Prediction of short term outcome of pulmonary embolism: Parameters at 16 multi-detector CT pulmonary angiography

Prognostic performance of the Bova, sPESI, and Qanadli scores in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a disease with a serious prognosis and a high probability of death in the emergency department.

PURPOSE

To investigate the prediction of PE-related mortality and intensive care admission (ICU) of Qanadli (Qscore), Bova, and simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) scores.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective observational study consisted of all patients diagnosed with acute PE who were imaged under computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) for a total of 5 years between 1 June 2018 and 1 June 2023. The prediction of radiological and clinical scores for mortality and ICU admission was examined.

RESULTS

A total of 95 patients were analyzed. Patients who died and those who were admitted to the ICU had a significantly higher frequency of being found to have a high-risk (≥1) sPESI score (P = 0.04 and P = 0.016, respectively). For mortality, the sPESI score was found to be significant; the sensitivity and specificity were observed as 54% and 66% (area under the curve [AUC]=0.670, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.527-0.814; P = 0.020). For ICU admission, the sensitivity and specificity of the Qscore, sPESI, and Bova scores were 35%, 77%, and 58%, and 78%, 65%, and 84% respectively (AUC=0.626, 95% CI=0.511-0.740, P = 0.031; AUC=0.769, 95% CI=0.674-0.865, P < 0.001; and AUC=0.767, 95% CI=0.671-0.862, P < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

It was found that the sPESI score was effective at predicting mortality in patients with acute PE. Qscore, sPESI, and Bova scores have been shown to be useful in predicting ICU admission.

Heart lung axis in acute pulmonary embolism: Role of CT in risk stratification

Pulmonary embolism (PE) remains a significant cause of mortality requiring prompt diagnosis and risk stratification. This review focuses on the role of computed tomography (CT) in the risk stratification of acute PE, highlighting its impact on patient management. We will explore basic pathophysiology of pulmonary embolism (PE) and review current guidelines, which will help radiologists interpret images within a broader clinical context. This review covers key CT findings which can be used for risk stratification including indicators of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction, clot burden, clot location and left atrial volume. We will discuss the measurement of RV/LV diameter ratio as a key indicator of RV dysfunction and its limitations and challenges within various patient populations. While these parameters should be included in a radiologist's report, their predictive value for mortality depends on the patient's existing cardiopulmonary reserve and should not be interpreted in isolation.

Right ventricular area predicts short-term mortality in acute pulmonary embolism based on CT pulmonary angiography: A retrospective study

We performed this cohort study to assess the prognostic value of right ventricular size, including diameter, area, and volume, in short-term mortality of acute pulmonary embolism (APE) based on 256-slice computed tomography compared with D-dimer, creatine kinase muscle and brain isoenzyme, and Wells scores. A total of 225 patients with APE, who were followed up for 30 days were enrolled in this cohort study. Clinical data, laboratory indices (creatine kinase, creatine kinase muscle and brain isoenzyme, and D-dimer), and Wells scores were collected. The 256-slice computed tomography was used to quantify cardiac parameters (RVV/LVV, RVD/LVD-ax, RVA/LVA-ax, RVD/LVD-4ch, RVA/LVA-4ch) and the diameter of the coronary sinus. Participants were divided into non-death and death groups. The values mentioned above were compared between the 2 groups. The RVD/LVD-ax, RVA/LVA-ax, RVA/LVA-4ch, RVV/LVV, D-dimer, and creatine kinase levels were significantly higher in the death group than in the non-death group (P < .05). The active period of the malignant tumor, heart rate ≥ 100 beats/minutes, and RVA/LVA-ax were positively correlated with early death from APE (P < .05). Active stage of malignant tumor (OR:9.247, 95%CI:2.682-31.888, P < .001) and RVA/LVA-ax (OR:3.073, 95%CI:1.447-6.528, P = .003) were independent predictors of early death due to APE. According to the receiver operating characteristic curve, the cutoff point of RVA/LVA-ax was 1.68 with a sensitivity of 46.7% and specificity of 84.8%. The measurement of ventricular size in the short-axis plane is more convenient and reliable than that in the 4-chamber cardiac plane. RVA/LVA-ax is an independent predictor of early death from APE, and when RVA/LVA-ax > 1.68, the risk of early death from APE increases.

