the encoded information within medical images, and traditional machine learning is the most commonly used tool. Recent advances in deep learning technology have further promoted the development of radiomics. In the field of GI cancer, although there are several surveys on radiomics, there is no specific review on the application of deep-learning-based radiomics (DLR). In this review, a search was conducted on Web of Science, PubMed, and Google Scholar with an emphasis on the application of DLR for GI cancers, including esophageal, gastric, liver, pancreatic, and colorectal cancers. Besides, the challenges and recommendations based on the findings of the review are comprehensively analyzed to advance DLR.

A survey on deep learning applied to medical images: from simple artificial neural networks to generative models

Deep learning techniques, in particular generative models, have taken on great importance in medical image analysis. This paper surveys fundamental deep learning concepts related to medical image generation. It provides concise overviews of studies which use some of the latest state-of-the-art models from last years applied to medical images of different injured body areas or organs that have a disease associated with (e.g., brain tumor and COVID-19 lungs pneumonia). The motivation for this study is to offer a comprehensive overview of artificial neural networks (NNs) and deep generative models in medical imaging, so more groups and authors that are not familiar with deep learning take into consideration its use in medicine works. We review the use of generative models, such as generative adversarial networks and variational autoencoders, as techniques to achieve semantic segmentation, data augmentation, and better classification algorithms, among other purposes. In addition, a collection of widely used public medical datasets containing magnetic resonance (MR) images, computed tomography (CT) scans, and common pictures is presented. Finally, we feature a summary of the current state of generative models in medical image including key features, current challenges, and future research paths.

Current status and future developments in predicting outcomes in radiation oncology

Advancements in data-driven technologies and the inclusion of information-rich multiomics features have significantly improved the performance of outcomes modeling in radiation oncology. For this current trend to be sustainable, challenges related to robust data modeling such as small sample size, low size to feature ratio, noisy data, as well as issues related to algorithmic modeling such as complexity, uncertainty, and interpretability, need to be mitigated if not resolved. Emerging computational technologies and new paradigms such as federated learning, human-in-the-loop, quantum computing, and novel interpretability methods show great potential in overcoming these challenges and bridging the gap towards precision outcome modeling in radiotherapy. Examples of these promising technologies will be presented and their potential role in improving outcome modeling will be discussed.

Applications of artificial intelligence in stereotactic body radiation therapy

This topical review focuses on the applications of artificial intelligence (AI) tools to stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). The high dose per fraction and the limited number of fractions in SBRT require stricter accuracy than standard radiation therapy. The intent of this review is to describe the development and evaluate the possible benefit of AI tools integration into the radiation oncology workflow for SBRT automation. The selected papers were subdivided into four sections, representative of the whole radiotherapy process: ‘AI in SBRT target and organs at risk contouring’, ‘AI in SBRT planning’, ‘AI during the SBRT delivery’, and ‘AI for outcome prediction after SBRT’. Each section summarises the challenges, as well as limits and needs for improvement to achieve better integration of AI tools in the clinical workflow.

Artificial intelligence in liver diseases: improving diagnostics, prognostics and response prediction

Clinical routine in hepatology involves the diagnosis and treatment of a wide spectrum of metabolic, infectious, autoimmune and neoplastic diseases. Clinicians integrate qualitative and quantitative information from multiple data sources to make a diagnosis, prognosticate the disease course, and recommend a treatment. In the last 5 years, advances in artificial intelligence (AI), particularly in deep learning, have made it possible to extract clinically relevant information from complex and diverse clinical datasets. In particular, histopathology and radiology image data contain diagnostic, prognostic and predictive information which AI can extract. Ultimately, such AI systems could be implemented in clinical routine as decision support tools. However, in the context of hepatology, this requires further large-scale clinical validation and regulatory approval. Herein, we summarise the state of the art in AI in hepatology with a particular focus on histopathology and radiology data. We present a roadmap for the further development of novel biomarkers in hepatology and outline critical obstacles which need to be overcome.

Predictive Modeling of Survival and Toxicity in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Radiotherapy

PURPOSE

To stratify patients and aid clinical decision making, we developed machine learning models to predict treatment failure and radiation-induced toxicities after radiotherapy (RT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma across institutions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The models were developed using linear and nonlinear algorithms, predicting survival, nonlocal failure, radiation-induced liver disease, and lymphopenia from baseline patient and treatment parameters. The models were trained on 207 patients from Massachusetts General Hospital. Performance was quantified using Harrell's c-index, area under the curve (AUC), and accuracy in high-risk populations. Models' structures were optimized in a nested cross-validation approach to prevent overfitting. A study analysis plan was registered before external validation using 143 patients from MD Anderson Cancer Center. Clinical utility was assessed using net-benefit analysis.

RESULTS

The survival model stratified high-risk versus low-risk patients well in the external validation cohort (c-index = 0.75), better than existing risk scores. Predictions of 1-year survival and nonlocal failure were excellent (external AUC = 0.74 and 0.80, respectively), especially in the high-risk group (accuracy > 90%). Cause-of-death analysis showed differential modes of treatment failure in these cohorts and indicated that these models could be used to stratify RT patients for liver-sparing treatment regimen or combination approaches with systemic agents. Predictions of liver disease and lymphopenia were good but less robust (external AUC = 0.68 and 0.7, respectively), suggesting the need for more comprehensive consideration of dosimetry and better predictive biomarkers. The liver disease model showed excellent accuracy in the high-risk group (92%) and revealed possible interactions of platelet count with initial liver function.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning approaches can provide reliable outcome predictions in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after RT in diverse cohorts across institutions. The excellent performance, particularly in high-risk patients, suggests novel strategies for patient stratification and treatment selection.

Hsa_circ_NOTCH3 regulates ZNF146 through sponge adsorption of miR-875-5p to promote tumorigenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

To explore the specific mechanism of circular RNA (circRNA) in the occurrence and development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and provide new ideas for its diagnosis and treatment.

Methods

Reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) was for evaluating the expression of circ_NOTCH3 in liver cancer tissues and matched normal tissues and related cell lines. After overexpression or co-expression of circ_NOTCH3 or microRNA (miRNA) in cells, the changes in cell function were analyzed. Bioinformatics analysis and dual luciferase report analysis were utilized to predict and verify the binding site between circ_NOTCH3 and miRNA. Western blotting was applied to detect gene expression alterations. Additionally, in vivo tumor growth was also utilized to further assess the influence of knocking-down circ_NOTCH3 on the progression of HCC.

Results

It was confirmed circ_NOTCH3 was highly expressed in HCC specimens and cells. The proliferation, migration, invasion, and oxaliplatin-resistance potential of HCC could be restrained by silencing circ_NOTCH3 or by ectopic expression of miR-875-5p in vitro. In terms of mechanism, circ_NOTCH3 directly binds to miR-875-5p, regulating its activity by targeting the 3'-UTR of ZNF146. Overexpression of circ_NOTCH3 evidently overturned the diminishing influence of miR-875-5p mimics on HCC cells.

Conclusions

As an oncogene, circ_NOTCH3 can trigger the proliferation, invasion, migration, and oxaliplatin resistance of HCC cells through the miR-875-5p/ZNF146 axis, and may be a promising target for the treatment of HCC.

Predicting the Initial Treatment Response to Transarterial Chemoembolization in Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma by the Integration of Radiomics and Deep Learning

Objectives

We aimed to develop radiology-based models for the preoperative prediction of the initial treatment response to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the integration of radiomics and deep learning (DL) has not been reported for TACE.

Methods

Three hundred and ten intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent TACE were recruited from three independent medical centers. Based on computed tomography (CT) images, recursive feature elimination (RFE) was used to select the most useful radiomics features. Five radiomics conventional machine learning (cML) models and a DL model were used for training and validation. Mutual correlations between each model were analyzed. The accuracies of integrating clinical variables, cML, and DL models were then evaluated.

Results

Good predictive accuracies were showed across the two cohorts in the five cML models, especially the random forest algorithm (AUC = 0.967 and 0.964, respectively). DL showed high accuracies in the training and validation cohorts (AUC = 0.981 and 0.972, respectively). Significant mutual correlations were revealed between tumor size and the five cML models and DL model (each P < 0.001). The highest accuracies were achieved by integrating DL and the random forest algorithm in the training and validation cohorts (AUC = 0.995 and 0.994, respectively).

Conclusion

The radiomics cML models and DL model showed notable accuracy for predicting the initial response to TACE treatment. Moreover, the integrated model could serve as a novel and accurate method for prediction in intermediate-stage HCC.