Pulmonary artery obstruction index, pulmonary artery diameter and right ventricle strain as prognostic CT findings in patient with acute pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVE

This study was designed to determine predictors of pulmonary hypertension and signs of right heart dysfunction caused by pulmonary embolism (PE) that may lead to early detection of high-risk patients. So the predictive value of pulmonary artery obstruction index (PAOI), measured by pulmonary CT angiography (PCTA) in the acute setting, in predicting the patients susceptible to PE cardiac complications was evaluated. Also two other PCTA indices, pulmonary artery diameter (PAD), and right ventricle (RV) strain, in these patients were investigated and their predictive value for cardiac complications on follow up echocardiography were demonstrated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the study 120 patients with a definite diagnosis of PE were included. The PAOI, PAD and RV strain were measured using PCTA at the time of the initial diagnosis. Transthoracic echocardiography was done 6 months after the diagnosis of PE and RV echocardiographic indices were measured. Pearson correlation was used to investigate correlation between PAOI, PAD, RV strain and signs of right heart dysfunction.

RESULTS

PAOI was strongly correlated with systolic pulmonary artery pressure (SPAP) (r=0.83), RV systolic pressure (r=0.78) and RV wall thickness (r=0.61) in long-term follow up echocardiography. A higher rate of RV dysfunction and RV dilation was detected among the patients with higher PAOI (P<0.001). PAOI≥18 was strongly predictive for development of RV dysfunction. Also developments of pulmonary hypertension, RV systolic hypertension, RV dilation, RV dysfunction, and RV hypertrophy were significantly more common among patients with higher PAD and RV strain (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

PAOI, PAD and RV strain are sensitive and specific PCTA indices that can predict the development of long-term complications such as pulmonary hypertension and right heart dysfunction, at the time of initial PE diagnosis.

The assessment of acute pulmonary embolism severity using CT angiography features

Background

This study was conducted to detect the association between radiologic features of CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) and pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI).

Methods

A total of 150 patients with a definite diagnosis of PE entered the study. The CTPA feature including obstruction index, pulmonary trunk size, presence of backwash contrast, septal morphology, right ventricular (RV) and left ventricular (LV) dimensions, and RV/LV ratio were examined. The severity of the PE was estimated using PESI. The association between CTPA indices and PESI was measured. Statistical analysis was conducted using the SPSS software. P value < 0.05 was considered as statistically significant.

Results

A positive correlation was detected between the obstruction index and PESI (r = 0.45, P < 0.05). Moreover, PESI was significantly higher in patients with a more dilated pulmonary trunk (r = 0.20, P < 0.05). The backwash contrast and abnormal septal morphology were significantly more common among patients with higher PESI (P < 0.05). However, no significant correlation was detected between RV, LV, RV/LV, and PESI. The most predictor of high-risk PE was dilated pulmonary trunk with an odds ratio of 4.4.

Conclusion

Higher Obstruction index, dilated pulmonary trunk, presence of backwash contrast, and an abnormal septal morphology can be associated with a higher PESI.

Role of clinical and pulmonary computed tomography angiographic parameters in the prediction of short- and long-term mortality in patients with pulmonary embolism

The utility of pulmonary computed tomography angiography (CTA) in the prediction of short- and long-term outcomes after pulmonary embolism (PE) is controversial. Between November 2011 and September 2014, 190 normotensive patients (age, 61 ± 16.90 years, 53.7 % female) were diagnosed with acute PE using a 128-slice dual-source pulmonary CTA scanner. All the related clinical and cardiovascular measurements were recorded. Primary endpoints were 30-day PE-related death, 30-day composite complications (death, hemodynamic instability, thrombolysis and thrombectomy, inotrope, and mechanical ventilation use), and long-term all-cause mortality during a median follow-up of 14.78 months. Overall 1-month mortality is 5.8 %, and death is PE-related in 4.7 % of total patients. Although non-significant, O2 saturation <90 % and the right ventricular short-axis to left ventricular short-axis diameters (RV/LV) ratio increase the risk of PE-related death by 3.5 and 2 times, respectively. The independent predictors of 30-day complications (15.8 %) are O2 saturation <90 % (OR: 3.924, 95 % CI 1.505-10.229), RV/LV ratio (OR: 3.018, 95 % CI 1.455-6.263), and heart rate ≥ 110 beats/min (OR: 2.607, 95 % CI 1.063-6.391). For long-term mortality (13.7 %), O2 saturation <90 % is an independent predictor (HR: 4.454, 95 % CI 2.016-8.862). The independent impact of the RV/LV ratio on the long-term mortality has a trend towards statistical significance (HR: 1.762, 95 % CI 0.968-4.218; p value = 0.064). The PE-related death is 4.7 % within 30 days after admisson and 13.7 % after a median follow-up of 14 months. Among the pulmonary CTA parameters, only the RV/LV ratio and among the clinical and paraclinical measures, O2 saturation <90 % remain independent predictors of short- and long-term mortality and complications after the diagnosis of PE.